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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Macro: When Inflation Peaks and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • When Inflation Peaks, Favor Nominal over Real Assets: The Multi-Asset Evidence
  • Turkey Election Watch – Erdogan and Kiliçdaroğlu Foreign Policies Compared

When Inflation Peaks, Favor Nominal over Real Assets: The Multi-Asset Evidence

By Jeroen Blokland

  • There is a clear distinction between the returns of nominal and real asset classes following a peak in US headline inflation.
  • The 1,2,3,6, and 12-month returns for both US Equities and Treasuries are positive and, more importantly, above the average returns measured over the entire sample period.
  • The returns on Commodities following a peak in US inflation are negative for all five holding periods, while Gold is somewhat of a mixed bag caused by elevated return volatility. 

Turkey Election Watch – Erdogan and Kiliçdaroğlu Foreign Policies Compared

By Mikkel Rosenvold

  • The May 14th election in Turkey has been named the most import election of the year. Why? Because of the surging geopolitical significance (and unpredictability) of Turkey. 
  • But how much does the foreign policy positions of incumbent President Erdogan and opposition challenger, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu (Nation Alliance), differ?
  • We have taken a closer look at the election manifestos of the  Nation Alliance and Erdogan’s AK Parti. Comparing key excerpts, we give you the full FP analysis. 

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Daily Brief Singapore: Mito Health Pte Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Seedly Co-Founders’ AI-Powered Healthtech Startup Raises $1.3m

Seedly Co-Founders’ AI-Powered Healthtech Startup Raises $1.3m

By Tech in Asia

  • Singapore’s Mito Health is one of the growing number of healthtech startups jumping on the AI bandwagon.
  • It’s the new venture of Kenneth Lou and Tee-Ming Chew, who co-founded and exited personal finance firm Seedly in 2022.
  • Using diagnostic results and wearable data, Mito Health plans to create personalized health plans for customers by augmenting medical expertise with AI.

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Daily Brief Australia: Central China Real Estate, EML Payments Limited and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, Nickel Industries Ltd, China Datang Corp Renewable Power
  • EML Payments – Shifting focus to solve current challenges

Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, Nickel Industries Ltd, China Datang Corp Renewable Power

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


EML Payments – Shifting focus to solve current challenges

By Edison Investment Research

EML Payments has announced the appointment of a new interim CEO and a renewed focus to solve the immediate challenges facing the company. This includes strengthening support for the regulatory remediation process, optimising costs, targeting growth in core business areas and retaining talent. The board has also appointed Barrenjoey to conduct a strategic review of the business. We maintain our estimates.


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Daily Brief India: Mankind Pharma, Indegene Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Mankind Pharma IPO – Quality Name but Might Not Have a Whole Lot of Upside
  • Mankind Pharma IPO: Updates Warrant Caution
  • Indegene Pre-IPO – Growing Client Base and Cross/Up-Selling Led to Growth
  • Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPO:  Pricey Valuation Limits Upside Potential

Mankind Pharma IPO – Quality Name but Might Not Have a Whole Lot of Upside

By Sumeet Singh

  • Mankind Pharma (MP) is looking to raise up to US$527m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products
  • We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the implied valuations.

Mankind Pharma IPO: Updates Warrant Caution

By Arun George


Indegene Pre-IPO – Growing Client Base and Cross/Up-Selling Led to Growth

By Clarence Chu

  • Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.
  • Its solutions aim to enable biopharmaceutical, emerging biotech and medical devices companies to develop, launch and drive sales for their products in a more efficient manner. 

Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPO:  Pricey Valuation Limits Upside Potential

By Tina Banerjee

  • Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPO will open for public subscription on April 24 and close on April 27. The shares are expected to be listed on May 9.  
  • The company has set IPO price band of INR1,026 –1,080 per share, valuing the company at INR433 billion at the top of the price band.
  • The IPO price band implies P/E of 30.9x at the lower band and 32.6x at the upper band. This is pricier than other India focused pharmaceutical companies.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Astra International, Zi Care Technology, Fit Hub and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Astra International (ASII IJ) – A Solid Start with Data in Mind
  • Indonesian E-Medical Records Startup Zi.Care Attracts US$2M Funding
  • Fit Hub Banks $6.5m to Make Exercise More Affordable

Astra International (ASII IJ) – A Solid Start with Data in Mind

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Astra International (ASII IJ) registered a strong start to the year with strong growth across most of its major divisions in 1Q2023, including 4W, 2W, Financial Services, and Heavy Equipment. 
  • The company’s market share in the auto business remained stable and increased for motorcycles, whilst heavy equipment and mining benefited from higher coal prices and infrastructure improving revenues on toll-roads.
  • Astra has launched a new JV with Equinix to build data centres in Indonesia, which makes an interesting addition to its digital economy exposure. Valuations are attractive relative to history. 

Indonesian E-Medical Records Startup Zi.Care Attracts US$2M Funding

By e27

  • Singapore-based early-stage VC firm Oriza Greenwillow Technology Fund has committed to investing US$2 million in Indonesian startup Zi.Care, which digitises medical records for hospitals.
  • The Jakarta-headquartered electronic medical records (EMR) startup is eyeing a total of US$3 million in this Series A round. Several other regional VCs will also be invited to participate.
  • The startup will use funds to strengthen its focus on increasing digitalisation in the health sector.

Fit Hub Banks $6.5m to Make Exercise More Affordable

By Tech in Asia

  • Living a healthy lifestyle can be burdensome and expensive. Indonesian startup Fit Hub is on a mission to democratize health for middle- and low-income households in Indonesia by offering affordable gym memberships.
  • In Indonesia, the average membership costs US$50 per month, while the startup charges US$17.
  • Since being founded in 2020, Fit Hub has opened up 60 offline clubs across 14 cities in Indonesia. It plans to open 100 clubs by the end of the year.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Bh Co Ltd, Hanwha Aerospace and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • An Exposed Target for Flow Trading on KQ150 Ad-Hoc Change by BH’s KOSPI Transfer Listing
  • Launch of Starlink Service by SpaceX – Impact on 11 Korean Companies

An Exposed Target for Flow Trading on KQ150 Ad-Hoc Change by BH’s KOSPI Transfer Listing

By Sanghyun Park

  • BH Co Ltd (090460 KS) will likely complete the transfer listing by early May, suggesting an ad-hoc change may occur before the regular rebalancing of the KOSDAQ 150 in June.
  • BH’s GICS sector is INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY. It means the top reserved issue at the previous review gets to replace BH. At this point, it will be HFR Inc (230240 KS).
  • We should build up a Long position on HFR right after KRX approves BH’s transfer and then close it on the next trading day after the KQ150 corporate action announcement.

Launch of Starlink Service by SpaceX – Impact on 11 Korean Companies

By Douglas Kim

  • The Starlink service is expected to be launched in Korea in 2Q/3Q 2023. Starlink gained more than 1 million active subscribers globally as of December 2022.
  • The launch of the Starlink service in Korea is likely to have a positive impact on  companies such as Hanwha Aerospace, Solu-M, Intellian Technologies, and Satrec Initiative.
  • We like a pair trade involving long (basket of 8 stocks above that are positively impacted by Starlink launch in Korea) and short (three major Korean telcos).

