All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief United States: Bitcoin, Donaldson Co, Upstart Holdings , Diodes Inc, Immix Biopharma Inc, Five Below, BP PLC, JFrog, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Commvault Systems and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Moves #46 – Better Bull Than Bear
  • Donaldson Company Inc: Will The Aftermarket and Off-Road Growth in Mobile Solutions Last? – Major Drivers
  • Upstart Holdings Inc.: Leveraging Co-investment Partnerships To Drive AI Investments! – Major Drivers
  • Diodes Incorporated: Automotive & Industrial Market Expansion & Focus on AI & Data Center Applications! – Major Drivers
  • Immix Biopharma – US CAR-T trial progresses to dose expansion
  • Five Below Inc.: How Is The Slowed Store Expansion Impacting Growth? – Major Drivers
  • [Earnings Preview] BP Faces Prolonged Margin Pressure in Q3 2024 Amid Lower Oil Prices
  • JFrog Ltd.: Dealing With The Market Competition Intensification Risk & Other Challenges? – Major Drivers
  • Huntington Ingalls Industries: A Tale Of Expanded Shipbuilding Capacity and Modernization! – Major Drivers
  • Commvault Systems: Acquisition Of Clumio & Expanded SaaS Portfolio For the Expansion of Cloud Data Protection Capabilities! – Major Drivers


Crypto Moves #46 – Better Bull Than Bear

By Mads Eberhardt

  • For weeks, we have been anticipating October with optimism, given multiple positive factors for the crypto market.
  • Among these is the conclusion of the U.S. Dollar liquidity squeeze in September, which we expect to be followed by increasing liquidity from this month onward.
  • In Monday’s edition of Crypto Crisp, we outlined additional reasons for our bullish outlook on crypto throughout the fourth quarter.

Donaldson Company Inc: Will The Aftermarket and Off-Road Growth in Mobile Solutions Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Donaldson Company has reported a record-breaking financial performance for the fiscal year 2024, achieving high sales, margins, and EPS.
  • The company surpassed $3.5 billion in sales and reported an operating margin of 15.4%, delivering an adjusted EPS of $3.42 which reflects a 13% year-over-year growth.
  • This robust performance was underpinned by strong cash conversion over 97%, and the return of $286 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

Upstart Holdings Inc.: Leveraging Co-investment Partnerships To Drive AI Investments! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Upstart’s second quarter 2024 financial results reflect a period of transformation and recovery under challenging macroeconomic conditions.
  • The company, led by CEO Dave Girouard, expressed confidence in the progress Upstart has made in returning to sequential growth and EBITDA profitability, despite the continued absence of significant macroeconomic improvements.
  • This optimism is grounded in internal developments, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI) model enhancements, revived funding strategies, and augmented operational efficiency.

Diodes Incorporated: Automotive & Industrial Market Expansion & Focus on AI & Data Center Applications! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Diodes Incorporated’s second quarter of fiscal year 2024 showcased performance exceeding prior expectations as demand began to recover, particularly noted in the computing market in Asia.
  • The improvement in distributor inventory levels, marked by a sequential decrease in channel inventory weeks, was also a positive development.
  • The company highlighted significant growth in point-of-sale (POS) across 3C markets (Computers, Communication, and Consumer Electronics), maintaining a steady revenue stream from automotive and industrial products which collectively accounted at 41% of total revenue.

Immix Biopharma – US CAR-T trial progresses to dose expansion

By Edison Investment Research

Immix Biopharma’s US-based NEXICART-2 trial continues to make steady progress through the clinic, with the company reporting that the trial has advanced to the dose expansion level of 450m cells, after completing the 150m cell cohort. The Phase Ib/II trial is assessing Immix’s lead CAR-T asset NXC-201 as a first-in-class outpatient treatment for relapsed/ refractory amyloid light chain amyloidosis (r/r ALA). We highlight that both chosen doses in NEXICART-2 trial had elicited complete responses in the prior NEXICART-1 trial, which was based in Israel. We view the latest update as an encouraging sign that the current clinical trial is progressing as anticipated and we believe that the initial data readout, expected within Q424, could represent a near-term catalyst for investor attention.


