Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief United States: ZEEKR, Masimo Corp, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Encompass Health , Ensign Group, Exelixis Inc, Extra Space Storage, Inspire Medical Systems Inc, Iti Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts
  • Masimo Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage – Expansion into Hearables and Wearables Market! – Major Drivers
  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – What Are The Geopolitical Factors Influencing Coal Markets? – Major Drivers
  • Microstrategy Inc (MSTR) – Tuesday, Jan 9, 2024
  • Encompass Health Corporation: 4 Pivotal Factors That Are Shaping Its Growth Journey!
  • The Ensign Group: Strengthening Relationships with Managed Care Partners & Quality Outcomes!
  • Exelixis Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Does It Have A Sustainable Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers
  • Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) – Tuesday, Jan 9, 2024
  • Inspire Medical Systems Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Surge in Sleep Center Investments Can Catalyze The Top-Line Growth? – Major Drivers
  • Intra-Cellular Therapies Inc.: Lumateperone’s market growth in the significant bipolar depression segment & other major drivers


ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts

By Arun George

  • ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of Geely Auto (175 HK), has restarted its IPO process to raise US$500 million by listing on the NYSE.
  • We previously discussed the IPO in ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case and ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case
  • The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF. 

Masimo Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage – Expansion into Hearables and Wearables Market! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Masimo Corporation had a mixed Q4 and fiscal year 2023 earnings call, reporting both positive results and some challenges.
  • The company generated over $2 billion in consolidated revenues, with healthcare revenues reaching $1.28 billion.
  • In addition, Masimo saw strong growth in its hearables business and reported a record number of contract wins.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – What Are The Geopolitical Factors Influencing Coal Markets? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources, a supplier of metallurgical products for the steel industry, closed its fourth quarter with adjusted EBITDA of $266 million and achieved over $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA for the year.
  • This is the second consecutive year in which the company attained such a milestone despite facing considerable challenges during the year.
  • Alpha highlighted the robustness of its management approach which included proactive identification of issues and proactive response plans that ensured minimal impact on performance.

Microstrategy Inc (MSTR) – Tuesday, Jan 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Approval of bitcoin ETFs by the SEC causing volatility in MSTR shares and bitcoin prices
  • Opportunity for a trade pairing short sale of MSTR shares with purchase of bitcoin ETF
  • Fluctuating premium of MSTR’s enterprise value over SOTP value, expected to dissipate with approval of bitcoin ETFs

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Encompass Health Corporation: 4 Pivotal Factors That Are Shaping Its Growth Journey!

By Baptista Research

  • Encompass Health’s earnings for the fourth quarter of 2023 revealed yet another strong showing for the company, capping off a robust year of performance.
  • On the positive side, a significant growth in both volume and revenue was reported for the year.
  • The company recorded a 10.4% increase in revenue, driven by an 8.7% spike in total discharges, indicating its value proposition indeed resonates with referral sources, payers, and the patients it serves.

The Ensign Group: Strengthening Relationships with Managed Care Partners & Quality Outcomes!

By Baptista Research

  • The Ensign Group offers a variety of services, including skilled nursing, rehabilitative care services, home health care, hospice care, and physical, occupational and speech therapies, among others.
  • In their most recent earnings presentation, the company reported impressive clinical and financial results backed by the commitment and efforts of its employees.
  • Ensign reported a same-store occupancy of 79.9%, a 240 basis point increase over the last year, and also noticed improvements in their occupancy on a sequential basis of 40 basis points over the third quarter.

Exelixis Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Does It Have A Sustainable Competitive Advantage? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Throughout 2023, Exelixis Inc, showed a strong overall performance with increased demand and revenue growth in its cabozantinib franchise, globally.
  • As per their recent conference call, they revealed that the franchise’s net product revenues rose by 14% YoY in Q4 2023.
  • The 2023 full-year revenue also grew by 16% YoY. Moreover, the global cabozantinib franchise net product revenues produced by Exelixis, and its partners reached approximately $2.3 billion in 2023.

Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) – Tuesday, Jan 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author has a negative outlook on self-storage REITs, particularly EXR
  • Valuations are high despite challenging outlook and higher interest rates
  • Predicts industry’s long-term prospects are unfavorable due to institutionalization and increased competition

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Inspire Medical Systems Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Surge in Sleep Center Investments Can Catalyze The Top-Line Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Inspire Medical Systems, a manufacturer of devices for treating obstructive sleep apnea, recently reported their fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results.
  • The company delivered strong results, noting this was their first quarter with operating income and that they had completed the year on a high note.
  • The company reported revenue of $192.5 million for the fourth quarter, a 40% increase from Q4 2020, and net income of $14.8 million, compared to $3.2 million in the prior year.

Intra-Cellular Therapies Inc.: Lumateperone’s market growth in the significant bipolar depression segment & other major drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intra-Cellular Therapies, during their fourth quarter and full-year 2023 earnings, expressed a positive outlook based on strong and consistent growth throughout the past year.
  • Key achievements included establishing CAPLYTA as a significant treatment option for a broad patient population with bipolar depression and schizophrenia, and advancing several of their pipeline programs.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Seazen (Formerly Future Land) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Pakuwon Jati, Sunny Optical Technology Group


Morning Views Asia: Pakuwon Jati, Sunny Optical Technology Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief India: Aavas Financiers Ltd, Tata Motors Ltd, Afcons Infrastructure Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • [#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook
  • Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR, Xiaomi Corp
  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet


[#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Market momentum continues to be strong. As we head into earnings season, the momentum is likely to continue.
  • Strong operational updates Info Edge India (INFOE IN); Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN) & Sula Vineyards (SULA IN).  
  • The overall market sentiment, represented by the average revisions across all sectors, is nearly flat, with a slight positive revision for FY1E at 0.02% and essentially stable for FY2E.

Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR, Xiaomi Corp

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners are Jefferies, Nomura, ICICI Securities, SBI Capital, DAM Capital, and Nuvama Wealth.
  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited (Afcons) is the flagship infrastructure engineering and construction company of the Shapoorji Pallonji group.
  • As per the Fitch report, the firm was one of India’s largest international infrastructure companies as per the 2023 ENR top international contractors ranking, based on FY23 international revenue.

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Daily Brief Japan: Aichi Financial Group , TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Jade Group, Golf Digest Online and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • The TOPIX Big April Basket Flows:  ¥200bn a Side Including Many Multi-ADV Flows
  • In Correlation with TOPIX, Nominal GDP Has Become Even Higher, While P/B Has Been Scarce Since 2020
  • Itochu Targets Fashion E-Commerce Via Jade Takeover of Magaseek
  • Full Report – Golf Digest Online (3319 JP)


The TOPIX Big April Basket Flows:  ¥200bn a Side Including Many Multi-ADV Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • Every year in April there is an interesting phenomenon with TOPIX. It is what Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA calls “The Big April Basket.” The TSE re-assesses Liquidity Factor Coefficients.
  • It also does a FFW change, and this year it has Phased Weight Reductions for those slowly leaving TOPIX and PWR re-inclusions for those identified last October as going back.
  • Janaghan had 18 “High Conviction” LF removals. All were hits. They are upweights. Then there are 34 changes to FFW coefficients.

In Correlation with TOPIX, Nominal GDP Has Become Even Higher, While P/B Has Been Scarce Since 2020

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Nominal GDP grew 1.8% from 2012 to 2017, higher than the annual average over the past 33 years, in anticipation of an escape from deflation, but TOPIX gains have stalled.
  • Nominal GDP from 2021 to 2023 will grow 3.8% per year, far above the average of the past 33 years, and the correlation with TOPIX is even higher.
  • With average P/B showing little correlation with TOPIX after 2020, expanding nominal earnings without losing out to rising prices seems to be a more important factor for stock price appreciation.

