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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Zijin Mining (2899 HK): Where To From Here? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Zijin Mining (2899 HK): Where To From Here?
  • Acquisition of SK D&D by Hahn & Co + Tender Offer and Delisting Plans
  • Deep Horizons Revisited: Saipem–Subsea7 Merger Arb at +4.3% Spread
  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) FY 2025 Results: Markets Expect a 4.7% Price Swing


Zijin Mining (2899 HK): Where To From Here?

By David Blennerhassett

  • As Zijin Gold (2259 HK)‘s share price defies gravity, so does Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)s.
  • Full disclosure: I misread the room. I thought Zijin Gold was fully priced at HK$71.59/share. As was Zijin Mining. Zijin Gold is now up 92% and Zijin Mining 20%.
  • Zijin Gold currently trades at a 100% premium to peers on forward PER and EV/EBITDA multiples. 

Acquisition of SK D&D by Hahn & Co + Tender Offer and Delisting Plans

By Douglas Kim

  • On 1 October, it was reported in the local media that Hahn & Co (is acquiring the management rights of SK D&D Co Ltd (210980 KS). 
  • This tender offer is not likely to be successful. Less than 1/3 of the 6.96 million shares that are up for tender offer could be sold by the existing shareholders.
  • We believe that the majority of the remaining investors in SK D&D want higher tender offer price.

Deep Horizons Revisited: Saipem–Subsea7 Merger Arb at +4.3% Spread

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The Saipem–Subsea7 merger delivers scale, €300m synergies, €43bn backlog, and balanced governance; Subsea7 shareholders secure 6.688x Saipem shares plus NOK 22.15 dividends, crystallizing immediate cash returns.
  • Hedged arbitrage (long Subsea7, short Saipem, FX-hedged dividend) offers ~7–11% annualized returns under conservative assumptions, with optional leverage if short proceeds are usable; main risks stem from regulatory scrutiny.
  • Key catalysts: UK CMA Phase 1 decision, Brazil CADE review, and Italy’s conditional approval. Spread at +4.3% adjusted offers attractive entry for patient investors seeking event-driven opportunities.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) FY 2025 Results: Markets Expect a 4.7% Price Swing

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) will report FY 2025 results on Thursday, 9 October 2025. Gain insight into earnings-day price history, volatility dynamics, and signals from the options market.
  • Expect Volatility: Results have historically driven moves between 2–9%, with announcement-day beta vs. the Nikkei 225 more than doubling. Despite illiquidity, options imply a ±4.7% swing — in line with history.
  • Portfolio Impact: As an 8% Nikkei 225 heavyweight, earnings-day moves ripple across the benchmark, making results market-relevant beyond the single stock.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Union Auction and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: Union Auction (AUCT TB) – Oct 2025


Primer: Union Auction (AUCT TB) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Market Leader with Strong Growth Tailwinds: Union Auction is the dominant player in Thailand’s used vehicle auction market, poised to benefit from the growing demand for affordable transportation and a backlog of repossessed vehicles entering the auction pipeline post-pandemic.
  • Proven Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns: The company exhibits a history of robust revenue and net income growth, high profit margins, and a strong commitment to shareholder returns through consistent high-payout dividends.
  • Digital Transformation and Service Expansion: AUCT is actively investing in its online auction platform, AUCT Live, to enhance customer convenience and efficiency, aiming to increase its online user base and expand its service offerings to solidify its competitive position.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Logan Group
  • The UST curve flattened marginally yesterday, as long-end yields declined marginally while the short end was stable.
  • Trading volumes were reported to be below average, as macro releases were stalled in the second day of the US government shutdown.

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Daily Brief South Korea: SK D&D Co Ltd, Tokai Carbon Korea, Vitzrocell, Youngone Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Acquisition of SK D&D by Hahn & Co + Tender Offer and Delisting Plans
  • CMTX IPO Preview
  • Primer: Vitzrocell (082920 KS) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Youngone Corp (111770 KS) – Oct 2025


Acquisition of SK D&D by Hahn & Co + Tender Offer and Delisting Plans

By Douglas Kim

  • On 1 October, it was reported in the local media that Hahn & Co (is acquiring the management rights of SK D&D Co Ltd (210980 KS). 
  • This tender offer is not likely to be successful. Less than 1/3 of the 6.96 million shares that are up for tender offer could be sold by the existing shareholders.
  • We believe that the majority of the remaining investors in SK D&D want higher tender offer price.