Five Below Inc.: How Is The Slowed Store Expansion Impacting Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Five Below’s second-quarter results for fiscal 2024 reflect a period of significant changes and challenges alongside the initiation of strategic shifts aimed at repositioning the company for future growth.
  • Under the interim leadership of Kenneth Bull, following a recent CEO transition, the company undertook a detailed review of its operations and business strategy.
  • This quarter’s earnings reveal some concerning trends but also highlight areas where management is actively working to steer the business back to its growth track.

[Earnings Preview] BP Faces Prolonged Margin Pressure in Q3 2024 Amid Lower Oil Prices

By Suhas Reddy

  • BP’s revenue is expected to rise 7% QoQ but fall 5% YoY while EPS is anticipated to drop 7% QoQ and 19% YoY.
  • Management projected lower upstream production for Q3 compared to Q2, including in high-margin regions. However, retail fuel sales are expected to increase on stronger seasonal demand.
  • In 2023, BP allocated over 30% of its total expenditure to charging stations, biofuels, hydrogen fuels, and fuelling stations, a significant rise from just 3% in 2019.

JFrog Ltd.: Dealing With The Market Competition Intensification Risk & Other Challenges? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • JFrog’s second quarter 2024 financial results highlight a scenario of mixed outcomes that underscore the robust yet challenging aspects of its operational and financial maneuvers.
  • JFrog’s CEO, Shlomi Ben Haim, and CFO, Ed Grabscheid provided detailed insights into the company’s performance and strategic pivots intended to harness emerging market opportunities and address existing challenges.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Huntington Ingalls Industries: A Tale Of Expanded Shipbuilding Capacity and Modernization! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Huntington’s second quarter of 2024 financial results demonstrated a robust performance, underpinning the company’s ability to navigate challenges while seizing growth opportunities.
  • Revenue for the quarter reached $3 billion, marking a 6.8% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the exceptional growth of the Mission Technologies segment, which posted a 19% revenue increase from the previous year.
  • This segment’s book-to bill ratio stood at 1.15, indicating healthy future revenue from confirmed contracts.

Commvault Systems: Acquisition Of Clumio & Expanded SaaS Portfolio For the Expansion of Cloud Data Protection Capabilities! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Commvault’s fiscal first quarter of 2025 signaled a robust beginning to the year, reflecting significant growth across various metrics.
  • The company reported a 13% increase in total revenue, reaching $225 million, complemented by a 17% rise in total Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to $803 million.
  • Noteworthy was the Subscription ARR, which saw a 27% acceleration to $636 million, and the SaaS ARR, which surged by 66% to $188 million.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Shiseido Company, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Ibiden Co Ltd, Hiday Hidaka and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • China Consumer Plays Listed In Japan
  • U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives
  • Ibiden (4062 JP): Once Again a Long-Term Buy
  • Hiday Hidaka (7611 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update


China Consumer Plays Listed In Japan

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) is a branded decorative paint player.  China made up nearly 40% of the operating profit of the company. 
  • Saizeriya (7581 JP) is a Japanese restaurant chain of fast casual Italian food, with currently the majority of operating profit and growth coming from China.
  • Shiseido Company (4911 JP) is a Japanese beauty company that relies heavily on China.

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

By Joe Jasper

  • Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX
  • Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.
  • In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months

Ibiden (4062 JP): Once Again a Long-Term Buy

By Scott Foster

  • Sales, profits and the share price are bottoming out and good 1Q results make FY Mar-25 guidance look conservative.
  • Demand for advanced packaging should drive recovery, with the operating margin regaining its previous peak in three or four years.
  • Management’s long-term guidance implies a decline in the projected P/E ratio from 26x to 10X by FY Mar-28, but even 15x would make the shares an attractive investment.

Hiday Hidaka (7611 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue for 1H FY02/25 was JPY26.9bn, a 13.0% YoY increase, with record highs in monthly and half-year periods.
  • Operating profit for 1H FY02/25 reached JPY2.8bn, up 15.7% YoY, despite rising ingredient and personnel costs.
  • The company plans six new store openings in Q3, focusing on northern Kanto expansion and recruitment enhancement.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: NIFTY Index, Schloss Bangalore Ltd, Dhampur Bio Organics, Shimao Property Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD | Is the NIFTY A BUY Here?
  • Schloss Bangalore Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • The Beat Ideas: Dhampur Bio Organics Ltd.- Ethanol, Value Added Products & Deleveraging
  • Weekly Wrap – 04 Oct 2024


EQD | Is the NIFTY A BUY Here?

By Nico Rosti

  • Our last insight predicted quite precisely what happened to the NIFTY Index during the last 3 weeks (our forecast was a 3-5 weeks rally, around +4%/+5% higher).
  • After 3 weeks up in a row, last week the NIFTY pulled back – the question obviously now is: would this be a good time to enter/re-enter the trade LONG?
  • The answer, as always, lies in our Market Reversal Matrix models, keep reading to find out…

Schloss Bangalore Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) plans to raise about US$600m in its India IPO. The deal will be run by BofA, MS, JPM, Kotak, Axis, Citi, IIFL,ICICI, JMF,Motilal and SBICaps.
  • It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
  • According to the HVS Report, SBL is the only institutionally owned and managed pure-play luxury hospitality company in India. Its portfolio comprises 3,382 keys across 12 operational hotels.

The Beat Ideas: Dhampur Bio Organics Ltd.- Ethanol, Value Added Products & Deleveraging

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Dhampur Bio Organics (DBOL IN): Integrated sugar manufacturer listed in 2022 post demerger from Dhampur Sugar Mills (DSM IN) 
  • With change in Ethanol policy from Sep-24, Company will be significantly benefitted with its grain-based ethanol plant and higher sugar production with good monsoon. 
  • Company is reducing its debt significantly to deleverage its balance sheet.

Weekly Wrap – 04 Oct 2024

By Felix Fischer

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Biocon Ltd
  2. Lippo Karawaci
  3. Tata Motors Ltd
  4. Softbank Group
  5. Rakuten

and more…


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief China: BYD, Shimao Property Holdings, Miniso and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Major Chinese EV-Makers Have Record Month for Sales
  • Weekly Wrap – 04 Oct 2024
  • [Miniso (MNSO US, SELL, TP US$18) Rating Change]: We Took Our Stand on Yonghui Acquisition…DG2SELL


Major Chinese EV-Makers Have Record Month for Sales

By Caixin Global

  • China’s key electric-vehicle (EV) makers set monthly delivery records in September as government subsidies and price cuts gave sales in the fiercely competitive industry a boost.
  • BYD Co. Ltd. (002594.SZ +8.21%), the country’s top EV-maker, sold 419,426 vehicles in September, according to an exchange filing Tuesday.
  • The figure, which consisted of 164,956 battery EVs and 252,647 plug-in hybrids, marked a 45.9% year-on-year increase and a new monthly sales record.

Weekly Wrap – 04 Oct 2024

By Felix Fischer

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Biocon Ltd
  2. Lippo Karawaci
  3. Tata Motors Ltd
  4. Softbank Group
  5. Rakuten

and more…


[Miniso (MNSO US, SELL, TP US$18) Rating Change]: We Took Our Stand on Yonghui Acquisition…DG2SELL

By Eric Wen

  • Despite the drastic bull turn in Chinese equity sending MNSO’s share 41% from its trough, we see MNSO’s investment in Yonghui Superstores as a risk venture.
  • We believe the market has overestimated the scalability of the Pangdonglai rectification program for offline retail. 
  • We downgrade the stock to SELL rating and cut TP to US$18/ADS

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Most Read: Longfor Properties, Kusuri no Aoki Holdings , Young Poong Precision, Rigaku Holdings, Korea Zinc, Mphb Capital, Com7 , Shiseido Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: High & Low Probability Changes
  • Korea Zinc: Plans to Buy Back and Cancel Shares Worth 2.7 Trillion Won + Team Up with Bain Capital
  • Kusuri No Aoki (3549) Big Buyback – Accretive, And May Involve Musical Shares
  • MBK Hikes Youngpoong Precision Tender Price to ₩30,000: Tender Deadline Extended to the 14th
  • Rigaku IPO – Peer Comparison – Compensating for Smaller Scale with Better Growth and Margins
  • MBK Raised Korea Zinc’s Tender Price to ₩830K and Dropped the Hard Floor, Keeping the Upper Hand
  • MPHB Capital (MPHB MK)’s Offer Stalls At the Finish Line
  • MBK Raises Tender Offer Price of Korea Zinc to 830,000 Won
  • SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four Changes as Adds Outperform Deletes
  • China Consumer Plays Listed In Japan


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: High & Low Probability Changes

By Brian Freitas


Korea Zinc: Plans to Buy Back and Cancel Shares Worth 2.7 Trillion Won + Team Up with Bain Capital

By Douglas Kim

  • Korea Zinc plans to repurchase and cancel shares worth 2.663 trillion won. Korea Zinc’s partner Bain Capital also plans to purchase around 430 billion won for a 2.5% stake. 
  • Korea Zinc plans to buy back shares at 830,000 won per share, which is 11% higher than MBK’s revised up tender offer price of 750,000 won.
  • Choi family/Bain Capital’s efforts to conduct a massive share buyback and cancellation at higher prices than the market price goes against the globally accepted market practices.

