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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Japan: TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Financial Disclosures During Trading Hours Was Disappointing in 2Q, but Will Increase Gradually


Financial Disclosures During Trading Hours Was Disappointing in 2Q, but Will Increase Gradually

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Comparing the disclosure time of 2Q financial statements to a year ago, the extension of trading hours has had an impact on the disclosure time of companies.
  • After November 5, when trading hours were extended, 31.6% of companies disclosed by 3:29 p.m. The remaining 68.4% moved down their disclosure time.
  • The 2Q results didn’t include companies that were proactive about early disclosure, and it is expected that some of the more cautious companies will switch to disclosure during trading hours.

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Most Read: Cal Comp Electronics Thailand, Samsung Engineering, Tsuruha Holdings, Adani Green Energy, InnoScience Suzhou Technology, Greatview Aseptic Packaging, Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy G, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Binggrae Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes; Cal Comp🚀
  • Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1
  • Tsuruha (3391) And Welcia (3141) To Move UP Merger to End-2025; Makes It TWO Trades in 18mos?
  • Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN): Facing the Passive Boot; But Who Will Buy?
  • InnoScience (2577 HK): Prices at Low End & Lists Today; Index Inclusion Timeline
  • GAPack (468 HK): Hong Kong’s Takeovers Code Needs A PUSU Rule
  • Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK)’s Unconditional MGO. It Is What It Is
  • Supply Shortage Boost Likely Short Lived; Caution Prevails Around 2025 Outlook
  • Surging Share Buybacks in Korea in 2024
  • Our Screening Process Methodology for Picking Top Small Cap Stocks in KOSPI in 2025


SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes; Cal Comp🚀

By Brian Freitas


Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

By Brian Freitas

  • There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.
  • There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.
  • Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.

Tsuruha (3391) And Welcia (3141) To Move UP Merger to End-2025; Makes It TWO Trades in 18mos?

By Travis Lundy

  • In Feb-24, Aeon (8267) agreed with Oasis Management to buy its stake in Tsuruha Holdings (3391) and Tsuruha and Welcia Holdings (3141) would discuss a merger, details decided by end-2027.
  • On Saturday 27 December, a Jiji article said the two would look to integrate by end-2025, now that they no longer need SEC approval. That reason sounds wrong.
  • The language of the articles is odd but we have to take it at face value. That means we look to what might happen between here and there.

Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN): Facing the Passive Boot; But Who Will Buy?

By Brian Freitas

  • Passive global index trackers sold Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN) in November following a big drop in free float for the stock.
  • There could be more selling in Adani Green Energy in February as the stock is deleted from the same large global index due to failing free float market cap thresholds.
  • With the company at the center of the U.S indictment focused on bribery charges, active foreign and local investors will be wary of buying the stock.

InnoScience (2577 HK): Prices at Low End & Lists Today; Index Inclusion Timeline

By Brian Freitas

  • InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK) has priced its IPO at HK$30.86/share, the low end of the range. Over half the shares have been allotted to cornerstone investors.
  • InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK) should be added to the HSCI in March and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect early March.
  • Inclusion in global indices will take place in 2026 and there will be supply in mid- and late-2025 following lock-up expiries.

GAPack (468 HK): Hong Kong’s Takeovers Code Needs A PUSU Rule

By David Blennerhassett

  • In the UK, once a Bidder is named in a possible offer announcement, the Bidder has 28 days to either announce a firm Offer intention or walk away. 
  • This is known as a ‘put up or shut up’ or ‘PUSU’ deadline. Hong Kong’s takeover rules has no such provision.
  • It’s ~21 weeks since co-founders Jeff Bi and Gang Hong tabled a non-binding Offer. With no firm Offer in sight, AND contesting a SAMR ruling, they should fold their tent.

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy (1250 HK)’s Unconditional MGO. It Is What It Is

By David Blennerhassett


Supply Shortage Boost Likely Short Lived; Caution Prevails Around 2025 Outlook

By Arusha Das

  • Possibility of short peak can result in short-lived shortage  
  • Declining Chinese TSR inventory can lend demand support  
  • Uncertainty around policies weighs upon the market confidence

Surging Share Buybacks in Korea in 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • Capitalizing on the lower share prices combined with the government’s pressure for Corporate Value up improvements, the share buybacks surged in Korea in 2024.
  • As of 27 December 2024, the total treasury shares planned acquisition amount by Korean companies increased by 215% YoY to 11.83 trillion won in 2024.
  • There have been some mixed share price performances among the companies announcing meaningful share buyback/cancellation announcements this year.