CMTX IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • CMTX is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in 4Q 2025. The company will offer a total of 1 million shares (new shares) in this IPO. 
  • The target IPO price range is 51,000 to 60,500 won per share. The projected market capitalization after listing is 473 billion to 561.2 billion won.
  • CMTX began by manufacturing ceramics and sapphire components for semiconductor etching processes and has since expanded its business to include core consumable silicon components such as silicon rings and electrodes.

Primer: Vitzrocell (082920 KS) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Vitzrocell is a global leader in lithium primary batteries, particularly for specialized industrial and military applications, demonstrating a robust growth trajectory with a 3-year net income CAGR of 44.4%.
  • The company is strategically positioned to benefit from growing demand in the smart grid, IoT, and defense sectors, driven by its technological expertise in high-temperature and long-lifespan batteries.
  • A strong financial profile, characterized by high growth, solid margins, and impressive free cash flow generation, supports continued investment in R&D and strategic acquisitions to solidify market leadership.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Youngone Corp (111770 KS) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Youngone Corp stands as a premier global original equipment manufacturer (OEM) for the outdoor and athletic apparel industry, underpinned by strong, long-term relationships with leading global brands and a vast, efficient manufacturing network.
  • While the company faces near-term margin pressures from rising labor costs and potential tariffs, its robust OEM order book, particularly from high-growth brands, provides a solid revenue foundation.
  • The company’s strategic ‘Corporate Value-Up’ initiatives, aimed at enhancing shareholder returns by improving ROE and P/B ratios, combined with a potential earnings inflection from its Scott subsidiary, present significant long-term catalysts.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Hindustan Zinc: The Silver Underdog and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Hindustan Zinc: The Silver Underdog
  • It’s Official, OpenAI Is Becoming A Multi-Trillion Dollar Hyperscaler
  • CoreWeave Lands $14.2 Billion Meta Deal — Is This The Tipping Point For AI Cloud Domination?
  • Primer: Sunmax Biotechnology (4728 TT) – Oct 2025
  • Ambuja Cement Q2 Preview: Seasonal Weakness or a Strategic Pause in the 140 MTPA Road?
  • UiPath Rockets After OpenAI & Nvidia Deal—Is This the Future Of AI Automation?
  • TreeHouse Takeover Chatter Ignites Rally— Inside The $3B Investindustrial Takeover Rumor!
  • Credo Technology’s Hyperlume Deal: A Game-Changer For AI Connectivity Or A Risky Bet!
  • Primer: Sunway Healthcare (2268774D MK) – Oct 2025
  • Atkore Activist Drama: Irenic Pushes For Sale Amid CEO Retirement!


Hindustan Zinc: The Silver Underdog

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN) has committed to a massive INR 30k−35k Crs (3.6−4.2 billion) expansion to double its metal production underpinned by record-low zinc costs and high silver contribution.
  • This integrated, self-funded capacity doubling effort, coupled with aggressive decarbonization and the high-margin silver tailwind, fundamentally de-risks the long-term earnings trajectory.
  • While the corporate restructuring remains an overhang, HZL’s strategic shift makes it a compelling, low-cost proxy for India’s industrial growth and the global silver bull cycle.

It’s Official, OpenAI Is Becoming A Multi-Trillion Dollar Hyperscaler

By William Keating

  • Inference compute is going increase by a factor of one billion. It’s already gone up at least 2x in the past twelve months
  • OpenAI will become the next multi-trillion dollar hyperscaler. NVIDIA is going to make sure this happens
  • AI-Related revenues have already reached $1 trillion since all hypercaler revenues are now AI related according to Jensen. Problem solved!

CoreWeave Lands $14.2 Billion Meta Deal — Is This The Tipping Point For AI Cloud Domination?

By Baptista Research

  • In its second quarter of 2025, CoreWeave showcased significant growth amid strong demand for AI cloud services.
  • The company’s revenue soared by 207% year-over-year, reaching $1.2 billion, with an adjusted operating income of $200 million.
  • This marked the first instance of CoreWeave achieving both $1 billion in revenue and $200 million in operating income in a single quarter.