Kusuri No Aoki (3549) Big Buyback – Accretive, And May Involve Musical Shares

By Travis Lundy

  • The drugstore space in Japan is super-interesting. The stories, the mergers, the activists. And of course, the defence against activists.
  • In Feb-2024, Aeon did a deal with an activist to cause a future deal between Tsuruha and Welcia. Aeon also owns a stake in Kusuri no Aoki Holdings (3549 JP)
  • The Aoki brothers (CEO and VP) exercised warrants in August and re-arranged their holdings. Now the family owns 34.7%. Today, after Q1 earnings, the company announced a 5+% buyback.

MBK Hikes Youngpoong Precision Tender Price to ₩30,000: Tender Deadline Extended to the 14th

By Sanghyun Park

  • MBK is raising its tender offer for Young Poong Precision to ₩30,000 per share, matching Choi’s offer and extending the deadline to October 14. Filing expected tomorrow before market open.
  • MBK targets 6.84 million shares, surpassing Choi’s 3.94 million cap. No hard floor, no cancellation risk, but MBK holds an edge in proration.
  • The buzz is whether MBK will raise its Korea Zinc bid beyond 900,000 KRW, as Choi prepped with a 950,000 KRW offer. A bid hike and extension seem likely.

Rigaku IPO – Peer Comparison – Compensating for Smaller Scale with Better Growth and Margins

By Clarence Chu

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is looking to raise US$762m in its Japan IPO.
  • Rigaku engages in developing, manufacturing, sales and servicing scientific instruments specializing in X-ray technologies.
  • In our earlier notes, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

MBK Raised Korea Zinc’s Tender Price to ₩830K and Dropped the Hard Floor, Keeping the Upper Hand

By Sanghyun Park

  • MBK ditched the hard floor, eliminating cancellation risk. With a 15% GGT rate, there’s a 4% spread, so if you can secure volume, the deal looks solid.
  • MBK’s tender offer has less volume than Choi’s buyback (18%), increasing proration risk, but Choi’s deal also faces legal headaches, leaving some cancellation risk.
  • Tax implications differ: MBK’s offer incurs capital gains tax, while Choi’s buyback is subject to dividend tax. Foreign investors may prefer MBK’s 0% withholding tax, impacting participation.

MPHB Capital (MPHB MK)’s Offer Stalls At the Finish Line

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 28 May, credit service provider MPHB Capital (MPHB MK) announced that controlling shareholder and chairman Tan Sri Surin Upatkoon intended to delist the company via a selective capital reduction.
  • Shareholders approved the RM1.70/share (87.21% FOR, 8.34% AGAINST) terms. The Offer required the Court to sign off on the SCR, and that’s when matters unravelled. 
  • ISM Sdn Bhd, MPHB’s minority partner in six JVs, filed an intervening application on the grounds that sanctioning the SCR may affect its rights in an ongoing legal dispute. 

MBK Raises Tender Offer Price of Korea Zinc to 830,000 Won

By Douglas Kim

  • On 4 October, MBK Partners announced that it is raising its tender offer price of Korea Zinc from 750,000 won to 830,000 won, matching Choi family’s tender offer price. 
  • As the price and conditions have changed, the tender offer period for Korea Zinc by MBK Partners and Young Poong will be extended by 10 days until 14 October.
  • Unless the Choi family makes another counter offer, upping the tender offer price even further, MBK/Young Poong is in a better position to win this M&A war for Korea Zinc.