Our Screening Process Methodology for Picking Top Small Cap Stocks in KOSPI in 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide our screening process methodology for picking top small cap stocks in KOSPI in 2025. 
  • We used a 7 step process to narrow down a list of 30 stocks in KOSPI including market cap, ROE, sales growth, P/E, P/B, and Smartscore.  
  • The top five stocks on the Korean small cap stocks screen include Binggrae, Innocean Worldwide, Hanil Holding, Miwon Chemicals, and Daechang Forging.

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Daily Brief Industrials: bpost SA, React Group PLC, Simpson Manufacturing Co, Inc, AZEK /, Resideo Technologies Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 30 December (Ahold Delhaize | bpostgroup)
  • React Group Plc (REAT) – Thursday, Sep 19, 2024
  • Simpson Manufacturing Company: Expansion of Manufacturing Facilities Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • The AZEK Company: Will Its Enhanced Strategic Distribution & Market Expansion Be A Potential Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Resideo Technologies: Integration of Strategic Acquisitions As A Pivotal Growth Engine! – Major Drivers


What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 30 December (Ahold Delhaize | bpostgroup)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | to commence its EUR 1bn share buyback program • bpostgroup | aims to double number of parcel lockers in 2025

React Group Plc (REAT) – Thursday, Sep 19, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • The React Group specializes in extreme cleaning tasks that regular cleaning companies do not cover, such as cleaning up after train accidents, violent crime scenes, and contaminated hospital rooms.
  • The company has shown strong revenue and free cash flow growth over the past five years, operating nationwide in the UK and able to respond to cleaning emergencies 24/7 with a lead time of 2 to 4 hours.
  • React Group offers a promising investment opportunity in the cleaning industry, with a low price per share and high market capitalization.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Simpson Manufacturing Company: Expansion of Manufacturing Facilities Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Simpson Manufacturing Company’s third quarter 2024 results provide an insight into its current operational and financial positioning.
  • The company’s net sales reached $587.2 million, showing a modest increase over the prior year, despite pressures in both U.S. and European housing markets.
  • This resilience is partly attributed to Simpson’s growth strategy, as North American volume growth outperformed U.S. housing starts by approximately 500 basis points.

The AZEK Company: Will Its Enhanced Strategic Distribution & Market Expansion Be A Potential Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The AZEK Company recently announced its financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, revealing significant achievements alongside some challenges that could impact future performance.
  • The company achieved a 12% year-over-year growth in net sales, marking another year of strong performance within its Residential segment, which grew by high single digits.
  • However, there was some softness in the Exteriors business during the latter half of the year.

Resideo Technologies: Integration of Strategic Acquisitions As A Pivotal Growth Engine! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Resideo Technologies has reported strong third-quarter 2024 financial performance, seeing notable growth in both its Products and Solutions segment and ADI Global Distribution business.
  • The company registered organic revenue growth in both segments for the first time since Q2 2022, despite a complex global economic environment.
  • Market conditions showed mixed signals with favorable interest rates and increased new home sales in the U.S., but continued weakness in existing home sales and the EMEA region.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: 17LIVE Group, Weimob Inc., Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Telefonica SA, Zee Entertainment Enterprises, Wistron Corp, Vishay Intertechnology, Sanmina Corp, Fastly Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar Recap: 17Live’s CEO on the Live Streaming Company’s Outlook
  • The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 26)
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Leaked Mediatek Specs Spur Talk Of “Qualcomm Killer”‘; TSMC on Track in Arizona
  • Extension of Spain’s ‘Anti-Takeover Shield’ and Investor Concerns
  • The Zee Entertainment Audit Saga: NFRA’s Action Against Deloitte
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Dec-2024): GB200 NVL shipments to rise with KYEC’s capex boost.
  • Vishay Intertechnology: Here Are the 7 Key Factors Shaping Its Performance in 2025 and Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Sanmina Corporation: Its Efforts Towards Expansion & Optimization of Manufacturing Capabilities Paying Off? – Major Drivers
  • HK CEO & Director Dealings (31st Dec 2024): Weimob Inc., Midea Real Estate, Pharmaron Beijing
  • Fastly Inc.: Here Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar Recap: 17Live’s CEO on the Live Streaming Company’s Outlook

