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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Utilities: Cia Energetica Minas Ger-Prf and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Cemig – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Cemig – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We view Cemig’s ESG as “Strong”, in line with its “Strong” Environmental score, while the Social and Governance scores are “Adequate”. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Toshiba Corp, Airports of Thailand, JSW Infrastructure, Steelcase Inc Cl A and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Toshiba Tender Offer Ends Today – Upcoming Index Selldown Schedule
  • Airport of Thailand (AOT): Not the Right Time
  • JSW Infrastructure IPO – Would Need a Wider Discount to Its Larger and More Dominant Peer
  • Steelcase, Inc. – 2QFY24 Beats on Strong Deliveries; Order Trends Still Pressured


Toshiba Tender Offer Ends Today – Upcoming Index Selldown Schedule

By Travis Lundy

  • The JIP Tender Offer for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) closes today. I expect that we will see results announced as early as late tonight, but by law, by latest tomorrow.
  • There will be at least three major index downweights, and possibly deletions, most likely in the following five trading days.
  • This shows the approximate maximum share and dollar amounts to be sold, and approximate dates. 

Airport of Thailand (AOT): Not the Right Time

By Henry Soediarko

  • Visa-Free travel for Chinese tourists is certainly a boost for the Airports of Thailand (AOT TB) .
  • Compared to 2019 operational numbers, the 2023 number is still very low despite the large YoY gain thanks to the low base in 2022. 
  • The valuation is still high as the share price has run ahead of its fundamentals.

JSW Infrastructure IPO – Would Need a Wider Discount to Its Larger and More Dominant Peer

By Clarence Chu

  • JSW Infrastructure (5978490Z IN) is looking to raise US$336m in its India IPO.
  • JSW Infrastructure (JSWI) is the fastest growing port-related infrastructure company in terms of growth in installed cargo handling capacity and cargo volumes handled during FY20 to FY22, according to CRISIL.
  • In this note, we will look at JSWI’s RHP updates, undertake a peer comparison, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Steelcase, Inc. – 2QFY24 Beats on Strong Deliveries; Order Trends Still Pressured

By Water Tower Research

  • Post Tuesday’s close, Steelcase reported 2QFY24 adjusted EPS of $0.31 and revenue of $855 million, both better than consensus of $0.20 and $829 million.

  • Deliveries accelerated as supply chain constraints abated. Pricing and margin improvements gained traction, aiding sales and buoying gross margin to 33.2%, up 411 bps versus 2QFY23 and 195 bps above our estimate, which we felt was aggressive.

  • Steelcase delivered a 6.2% 2QFY24 adjusted operating margin, ~+2% Y/Y and 170 bps above our estimate.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Newcrest Mining, PTT PCL, Boss Resources, Ecovyst, Rex International Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Newcrest-Newmont Merger: Fancy Index Shenanigans
  • StubWorld: PTT Public Is Trading Cheap
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 23: 5 ASX 200 Changes and Other Large Potential Flow Events (NCM, AKE)
  • ECVT: Story After Maintenance
  • What’s Trending: Oil & Gas Stocks in Focus


Newcrest-Newmont Merger: Fancy Index Shenanigans

By Travis Lundy


StubWorld: PTT Public Is Trading Cheap

By David Blennerhassett

  • The recent share price pullback sees PTT PCL (PTT TB) trading below its long-term averages, and with respect to peers. 
  • Preceding my comments on PTT are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 23: 5 ASX 200 Changes and Other Large Potential Flow Events (NCM, AKE)

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the December 2023 Rebalance.
  • There could be up to five ASX 200 changes including the intra-review changes that could potentially be triggered by M&A events.
  • There are also couple of possibly large reverse funding flow scenarios involving Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) and Allkem Ltd (AKE AU).

ECVT: Story After Maintenance

By Hamed Khorsand

  • ECVT has faced two maintenance challenges this year that should be out of the way by the time the Company reports third quarter results.
  • Third quarter sales could remain subdued from the maintenance downtime but should rebound in the fourth quarter with demand for ecoservices remaining elevated
  • ECVT’s stock has suffered from a series of block sales and the business undergoing two unplanned maintenance downtimes this year

What’s Trending: Oil & Gas Stocks in Focus

By Geoff Howie

  • Please note that this Market Update is only available in Chinese. 本地投资者也可以关注新加坡市场上的油气投资标的,近期它们的表现相当不俗,比如https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=T13、https://investors.sgx.com/securities/stocks?security=5WH以及https://investors.sgx.com/securities/adrs?security=TPED等。 同时,在新加坡上市的https://investors.sgx.com/securities/adrs?security=TPED 的趋势和动能也在图表上表现出相当的强劲。.

