All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Lifestyle China, ESR Group , China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hang Seng Index and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer
  • Weekly Deals Digest (08 Dec) – ESR, HKBN, Lifestyle China, Seven & I, De Grey, SG Fleet, Kioxia
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – TCM VBP Update, GLP-1’s Good Story Broke, China TCM’s Sudden Rally
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT
  • EQD | Hang Seng (HSI Index) – Most Popular Option Strategies, Calendar Strategies on the Rise


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

By Arun George

  • Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. 
  • The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. 
  • While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.

Weekly Deals Digest (08 Dec) – ESR, HKBN, Lifestyle China, Seven & I, De Grey, SG Fleet, Kioxia

By Arun George


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – TCM VBP Update, GLP-1’s Good Story Broke, China TCM’s Sudden Rally

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The Medical Insurance Bureau of Hubei Province issued two documents on the VBP of TCM patent medicines.Shineway’s core product Qing Kai Ling is included, which would bring pressure on performance.
  • It’s time to be cautious about the outlook for GLP-1s. We may need to be mentally prepared in advance that the actual market size of GLP-1s is only US$100 billion.
  • Recent changes at the top of CNPGC have left some investors hopeful that China TCM will resolve horizontal competition as scheduled next year,but current bet on shares reversal isn’t wise.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

By David Blennerhassett


EQD | Hang Seng (HSI Index) – Most Popular Option Strategies, Calendar Strategies on the Rise

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Last week, the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) gained 2.3% an increase while volatility slightly declined by 0.2%. The volatility surface provides the context for last week’s most popular strategies, 
  • Low implied volatility and a flat term structure support long volatility strategies and Calendar Spreads. In a bullish sentiment shift, almost half the strategies reflect a bullish view.
  • The largest volume trade, an Iron Condor, is a rare example of a strategy generating premium income. This insight provides both aggregate data analysis and drill-down into individual trade parameters.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Rakuten, Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., Seven & I Holdings, Takigami Steel Construction and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Rakuten (4755 JP) – Trying To Goose The Stock Price Before Year-End or Mobile Sub Numbers for 2025?
  • Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN
  • Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities


Rakuten (4755 JP) – Trying To Goose The Stock Price Before Year-End or Mobile Sub Numbers for 2025?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, Rakuten (4755 JP) announced a new shareholder benefit (株主優待) program today, to reward shareholders as of end-December 2024. The stated goal? To “thank shareholders”… 
  • …And provide more people with the opportunity to try out the benefits of Rakuten Mobile, with 1yr free of a 30GB/mo mobile plan. There are conditions, but it’s juicy.
  • Last year’s 3mo plan was given with one day of notice. This year’s larger full-year govt gets 3+wks. They are juicing the sub numbers for 2025.

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit

By Arun George

  • Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) shares rose 26% after the Nikkei reported that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) is contemplating selling its 64.5% stake. 
  • Logisnext confirmed the sale process. In a fair process, minorities should receive the tender offer price plus the proportionate share of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries’ TOB tax benefits. 
  • Despite the rise in share price, Logisnext trades at a discount to peer multiples. At an offer of JPY2,000, Logisnext would trade in line with median peer multiples.

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN

By David Blennerhassett

  • Reportedly, Ito Junro’s MBO for Seven & I (3382 JP) includes a US assets IPO to help pay down MBO debt to Japanese banks.  Possible strategic mistake by Ito-san here.
  • Starwood/Warburg Pincus’ firm Offer for ESR Group (1821 HK) secures support from 30.79% of the register.
  • We may be wrong on Sanrio (8136 JP) by a big factor but the multiple and the concentration risk of momentum factor means you are in an illiquid stock.

Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities

By Altay Capital

  • Company is marginally profitable and owns a portfolio of securities (mostly public stocks) and rental real estate worth ~3x its market cap (~¥18,000 /share vs ¥6,000 stock price).

  • These figures assign zero value to the operating business and its fixed assets.