Primer: Sunmax Biotechnology (4728 TT) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Sunmax is a niche leader in collagen-based dermal fillers, capitalizing on a rapidly growing global medical aesthetics market driven by non-invasive procedures.
  • The company exhibits a strong growth trajectory, evidenced by impressive multi-year CAGRs in revenue and net income, supported by high resilience and profitability metrics.
  • Future growth is contingent on successful capacity expansion, with a new facility expected to be fully operational by H1 2027, and continued geographic expansion beyond its core markets in Taiwan and China.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Ambuja Cement Q2 Preview: Seasonal Weakness or a Strategic Pause in the 140 MTPA Road?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Ambuja Cement has crossed the 100 MTPA capacity mark and is executing a roadmap for 140 MTPA by FY28 while targeting a INR1,500 per tonne EBITDA by the same year.
  • The integration of multiple recent acquisitions, including Orient, Sanghi, and Penna, is crucial; Q2FY26 results will offer the first look into how the new consolidated entity handles initial integration costs.
  • While Q1 FY26 set a high baseline, investors should  anticipate sequential dip in Q2 margins, viewing it as a short-term integration blip against a decade-defining capacity and cost rationalisation strategy.

UiPath Rockets After OpenAI & Nvidia Deal—Is This the Future Of AI Automation?

By Baptista Research

  • UiPath saw a near-10% spike in its share price after unveiling high-profile partnerships with OpenAI, Nvidia, and Snowflake, signaling a renewed push into AI-driven enterprise automation.
  • The automation software provider announced it will integrate OpenAI’s cutting-edge GPT models, including GPT-5, into enterprise workflows.
  • With Nvidia, the collaboration centers on fraud detection and healthcare solutions, while Snowflake will support UiPath’s Agentic Automation platform with its Cortex AI tools.

TreeHouse Takeover Chatter Ignites Rally— Inside The $3B Investindustrial Takeover Rumor!

By Baptista Research

  • TreeHouse Foods presented their second-quarter results with both positive and negative takeaways.
  • The company surpassed its guidance upper ranges for adjusted net sales and adjusted EBITDA, a sign of successful execution in margin improvement strategies.
  • However, the volume was pressured due to structural cost reductions and adjustments within their manufacturing network to focus on efficiency.

Credo Technology’s Hyperlume Deal: A Game-Changer For AI Connectivity Or A Risky Bet!

By Baptista Research

  • Credo Technology Group is riding a wave of explosive growth, with its Q1 FY2026 results showing a 274% yearover-year revenue surge to $223 million and record non-GAAP net income of $98 million.
  • This growth reflects its leadership in Active Electrical Cables (AECs) and high-speed optical DSP solutions, which power the AI infrastructure of hyperscale data centers.
  • Against this backdrop, Credo has announced its plan to acquire Hyperlume, a privately held firm specializing in ultra-fast microLEDs and ultra-low power circuitry designed to address the bandwidth and energy bottlenecks of traditional interconnects.

Primer: Sunway Healthcare (2268774D MK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Sunway Healthcare is a leading integrated private healthcare provider in Malaysia with ambitious expansion plans, aiming to significantly increase its bed capacity and network of hospitals across the country, positioning it to capitalize on the growing demand for quality healthcare in the region.
  • The upcoming Initial Public Offering (IPO), expected by the first quarter of 2026, is a significant catalyst, intended to raise substantial capital to fund its aggressive growth strategy, including the development of new hospitals and the expansion of ancillary healthcare services.
  • The company benefits from strong parentage under the Sunway Group conglomerate and a strategic partnership with Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund, GIC, which provides financial backing and regional healthcare expertise, enhancing its growth prospects and market credibility.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Atkore Activist Drama: Irenic Pushes For Sale Amid CEO Retirement!

By Baptista Research

  • Atkore Inc., a leading manufacturer in electrical infrastructure, is under fresh scrutiny after activist investor Irenic Capital Management disclosed a 2.5% stake and began pressuring the company to explore a sale.
  • The news, first reported by Bloomberg, triggered a 2.2% rise in Atkore’s stock price and follows the company’s own announcement that it is evaluating strategic alternatives with the help of Citi.
  • While no formal process has been confirmed, market speculation has intensified around a possible leveraged buyout or private equity-led acquisition.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Comfortdelgro Corp, Nam Cheong, Ever Glory United Holdings , SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • ComfortDelgro: Chasing Growth, Missing Returns?
  • Primer: Nam Cheong (NCL SP) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Ever Glory United Holdings (EGUH SP) – Oct 2025
  • Sri Lanka’s Rubber Exports Recover In July Amid Deeper Woes


ComfortDelgro: Chasing Growth, Missing Returns?