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Daily Brief Health Care: HLB Inc, BeiGene , PHC Holdings , Evo Commerce and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • HLB: Hires Korea Investment & Securities for a Potential Switch to a KOSPI Listing
  • BeiGene (6160.HK/BGNE.US) – The Truth Behind Novartis’ Divorce Decision on PD-1
  • PHC Holdings (6523 JP): Despite Slow Start, FY24 Guidance Reiterated; Diabetes Can Be a Sweet Spot
  • Evo Commerce Banks US$2.8M More for Product Development, Asia Expansion


HLB: Hires Korea Investment & Securities for a Potential Switch to a KOSPI Listing

By Douglas Kim

  • On 20 September, HLB Inc announced that it has hired Korea Investment & Securities as an advisor for a potential switch from KOSDAQ to KOSPI listing. 
  • In our view, there is a 80-90%+ probability of HLB switching its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI sometime in the next 6-12 months.
  • If HLB finally decides to switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI, it is likely that HLB will be included in KOSPI 200 index in 2024. 

BeiGene (6160.HK/BGNE.US) – The Truth Behind Novartis’ Divorce Decision on PD-1

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Novartis’ return of PD-1 to BeiGene may actually have nothing to do with TIGIT project. Long-term strategic adjustment and decreasing value of tislelizumab to Novartis could be the core reasons.
  • Abandoning PD-1 is a simple decision for Novartis, but not for BeiGene, who will do its best to promote FDA approval for tislelizumab, aiming to expand internationalization and stabilize valuation.
  • We advise investors not to focus too much on whether or not tislelizumab will eventually get FDA approval,because the actual peak sales tislelizumab can contribute to BeiGene could be disappointing.

PHC Holdings (6523 JP): Despite Slow Start, FY24 Guidance Reiterated; Diabetes Can Be a Sweet Spot

By Tina Banerjee

  • Despite the absence of special demand related to COVID-19, PHC Holdings (6523 JP)’s Q1FY24 revenue of ¥81.3B was at the same level as Q1FY23 due to favorable Fx impact.
  • Operating profit declined 16% YoY to ¥1.7B, due to lower profit in the diabetes management business and a drop in the volume of PCR testing.
  • PHC guided for FY24 revenue of ¥355.5B and operating profit of ¥29.3B (+47% YoY). The company expects FY24 net profit of ¥15.6B from a net loss of ¥3.2B in FY23.

Evo Commerce Banks US$2.8M More for Product Development, Asia Expansion

By e27

  • Evo Commerce owns two brands: bback focuses on post-party recovery aids, while Stryv specialises in the affordable luxury segment for personal care electronics

  • Evo Commerce, a direct-to-consumer health & beauty startup based in Singapore, has secured US$2.8 million in equity and debt financing.

  • Shanghai-based firm IJK Capital led the round, with participation from Carousell Co-Founder and CEO Quek Siu Rui, Fave Co-Founder Joel Neoh, and Tipsy Collective.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Itochu Techno Solutions, Naspers, Softbank Group, SimCorp A/S, United Microelectron Sp Adr, ARM Holdings, 4Paradigm, Gene Solutions , StarHub Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Itochu TOB on Itochu Techno Solutions – The Index Selldown Schedule for $700mm+ of Flows
  • Naspers (NPN) & Prosus (PRX): Initial Market Reaction to Leadership Changes
  • Softbank (9984 JP): Arm IPO Done, the Hard Part Comes Next
  • Deutsche Boerse Gets >90% of SimCorp
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Revenue Can Be Downward a Bit in 4Q23F.
  • Chip Designer Arm Committed to China, CEO Says
  • 4Paradigm IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
  • Gene Solutions Raises $21m Series B, Targeting Regional Expansion
  • kopi-C with StarHub’s CEO: “There’s no other telco like ours”


Itochu TOB on Itochu Techno Solutions – The Index Selldown Schedule for $700mm+ of Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • In August, Itochu Corp (8001 JP) launched a Tender offer on Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP) to buy out minorities. 
  • That tender offer ended last week, with Itochu and the acquirer vehicle owning 85+%. 
  • Interestingly, there are near-term flow events as a result. Worth watching.