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Daily Brief United States: RCI Hospitality Holdings, Acadia Pharmaceuticals, Context Therapeutics, Darden Restaurants, Datadog Inc, Lear Corp, Monster Beverage, Roku, Square Inc, Verizon Communications and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Sales Accelerate in March Resulting in a Revenue Beat; Multiple Growth Catalysts in Place
  • Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US): No Hallucination; Clear Path of Accelerated Growth Ahead
  • Context Therapeutics – R&D webinar highlights CTIM-76’s potential
  • Darden Restaurants Inc.: Digital Growth
  • Datadog Inc: Expansion Through New AI Capabilities & Cloud Security – Key Drivers
  • Lear Corporation: Benefits From Kongsberg Acquisition – Key Drivers
  • Monster Beverages Corp: Continued Supply Chain Challenges – Key Drivers
  • Roku Inc.: The SVB Nightmare & Other Developments
  • Block Inc: The Hindenburg Impact & Other Developments
  • Verizon: Key Considerations For Dividend Investors And The Upcoming Quarterly Results

Sales Accelerate in March Resulting in a Revenue Beat; Multiple Growth Catalysts in Place

By Water Tower Research

  • Following the company’s fiscal 2Q sales release, our thesis remains intact.
  • We are encouraged by the improving sales trends RCI experienced in March and early April.
  • Further, we see several catalysts on the horizon to provide for accelerating growth over the next 12-18 months.

Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US): No Hallucination; Clear Path of Accelerated Growth Ahead

By Tina Banerjee

  • Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US) markets CNS drug Nuplazid, which is cash flow positive with increasing profitability since 2019. Acadia has guided for Nuplazid revenue of $520M–550M for 2023.
  • On April 17, Acadia has launched in-licensed drug Daybue in the U.S. for the treatment of Rett syndrome in adult and pediatric patients two years of age and older.
  • Nuplazid is being evaluated for negative symptoms of schizophrenia with top-line results expected in early 2024. In-house drug candidate ACP-204 is in Phase 1 trial for Alzheimer’s disease psychosis.

Context Therapeutics – R&D webinar highlights CTIM-76’s potential

By Edison Investment Research

Context Therapeutics’ April R&D webinar included takeaways from its poster presentation on CTIM-76 preclinical data at the AACR Annual Meeting in April 2023. The presentation highlighted the development of Context’s CLDN6 program and rationale for selecting CTIM-76 (a CLDN6xCD3 targeting bispecific antibody) as its new lead candidate (following the recent discontinuation of the ONA-XR program). We remind readers that while the therapeutic benefits of targeting CLDN6 (expressed on a variety of malignant tumor cells but rarely in healthy tissue) are well recognized, development hitherto has been hampered by a lack of selectivity and off target toxicities. Preclinical data presented by Context suggest that CTIM-76 selectively binds to CLDN6 with a potentially beneficial safety profile. The latest Phase I data in solid tumors from BioNTech’s CLDN6 CAR-T asset BNT211 (33% overall response rate, ORR; n=21) highlight the potential of a CLDN6-targeting therapy and are an encouraging read-across for this asset class, including CTIM-76.


Darden Restaurants Inc.: Digital Growth

By Baptista Research

  • Darden Restaurants had a strong quarter and exceeded the market expectations with respect to the top and bottom lines.
  • Despite an 8% increase in hourly wages, restaurant labor was 120 basis points better than the previous year due to sales leverage.
  • Since Darden used higher revenues to leverage higher inflation on utilities and higher repairs and maintenance costs, restaurant expenses were 40 basis points better than the previous year.

Datadog Inc: Expansion Through New AI Capabilities & Cloud Security – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Datadog had a successful Q4, with a 44% year-on-year increase in revenue, bringing it to $469 million.
  • While user growth with existing customers was slower, Datadog made up for it with new logo acquisition and new product cross-sales, having their strongest new logo quarter to date.
  • Datadog released their latest product, universal service monitoring, to general availability during the quarter, which greatly expanded their capabilities, bringing their total number of generally available products to 17.

Lear Corporation: Benefits From Kongsberg Acquisition – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lear had a strong quarterly performance and managed an all-around beat.
  • Its sales increased by 10% to $5.4 billion, and core operating profitability rose by 67% to $265 million.
  • The Lear Forward initiative also improved the company’s cash flow performance.