By Smartkarma Research

17LIVE is a leading pure-play live streaming platform in Asia with key markets in Japan and Taiwan. Its business lines include Liver live streaming, V-Liver live streaming and other businesses such as in-app games and live commerce. 17LIVE is accessible globally and has fostered a diverse live streaming ecosystem with a loyal and engaged user community, as well as a deep pool of live streamers.

The Smartkarma team spoke to 17Live’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, Jiang Honghui, in an exclusive corporate webinar. Honghui sheds light on the company’s impressive journey and future growth outlook within the vibrant live streaming space.

You can view the webinar via the link below. 


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 26)

By David Mudd

  • Mainland China investors continued to increase their purchases of Hong Kong shares through the southbound connect platform after Trump’s win. Mainland investors bought a record HK$800B of HK shares in 2024.
  • Weimob Inc. (2013 HK) announced it is connecting its Weimob mini-programs to Tencent’s (700 HK) WeChat mini-shop. This move further integrates the SaaS company into Tencent’s ecosystem.
  • Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) announced a license agreement with US-based Aadi Bioscience (AADI US).  Also, Wuxi was not included in the Senate version of the BioSecure legislation improving investor sentiment.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Leaked Mediatek Specs Spur Talk Of “Qualcomm Killer”‘; TSMC on Track in Arizona

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Leaked Mediatek Chip Specs? — Talk of a “Qualcomm Killer”
  • Hon Hai in the New York Times — Why Foxconn is Investing in Texas & Thailand
  • TSMC’s Arizona 4nm Production On Track to Start 2H25E — Still Expected to Be 30% Higher Cost vs. Taiwan and That’s Okay

Extension of Spain’s ‘Anti-Takeover Shield’ and Investor Concerns

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The Spanish government extended the anti-takeover shield to December 31, 2026, maintaining oversight of foreign direct investments in critical sectors like energy, defense, and technology to safeguard national interests.
  • Investor concerns include regulatory uncertainty, lack of clear criteria, and expanded obligations under the 2023 Foreign Investment Law, deterring foreign investments and delaying significant projects.
  • Balancing security and openness preserves free capital movement benefits, addressing vulnerabilities while avoiding protectionism that could harm competitiveness and strain relationships with foreign partners.

The Zee Entertainment Audit Saga: NFRA’s Action Against Deloitte

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • NFRA imposed a Rs. 2 crore penalty on Deloitte and fined two retired partners for audit lapses in Zee Entertainment Enterprises (Z IN)‘s Rs. 200 crore FD mismanagement involving RPTs.
  • This case exposes serious flaws in audit practices, corporate governance, and related-party transaction scrutiny, emphasizing the rising importance of professional skepticism in financial audits.
  • Audit reports aren’t infallible; investors must independently assess corporate governance and scrutinize financial assumptions, especially in listed companies with complex transactions.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-Dec-2024): GB200 NVL shipments to rise with KYEC’s capex boost.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • GB200 NVL shipments expected to increase as KYEC boosts capital expenditure, impacting notebook shipments in November 2024.
  • Taiwan wafer foundry industry developments in 4Q 2024 to be discussed at TSMC investor meeting, focusing on company outlook and new US tariff policies.
  • South Korea’s acceleration of Yongin semiconductor complex aims to establish global chip leadership, attracting key industry players amidst global semiconductor shifts and US-China chip sector investigation; Taiwan targets AI growth with SEMI’s Indian Semiconductor Academy plan.

Vishay Intertechnology: Here Are the 7 Key Factors Shaping Its Performance in 2025 and Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Vishay Intertechnology’s third quarter 2024 results reflect a delicate balancing act within a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • On one hand, the company succeeded in maintaining stable revenue at $735.4 million, amid a backdrop of slowing industrial demand and ongoing inventory destocking.
  • This revenue stability highlights a cautiously optimistic demand trend across key growth segments, including smart grid infrastructure, military, high-voltage DC applications, and increasingly, AI-focused server technologies.