Naspers (NPN) & Prosus (PRX): Initial Market Reaction to Leadership Changes

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • Early on Monday morning, Naspers and Prosus announced the immediate resignation of CEO Bob van Dijk. Management hosted an investor call shortly after. Key takeaways are included below.
  • Ervin Tu, Group Chief Investment Officer, will take over as Interim CEO. Tu is a strong candidate for the permanent position.
  • After an initial bounce at the open, both counters sold off, widening the discounts by more than 1 percentage point intra-day.

Softbank (9984 JP): Arm IPO Done, the Hard Part Comes Next

By Victor Galliano

  • Softbank’s successful Arm Holdings IPO is a relief for Masa, with Arm valued at USD57bn and Arm shares trading above the issue price; this supports the SoftBank share price
  • Arm’s key challenge is delivering on the growth strategy to justify its super-premium valuation; Arm’s historic price to sales is at a big premium to its peer group, excluding Nvida
  • On current market values including Arm, Softbank shares trade at a 52% NAV discount; however, Arm’s current valuation seems unsustainable to us, threatening to erode the near term NAV lift

Deutsche Boerse Gets >90% of SimCorp

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Deutsche Boerse (DB1 GR) offered a (full) price of DKK 735/share for SimCorp A/S (SIM DC) to grow in data & analytics. I recommend long. Acceptances total roughly 93.65% of share capital.
  • All conditions and approvals, including minimum acceptance of 50%+1 share have been fulfilled. Final results should be announced on 22 September and settlement should take place on 29 September.
  • Deutsche Börse will as soon as possible seek to initiate and complete a compulsory acquisition. After a recent dip, the shares trade again at the offer price.

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Revenue Can Be Downward a Bit in 4Q23F.

By Patrick Liao

  • The upcoming demand is expected to reduce in 4Q23F, with the most obvious decline in 40nm and 8″ demand.
  • Wafer ASP is expected to remain relatively stable until 4Q22F, even though revenue is not anticipated to pick up in 1H24F.
  • We expect the market to reach its lowest point in the first half of 2024F. The most likely scenario indicates a potential recovery around the third quarter of 2024F.

Chip Designer Arm Committed to China, CEO Says

By Caixin Global

  • British chip designer Arm Holdings Plc remains committed to China and to working closely with its mainland-based partner following its $4.87 billion IPO, according to chief executive Rene Haas.

  • The Softbank-backed firm floated in New York last week via the world’s largest public offering year-to-date. But that has not affected its strategy globally.

  • Shanghai-headquartered Arm Technology (China) Co. Ltd., also known as Arm China, operates independently and is the exclusive licensing platform of Arm’s global intellectual property in China

4Paradigm IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • 4Paradigm has announced the terms for its IPO. The company plans to raise gross proceeds of $131-144m through issuing 18.4m shares at an indicative price range of HK$55.6-61.16 per shares.
  • The company’s IPO is timed perfectly when AI adoption is expected to expand on a large scale with the popularity of ChatGPT and other AI applications.
  • Though we liked 4Paradigm (1764934D HK) for its improving financials and growth prospects, our analysis suggests that the IPO is expensive.

Gene Solutions Raises $21m Series B, Targeting Regional Expansion

By Tech in Asia

  • Gene Solutions, which bills itself as Vietnam’s largest genetic testing company, has raised US$21 million in a series B round.

  • This follows a US$15 million investment that the private equity investor made in the company in 2021.

