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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Siam Cement, Rubber Future SGX TSR20, KEC International, Vedanta Resources, Bradespar SA, Zephyr Energy, Crude Oil, Eastman Chemical Co, Corteva and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025
  • Helixtap China Report: China Rubber Market Likely to Remain Rangebound in November
  • Temporary Shock, Structural Strength: Why KEC’s Upcycle Still Holds
  • Primer: Vedanta Resources (VED LN) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Bradespar SA (BRAP4 BZ) – Nov 2025
  • Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Potential resource boost in the Paradox
  • Oil futures: Prices lower after volatile session amid Russia talks
  • Myanmar Rubber Steps into 2026 Aiming Productivity Push
  • Eastman Chemical Q3 Earnings: How Its Kingsport Ramp-Up Could Shift Industry Economics!
  • Corteva Inside: How a Bold Barter Strategy Is Reinventing Its Power in Latin America!


Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025

By David Blennerhassett


Helixtap China Report: China Rubber Market Likely to Remain Rangebound in November

By Arusha Das

Highlights

 

  • Choppy and rangebound price movement expected in November 

  • Narrowing SIR 20 vs INE spread could encourage substitution

  • September import and export trend diverged

  • Downstream restocking was selective rather than programmatic, leaving spot premiums capped

Temporary Shock, Structural Strength: Why KEC’s Upcycle Still Holds

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL) has barred KEC from new tenders for nine months starting November 18, 2025, though ongoing Rs.39,000 crore plus projects is unaffected.
  • KEC’s diverse orders limit PGCIL’s impact, PGCIL’s share in new orders is only 4% YTD, much lower than last year.
  • KEC’s Q2 success counters the PGCIL ban. With strong Q2 results and 8% FY26 margin guidance, the focus is now on execution and cash flow from its global pipeline.

Primer: Vedanta Resources (VED LN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Vedanta Resources is a globally diversified natural resources company with a strong foothold in India, focused on zinc, aluminium, oil and gas, and other base metals. The company is currently undergoing a significant strategic transformation, including a planned demerger of its primary businesses into separate listed entities to unlock value and attract investment.
  • The company has been aggressively deleveraging its balance sheet, having reduced debt at the parent level significantly over the past few years. Recent credit rating upgrades from agencies like S&P Global reflect improved financial flexibility and easing refinancing risks, supported by strong operational cash flows and successful bond issuances.
  • Future growth is centered on a $20 billion, four-year investment plan focused on India, targeting expansion in technology, electronics, and semiconductors, alongside its core commodities. This ambitious plan aims to capitalize on India’s economic growth but faces execution risks and is dependent on volatile commodity markets.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Bradespar SA (BRAP4 BZ) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Bradespar is a Brazilian investment holding company whose primary asset is a significant stake in Vale S.A., one of the world’s largest mining companies. Consequently, Bradespar’s financial performance is directly correlated with Vale’s operational success and the global demand for iron ore and other base metals.
  • The company’s strategy focuses on active participation in Vale’s management to influence long-term value creation. Bradespar’s revenue and net income are predominantly derived from the dividends and interest on equity received from its investment in Vale.
  • As a holding company, Bradespar’s valuation is often traded at a discount to its net asset value (NAV), which is primarily composed of the market value of its stake in Vale. The company has a history of distributing a significant portion of its earnings to shareholders through dividends.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Potential resource boost in the Paradox

By Auctus Advisors

  • Zephyr has nominated ~38,000 net contiguous Paradox acres for inclusion in upcoming federal lease sales by the U.S. Bureau of Land Management.
  • If fully awarded, this would represent a material expansion of the current 46,000 net acre position, of which only ~20,000 acres are currently covered by seismic.
  • Existing estimates of ~35 mmboe 2P reserves and 39 mmboe contingent resources are based solely on those 20,000 acres.

Oil futures: Prices lower after volatile session amid Russia talks

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures closed slightly lower Thursday following another choppy session amid huge uncertainty around sanctions on Russia, plus a mooted peace deal.
  • Front-month Jan26 ICE Brent futures were trading at $63.34/b (1953 GMT) versus the prior settle of $63.51/b, while Jan25 NYMEX WTI was at $59.01/b against a previous close of $59.25/b.
  • Benchmarks again tested one-week lows on rising US inventories and reports that the US was brokering a Russia-Ukraine truce, a move that would lower the geopolitical risk premium.

Myanmar Rubber Steps into 2026 Aiming Productivity Push

By Vinod Nedumudy

Highlights

• Ambitious yield goals target 1120 kg/ha

• China still takes around three-quarters

• Replanting financing remains a pivotal constraint

Production and yield dynamics in 2025 show rubber remains one of Myanmar’s industrial cornerstone crops. Available estimates place annual output around 300,000-350,000 metric tons, out of a total plantation area of over 600,000 hectares.


Eastman Chemical Q3 Earnings: How Its Kingsport Ramp-Up Could Shift Industry Economics!

