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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Singapore: SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Malaysia Rubber Production Recovers In Oct, Exports Too Impressive


Malaysia Rubber Production Recovers In Oct, Exports Too Impressive

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Gloves main exports of rubber-based products at RM1.5 billion
  • A total of 7,652 paid employees recorded in Oct, down 23.6% YoY
  • Malaysian Sustainable Natural Rubber (MSNR) initiative launched

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Vale Indonesia Tbk and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Vale Indonesia: First New Project Guidance, Rating Upgrade


Vale Indonesia: First New Project Guidance, Rating Upgrade

By Graeme Cunningham

  • Vale Indonesia has released the first guidance for its new projects with nickel matte to shift from 100% of revenue to 49% by 2029E, with nickel ore rising to 48%
  • S&P has upgraded the company’s credit rating to BB+ from BB, placing it ahead of Indonesia’s BB- country rating and below the BBB rating of parent company Vale   
  • We expect a weak nickel price will weigh on the shares in early 2025, although there could be considerable long-term upside from new projects and multiples remain low 

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Daily Brief India: Strides Pharma Science , Tata Technologies, Aegis Logistics and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Event Driven: Demerger of OneSource: A Multi-Modality CDMO
  • Thematic Building Block | India’s Semiconductor Push
  • Aegis Logistics Ltd- Forensic Analysis


Event Driven: Demerger of OneSource: A Multi-Modality CDMO

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • OneSource is riding the surging demand for GLP-1 drugs, a market projected to reach $30 Billion by 2030, with its expertise in Drug-Device Combination (DDC) solutions.
  • OneSource is projected to achieve revenue of $350-$400 million over the next 3-4 years from $145 million in 2024 , with an impressive EBITDA margin approaching 40% from 25% in 2024.
  • OneSource is expected to receive Listing Approval from the Stock Exchanges during Q4 FY25

Thematic Building Block | India’s Semiconductor Push

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • This insight explores the semiconductor industry’s fundamental building blocks, focusing on India’s role and target segments within the value chain.
  • The Indian government has committed INR 76,000 crore to establish a self-reliant semiconductor manufacturing ecosystem.
  • Key investments are being made in semiconductor manufacturing, focusing on design, assembly, testing, and packaging capabilities.

Aegis Logistics Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Aegis Logistics (AGIS IN)  or ALL is an integrated logistics and supply chains provider to the oil, gas, petroleum and chemical players. 
  • The company is currently on a capex spree, after joining hands with Royal Vopak to augment its terminals business.
  • While the business possesses good cash conversion, one should be bothered by some doubtful accounting with respect to capitalization policy, receivable provisioning, etc which might have beneficial impact on bottom-line.

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Daily Brief United States: Mks Instruments, Credo Technology Group Holding, Bwx Technologies, Paysafe Ltd, Wex Inc, American Eagle Outfitters, Chemours Co/The, Allegheny Technologies, UL Solutions Inc, WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • MKS Instruments: Expansion & Diversification in Photonics & Lithography Propelling Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • Credo Technology Group: Its Efforts Towards Advanced Electrical Connectors (AECs) Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • BWX Technologies Inc.: Can Its Microreactors & Small Modular Reactors Market Opportunities Up Their Game? – Major Drivers
  • Paysafe Ltd (PSFE) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024
  • WEX Inc.: Here Are 7 Key Factors That Will Shape Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • American Eagle Outfitters: Solid Customer Acquisition & Retention Strategies Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers
  • Chemours Co (CC) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024
  • ATI Inc. Has Sustained Aerospace & Defense Revenue But Will This Last? – Major Drivers
  • UL Solutions Inc.: Strategic Accretive Acquisitions As A Primary Growth Accelerator! – Major Drivers
  • Willscot Holdings: Strategic Capital Allocation & Expansion & Other Major Drivers


MKS Instruments: Expansion & Diversification in Photonics & Lithography Propelling Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MKS Instruments, Inc. reported a robust third quarter for 2024, with performance largely surpassing expectations.
  • The company achieved revenue of $896 million, marking a 1% sequential increase, driven predominantly by gains in semiconductor and electronics and packaging markets.
  • This growth was reflected in a gross margin of 48.2%, which was higher than anticipated due to favorable product mix and operational leverage.