Sanmina Corporation: Its Efforts Towards Expansion & Optimization of Manufacturing Capabilities Paying Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sanmina Corporation recently presented its financial performance for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024.
  • The company exhibited a commendable year-end financial performance, with revenue reaching $2.02 billion, surpassing their forecast of $1.9 billion to $2.0 billion, marking a sequential increase of 9.6%.
  • Despite facing a challenging fiscal year largely characterized by inventory adjustment with clients, Sanmina achieved non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43, exceeding expectations.

HK CEO & Director Dealings (31st Dec 2024): Weimob Inc., Midea Real Estate, Pharmaron Beijing

By David Blennerhassett

  • The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website.
  • Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
  • The key stocks mentioned in this regular insight include: Weimob Inc. (2013 HK), Midea Real Estate Holding (3990 HK), and Pharmaron Beijing (3759 HK).

Fastly Inc.: Here Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Fastly, Inc., a provider of cloud computing services, presented its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, reporting revenue growth and cost management successes amid challenges related to some of its largest customers.
  • The company’s revenue for Q3 was $137.2 million, exceeding the high end of its guidance range.
  • This growth was underpinned by improvements among its large media clients and gains from outside its top 10 customers.

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Daily Brief Financials: Avjennings Ltd, ICBC (H), Evergrande, HDFC Limited, Bitcoin, Commerzbank AG, Bitcoin Pro and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • AVJennings (AVJ AU): Competing Offer Brewing
  • EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 23 – 27
  • Scams of 2024: From Digital Frauds to Corporate Collapses
  • SEBI’s Crackdown on Insider Trading in the HDFC-HDFC Bank Merger
  • Crypto Moves #58 – Our Predictions for the Crypto Market in 2025
  • UniCredit’s Strategic Stake in Commerzbank and Implications for a Takeover
  • Cryptocurrency Analysis – Bitcoin – November 25, 2024


AVJennings (AVJ AU): Competing Offer Brewing

By Arun George

  • On 28 November, Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU) disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from AVID at A$0.67 per share, a 103.0% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • On 27 December, Queensgate Investments became a substantial shareholder, representing 5.39% of outstanding shares. Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP), a Singaporean real-estate developer, owns Queensgate.
  • Ho Bee Land is a strategic investor and is likely contemplating a competing offer, mainly because AVID’s offer is below NTA and AVJennings’s controlling shareholder’s ties to Singapore. 

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 23 – 27

By John Ley

  • Call volumes dominate tradng across single stocks with the Put/Call ratio hitting its 3rd lowest level since the beginning of November. Volumes continue trend lower in place since early November.
  • Auto companies seeing big increases in option volumes with Li Auto and Great Wall Motor moving in opposite directions since the middle of the month.  
  • We add 2 new tables showing the largest volume increases across Puts and Calls – a conveient way to view unusual changes in trading activity.

Scams of 2024: From Digital Frauds to Corporate Collapses

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • 2024 witnessed an unprecedented rise in financial crimes, including an 8x surge in Indian banking fraud, massive cryptocurrency heists, and large-scale corporate fraud like Evergrande’s $78 billion scandal.
  • These scams exposed vulnerabilities in technology, governance, and public awareness, underscoring the urgent need for robust regulatory frameworks, enhanced corporate accountability, and public education.
  • The evolving sophistication of financial crimes highlights the necessity for vigilance, technological resilience, and proactive measures by individuals, businesses, and governments to mitigate risks in an interconnected world.

SEBI’s Crackdown on Insider Trading in the HDFC-HDFC Bank Merger

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • SEBI uncovered insider trading during the HDFC-HDFC Bank merger, implicating a Deloitte employee and his associate, who profited Rs. 8.19 lakh using call options and confidential merger details.
  • This case highlights the increasing sophistication of insider trading tactics and reinforces the critical need for stricter compliance to protect investor trust and ensure market transparency.
  • The case demonstrates SEBI’s growing reliance on advanced analytics to identify market anomalies, ensuring accountability even in complex trading schemes involving proxy accounts and derivative instruments.