  • Activist investor is the #1 shareholder with a 17.4%. #2 shareholder owns 11% and will likely align with activist. Insiders don’t own enough to easily block future activism.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Most Read: Phison Electronics, Auckland Intl Airport, Kadokawa Dwango, Nexchip Semiconductor , Varun Beverages , Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., Yang Ming Marine Transport, Korea Zinc, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform
  • Auckland Airport (AIA NZ) Placement: Potential Index Flows
  • Kadokawa (9468 JP): Take Profits as a Sony Privatisation Rumours Surface
  • CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Inclusions for the Adds
  • Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?
  • Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Next Target in Logistics Space?
  • What Is the Real Purpose of President Yoon’s Martial Law – To Reveal Election Fraud?
  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks
  • Flow Trading Setup Triggered by Korea Zinc’s 21%p Float Rate Cut in KOSPI 200
  • Balancing The Scales: EUDR’s Evolving Impact On The Rubber Market


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

By Brian Freitas

  • The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).
  • We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.
  • An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.

Auckland Airport (AIA NZ) Placement: Potential Index Flows

By Brian Freitas

  • Auckland City Council is looking to sell 163.23m shares of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ) in a clean-up trade. This is big at NZ$1.3bn and 64 days of ADV.
  • The placement was expected by the market and the stock has run up despite that. The stock is in a trading halt and should open lower.
  • There will be passive buying at the time of settlement of the placement shares and that will mop up around 15% of the offering.

Kadokawa (9468 JP): Take Profits as a Sony Privatisation Rumours Surface

By Arun George

  • Kadokawa Dwango (9468 JP) shares rose 16% after Reuters reported that Sony Corp (6758 JP) is in talks to acquire it. Kadokawa confirmed an initial letter of intent. 
  • The privatisation interest is unsurprising as Kadokawa’s publishing arm, acclaimed intellectual properties, and positioning in the anime industry would be attractive to Sony.
  • The upside is limited as the last close reflects a significant takeover premium. There is a risk if a binding proposal emerges, it could be takeunder like Bain/T-Gaia.

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Index Inclusions for the Adds

By Brian Freitas

  • CSI announced the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 29 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 13 December.
  • There are 3 changes for the index, and we estimate one-way turnover of 1.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 570m (US$79m).
  • Nexchip Semiconductor (688249 CH) and United Nova Technology (688469 CH) are adds to other indices as well and the impact on the stocks will be a lot higher.

Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?

By Brian Freitas

  • Following the introduction of 45 stocks in the F&O segment from 29 November, there will be big capping changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in December.
  • We estimate one-way turnover of 21.9% leading to a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m). There are 25 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
  • There could be changes to the index methodology announced in the next few months and that could result in the deletion of a couple of constituents in March.

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105) – The Next Target in Logistics Space?

By Travis Lundy

  • A Nikkei article this morning several hours pre-open said that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) was preparing to sell its listed forklift subsidiary Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP)
  • The story says “Investors had been pressuring Mitsubishi Heavy to spin off or delist Logisnext” and we know the TSE dislikes dual listings. I would have expected a buy-in but…
  • There are a number of reasons why a buyer could find this asset attractive. I suggest reading all the way through and the tone of the Conclusions.

What Is the Real Purpose of President Yoon’s Martial Law – To Reveal Election Fraud?

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the most important questions about the martial law three days ago is why did President Yoon send special forces (297) to the National Election Commission?
  • President Yoon may have ordered troops to be deployed to the NEC to get to the bottom of the election fraud since all the important election servers are stored there.
  • It is EXTREMELY DIFFICULT to prove an election fraud. Even if President Yoon declares a war on election frauds, he must have extraordinary pieces of data to back this up.

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks

By Brian Freitas


Flow Trading Setup Triggered by Korea Zinc’s 21%p Float Rate Cut in KOSPI 200

By Sanghyun Park

  • Korea Zinc’s free float is dropping from 52% to 31%, a 21%p cut.
  • Despite rising volume, retail still dominates. With this trend continuing, the 80,000-share sell volume is unlikely to get buried without triggering noticeable price moves.
  • Ahead of big one-day flow events, shorts are loaded, causing a dip. On rebalance day, traders buy back, triggering a bounce. This event is likely to follow the same pattern.

Balancing The Scales: EUDR’s Evolving Impact On The Rubber Market

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • FAQ and guidance documents bring clarity
  • Synthetic rubber out of the purview of EUDR
  • Allows for rubber suppliers in countries like Vietnam and Indonesia to catch up

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Analytics and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Yang Ming Marine Transport, Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., Takigami Steel Construction, Core & Main and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks
  • Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit
  • Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities
  • Core & Main Inc.: Its Efforts Towards Strategic M&A & Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks

By Brian Freitas


Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit

By Arun George

  • Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) shares rose 26% after the Nikkei reported that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) is contemplating selling its 64.5% stake. 
  • Logisnext confirmed the sale process. In a fair process, minorities should receive the tender offer price plus the proportionate share of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries’ TOB tax benefits. 
  • Despite the rise in share price, Logisnext trades at a discount to peer multiples. At an offer of JPY2,000, Logisnext would trade in line with median peer multiples.

Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities

By Altay Capital

  • Company is marginally profitable and owns a portfolio of securities (mostly public stocks) and rental real estate worth ~3x its market cap (~¥18,000 /share vs ¥6,000 stock price).

  • These figures assign zero value to the operating business and its fixed assets.

  • Activist investor is the #1 shareholder with a 17.4%. #2 shareholder owns 11% and will likely align with activist. Insiders don’t own enough to easily block future activism.


Core & Main Inc.: Its Efforts Towards Strategic M&A & Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Core & Main, a leader in the water infrastructure sector, reported strong fiscal 2024 third-quarter results, demonstrating both growth and resilience amidst challenging conditions.
  • The company achieved record quarterly sales exceeding $2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $277 million, driven by a combination of organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
  • Sales grew by nearly 12%, reflecting both the company’s expansion efforts and robust demand across its core markets.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: CAR Group , Marvell Technology , Descartes Systems Grp, Hang Seng Index, nCino, Okta , Salesforce.Com Inc, SentinelOne , Box Inc Class A, Zscaler and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering
  • Marvell Technology Inc.: Custom Silicon Solutions As A Vital Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Descartes Systems Group: Will The Acquisition of Sellercloud to Enhance Omnichannel Ecommerce Solutions Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • EQD | Hang Seng (HSI Index) – Most Popular Option Strategies, Calendar Strategies on the Rise
  • nCino Inc – How M&A Activity Might Help Catalyze Their Future Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Okta Inc.: An Insight Into Its Product Innovation & Ecosystem Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • Salesforce’s Big Moves: What Margin Expansion and Cloud Revenue Growth Mean for Investors! – Major Drivers
  • SentinelOne Inc.: Expanding Market Presence & Strategic Partnerships To Redefine the Industry! – Major Drivers
  • Box Inc.: Strategic Partnerships & Integrations As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers
  • Zscaler Inc.: Expansion in Data Protection & Security Operations As A Critical Growth Engine! – Major Drivers


Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the December 2024 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
  • There will be one ADD/DEL for both ASX 50 and ASX 200. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations.
  • In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.

Marvell Technology Inc.: Custom Silicon Solutions As A Vital Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marvell Technology Inc. reported its third quarter of fiscal year 2025 earnings, indicating a mix of positive growth and strategic shifts.
  • The company’s revenues reached $1.516 billion, exceeding guidance by $66 million and showing a 19% sequential increase, driven by heightened demand in the AI sector and strong execution.
  • On a year-over-year basis, revenue grew by 7%, marking a return to growth, with data center applications, notably in AI, accounting for 73% of total revenues.

Descartes Systems Group: Will The Acquisition of Sellercloud to Enhance Omnichannel Ecommerce Solutions Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Descartes Systems Group reported solid third-quarter financial performance, showcasing significant growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, while expanding its portfolio through strategic acquisitions.
  • The company registered a 17% increase in total revenues compared to the same period last year, driven by a combination of organic growth and successful incorporation of newly acquired businesses.
  • Organic revenue growth stood at approximately 10%, reinforcing the company’s ability to enhance its offering within existing operations.