Monster Beverages Corp: Continued Supply Chain Challenges – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Monster Beverages’ last result was a colossal disappointment as the company faced challenges meeting the increased demand for its products due to the rampant supply chain issues.
  • Despite these issues, the company reported a 3.1% increase in operating income, driven by increased input costs and selling expenses.
  • The company saw positive results from its Java Monster line, with increased sales and increased share in its coffee plus energy category.

Roku Inc.: The SVB Nightmare & Other Developments

By Baptista Research

  • Roku struggled amidst the controversy associated with its huge exposure to SVB (nearly 26% of its total cash reserves).
  • The collapse of the bank resulted in a significant level of panic among the company’s investors.
  • While Q4 platform revenue exceeded its estimates and platform revenue was up 5% year over year to $731 million, inflation and macroeconomic uncertainties continue to put pressure on consumers and advertisers.

Block Inc: The Hindenburg Impact & Other Developments

By Baptista Research

  • Block’s stock has been in the news and faced a strong correction after becoming the latest target of Hindenburg.
  • The report alleges that Block has overstated its genuine user counts and has understated its customer acquisition costs.
  • It was damaging enough to result in a sharp correction in the company’s share price.

Verizon: Key Considerations For Dividend Investors And The Upcoming Quarterly Results

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • Verizon is scheduled to report its quarterly results next week.
  • Verizon’s share price has become oversold, according to analysts.
  • The company is set to report quarterly results for the first time in two years next week, and investors should know what to expect.

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Daily Brief China: HKBN Ltd, Miniso, Leapmotor, China Longyuan Power, MedSci Healthcare Holdings, Kanzhun, Central China Real Estate, iMotion Automotive Technology and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • If HKBN Gets Taken Out, Who’s Next?
  • Miniso: Investors Turning a Blind Eye to Red Flags in Miniso
  • Leapmotor: In Desperate Straits..
  • China Longyuan (916 HK): We Stay on the Bull Camp
  • Pre IPO MedSci Healthcare Holdings – Some Points Worth the Attention
  • [Kanzhun Ltd. (BZ US) Earnings Preview]: Weak Hiring Sentiments Drag Down Growth Trend
  • Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, Nickel Industries Ltd, China Datang Corp Renewable Power
  • IMotion Automotive Technology Pre-IPO – The Positives – Strong Growth Ahead with Some Big Names

If HKBN Gets Taken Out, Who’s Next?

By David Blennerhassett

  • HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) spiked 12.3% yesterday in response to media reports (like this one) that China Mobile (941 HK) was running a ruler over the company.
  • This follows Bloomberg reports last month and in May last year, that I Square’s HGC Global Communications and numerous PE outfits were kicking tyres of the Hong Kong broadband play.
  • Over the weekend, Hong Kong’s security chief was quoted as saying “the internet could become a major loophole when maintaining national security“. HKT (6823 HK) is a potential privatisation candidate. 

Miniso: Investors Turning a Blind Eye to Red Flags in Miniso

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Despite a 15% drop in March 2023, Miniso (MNSO US) remains relatively expensive compared to peers, having rallied 330% between October 2022 and March 2023.
  • We think this is a good opportunity to short MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK) as we see around 35% downside purely from a valuation angle.
  • Meanwhile, red flags like insider selling, Blue Orca’s accusations, senior management departures, and a mature domestic market could send the share price back below $5.0.

Leapmotor: In Desperate Straits..

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Several news media outlets reported that Leapmotor (9863 HK) had inflated its sales data for December 2022 based on distributor claims.
  • With China ending its new energy vehicle subsidy policy in 2022, EV makers were rushing to sell as many units as possible before embracing price hikes and face competition.
  • The company announced a price hike in January and sales volumes have declined in 1Q2023. We think the company will struggle to increase its sales volume going forward.