By Baptista Research

  • Eastman Chemical Company recently held a conference call to discuss its third-quarter results for 2025 and provided some insights into its strategies and expectations for 2026.
  • The call highlighted both positive and challenging aspects of the company’s current performance and future outlook, offering a mixed view of the company’s standing in the market.
  • The company faced notable challenges in the third quarter, attributed to several factors.

Corteva Inside: How a Bold Barter Strategy Is Reinventing Its Power in Latin America!

By Baptista Research

  • Corteva Agriscience has reported its performance for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing a blend of strategic realignment and solid financial results.
  • The company is planning a strategic separation into two independent public companies by the second half of 2026, dividing its Seed and Crop Protection businesses.
  • The rationale behind this move is to enable each unit to optimize their individual growth trajectories amid evolving agricultural market conditions.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Reverse Sharply and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Reverse Sharply
  • Japan Morning Connection: Market Meltdown as AI Wobble Turns into Freefall
  • LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance
  • Singapore Market Roundup (20-Nov-2025): DBS is RHB’s top choice among Singapore banks.
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (20-Nov-2025): Princeton Digital Group starts $1B Jakarta data center.
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Nov-2025): Horizon Robotics drives China’s autonomous
  • Thematic Report on Small Finance Banks: The MFI Curse Is Fading & A New Era of Secured Growth Begins
  • What’s News in Amsterdam – 20 November (AkzoNobel | Corbion | Allegro | Consumer confidence)


Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Reverse Sharply

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks plunged 1.5-2.1% Thursday, erasing optimism despite Nvidia beat and strong jobs data.
  • Crypto, semiconductors, and AI momentum stalled hard; risk-off dominates markets.
  • Yen back to flat YTD vs USD; rising bond yields overshadow weak-yen benefit, pushing defensive rotation.

Japan Morning Connection: Market Meltdown as AI Wobble Turns into Freefall

By Andrew Jackson

  • Sandisk -20% on news that Samsung, and SK Hynix are look to expand NAND capacity.
  • Meltdown in the face of solid numbers from NVDA points to extreme upside exhaustion.
  • JP-China spat escalating with the US now weighing in means risk-off bid for rails may fade.

LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

By Jacob Cheng

  • We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&A and recovery in physical real estate market
  • 3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations
  • The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle

Singapore Market Roundup (20-Nov-2025): DBS is RHB’s top choice among Singapore banks.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • DBS is RHB’s preferred choice among Singapore banks.                        
  • HSBC identifies CDL as a ‘turnaround’ story by 2026.
  • CDL’s 3QFY2025 update boosts target price by 73%, RHB upgrades rating.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (20-Nov-2025): Princeton Digital Group starts $1B Jakarta data center.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Princeton Digital Group is building a $1 billion data center campus in Jakarta, Indonesia.
  • Centaline has expanded its student housing initiative in Hong Kong by acquiring Sai Ying Pun Tower.
  • A Hong Kong firm has secured a residential site in the New Territories for a total of $320 million.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Nov-2025): Horizon Robotics drives China’s autonomous

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Horizon Robotics is at the forefront of China’s advancements in autonomous driving technology, indicating a significant shift in the automotive industry.
  • Foxtron’s acquisition plans for Luxgen have raised concerns among investors, highlighting potential instability in the electric vehicle market.
  • The ASEAN region is experiencing a surge in global semiconductor IDM investments, reflecting a growing focus on technology development and manufacturing capabilities.

Thematic Report on Small Finance Banks: The MFI Curse Is Fading & A New Era of Secured Growth Begins

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • After a decade of volatile, high-cost build-out, India’s Small Finance Bank sector is at a inflection point, shifting decisively from high-risk MFI lending to diversified, secured loan books.
  • Market skepticism, fueled by past MFI stress and value erosion, has left most SFBs trading at a 10-35% discount. This valuation disconnect ignores maturing branch networks and superior growth potential.
  • The sector’s transformation is real, but not all SFBs are equal. The path to re-rating will be determined by execution in building a low-cost liability franchise.

What’s News in Amsterdam – 20 November (AkzoNobel | Corbion | Allegro | Consumer confidence)

By The IDEA!

  • Artisan Partners’ Global Value Team, a USD 35bn asset manager holding 1.4 million Axalta shares, has come out against the proposed all-stock “merger of equals” between AkzoNobel and Axalta.
  • The firm argues the deal is poorly timed given Axalta’s strong momentum: 12 consecutive quarters of EBITDA and margin growth, stable net leverage at 2.5×, and significant share repurchases planned, with over 90% of free cash flow targeted for buybacks this year.
  • In contrast, Artisan highlights Akzo Nobel’s long-term deterioration, citing revenue declines from EUR 14.9bn in 2015 to EUR 7.8 billion YTD 2025 and EPS erosion from EUR 4.02 to EUR 3.07

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Daily Brief Australia: Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd, ALS Ltd, JB Hi-Fi Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Reference Period Ending Soon; Some Surprises Possible
  • ALS Strikes Gold, With Upside Potential
  • JB Hi-Fi (JBH AU) Vs. Wesfarmers (WES AU): Statistical Arbitrage as Spread Hits Three-Sigma


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Reference Period Ending Soon; Some Surprises Possible

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
  • We expect two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200.
  • The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.

ALS Strikes Gold, With Upside Potential

By FNArena

  • Rising demand for commodities testing, supported by the soaring gold price, provided a strong first half for ALS Ltd, and it appears there’s more to come.
  • -ALS Ltd first half beat expectations -Better than expected growth in minerals testing -Junior miners set to begin exploration, increasing demand -Guidance seen as conservative

JB Hi-Fi (JBH AU) Vs. Wesfarmers (WES AU): Statistical Arbitrage as Spread Hits Three-Sigma

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The JB Hi-Fi (JBH AU) vs. Wesfarmers  (WES AU) price ratio has deviated more than three standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long JB Hi-Fi (JBH AU) and short Wesfarmers (WES AU) targets a 6% return.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Samsung Biologics , Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Aimed Bio, UltraGreen.AI, Axbio International, Hims & Hers Health Inc, Ray /KR, Soligenix , Aarti Pharmalabs, Zoetis Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics to Start Trading on 24 November
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Reference Period Ending Soon; Some Surprises Possible
  • Aimed Bio IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • UltraGreen.AI Pre-IPO: Dominant Market Position Amid Favorable Industry Tailwind to Drive Growth
  • Axbio (安序源) Pre-IPO: Structural Challenges
  • Hims & Hers Health: A Notable Shift Toward Core
  • Primer: Ray /KR (228670 KS) – Nov 2025
  • SNGX: Phase 3 FLASH2 Trial Enrolls 50th Patient Interim Analysis in 2Q26
  • Primer: Aarti Pharmalabs (AARTIPHA IN) – Nov 2025
  • Zoetis Surges Forward as Librela Stabilizes—Signaling a Major Comeback in 2026!


Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics to Start Trading on 24 November

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics will start to trade on 24 November. We remain positive on Samsung Biologics/Samsung Bioepis Holdings.
  • Operating profit more than doubled, up 115.3% YoY in 3Q25, indicating significant operating leverage. The company’s excellent results in 3Q25 is likely to positive impact the newly listed shares. 
  • Biologics division achieved 1.26 trillion won in sales with a 50% operating margin, while the Bioepis unit generated sales of 441 billion won with a 29% operating margin in 3Q25.

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Reference Period Ending Soon; Some Surprises Possible

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
  • We expect two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, and seven changes for ASX 200.
  • The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.

Aimed Bio IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Aimed Bio finalized its IPO price at 11,000 won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. Aimed Bio will be listed on KOSDAQ on 4 December.
  • A total of 2,414 domestic and international institutional investors participated in this IPO. The demand ratio of the IPO was 672 to 1 among the institutional investors.
  • Based on the final offering price, the offering amount is projected to be approximately 70.7 billion won, resulting in a market capitalization of approximately 705.7 billion won.

UltraGreen.AI Pre-IPO: Dominant Market Position Amid Favorable Industry Tailwind to Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • UltraGreen.AI Has filed for Singapore IPO. The IPO will consist of fresh issue as well as OFS from Renew Group Private Limited. Citigroup and DBS Bank are the joint bookrunners.
  • The company intends to use the IPO proceeds for funding the capex and development of the products, and pursuing strategic investments and acquisitions to support expansion plans in new geographies.
  • Ultragreen’s strong competitive moat, track record of revenue growth and margin expansion, and significant cash generation position it for continued success and leadership in the fluorescence-guided surgery-based imaging market.

Axbio (安序源) Pre-IPO: Structural Challenges

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Axbio, a China-based technology company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CICC and SPDB are the joint sponsors.
  • In our previous note, we look at the products and management team briefly. Although there are interesting takes from the prospectus, we are not convinced about its prospects.
  • In this note, we took a further look and are of the view that the company is behind the curve of competition despite its incremental innovation in PCR-microarray.

Hims & Hers Health: A Notable Shift Toward Core

By Baptista Research

  • Hims & Hers Health recently reported its third-quarter results for 2025, showcasing both potential opportunities and challenges as the company expands its footprint in the healthcare sector.
  • The company reported substantial revenue growth of nearly 49% year-over-year, reaching close to $600 million, a reflection of its strategic shift towards personalized healthcare solutions.
  • However, despite this impressive growth trajectory, several factors warrant a closer look.