By Tan Yee Peng

  • A decade of stagnant revenue and declining profits, despite significant capital investments in overseas expansion.
  • CDG was destroying shareholder value. Return on Equity (“ROE”) had fallen to 6.9% in 2023, almost half the 13.3% recorded in 2015. More critically, ROE remained below its 9% cost of equity.
  • Lack of strategic clarity on how its growth strategy aligns with long-term shareholder value creation.

Primer: Nam Cheong (NCL SP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Turnaround Specialist in a Cyclical Up-swing: After a prolonged downturn that necessitated two major debt restructurings (2018 and 2024), Nam Cheong has emerged as a leaner entity focused on vessel chartering. The company is capitalizing on a robust recovery in the Offshore Support Vessel (OSV) market, driven by increased offshore oil & gas exploration and production activities.
  • Strong Financial Rebound and Earnings Visibility: The company has demonstrated a significant financial turnaround, with revenue and net income surging in the past three years. Recent long-term charter contract wins worth up to RM1.22 billion provide strong earnings visibility for the next 2-3 years, with a target of having 60-70% of its fleet on long-term charters.
  • High-Risk, High-Reward Profile: Despite the positive momentum and an attractive valuation on a forward P/E basis, the company operates in a highly cyclical industry and has a history of financial distress. Key risks include dependence on oil & gas capital expenditure, potential for renewed vessel oversupply, and a corporate governance structure with significant family influence.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Ever Glory United Holdings (EGUH SP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Ever Glory United Holdings is a Singapore-based provider of mechanical and electrical (M&E) engineering services, poised to capitalize on the burgeoning Singaporean construction sector. The company has demonstrated robust top-line growth, driven by an increase in M&E projects.
  • Strategic acquisitions, such as Fire-Guard Engineering and Guthrie Engineering, have expanded the company’s service offerings and capabilities, enabling it to tender for larger, higher-value projects. This inorganic growth strategy is a key pillar of its future expansion.
  • While revenue growth is strong, the company faces challenges with gross margin pressure due to the completion of higher-margin projects and broader inflationary pressures. Management is focused on cost control and diversification to mitigate these impacts.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Sri Lanka’s Rubber Exports Recover In July Amid Deeper Woes

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • July exports rebound, second-best month of 2025  
  • Seven-month exports slip on weaker tire and tube demand  
  • Five-year car import ban lifted, boosting rubber outlook  

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Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, CoreWeave, UiPath Inc, Credo Technology Group Holding, Treehouse Foods, AppLovin , Atkore Inc, Linde , Warner Bros Discovery , Catalyst Bancorp Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • It’s Official, OpenAI Is Becoming A Multi-Trillion Dollar Hyperscaler
  • CoreWeave Lands $14.2 Billion Meta Deal — Is This The Tipping Point For AI Cloud Domination?
  • UiPath Rockets After OpenAI & Nvidia Deal—Is This the Future Of AI Automation?
  • Credo Technology’s Hyperlume Deal: A Game-Changer For AI Connectivity Or A Risky Bet!
  • TreeHouse Takeover Chatter Ignites Rally— Inside The $3B Investindustrial Takeover Rumor!
  • AppLovin Breaks Out Of Gaming—The New Ad Strategy Is Turning Heads (& Printing Cash)
  • Atkore Activist Drama: Irenic Pushes For Sale Amid CEO Retirement!
  • Linde Plc (LIN) – Thursday, Jul 3, 2025
  • Warner Bros. Rally Sparks Doubt: Will The Paramount Deal Fall Apart?
  • Catalyst Bancorp Inc (CLST) – Friday, Jul 4, 2025


It’s Official, OpenAI Is Becoming A Multi-Trillion Dollar Hyperscaler

By William Keating

  • Inference compute is going increase by a factor of one billion. It’s already gone up at least 2x in the past twelve months
  • OpenAI will become the next multi-trillion dollar hyperscaler. NVIDIA is going to make sure this happens
  • AI-Related revenues have already reached $1 trillion since all hypercaler revenues are now AI related according to Jensen. Problem solved!