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four Changes as Adds Outperform Deletes

By Brian Freitas


China Consumer Plays Listed In Japan

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) is a branded decorative paint player.  China made up nearly 40% of the operating profit of the company. 
  • Saizeriya (7581 JP) is a Japanese restaurant chain of fast casual Italian food, with currently the majority of operating profit and growth coming from China.
  • Shiseido Company (4911 JP) is a Japanese beauty company that relies heavily on China.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Analytics and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Utilities: TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives


U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

By Joe Jasper

  • Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX
  • Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.
  • In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Ibiden Co Ltd, Donaldson Co, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Spirit Airlines and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ibiden (4062 JP): Once Again a Long-Term Buy
  • Donaldson Company Inc: Will The Aftermarket and Off-Road Growth in Mobile Solutions Last? – Major Drivers
  • Huntington Ingalls Industries: A Tale Of Expanded Shipbuilding Capacity and Modernization! – Major Drivers
  • Spirit Airlines Needs to Address Labor Cost-Pricing Mismatch with or Without Chapter 11


Ibiden (4062 JP): Once Again a Long-Term Buy

By Scott Foster

  • Sales, profits and the share price are bottoming out and good 1Q results make FY Mar-25 guidance look conservative.
  • Demand for advanced packaging should drive recovery, with the operating margin regaining its previous peak in three or four years.
  • Management’s long-term guidance implies a decline in the projected P/E ratio from 26x to 10X by FY Mar-28, but even 15x would make the shares an attractive investment.

Donaldson Company Inc: Will The Aftermarket and Off-Road Growth in Mobile Solutions Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Donaldson Company has reported a record-breaking financial performance for the fiscal year 2024, achieving high sales, margins, and EPS.
  • The company surpassed $3.5 billion in sales and reported an operating margin of 15.4%, delivering an adjusted EPS of $3.42 which reflects a 13% year-over-year growth.
  • This robust performance was underpinned by strong cash conversion over 97%, and the return of $286 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

Huntington Ingalls Industries: A Tale Of Expanded Shipbuilding Capacity and Modernization! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Huntington’s second quarter of 2024 financial results demonstrated a robust performance, underpinning the company’s ability to navigate challenges while seizing growth opportunities.
  • Revenue for the quarter reached $3 billion, marking a 6.8% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the exceptional growth of the Mission Technologies segment, which posted a 19% revenue increase from the previous year.
  • This segment’s book-to bill ratio stood at 1.15, indicating healthy future revenue from confirmed contracts.

Spirit Airlines Needs to Address Labor Cost-Pricing Mismatch with or Without Chapter 11

By Neil Glynn

  • WSJ reports Spirit is exploring a Chapter 11 filing, with this risk apparent since the collapse of the planned JetBlue combination in January.
  • We highlight detailed analysis comparing the economics of airline recoveries across the US, illustrating Spirit lags on commercial performance and cost control.
  • With labor costs up from 21% of revenue in 2Q19 to 33% in 2Q24, compared to a pre-tax match of 12% in 2019, Spirit needs to address this labor-pricing mismatch.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Hyundai Motor, Diodes Inc, JFrog, Ma Com Technology Solutions, Plexus Corp, Sprinklr, US Cellular, Axcelis Technologies, Yelp Inc, Commvault Systems and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Oct-2024): APAC offshore wind market at crossroads.
  • Diodes Incorporated: Automotive & Industrial Market Expansion & Focus on AI & Data Center Applications! – Major Drivers
  • JFrog Ltd.: Dealing With The Market Competition Intensification Risk & Other Challenges? – Major Drivers
  • MACOM Technology Solutions: What Role Are They Playing In Linear Pluggable Optics and Data Communication? – Major Drivers
  • Plexus Corp.: The 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! – Major Drivers
  • Sprinklr Inc.: Will Its Emphasis on Large Enterprise Clients and Comprehensive Suite Offerings Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers
  • United States Cellular Corporation: Focus on Broadband Expansion and Customer Penetration & Other Major Drivers
  • Axcelis Technologies Inc.: Enhancing Market Penetration in Asia & Expansion in the Aftermarket Services Sector Driving Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Yelp Inc.: Will The Streamlined AI Implementations in AdTech & Search Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Commvault Systems: Acquisition Of Clumio & Expanded SaaS Portfolio For the Expansion of Cloud Data Protection Capabilities! – Major Drivers


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Oct-2024): APAC offshore wind market at crossroads.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • APAC offshore wind market faces regional competition as Typhoon Krathon spurs AI models to compete for accurate forecasting.
  • Ford Lio Ho revamps Kuga lineup in Taiwan’s SUV market post-Krathon, focusing on supply chain resilience amid labor strikes and geopolitical tensions.
  • Hyundai Motor plans ambitious battery production strategy while DIGITIMES Research forecasts significant growth in global and Taiwan AI healthcare markets from 2023 to 2030.