China Longyuan (916 HK): We Stay on the Bull Camp

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • YTD, China Longyuan Power (916 HK) has seen its share price weak, but we believe focus should not be on the poor FY22 result and the moderate 1Q23 generation growth.
  • Based on 5.5-6.5GW planned capacity expansion in FY23, this will mean a solid growth of 17.7-20.9% YoY. Coupled with efficiency improvement, we expect a sharp rebound in FY23 profit.
  • With impairment on Ukraine mostly made and reversal of exchange and trading losses, there will be a big swing in bottom line. We welcome the improvement in cash flow too.

Pre IPO MedSci Healthcare Holdings – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • MedSci’s profit quality/business structure is “healthier” than Medlive. MedSci is better able to cope with the negative impact of external changes, and its performance growth is more resilient than Medlive.
  • MedSci’s physician platform solutions business is stronger than Medlive’s medical knowledge solutions business. Considering the logic and significance of this business, MedSci is expected to have bigger growth potential.
  • If considering the cash balance, MedSci’s IPO valuation seems not that cheap. However, we think MedSci’s valuation would narrow the gap with Medlive or even surpass it in the future.

[Kanzhun Ltd. (BZ US) Earnings Preview]: Weak Hiring Sentiments Drag Down Growth Trend

By Shawn Yang

  • We expect BZ to report 1Q23 revenue and non-GAAP net income in-line with consensus. Our 2023 revenue and non-GAAP net income are (5.3%) and (37.8%) 
  • Lower than consensus, mainly due to  1) weaker growth outlook, 2) lower gross margin and 3) higher S&M cost; 
  • BZ platform’s supply side growth outpaced demand side in the spring season, indicating a weak recovery in recruiting. We maintain SELL rating and TP at US$13.5.

Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, Nickel Industries Ltd, China Datang Corp Renewable Power

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


IMotion Automotive Technology Pre-IPO – The Positives – Strong Growth Ahead with Some Big Names

By Ethan Aw

  • IMotion Automotive Technology (1812706D CH) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. 
  • The company possesses advanced full-stack R&D capabilities including self-developed algorithms and hardware-software co-design capabilities. It provides two AD domain controller product lines, and the self-designed iDC series. 
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Japan: Rakuten Bank , Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Rakuten Bank IPO Trading – Ample Upside
  • Rakuten Bank IPO: Trading Debut
  • Modest ROE Growth Expected to Increase Shareholder Proposals for Higher Shareholder Returns

Rakuten Bank IPO Trading – Ample Upside

By Sumeet Singh

  • Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), the online banking arm of Rakuten (4755 JP), raised around US$630m in its Japan IPO.
  • RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Dec 22, it had 13.3m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY8.8tn.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at various aspects of the deal. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and trading updates.

Rakuten Bank IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Modest ROE Growth Expected to Increase Shareholder Proposals for Higher Shareholder Returns

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The fact that there is a certain correlation between ROE+DOE and TOPIX reconfirms that it’s effective to ask management to improve performance in terms of both profitability and shareholder return.
  • While % change in shareholders’ equity moves in line with % of change in net profit, dividend payout moves moves differently. Many companies still adopt a “stable dividend” policy.
  • If shareholders propose share repurchases, dividend increases, etc., it can be said that management has determined that the shareholder return (ROE+DOE) it has secured is not sufficient.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Mankind Pharma, Indegene Limited, MedSci Healthcare Holdings, Acadia Pharmaceuticals, Context Therapeutics, Basilea Pharmaceutica Ag and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Mankind Pharma IPO – Quality Name but Might Not Have a Whole Lot of Upside
  • Mankind Pharma IPO: Updates Warrant Caution
  • Indegene Pre-IPO – Growing Client Base and Cross/Up-Selling Led to Growth
  • Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPO:  Pricey Valuation Limits Upside Potential
  • Pre IPO MedSci Healthcare Holdings – Some Points Worth the Attention
  • Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US): No Hallucination; Clear Path of Accelerated Growth Ahead
  • Context Therapeutics – R&D webinar highlights CTIM-76’s potential
  • Basilea Pharmaceutica – Zevtera NDA submission pushed to Q323

Mankind Pharma IPO – Quality Name but Might Not Have a Whole Lot of Upside

By Sumeet Singh

  • Mankind Pharma (MP) is looking to raise up to US$527m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products
  • We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the implied valuations.

Mankind Pharma IPO: Updates Warrant Caution

By Arun George


Indegene Pre-IPO – Growing Client Base and Cross/Up-Selling Led to Growth

By Clarence Chu

  • Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.
  • Its solutions aim to enable biopharmaceutical, emerging biotech and medical devices companies to develop, launch and drive sales for their products in a more efficient manner. 

Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPO:  Pricey Valuation Limits Upside Potential

By Tina Banerjee

  • Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPO will open for public subscription on April 24 and close on April 27. The shares are expected to be listed on May 9.  
  • The company has set IPO price band of INR1,026 –1,080 per share, valuing the company at INR433 billion at the top of the price band.
  • The IPO price band implies P/E of 30.9x at the lower band and 32.6x at the upper band. This is pricier than other India focused pharmaceutical companies.

Pre IPO MedSci Healthcare Holdings – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • MedSci’s profit quality/business structure is “healthier” than Medlive. MedSci is better able to cope with the negative impact of external changes, and its performance growth is more resilient than Medlive.
  • MedSci’s physician platform solutions business is stronger than Medlive’s medical knowledge solutions business. Considering the logic and significance of this business, MedSci is expected to have bigger growth potential.
  • If considering the cash balance, MedSci’s IPO valuation seems not that cheap. However, we think MedSci’s valuation would narrow the gap with Medlive or even surpass it in the future.

Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US): No Hallucination; Clear Path of Accelerated Growth Ahead

By Tina Banerjee

  • Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD US) markets CNS drug Nuplazid, which is cash flow positive with increasing profitability since 2019. Acadia has guided for Nuplazid revenue of $520M–550M for 2023.
  • On April 17, Acadia has launched in-licensed drug Daybue in the U.S. for the treatment of Rett syndrome in adult and pediatric patients two years of age and older.
  • Nuplazid is being evaluated for negative symptoms of schizophrenia with top-line results expected in early 2024. In-house drug candidate ACP-204 is in Phase 1 trial for Alzheimer’s disease psychosis.

Context Therapeutics – R&D webinar highlights CTIM-76’s potential

By Edison Investment Research

Context Therapeutics’ April R&D webinar included takeaways from its poster presentation on CTIM-76 preclinical data at the AACR Annual Meeting in April 2023. The presentation highlighted the development of Context’s CLDN6 program and rationale for selecting CTIM-76 (a CLDN6xCD3 targeting bispecific antibody) as its new lead candidate (following the recent discontinuation of the ONA-XR program). We remind readers that while the therapeutic benefits of targeting CLDN6 (expressed on a variety of malignant tumor cells but rarely in healthy tissue) are well recognized, development hitherto has been hampered by a lack of selectivity and off target toxicities. Preclinical data presented by Context suggest that CTIM-76 selectively binds to CLDN6 with a potentially beneficial safety profile. The latest Phase I data in solid tumors from BioNTech’s CLDN6 CAR-T asset BNT211 (33% overall response rate, ORR; n=21) highlight the potential of a CLDN6-targeting therapy and are an encouraging read-across for this asset class, including CTIM-76.


Basilea Pharmaceutica – Zevtera NDA submission pushed to Q323

By Edison Investment Research

Basilea has announced that there will be a minor delay in the timing of its new drug application (NDA) for Zevtera (ceftobiprole) to the FDA and it now anticipates submission in Q323 (previously H123). The decision comes because one of Basilea’s contract manufacturing organisations requires an additional three to six months to adapt its quality control systems before FDA inspection, a prerequisite for NDA review. Following the NDA submission, Basilea expects a regulatory decision on the approval of Zevtera in the United States by Q224. Management does not expect the recent news to affect its FY23 financial guidance and we believe a US launch date for Zevtera by late FY24 remains feasible.


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