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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Pasona Group, Yang Ming Marine Transport, HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, Grab Holdings , Kcc Corp, Samsung C&T, Fortive , Vesuvius India, Voyager Technologies, Old Dominion Freight Line and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan Activism] Pasona Group (2168 JP) – Three New Things Of Mixed Importance
  • TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade
  • HD Hyundai: Will It Increase Ownership Stake In HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering?
  • Grab Holdings’ Fintech Gamble: Will Its Banking Bet Finally Pay Off by 2026?
  • PBR 0.8x Law — What Is It, and Why Might It Spark a Classic Post-Election Korea Momentum Trade?
  • An Update on Samsung Electronics Chairman Lee Jae-Yong and His Family Members’ Inheritance Taxes
  • Weekly Update (FTV, NLOP, STRZ, RAL)
  • Vesuvius India Ltd (NSE: VESUVIUS) – A High-Quality Play on India’s Steel Upswing
  • Voyager Technologies Inc. (VOYG): Space Race Continues, Terms Set for Defense IPO
  • Old Dominion Freight Line: Adaptating to Economic Indicators & Market Dynamics to Respond Swiftly To Changes In The Economy’s Pulse!


[Japan Activism] Pasona Group (2168 JP) – Three New Things Of Mixed Importance

By Travis Lundy

  • Pasona Group (2168 JP) is a “value stock.” It has loads of cash (but less than you think) and significant ongoing governance issues, but they are doing a TINY buyback. 
  • Several weeks ago we got an announcement which was odd. Not completely odd, just odd. Now in the past week we have market activity/announcements which make one wonder. 
  • This piece attempts to interpret some of the recent data/info points. One is odd. Another is odd but meaningful (but different than people think). A third is just technical. 

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 363bn (US$12.1bn).
  • Following a change in methodology, there could be 16 adds and 6 deletes in June with an estimated one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn.
  • We expect the adds to outperform the deletes over the next few days, following which reversion could set in.

HD Hyundai: Will It Increase Ownership Stake In HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering?

By Douglas Kim

  • There has been an increasing speculation of HD Hyundai increasing its stake in HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (HD KSOE) in 2025. 
  • There are two main reasons why HD Hyundai could increase its stake in HD KSOE. 
  • They include HD KSOE contributing higher percentage of dividend income and continued full-fledged recovery of the operating profits of the HD HHI and HD Hyundai Mipo. 

Grab Holdings’ Fintech Gamble: Will Its Banking Bet Finally Pay Off by 2026?

By Baptista Research

  • The recent earnings of Grab Holdings Limited for the first quarter of 2025 presented a mixed picture of the company’s performance and strategic outlook.
  • On the positive side, Grab reported robust growth, with a 17% year-over-year increase in on-demand Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and a record number of monthly transacting users.
  • This growth translated into another quarter of record revenues.

PBR 0.8x Law — What Is It, and Why Might It Spark a Classic Post-Election Korea Momentum Trade?

By Sanghyun Park

  • Listed companies trading below 0.8x P/B may be taxed like unlisted ones—based on book value, with a floor set at 80% of NAV regardless of calculated valuation.
  • Momentum is spreading beyond holdcos, with local desks eyeing low-PBR, high treasury share names. Attached is an Excel with Q1 PBRs and Q4 treasury ratios for all listed stocks.
  • We could target direct succession names like SK Inc. or go broader, screening by treasury share % and P/B discount—likely the preferred route given Korea’s post-election momentum playbook.

An Update on Samsung Electronics Chairman Lee Jae-Yong and His Family Members’ Inheritance Taxes

By Douglas Kim

  • This insight provides an update on the inheritance tax payment requirement by the Samsung Electronics Chairman Lee Jae-Yong and his family members. 
  • Lee Jae-Yong has a final installment of 480 billion won in inheritance taxes to be paid in April 2026.
  • Once Lee makes the final inheritance tax payment next year, he can start to  reinvest his dividend income in various Samsung Group affiliates including Samsung C&T.

Weekly Update (FTV, NLOP, STRZ, RAL)

By Richard Howe

  • Fortive (FTV) will spin off 100% of Ralliant on June 28, 2025.

  • Ralliant will trade under the ticker RAL. When issued trading will begin on June 25th. Ralliant will host an investor day on June 10, 2025.

  • Ralliant (Precision Technologies) will be a $2.2B revenue company (2024) focused on Test & Measurement and Sensors & Safety Systems.


Vesuvius India Ltd (NSE: VESUVIUS) – A High-Quality Play on India’s Steel Upswing

By Rahul Jain

  • Vesuvius India has a strong track record of double-digit revenue and profit growth, supported by robust return ratios like 32% ROCE and a debt-free balance sheet.
  • With ongoing capacity expansions and rising contribution to the parent’s revenue and EBITDA, India is now a key growth engine for the group.
  • Despite premium valuations, the company’s execution strength and industry tailwinds make it a compelling long-term play.

Voyager Technologies Inc. (VOYG): Space Race Continues, Terms Set for Defense IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Voyager Technologies will be offering 11 million shares at a $26-$29 range equating to a $1.4b-$1.65b valuation.
  • The deal is anticipated to price on Tuesday (6/10) for a Wednesday (6/11) debut on the Nasdaq.
  • Janus Henderson Investors and Wellington Management have indicated an interest in purchasing up to an aggregate of $60 million in shares of Class A common stock.

Old Dominion Freight Line: Adaptating to Economic Indicators & Market Dynamics to Respond Swiftly To Changes In The Economy’s Pulse!

By Baptista Research

  • The first-quarter 2025 earnings report for Old Dominion Freight Line presents a nuanced picture reflecting both achievements and challenges rooted in the prevailing economic environment and strategic corporate decisions.
  • During the period, Old Dominion faced a 5.8% year-over-year decrease in revenue, totaling $1.37 billion.
  • This decline was primarily attributed to a 6.3% drop in less-than-truckload (LTL) tons per day, slightly offset by a 2.2% increase in LTL revenue per hundredweight.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Samsung Biologics , Omada Health, Kitazato, Abbvie Inc, Natco Pharma, Edwards Lifesciences, Wing Tai Holdings, Nurexone Biologic, Classys, PolyPid and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • FnGuide Top 10 & Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues
  • Omada Health (OMDA): Virtual Healthcare Provider Gains IPO Momentum Behind Success of Peer
  • Kitazato Pre-IPO – Past Sales Have Been Steady but Slowing
  • AbbVie’s Bold Obesity Play Could Up Its Game In The GLP-1 Domain—Here’s What You Need to Know!
  • NATCO Pharma Limited: Record Year Performance Overshadowed by Cautious FY26 Outlook
  • How Edwards Lifesciences Is Breaking Barriers in Valve Replacement with M3 & EVOQUE!
  • Independent Director Chua Kee Lock Acquires Venture Shares on Open Market
  • NRXBF: Raising Price Target on Trial Announcement
  • Classys (214150 KS): Solid Start to 2025; Global Expansion Continues; Stake Sale Overhang to Remain
  • PolyPid Ltd – Assessing & Advancing Lead Candidate


FnGuide Top 10 & Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 2 changes for the FnGuide Top 10 Index and 1 change for the FnGuide Top 10 Equal Weight Index in June.
  • There will be capping inflows for Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), capping outflows for SK Hynix (000660 KS) and funding outflows for the other index constituents.
  • A long adds/ short deletes trade has performed well historically for the FnGuide Top 10 Index with positive performance till implementation followed by reversion post implementation in most cases.

Omada Health (OMDA): Virtual Healthcare Provider Gains IPO Momentum Behind Success of Peer

By IPO Boutique

  • The valuation of the company based on Q1 2025 revenues is between 5-6x sales which we find attractive versus peers.
  • Revenue increased  by 57% from $35.1 million to $55.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2025, respectively. 
  • After a handful of days of marketing the IPO, we are hearing from our sources that the books are multiple-times oversubscribed.

Kitazato Pre-IPO – Past Sales Have Been Steady but Slowing

By Sumeet Singh

  • Kitazato (368A JP) manufactures and sells medical devices and products for fertility treatment. It aims to raise around US$120m in its Japan IPO.
  • Kitazato specializes in artificial insemination, in vitro fertilization, cell cryopreservation and reproductive engineering technologies in regenerative medicine.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

AbbVie’s Bold Obesity Play Could Up Its Game In The GLP-1 Domain—Here’s What You Need to Know!

By Baptista Research

  • AbbVie Inc. recently reported its results for the first quarter of 2025, showcasing strong performance across various therapeutic areas.
  • The company’s adjusted earnings per share were $2.46, surpassing the guidance midpoint by $0.10.
  • Total net revenues stood at over $13.3 billion, a remarkable increase of roughly $550 million beyond expectations.

NATCO Pharma Limited: Record Year Performance Overshadowed by Cautious FY26 Outlook

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Natco Pharma (NTCPH IN) achieved record consolidated revenue and profits in FY25 and holds a strong cash position over INR 3,500 crore.
  • However, the company estimates a significant potential dip in revenue (20%) and profits (30%) for FY26 due to US market pressures and high R&D spend.
  • This signals near-term headwinds, while long-term growth remains tied to pipeline progress, particularly Semaglutide and Resplan launches in India, and strategic acquisitions.

How Edwards Lifesciences Is Breaking Barriers in Valve Replacement with M3 & EVOQUE!

By Baptista Research

  • Edwards Lifesciences Corporation reported a solid performance for the first quarter of 2025, with total company sales reaching $1.41 billion, which indicates an 8% growth.
  • This growth reflects the company’s continued commitment to innovation in the field of structural heart disease, bolstered by its diverse product portfolio.
  • The Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) segment, with sales of $1.05 billion, experienced growth of 5.4% year-over-year.

Independent Director Chua Kee Lock Acquires Venture Shares on Open Market

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks with a S$2 million outflow, totaling S$1.73 billion for 2025.
  • Telecommunications and REITs saw highest net outflows; Financial Services and Industrials experienced significant net inflows.
  • 18 companies conducted share buybacks totaling S$45 million; Hongkong Land repurchased 1,563,300 shares at US$5.24 each.