Credo Technology Group: Its Efforts Towards Advanced Electrical Connectors (AECs) Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. reported strong financial and operational performance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025.
  • The company recorded a revenue of $72 million, indicating a sequential increase of 21% and an impressive 64% year-over-year growth.
  • The robust revenue figures were largely driven by vibrant demand across its three core product lines: Active Electrical Cables (AECs), optical Digital Signal Processors (DSPs), and line card retimers.

BWX Technologies Inc.: Can Its Microreactors & Small Modular Reactors Market Opportunities Up Their Game? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BWX Technologies (BWXT) reported robust results in its third-quarter 2024 earnings, showing strong organic revenue growth of 14%.
  • This growth, combined with solid operational performance, led to a 19% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 24% rise in adjusted earnings per share (EPS).
  • These results exceeded expectations, prompting the company to raise its 2024 adjusted EPS guidance to around $3.20, the upper limit of its previous range, while maintaining its free cash flow guidance of $225 million to $250 million.

Paysafe Ltd (PSFE) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Paysafe is undergoing a turnaround after a significant decrease in value since its post-IPO high
  • The company generates cash and benefits from growth opportunities in the igaming sector
  • Despite high leverage and a substantial PE shareholder overhang, the stock has potential for significant upside if the turnaround is successful

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


WEX Inc.: Here Are 7 Key Factors That Will Shape Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • WEX Inc., a provider of corporate payment solutions, reported financial results for the third quarter of 2024, showing a mixed performance with certain areas of strength and others facing challenges.
  • The company experienced a 2% increase in total revenue year-over-year, reaching $665 million, while adjusted net income per diluted share rose by 7% to $4.35.
  • However, this performance fell short of internal expectations, primarily due to issues within the Mobility segment, stemming from macroeconomic factors like declining fuel prices and certain operational challenges.

American Eagle Outfitters: Solid Customer Acquisition & Retention Strategies Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • American Eagle Outfitters reported a strong third quarter for 2024, supported by their strategic initiatives, particularly their “Powering Profitable Growth” strategy.
  • The company experienced a 3% increase in comparable sales, building on a 5% growth the previous year, and delivered an adjusted operating income at the high end of their guidance.
  • Key highlights of the quarter include progress on brand amplification, with American Eagle maintaining its position as the #1 brand in denim for the 15-to-25 age group and experiencing its sixth consecutive quarter of comparable sales growth.

Chemours Co (CC) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Chemours is a chemical producer with a diverse portfolio in three segments
  • Stock value decline due to poor TiO2 trends and weak refrigerant performance
  • Expected earnings improvement in the second half of the year driven by growth in refrigerants, duopoly in next generation refrigerants, and long-term growth potential in data center cooling technology

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


ATI Inc. Has Sustained Aerospace & Defense Revenue But Will This Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI) recently reported mixed results for its third quarter of 2024.
  • The company’s performance recognized some bright spots but ultimately fell short of its financial guidance due to both external market dynamics and internal operational challenges.
  • Starting with the positives, ATI’s segment-adjusted EBITDA margins met or exceeded expectations, with notable sequential improvement in its High-Performance Materials and Components (HPMC) segment margins, which edged closer to the mid-20s percent range.

UL Solutions Inc.: Strategic Accretive Acquisitions As A Primary Growth Accelerator! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • UL Solutions delivered robust financial performance in the third quarter of 2024, with revenue and key financial metrics showcasing both strengths and areas for potential improvement.
  • The company reported revenue of $731 million, representing an 8.1% increase, and maintaining an organic growth of 9.3%.
  • This growth was driven significantly by the Industrial and Consumer segments, reporting organic growth rates of 11.7% and 9.2%, respectively.