EQD | Hang Seng (HSI Index) – Most Popular Option Strategies, Calendar Strategies on the Rise

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Last week, the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) gained 2.3% an increase while volatility slightly declined by 0.2%. The volatility surface provides the context for last week’s most popular strategies, 
  • Low implied volatility and a flat term structure support long volatility strategies and Calendar Spreads. In a bullish sentiment shift, almost half the strategies reflect a bullish view.
  • The largest volume trade, an Iron Condor, is a rare example of a strategy generating premium income. This insight provides both aggregate data analysis and drill-down into individual trade parameters.

nCino Inc – How M&A Activity Might Help Catalyze Their Future Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • nCino, a cloud-based software provider for the financial services industry, reported its third-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results, highlighting both achievements and challenges.
  • The company’s revenue grew by 14% year-over year, reaching $138.8 million, with subscription revenue contributing $119.9 million, also a 14% increase.
  • Driving this growth was strong sales performance in the U.S. market, particularly within community and regional banks, as well as the enterprise segment.

Okta Inc.: An Insight Into Its Product Innovation & Ecosystem Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Okta Inc.’s recent financial results indicate a nuanced position in the market, marked by both strong performance and ongoing challenges.
  • In Q3 of fiscal year 2025, Okta demonstrated robust engagement with large customers, evident from top 10 deals each exceeding $1 million in annual contract value, significantly involving partner ecosystems, which contributed approximately $20 million in annual contract value (ACV).
  • A notable portion of this success can be attributed to Okta’s deepening relationships within the U.S. federal vertical, highlighting the public sector as an area of substantial growth potential.

Salesforce’s Big Moves: What Margin Expansion and Cloud Revenue Growth Mean for Investors! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Salesforce posted a notable third-quarter performance for fiscal 2025, showcasing both strengths and emerging opportunities, albeit facing certain challenges in its transition to newer markets and technologies.
  • Revenue for the quarter reached $9.44 billion, marking an 8% increase year-over-year in both nominal and constant currency terms.
  • This growth was primarily propelled by robust performance in core segments like the Sales and Service Clouds, which saw double-digit growth.

SentinelOne Inc.: Expanding Market Presence & Strategic Partnerships To Redefine the Industry! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SentinelOne’s Q3 FY2025 earnings report highlights a period marked by notable achievements as well as persisting challenges, suggesting both areas of strength and potential risks in the company’s business landscape.
  • On the positive side, SentinelOne showed encouraging top-line growth, exceeding their revenue expectations with a yearly increase of 28% to $211 million.
  • Notably, the company’s Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew by 29% to $860 million, marking a significant rebound in their net new ARR which increased by 22% sequentially and positively year-over-year by 4%.

Box Inc.: Strategic Partnerships & Integrations As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Box, Inc.’s earnings for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 showcased the company’s strategic moves and operational gains, though certain challenges and market conditions were not overlooked.
  • In terms of financial performance, Box reported revenue growth of 5% year-over-year, reaching $276 million, a positive indicator given the prevailing economic conditions.
  • The company displayed notable operational efficiency with record gross margins of 82% and operating margins of 29%, reflecting solid discipline in managing expenses even as they invested in strategic growth initiatives.

Zscaler Inc.: Expansion in Data Protection & Security Operations As A Critical Growth Engine! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Zscaler, a leading cybersecurity company specializing in cloud-based security solutions, reported solid financial performance in its first quarter of fiscal year 2025.
  • The company’s revenue increased by 26% year-over-year to $628 million, reflecting robust demand for its Zero Trust Exchange platform and AI solutions.
  • Bookings growth also accelerated, surpassing 30%, indicating increased customer commitments to its offerings.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Serica Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Compressor at Triton Down for 2-4 Weeks


Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Compressor at Triton Down for 2-4 Weeks

By Auctus Advisors

  • After resumption of production at the Triton FPSO last week, an issue with one of the compressor seals has been discovered which has resulted in production being suspended.
  • These repairs are expected to take 2-4 weeks.
  • We are now cautiously assuming that Triton will be offline until YE24.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Financials: ESR Group , Jb Financial Group, St James’S Place and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Deals Digest (08 Dec) – ESR, HKBN, Lifestyle China, Seven & I, De Grey, SG Fleet, Kioxia
  • Jb Financial (175330 KS) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT
  • St. James’S Place Plc (STJ LN) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024


Weekly Deals Digest (08 Dec) – ESR, HKBN, Lifestyle China, Seven & I, De Grey, SG Fleet, Kioxia

By Arun George


Jb Financial (175330 KS) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • JB Financial is a Korean regional bank involved in traditional banking services such as mortgage loans, auto loans, and asset management
  • The bank has a stable performance with a 10-12% return on common equity and a strong 12.5% CET1 ratio, but trades at a low valuation of .56xTBV and 4-5x earnings
  • Activist fund Align Partners has influenced JB’s capital allocation decisions, advocating for buybacks and higher capital returns, while the bank offers a significant 6.6% dividend that has been growing at a double-digit rate

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

By David Blennerhassett


St. James’S Place Plc (STJ LN) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • St. James’s Place plc experienced a 50% decline in shares due to changes in fee structure impacting earnings
  • Despite challenges like regulatory provision and dividend cut, the company’s long-term SaaS conversion remains promising
  • Estimates project a 6% decline in earnings power but potential for significant value increase by 2030, making the current low valuation an opportunity for investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Health Care: China Traditional Chinese Medicine and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – TCM VBP Update, GLP-1’s Good Story Broke, China TCM’s Sudden Rally


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – TCM VBP Update, GLP-1’s Good Story Broke, China TCM’s Sudden Rally

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The Medical Insurance Bureau of Hubei Province issued two documents on the VBP of TCM patent medicines.Shineway’s core product Qing Kai Ling is included, which would bring pressure on performance.
  • It’s time to be cautious about the outlook for GLP-1s. We may need to be mentally prepared in advance that the actual market size of GLP-1s is only US$100 billion.
  • Recent changes at the top of CNPGC have left some investors hopeful that China TCM will resolve horizontal competition as scheduled next year,but current bet on shares reversal isn’t wise.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Yang Ming Marine Transport, Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., Takigami Steel Construction, Core & Main and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks
  • Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit
  • Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities
  • Core & Main Inc.: Its Efforts Towards Strategic M&A & Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks

By Brian Freitas


Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit

By Arun George

  • Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) shares rose 26% after the Nikkei reported that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) is contemplating selling its 64.5% stake. 
  • Logisnext confirmed the sale process. In a fair process, minorities should receive the tender offer price plus the proportionate share of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries’ TOB tax benefits. 
  • Despite the rise in share price, Logisnext trades at a discount to peer multiples. At an offer of JPY2,000, Logisnext would trade in line with median peer multiples.

Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities

By Altay Capital

  • Company is marginally profitable and owns a portfolio of securities (mostly public stocks) and rental real estate worth ~3x its market cap (~¥18,000 /share vs ¥6,000 stock price).

  • These figures assign zero value to the operating business and its fixed assets.

  • Activist investor is the #1 shareholder with a 17.4%. #2 shareholder owns 11% and will likely align with activist. Insiders don’t own enough to easily block future activism.


Core & Main Inc.: Its Efforts Towards Strategic M&A & Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Core & Main, a leader in the water infrastructure sector, reported strong fiscal 2024 third-quarter results, demonstrating both growth and resilience amidst challenging conditions.
  • The company achieved record quarterly sales exceeding $2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $277 million, driven by a combination of organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
  • Sales grew by nearly 12%, reflecting both the company’s expansion efforts and robust demand across its core markets.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Lifestyle China, Lululemon Athletica, Rakuten, Seven & I Holdings, Five Below, Hormel Foods, Pvh Corp, Swiss Water Decaffeinated Coffee, Bausch + Lomb, Vizio Holding and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer
  • Lululemon 3Q’24 Update
  • Rakuten (4755 JP) – Trying To Goose The Stock Price Before Year-End or Mobile Sub Numbers for 2025?
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN
  • Five Below’s The Bold Value Pricing Revolution: Unbelievable Deals Under $5! – Major Drivers
  • Hormel Foods Corporation: International Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • PVH Corp: Optimizing Direct-to-Consumer Strategy For A Competitive Edge! – Major Drivers
  • SWP.TO: Industry Outlook Shows Expected Catalysts for Swiss Water Growth Continuing
  • Bausch + Lomb Corporation: Product Innovation & Launch Cycles As A Pivotal Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Vizio Holding Corp (VZIO) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

By Arun George

  • Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. 
  • The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. 
  • While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.

Lululemon 3Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • While the overall market continues to hit All-time High almost every other day, Lulu has been battling the skeptics for much of this year.
  • There is still a long way to go, but with the stock now up almost 50% over the last three months, Mr. Market has likely started acknowledging that the bear narratives perhaps went a bit too far.
  • Glancing through the numbers for 3Q’24 may seem eerily similar to 2Q’24, but management’s tone was much more upbeat in tonight.

Rakuten (4755 JP) – Trying To Goose The Stock Price Before Year-End or Mobile Sub Numbers for 2025?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, Rakuten (4755 JP) announced a new shareholder benefit (株主優待) program today, to reward shareholders as of end-December 2024. The stated goal? To “thank shareholders”… 
  • …And provide more people with the opportunity to try out the benefits of Rakuten Mobile, with 1yr free of a 30GB/mo mobile plan. There are conditions, but it’s juicy.
  • Last year’s 3mo plan was given with one day of notice. This year’s larger full-year govt gets 3+wks. They are juicing the sub numbers for 2025.

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN

By David Blennerhassett

  • Reportedly, Ito Junro’s MBO for Seven & I (3382 JP) includes a US assets IPO to help pay down MBO debt to Japanese banks.  Possible strategic mistake by Ito-san here.
  • Starwood/Warburg Pincus’ firm Offer for ESR Group (1821 HK) secures support from 30.79% of the register.
  • We may be wrong on Sanrio (8136 JP) by a big factor but the multiple and the concentration risk of momentum factor means you are in an illiquid stock.

Five Below’s The Bold Value Pricing Revolution: Unbelievable Deals Under $5! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Five Below recently announced its third quarter results for fiscal year 2024, reflecting a blend of positive strides and ongoing challenges.
  • The company reported a 15% increase in sales, reaching $844 million, slightly surpassing its guidance with a comparable sales growth of 0.6%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share stood at $0.42, an improvement over the previous year.

Hormel Foods Corporation: International Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Hormel Foods Corporation recently held its fourth quarter earnings call, delivering a mix of positive developments and some areas of concern.
  • The company’s financial performance in fiscal 2024 reflected its strategic shift and operational initiatives, which helped manage a challenging macroeconomic environment and exhibited the resilience of its portfolio and team.
  • From a positive perspective, Hormel Foods reported a year of solid execution of its strategic initiatives, which included introducing innovative products across its portfolio, expanding its market presence, and reinvesting in its well-established brands like Hormel Black Label, Jennie-O, SPAM, and Applegate.

PVH Corp: Optimizing Direct-to-Consumer Strategy For A Competitive Edge! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Investors reviewing PVH Corp’s recent performance might note several key aspects from the second quarter of 2024.
  • On the positive side, PVH has managed to align its revenue with guidance while exceeding profitability and earnings per share expectations.
  • A notable achievement was expanding EBIT margins, partly due to improving gross margins by 250 basis points and enhancing inventory productivity, with a 12% year-over-year reduction in inventory.

SWP.TO: Industry Outlook Shows Expected Catalysts for Swiss Water Growth Continuing

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • With consumption of decaffeinated coffee rising at a faster pace than that of the overall coffee beverage category, we expect substantial growth opportunities for Swiss Water.
  • In our view, SWP’s natural decaffeination process is a key factor that helps drive demand for its coffee, particularly given the positive tailwind from coffee consumption trends.
  • We note, however, that rising coffee futures prices potentially signal that coffee prices will rise.

Bausch + Lomb Corporation: Product Innovation & Launch Cycles As A Pivotal Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Bausch + Lomb’s third-quarter 2024 financial results reflect a period of significant growth and strategic execution across its key business segments.
  • The company reported a total revenue of $1.196 billion, marking a 19% constant currency growth, with a 10% organic increase.
  • This performance is attributed to the company’s focus on operational excellence, sales, and innovation, supported by the rollout of new products and enhancement of existing ones.

Vizio Holding Corp (VZIO) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Vizio is at risk of a potential merger termination with Walmart due to anti-trust concerns
  • Stock trades at a small discount to the deal price, indicating concerns about deal approval
  • Potential upside for shorting Vizio stock is 30%, with downside limited to 2% equivalent to deal price.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars