
In today’s briefing:
- Can India’s Equity Outperformance Last?
- Ohayo Japan | Markets Watchful
- How Trump’s tariffs threaten Ireland’s pharma fortune
- Japan Consumer Sector Update: Q4 FY2025 Wrap-Up and FY2026 Outlook
- [Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/XPEV US/1810 HK/Macro
- Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Names Lower, but Seagate IR Day a Big Success
- Indian Hotel Industry: A Comparative Analysis of Top Hotel Chains
- #151 India Insight: Defence Exports up 34x, Seafood at $7.2B, Coal India Plans 2 IPOs
- AC & Cooling Product Market Slowdown in India: What Top Players Are Saying?
- Rio Tinto Doubles Down on Lithium: A Late Entrant with Long-Term Intent

Can India’s Equity Outperformance Last?
- Indian equities have delivered envious returns and consistently rewarded shareholders, showcasing superior per share earnings growth and a high number of firms with strong Return on Equity.
- While GDP grows robustly (projected 6.3% FY25, 6.4% 2026), earnings growth, robust household consumption (7.1% CAGR over 34 years), and increasing investments are key drivers.
- The FY26 outlook is cautiously optimistic, with potential 12-15% Nifty returns driven by tailwinds, but current valuations and global risks necessitate a careful approach.
Ohayo Japan | Markets Watchful
- The S&P 500 ended near flat, down 0.04% to 5,842, as investors weighed fears of rising rates and a growing US deficit.
- Japanese listed companies anticipate a 7% decline in total net profit for the fiscal year ending March 2026, marking the first fall in six years
- Foreign visitors to Japan surged 28.5% year-on-year in April, reaching a record 3.91 million, fueled by the cherry blossom season and Easter holidays, and a weak yen.
How Trump’s tariffs threaten Ireland’s pharma fortune
- Westport in County Meal, Ireland is a lively town with traditional pubs and a scenic backdrop of Croagh Patrick mountain.
- The town benefits from American pharmaceutical companies like Allergan manufacturing products such as Botox, thanks to Ireland’s low corporate tax rates.
- However, President Trump’s desire to bring back manufacturing to the US poses a threat to Ireland’s economy and its relationship with multinational companies.
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Japan Consumer Sector Update: Q4 FY2025 Wrap-Up and FY2026 Outlook
- The food and beverage sector stands out for its aggressive dual approach—raising prices while driving internal efficiencies—which could position it for earnings outperformance if input cost inflation stabilizes.
- Alcoholic beverage makers are facing near-term consumption risks post-price hikes. Yet they are pursuing structural cost improvements to safeguard margins.
- Department store operators are balancing strong recent performance and structural transformation with near-term headwinds from remodeling and softer inbound trends.
[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/XPEV US/1810 HK/Macro
- LI US/1211 HK/XPEV US: NEV Weekly Sales Ranking (May 12-18, 2025) (+/+/-)
- 1211 HK: Denza and Formula Leopard Units Merged Back into Parent Company (+)
- 1810 HK : Xuanjie O1 Chip Enters Mass Production (+)
Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Names Lower, but Seagate IR Day a Big Success
- Watch for upside in names involved in HAMR drives such as TDK after positive comments from Seagate.
- Rohm finally starting to get bucketed as an AI name could see significant upside after deep correction.
- Quantum names continuing to surge with huge moves in IonQ and D-Wave sets positive tone for Socionext still.
Indian Hotel Industry: A Comparative Analysis of Top Hotel Chains
- Mid-Market players SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) and Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd (LEMONTRE IN) led FY18-24 revenue and EBITDA growth with 16%/31% and 14%/25% CAGRs respectively, reflecting aggressive expansion.
- FY24 saw strong average occupancy of 72% with rising RevPAR across luxury (high ARR) and mid-scale (volume) segments.
- Indian Hotels (IH IN) and Lemon Tree lead the pipeline with 74% and 59% key growth, driven by asset-light strategies for faster scale-up.
#151 India Insight: Defence Exports up 34x, Seafood at $7.2B, Coal India Plans 2 IPOs
- India’s defense exports grew 34-fold in 11 years, aiming for Rs 30,000 crore in FY26, supported by policy reforms.
- India is now the fourth-largest exporter of marine products, with exports rising to 16.85 LMT and valued at $7.2 billion.
- Coal India Ltd (COAL IN) begins process to list BCCL and CMPDI subsidiaries, will file DRHP with Sebi soon, IPO timing dependent on market.
AC & Cooling Product Market Slowdown in India: What Top Players Are Saying?
- Secondary sales in the cooling market slowed recently, impacted by delayed summer onset and unseasonal rains across parts of the country.
- The secondary sales slowdown, tied to weather unpredictability, could impact immediate growth but does not reflect fundamental shifts in demand.
- While short-term weather challenges have created inventory delays, the cooling sector’s fundamentals remain strong, with long-term growth drivers like low penetration and GDP growth continuing to support industry expansion.
Rio Tinto Doubles Down on Lithium: A Late Entrant with Long-Term Intent
- Rio Tinto has been confirmed as the preferred partner for Chile’s Salares Altoandinos project, marking a major step in scaling its lithium ambitions.
- Lithium demand is expected to grow over 5x by 2040, driven by electric vehicles and energy storage, though rising supply and tech shifts may cap long-term pricing.
- Zijin Mining is a preferred play given its diversified -copper and gold and expanding lithium footprint & lower valuation. Albemarle could face pressure from intensifying competition, rising low-cost supply etc.