Willscot Holdings: Strategic Capital Allocation & Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp. has reported its third-quarter 2024 results amidst a challenging market environment.
  • The company’s performance highlights a mix of both strengths and weaknesses, reflecting the current state of the nonresidential construction industry.
  • On the positive side, WillScot achieved record levels in adjusted EBITDA margins at 44.4%, demonstrating strong cost management and operational efficiency.

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Daily Brief China: CPMC Holdings, NetEase , SHEIN, InnoScience Suzhou Technology and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional
  • Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Trending up but Only One Approval for Netease
  • 2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals
  • InnoScience Technology (2577 HK): Low IPO Free Float Delays Global Index Inclusion


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional

By Arun George

  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK)’s offer from ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) is HK$7.21 with a 50% minimum acceptance condition. The first closing date is 10 January.  
  • CCASS data shows that Mr Wei has tendered (22.01% of outstanding shares). Including acceptances, ORG’s shareholding was 46.63% of outstanding shares as of 24 December.
  • The Board supports the offer, and it is close to being declared unconditional. At the last close and 25 January payment, the gross/annualized spread was 0.8%/10.9%.

Tencent/Netease: Game Approval Trending up but Only One Approval for Netease

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the December batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. There have been 47% more games approved in 2024 compared to 2023.
  • Of the companies that we are monitoring, Netease got one approval.

2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals

By Daniel Hellberg

  • 2024 ECM offerings in the Greater China logistics & transport segment included TS Lines (in Hong Kong), SF Holding(Hong Kong), and BingEx (US)
  • Generally, recent share offerings in the segment have not performed well at all
  • Looking to 2025, we see several deals, including SHEIN and a possible Didi return

InnoScience Technology (2577 HK): Low IPO Free Float Delays Global Index Inclusion

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK) is anticipated to debut at the HKEX on 30 December 2024 with a valuation between $3.5bn – $3.9bn.
  • InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK) is forecasted to fail the fcap threshold in the first place for both global indices due to small size offering and lock-ups.
  • The security is expected to be added in China all-world or small-cap at the September 2025 review following the 6-month lock-up expiry.

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Daily Brief Japan: Macromill, Inc, Hamamatsu Photonics Kk, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Ono Pharmaceutical, Kurotani Corp, Tsubakimoto Kogyo, Pci Holdings Inc/Jp, COPRO-HOLDINGS Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Macromill (3978 JP) – Five Major Investors Have 50+%; CVC Extends and Will Need to Bump Or Walk
  • Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Rebound Ahead
  • Will the Timing of the BOJ ETF Exit Be Revealed in December?
  • Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Struggle Continues with Opdivo; Competition and Price Cuts Loom Large
  • Kurotani Corp (3168 JP): Coverage Initiation
  • Q2 Follow-Up – TSUBAKIMOTO KOGYO (8052 JP)
  • PCI Holdings (3918 JP) – What Restar Corporation’s Tender Offer Will Bring
  • Q2 Follow Up – COPRO-HOLDINGS (7059 JP)


Macromill (3978 JP) – Five Major Investors Have 50+%; CVC Extends and Will Need to Bump Or Walk

By Travis Lundy

  • Three pre-existing Large Shareholders have not sold down. Two new 5+% shareholders have appeared since Tender Launch. Together, their reports give them 51.7% of shares out.
  • That provides them with a significantly strong implied negotiating hand. Given the midpoint of the Target Company’s Advisor’s DCF Range, I expect a bump. 
  • Today the Bidder extended for 10 more days. They didn’t have the shares to close. I expect they won’t unless they bump a lot. 

Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Rebound Ahead

By Scott Foster

  • Profits and share price stabilizing after steep declines, although margins still under pressure from rising R&D and depreciation, and costs associated with recent acquisitions.
  • Sales of medical equipment to recover from post-COVID decline. Semiconductor equipment driven by advanced logic and high-bandwidth memory. Lasers to become fourth major product division.
  • Buy for the long-term. Risks include Trump tariffs, weak European economies, emergence of Chinese competition.

Will the Timing of the BOJ ETF Exit Be Revealed in December?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The actual ratio of tradable shares, excluding ETFs held by BoJ, is low, as a result, the number of Japanese equities available for investment by large institutional investors is limited.
  • ETFs owned by BoJ may be treated as being in favor of company-proposed proposals and against shareholder-proposed proposals, thus BOJ-owned ETFs are hindering the improvement of corporate governance.
  • It is good that BoJ has begun to consider an exit from ETFs, but with several variables and unknowns, it is not easy for investors to predict the timing.

Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Struggle Continues with Opdivo; Competition and Price Cuts Loom Large

By Tina Banerjee

  • Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP) is reporting decelerating revenue from its flagship drug, Opdivo. During H1FY25, domestic revenue from Opdivo decreased 17% YoY to ¥62.6B.
  • Opdivo will start to lose patent protection starting from 2028. Prolific commercialization of these new drugs will remain crucial for Ono riding the patent cliff successfully.
  • Ono shares plunged 36% over the last one year to trade at attractive valuation. In absence of any near-term growth catalyst, the shares are not expected to see much upside.

Kurotani Corp (3168 JP): Coverage Initiation

By Shared Research

  • In FY08/24, revenue was JPY82.1bn (-3.0% YoY), operating profit was JPY1.5bn (+172.2% YoY), recurring profit was JPY1.0bn (+355.9% YoY), and net income attributable to owners of the parent was JPY533mn (+212.8% YoY). The initial company forecast at the beginning of the fiscal year was revenue of JPY72.9bn, operating profit of JPY634mn, recurring profit of JPY454mn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY320mn. The initial assumptions were an exchange rate of JPY135/USD and an LME copper price of USD8,500/ton.
  • The USD remained above JPY150 until end-Q3 and LME copper prices exceeded USD9,000/ton since April 2024. The company thus revised its performance forecast upward at its Q3 results briefing to revenue of JPY82.1bn, operating profit of JPY2.3bn, recurring profit of JPY1.9bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY1.1bn.
  • However, due to a decline in LME copper prices in Q4, the actual results for FY08/24 fell below the revised forecast.

Q2 Follow-Up – TSUBAKIMOTO KOGYO (8052 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., (hereafter, the Company) announced its H1 FY2025/3 results on October 31, 2024. Net sales rose but profit fell during H1 FY2025/3.
  • Net  sales were firm due to the substantial order backlog.
  • However, profits at the operating profit level and below fell year on year as SG&A costs rose for various reasons, including stronger sales activities following the end of the COVID-19 pandemic and revisions to personnel expenses. Orders remained firm and hit a record high. 

PCI Holdings (3918 JP) – What Restar Corporation’s Tender Offer Will Bring

By Sessa Investment Research

  • PCI Holdings, Inc. (hereafter, the Company) reported generally grim results for FY2024/9.
  • Net sales fell 12.0% YoY to JPY 25,084 mn, while dropping 3.3% YoY when excluding the sale of subsidiary leafnet.
  • Operating profit fell 38.3% YoY to JPY 1,054 mn, while effectively dropping 17.4% excluding the sale of leafnet. 

Q2 Follow Up – COPRO-HOLDINGS (7059 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • COPRO-HOLDINGS (hereafter the Company) key consolidated figures increased sharply, including net sales of JPY 14,227 mn (+27.7% YoY), operating profit of JPY 1,237 mn (+67.9% YoY), Non-GAAP operating profit of JPY 1,439 mn (+67.0% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 1,257 mn (+55.1% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 797 mn (+56.4% YoY).
  • Higher sales at COPRO Construction, the Company’s core construction technician dispatching business, led to higher gross profit and a lower fixed cost ratio.
  • As a result, operating profit at COPRO Construction rose by 42.5% YoY, contributing significantly to the Company’s earnings growth.