NRXBF: Raising Price Target on Trial Announcement

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • NurExone (OTC-NRXBF) is a preclinical stage biotech company that is developing a breakthrough treatment for spinal cord injuries that has the potential to dramatically improve lives.
  • The technology involved also has the potential to more efficiently get other treatments to the needed area.
  • The company announced that it plans to initiate a Phase 1/2a clinical trial on acute spinal cord injuries for ExoPTEN in 2026.

Classys (214150 KS): Solid Start to 2025; Global Expansion Continues; Stake Sale Overhang to Remain

By Tina Banerjee

  • Classys (214150 KS) reported stellar performance for 1Q25, with record-high quarterly sales and operating profit. 1Q25 revenue grew 53% YoY to KRW77B, while operating profit increased 46% YoY to KRW39B.
  • Recently, Volnewmer got approval in Europe. Ultraformer MPT is expected to obtain European approval in July. Next-generation new product launch in the domestic market is expected in July.
  • Classys reaffirmed 2025 revenue guidance of KRW340–360B, up 39–48% YoY. Bain Capital’s recent stake sales in the company via a discounted block deal raises concern.

PolyPid Ltd – Assessing & Advancing Lead Candidate

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Zacks Small-Cap Research Note for PolyPid Ltd. (PYPD)

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Danggeun Market, Silicon Laboratories, Qorvo Inc, Wix.Com Ltd, Plexus Corp, Uchi Technologies, Amphenol Corp Cl A and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek’s New Chip Could Outperform Apple’s; Samsung Beats TSMC, Wins Nintendo
  • Initial Thoughts on the Karrot (Danggeun) IPO (Largest Used Goods E-Commerce Platform in Korea)
  • Silicon Labs: Strong Market Momentum in Key Segments & Other Factors Driving Our Optimism!
  • Qorvo’s Proprietary Chip Tech Might Just Help Lock In Billion-Dollar Smartphone Wins; What’s The Expected Revenue Impact?
  • Wix.com Expands Its Empire With Bold Moves in AI
  • Plexus Corp.: An Insight Into its Recent Healthcare and Life Sciences Sector Growth & Other Major Drivers!
  • Uchi Technologies Q1 FY25: Guidance Scrapped In The Wake Of Global Uncertainty
  • Amphenol Corporation: The 6 Most Significant Forces Steering Its Performance into 2025 & Beyond!


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek’s New Chip Could Outperform Apple’s; Samsung Beats TSMC, Wins Nintendo

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Rumors That Mediatek’s Upcoming Chips Could Outperform Apple’s Chips Used in the iPhone 17
  • Samsung Beats TSMC to Win Key Nintendo Switch 2 Contract
  • PC Monitor: Commercial PC Demand Resilient; AI PC Momentum Builds W/ NVDA Blackwell-Powered Launches 

Initial Thoughts on the Karrot (Danggeun) IPO (Largest Used Goods E-Commerce Platform in Korea)

By Douglas Kim

  • Danggeun (Karrot) is the largest used goods e-commerce marketplace in Korea. There have been some local reports that the company could complete its IPO as early as 2025.
  • In the private market, some shares of Karrot were put up for sale recently, and the valuation of the company ranged 2.5 trillion won 2.7 trillion won.
  • The company has tremendously scaled up its business in the past couple of years, in terms of sales and profits.

Silicon Labs: Strong Market Momentum in Key Segments & Other Factors Driving Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • Silicon Laboratories, a prominent player in the semiconductor industry, rounded off the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 with robust performance metrics that underscore their strategic positioning and forward momentum.
  • The company reported a revenue of $178 million, marking a sequential growth of 7% and a 67% year-over-year increase, aligning with the projections provided in their guidance.
  • A substantial portion of the growth can be attributed to their Home & Life and Industrial & Commercial business units, which demonstrated impressive resilience and expansion trajectory.

Qorvo’s Proprietary Chip Tech Might Just Help Lock In Billion-Dollar Smartphone Wins; What’s The Expected Revenue Impact?

By Baptista Research

  • Qorvo Inc.’s latest earnings report presents a multifaceted picture of the company’s current position and strategic outlook.
  • The report outlines several key areas where the company is making notable progress, as well as some areas of concern.
  • On the positive side, Qorvo revealed robust performance in its Advanced Cellular Group (ACG), High Performance Analog (HPA), and Connectivity and Sensors Group (CSG).

Wix.com Expands Its Empire With Bold Moves in AI

By Baptista Research

  • Wix.com Ltd. recently reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing signs of positive momentum and robust demand for its platform.
  • The company’s performance in Q1 demonstrates both the strength of its offering and the challenges and opportunities it faces in a changing macroeconomic environment.
  • Positively, Wix’s total bookings were up 12% year-over-year to $511 million, while total revenue increased by 13% to $474 million, surpassing the high end of their guidance.

Plexus Corp.: An Insight Into its Recent Healthcare and Life Sciences Sector Growth & Other Major Drivers!