Primer: Ray /KR (228670 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Ray is a high-risk, high-reward turnaround candidate in the digital dentistry sector. The company has experienced severe financial distress, with significant revenue declines and massive net losses in recent years.
  • Recent quarterly results for 2025 show nascent signs of a potential recovery, with a return to profitability in Q3. However, the sustainability of this recovery is highly uncertain given the extreme volatility in historical performance.
  • The company’s valuation appears attractive on a price-to-book basis, reflected in its high Smartkarma Value score. However, negative earnings and EBITDA render traditional earnings-based multiples meaningless, and the stock’s market capitalization has plummeted.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


SNGX: Phase 3 FLASH2 Trial Enrolls 50th Patient Interim Analysis in 2Q26

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On November 19, 2025, Soligenix, Inc. (SNGX) announced that 50 patients are now enrolled in the ongoing Phase 3 FLASH2 Trial of HyBryte for the treatment of cutaneous T cell lymphoma (CTCL).
  • Enrollment of the 50th patient will allow for an interim analysis to occur in the second quarter of 2026.
  • Thus far, for the patients that have completed the trial, the overall blinded response rate is 48%.

Primer: Aarti Pharmalabs (AARTIPHA IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Aarti Pharmalabs is a significant player in the global pharmaceutical industry, specializing in Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs), Xanthine derivatives, and offering Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization (CDMO) services. The company was demerged from Aarti Industries in 2022 to create a focused pharmaceutical entity.
  • The company holds a dominant position in the Xanthine derivatives market, being the largest Indian manufacturer and commanding a 15-20% global market share. This segment benefits from its use in beverages, nutraceuticals, and pharmaceuticals.
  • Strategically, Aarti Pharmalabs is focused on expanding its capacities, particularly in the Xanthine and API segments, and increasing its presence in regulated markets. A major greenfield project at Atali, Gujarat, is expected to be a key growth driver upon its commissioning.

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Zoetis Surges Forward as Librela Stabilizes—Signaling a Major Comeback in 2026!

By Baptista Research

  • Zoetis recently reported its third quarter financial results for 2025, revealing a 4% growth in revenue and a 9% increase in adjusted net income on an organic operational basis.
  • The results were fueled by strong performances in both international and U.S. markets, with international revenue growing by 6% and U.S. revenue by 3% when excluding divestitures.
  • However, this growth was moderated compared to previous quarters due to various market dynamics and challenges.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Toyoda Gosei, Smart Share Global, Oriental Watch, CJ Corp, JD.com , Asian Paints, Alliance Laundry Holdings, Sa Sa International Hldgs, Formosa Prosonic Inds and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering
  • Toyoda Gosei Placement – Somewhat Expected but Relatively Large with Delayed Buyback
  • Smart Share (EM US): On Stonewalling Hillhouse’s Offer
  • Oriental Watch (398 HK) H1 FY26: Maintaining A 12% Yield With 60% Of Market Cap In Cash
  • Ulta Beauty Vs CJ Olive Young (Let the Rumble Begin)!
  • JD.com (9618 HK / JD US): Top Option Trades Reveal Strong Bearish Sentiment
  • Decoding Asian Paints Execution Supremacy Amidst New Competition
  • US: 19 IPOs Forecasted for Index Addition in December 2025
  • Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Positive Trend Beyond the Results
  • Formosa Prosonic: Special Dividend of 80 Cents


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 29.7 million shares (34.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.7 billion (US$0.8 billion including overallotment).
  • Toyoda Gosei’s primary goal with the secondary offering is to reduce Toyota Motor (7203 JP)‘s shareholding to around 20% of outstanding shares.
  • The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.

Toyoda Gosei Placement – Somewhat Expected but Relatively Large with Delayed Buyback

By Sumeet Singh


Smart Share (EM US): On Stonewalling Hillhouse’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • After seven months had elapsed since receiving a preliminary non-binding proposal, Smart Share Global (EM US) announced on the 1st August a firm Offer (an MBO) had been entered into.
  • The Offeror consortium, led by Mars Guangyuan Cai, Chairman and CEO, is offering US$1.25/ADS, a 74.8% premium to last close; but ~20% below net cash + short-term investments.
  • Hillhouse upped the ante with a US$1.77/ADS NBIO. The share price hasn’t closed below US$1.25/share since; but the reason may not just hinge on Hillhouse firming its Offer.

Oriental Watch (398 HK) H1 FY26: Maintaining A 12% Yield With 60% Of Market Cap In Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Oriental Watch (398 HK) maintained its dividend yield of ~12% (annualized), declaring 20.8 HKD cents of dividend for H1FY26. Cash and Investments were ~ HKD1 billion (60% of market cap).
  • The company highlighted that the environment is challenging, given trade wars and tempered HK/Chinese demand. On our conservative numbers, the stock trades at 8.6x FY26PE. 
  • Oriental Watch (398 HK)  will maintain its high dividend payout ratio of ~100%. Over the past 8 years, the company paid dividends of 3.8 HKD/share (> the current share price).

Ulta Beauty Vs CJ Olive Young (Let the Rumble Begin)!

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss how Olive Young is likely to be a serious long-term threat to Ulta Beauty (ULTA US) (market cap of US$22.3 billion) in the United States. 
  • CJ Corp is the largest shareholder of CJ Olive Young. On 19 November, CJ Olive Young announced that it plans to open its first store in California in May 2026.
  • There is a growing probability that CJ Olive Young could successfully grow its business in the US, especially due to the continued strong demand for Korean cosmetics.

