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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Crypto: Digital Asset Landscape Primer: Part 1 and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Digital Asset Landscape Primer: Part 1


Digital Asset Landscape Primer: Part 1

By Christopher Rosa

  • Blockchain Basics: Blockchain is a decentralized ledger recording transactions without a central authority. Participants validate and store immutable, transparent data, ensuring trust and security throughout the network.
  • Blockchain Layers: The blockchain ecosystem consists of Layer 1 (core blockchain), Layer 2 (scaling solutions), and Layer 3 (applications), all working together to enable secure, scalable interactions with blockchain technology.
  • Key Concepts: Blockchain principles include immutability (data cannot be changed), permissionless participation (open to anyone), and decentralization (no single entity controls the system), ensuring security, transparency, and trust across networks.

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Daily Brief Macro: Rubber Board Says Q1 FY25 Production Near Stable But ATMA Disputes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Rubber Board Says Q1 FY25 Production Near Stable But ATMA Disputes
  • The Drill: Geopolitical risk premium in crude now almost gone
  • UK Inflation Hits Its Bouncy Bottom
  • Indonesia: Policy Rate Held At 6.00% (consensus 6.0%) in Oct-24
  • Thailand: 25bp Rate Cut To 2.25% (consensus 2.5%) in Oct-24
  • Actinver Research – Macro Daily: CEO Dialogue & IMF Article IV
  • CX Daily: China Forestry’s Fall Under Corruption Cloud Reveals Weakness in State-Owned System
  • CX Daily: Chinese AI-App Makers Look Overseas for Their Big Break


Rubber Board Says Q1 FY25 Production Near Stable But ATMA Disputes

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Consumption declines by .3% to 356,000 tons in Q1 FY 25
  • ATMA says April-Sept 2024 production 37% lower year on year
  • ATMA asks Rubber Board to expedite data publishing

The Drill: Geopolitical risk premium in crude now almost gone

By Ulrik Simmelholt

  • The fiscal briefings from China last weekend were exactly what we feared and have been warning about—a big nothing burger.
  • China keeps applying supply-side measures to a demand-driven problem, which is unlikely to succeed.
  • What China really needs is a forced increase in demand across the system, but instead, they’re focused on trying to incentivize demand for assets or reshuffle credit profiles.

UK Inflation Hits Its Bouncy Bottom

By Phil Rush

  • Surprisingly soft UK inflation data extended across the headline and conventional core metrics, partly because of substantial payback in airfares after August’s surge.
  • Only a slight unwind in October and ambiguous historical precedents for November mean much of this downside persists. However, other underlying signals were resilient.
  • The BoE can focus on this downside news and cut in November. Ultimately, signals for the underlying pressures in the cyclically tight UK economy should urge an early pause.

Indonesia: Policy Rate Held At 6.00% (consensus 6.0%) in Oct-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • Bank Indonesia kept the BI-Rate at 6.00%, aligning with market expectations, focusing on inflation control within the 2.5% ±1% target and maintaining Rupiah stability amid global uncertainties.
  • The central bank’s cautious stance reflects concerns about geopolitical risks and global market volatility, while future rate decisions will hinge on inflation trends, exchange rate stability, and economic growth prospects.
  • Ongoing policy measures aim to reinforce external stability with strategic currency interventions and supportive macroprudential policies to bolster domestic growth drivers.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Thailand: 25bp Rate Cut To 2.25% (consensus 2.5%) in Oct-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • The Bank of Thailand’s unexpected 25bp rate cut to 2.25% signals a dovish shift to support debt servicing, contrary to the consensus of no change.
  • Future policy will hinge on inflation developments, particularly the gradual rise towards the target range, plus sectoral economic growth disparities.
  • Credit conditions, debt deleveraging, and global monetary trends will influence the central bank’s rate trajectory.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Actinver Research – Macro Daily: CEO Dialogue & IMF Article IV

By Actinver

  • After Meeting with U.S. Investors, the Federal Government Announces Investments Exceeding $20 Billion by 2025.
  • On October 15, a meeting was held between the Mexican government and 240 senior executives from the United States and Mexico, aimed at strengthening investor confidence.
  • The Secretary of Economy, Marcelo Ebrard, highlighted during this dialogue that the ongoing legal reforms are focused on strengthening the rule of law and encouraging investment.