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Most Read: Seven & I Holdings, Sanrio, Kokusai Electric , LG CNS, Samsung Engineering, Shin Kong Financial Holding, Macromill, Inc, CPMC Holdings, Malaysia Airports Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • 7&I (3382 JP) – Share Price Dipping Deeper Means Dipping Toes Deeper
  • Sanrio (8136 JP) Placement: Price Likely Determined Today; What Next?
  • Japan: Potential Passive Selling in February
  • LG CNS IPO: Limited Float Pushes Back Passive Buying
  • CPMC (906 HK): Tendering Now Open
  • Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1
  • Shin Kong/Taishin Merger – Proceeding Apace
  • Macromill (3978 JP) – Five Major Investors Have 50+%; CVC Extends and Will Need to Bump Or Walk
  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional
  • Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): Awaiting the Consortium’s Next Move


7&I (3382 JP) – Share Price Dipping Deeper Means Dipping Toes Deeper

By Travis Lundy

  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) shares are in a lull here. Winter doldrums without news as the Ito consortium gets its ducks in a row and 7&i sells York.
  • Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) is waiting patiently. They have the ability to wait, and to fund, and pay up. 
  • An article/show is causing a dip today on top of last week’s weakness. This is a dip to buy.

Sanrio (8136 JP) Placement: Price Likely Determined Today; What Next?

By Brian Freitas

  • The Sanrio (8136 JP) placement is likely to be priced today. With the stock 8.8% lower from undisturbed, expect a small discount to today’s close.
  • The stock has traded as expected over the last 9 trading days – a sharp drop followed by a strong upward move and then profit taking.
  • We expect there will be strong interest in the placement and oversubscription could lead to upside from here. Shorts have increased and will look to cover into the placement.

Japan: Potential Passive Selling in February

By Brian Freitas

  • Currently, 9 stocks could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February. The deletion will lead to liquidity events where trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
  • There has been a buildup on shorts on few stocks with minimal positioning in the other stocks. That could change once the calendar ticks over to 2025.
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) is a potential inclusion to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) in March and this deletion could provide liquidity to enter a position ahead of that announcement.

LG CNS IPO: Limited Float Pushes Back Passive Buying

By Brian Freitas

  • LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) is looking to raise up to KRW 1,199bn (US$830m), valuing the company at KRW 6 trillion (US$4.15bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.
  • As a member of the IT sector, inclusion in the KOSPI200 Index will only take place via Fast Entry (near impossible) or as a large-scale company.
  • Inclusion in global indices could commence in September 2025 and will be easier if the identity of the pre-IPO minority shareholders is disclosed or if the strategic investors sell.

CPMC (906 HK): Tendering Now Open

By David Blennerhassett

  • At a 1.5% gross spread to terms, CPMC Holdings (906 HK) is trading with completion is mind after the last pre-condition – SAFE – was satisfied on the 13th December
  • The Offer Doc is now out and the transaction is open for acceptances. The First Close is the 10th January. 
  • I’d expect this deal to turn unconditional on or before the First Close, with payment around the 20th January.  

Korea: Potential Relegations from K League 1

By Brian Freitas

  • There are quite a few stocks in Korea that have underperformed their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February.
  • There are still 3 weeks left for the stocks to redeem themselves and avoid relegation from the K League, so watch out for big price moves.
  • Based on our estimate of passive assets, trackers will need to trade between US$45m to US$114m of the stocks. Impact will vary between 2.6x-30x of ADV to trade.

Shin Kong/Taishin Merger – Proceeding Apace

By Travis Lundy

  • Once shareholders of Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) agreed to the merger two months ago, that meant an FSC submission would come shortly.
  • It came on 3rd December. Normally it takes two months, but can be extended. It appears the TFTC submission (which is considered wholly separately) was made as early as September.
  • This should get approved within the timeframe or not long afterwards. There is one known “document” missing from the application as of submission, but it shouldn’t be a problem.

Macromill (3978 JP) – Five Major Investors Have 50+%; CVC Extends and Will Need to Bump Or Walk

By Travis Lundy

  • Three pre-existing Large Shareholders have not sold down. Two new 5+% shareholders have appeared since Tender Launch. Together, their reports give them 51.7% of shares out.
  • That provides them with a significantly strong implied negotiating hand. Given the midpoint of the Target Company’s Advisor’s DCF Range, I expect a bump. 
  • Today the Bidder extended for 10 more days. They didn’t have the shares to close. I expect they won’t unless they bump a lot. 

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional

By Arun George

  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK)’s offer from ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) is HK$7.21 with a 50% minimum acceptance condition. The first closing date is 10 January.  
  • CCASS data shows that Mr Wei has tendered (22.01% of outstanding shares). Including acceptances, ORG’s shareholding was 46.63% of outstanding shares as of 24 December.
  • The Board supports the offer, and it is close to being declared unconditional. At the last close and 25 January payment, the gross/annualized spread was 0.8%/10.9%.

Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): Awaiting the Consortium’s Next Move

By Arun George

  • Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)‘s voluntary conditional RM11.00 offer from the consortium has a first closing date of 8 January.
  • Unusually, the independent directors and adviser have differing opinions – the directors and adviser agree that the offer is NOT fair. However, the directors opine that it is NOT reasonable. 
  • The consortium has three options – keep terms unchanged (hope for the best), bump or lower the acceptance threshold. The most likely option is to lower the acceptance threshold.  

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Daily Brief Industrials: Malaysia Airports Holdings, Hamamatsu Photonics Kk, SHEIN, Bwx Technologies, WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings, Stantec , Fluor Corp, Elbit Systems , Knight Transportation, Curtiss Wright and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): Awaiting the Consortium’s Next Move
  • Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Rebound Ahead
  • 2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals
  • BWX Technologies Inc.: Can Its Microreactors & Small Modular Reactors Market Opportunities Up Their Game? – Major Drivers
  • Willscot Holdings: Strategic Capital Allocation & Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • Stantec Inc.: Expanding Market Presence in the U.K. To Change The Game! – Major Drivers
  • Fluor Corporation: Here Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Elbit Systems Ltd.: An Insight Into Its Technological Advancements & Recent Innovations! – Major Drivers
  • Knight-Swift Transportation: Can Its Fleet Optimization Efforts Give Them A Competitive Edge? – Major Drivers
  • Curtiss-Wright Corporation: Expansion in Defense Electronics As A Pivotal Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers


Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): Awaiting the Consortium’s Next Move

By Arun George

  • Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)‘s voluntary conditional RM11.00 offer from the consortium has a first closing date of 8 January.
  • Unusually, the independent directors and adviser have differing opinions – the directors and adviser agree that the offer is NOT fair. However, the directors opine that it is NOT reasonable. 
  • The consortium has three options – keep terms unchanged (hope for the best), bump or lower the acceptance threshold. The most likely option is to lower the acceptance threshold.  

Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Rebound Ahead

By Scott Foster

  • Profits and share price stabilizing after steep declines, although margins still under pressure from rising R&D and depreciation, and costs associated with recent acquisitions.
  • Sales of medical equipment to recover from post-COVID decline. Semiconductor equipment driven by advanced logic and high-bandwidth memory. Lasers to become fourth major product division.
  • Buy for the long-term. Risks include Trump tariffs, weak European economies, emergence of Chinese competition.

2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals

By Daniel Hellberg

  • 2024 ECM offerings in the Greater China logistics & transport segment included TS Lines (in Hong Kong), SF Holding(Hong Kong), and BingEx (US)
  • Generally, recent share offerings in the segment have not performed well at all
  • Looking to 2025, we see several deals, including SHEIN and a possible Didi return

BWX Technologies Inc.: Can Its Microreactors & Small Modular Reactors Market Opportunities Up Their Game? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BWX Technologies (BWXT) reported robust results in its third-quarter 2024 earnings, showing strong organic revenue growth of 14%.
  • This growth, combined with solid operational performance, led to a 19% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 24% rise in adjusted earnings per share (EPS).
  • These results exceeded expectations, prompting the company to raise its 2024 adjusted EPS guidance to around $3.20, the upper limit of its previous range, while maintaining its free cash flow guidance of $225 million to $250 million.

Willscot Holdings: Strategic Capital Allocation & Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp. has reported its third-quarter 2024 results amidst a challenging market environment.
  • The company’s performance highlights a mix of both strengths and weaknesses, reflecting the current state of the nonresidential construction industry.
  • On the positive side, WillScot achieved record levels in adjusted EBITDA margins at 44.4%, demonstrating strong cost management and operational efficiency.

Stantec Inc.: Expanding Market Presence in the U.K. To Change The Game! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Stantec Inc. has reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2024, achieving record net revenue of $1.5 billion, an increase of almost 16% compared to the previous year.
  • This growth has been driven by a combination of 6.5% organic growth and nearly 8% growth from acquisitions.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose to $275 million, reflecting a 14% increase and maintaining a healthy margin of 18%.

Fluor Corporation: Here Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Fluor Corporation’s Q3 2024 earnings presentation portrays a mixed performance with certain positive indicators and areas of concern.
  • The company reported revenue of $4.1 billion for the third quarter, with consolidated new awards at $2.7 billion, contributing to a total backlog of $31.3 billion, of which a significant 80% is reimbursable.
  • This backlog strength reflects the company’s strategic focus on reimbursable contracts, ensuring a more stable and predictable revenue stream.

Elbit Systems Ltd.: An Insight Into Its Technological Advancements & Recent Innovations! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Based on the third quarter 2024 results presentation, Elbit Systems Ltd., a leading defense electronics company, showcased a robust performance with notable growth, as well as areas demanding sustained attention.
  • The company reported a revenue increase of 14% year-over-year to $1.780 billion, continuing its upward trajectory of double-digit revenue growth for three consecutive quarters.
  • The company’s diversified geographical revenue base offers a stabilizing factor against volatility, with revenues distributed across Israel, Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific.

Knight-Swift Transportation: Can Its Fleet Optimization Efforts Give Them A Competitive Edge? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. reported its third-quarter 2024 performance in a challenging market, with mixed results that highlight both opportunities and obstacles for the future.
  • Revenue, excluding fuel surcharge, experienced a decline of 5.3% year-over-year, while adjusted operating income decreased by 7.1%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) stood at $0.34, with a consolidated adjusted operating ratio at 93.9%, representing a modest sequential improvement.

Curtiss-Wright Corporation: Expansion in Defense Electronics As A Pivotal Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Curtiss-Wright Corporation delivered a robust performance in the third quarter of 2024, reflecting notable growth across several segments of its diversified portfolio.
  • The company reported a 10% year-over-year increase in sales, reaching nearly $800 million, driven by strong performances in its Defense Electronics and Naval & Power segments.
  • Curtiss-Wright’s Aerospace & Defense markets saw a 15% growth, and the commercial nuclear market experienced low double-digit growth during the period.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Aegis Logistics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Aegis Logistics Ltd- Forensic Analysis


Aegis Logistics Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Aegis Logistics (AGIS IN)  or ALL is an integrated logistics and supply chains provider to the oil, gas, petroleum and chemical players. 
  • The company is currently on a capex spree, after joining hands with Royal Vopak to augment its terminals business.
  • While the business possesses good cash conversion, one should be bothered by some doubtful accounting with respect to capitalization policy, receivable provisioning, etc which might have beneficial impact on bottom-line.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: CPMC Holdings, Kurotani Corp, Allegheny Technologies, Chemours Co/The, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Vale Indonesia Tbk and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional
  • Kurotani Corp (3168 JP): Coverage Initiation
  • ATI Inc. Has Sustained Aerospace & Defense Revenue But Will This Last? – Major Drivers
  • Chemours Co (CC) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024
  • Malaysia Rubber Production Recovers In Oct, Exports Too Impressive
  • Vale Indonesia: First New Project Guidance, Rating Upgrade


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): On the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional

By Arun George

  • CPMC Holdings (906 HK)’s offer from ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) is HK$7.21 with a 50% minimum acceptance condition. The first closing date is 10 January.  
  • CCASS data shows that Mr Wei has tendered (22.01% of outstanding shares). Including acceptances, ORG’s shareholding was 46.63% of outstanding shares as of 24 December.
  • The Board supports the offer, and it is close to being declared unconditional. At the last close and 25 January payment, the gross/annualized spread was 0.8%/10.9%.

Kurotani Corp (3168 JP): Coverage Initiation

By Shared Research

  • In FY08/24, revenue was JPY82.1bn (-3.0% YoY), operating profit was JPY1.5bn (+172.2% YoY), recurring profit was JPY1.0bn (+355.9% YoY), and net income attributable to owners of the parent was JPY533mn (+212.8% YoY). The initial company forecast at the beginning of the fiscal year was revenue of JPY72.9bn, operating profit of JPY634mn, recurring profit of JPY454mn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY320mn. The initial assumptions were an exchange rate of JPY135/USD and an LME copper price of USD8,500/ton.
  • The USD remained above JPY150 until end-Q3 and LME copper prices exceeded USD9,000/ton since April 2024. The company thus revised its performance forecast upward at its Q3 results briefing to revenue of JPY82.1bn, operating profit of JPY2.3bn, recurring profit of JPY1.9bn, and net income attributable to owners of the parent of JPY1.1bn.
  • However, due to a decline in LME copper prices in Q4, the actual results for FY08/24 fell below the revised forecast.

ATI Inc. Has Sustained Aerospace & Defense Revenue But Will This Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI) recently reported mixed results for its third quarter of 2024.
  • The company’s performance recognized some bright spots but ultimately fell short of its financial guidance due to both external market dynamics and internal operational challenges.
  • Starting with the positives, ATI’s segment-adjusted EBITDA margins met or exceeded expectations, with notable sequential improvement in its High-Performance Materials and Components (HPMC) segment margins, which edged closer to the mid-20s percent range.

Chemours Co (CC) – Thursday, Sep 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Chemours is a chemical producer with a diverse portfolio in three segments
  • Stock value decline due to poor TiO2 trends and weak refrigerant performance
  • Expected earnings improvement in the second half of the year driven by growth in refrigerants, duopoly in next generation refrigerants, and long-term growth potential in data center cooling technology

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Malaysia Rubber Production Recovers In Oct, Exports Too Impressive

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Gloves main exports of rubber-based products at RM1.5 billion
  • A total of 7,652 paid employees recorded in Oct, down 23.6% YoY
  • Malaysian Sustainable Natural Rubber (MSNR) initiative launched

Vale Indonesia: First New Project Guidance, Rating Upgrade

By Graeme Cunningham

  • Vale Indonesia has released the first guidance for its new projects with nickel matte to shift from 100% of revenue to 49% by 2029E, with nickel ore rising to 48%
  • S&P has upgraded the company’s credit rating to BB+ from BB, placing it ahead of Indonesia’s BB- country rating and below the BBB rating of parent company Vale   
  • We expect a weak nickel price will weigh on the shares in early 2025, although there could be considerable long-term upside from new projects and multiples remain low 

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