CoreWeave Lands $14.2 Billion Meta Deal — Is This The Tipping Point For AI Cloud Domination?

By Baptista Research

  • In its second quarter of 2025, CoreWeave showcased significant growth amid strong demand for AI cloud services.
  • The company’s revenue soared by 207% year-over-year, reaching $1.2 billion, with an adjusted operating income of $200 million.
  • This marked the first instance of CoreWeave achieving both $1 billion in revenue and $200 million in operating income in a single quarter.

UiPath Rockets After OpenAI & Nvidia Deal—Is This the Future Of AI Automation?

By Baptista Research

  • UiPath saw a near-10% spike in its share price after unveiling high-profile partnerships with OpenAI, Nvidia, and Snowflake, signaling a renewed push into AI-driven enterprise automation.
  • The automation software provider announced it will integrate OpenAI’s cutting-edge GPT models, including GPT-5, into enterprise workflows.
  • With Nvidia, the collaboration centers on fraud detection and healthcare solutions, while Snowflake will support UiPath’s Agentic Automation platform with its Cortex AI tools.

Credo Technology’s Hyperlume Deal: A Game-Changer For AI Connectivity Or A Risky Bet!

By Baptista Research

  • Credo Technology Group is riding a wave of explosive growth, with its Q1 FY2026 results showing a 274% yearover-year revenue surge to $223 million and record non-GAAP net income of $98 million.
  • This growth reflects its leadership in Active Electrical Cables (AECs) and high-speed optical DSP solutions, which power the AI infrastructure of hyperscale data centers.
  • Against this backdrop, Credo has announced its plan to acquire Hyperlume, a privately held firm specializing in ultra-fast microLEDs and ultra-low power circuitry designed to address the bandwidth and energy bottlenecks of traditional interconnects.

TreeHouse Takeover Chatter Ignites Rally— Inside The $3B Investindustrial Takeover Rumor!

By Baptista Research

  • TreeHouse Foods presented their second-quarter results with both positive and negative takeaways.
  • The company surpassed its guidance upper ranges for adjusted net sales and adjusted EBITDA, a sign of successful execution in margin improvement strategies.
  • However, the volume was pressured due to structural cost reductions and adjustments within their manufacturing network to focus on efficiency.

AppLovin Breaks Out Of Gaming—The New Ad Strategy Is Turning Heads (& Printing Cash)

By Baptista Research

  • AppLovin’s stock has seen a meteoric rise in 2025, with shares climbing over 400% YTD to reach all-time highs.
  • The catalyst?
  • A powerful blend of robust advertising revenue growth in mobile gaming, aggressive expansion into the ecommerce and nongaming ad sectors, and strategic moves like the launch of its self-serve AXON Ads Manager.

Atkore Activist Drama: Irenic Pushes For Sale Amid CEO Retirement!

By Baptista Research

  • Atkore Inc., a leading manufacturer in electrical infrastructure, is under fresh scrutiny after activist investor Irenic Capital Management disclosed a 2.5% stake and began pressuring the company to explore a sale.
  • The news, first reported by Bloomberg, triggered a 2.2% rise in Atkore’s stock price and follows the company’s own announcement that it is evaluating strategic alternatives with the help of Citi.
  • While no formal process has been confirmed, market speculation has intensified around a possible leveraged buyout or private equity-led acquisition.

Linde Plc (LIN) – Thursday, Jul 3, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Linde is the largest global producer of industrial gases, crucial for manufacturing but representing a small cost percentage.
  • The industry relies on local supply due to the inefficiency of transporting heavy gases over long distances.
  • Linde’s business model includes on-site supply (25%), merchant deliveries (32%), and packaged customers (38%), achieving a 33% market share.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Warner Bros. Rally Sparks Doubt: Will The Paramount Deal Fall Apart?

By Baptista Research

  • Warner Bros. Discovery has experienced a sharp reversal in sentiment following a meteoric rise in its share price.
  • The rally, sparked by rumors of a takeover bid from Paramount Skydance, saw the stock surge 63% from September 11 to September 25, significantly outpacing the broader S&P 500’s 1% gain over the same period.
  • However, concerns over the sustainability of this rally have emerged.