CX Daily: China Forestry’s Fall Under Corruption Cloud Reveals Weakness in State-Owned System

By Caixin Global

  • SOE / Cover Story: China Forestry’s fall under corruption cloud reveals weakness in state-owned system
  • Stimulus /Exclusive: China may add 6 trillion yuan in treasury bonds to buttress economy
  • Fugitive /: Fugitive Chinese tycoon arrested in Bali

CX Daily: Chinese AI-App Makers Look Overseas for Their Big Break

By Caixin Global

  • AI / In Depth: Chinese AI-app makers look overseas for their big break
  • Corruption /: Prosecutors will seize fugitive former official’s assets in $400 million embezzlement case
  • Payments /: UnionPay teams up with Vietnam partner to simplify QR payments across borders

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Rotem Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea: Stocks with Potential Passive Flows in November


Korea: Stocks with Potential Passive Flows in November

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief Australia: AUB Group Limited, Alkane Resources and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • AUB Group Placement – Well Flagged Selldown Will Clear the Overhang
  • Alkane Resources – Seamlessly shifting to Roswell


AUB Group Placement – Well Flagged Selldown Will Clear the Overhang

By Clarence Chu

  • Odyssey is looking to raise A$277m (US$186m) from selling its entire stake in AUB Group Limited (AUB AU).
  • The PE has been invested since May 2022 with its stake subjected to a two-year escrow period. There have been media reports surrounding the selldown over the past few months.
  • In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Alkane Resources – Seamlessly shifting to Roswell

By Edison Investment Research

On 14 October, Alkane released its Q125 quarterly activities report, showing almost all of its operating parameters in line with both guidance and our expectations for the full year. The exceptions were its head grade, which exceeded the upper end of the guidance range by 6.1%, and AISC, which improved upon the lower end of the guidance range by 9.1%. Most significant however was confirmation that AISC guidance reflects a one-off cost for decline development that is accounted as sustaining capital (rather than as an operating expense) and as a result we have increased our earnings estimates for FY25 by A$21.2m, or 85.8x (8,479%).


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Daily Brief Singapore: SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Suntec REIT, COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Rubber Board Says Q1 FY25 Production Near Stable But ATMA Disputes
  • S-REIT Ebb & Flow: From Q3 Gains to Recent Declines
  • kopi-C with COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore)’s Chairman and President: ‘Success comes to those who are prepared’


Rubber Board Says Q1 FY25 Production Near Stable But ATMA Disputes

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Consumption declines by .3% to 356,000 tons in Q1 FY 25
  • ATMA says April-Sept 2024 production 37% lower year on year
  • ATMA asks Rubber Board to expedite data publishing

S-REIT Ebb & Flow: From Q3 Gains to Recent Declines

By Geoff Howie

  • Over the past 4 weeks, the iEdge S-REIT Index declined 2.1% after a rally anticipating the 50 bps rate cut on Sep 18, with a total 3Q24 gain of 17.5%.
  • The S-REIT Sector is now among the top four Singapore stock sectors for net institutional inflows since June 30.
  • Mapletree Logistics Trust has seen the fifth highest net institutional inflow within the Sector, while Suntec REIT, Keppel DC REIT and Acrophyte Hospitality Trust make up the five trusts with the highest 2H24 to Oct 15 net institutional inflow.

kopi-C with COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore)’s Chairman and President: ‘Success comes to those who are prepared’

By Geoff Howie

  • Integrated logistics company COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) is combining acquisitions and other investments with a focus on digitalisation and sustainability to grow.
  • Since 2018, the company has invested significantly, including acquiring logistics company Cogent Holdings, to shift its main business from ship building, ship repairing and marine engineering to integrated logistics.
  • COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd. aims to become the best integrated logistics service provider in South and Southeast Asia.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Siloam International Hospitals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ) – Thriving Through Increased Intensity


Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ) – Thriving Through Increased Intensity

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Siloam International Hospitals has continued to execute on bringing in more patients and increasing revenue intensity at its hospitals in Indonesia, with strong growth across numerous metrics.
  • The company continues to lead its peers on average revenue per hospital bed and is an acknowledged leader across several specialities in Indonesia including cardiology, oncology, neurology, and orthopedics.
  • CVC now controls a majority stake in Siloam International Hospitals (SILO IJ) following recent disposals by Lippo Karawaci with the group being professionally managed. Valuations remain attractive versus peers.