  • Gene Solutions is one of Mekong Capital’s recent bets in biotech, a sector that has been arguably underserved by venture capital firms in Vietnam.


kopi-C with StarHub’s CEO: “There’s no other telco like ours”

By Geoff Howie

  • Kopi-C with StarHub’s CEO: “There’s no other telco like ours” StarHub’s CEO Nikhil Eapen shares how reinvention and diversification can help firms to retain and attract more customers for long-term growth After nearly a year at the helm, Eapen launched StarHub’s new DARE+ initiative in late 2021, a visionary plan to offer new products and services to connect customers’ digital lives.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Toshiba Corp, Airports of Thailand, JSW Infrastructure, Steelcase Inc Cl A and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Toshiba Tender Offer Ends Today – Upcoming Index Selldown Schedule
  • Airport of Thailand (AOT): Not the Right Time
  • JSW Infrastructure IPO – Would Need a Wider Discount to Its Larger and More Dominant Peer
  • Steelcase, Inc. – 2QFY24 Beats on Strong Deliveries; Order Trends Still Pressured


Toshiba Tender Offer Ends Today – Upcoming Index Selldown Schedule

By Travis Lundy

  • The JIP Tender Offer for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) closes today. I expect that we will see results announced as early as late tonight, but by law, by latest tomorrow.
  • There will be at least three major index downweights, and possibly deletions, most likely in the following five trading days.
  • This shows the approximate maximum share and dollar amounts to be sold, and approximate dates. 

Airport of Thailand (AOT): Not the Right Time

By Henry Soediarko

  • Visa-Free travel for Chinese tourists is certainly a boost for the Airports of Thailand (AOT TB) .
  • Compared to 2019 operational numbers, the 2023 number is still very low despite the large YoY gain thanks to the low base in 2022. 
  • The valuation is still high as the share price has run ahead of its fundamentals.

JSW Infrastructure IPO – Would Need a Wider Discount to Its Larger and More Dominant Peer

By Clarence Chu

  • JSW Infrastructure (5978490Z IN) is looking to raise US$336m in its India IPO.
  • JSW Infrastructure (JSWI) is the fastest growing port-related infrastructure company in terms of growth in installed cargo handling capacity and cargo volumes handled during FY20 to FY22, according to CRISIL.
  • In this note, we will look at JSWI’s RHP updates, undertake a peer comparison, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Steelcase, Inc. – 2QFY24 Beats on Strong Deliveries; Order Trends Still Pressured

By Water Tower Research

  • Post Tuesday’s close, Steelcase reported 2QFY24 adjusted EPS of $0.31 and revenue of $855 million, both better than consensus of $0.20 and $829 million.

  • Deliveries accelerated as supply chain constraints abated. Pricing and margin improvements gained traction, aiding sales and buoying gross margin to 33.2%, up 411 bps versus 2QFY23 and 195 bps above our estimate, which we felt was aggressive.

  • Steelcase delivered a 6.2% 2QFY24 adjusted operating margin, ~+2% Y/Y and 170 bps above our estimate.


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Daily Brief Financials: Coinbase Global , SignatureGlobal India Pvt Ltd, Remitly Global, Seoul Guarantee Insurance, Hywin Holdings, Digital Yuan and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Coinbase: From Sleeping Giant To Industry Leader
  • SignatureGlobal (India) IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Remitly – Rev +49% | ROW Rev +120% | Scaling: COGS -25% | Adj EBITDA Margin 2Q23 Is 8.7%, Highest
  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bear Case
  • Hywin [HYW}: Solid Sales, 60% Net Cash, 17% FCF Yield, Strong Client Metrics
  • China Expands Use of Digital Yuan to Covering Utility Bills


Coinbase: From Sleeping Giant To Industry Leader

By Delphi Digital

  • Coinbase sees the looming opportunity in the global crypto futures & derivatives market. It’s positioning itself to capitalize on a market that’s been hollowed out over last 12-18 months.
  • We explore 3 key areas of Coinbase’s business that we believe Wall Street is overlooking. These include: Coinbase International, ETF Spot approvals, and Base Chain
  • We estimate Coinbase has the potential to realize additional top-line revenue in the range of 15-20% on the low-end to +150% increase on the high-end over the next few years.

SignatureGlobal (India) IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • SignatureGlobal India Pvt Ltd (1468641D IN) IPO will go live for subscription this week. 
  • The company is one of the renowned players in the NCR and Haryana in the affordable and lower mid segment housing.
  • The company has grown well in the recent times, however there are certain forensic takeaways such as poor health of subsidiaries, related party transactions, etc.