Catalyst Bancorp Inc (CLST) – Friday, Jul 4, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Catalyst Bancorp, a Louisiana bank with $272 million in assets, has potential for 60-70% value appreciation if sold, currently trading at 653% of tangible book value.
  • The bank, established in 1922 and transitioned to a stock institution in 2021, has expanded its branch network under CEO Joe Zanco and a young management team.
  • Despite low return on equity, Catalyst Bancorp shows respectable return on assets, improving efficiency ratios, and a high Tier 1 capital ratio of 46.95% after repositioning its balance sheet.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Macro: Regional Economics: Is the U.S. Trade War Coming for Services? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Regional Economics: Is the U.S. Trade War Coming for Services?
  • [IO Technicals 2025/40] Bearish Iron Ore Signals Collide with Simandou Halt and BHP Scrutiny
  • The Art of the Trade War: IT’S FARMAGEDDON IN THE U.S. !!
  • Exencial Economy Tidings 03/10/2025
  • HEW: Watching What Didn’t Happen
  • Sri Lanka’s Rubber Exports Recover In July Amid Deeper Woes


Regional Economics: Is the U.S. Trade War Coming for Services?

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • While political and economic factors have left the sector relatively unscathed by Trump’s protectionism, new policy measures threaten trade in a sector where the U.S is a net exporter. 
  • The proposed HIRE Act would add a 25% surcharge on outsourcing payments. While it faces legislative delays and dilutions, it nonetheless represents a latent threat to the sector. 
  • India and the Philippines stand out as being most exposed due to their reliance on American IT and BPO demand. The H-1B visa changes will also hit remittances into India.

[IO Technicals 2025/40] Bearish Iron Ore Signals Collide with Simandou Halt and BHP Scrutiny

By Umang Agrawal

  • Negative steel mill margins will likely result in production cuts that could adversely impact the near-term demand for iron ore. 
  • Beijing’s stricter stance on BHP and Simandou’s safety-related suspension are altering the iron ore power dynamics and tightening supply.
  • Bearish MA crossover and weakening MACD signal fading momentum, with prices below key MAs, pointing to increasing downside pressure.

The Art of the Trade War: IT’S FARMAGEDDON IN THE U.S. !!

By David Mudd

  • China has skillfully used its position as a supplier of rare earths and a customer of soybeans to create leverage in trade negotiations with the U.S.
  • China has not purchased any soybeans from the U.S. for the first time since the 1990’s, creating a financial squeeze on mid-western farmers.
  • President Trump announced he would use some of the money collected from tariffs to bail out the farmers hurt in the U.S. trade war.

Exencial Economy Tidings 03/10/2025

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • India on course to become 3rd largest economy, says N K Singh
  • Forex reserves fall by USD 2.3 billion during week ended 26 September 2025
  • UPI transactions volume dips 1.9% m-o-m in Sept 20 25

HEW: Watching What Didn’t Happen

By Phil Rush

  • The US government shutdown removes the potential for official statistics to damp dovish concern, raising the likelihood of October’s cut, especially with other weak data.
  • EA unemployment’s rise reflected rounding rather than substance. UK national accounts revealed healthy balance sheets, aside from the government, and bullish lending stats.
  • Next week’s calendar stays thin with US releases suspended and Europe’s cycle focusing on the following week. The RBNZ, BoT, BSP and Peru announce rates next week.

Sri Lanka’s Rubber Exports Recover In July Amid Deeper Woes

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • July exports rebound, second-best month of 2025  
  • Seven-month exports slip on weaker tire and tube demand  
  • Five-year car import ban lifted, boosting rubber outlook  

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Most Read: Zijin Gold, Sony Financial Group, Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., LG Electronics India, Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H, Soft99 Corp, LS Marine Solution, I Net Corp, Samsung Electronics Pref Shares, SK D&D Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK) IPO: HSCI Fast Entry; Quick Stock Connect Add; Global Indices Entry in 2026
  • [Japan Event] Sony Financial (8729 JP) Overhang Hangs Over, Company Buys Back, ADR Selldown Awaits?
  • [Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – This Deal Looks Mighty Bad
  • LG Electronics India IPO: Big Market Cap, Small Float -> Small Passive Flows
  • Zijin Mining (2899 HK): Where To From Here?
  • [Japan M&A/Activism] Soft99 Plummets, Rebounds, Activist Rebuts, KeePer Lab Holds, MBO Extends
  • Potential Additions and Deletions to KOSDAQ150 in December 2025
  • I-Net Corp (9600 JP): ORIX Corp (8591 JP)’s Tender Offer at JPY2,530
  • Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 4Q 2025
  • Acquisition of SK D&D by Hahn & Co + Tender Offer and Delisting Plans