Crypto Moves #58 – Our Predictions for the Crypto Market in 2025

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Nobody enjoys reading lengthy analyses during the holidays between Christmas and New Year’s Eve, and frankly, I am not inclined to write much either.
  • Therefore, this edition of Crypto Moves is a concise one, focusing solely on our boldest predictions for the coming year—specifically for 2025.
  • These forecasts are straightforward and easy to verify a year from now, whether we turn out to be right or wrong.

UniCredit’s Strategic Stake in Commerzbank and Implications for a Takeover

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • UniCredit increased its economic exposure to Commerzbank to approximately 28%, aligning with its strategy to reach a 29.9% stake, pending ECB approval in early 2025.
  • Commerzbank’s operational inefficiencies and valuation at 0.56x tangible book value highlight challenges for independence, reinforcing the rationale for a potential UniCredit takeover. My core position would be long Commerzbank.
  • Projected synergies for a UniCredit-Commerzbank merger range from €705 million to €1.409 billion annually, with significant upside for Commerzbank’s share price if a takeover occurs.

Cryptocurrency Analysis – Bitcoin – November 25, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • According to Graph 1, during the period October 25th, 2024 – November 25th, 2024, the price of Bitcoin exhibited an exclusively upward trajectory.
  • From the beginning of the period until November 6th, the digital asset followed a consolidation pattern amid fluctuations in its price and after this sub-period, an overall bullish momentum began.
  • The MA-10 and MA-20 lines started from the same point.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Greatview Aseptic Packaging, Crude Oil, Clearwater Paper, Mercer International , Silver and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • GAPack (468 HK): Hong Kong’s Takeovers Code Needs A PUSU Rule
  • US Rig Count Steady for Third Straight Week as Number of Oil and Gas Rigs Remain Flat
  • Clearwater Paper Corp (CLW) – Monday, Sep 30, 2024
  • Mercer Intl Inc (MERC) – Monday, Sep 30, 2024
  • Commodity Analysis – Silver Futures – November 25, 2024


GAPack (468 HK): Hong Kong’s Takeovers Code Needs A PUSU Rule

By David Blennerhassett

  • In the UK, once a Bidder is named in a possible offer announcement, the Bidder has 28 days to either announce a firm Offer intention or walk away. 
  • This is known as a ‘put up or shut up’ or ‘PUSU’ deadline. Hong Kong’s takeover rules has no such provision.
  • It’s ~21 weeks since co-founders Jeff Bi and Gang Hong tabled a non-binding Offer. With no firm Offer in sight, AND contesting a SAMR ruling, they should fold their tent.

US Rig Count Steady for Third Straight Week as Number of Oil and Gas Rigs Remain Flat

By Suhas Reddy

  • The US oil and gas rig count remained unchanged for the third straight week at 589 for the week ending on 27/Dec.
  • For the week ending 20/Dec, US oil production moderately fell to 13.59m bpd from 13.6m bpd the week prior.
  • The number of active US oil and gas rigs remained steady at 483 and 102, respectively. US producers added one rig in North Dakota and cut one in Texas.

Clearwater Paper Corp (CLW) – Monday, Sep 30, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • CLW sells tissue business to Sofidel America for $1.06 billion, expected to close in late 2024
  • Proceeds will be used to reduce debt and invest in other SBS grades, despite slightly weaker Q2 performance
  • Despite stock price surge to $55, currently trading at $30, CLW remains #2 Paperboard producer of SBS grades in US, recently acquired paperboard mill from Graphic Packaging for $700 million

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Mercer Intl Inc (MERC) – Monday, Sep 30, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Mercer International is a US-listed company with segments in Pulp and Solid Wood
  • Recent supply closures in the softwood pulp industry have created a positive catalyst for the company, potentially improving price levels
  • Despite concerns over poor recent results and high financial leverage, the stock and bonds offer asymmetric risk/reward with potential for significant returns