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Daily Brief United States: Masimo Corp, Bitcoin, Exelixis Inc, Inspire Medical Systems Inc, WD-40 Company, Berry Global Group, BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust, Dave , Roivant Sciences Ltd, Alpha Metallurgical Resources and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Masimo Corporation: Expansion into Consumer Health Products & Other Major Drivers
  • Digital Asset Landscape Primer: Part 1
  • Exelixis Inc.: Expansion Of Cabometyx
  • Inspire Medical Systems: Expanded Market Penetration Catalyzing Growth! – Major Drivers
  • WD-40 Company: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Berry Global Group Inc (BERY) – Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024
  • Bp Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT) – Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024
  • Dave Inc (DAVE) – Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024
  • Roivant Sciences Ltd.: Expansion of VTAMA Applications & Clinical Pipeline Developments Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers
  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Dealing With Supply Chain Vulnerability. Fluctuating Market Demand & Pricing Instability! – Major Drivers


Masimo Corporation: Expansion into Consumer Health Products & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Masimo Corporation’s second quarter of 2024 earnings conference call came with updates that carry implications of both strength and ongoing challenges.
  • The company, primarily known for its healthcare technologies, showed a robust performance in its healthcare segment, with a noticeable 23% year-on-year growth in healthcare revenues, totaling $344 million for the quarter.
  • This growth is supported by a 29% increase in consumables and service revenue, reflecting strong demand for Masimo sensors, driven by hospital conversions and normalization of installations.

Digital Asset Landscape Primer: Part 1

By Christopher Rosa

  • Blockchain Basics: Blockchain is a decentralized ledger recording transactions without a central authority. Participants validate and store immutable, transparent data, ensuring trust and security throughout the network.
  • Blockchain Layers: The blockchain ecosystem consists of Layer 1 (core blockchain), Layer 2 (scaling solutions), and Layer 3 (applications), all working together to enable secure, scalable interactions with blockchain technology.
  • Key Concepts: Blockchain principles include immutability (data cannot be changed), permissionless participation (open to anyone), and decentralization (no single entity controls the system), ensuring security, transparency, and trust across networks.

Exelixis Inc.: Expansion Of Cabometyx

By Baptista Research

  • Exelixis, Inc. presented its second-quarter 2024 financial results, revealing a period of strong performance and strategic advancements in its portfolio.
  • The company highlighted significant growth in both its top and bottom lines, primarily driven by the success of the cabozantinib franchise, demonstrating a robust market presence, especially in renal cell carcinoma (RCC).
  • Globally, net product revenues from the cabozantinib franchise, along with revenues from partnerships, showed significant increases, totaling $618 million for the quarter.

Inspire Medical Systems: Expanded Market Penetration Catalyzing Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Inspire Medical Systems presented its financial results for the second quarter of 2024, displaying substantial growth and positive shifts across its operational and financial spectrums.
  • The company, dedicated to advancing medical solutions for obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), has achieved a significant milestone with the treatment of over 75,000 patients using its innovative Inspire therapy.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

WD-40 Company: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • WD-40 Company reported its third-quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings with continued positive trends, marking it the third consecutive quarter of growth across all three trade blocks.
  • The company recorded net sales of $155 million, an increase of over 9% compared to the same period last year.
  • The sales growth is reflective of an 8% increase when excluding favorable currency impacts.

Berry Global Group Inc (BERY) – Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • BERRY (BERY) has had a challenging start to the year but recent market trends have created an interesting investment opportunity for the company.
  • BERY had been in a strategic review process for its HH&S business, with expectations for a sale to improve their balance sheet, but instead announced a spin off with Glatfelter Corporation (GLT), causing a drop in stock price.
  • The stock is now in a state of “DEAL PURGATORY” until the transaction is completed, leading to a selloff in the stock price and possible undervaluation for investors to consider.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Bp Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT) – Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Investment opportunity in BPT, a grantor trust with royalty interest in Prudhoe Bay
  • Cash flow offset against increasing costs, risky but potentially lucrative
  • Factors affecting profitability include production levels, WTI prices, costs, and taxes; predicted decrease in value over next 12 months

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Dave Inc (DAVE) – Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Dave offers financial products to financially challenged Americans, including early wage access loans and digital checking accounts
  • Dave faces regulatory challenges in the fintech industry but is still considered a good long-term investment
  • The collapse of Synapse and regulatory scrutiny on banking partners like Evolve have raised concerns about the fast growth of fintech companies without proper supervision, highlighted in articles from WSJ and Bloomberg