Itochu Targets Fashion E-Commerce Via Jade Takeover of Magaseek

By Michael Causton

  • Jade Group has acquired Magaseek and will merge the online mall with its own fashion e-commerce platform, Locondo and hopes to create a growing rival to Zozo.
  • Magaseek was founded by Itochu 20 years ago, and the deal underlines Itochu’s growing influence over Jade as a proxy for its ambitions in fashion e-commerce and distribution.
  • However, Jade Group has seen little organic growth for its Locondo platform in recent years, and while its acquisitions have added scale, integration has been haphazard.

Full Report – Golf Digest Online (3319 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • On the surface, FY23/12 consolidated OP -68% YoY, profit ATOP -53%, and FY24/12 initial guidance for a profit ATOP net loss may appear to indicate a challenging earnings environment.
  • However, closer examination reveals steady earnings improvement, and the new MTP through FY26/12 targets recouping major overseas growth investments.
  • The table below shows sequential improvement in the amount change YoY for Group EBITDA, OP and profit ATOP every quarter, with profits at all 9 levels posting YoY gains in the 4Q.

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Daily Brief China: Shanghai Electric Group Company, Huatai Securities Co Ltd (A), China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Air China Ltd (H), Tata Motors Ltd, TAL Education, Seazen (Formerly Future Land), Kayou and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORTs Down 11% Vs Index Since Mid-Feb; Change the Hedge
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: Past Trades Successful but Time to Unwind Some
  • China TCM (570.HK) – Latest Updates on Privatization and the Potential Merger with Taiji Group
  • China Pair Trade Idea: Long Air China (753 HK), Short CSA (1055 HK)
  • Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR, Xiaomi Corp
  • TAL Education Group: Initiation Of Coverage – What Is Its Real Business Strategy And What Is The Impact Of AI On Its Business? – Major Drivers
  • Morning Views Asia: Pakuwon Jati, Sunny Optical Technology Group
  • Kayou Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Unexplained 9M23 Slump


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORTs Down 11% Vs Index Since Mid-Feb; Change the Hedge

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by marketcap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500. There is subjectivity.
  • Here we look at potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300/500 rebalance in June 2024. With 93% of time passed, I expect 11 changes for CSI300, 50 for CSI 500. 
  • Some names have changed since my last insight, but the long/short trades recommended eight weeks ago gained 11.26% since. We make small changes this time.

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: Past Trades Successful but Time to Unwind Some

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • According to my estimates, the SSE 50 expected ADDs and DELs could see US$1.7bn index buying and US$828mn index selling respectively (leaving nearly $900mm of funding sales to do).

China TCM (570.HK) – Latest Updates on Privatization and the Potential Merger with Taiji Group

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Since “no dividend was proposed for the year ended 31 December 2023”, the privatization is highly likely to succeed. It may not be wise for investors to bet against privatization.
  • The recent high-level personnel changes in Taiji is “thought-provoking”, which seems to be preparing for the next step of integrating with China TCM. Spin-offs and integrations are expected within Taiji.
  • We analyzed possible playbook. In this way, CNPGC is able to solve the problem of horizontal competition. China TCM could also relist in A-share to gain higher valuations/better liquidity.

China Pair Trade Idea: Long Air China (753 HK), Short CSA (1055 HK)

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK) had 15.4% interest-bearing debt denominated in USD, vs. 21.3% for China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), making it less exposed to Rmb depreciation. 
  • Recovery of international traffic and routes will help to lower unit costs. Air China’s unit costs for FY23 were Rmb4.0445, whereas CSA’s were only Rmb3.2000.
  • There is more upside for Air China’s load factor which was down 7.8pp YoY in FY23, compared with -4.7pp for CSA. 

Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR, Xiaomi Corp

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


TAL Education Group: Initiation Of Coverage – What Is Its Real Business Strategy And What Is The Impact Of AI On Its Business? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • TAL Education Group (TAL) reported net revenues of USD 373.5 million for its third quarter fiscal year 2024, exhibiting an increase of 60.5% and 63.7% in U.S. dollar and RMB terms.
  • Despite the impressive revenue growth, profitability remained a concern with non-GAAP loss from operations and non-GAAP net loss attributable to TAL amounting to USD 10.2 million and USD 1.9 million, respectively.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Morning Views Asia: Pakuwon Jati, Sunny Optical Technology Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Kayou Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Unexplained 9M23 Slump

By Sumeet Singh

  • Kayou is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • Kayou is a Chinese pan-entertainment product retailer of toys, with trading cards in particular as its core product.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong: Q1 Short Interest Recap and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong: Q1 Short Interest Recap


Hong Kong: Q1 Short Interest Recap

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief ESG: In Correlation with TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • In Correlation with TOPIX, Nominal GDP Has Become Even Higher, While P/B Has Been Scarce Since 2020


In Correlation with TOPIX, Nominal GDP Has Become Even Higher, While P/B Has Been Scarce Since 2020

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Nominal GDP grew 1.8% from 2012 to 2017, higher than the annual average over the past 33 years, in anticipation of an escape from deflation, but TOPIX gains have stalled.
  • Nominal GDP from 2021 to 2023 will grow 3.8% per year, far above the average of the past 33 years, and the correlation with TOPIX is even higher.
  • With average P/B showing little correlation with TOPIX after 2020, expanding nominal earnings without losing out to rising prices seems to be a more important factor for stock price appreciation.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Stocks Flat; Microsoft to Spend Big on JP Data Centers and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Stocks Flat; Microsoft to Spend Big on JP Data Centers
  • Early Sign of AI GPU Market Inflection Point?
  • A Deep Dive into Chinese Industrial Production
  • Global O&G Firms’ Credit Quality Improves on Tighter Oil Markets
  • Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor – Week Ended April 5, 2024


Ohayo Japan | Stocks Flat; Microsoft to Spend Big on JP Data Centers

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks in holding pattern ahead of March CPI report on Wednesday. NKY Futures point to lower open in Tokyo
  • Microsoft plans to invest $2.9 billion in data centers in Japan by 2025, responding to Tokyo’s AI computing demand
  • Seven & i Holdings mulls selling a stake in its superstore business, Ito-Yokado and York-Benimaru, by creating a new intermediate holding company

Early Sign of AI GPU Market Inflection Point?

By Andrew Lu

  • Taiwan Dell said “AI GPU shortage issue has been resolved. The lead time has been cut from 40 weeks by the end of 2023 to 8-12 weeks or less now.
  • We see this news short term positive but medium term negative to AI GPU supply chain vendors but need more information to confirm if this is an inflection point.
  • 1. Taiwan Dell got priority supply? 2. Earlier overbooking over? 3. Lead time cut by supply upside? 4. Cooling company said the same; 5. Will lead time continue to shrink?

A Deep Dive into Chinese Industrial Production

By Massif Capital Research

  • This post examines China’s economic strategies and their impact on global trade and geopolitical dynamics, focusing on the shift from low-value-added goods to high-value-added industries like lithium-ion batteries, solar cells, and EVs.
  • It highlights China’s approach of integrating economic and political strategies under the concept of “China, Inc.” where the state uses overcapacity as a strategic tool to further its geostrategic interests.
  • The current Chinese export-led strategy challenges the principles of free trade, raises concerns about the sustainability of global economic interdependence, and is the basis for fear about China dumping industrial products on developed markets.

Global O&G Firms’ Credit Quality Improves on Tighter Oil Markets

By Raghav Chandra Mathur

  • Oil spot prices have gained at a relatively stable pace since the start of 2024, with crude prices rising close to 19% year to date.
  • Robust demand due to recovery in economic activity across major markets has been a steady tailwind to oil prices despite the prevalent geo-political catalysts that have spurred across global markets.
  • Globally listed oil and gas producers and service providers have therefore seen a marginal improvement in their aggregate credit risk profiles, with their Criat Credit Cycle Index (CCCI) dropping by close to 2bps over the same period.