By Baptista Research

  • Plexus Corp. (PLXS) recently reported its second-quarter fiscal 2025 financial performance, showcasing both advancement and challenges.
  • The revenue aligned with projections at $980 million, driven by several strategic wins.
  • The company delivered $16.5 million in free cash flow, surpassing previous expectations, and achieved a non-GAAP EPS of $1.66, which exceeded guidance primarily due to robust operating performance and favorable tax implications.

Uchi Technologies Q1 FY25: Guidance Scrapped In The Wake Of Global Uncertainty

By Sameer Taneja

  • Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK) reported a weak quarter with revenues/profits down 28%/33%. Given the global economic uncertainty, they scrapped their guidance for FY25 (Vs a low-teens revenue decline earlier). 
  • Profit margins were 47.5% (down 400 bps YoY) for Q1 FY25, although we expect a decline in future quarters due to a strong MYR (the company has USD-denominated revenue). 
  • Low-Teens guidance had built in a recovery in the later quarters of 2025. With that out of the window, the stock trades at 17.7x FY25 PE (6% dividend yield).

Amphenol Corporation: The 6 Most Significant Forces Steering Its Performance into 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Amphenol Corporation recently reported exceptional financial results for the first quarter of 2025, driven by broad based demand across its diverse market segments.
  • The company achieved record sales of $4.811 billion, representing a 48% increase in U.S. dollars from the previous year.
  • This growth was supported by significant organic expansion, with sales up 33%, as well as contributions from acquisitions, notably the newly acquired Andrew business.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Primo Global, Gansu Huangtai Wine Mktg Ind Co.,, Heineken Holding NV, Welspun Living, Eastroc Beverage Group, Triveni Engineering & Industries, Birkenstock Holding , Nike, Deckers Outdoor, BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Primo Global Pre-IPO: Driven by Domestic Demand as International Ops Falter
  • CSI Liquor/ Alcoholic Drink Index Rebalance: Adds, Deletes & Capping Changes
  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May 2025 Report
  • Welspun Living: Navigating with Strategic Diversification and Domestic Focus
  • Pre IPO Eastroc Beverage Group (H Share) – The Strength, the Concerns and the Outlook
  • Triveni Engineering & Industries: Mega Restructuring & Stellar Performance
  • Birkenstock’s Profit Engine Revealed: How New Factories & Smart Tech Are Boosting Margins Fast!
  • Nike Reinvents Its Iconic Lineup—Can Its Bold Product Overhaul Halt The Revenue DECLINEt?
  • Deckers Brands: Will Its Strategic Investments in SG&A And Brand Awareness Help in Sustainable Growth?
  • BJ’s Wholesale Club: Initiative for Fresh 2.0 to Enhance Its Market Share In The Competitive Landscape!


Primo Global Pre-IPO: Driven by Domestic Demand as International Ops Falter

By Nicholas Tan

  • Primo Global (367A JP)  is looking to raise at least US$104m in its upcoming Japan IPO.
  • Primo Global specializes in merchandising bridal jewellery, namely engagement rings and wedding rings.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

CSI Liquor/ Alcoholic Drink Index Rebalance: Adds, Deletes & Capping Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 add for the CSI Liquor Index and 1 add/ 2 deletes for the CSI Alcoholic Drink Index in June.
  • Gansu Huangtai Wine Mktg Ind Co., (000995 CH) will be added to the CSI Liquor Index and the CSI Alcoholic Drink Index.
  • There will be big selling in Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) due to the stock being capped in both indices. Smaller capping flows in the other stocks.

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May 2025 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during May. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. 
  • Discounts (30 May): GBL, 37.9% (vs 35.3%, 2 May); Heineken Holding, 12.5% (vs. 12.3%); Industrivärden C, 9.6% (vs. 9.1%); Investor B, 9.6% (vs. 5.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.5% (vs. 29.2%); 
  • Rio DLC 22.2% (vs. 25.8%); Vivendi 45% (vs. 46%).  What seems interesting: Heineken Holding, vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).

Welspun Living: Navigating with Strategic Diversification and Domestic Focus

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • FY25 consolidated revenue surpassed INR 10,000 crore mark, increasing 8.9% year-on-year. Emerging businesses contributed over 30% to revenue.  
  • Despite achieving the revenue milestone, Q4 performance and FY25 margins were impacted by cautious customer order patterns due to US tariff uncertainty.  
  • The company is de-risking its geographical exposure by reducing reliance on the US while focusing on the potential from the UK FTA and strengthening its domestic presence, through strategic acquisition.

Pre IPO Eastroc Beverage Group (H Share) – The Strength, the Concerns and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • 2024 is a milestone year. The weighted average ROE set a new high. Due to cost dilution brought by economies of scale, net profit growth was higher than revenue growth.
  • The risk of relying on a single category hasn’t been eliminated. Traditional advantages of offline channels are becoming saturated. There is a gap between channel structure and new consumer forces
  • Eastroc’s valuation is expected to be higher than the industry average and peers due to its higher growth rate, but investors needs to consider the H/A premium

Triveni Engineering & Industries: Mega Restructuring & Stellar Performance

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Triveni reported record revenue and PAT for Q4 FY25, largely driven by the exceptional performance of the Power Transmission business and improved sugar realisations despite operational challenges
  • The strong performance of the Power Transmission segment and strategic focus on exports highlights its potential as a key growth driver, while the proposed restructuring aims to unlock values.  
  • Company is guiding for improvement in each segment including Sugar, IMIL and transmission in the upcoming year.