Remitly – Rev +49% | ROW Rev +120% | Scaling: COGS -25% | Adj EBITDA Margin 2Q23 Is 8.7%, Highest

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Remitly (RELY) offers remittances services with 5m active customers, in over 170 countries, with 4 billion bank accounts, and 4,800 corridors, mostly to persons in US, Canada. 
  • Revenue growth is strong at 49% YoY in 2Q23 and averaging 43% YoY for the preceding 5 quarters, with active customers up 474,000 in 2Q23 QoQ vs 371,000 in 1Q23
  • Costs remain high, GAAP earnings are in loss, but this is due to stock-based compensation; adjusted EBITDA is now USD20.4m in 2Q23 from an adjusted EBITDA loss YoY

Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS), a leading guarantee provider in Korea, is pre-marketing an IPO to raise up to KRW362 billion (US$272 million).
  • In Seoul Guarantee Insurance IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on ongoing market share losses, weak performing credit insurance business, a 1H23 increase in the combined ratio and a decline in ROA/ROE metrics. 

Hywin [HYW}: Solid Sales, 60% Net Cash, 17% FCF Yield, Strong Client Metrics

By Evaluate Research

  • Active clients increased 6.5% to 46,627 [roughly 30% of total], despite challenging domestic markets. Note: this metric surged 27% sequentially
  • 82% of client activity focused on international markets/products, highlighting the diverse, value-added nature of Hywin’s offerings
  • Transaction value of overall wealth products declined -9%, asset-backed products down -5.8%, reflecting weak equity & property markets

China Expands Use of Digital Yuan to Covering Utility Bills

By Caixin Global

  • China further expanded the use of the digital yuan by enabling consumers to use it to pay utility bills. 
  • The digital yuan, also known as the e-CNY, is a legal currency in digital form issued by the central bank.
  • The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) recently updated its e-CNY mobile wallet app, adding new features that allow users to pay water, gas, electricity, heating and phone bills with the digital yuan. 

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Daily Brief Consumer: Bloomberry Resorts, Descente Ltd, Midea Group Co Ltd A, NagaCorp Ltd, Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT, Yamazaki Baking, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix, Koltiva, Genting Bhd, Kora and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Delisting Could See Bloomberry Added
  • Descente a Key Part of Itochu’s Plans in Sports
  • Midea Group (000333 CH):  Potential H-Share Listing Thoughts
  • Cambodia’s New Gaming Laws Reduce More than 50% of Legal Casinos: Nagacorp Expands Geographic Reach
  • Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) – BliBli Ploughing a More Profitable Furrow
  • Yamazaki Baking: Breads & Buns Buonce But Valuation Is a Stalemate
  • Few Companies Recognize Board Diversity as a Management Issue?
  • Sustainable Farming, Supply Chain Traceability Startup Koltiva Raises Series A Funding
  • Morning Views Asia: First Pacific Co
  • Antler, EFishery CEO Back Profitable Indonesian Corn Startup


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Delisting Could See Bloomberry Added

By Brian Freitas


Descente a Key Part of Itochu’s Plans in Sports

By Michael Causton

  • Through all the upheavals in discretionary product distribution in the last decade, Itochu Corp (8001 JP)’s Itochu Textile subsidiary has managed to maintain huge power in the channel.
  • While the trading firm has traditionally focused on premium fashion brands, in the last few years it has invested heavily in the sports market, including its growing investment in Descente.
  • The move is part of wider plans to take lead share in sports, footwear and department store brands.

Midea Group (000333 CH):  Potential H-Share Listing Thoughts

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) announced on September 18 the approval for H-share listing for a total of not more than 10% of its outstanding shares (before overallotment).
  • Reasons for the listing include the possible share incentive program for overseas employees and more exposure to foreign investors. 
  • The H-share listing could be a safe bet given the current valuation profile, especially if the discount to A-share is larger than 10%. 

Cambodia’s New Gaming Laws Reduce More than 50% of Legal Casinos: Nagacorp Expands Geographic Reach

By Howard J Klein

  • From 200 properties, the Cambodian government now only allows 87 shrinking capacity but increasing footfall for existing properties like Nagaworld in Phnom Penh.
  • Nagaworld enjoys a moat in metro Phnom Penh–this supply reduction expands its base.
  • H1 performance strong, reduced national capacity will contribute to revenue gains from a wider geography for the largest single integrated luxury resort in Cambodia.

Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) – BliBli Ploughing a More Profitable Furrow

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Global Digital Niaga (BliBli) continues to stand out from peers given a differentiated omnichannel model plus a greater portion of 1P but 3P sales are growing driven by Tiket.com.
  • TPV growth surpassed revenue growth in 1H2023 driven by Tiket.com but take rates and gross margins improved, as the company cut back on promotional spending and improved cost efficiencies. 
  • BliBli booked organic growth with more users and a significant pick-up in the average order value, partially driven by Tiket.com. 

Yamazaki Baking: Breads & Buns Buonce But Valuation Is a Stalemate

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • While Yamazaki Baking (2212 JP)‘s recent surge has been impressive, consensus expectations are high for the upcoming quarter, despite yet another price hike in July 2023.
  • From a valuation perspective, we expect limited upside potential even if Yamazaki Baking surpasses consensus expectations.
  • Therefore, we believe that the risk-reward profile for maintaining a long position in Yamazaki Baking is currently not particularly attractive.

Few Companies Recognize Board Diversity as a Management Issue?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The percentage of female managers is low, around 10%, so it will take time for internal executive directors to be nominated, and meanwhile companies will be dependent on outside directors.
  • Finally, TSE has clearly stated specific numerical targets, so the path to achieving the targets is clear. Now the focus will shift to the content of female board  directors.
  • Hiring talented people should be the biggest management challenge, but the appointment of foreign talent has been too slow compared to the globalization of the business.

Sustainable Farming, Supply Chain Traceability Startup Koltiva Raises Series A Funding

By e27

  • Indonesia-based Koltiva works with producers in 52 countries and boasts over 1 million producers and 6,800 businesses

  • Indonesia-based sustainable farming and supply chain traceability startup Koltiva has raised an undisclosed “seven-figure” USD in a Series A financing round led by AC Ventures.

  • Silverstrand Capital, Planet Rise, Development Finance Asia, Blue 7, The Meloy Fund, and an unnamed impact investor in Southeast Asia also joined.

Morning Views Asia: First Pacific Co

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Antler, EFishery CEO Back Profitable Indonesian Corn Startup

By Tech in Asia

  • Maize plays a pivotal role in Indonesian agriculture, including as a prime source of animal feed. In 2022, the country’s maize production was estimated to reach 44 million tons.

  • Agritech startup Kora is one of those few startups operating in this space.

  • Kora aims to improve the quality and quantity of post-harvest maize.


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Most Read: Toshiba Corp, Samsonite, Itochu Techno Solutions, Bloomberry Resorts, Tata Motors DVR, Newcrest Mining, CellSource , Descente Ltd, PTT PCL, Naspers and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Toshiba Tender Offer Ends Today – Upcoming Index Selldown Schedule
  • Hang Seng Index Rebalance Preview: Foreign Companies Eligible from December
  • Itochu TOB on Itochu Techno Solutions – The Index Selldown Schedule for $700mm+ of Flows
  • PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Delisting Could See Bloomberry Added
  • Tata Motors (TTMT/A IN) – Index Inclusion & The DVR Arb
  • Newcrest-Newmont Merger: Fancy Index Shenanigans
  • CellSource (4880) TOPIX Inclusion Coming Up
  • Descente a Key Part of Itochu’s Plans in Sports
  • StubWorld: PTT Public Is Trading Cheap
  • Naspers (NPN) & Prosus (PRX): Initial Market Reaction to Leadership Changes


Toshiba Tender Offer Ends Today – Upcoming Index Selldown Schedule

By Travis Lundy

  • The JIP Tender Offer for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) closes today. I expect that we will see results announced as early as late tonight, but by law, by latest tomorrow.
  • There will be at least three major index downweights, and possibly deletions, most likely in the following five trading days.
  • This shows the approximate maximum share and dollar amounts to be sold, and approximate dates. 

Hang Seng Index Rebalance Preview: Foreign Companies Eligible from December

By Brian Freitas

  • The move from 80 index constituents to 100 could take most of next year (and possibly even the year after that) to manage turnover and add profitable companies.
  • Foreign companies will be eligible for inclusion in the index from the December rebalance. That makes Samsonite (1910 HK) a high probability inclusion candidate.
  • We highlight 8 potential inclusions to the index with passive trading impact varying from 1.6-4.3 days of ADV. There are large shorts on some of the stocks.