Zijin Gold (2259 HK) IPO: HSCI Fast Entry; Quick Stock Connect Add; Global Indices Entry in 2026

By Brian Freitas

  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK) is looking to raise up to HK$28.7bn (US$3.7bn) in its IPO, valuing the company at HK$191.6bn (US$24.6bn).
  • Zijin Mining (2899 HK) will hold between 85-86.7% of Zijin Gold and that will limit the free float of the stock. Half the IPO has been allotted to cornerstones.
  • Zijin Gold could be added to the HSCI via Fast Entry and to Stock Connect in October. Global index inclusion should take place in the first half of 2026.

[Japan Event] Sony Financial (8729 JP) Overhang Hangs Over, Company Buys Back, ADR Selldown Awaits?

By Travis Lundy

  • Sony Financial Group (8729 JP) listed on Monday with a “Reference Price of ¥150. It opened at ¥205, quickly running to ¥210, then fell to ¥198 by lunch. Close? ¥173.8.
  • That got a big ToSTNeT-3 buyback at ¥173.8. It traded lower on Day 2, closing at ¥164. Then lower still on Weds with another TN-3 buyback now ¥159.4. 
  • Neither buyback was full. SFGI has bought back 124mm shares. But the stock has fallen hard. ADRs/ADSs start trading Tuesday. That could see more selling. 

[Japan M&A] Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – This Deal Looks Mighty Bad

By Travis Lundy

  • JIP and MitHeavy have announced a takeunder to buy out MitHeavy sub Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) at a weighted average price 42% lower than Target Advisor DCF range midpoint.
  • No/Minimal transparency. A sales process interrupted by Trump tariffs, leaving one low-ball bidder. And the sellers goes ahead with it BUT gets to reinvest on the back end. You don’t.
  • The Board “supports” the Tender Offer, but leaves it to the opinion of the shareholders as to whether they tender. MitHeavy has 64.4% already so that basically gets done. But…

LG Electronics India IPO: Big Market Cap, Small Float -> Small Passive Flows

By Brian Freitas

  • LG Electronics India (123D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 101.8m shares at a valuation of US$8.7bn and raising around US$1.3bn in its IPO.
  • The new valuation is around 24% lower than the rumoured valuation at the time of the DRHP filing last December.
  • The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in June 2026 but flow will be small given the low float.

Zijin Mining (2899 HK): Where To From Here?

By David Blennerhassett

  • As Zijin Gold (2259 HK)‘s share price defies gravity, so does Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK)s.
  • Full disclosure: I misread the room. I thought Zijin Gold was fully priced at HK$71.59/share. As was Zijin Mining. Zijin Gold is now up 92% and Zijin Mining 20%.
  • Zijin Gold currently trades at a 100% premium to peers on forward PER and EV/EBITDA multiples. 

[Japan M&A/Activism] Soft99 Plummets, Rebounds, Activist Rebuts, KeePer Lab Holds, MBO Extends

By Travis Lundy

  • On 25 September, with the stock trading just below Effissimo’s terms, the Soft99 Corp (4464 JP) Board came out AGAINST the Effissimo proposal 66% higher than the MBO terms.
  • The fine print said that the Soft99 deal had enough shares to get over the line assuming Keeper Labs tendered according to agreement due to Board Support. Shares plummeted. 
  • Effissimo issued a stunning rebuttal which showed Board incompetence/negligence, possible breach of fiduciary duty. Today, MBO Bidco extended, the stock popped, but details are key.

Potential Additions and Deletions to KOSDAQ150 in December 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSDAQ150 rebalance in December 2025.
  • The 7 potential additions are up on average 164% YTD. The 8 potential deletion candidates are down on average 25.1% YTD. KOSDAQ is up 26% YTD.
  • The average market cap of the 7 potential additions is 1,515 billion won. The average market cap of the 8 potential deletion candidates is 275 billion won.

