
In today’s briefing:
- PA Gooddoctor (1833 HK)’s Unconditional MGO
- GAPack (468 HK): Additional Thoughts On Mengniu Selling
- EQD | Tencent (700 HK) Option Strategy for Navigating a Volatile Market
- Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline – Hong Kong
- Smart Share Global (EM US): Trustar Capital-Sponsored MBO’s US$1.25 Per ADS Non-Binding Offer
- Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Up to 5 Changes in March
- Dream International Ltd (1126) – Wednesday, Oct 9, 2024
- Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK): Growth and Margin Concerns Plague Inherent Valuation
- Pre IPO X.J. Electrics (Hu Bei) – ODM/OEM Model Is Hard to Deliver High Margins and Growth Prospects
- Suppliers Suffer As Top Brands Make Fewer Tires

PA Gooddoctor (1833 HK)’s Unconditional MGO
- Back on the 14th November, Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK) (PA Gooddoctor announced a change in use of proceeds, including the payment of a punchy HK$9.70/share special dividend.
- A scrip option was concurrently afforded. The results of that scrip election have now been announced, the completion of which, triggers an unconditional MGO from Ping An Insurance (601318 CH).
- The MGO price is HK$6.12/share, a price made public last month. For those investors trading the event and who bought PA Gooddoctor cum dividend, it has worked out well.
GAPack (468 HK): Additional Thoughts On Mengniu Selling
- Following on from the surprise development that China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK) had reduced its stake below 5%, I’ve had a few readers asking about hypothetical situations regarding its stake.
- IF Mengniu is a seller, can’t Mengniu simply sell its entire stake to Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH) (XJF)? Can Mengniu sell to XJF above the Offer Price?
- Both questions are addressed in the Takeovers Code. But only one is permitted.
EQD | Tencent (700 HK) Option Strategy for Navigating a Volatile Market
- Tencent (700 HK) shares fell 7.3% on 7 January, after being designated a Chinese Military Company by the U.S. Department of Defense, prompting volatility to spike.
- Given the potential for further downside, or a relief rally, significant price movements and high volatility are to be expected.
- A long straddle is detailed to capitalize on the anticipated volatility in Tencent (700 HK) .
Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline – Hong Kong
- In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, starting with Hong Kong.
- This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
- The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.
Smart Share Global (EM US): Trustar Capital-Sponsored MBO’s US$1.25 Per ADS Non-Binding Offer
- On 6 January, Smart Share Global (EM US) disclosed a non-binding proposal from a Trustar Capital-sponsored MBO at US$1.25 per ADS, a 74.8% premium to the undisturbed price of US$0.72.
- The offer is unattractive to the IPO price (US$8.50), average sell-side price targets (US$1.87) and historical trading ranges.
- Despite the light offer, the shareholder vote is done (two-thirds voting threshold) as the buyer consortium represents 64.0% of the voting power. A binding proposal will be forthcoming.
Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Up to 5 Changes in March
- The review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the HSIII was 31 December. The changes will be announced on 21 February and become effective after the close 7 March.
- There could be 5 changes to the index with some inclusions driven by potential addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index. That could lead to buying via Southbound Stock Connect.
- Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) is a potential inclusion to the HSCI and the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March.
Dream International Ltd (1126) – Wednesday, Oct 9, 2024
- Dream International, a Hong Kong-based company run by a Korean family, has seen significant growth in revenue and earnings per share over the past decade.
- Despite facing challenges such as theft of funds and holding a large cash pile, the company has shown strong performance with an 18% return on equity over the past 15 years.
- Trading at a low multiple of earnings and holding a significant cash reserve, Dream International presents an appealing investment opportunity for value investors due to its potential for continued growth and competitive advantages in the market.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK): Growth and Margin Concerns Plague Inherent Valuation
- In 1H24, Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK) reported revenue growth of 35% YoY to RMB2,382 million, mainly driven by a 37% YoY growth in hospital business.
- Hygeia’s gross profit margin contracted 60bps YoY to 31.8%. Lower government grant led to 230bps operating margin squeeze to 21.6%.
- The share price of Hygeia Healthcare has gone down almost 56% in the last one year. Accelerated organic growth and strengthening of margins are crucial to boost valuation.
Pre IPO X.J. Electrics (Hu Bei) – ODM/OEM Model Is Hard to Deliver High Margins and Growth Prospects
- X.J. ELECTRICS not only relies on export revenue, but also on ODM/OEM models, with a relatively low proportion of independent brands. Such business model would not bring high profit margin.
- X.J. ELECTRICS’ equity is concentrated in PAN YUN/GUANGSHE PAN, but they have plans to reduce holdings.This makes us feel that actual controllers are more inclined to cash out through IPO.
- Valuation of X.J. ELECTRICS should be lower than Carote, as Carote has established branded business and its revenue proportion in different regions is also “healthier” than that of X.J. ELECTRICS.
Suppliers Suffer As Top Brands Make Fewer Tires
- Tire production volumes are declining
- Major tire manufacturers are closing/withdrawing from the Chinese truck tire market
- Emerging competitors are expanding capacity, challenging established suppliers