Itochu TOB on Itochu Techno Solutions – The Index Selldown Schedule for $700mm+ of Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • In August, Itochu Corp (8001 JP) launched a Tender offer on Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP) to buy out minorities. 
  • That tender offer ended last week, with Itochu and the acquirer vehicle owning 85+%. 
  • Interestingly, there are near-term flow events as a result. Worth watching.

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: MPI Delisting Could See Bloomberry Added

By Brian Freitas


Tata Motors (TTMT/A IN) – Index Inclusion & The DVR Arb

By Brian Freitas

  • Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) now trades at a 32.9% discount to Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) and there is another 4.4% in the trade following the scheme of arrangement.
  • Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) could be added to global indices in November and that will bring significant inflows to the stock.
  • The pre-positioning and passive buying could lead to the DVR discount narrowing further and provide trading opportunities for the next few weeks.

Newcrest-Newmont Merger: Fancy Index Shenanigans

By Travis Lundy


CellSource (4880) TOPIX Inclusion Coming Up

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, regenerative medicine service provider CellSource (4880 JP) announced a forecast revision lower for the year ending 31 October. It also announced a new dividend policy and dividend payout.
  • It also announced an equity offering of up to 3.542mm shares, increasing float by 60% followed by a move from the TSE Growth segment to TSE Prime. 
  • The dynamics of shareholder structure and flow mean one can wait this one out.

Descente a Key Part of Itochu’s Plans in Sports

By Michael Causton

  • Through all the upheavals in discretionary product distribution in the last decade, Itochu Corp (8001 JP)’s Itochu Textile subsidiary has managed to maintain huge power in the channel.
  • While the trading firm has traditionally focused on premium fashion brands, in the last few years it has invested heavily in the sports market, including its growing investment in Descente.
  • The move is part of wider plans to take lead share in sports, footwear and department store brands.

StubWorld: PTT Public Is Trading Cheap

By David Blennerhassett

  • The recent share price pullback sees PTT PCL (PTT TB) trading below its long-term averages, and with respect to peers. 
  • Preceding my comments on PTT are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Naspers (NPN) & Prosus (PRX): Initial Market Reaction to Leadership Changes

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • Early on Monday morning, Naspers and Prosus announced the immediate resignation of CEO Bob van Dijk. Management hosted an investor call shortly after. Key takeaways are included below.
  • Ervin Tu, Group Chief Investment Officer, will take over as Interim CEO. Tu is a strong candidate for the permanent position.
  • After an initial bounce at the open, both counters sold off, widening the discounts by more than 1 percentage point intra-day.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan: Instacart Soars on Debut; JapanX: Pana More than Just EVs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan: Instacart Soars on Debut; JapanX: Pana More than Just EVs
  • China TMT Update-ZTO/002352.CH/BABA/ PDD/HK 700/NTES/3690.HK-Tencent New Game/Keeta/Parcel Volume
  • China TMT Update-Nayuki/Luckin/981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR/LI-Food Safety Issue/Increase the Tax-Deductible


Ohayo Japan: Instacart Soars on Debut; JapanX: Pana More than Just EVs

By Mark Chadwick

  • OVERSEAS: SPX -0.2% as Fed began its meeting – expectations are for Fed to hold steady. IPO market on fire as InstaCart closed up 12% on the day
  • JAPAN: NKY Futures -0.5%, JPY 147.9; Kishida to encourage foreign asset managers to set up shop; Softbank to pocket $5bn from ARM IPO
  • JAPAN X: Panasonic is more than just an EV play – the 2021 acquisition of Blue Yonder sets the company up to compete in supply chains and automation

China TMT Update-ZTO/002352.CH/BABA/ PDD/HK 700/NTES/3690.HK-Tencent New Game/Keeta/Parcel Volume

By Shawn Yang

  • ZTO/002352.CH/ BABA/ PDD: Parcel volume data suggests continued consumption rebound (+)
  • HK 700/NTES: Tencent Announces New Game “Yuan Meng Zhi Xing” (+)/(-)
  • 3690. HK : Keeta expands into Hong Kong Island (-)

China TMT Update-Nayuki/Luckin/981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR/LI-Food Safety Issue/Increase the Tax-Deductible

By Shawn Yang

  • Nayuki/Luckin: Food safety issue happened on one store of Mixue
  • 981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR: Tax authorities increase the tax-deductible amount for R&D (+)
  • LI: LI’s latest weekly sales were unaffected by Wenjie (+)

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