I-Net Corp (9600 JP): ORIX Corp (8591 JP)’s Tender Offer at JPY2,530

By Arun George

  • I Net Corp (9600 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Orix Corp (8591 JP) at JPY2,530, a 53.4% premium to the last close.
  • The offer is attractive as it is above the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range and represents an all-time high. 
  • Despite the high required minority tendering rate, an attractive offer facilitates completion. The tender runs from 3 October to 17 November.  

Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 4Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 4Q 2025.
  • The preferred companies’ share price discount (relative to the common shares) on the 27 pairs below was 36% at the end of September 2025.
  • On a longer timeframe (3-5 years), this discount could narrow further to the 20-25% range, which provides additional opportunities for the Korean preferred shares to further make relative gains.

Acquisition of SK D&D by Hahn & Co + Tender Offer and Delisting Plans

By Douglas Kim

  • On 1 October, it was reported in the local media that Hahn & Co (is acquiring the management rights of SK D&D Co Ltd (210980 KS). 
  • This tender offer is not likely to be successful. Less than 1/3 of the 6.96 million shares that are up for tender offer could be sold by the existing shareholders.
  • We believe that the majority of the remaining investors in SK D&D want higher tender offer price.

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Daily Brief India: Hindustan Zinc, Tata Capital Limited, LG Electronics India, Ambuja Cements, Salzer Electronics and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Hindustan Zinc: The Silver Underdog
  • Tata Capital Limited – IPO | Underwriting, Collections & Attrition
  • LG Electronics India IPO – RHP Updates and Peer Comparison Refresh.
  • Ambuja Cement Q2 Preview: Seasonal Weakness or a Strategic Pause in the 140 MTPA Road?
  • Primer: Salzer Electronics (SZE IN) – Oct 2025


Hindustan Zinc: The Silver Underdog

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN) has committed to a massive INR 30k−35k Crs (3.6−4.2 billion) expansion to double its metal production underpinned by record-low zinc costs and high silver contribution.
  • This integrated, self-funded capacity doubling effort, coupled with aggressive decarbonization and the high-margin silver tailwind, fundamentally de-risks the long-term earnings trajectory.
  • While the corporate restructuring remains an overhang, HZL’s strategic shift makes it a compelling, low-cost proxy for India’s industrial growth and the global silver bull cycle.

Tata Capital Limited – IPO | Underwriting, Collections & Attrition

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN) IPO highlights strong branch growth and granular loan book, though new-to-credit exposure remains limited and underwriting largely product-driven.
  • Weak sourcing disclosures beyond Home Loans raise concerns on DSA reliance, portfolio quality, and resilience during downturns, especially in competitive lending segments.
  • Collections are highly digitized and analytics-driven, yet regulatory inspections reveal persistent compliance, governance, and risk management lapses across Tata Capital, TMFL, and TCHFL.

LG Electronics India IPO – RHP Updates and Peer Comparison Refresh.

By Sumeet Singh

  • LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.3bn via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India.
  • LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume, as per Redseer Report.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note, in this note we talk about the RHP updates and refresh our peer comparison

Ambuja Cement Q2 Preview: Seasonal Weakness or a Strategic Pause in the 140 MTPA Road?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Ambuja Cement has crossed the 100 MTPA capacity mark and is executing a roadmap for 140 MTPA by FY28 while targeting a INR1,500 per tonne EBITDA by the same year.
  • The integration of multiple recent acquisitions, including Orient, Sanghi, and Penna, is crucial; Q2FY26 results will offer the first look into how the new consolidated entity handles initial integration costs.
  • While Q1 FY26 set a high baseline, investors should  anticipate sequential dip in Q2 margins, viewing it as a short-term integration blip against a decade-defining capacity and cost rationalisation strategy.

Primer: Salzer Electronics (SZE IN) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Salzer Electronics is a well-established player in the Indian electrical components market, demonstrating a robust track record of revenue and net income growth. The company is capitalizing on favorable industry tailwinds, including infrastructure development and the push for energy efficiency.
  • Strategic expansion into high-growth areas such as smart meters and electric vehicle (EV) chargers presents significant upside potential. These new ventures, coupled with a strong existing portfolio in switchgears and wires & cables, are expected to be key long-term growth drivers.
  • A significant concern is the consistently negative operating and free cash flow over the past three years, primarily due to high working capital requirements to fund growth. Improving cash conversion and working capital management will be critical for sustainable value creation.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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