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Roivant Sciences Ltd.: Expansion of VTAMA Applications & Clinical Pipeline Developments Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Roivant, a biopharmaceutical firm, reported its financial results and progress on clinical programs for the first quarter of the fiscal year 2024 during an earnings call led by CEO Matthew Gline.
  • This quarter, Roivant emphasized its ongoing efforts in expanding and executing its clinical pipeline, highlighting several key updates and future expectations.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Dealing With Supply Chain Vulnerability. Fluctuating Market Demand & Pricing Instability! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2024, delivering a performance that reflects both the resilience and challenges faced by the metallurgical coal industry.
  • The company announced an adjusted EBITDA of $116 million and total shipments of 4.6 million tons during the quarter.
  • Despite a decrease in adjusted EBITDA from $190 million in the previous quarter, the figures indicate strategic navigation through prevailing tough market conditions, characterized by weakened steel demand and subsequent impact on metallurgical coal markets.

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Daily Brief India: Inox Wind Ltd, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, NTPC Green Energy Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Clean Energy & Global Water ETFs: Changes for Asia & Impact
  • Rubber Board Says Q1 FY25 Production Near Stable But ATMA Disputes
  • NTPC Green Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Competitive Marketspace and Some Risks to Watch


Clean Energy & Global Water ETFs: Changes for Asia & Impact

By Brian Freitas


Rubber Board Says Q1 FY25 Production Near Stable But ATMA Disputes

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Consumption declines by .3% to 356,000 tons in Q1 FY 25
  • ATMA says April-Sept 2024 production 37% lower year on year
  • ATMA asks Rubber Board to expedite data publishing

NTPC Green Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Competitive Marketspace and Some Risks to Watch

By Clarence Chu

  • NTPC Green Energy Ltd (2214556D IN) is looking to raise around US$1.2bn in its upcoming India IPO.
  • NTPC Green Energy Limited (NGEL) is a renewable energy public sector enterprise and a wholly owned subsidiary of NTPC Limited, a Maharatna central public sector enterprise (PSU).
  • In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Japan: Mazda Motor, Seven & I Holdings, WA Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Daiichi Sankyo, GENOVA , Onward Holdings, IDOM Inc, Takashimaya, Vector Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan: Potential Passive Selling in November
  • 7&I Holdings (3382 JP) – Artisan Writes Another Letter – Based on Content, They Should Sell Any Pop
  • Wa Inc (7683 JP) – Equity Offering, and TOPIX Inclusion But Very Lopsided Register
  • Fair for Managers Who Are Protected by Cross-Shareholding and Get Inflated Payout Due to Weak Yen?
  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) Valuation Update – Are We There Yet?
  • GENOVA (9341 JP): 70% Rally Over the Last Two Months; Here’s Why Outperformance to Continue
  • Onward Goes Young with Wego
  • IDOM Inc (7599 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update
  • Takashimaya (8233 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update
  • Vector Inc (6058 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update


Japan: Potential Passive Selling in November

By Brian Freitas

  • Up to 9 stocks could be deleted from global passive portfolios in November. The deletion will lead to liquidity events where trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
  • There has been a buildup of shorts on nearly all these stocks though the extent of the pre-positioning varies.
  • The increase in shorts is smaller than the estimated passive selling, though there is a fair amount of variability across the names.

7&I Holdings (3382 JP) – Artisan Writes Another Letter – Based on Content, They Should Sell Any Pop

By Travis Lundy

  • Some two weeks after it became apparent Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) had lobbied a bid in for Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP), Artisan Partners wrote a letter.  
  • It was full of misguided analysis, ungrounded insinuation of a general nature without specifying where they would have a problem. It seemed to be complaint for the sake of complaint.
  • Today another public letter. This time there are a couple of worthwhile suggestions, some accusations of fiduciary impropriety based on no evidence, and an implicit admission they should have sold?

Wa Inc (7683 JP) – Equity Offering, and TOPIX Inclusion But Very Lopsided Register

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday WA Inc (7683 JP) announced that on the five year anniversary of its listing in 2019, the stock would move to TSE Prime on 1 November 2024
  • They also announced a secondary offering of 2.86mm shares including greenshoe. That’s 15% of shares out but the offering will double total float. This is almost a re-IPO.
  • This will lead to a TOPIX inclusion on 27 December which will be smaller than the offering. This will be all retail. 