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Commodity Analysis – Silver Futures – November 25, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • According to Graph 1, during the period October 28th, 2024 – November 25th, 2024, a bearish trend was reflected in the price of silver futures.
  • During this timeframe, there was a significant decrease in the price of the commodity from above $34 to below $31.
  • The MA-10 line was recorded to perform remarkably higher than MA-20 line in the beginning of the period under consideration, until November 8th when it crossed below it, indicating a downward momentum.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Binggrae Co Ltd, Triveni Engineering & Industries, Cisarua Mountain Dairy, Gokaldas Exports, Playa Hotels & Resorts NV, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Brunswick Corp, Tempur Sealy International, Taylor Morrison Home Corp A, ContextLogic and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Our Screening Process Methodology for Picking Top Small Cap Stocks in KOSPI in 2025
  • The Beat Ideas: Triveni Engineering & Industries Ltd -Ethanol, Water, Demerger Play
  • Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ) – Rising Star in Staples
  • India Textiles | Bangladesh Plus One Déjà Vu
  • Is Playa Hotels & Resorts the Perfect Catch for Hyatt? Here’s What Investors Need to Know!
  • Financial Disclosures During Trading Hours Was Disappointing in 2Q, but Will Increase Gradually
  • Brunswick Corporation’s Next Big Move: Stabilizing Retail
  • Tempur Sealy: International Expansion & Growth As A Pivotal Growth Lever! – Major Drivers
  • Taylor Morrison Home Corporation: An Insight Into Its Recent Land Acquisition & Community Expansion Efforts & Major Growth Drivers
  • Contextlogic Inc (LOGC) – Monday, Sep 30, 2024


Our Screening Process Methodology for Picking Top Small Cap Stocks in KOSPI in 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide our screening process methodology for picking top small cap stocks in KOSPI in 2025. 
  • We used a 7 step process to narrow down a list of 30 stocks in KOSPI including market cap, ROE, sales growth, P/E, P/B, and Smartscore.  
  • The top five stocks on the Korean small cap stocks screen include Binggrae, Innocean Worldwide, Hanil Holding, Miwon Chemicals, and Daechang Forging.

The Beat Ideas: Triveni Engineering & Industries Ltd -Ethanol, Water, Demerger Play

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Triveni Engineering & Industries (TRE IN)’s acquisition of Sir Shadi Lal Enterprise Limited is expected to add to the bottom line as it is located in the same region.
  • The resumption of the molasses-based Ethanol plant would benefit as the previous year’s company closed operations early due to non-availability of cane.
  • The demerger of the turbine is expected to be the major value-creation proposition.

Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ) – Rising Star in Staples

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Cisarua Mountain Dairy stands out as a rising star amongst consumer staples in Indonesia driven by strong growth in both dairy through Cimory and premium foods through the Kanzler brand.
  • The company will continue to benefit from lower raw material costs, as it buys six months ahead and is investing in promotions to drive the growth of new products.
  • CMRY has launched Cimory Bites and Crispy Nuggets Spicy which will drive near terns growth, along with a focus on General Trade and MCM channels. Valuations are attractive versus growth.

India Textiles | Bangladesh Plus One Déjà Vu

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • In this insight, we focus on the textile industry dynamics in India, Bangladesh, and Vietnam, particularly focusing on the “Bangladesh Plus One” sourcing strategy.
  • Textile stocks have surged significantly, with an average increase of 13% in one month and 50% year-to-date, driven by investment narratives.
  • Despite optimism in India, Bangladesh and Vietnam maintain competitive advantages, particularly in labor costs and export-oriented policies, affecting India’s market share.

Is Playa Hotels & Resorts the Perfect Catch for Hyatt? Here’s What Investors Need to Know!

By Baptista Research

  • Playa Hotels & Resorts reported third-quarter 2024 results that exceeded expectations, driven by steady performance in the Yucatan and Dominican Republic segments and improving demand in the Pacific Coast and Jamaica.
  • The company achieved owned resort EBITDA of $36.6 million in the quarter, which included a benefit from business interruption insurance proceeds of approximately $700,000, compared to $1 million in the same period last year.
  • The company’s results reflected the impact of external factors such as Hurricane Barrel, construction disruptions, and travel advisories.