JD.com (9618 HK / JD US): Top Option Trades Reveal Strong Bearish Sentiment

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: Over the past few trading days, JD.com (9618 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
  • Highlights: Strategies tend to have a short-term horizon, with approximately 40% of all strategies employing weekly options. Bearish views dominate with almost 70% of strategies being put spreads.
  • Why read: This Insight breaks down complex option strategies and sheds light on market sentiment and positioning. Detailed examples provide actionable insights that could inspire similar strategies,

Decoding Asian Paints Execution Supremacy Amidst New Competition

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Asian Paints achieved a 7-quarter high in Q2FY26 with 10.9% domestic volume growth, driven by easing raw material costs and strategic integration, leading to a 2% margin expansion.
  • Despite heavy monsoons, strong execution drove a double-digit volume rebound, signaling stabilized consumer demand. This coupled with a key competitor’s executive loss, validates the firm’s defensive market position.
  • Asian Paints’ strong performance deserves a premium valuation but justifying it hinges on the perfect execution of its backward integration project and defending its competitive position.

US: 19 IPOs Forecasted for Index Addition in December 2025

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Positive Trend Beyond the Results

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Sa Sa International Hldgs (178 HK)‘s 1H FY25/26 profit came in at the top-end of the guidance. Its 3Q sales growth has so far increased 11.3%, a further acceleration.
  • Hong Kong and Macau should capture some of the diverted traffic as Sino-Japanese relations soured, while a weaker USD, as rates are cut, should make shopping cheaper.
  • With its ROE reaching 10-13% in FY26-28F (the best ones since FY21), its 5-year-low P/B multiple makes the stock a bargain.

Formosa Prosonic: Special Dividend of 80 Cents

By Punit Khanna

  • Formosa Prosonic announced an 80-cent Special Dividend as the management decided to return excess cash
  • 3rd quarter results showed EPS of 7.92 cents, though there is a gain on the sale of PPE of 35% of profits
  • Management but given the stock trading below cash we remain positive on the stock

Raising Money for Persons with Disabilities in Singapore

For your kind consideration

This report has been prepared by Vriddhi Consulting, founded by Punit and Debjani Khanna. A portion of the research was contributed by Shubham Khanna, an individual on the autism spectrum.  We are grateful to Smartkarma for providing a platform to share this research and amplify its impact.

All proceeds from the publication of this report will be donated to support people with disabilities in Singapore. If you find this report valuable, we invite you to support our campaign, “Raising Money for Persons with Disabilities in Singapore.” Every contribution directly benefits the Goh Chok Tong Enable Fund and qualifies for a 250% tax deduction for Singapore tax residents.

To contribute, please visit this URL. 


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Daily Brief ECM: Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering
  • Toyoda Gosei Placement – Somewhat Expected but Relatively Large with Delayed Buyback
  • SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – The Negatives – PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Northsand IPO: Priced at the Top, Narrative and Sentiments Possibly Justify Premium
  • Aimed Bio IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • UltraGreen.AI Pre-IPO: Dominant Market Position Amid Favorable Industry Tailwind to Drive Growth
  • Axbio (安序源) Pre-IPO: Structural Challenges
  • Central Bancompany (CBC): Posts Strong First-Day Performance as It Transitions From OTC to Nasdaq
  • NS Group Pre-IPO – Stable Growth in a Structurally Essential Market


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 29.7 million shares (34.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.7 billion (US$0.8 billion including overallotment).
  • Toyoda Gosei’s primary goal with the secondary offering is to reduce Toyota Motor (7203 JP)‘s shareholding to around 20% of outstanding shares.
  • The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.

Toyoda Gosei Placement – Somewhat Expected but Relatively Large with Delayed Buyback

By Sumeet Singh


SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – The Negatives – PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
  • In this note we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Northsand IPO: Priced at the Top, Narrative and Sentiments Possibly Justify Premium

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Northsand (446A JP) has raised US$140m in its Japan IPO.
  • Northsand is a consulting firm that provides both IT and business consulting services. Established in 2015, it helps organizations improve efficiency, modernize operations, and achieve sustainable growth.
  • In our previous note, we looked at its past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Aimed Bio IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Aimed Bio finalized its IPO price at 11,000 won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. Aimed Bio will be listed on KOSDAQ on 4 December.
  • A total of 2,414 domestic and international institutional investors participated in this IPO. The demand ratio of the IPO was 672 to 1 among the institutional investors.
  • Based on the final offering price, the offering amount is projected to be approximately 70.7 billion won, resulting in a market capitalization of approximately 705.7 billion won.

UltraGreen.AI Pre-IPO: Dominant Market Position Amid Favorable Industry Tailwind to Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • UltraGreen.AI Has filed for Singapore IPO. The IPO will consist of fresh issue as well as OFS from Renew Group Private Limited. Citigroup and DBS Bank are the joint bookrunners.
  • The company intends to use the IPO proceeds for funding the capex and development of the products, and pursuing strategic investments and acquisitions to support expansion plans in new geographies.
  • Ultragreen’s strong competitive moat, track record of revenue growth and margin expansion, and significant cash generation position it for continued success and leadership in the fluorescence-guided surgery-based imaging market.