Birkenstock’s Profit Engine Revealed: How New Factories & Smart Tech Are Boosting Margins Fast!

By Baptista Research

  • Birkenstock Holding plc’s second-quarter results for fiscal year 2025 highlight a period of robust revenue growth, resilient operational strategies, and geographical expansion.
  • Total revenues reached EUR 574 million, marking a 19% increase year-over-year in reported currency, and an 18% increase in constant currency.
  • This growth was fueled by a balanced performance across both Business-to-Business (B2B) and Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) channels, both of which exhibited strong demand dynamics and strategic channel enhancements.

Nike Reinvents Its Iconic Lineup—Can Its Bold Product Overhaul Halt The Revenue DECLINEt?

By Baptista Research

  • In the latest earnings, NIKE, Inc. reported its fiscal 2025 third-quarter results.
  • Various strategic initiatives, including a focus on expanding product offerings and enhancing brand presence, were discussed by CEO Elliott Hill and CFO Matt Friend.
  • The results show a complex scenario for NIKE, characterized by both challenging headwinds and promising initiatives aimed at revitalizing growth.

Deckers Brands: Will Its Strategic Investments in SG&A And Brand Awareness Help in Sustainable Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Deckers Brands recently reported its financial performance for the fourth quarter and the fiscal year 2025.
  • The company showcased robust growth across its portfolio, emphasizing the success of its leading brands, HOKA and UGG.
  • With a revenue increase of 16% year-over-year, the company approached $5 billion in sales, signaling strong brand appeal and strategic market positioning.

BJ’s Wholesale Club: Initiative for Fresh 2.0 to Enhance Its Market Share In The Competitive Landscape!

By Baptista Research

  • BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. showed a strong start to the fiscal year 2025, surpassing initial expectations with impressive top and bottom-line growth.
  • The company registered a 4.7% increase in net sales, with operating income and net income leaping by 27% and 35% respectively.
  • Membership growth continues to be a core driver, reflecting BJ’s strategic focus on value, enhanced merchandising, and digital convenience.

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Daily Brief Financials: ESR Group , Thanachart Capital, Assura PLC, Hang Seng Index, Kobo Resources , Chime Financial, Renatus Tactical Acquisition Corp I, Wing Tai Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • ESR (1821 HK): A Shareholder Register Look-Through
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun25: Final Expectations; 3 Changes Expected + Delta Capping
  • Assura Attracts Bidding War Potential: KKR and PHP Compete Amid Strategic Synergies and Market Dynamics
  • HSI Tactical Outlook: Buy This Dip
  • Kobo Resources Inc – Mining Monthly: May Edition
  • Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM): Valuation Cut in Half, Major VC Players Backing FinTech IPO
  • SSI Newsletter Highlights: New SPAC and Liquidation Ideas, Key Updates on Dividends and More
  • Independent Director Chua Kee Lock Acquires Venture Shares on Open Market
  • Independent Director Chua Kee Lock Acquires Venture Shares on Open Market


ESR (1821 HK): A Shareholder Register Look-Through

By David Blennerhassett


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun25: Final Expectations; 3 Changes Expected + Delta Capping

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
  • In this insight, we present our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the index rebal event in June 2025.
  • We expect three ADDs and three DELs for June 2025.

Assura Attracts Bidding War Potential: KKR and PHP Compete Amid Strategic Synergies and Market Dynamics

By Special Situation Investments

  • Assura is involved in a potential bidding war with KKR and PHP, both having made acquisition offers.
  • KKR’s offer is 49.4p/share, while PHP’s revised offer is 0.3769 PHP shares plus 12.5p/share in cash.
  • Glazer increased its stake in Assura to 2.9%, indicating expectations of a bidding war with minimal downside.

HSI Tactical Outlook: Buy This Dip

By Nico Rosti

  • After a 7-week rally the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) last week gave up and close the week down (CC=-1 on our WEEKLY LONG model).
  • The pullback continued on  Monday, reaching 22668 and in our WEEKLY LONG model this price support zone is oversold.
  • The pullback may continue, so in this insight we are going to offer some perspective on possible support zones where to buy. We think this setback is a buy opportunity.

Kobo Resources Inc – Mining Monthly: May Edition

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • The metals and mining market continued its strong run in May, driven by inflationary concerns due to the trade war and geopolitical tensions.
  • • In May, gold was up 1.8%, silver was up 1.7%, and copper was also up 1.7%.
  • The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 3.3%, GDXJ up 6.4%, SIL up 5.9%, and COPX up 8.7%.

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM): Valuation Cut in Half, Major VC Players Backing FinTech IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • The company helps everyday people make progress in their financial lives and will be offering 32 million shares at a $24-$26 range equating to a $8.8b-$9.5b valuation.
  • The deal is anticipated to price on Tuesday (6/10) for a Wednesday (6/11) debut on the Nasdaq.
  • For the three months ended March 31, 2025 the company earned $518.7m in revenue marking a year-over-year increase of 32.3% from the prior year ($391.9m).

SSI Newsletter Highlights: New SPAC and Liquidation Ideas, Key Updates on Dividends and More

By Special Situation Investments

  • Renatus Tactical Acquisition Corp I (RTACU) is a SPAC targeting crypto and blockchain mergers, with a capped downside risk.
  • Liquidia (LQDA) anticipates strong traction for Yutrepia’s launch, with profitability expected within 3 to 4 quarters post-launch.
  • Embracer Group (EMBRAC-B:ST) faces delays in AAA game releases, impacting sales estimates, but Coffee Stain spinoff remains on track.

Independent Director Chua Kee Lock Acquires Venture Shares on Open Market

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks with a S$2 million outflow, totaling S$1.73 billion for 2025.
  • Telecommunications and REITs saw highest net outflows; Financial Services and Industrials experienced significant net inflows.
  • 18 companies conducted share buybacks totaling S$45 million; Hongkong Land repurchased 1,563,300 shares at US$5.24 each.

Independent Director Chua Kee Lock Acquires Venture Shares on Open Market

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks with a S$2 million outflow, totaling S$1.73 billion for 2025.
  • Telecommunications and REITs saw highest net outflows; Financial Services and Industrials experienced significant net inflows.
  • 18 companies conducted share buybacks totaling S$45 million; Hongkong Land repurchased 1,563,300 shares at US$5.24 each.

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Most Read: Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd, HealthyWay, ESR Group , Isuzu Motors, Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, Pasona Group, Yang Ming Marine Transport, HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, Samsung Biologics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Soul Patts & Brickworks: Index Impact of A$14bn Merger
  • KWEB Index Rebalance: HealthyWay In; East Buy Out
  • ESR (1821 HK): A Shareholder Register Look-Through
  • Soul Patts/Brickworks To Unwind Circularity
  • [Japan Buybacks] – Buybacks Announced 26-30 May 2025 And Company Buyback History
  • CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade
  • [Japan Activism] Pasona Group (2168 JP) – Three New Things Of Mixed Importance
  • TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade
  • HD Hyundai: Will It Increase Ownership Stake In HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering?
  • FnGuide Top 10 & Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues


Soul Patts & Brickworks: Index Impact of A$14bn Merger

By Brian Freitas


KWEB Index Rebalance: HealthyWay In; East Buy Out

By Brian Freitas


ESR (1821 HK): A Shareholder Register Look-Through

By David Blennerhassett


Soul Patts/Brickworks To Unwind Circularity

By David Blennerhassett

  • The cross-shareholding between Washington H. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU) (Soul Patts) and Brickworks Ltd (BKW AU) was established in 1969 to defend the companies from corporate raiders.
  • Perpetual pursued a case in the Federal Court of Australia, alleging that the cross-shareholding was oppressive to minority shareholders; however the claim was dismissed in 2017.
  • Today, via inter-conditional Schemes, the circularity is set to be unwound through a merger. Soul Patts currently owns 43.3% in Brickworks, and Brickworks 26% in Soul Patts. 

[Japan Buybacks] – Buybacks Announced 26-30 May 2025 And Company Buyback History

By Travis Lundy

  • Buybacks in Japan are becoming a much greater driver of shareholder return than in previous years. The total amount of buybacks announced just during the March-end earnings season cleared ¥7trln.
  • Quiddity has developed a buyback tool which tracks Japanese buybacks and the buyback history for any given company. Isuzu Motors (7202 JP) announced a big post-Offering buyback this week.
  • Want to see how Isuzu has executed buybacks the past decade? Daily data? % volume? You can check here for any of the 21 companies which announced buybacks this week. 

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 7 changes for the CSI 300 Index, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 June.
  • There are 240 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$12bn.
  • The adds have outperformed the deletes for the CSI 300 Index and the CSI 1000 Index but underperformed for the CSI 500 Index.

[Japan Activism] Pasona Group (2168 JP) – Three New Things Of Mixed Importance

By Travis Lundy

  • Pasona Group (2168 JP) is a “value stock.” It has loads of cash (but less than you think) and significant ongoing governance issues, but they are doing a TINY buyback. 
  • Several weeks ago we got an announcement which was odd. Not completely odd, just odd. Now in the past week we have market activity/announcements which make one wonder. 
  • This piece attempts to interpret some of the recent data/info points. One is odd. Another is odd but meaningful (but different than people think). A third is just technical. 

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 363bn (US$12.1bn).
  • Following a change in methodology, there could be 16 adds and 6 deletes in June with an estimated one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn.
  • We expect the adds to outperform the deletes over the next few days, following which reversion could set in.

HD Hyundai: Will It Increase Ownership Stake In HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering?

By Douglas Kim

  • There has been an increasing speculation of HD Hyundai increasing its stake in HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (HD KSOE) in 2025. 
  • There are two main reasons why HD Hyundai could increase its stake in HD KSOE. 
  • They include HD KSOE contributing higher percentage of dividend income and continued full-fledged recovery of the operating profits of the HD HHI and HD Hyundai Mipo. 

FnGuide Top 10 & Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Continues

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 2 changes for the FnGuide Top 10 Index and 1 change for the FnGuide Top 10 Equal Weight Index in June.
  • There will be capping inflows for Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), capping outflows for SK Hynix (000660 KS) and funding outflows for the other index constituents.
  • A long adds/ short deletes trade has performed well historically for the FnGuide Top 10 Index with positive performance till implementation followed by reversion post implementation in most cases.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 30th): Meituan and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 30th): Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent
  • HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Bilibili, Kingsoft
  • Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 30th): Advanced Info Service, Gulf Energy Development
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 30th): Wiwynn, Asia Vital Components, TSMC, Wistron
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 30th): Mediatek, Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, TSMC
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 30th): Sme, Hyundai Rotem, Samsung Heavy Industries
  • Bursa Short Interest Weekly (May 30th): Sime Darby, Genting Malaysia, Bumi Armada, Ammb


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 30th): Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 30th.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight flows for Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, BYD, AIA.

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Bilibili, Kingsoft

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 23rd.
  • Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
  • We highlight short changes in Meituan (3690 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), Kingsoft (3888 HK).

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 30th): Advanced Info Service, Gulf Energy Development

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 30th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.
  • We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Gulf Energy Development, Central Pattana, Cp Axtra Nvdr, Bangkok Bank.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 30th): Wiwynn, Asia Vital Components, TSMC, Wistron

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 30th. The aggregated holding was USD1,003.0bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD757mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Wiwynn, Asia Vital Components, TSMC, Wistron, Asustek Computer, Cathay Financial, Mediatek, Wan Hai Lines, Ctbc Financial, UMC.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 30th): Mediatek, Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, TSMC

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 30th. The aggregated short interest was USD23.9bn.
  • We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Mediatek, Cathay Financial, Ctbc Financial, TSMC, Yang Ming Marine, Tatung, Asia Vital Components.

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 30th): Sme, Hyundai Rotem, Samsung Heavy Industries

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of May 30th. The aggregated holding was USD537.8bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD964mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sme, Hyundai Rotem, Samsung Heavy Industries, Doosan Enerbility, Kakao, SK Hynix.

Bursa Short Interest Weekly (May 30th): Sime Darby, Genting Malaysia, Bumi Armada, Ammb

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of Bursa stocks as of May 30th. The aggregated short interest is USD360m.
  • We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Sime Darby, Genting Malaysia, Bumi Armada, Ammb, Genetec Technology.

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Daily Brief ESG: Governance Issues Were Not Highlighted and the Win-Win by REIT Sponsors and Investors Continues and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Governance Issues Were Not Highlighted and the Win-Win by REIT Sponsors and Investors Continues


Governance Issues Were Not Highlighted and the Win-Win by REIT Sponsors and Investors Continues

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While offering non-serious TOB prices, knowing that the likelihood of TOBs by the activist fund is low, the aim to extract concessions from the REIT and sponsor companies was successful.
  • The governance problem is the composition of the company, which continues to manage off-balance sheet real estate through its subsidiary REIT asset management company.
  • So far, however, governance issues have not received much attention, only confirming the sponsor companies’ willingness to continue REIT control and investors’ benefit from higher REIT stock prices by TOBs.

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Daily Brief ECM: ECM Weekly (2 June 2025) -Indigo and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ECM Weekly (2 June 2025) -Indigo, ITC, EBOS, Isuzu, Foshan Haitian, Lens Tech, Seres, Schloss, Aegis
  • Aegis Vopak IPO: Anemic Demand
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.1)-Akeso/Summit’s Disappointing Ph3 Readout,Valuation Outlook of Biokin
  • Schloss Bangalore IPO Trading – Decent Anchor; Muted Overall Demand
  • Pre-IPO Softcare – Strong Performance Growth Momentum Would Continue


ECM Weekly (2 June 2025) -Indigo, ITC, EBOS, Isuzu, Foshan Haitian, Lens Tech, Seres, Schloss, Aegis

By Sumeet Singh


Aegis Vopak IPO: Anemic Demand

By Nicholas Tan

  • Aegis Vopak Terminals Ltd (1902844D IN) raised about US$328m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • It is the largest Indian third-party owner and operator (in terms of storage capacity) of tank storage terminals for liquified petroleum gas (LPG) and liquid products.
  • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance, undertook a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.1)-Akeso/Summit’s Disappointing Ph3 Readout,Valuation Outlook of Biokin

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • CR Sanjiu plans to transfer 49.8967% equity of Sanjiu (Anguo) and pay more attention to the quality of external M&As. China Resources+Tasly+KPC will be the core drivers of future performance.
  • Akeso’s first global phase 3 readout for ivonescimab was disappointing, which cast shadow on the final FDA approval. We shared our views on the outlook and valuation ahead.
  • The failure of HER3-DXd cast shadow over the outlook of HER3. We think Biokin is overvalued. Its valuation should be lower than Akeso and Kelun Bio.

Schloss Bangalore IPO Trading – Decent Anchor; Muted Overall Demand

By Akshat Shah

  • Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) raised about US$400m in its India IPO. 
  • It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Pre-IPO Softcare – Strong Performance Growth Momentum Would Continue

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Softcare has established its core competitiveness of “low price + localization”, and has achieved success in Africa. Softcare hopes to replicate its business model in Africa to other markets.
  • Emerging Markets have seen sustained growth in market penetration of baby/feminine hygiene products. We’re optimistic about Softcare’s future performance growth due to “demographic dividend + consumption upgrade” in Emerging Markets.
  • Softcare has strong fundamentals and promising outlook. We think valuation of Softcare should be higher than Hengan International Group (1044 HK) due to higher profit margin and future growth potential.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: [Japan Buyback] Leopalace (8848 JP) – A Giant Buyback To Get Fortress Partially Out and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan Buyback] Leopalace (8848 JP) – A Giant Buyback To Get Fortress Partially Out
  • [Japan Buybacks] – Buybacks Announced 26-30 May 2025 And Company Buyback History
  • Soul Patts & Brickworks: Index Impact of A$14bn Merger
  • Merger Arb Mondays (02 June) – Seven & I, SBI Sumishin, Shibaura, Mayne, ENN Energy, HKBN, Zeekr
  • Soul Patts/Brickworks To Unwind Circularity
  • (Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin
  • Nifty 50 and the RBI Rate Decision: History Has a Pattern
  • [Alert] Buy Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP)
  • Renatus Tactical Acquisition Corp I: SPAC with Crypto Focus and Trump-Linked Management


[Japan Buyback] Leopalace (8848 JP) – A Giant Buyback To Get Fortress Partially Out

By Travis Lundy

  • Leopalace21 Corp (8848 JP) had a giant oopsie in 2018-2021 where they lost ¥180bn over three years because of defective construction requiring repairs. 
  • Murakami and others got involved. Leopalace got financing from FIG (shares/SARs/loan), Murakami bailed. Eventually Hikari Tsushin got in. Leopalace got FIG out of their loan, doing a refi through Mizuho.
  • Cash was up, cashflow is strong. Business is changed/revived. Now Leopalace is buying back SARs it sold to FIG. FIG will still own 26%. The future is potentially interesting. Still. 

[Japan Buybacks] – Buybacks Announced 26-30 May 2025 And Company Buyback History

By Travis Lundy

  • Buybacks in Japan are becoming a much greater driver of shareholder return than in previous years. The total amount of buybacks announced just during the March-end earnings season cleared ¥7trln.
  • Quiddity has developed a buyback tool which tracks Japanese buybacks and the buyback history for any given company. Isuzu Motors (7202 JP) announced a big post-Offering buyback this week.
  • Want to see how Isuzu has executed buybacks the past decade? Daily data? % volume? You can check here for any of the 21 companies which announced buybacks this week. 

Soul Patts & Brickworks: Index Impact of A$14bn Merger

By Brian Freitas



Soul Patts/Brickworks To Unwind Circularity

By David Blennerhassett

  • The cross-shareholding between Washington H. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU) (Soul Patts) and Brickworks Ltd (BKW AU) was established in 1969 to defend the companies from the corporate raiders.
  • Perpetual pursued a case in the Federal Court of Australia, alleging that the cross-shareholding was oppressive to minority shareholders; however the claim was dismissed in 2017.
  • Today, via inter-conditional Schemes, the circularity is set to be unwound through a merger. Soul Patts currently owns 43.3% in Brickworks, and Brickworks 26% in Soul Patts. 

(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

By David Blennerhassett

  • For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. 
  • The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.
  • The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.

Nifty 50 and the RBI Rate Decision: History Has a Pattern

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is set to announce a monetary policy decision on Friday, 6 June 2025.
  • Market Expectations: The consensus anticipates a 25-basis-point rate cut, lowering the rate from currently 6.00% to 5.75%. Historically, one in four RBI rate decisions is a surprise to the market.
  • This Insight investigates past market behavior during comparable RBI policy announcements, unearthing a surprising statistic about how the Nifty 50 might react to June’s decision, regardless of the outcome.

[Alert] Buy Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP)

By Richard Howe

  • I thought I had missed NLOP. But a conversation at the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting convinced me to take another look.
  • I told a friend that I “was pissed that I missed NLOP.” He said, “You haven’t missed it. All recourse debt has been paid off and the company is about to start paying dividends.”
  • So I made a decision to revisit NLOP with a fresh perspective.

Renatus Tactical Acquisition Corp I: SPAC with Crypto Focus and Trump-Linked Management

By Special Situation Investments

  • Renatus Tactical Acquisition Corp I (RTAC) is a SPAC targeting crypto/blockchain with a $240m IPO, led by Trump Media executives.
  • RTAC units include one share and half a warrant, with a trust value of $10.025/share, trading above trust value.
  • RTAC’s sponsor sold 1.5m shares and 0.7m warrants post-IPO at $2.45/unit, below IPO price.

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