Financial Disclosures During Trading Hours Was Disappointing in 2Q, but Will Increase Gradually

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Comparing the disclosure time of 2Q financial statements to a year ago, the extension of trading hours has had an impact on the disclosure time of companies.
  • After November 5, when trading hours were extended, 31.6% of companies disclosed by 3:29 p.m. The remaining 68.4% moved down their disclosure time.
  • The 2Q results didn’t include companies that were proactive about early disclosure, and it is expected that some of the more cautious companies will switch to disclosure during trading hours.

Brunswick Corporation’s Next Big Move: Stabilizing Retail

By Baptista Research

  • Brunswick Corporation’s third-quarter performance in 2024 showcased a mix of resilience and caution amidst a challenging marine market.
  • The company reported sales down by 20% and an adjusted EPS of $1.17, reflecting a decrease compared to the previous year due to weakening market conditions.
  • Nevertheless, Brunswick’s recurring revenue streams, such as the Engine Parts & Accessories (P&A) business, Propulsion’s repower business, and Freedom Boat Club, contributed significantly, underpinning the company’s financial performance.

Tempur Sealy: International Expansion & Growth As A Pivotal Growth Lever! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the third quarter of 2024, Tempur Sealy reported a modest 2% increase in net sales, amounting to $1.3 billion.
  • This was accompanied by a 6% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $275 million year-over year.
  • The company’s GAAP EPS grew 14% to $0.73 per share, while the adjusted EPS saw a 7% increase to $0.82 per share.

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation: An Insight Into Its Recent Land Acquisition & Community Expansion Efforts & Major Growth Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Taylor Morrison Home Corporation reported a robust performance for the third quarter of 2024, showcasing the efficacy of its diversified consumer and geographic strategy amidst economic uncertainty and weather-related challenges.
  • During the quarter, the company delivered 3,394 homes with an average selling price of $598,000, contributing to over $2 billion in revenue.
  • The home closings gross margin stood at 24.8%, representing an encouraging increase from previous quarters and indicating effective cost management and pricing strategies.

Contextlogic Inc (LOGC) – Monday, Sep 30, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • ContextLogic is a cash and NOL shell trading at a discount with potential to double in value through NOL maximization strategies
  • Assets include cash and $2.8 billion in Federal NOLs, with a previous market value decline due to ownership of Wish.com
  • Strategy involves acquiring a business with taxable earnings to maximize NOL value, offering investors potential upside from NOL monetization.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Industrials: bpost SA, React Group PLC, Simpson Manufacturing Co, Inc, AZEK /, Resideo Technologies Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 30 December (Ahold Delhaize | bpostgroup)
  • React Group Plc (REAT) – Thursday, Sep 19, 2024
  • Simpson Manufacturing Company: Expansion of Manufacturing Facilities Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • The AZEK Company: Will Its Enhanced Strategic Distribution & Market Expansion Be A Potential Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Resideo Technologies: Integration of Strategic Acquisitions As A Pivotal Growth Engine! – Major Drivers


What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 30 December (Ahold Delhaize | bpostgroup)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | to commence its EUR 1bn share buyback program • bpostgroup | aims to double number of parcel lockers in 2025

React Group Plc (REAT) – Thursday, Sep 19, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • The React Group specializes in extreme cleaning tasks that regular cleaning companies do not cover, such as cleaning up after train accidents, violent crime scenes, and contaminated hospital rooms.
  • The company has shown strong revenue and free cash flow growth over the past five years, operating nationwide in the UK and able to respond to cleaning emergencies 24/7 with a lead time of 2 to 4 hours.
  • React Group offers a promising investment opportunity in the cleaning industry, with a low price per share and high market capitalization.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Simpson Manufacturing Company: Expansion of Manufacturing Facilities Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Simpson Manufacturing Company’s third quarter 2024 results provide an insight into its current operational and financial positioning.
  • The company’s net sales reached $587.2 million, showing a modest increase over the prior year, despite pressures in both U.S. and European housing markets.
  • This resilience is partly attributed to Simpson’s growth strategy, as North American volume growth outperformed U.S. housing starts by approximately 500 basis points.

The AZEK Company: Will Its Enhanced Strategic Distribution & Market Expansion Be A Potential Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The AZEK Company recently announced its financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, revealing significant achievements alongside some challenges that could impact future performance.
  • The company achieved a 12% year-over-year growth in net sales, marking another year of strong performance within its Residential segment, which grew by high single digits.
  • However, there was some softness in the Exteriors business during the latter half of the year.