Fair for Managers Who Are Protected by Cross-Shareholding and Get Inflated Payout Due to Weak Yen?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • It’s understandable that compensation is paid for managing a global business and achieving significant growth, but it’s also paid for bloated performance in yen terms due to the weak yen.
  • Employee engagement is very important for value-added products and more money should be spent on human capital. Otherwise, higher profit margins are unlikely to be achieved.
  • The election of directors at AGMs rarely results in rejection of the company’s proposal. Cross-shareholdings should be reduced so that managers whose “employment” is protected by cross-shareholdings don’t receive commensurate compensation.

Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) Valuation Update – Are We There Yet?

By Avien Pillay

  • At a 51 NPE, Daiichi Sankyo was priced for perfection.
  • We do like their focus on the high growth oncology segment, however, we felt that the valuation left no room for error.
  • Post the two disappointing trial announcements, at a 39 NPE, the valuation is become more palatable and getting closer to our mid-thirties target entry point.

GENOVA (9341 JP): 70% Rally Over the Last Two Months; Here’s Why Outperformance to Continue

By Tina Banerjee

  • GENOVA (9341 JP) recorded better-than-expected sales and operating profit in Q1FY25, driven by continued strong demand. With the progress achieved in Q1FY25, the company is expected to beat H1FY25 guidance.
  • Medical Platform business has been experiencing steady growth in both the number of articles and page views, leading to creation of multiple contracts and improve the platform’s unit contract price.  
  • The company had 14K customers for the Medical Platform Business and the Smart Clinic Business in Q1FY25, a mere 8% of its estimated potential customer base of 173K clinics.

Onward Goes Young with Wego

By Michael Causton

  • Most of Onward’s current customers are in their 40s and older but the purchase of casual clothing retailer, Wego, increases its exposure to people in their teens and 20s. 
  • It will accelerate development of new omnichannel brands to match as part of plans to grow sales by 50% in the next six years and more than double operating profits.
  • Onward itself has been transformed by a switch to omnichannel and after years of slashing stores and sales now looks set to become a growth business again.

IDOM Inc (7599 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In 1H FY02/25, sales rose JPY46.0bn (22.6%) YoY, driven by large store operations and retail unit sales.
  • Operating profit increased JPY3.0bn (42.1%) YoY, with gross profit per retail unit rising to JPY440,000 (+60,000 YoY).
  • Revised FY02/25 forecast projects sales of JPY500.0bn (+19.1% YoY), operating profit of JPY20.3bn (+26.0% YoY).

Takashimaya (8233 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • The company revised its FY02/25 forecast, projecting operating revenue of JPY495.0bn and operating profit of JPY55.0bn.
  • Operating revenue and profit grew YoY across segments, with notable growth in Domestic Department Store and Contract and Design.
  • Takashimaya Financial Partners Co., Ltd. saw increased revenue from card transactions and expanded its Social Lending business.

Vector Inc (6058 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue decreased 4.1% YoY to JPY27.4bn, while operating profit increased 39.5% YoY to JPY2.1bn.
  • PR and Advertising saw significant profit growth due to provisions reversal, while Direct Marketing faced profit decline.
  • Revenue forecast downgraded; 1H revenue fell short due to client loss and food safety impact.

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Daily Brief China: China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H), UMP Healthcare, BYD, Tasly Pharmaceutical Group, BenQ BM Holding Cayman Corp., JD Industrial Technology , Horizon Robotics, Genting Bhd and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Theatre of the Absurd
  • GJS/Haitong Merger Musings
  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | UMP Healthcare: Undervalued Gem in Hong Kong’s Healthcare Market
  • TCM (570 HK): “Uncertain” To Spook Shares
  • BYD (1211 HK) Quick Note: Company and Industry Sales Up by 46% YoY and 51% YoY
  • CR Sanjiu (000999.CH) To Acquire Tasly (600535.CH) Update – This Is Already a Done Deal
  • BenQ BM Pre-IPO – Core Operations Are Steady but Has Been Losing Market Share
  • JD Industrials Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates – Few Hits, Few Misses
  • Horizon Robotics IPO – Peers Are Down a Lot, Its Valuation Isn’t
  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Anton Oilfield


China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Theatre of the Absurd

By Arun George

  • China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)’s monthly update notes that the consortium has secured SAMR approval and made progress in obtaining the other regulatory approvals. 
  • As expected, the precondition will not be satisfied before the 18 October long stop date. Unexpectedly, whether the consortium members will consent to the extension remains uncertain.
  • The extension will be forthcoming as the delay is procedural, there is a reputational risk from a deal break, the time investment is significant, and the warning was legally required.

GJS/Haitong Merger Musings

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back in March, the CSRC said it aimed to “form two to three investment banks and institutions with international competitiveness and market leadership by 2035″.
  • Last week’s announced merger between China’s leading state-backed brokerages, Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong (6837 HK), is a move in that direction. Expect more scrip mergers to follow. 
  • There have also been some media reports that the GJS/Haitong terms disadvantage holders of other Hong Kong broker stocks if potentially acquired in a merger. It’s not quite that simple. 

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | UMP Healthcare: Undervalued Gem in Hong Kong’s Healthcare Market

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome UMP Healthcare’s Chief Financial Officer and Company Secretary, Patrick Cheung. 

In the upcoming webinar, Patrick will share a short company presentation after which, he will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Sameer Taneja. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 15:00 SGT/HKT.

About UMP Healthcare

Founded in 1990, UMP Healthcare is a medical group listed on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (stock code 722. HK) and is one of the leading comprehensive healthcare service platforms in the Hong Kong market. They are committed to “providing comprehensive, diversified, and coordinated care for everyone” by creating a network of high-quality and effective medical services for patients, payers, providers, and partners.
 
Along with providing healthcare services that address a wide range of individual needs, UMP closely works with more than 2,000 local and international businesses and insurance organizations to establish and administer corporate healthcare benefit programs for members. The medical service network spans over 1,000 self-owned and affiliated institutions across Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China, offering services such as family medicine, specialist consultation, dental care, diagnostic imaging and laboratory testing, preventive medicine and health examination, physical therapy, day surgery, and endoscopy, among others. In 2024, the annual volume of outpatient visits under UMP exceeded 1.3 million.

TCM (570 HK): “Uncertain” To Spook Shares

By David Blennerhassett

  • China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) (TCM) will fall today. Perhaps a lot.
  • With two days left on the clock to secure the pre-conditions (18th October), the Offeror said “it remains uncertain” whether it can secure an extension from the investor group.
  • Such wording could be viewed as boilerplate SFC legalise. I would argue the use of “uncertain” is superfluous, unhelpful, and for investors, downright worrying. 

BYD (1211 HK) Quick Note: Company and Industry Sales Up by 46% YoY and 51% YoY

By Ming Lu

  • BYD’s deliveries growth accelerated to 36% YoY in Aug and 46% YoY Sep.
  • The whole domestic NEV (New Energy vehicle) market has been accelerating for for the entire third quarter.
  • We believe the EU and the US market are not concerns, as both domestic and other emerging markets are promising.

CR Sanjiu (000999.CH) To Acquire Tasly (600535.CH) Update – This Is Already a Done Deal

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Since Tasly’s performance growth has long stagnated and Yan Kaijing has no better way to turn the situation around, selling Tasly to SOE and cashing out becomes a good choice.
  • Upon completion of all approvals (e.g. the SASAC, SAMR, shareholders’ meeting of CR Sanjiu, etc.), the deal aims to be completed in 25Q1. We think the deal will get up.
  • Tasly’s share price should be at least higher than RMB14.85/share based on the cash transfer price. Its P/E would reach 30 in the future after the integration with CR Sanjiu.

BenQ BM Pre-IPO – Core Operations Are Steady but Has Been Losing Market Share

By Nicholas Tan

  • BenQ BM Holding Cayman Corp. (BBHC HK) is looking to raise at least $US100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
  • It is a leading private for-profit general hospital group in mainland China, operating two general hospitals – Nanjing BenQ Hospital and Suzhou BenQ Hospital.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

JD Industrials Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates – Few Hits, Few Misses

By Sumeet Singh

  • JD Industrial Technology is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • JDI is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC.
  • We have looked at the company background and provided our initial thoughts on valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the refiling updates.

Horizon Robotics IPO – Peers Are Down a Lot, Its Valuation Isn’t

By Sumeet Singh

  • Horizon Robotics is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
  • Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Anton Oilfield

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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