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor – Week Ended April 5, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was up down 1.5% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 1.0%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 2.9%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 0.8%).
  • Energy Technology (12.7% of the index) was down by 5.0%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (57.1% of the index) was down by 1.0%, ClimateTech Mining was down by 1.9%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (24.1% of index) was down by 1.2%.
  • Top 10 Performers: VVPR, NEOV, KULR, ORGN, EGT, BLDE, WAVE, FAT, AQMS, HCNWF

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR, Xiaomi Corp
  • Melco Resorts – Event Flash – Proposing USD 500 Mn 8NC3 Notes Issuance – Lucror Analytics
  • Morning Views Asia: Pakuwon Jati, Sunny Optical Technology Group


Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR, Xiaomi Corp

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Melco Resorts – Event Flash – Proposing USD 500 Mn 8NC3 Notes Issuance – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Melco Resorts and Entertainment (MLCO) announced yesterday that it is planning to issue USD 500 mn in 8NC3 notes. In addition, subsidiary Studio City has initiated a tender offer to repurchase up to USD 100 mn of the STCITY 6.0 ’25s. We view positively MLCO’s proposed bond issuance and the maturity extension of its credit facilities, as well as Studio City’s tender offer, as they demonstrate management’s proactive approach in managing the company’s debt maturities. The transactions will significantly reduce MLCO’s refinancing risk in FY 2025, as the company would have c. USD 1.5 bn of availability under its credit facilities that can be used to help repay the USD 1.0 bn MPEL 4.875 ’25s due in June 2025. Moreover, management has committed to prioritise debt reduction over dividend payments in FY 2024.

We view the price talk of 7.75-7.875% as fair.


Morning Views Asia: Pakuwon Jati, Sunny Optical Technology Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ECM: HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis
  • WT Micro Placement – Another Well-Flagged Taiwan GDR Offering, This One Is Easier to Digest
  • ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts
  • OceanaGold Philippines IPO – Small yet Asking for a Lot
  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Kayou Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Unexplained 9M23 Slump


HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, representing an 18% upside from the high end of the IPO price range.
  • The company’s ROE averaged 67% in 2022 and 2023. In comparison, the comps’ ROE averaged 10.6% in the same period. [HD Hyundai Marine Solution > Comps]
  • Our base case valuation is based on 24.7x P/E (comps’ average) using our estimated net profit of 178.7 billion won for the company in 2024. 

WT Micro Placement – Another Well-Flagged Taiwan GDR Offering, This One Is Easier to Digest

By Clarence Chu

  • WT Microelectronics (3036 TT) is looking to raise US$341m in its GDR offering. The proceeds will be used to purchase raw materials overseas.
  • The deal is a very well flagged one, and will be a relatively small one to digest at just 4.8 days of the stock’s three month ADV.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on the deal dynamics.

ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts

By Arun George

  • ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of Geely Auto (175 HK), has restarted its IPO process to raise US$500 million by listing on the NYSE.
  • We previously discussed the IPO in ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case and ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case
  • The latest SEC filings reinforce the bear case due to weak industry sentiment, rapidly slowing growth, ongoing operating losses and volatile FCF. 

OceanaGold Philippines IPO – Small yet Asking for a Lot

By Ethan Aw

  • OceanaGold Philippines (OGCP000D PM) is looking to raise up to US$140m in its Philippines IPO.
  • OceanaGold Philippines (OGPI) is a producer of gold and copper in the Philippines, and a subsidiary of OceanaGold Corporation, a Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) listed gold mining and exploration company.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance and share our quick thoughts on valuation.

Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners are Jefferies, Nomura, ICICI Securities, SBI Capital, DAM Capital, and Nuvama Wealth.
  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited (Afcons) is the flagship infrastructure engineering and construction company of the Shapoorji Pallonji group.
  • As per the Fitch report, the firm was one of India’s largest international infrastructure companies as per the 2023 ENR top international contractors ranking, based on FY23 international revenue.

Kayou Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Unexplained 9M23 Slump

By Sumeet Singh

  • Kayou is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • Kayou is a Chinese pan-entertainment product retailer of toys, with trading cards in particular as its core product.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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