Resideo Technologies: Integration of Strategic Acquisitions As A Pivotal Growth Engine! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Resideo Technologies has reported strong third-quarter 2024 financial performance, seeing notable growth in both its Products and Solutions segment and ADI Global Distribution business.
  • The company registered organic revenue growth in both segments for the first time since Q2 2022, despite a complex global economic environment.
  • Market conditions showed mixed signals with favorable interest rates and increased new home sales in the U.S., but continued weakness in existing home sales and the EMEA region.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Apellis Pharmaceuticals, China Shineway Pharmaceutical, Cassava Sciences , Fortrea Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Apellis Pharmaceuticals: Ophthalmology Field Team Expansion As A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers
  • China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877 HK) – The Outlook Is Deteriorating
  • Cassava Sciences Inc (SAVA) – Sunday, Sep 29, 2024
  • Fortrea Holdings Inc.: A Tale Of Service Fee Revenue Growth & Margin Optimization!


Apellis Pharmaceuticals: Ophthalmology Field Team Expansion As A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Apellis Pharmaceuticals reported its third-quarter 2024 financial results, highlighting key developments and offering insights into future expectations.
  • The company, co-founded and led by CEO Dr. Cedric Francois, focuses on targeting C3 to address complement-mediated diseases.
  • During the third quarter, Apellis saw progress in commercial demand for SYFOVRE, although net product revenue for SYFOVRE dipped slightly by 1.7% due to factors like higher gross-to-net adjustments and contracting dynamics.

China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877 HK) – The Outlook Is Deteriorating

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Shineway’s 24Q1-Q3 performance is disappointing. So, we adjusted our forecast- 2024 Revenue could be about RMB3.7-4 billion, down 11-18% YoY. Net profit could reach about RMB1.05-1.1 billion, up 8-13% YoY.  
  • VBP is the biggest headwinds – Injection products/TCM formula granules/OTC medications all face VBP, which brings uncertainties to future performance. It’s uncertain whether the 2025 performance will rebound as expected.
  • Shineway seems to have lost growth momentum after COVID-19.Considering large cash balance, it doesn’t make much sense to hold the Company long term if it doesn’t significantly raise its dividend.

Cassava Sciences Inc (SAVA) – Sunday, Sep 29, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Cassava Sciences is deemed largely worthless with a cult-like retail investor base, making it an attractive target for shorting.
  • Their sole asset, simufilam, aims to address Alzheimer’s by restoring the shape of misfolded filamin A, but this approach has raised doubts.
  • Dr. Hoau-Yan Wang, a longtime scientific collaborator, is indicted for fraud related to grants associated with their trials, raising questions about the company’s credibility, alongside scrutiny on CEO Remi Barbier.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Fortrea Holdings Inc.: A Tale Of Service Fee Revenue Growth & Margin Optimization!

By Baptista Research

  • Fortrea reported its third quarter 2024 earnings with a mix of positives and challenges.
  • The company’s book-to bill ratio was 1.23x, reflecting a strong quarter for new business, mainly driven by large pharmaceutical clients and notable biotech wins across therapeutic areas like oncology, diabetes, dermatology, and autoimmune disease.
  • The company underscored its strategic position in the clinical research organization (CRO) arena, demonstrating balance between clientele from major pharmaceutical firms and biotechnologies, which made up 50% each of their business.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Evergreen Marine and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, SCSB, Asia Vital
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): Samsung Electronics, KIA
  • Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Bangchak, Gulf Energy Development
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, SCSB, Asia Vital

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.7bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank, Asia Vital Components, Alchip Technologies, Far Eastern New Century, Wiwynn, Walsin Lihwa.

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): Samsung Electronics, KIA

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD452.8bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD840mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, KIA.

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Bangchak, Gulf Energy Development

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 27th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Bangchak, Gulf Energy Development.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 27th): TSMC, FENC, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,030.0bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,768mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Far Eastern New Century, Mediatek, Elite Material, Alchip Technologies, Yang Ming Marine, Evergreen Marine, Eva Airways, Hua Nan Financial.

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