Axbio (安序源) Pre-IPO: Structural Challenges

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Axbio, a China-based technology company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CICC and SPDB are the joint sponsors.
  • In our previous note, we look at the products and management team briefly. Although there are interesting takes from the prospectus, we are not convinced about its prospects.
  • In this note, we took a further look and are of the view that the company is behind the curve of competition despite its incremental innovation in PCR-microarray.

Central Bancompany (CBC): Posts Strong First-Day Performance as It Transitions From OTC to Nasdaq

By IPO Boutique

  • CBC priced at the low end and delivered a steady first-day performance, a strong outcome for an OTC up-listing with limited float.
  • Investor demand was multiple-times oversubscribed, driven by long-only and sector specialists, with the family retaining majority control and offering only 7.4% of shares.
  • Near-Term trading is expected to quiet sharply, with the stock likely to move in line with broader regional bank sector trends rather than company-specific catalysts.

NS Group Pre-IPO – Stable Growth in a Structurally Essential Market

By Akshat Shah

  • NS Group (471A JP) (NSG) is one of Japan’s leading rent guarantee service providers, offering payment guarantee and rent collection solutions to property owners and management companies. 
  • NSG aims to raise around US$260m in its Japan IPO via an entirely secondary offering, marking Bain Capital’s full exit from the company.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo
  • UST yields rose 2-3 bps across the curve yesterday, as the release of hawkish-leaning October Fed meeting minutes cast doubts over a rate cut in December.
  • This was despite a solid auction of 20Y notes. Yields on USTs rose 2 bps each, to 3.59% for the 2Y and 4.14% for the 10Y. Equities halted a four-day slide, after Nvidia reported solid Q3/25-26 results and gave a strong revenue forecast. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed 0.4% and 0.6% to 6,642 and 22,564, respectively.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Siam Cement, Fabrinet and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025
  • Fabrinet – Fabrinet Goes All-In on HPC: Will This Become Its Biggest Growth Engine?


Thai Pledged Shares In October 2025

By David Blennerhassett


Fabrinet – Fabrinet Goes All-In on HPC: Will This Become Its Biggest Growth Engine?

By Baptista Research

  • Fabrinet has reported strong financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing a record revenue of $978 million, marking a 22% increase year-over-year and an 8% rise from the previous quarter.
  • Non-GAAP earnings per share peaked at $2.92, reflecting the company’s robust operational efficiency and growth momentum.
  • The company’s positive results are fueled by diverse growth drivers across its business segments, suggesting a promising outlook for the continuation of growth into the second quarter.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung Biologics , Aimed Bio, CJ Corp, Sajo Industries, Lf Corp, Namyang Dairy Products Co, Ray /KR, Satrec Initiative, Taeyoung Engineering & Construction, TS Corporation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics to Start Trading on 24 November
  • Aimed Bio IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • Ulta Beauty Vs CJ Olive Young (Let the Rumble Begin)!
  • Primer: Sajo Industries (007160 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Lf Corp (093050 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Namyang Dairy Products Co (003920 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Ray /KR (228670 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Satrec Initiative (099320 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Taeyoung Engineering & Construction (009410 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: TS Corporation (001790 KS) – Nov 2025


Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics to Start Trading on 24 November

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung Bioepis Holdings and Samsung Biologics will start to trade on 24 November. We remain positive on Samsung Biologics/Samsung Bioepis Holdings.
  • Operating profit more than doubled, up 115.3% YoY in 3Q25, indicating significant operating leverage. The company’s excellent results in 3Q25 is likely to positive impact the newly listed shares. 
  • Biologics division achieved 1.26 trillion won in sales with a 50% operating margin, while the Bioepis unit generated sales of 441 billion won with a 29% operating margin in 3Q25.

Aimed Bio IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Aimed Bio finalized its IPO price at 11,000 won, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. Aimed Bio will be listed on KOSDAQ on 4 December.
  • A total of 2,414 domestic and international institutional investors participated in this IPO. The demand ratio of the IPO was 672 to 1 among the institutional investors.
  • Based on the final offering price, the offering amount is projected to be approximately 70.7 billion won, resulting in a market capitalization of approximately 705.7 billion won.

Ulta Beauty Vs CJ Olive Young (Let the Rumble Begin)!

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss how Olive Young is likely to be a serious long-term threat to Ulta Beauty (ULTA US) (market cap of US$22.3 billion) in the United States. 
  • CJ Corp is the largest shareholder of CJ Olive Young. On 19 November, CJ Olive Young announced that it plans to open its first store in California in May 2026.
  • There is a growing probability that CJ Olive Young could successfully grow its business in the US, especially due to the continued strong demand for Korean cosmetics.

Primer: Sajo Industries (007160 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Sajo Industries is a major player in the South Korean food industry, with core operations in deep-sea fishing and food processing. The company is undergoing a strategic transformation, expanding its portfolio through acquisitions to become a comprehensive food group.
  • Financial performance has been volatile, with recent operating losses and fluctuating cash flows. However, the company is showing signs of recovery in the most recent quarters of 2025. The dividend was suspended in 2024, reflecting the recent financial pressures.
  • Corporate governance is a key area of concern, characterized by a complex pyramid-like ownership structure controlled by the founding family. This structure concentrates influence and has led to shareholder activism in the past regarding inter-company transactions.

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Primer: Lf Corp (093050 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Lf Corp is a deeply undervalued apparel company, evidenced by a Price-to-Book ratio of approximately 0.27 and a high dividend yield, making it attractive to value-focused investors.
  • Despite its attractive valuation, the company faces significant headwinds, including declining profitability and negative free cash flow over the past three years, coupled with shrinking market capitalization.
  • Operating in the highly competitive and trend-driven South Korean fashion market, Lf Corp‘s future performance hinges on its ability to revitalize its portfolio of established brands and successfully navigate the ongoing shift to online retail.

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Primer: Namyang Dairy Products Co (003920 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Following years of severe reputational damage and financial losses, Namyang is at a pivotal inflection point under new majority ownership by private equity firm Hahn & Co., which is aggressively implementing governance reforms to rebuild consumer trust.
  • The company is showing early signs of a financial turnaround, with a return to profitability and positive operating cash flow in recent quarters after prolonged losses. However, long-term revenue trends remain negative, posing a significant challenge.
  • While the domestic market for traditional milk is shrinking due to demographic headwinds, Namyang has an opportunity to capitalize on growing demand for higher-value products like fermented milk, cheese, and health-focused dairy, and is expanding its infant formula exports to Southeast Asia.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Ray /KR (228670 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Ray is a high-risk, high-reward turnaround candidate in the digital dentistry sector. The company has experienced severe financial distress, with significant revenue declines and massive net losses in recent years.
  • Recent quarterly results for 2025 show nascent signs of a potential recovery, with a return to profitability in Q3. However, the sustainability of this recovery is highly uncertain given the extreme volatility in historical performance.
  • The company’s valuation appears attractive on a price-to-book basis, reflected in its high Smartkarma Value score. However, negative earnings and EBITDA render traditional earnings-based multiples meaningless, and the stock’s market capitalization has plummeted.

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Primer: Satrec Initiative (099320 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Satrec Initiative is a key player in the South Korean space industry, specializing in Earth observation (EO) satellite systems and vertically integrated solutions, including ground systems, imagery services, and AI-based analytics.
  • The strategic investment by Hanwha Aerospace, making it the largest shareholder, provides significant financial backing and synergies, positioning the company for growth in both domestic and international defense and commercial markets.
  • Future growth is underpinned by a strong order backlog, primarily from the South Korean government, and the development of the high-resolution ‘SpaceEye-T’ satellite constellation, which aims to shift the business model towards recurring revenue from data and solution services.

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Primer: Taeyoung Engineering & Construction (009410 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Taeyoung E&C is currently undergoing a creditor-led debt restructuring program initiated in late 2023 to avoid bankruptcy, stemming from a severe liquidity crisis tied to its extensive project financing (PF) loan guarantees.
  • The company’s financial performance has deteriorated significantly, culminating in a massive net loss and negative operating cash flow in 2023, leading to the suspension of dividends and a complete erosion of capital.
  • The future viability of the company is entirely dependent on the successful execution of its high-stakes workout plan, which involves significant asset sales (including stakes in TY Holdings and broadcaster SBS), debt-to-equity swaps, and operational restructuring under the strict oversight of its creditors.

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Primer: TS Corporation (001790 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • TS Corporation operates within a stable, oligopolistic South Korean sugar market, which provides a degree of predictability, though the industry faces headwinds from shifting consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives.
  • The company exhibits strong value and dividend characteristics, supported by a consistent payout history and a low price-to-book ratio, suggesting an attractive valuation for income-focused investors.
  • Key challenges include navigating the volatility of raw material costs, as South Korea is entirely dependent on sugar imports, and addressing the long-term secular decline in sugar consumption due to growing health consciousness.

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Daily Brief Financials: SBI Shinsei Bank, Canara Bank, Elite UK REIT, Bitcoin Pro, Central Bancompany, Kobo Resources , NS Group, JDC Group AG, HgCapital Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – The Negatives – PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • The Beat Ideas: Is Canara Bank’s Compounder Thesis Intact Amid NIM Compression?
  • Primer: Elite UK REIT (ELITE SP) – Nov 2025
  • If the ETF Era Made Bitcoin Investable, the 401(k) Era Could Make It Unavoidable
  • Central Bancompany (CBC): Posts Strong First-Day Performance as It Transitions From OTC to Nasdaq
  • KRI: Drilling Continues to Increase Footprint at Kossou
  • NS Group Pre-IPO – Stable Growth in a Structurally Essential Market
  • JDC Group — Q3 affected by low German consumer confidence
  • HgT — A B2B software play driving AI adoption


SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – The Negatives – PAT Growth Aided by One-Offs, Margins Under Pressure

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
  • In this note we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


The Beat Ideas: Is Canara Bank’s Compounder Thesis Intact Amid NIM Compression?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Canara Bank reported a robust Q2 FY26, defying sector-wide headwinds. The headline surprise was the sharp asset quality improvement, with GNPA collapsing to 2.35% and NNPA at a pristine 0.54%.
  • The bank has successfully pivoted from “balance sheet repair” to “sustainable compounder.” While NII is flat, the bank is offsetting this with volume growth and 42% jump in non-interest income.
  • With the “bad bank” legacy officially buried(PCR >93%), the narrative now shifts to value unlocking. The listing of subsidiaries and the decline in credit costs makes the current valuation attractive.

Primer: Elite UK REIT (ELITE SP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Elite UK REIT offers a unique, counter-cyclical investment proposition with a portfolio of 148 properties primarily leased to the UK Government, providing stable, sovereign-backed cash flows.
  • The REIT’s primary risk is its high tenant concentration, with the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) being the main lessee. Management is actively mitigating this by diversifying into growth sectors such as Purpose-Built Student Accommodation (PBSA) and data centres.
  • Trading at a discount to its Net Asset Value and offering a high dividend yield, the REIT presents an attractive valuation, though this is balanced by risks associated with its high gearing and the uncertainty of future DWP lease renewals beyond 2028.

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If the ETF Era Made Bitcoin Investable, the 401(k) Era Could Make It Unavoidable

By Delphi Digital

  • This report argues that the August 2025 Executive Order allowing Bitcoin inside 401(k) plans is a structural breakthrough — potentially more transformative than the ETF approvals.
  • While ETFs made Bitcoin easy to buy, 401(k) integration ties BTC to the U.S.’s largest savings engine: $9.3 trillion in employer retirement plans funded automatically every paycheck.
  • Unlike ETF flows that rise and fall with sentiment, 401(k) contributions are programmatic, recurring, and extremely sticky — with 95% of participants never changing allocations.

Central Bancompany (CBC): Posts Strong First-Day Performance as It Transitions From OTC to Nasdaq

By IPO Boutique

  • CBC priced at the low end and delivered a steady first-day performance, a strong outcome for an OTC up-listing with limited float.
  • Investor demand was multiple-times oversubscribed, driven by long-only and sector specialists, with the family retaining majority control and offering only 7.4% of shares.
  • Near-Term trading is expected to quiet sharply, with the stock likely to move in line with broader regional bank sector trends rather than company-specific catalysts.

KRI: Drilling Continues to Increase Footprint at Kossou

By Atrium Research

  • Kobo reported assay results from 12 holes as part of the ongoing drill program at its 100% owned Kossou Project in Côte d’Ivoire.
  • The 12 holes total 2,755m of drilling, bringing the cumulative diamond drilling at Kossou to 26,267m and total drilling completed to 32,154m.
  • Today’s results continue to expand Kossou’s mineralized footprint both at the Jagger and Road Cut Zones.

NS Group Pre-IPO – Stable Growth in a Structurally Essential Market

By Akshat Shah

  • NS Group (471A JP) (NSG) is one of Japan’s leading rent guarantee service providers, offering payment guarantee and rent collection solutions to property owners and management companies. 
  • NSG aims to raise around US$260m in its Japan IPO via an entirely secondary offering, marking Bain Capital’s full exit from the company.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

JDC Group — Q3 affected by low German consumer confidence

By Edison Investment Research

JDC Group reported a 5.6% increase in revenues, to €55.1m, and 9.1% higher EBITDA of €2.5m in Q325. Management reiterated FY25 guidance for revenues of €260–280m and EBITDA of €20.5–22.5m, but said it expected results to come in at the lower end of the range due to increasingly negative consumer confidence in Germany. Management also reiterated FY26 EBITDA forecast of over €35m. The recently acquired 60% stake in FMK Group was consolidated in JDC’s results as of 1 September and contributed to the results for one month. We have lowered our estimates to reflect the shift in the guided range. At our new estimates, we still believe that JDC’s valuation is undemanding. Our discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis arrives at a fair value of €35.63 per share (previously €36.89 per share).


HgT — A B2B software play driving AI adoption

By Edison Investment Research

After more volatile public markets and an ‘uncertainty pause’ in global IT spending in early 2025, the environment has become more favourable for HgT, leading to positive NAV TR in Q2 and Q3. We remain convinced in its equity story as a strong compounder benefiting from the secular digitalisation trend, as illustrated by its healthy NAV TR of 14.5% and 17.8% per year over the five and 10 years. While the consequences of a platform shift like the one now triggered by AI are difficult to predict, HgT’s investment manager is experienced in navigating such disruptive changes and has built extensive AI capabilities to support its portfolio in the adoption journey, with some initial promising outcomes. HgT’s shares now trade at a 16.1% discount to NAV, versus a 10-year average of 8%.


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