Diodes Incorporated: Automotive & Industrial Market Expansion & Focus on AI & Data Center Applications! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Diodes Incorporated’s second quarter of fiscal year 2024 showcased performance exceeding prior expectations as demand began to recover, particularly noted in the computing market in Asia.
  • The improvement in distributor inventory levels, marked by a sequential decrease in channel inventory weeks, was also a positive development.
  • The company highlighted significant growth in point-of-sale (POS) across 3C markets (Computers, Communication, and Consumer Electronics), maintaining a steady revenue stream from automotive and industrial products which collectively accounted at 41% of total revenue.

JFrog Ltd.: Dealing With The Market Competition Intensification Risk & Other Challenges? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • JFrog’s second quarter 2024 financial results highlight a scenario of mixed outcomes that underscore the robust yet challenging aspects of its operational and financial maneuvers.
  • JFrog’s CEO, Shlomi Ben Haim, and CFO, Ed Grabscheid provided detailed insights into the company’s performance and strategic pivots intended to harness emerging market opportunities and address existing challenges.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

MACOM Technology Solutions: What Role Are They Playing In Linear Pluggable Optics and Data Communication? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MACOM’s third fiscal quarter 2024 financial results exhibit both strengths and areas of concern, offering a mixed bag for potential investors.
  • The company reported a revenue of $190.5 million with an adjusted EPS of $0.66 per diluted share, marking a positive trend in turnover buoyed by sequential growth in the Data Center and Telecom segments.
  • This financial performance was complemented by an impressive generation of over $40 million in free cash flow and an ending cash position of $521 million in cash and short-term investments.

Plexus Corp.: The 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Plexus Corp. delivered a robust fiscal third quarter 2024 with revenues of $961 million, aligning with guidance.
  • Key sector performance varied, with particular strength in Aerospace and Defense, though tempered by industrial sector declines due to design changes and customer delays in new product introductions.
  • Despite these fluctuations, non-GAAP operating margins rose impressively to 5.8%, surpassing expectations due to increased efficiency and solid cost management.

Sprinklr Inc.: Will Its Emphasis on Large Enterprise Clients and Comprehensive Suite Offerings Yield Dividends? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sprinklr recently provided an update on its financial performance for the second quarter of the fiscal year 2025.
  • During this period, the company reported an 11% year-over-year growth in total revenue, amounting to $197.2 million, with subscription revenue growing 9% year-over-year to $177.9 million.
  • Moreover, the company generated $15.2 million in non-GAAP operating income, resulting in an 8% non-GAAP operating margin for the quarter.

United States Cellular Corporation: Focus on Broadband Expansion and Customer Penetration & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • UScellular’s second-quarter earnings reflect a phase of strategic adjustments and operational rigor aimed at realigning the company’s core business and addressing long-term shareholder value.
  • Key developments include the pending sale of UScellular’s wireless operations to T-Mobile, a move poised to reshape the company’s strategic focus while retaining significant assets like its towers and a portion of its spectrum.
  • The financial results from the quarter showed solid progress, particularly in adjusted EBITDA, which saw double-digit growth attributed to improved operational efficiency and prudent financial management.

Axcelis Technologies Inc.: Enhancing Market Penetration in Asia & Expansion in the Aftermarket Services Sector Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Axcelis Technologies, Inc. recently disclosed its financial results for the second quarter of 2024, revealing a combination of both robust achievements and projected challenges that could influence investor sentiment.
  • The company reported revenue of $257 million, surpassing expectations chiefly due to a favorable conversion of evaluation units into revenue and consistent high demand for its silicon carbide implantation systems.
  • Earnings per diluted share were also strong, amounting to $1.55, reflecting solid execution across the board.

Yelp Inc.: Will The Streamlined AI Implementations in AdTech & Search Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Yelp Inc. recorded a mixed performance in the second quarter of 2024, highlighting several strategic initiatives and financial metrics that provide a nuanced picture of its current positioning and future prospects.
  • The company achieved a 6% year-over-year increase in net revenue, amounting to $357 million, surpassing its own forecast marginally.
  • This growth was underpinned by the introduction of over 20 new features and updates, emphasizing Yelp’s continued focus on a product-led strategy.

Commvault Systems: Acquisition Of Clumio & Expanded SaaS Portfolio For the Expansion of Cloud Data Protection Capabilities! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Commvault’s fiscal first quarter of 2025 signaled a robust beginning to the year, reflecting significant growth across various metrics.
  • The company reported a 13% increase in total revenue, reaching $225 million, complemented by a 17% rise in total Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to $803 million.
  • Noteworthy was the Subscription ARR, which saw a 27% acceleration to $636 million, and the SaaS ARR, which surged by 66% to $188 million.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Ibiden Co Ltd, Donaldson Co, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Spirit Airlines and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ibiden (4062 JP): Once Again a Long-Term Buy
  • Donaldson Company Inc: Will The Aftermarket and Off-Road Growth in Mobile Solutions Last? – Major Drivers
  • Huntington Ingalls Industries: A Tale Of Expanded Shipbuilding Capacity and Modernization! – Major Drivers
  • Spirit Airlines Needs to Address Labor Cost-Pricing Mismatch with or Without Chapter 11


Ibiden (4062 JP): Once Again a Long-Term Buy

By Scott Foster

  • Sales, profits and the share price are bottoming out and good 1Q results make FY Mar-25 guidance look conservative.
  • Demand for advanced packaging should drive recovery, with the operating margin regaining its previous peak in three or four years.
  • Management’s long-term guidance implies a decline in the projected P/E ratio from 26x to 10X by FY Mar-28, but even 15x would make the shares an attractive investment.

Donaldson Company Inc: Will The Aftermarket and Off-Road Growth in Mobile Solutions Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Donaldson Company has reported a record-breaking financial performance for the fiscal year 2024, achieving high sales, margins, and EPS.
  • The company surpassed $3.5 billion in sales and reported an operating margin of 15.4%, delivering an adjusted EPS of $3.42 which reflects a 13% year-over-year growth.
  • This robust performance was underpinned by strong cash conversion over 97%, and the return of $286 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

Huntington Ingalls Industries: A Tale Of Expanded Shipbuilding Capacity and Modernization! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Huntington’s second quarter of 2024 financial results demonstrated a robust performance, underpinning the company’s ability to navigate challenges while seizing growth opportunities.
  • Revenue for the quarter reached $3 billion, marking a 6.8% year-over-year increase, driven largely by the exceptional growth of the Mission Technologies segment, which posted a 19% revenue increase from the previous year.
  • This segment’s book-to bill ratio stood at 1.15, indicating healthy future revenue from confirmed contracts.

Spirit Airlines Needs to Address Labor Cost-Pricing Mismatch with or Without Chapter 11

By Neil Glynn

  • WSJ reports Spirit is exploring a Chapter 11 filing, with this risk apparent since the collapse of the planned JetBlue combination in January.
  • We highlight detailed analysis comparing the economics of airline recoveries across the US, illustrating Spirit lags on commercial performance and cost control.
  • With labor costs up from 21% of revenue in 2Q19 to 33% in 2Q24, compared to a pre-tax match of 12% in 2019, Spirit needs to address this labor-pricing mismatch.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Health Care: Sigma Healthcare, Immix Biopharma Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Possibility of Merger with CWG Is Still Alive
  • Immix Biopharma – US CAR-T trial progresses to dose expansion


Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Possibility of Merger with CWG Is Still Alive

By Tina Banerjee

  • Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) has offered a court-enforceable undertaking to alleviate preliminary anti-competition concerns raised by ACCC in relation to its proposed merger with CWG.
  • Sigma will let its franchisees who entered their franchising arrangements prior to January 1, 2024 to terminate their franchise agreements with Sigma without any penalty, for the next three years.
  • The company will also limit the usage of confidential information from its wholesale customers and franchisees for the next three years. Final decision of ACCC is expected on November 7.

Immix Biopharma – US CAR-T trial progresses to dose expansion

By Edison Investment Research

Immix Biopharma’s US-based NEXICART-2 trial continues to make steady progress through the clinic, with the company reporting that the trial has advanced to the dose expansion level of 450m cells, after completing the 150m cell cohort. The Phase Ib/II trial is assessing Immix’s lead CAR-T asset NXC-201 as a first-in-class outpatient treatment for relapsed/ refractory amyloid light chain amyloidosis (r/r ALA). We highlight that both chosen doses in NEXICART-2 trial had elicited complete responses in the prior NEXICART-1 trial, which was based in Israel. We view the latest update as an encouraging sign that the current clinical trial is progressing as anticipated and we believe that the initial data readout, expected within Q424, could represent a near-term catalyst for investor attention.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars