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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Renesas (6723 JP): Two More Strategic Acquisitions and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Renesas (6723 JP): Two More Strategic Acquisitions
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Acter Co
  • Unveiling the Shadows: A Deep Dive into Hindenburg Research’s Exposé on Temenos
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Feb16)-Innovative Drug Is “Innocent” In Geopolitics, BeiGene’s BTK, Jacobio
  • Cloudflare Inc: Why We See Immense Potential In AI and Vectorize! – Major Drivers
  • Alibaba Group: Revitalization of Taobao and Tmall Group
  • Coherent Corp.: Launch of New WaveShaper Instruments For U- And Super C-Bands & Other Major Developments
  • Enphase Energy: The 4th-Gen Battery Breakthrough You Can’t Miss! – Major Drivers
  • CVS Health Corporation: Integration Of Acquired Businesses
  • Lear Corporation: These 7 Drivers Are Pushing The Company Forward In 2024! – Financial Forecasts


Renesas (6723 JP): Two More Strategic Acquisitions

By Scott Foster

  • Renesas has acquired PCB electronic design company Altium and Gallium Nitride power device maker Transphorm. Its tender offer for Sequans Communications has been extended.
  • These are positive developments in our view, but sales and profit margins were down in 4Q of FY Dec-23 and are expected to decline this quarter as well.
  • On the other hand, inventory adjustment is proceeding and the share price has dropped 12.6% since last Tuesday. Buy on weakness for the longer term. 

Asian Dividend Gems: Acter Co

By Douglas Kim

  • Based in Taiwan, Acter Co is capitalizing on its extensive experience of high-end cleanroom integration, recycling and regeneration systems, electromechanical engineering to generate consistent growth in earnings and cash flow.
  • Acter Co’s dividend yield averaged 8.2% from 2019 to 2022. Its annual dividend payout averaged 76% in the same period. Estimated dividend yield is 7% in 2023. 
  • We found Acter Co Ltd (5536 TT) using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener system. 

Unveiling the Shadows: A Deep Dive into Hindenburg Research’s Exposé on Temenos

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Diving Deep into Hindenburg Research’s comprehensive report on Temenos triggers a market plunge, alleging accounting manipulations, failed North American expansion, product failures, and troubled European deals.
  • Allegations include aggressive revenue recognition, excessive R&D capitalization, difficulty in revenue collection, inflated free cash flow, and executive insiders stock divestment.
  • Temenos denies allegations, defending its business integrity, performance, and financial standing, but market volatility persists, emphasizing the need for transparent communication and governance reassurance.

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb16)-Innovative Drug Is “Innocent” In Geopolitics, BeiGene’s BTK, Jacobio

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Due to the US Draft Bill against CXOs, stock prices of the entire pharmaceutical industry plummeted. But in reality, there’s no impact on innovative drugs, which is just “emotional suppression”.
  • The future BTK inhibitors market pattern predicted by GlobalData is very close to our estimate. This actually indirectly verifies the peak sales level that BeiGene may reach in the future.
  • Setbacks on KRAS/SHP2 projects discourage investors’ confidence on Jacobio. We wouldn’t recommend projecting too high expectations on BET inhibitor just yet. Share price performance could continue to be under pressure.

Cloudflare Inc: Why We See Immense Potential In AI and Vectorize! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cloudflare Inc.’s latest Q4 2023 earnings highlighted several encouraging developments, underscoring a strong quarter of business growth and an upbeat financial performance, even amid prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • The cloud-based network security company reported total revenues of $362.5 million, a 32% increase year-over-year(YoY).
  • The increase was driven significantly by larger customers, with 66% of revenue coming from this group.

Alibaba Group: Revitalization of Taobao and Tmall Group

By Baptista Research

  • Alibaba Group’s latest report for the December Quarter 2023 reflected steady growth despite necessary organizational adjustments.
  • The call highlighted an overall focus on a more aggressive approach towards competition to win growth, reigniting the growth in their two core businesses: e-commerce and cloud computing.
  • The healthy year-over-year Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) growth in the e-commerce segment is attributed to the effective execution of user-first and competitive pricing strategies in Taobao and Tmall Group (TTG).

Coherent Corp.: Launch of New WaveShaper Instruments For U- And Super C-Bands & Other Major Developments

By Baptista Research

  • Coherent Corp.’s second quarter fiscal 2024 earnings demonstrated signs of gradual improvement in its financial performance, furthering confidence in its outlook for growth and profitability.
  • They reported solid sequential growth in both revenue and margins.
  • Significant developments from Q2 include increasing gross and operating margins and improving demand across its communications and industrial markets.

Enphase Energy: The 4th-Gen Battery Breakthrough You Can’t Miss! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Enphase Energy Inc.’s fourth quarter 2023 financial results show a quarterly revenue of $302.6 million, a considerable shipment of 1.6 million microinverters and 80.7 megawatt hours of battery, along with a generation of free cash flow of $15.4 million.
  • The company also achieved a reduction of $147 million in Q4, and met their goal of reducing channel inventory.
  • The quarter saw a 50% gross margin, 29% operating expenses, and 22% operating income.

CVS Health Corporation: Integration Of Acquired Businesses

By Baptista Research

  • Analyzing the latest earnings call transcript of CVS Health, it becomes evident that the company has managed to successfully navigate through a challenging environment and deliver on its financial commitments, underscoring the strength of its diversified business model.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Lear Corporation: These 7 Drivers Are Pushing The Company Forward In 2024! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Lear Corporation achieved record revenue in 2023, reaching $23.5 billion, a 12% increase from 2022.
  • The significant growth in core operating earnings by 29% to $1.1 billion and the 38% increase in adjusted earnings per share to $12.02 highlight the company’s strong financial performance.
  • Additionally, its operating cash flow improved by 22% to over $1.2 billion, and free cash flow conversion exceeded the target of 80%.

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Daily Brief Australia: Altium Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Altium, Ansarada, Roland DG, Welbe, Orecorp, Vinda


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Altium, Ansarada, Roland DG, Welbe, Orecorp, Vinda

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Crypto: Edward Woodford: Driving Crypto Adoption – [Making Markets and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Edward Woodford: Driving Crypto Adoption – [Making Markets, EP.17]


Edward Woodford: Driving Crypto Adoption – [Making Markets, EP.17]

By Web3 Breakdowns

  • Investment firms are using ten east to diversify their personal portfolios.
  • Zero Hash is a software company that allows businesses to launch crypto products quickly and compliantly.
  • Zero Hash provides infrastructure for businesses to embed digital assets within their own infrastructure, serving as a regulated entity.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief Macro: The Week Ahead – Fed Meeting Minutes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • The Week Ahead – Fed Meeting Minutes, Central Bank Meetings in Indonesia and Korea
  • Strong Buildup of US Crude Inventory Plays Spoilsport to a Solid Oil Rally
  • Supply Disruptions Drive Copper TC to Three-Year Low; Smelters May Cut Production
  • Mining The Gap For Low Carbon Transition Materials
  • EM Fixed Income: No One Said It Would Be Easy


The Week Ahead – Fed Meeting Minutes, Central Bank Meetings in Indonesia and Korea

By Nomura – The Week Ahead

  • Global markets experienced a wobble following a stronger than expected US CPI inflation report, causing a spike in bond yields and a dip in equity markets.
  • The US CPI report breaks the trend of positive data and has implications for the Fed’s rate cut decisions. While inflation is expected to moderate this year, it will take several data points to confirm this.
  • The upcoming minutes from the January FOMC meeting will provide more details on the Fed’s thinking regarding rate cuts and adjustments to the pace of balance sheet rundown.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Strong Buildup of US Crude Inventory Plays Spoilsport to a Solid Oil Rally

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC bullish on global oil demand growth, while IEA remains negative as it lowers its forecast from the previous report.
  • US commercial crude inventories see stronger-than-expected buildup as refinery utilisation levels drop.
  • OPEC is optimistic about the world economic growth in 2024 and 2025, increasing growth forecasts compared to the previous report.

Supply Disruptions Drive Copper TC to Three-Year Low; Smelters May Cut Production

By Commodities Focus

  • The copper market has experienced significant changes in the past few months, with supply constraints and increased demand from smelters in China.
  • Major incidents, such as the suspension of production at First Quantum’s Cobra Panama mine, have contributed to a deficit in the market.
  • Treatment and refining charges (TCRCs) have been on a downtrend, reflecting the tight supply and increasing demand, leading to more spot transactions in the market.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Mining The Gap For Low Carbon Transition Materials

By The Bid

  • The transition to a low carbon economy, also known as the brown to green transition, involves moving from an economy based on fossil fuels with high carbon emissions to one with lower emissions.
  • This transition will require a significant mobilization of capital, with estimates in the tens of trillions of dollars. Governments and the private sector are providing support and driving the change due to both funding and economic factors.
  • In addition to investing in wind and solar infrastructure, the low carbon transition will require a significant amount of metals and materials. This includes steel, cement, rare earth, aluminum, silver, polysilicon, copper cabling, and more. The transition will create a more materials-intensive global economy.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


EM Fixed Income: No One Said It Would Be Easy

By At Any Rate

  • EM credit spreads are already low, but the possibility of a Fed rate cut is still a key factor in the EM narrative.
  • The Fed’s interpretation of inflation data is shifting, but there is not enough evidence to suggest a higher for longer regime.
  • The trend of central banks allowing currency weakness has impacted EM FX performance, but FX reserves have not seen significant increases due to low commodities prices and a lack of capital inflows.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief United States: Crude Oil, Cloudflare , Copper, Bitcoin, Enphase Energy, Coherent Inc, Cvs Health Corp, Lear Corp, ROBLOX and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Strong Buildup of US Crude Inventory Plays Spoilsport to a Solid Oil Rally
  • Cloudflare Inc: Why We See Immense Potential In AI and Vectorize! – Major Drivers
  • Supply Disruptions Drive Copper TC to Three-Year Low; Smelters May Cut Production
  • Edward Woodford: Driving Crypto Adoption – [Making Markets, EP.17]
  • Enphase Energy: The 4th-Gen Battery Breakthrough You Can’t Miss! – Major Drivers
  • Coherent Corp.: Launch of New WaveShaper Instruments For U- And Super C-Bands & Other Major Developments
  • Mining The Gap For Low Carbon Transition Materials
  • CVS Health Corporation: Integration Of Acquired Businesses
  • Lear Corporation: These 7 Drivers Are Pushing The Company Forward In 2024! – Financial Forecasts
  • Roblox Corporation: Cutting-Edge AI Drives Cost Down! Inside Look at How They’re Revolutionizing Game Infrastructure! – Major Drivers


Strong Buildup of US Crude Inventory Plays Spoilsport to a Solid Oil Rally

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC bullish on global oil demand growth, while IEA remains negative as it lowers its forecast from the previous report.
  • US commercial crude inventories see stronger-than-expected buildup as refinery utilisation levels drop.
  • OPEC is optimistic about the world economic growth in 2024 and 2025, increasing growth forecasts compared to the previous report.

Cloudflare Inc: Why We See Immense Potential In AI and Vectorize! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cloudflare Inc.’s latest Q4 2023 earnings highlighted several encouraging developments, underscoring a strong quarter of business growth and an upbeat financial performance, even amid prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • The cloud-based network security company reported total revenues of $362.5 million, a 32% increase year-over-year(YoY).
  • The increase was driven significantly by larger customers, with 66% of revenue coming from this group.

Supply Disruptions Drive Copper TC to Three-Year Low; Smelters May Cut Production

By Commodities Focus

  • The copper market has experienced significant changes in the past few months, with supply constraints and increased demand from smelters in China.
  • Major incidents, such as the suspension of production at First Quantum’s Cobra Panama mine, have contributed to a deficit in the market.
  • Treatment and refining charges (TCRCs) have been on a downtrend, reflecting the tight supply and increasing demand, leading to more spot transactions in the market.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Edward Woodford: Driving Crypto Adoption – [Making Markets, EP.17]

By Web3 Breakdowns

  • Investment firms are using ten east to diversify their personal portfolios.
  • Zero Hash is a software company that allows businesses to launch crypto products quickly and compliantly.
  • Zero Hash provides infrastructure for businesses to embed digital assets within their own infrastructure, serving as a regulated entity.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Enphase Energy: The 4th-Gen Battery Breakthrough You Can’t Miss! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Enphase Energy Inc.’s fourth quarter 2023 financial results show a quarterly revenue of $302.6 million, a considerable shipment of 1.6 million microinverters and 80.7 megawatt hours of battery, along with a generation of free cash flow of $15.4 million.
  • The company also achieved a reduction of $147 million in Q4, and met their goal of reducing channel inventory.
  • The quarter saw a 50% gross margin, 29% operating expenses, and 22% operating income.

Coherent Corp.: Launch of New WaveShaper Instruments For U- And Super C-Bands & Other Major Developments

By Baptista Research

  • Coherent Corp.’s second quarter fiscal 2024 earnings demonstrated signs of gradual improvement in its financial performance, furthering confidence in its outlook for growth and profitability.
  • They reported solid sequential growth in both revenue and margins.
  • Significant developments from Q2 include increasing gross and operating margins and improving demand across its communications and industrial markets.

Mining The Gap For Low Carbon Transition Materials

By The Bid

  • The transition to a low carbon economy, also known as the brown to green transition, involves moving from an economy based on fossil fuels with high carbon emissions to one with lower emissions.
  • This transition will require a significant mobilization of capital, with estimates in the tens of trillions of dollars. Governments and the private sector are providing support and driving the change due to both funding and economic factors.
  • In addition to investing in wind and solar infrastructure, the low carbon transition will require a significant amount of metals and materials. This includes steel, cement, rare earth, aluminum, silver, polysilicon, copper cabling, and more. The transition will create a more materials-intensive global economy.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


CVS Health Corporation: Integration Of Acquired Businesses

By Baptista Research

  • Analyzing the latest earnings call transcript of CVS Health, it becomes evident that the company has managed to successfully navigate through a challenging environment and deliver on its financial commitments, underscoring the strength of its diversified business model.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Lear Corporation: These 7 Drivers Are Pushing The Company Forward In 2024! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Lear Corporation achieved record revenue in 2023, reaching $23.5 billion, a 12% increase from 2022.
  • The significant growth in core operating earnings by 29% to $1.1 billion and the 38% increase in adjusted earnings per share to $12.02 highlight the company’s strong financial performance.
  • Additionally, its operating cash flow improved by 22% to over $1.2 billion, and free cash flow conversion exceeded the target of 80%.

Roblox Corporation: Cutting-Edge AI Drives Cost Down! Inside Look at How They’re Revolutionizing Game Infrastructure! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Roblox Corporation exhibited a robust performance in the fourth quarter and full year 2023, in line with the outlook projected at their Investor Day.
  • Q4 saw daily active users (DAUs) reaching 71.5 million, a 22% increase, and hours engaged increasing to 15.5 billion hours, a jump of 21% year-on-year.
  • Revenue for Q4 alone stood at $749 million, up 30% year-on-year, with bookings hitting $1.1 billion, a bump of 25% year on year.

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Daily Brief China: HSBC Holdings, China Unicom Hong Kong, Jacobio Pharmaceuticals, Alibaba (ADR) and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Idling at 82 Members; 100 Members in 2025 at the Earliest
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance: Third Time Unlucky for Zhongsheng (881 HK) As China Unicom (762 HK) In
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Feb16)-Innovative Drug Is “Innocent” In Geopolitics, BeiGene’s BTK, Jacobio
  • Alibaba Group: Revitalization of Taobao and Tmall Group


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Idling at 82 Members; 100 Members in 2025 at the Earliest

By Brian Freitas

  • In a surprise, the Hang Seng index committee has decided not to make any constituent changes to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) at the March rebalance.
  • We now see the index reaching its 100-member target in 2025 at the earliest, though we would not be surprised to see it spill into 2026 as well.
  • Free float and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 1.2% resulting in a round trip trade of HK$4.54bn. HSBC Holdings (5 HK) is the biggest sell.

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Third Time Unlucky for Zhongsheng (881 HK) As China Unicom (762 HK) In

By Brian Freitas


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb16)-Innovative Drug Is “Innocent” In Geopolitics, BeiGene’s BTK, Jacobio

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Due to the US Draft Bill against CXOs, stock prices of the entire pharmaceutical industry plummeted. But in reality, there’s no impact on innovative drugs, which is just “emotional suppression”.
  • The future BTK inhibitors market pattern predicted by GlobalData is very close to our estimate. This actually indirectly verifies the peak sales level that BeiGene may reach in the future.
  • Setbacks on KRAS/SHP2 projects discourage investors’ confidence on Jacobio. We wouldn’t recommend projecting too high expectations on BET inhibitor just yet. Share price performance could continue to be under pressure.

Alibaba Group: Revitalization of Taobao and Tmall Group

By Baptista Research

  • Alibaba Group’s latest report for the December Quarter 2023 reflected steady growth despite necessary organizational adjustments.
  • The call highlighted an overall focus on a more aggressive approach towards competition to win growth, reigniting the growth in their two core businesses: e-commerce and cloud computing.
  • The healthy year-over-year Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) growth in the e-commerce segment is attributed to the effective execution of user-first and competitive pricing strategies in Taobao and Tmall Group (TTG).

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Daily Brief Japan: Snow Peak Inc, MS&AD Insurance, Renesas Electronics, Toei Animation, SCREEN Holdings, Outsourcing Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Asahi Intecc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Snow Peak (7816) – Nikkei Says Bain to Launch ¥50bn MBO
  • [Japan Governance] FSA Urges Japan Non-Life Insurers to Eliminate Cross-Holdings – Sales Coming
  • Renesas (6723 JP): Two More Strategic Acquisitions
  • Weekly Deals Digest (18 Feb) – Toei, Outsourcing, YSK, Altium, Ansarada, China TCM, Vinda
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Outsourcing Ltd, MGM China, JSR Corp, Dissentient Blues
  • Higher ROE & ROA Are Keys to Higher Valuation, but This Wasn’t Easy for Companies with Low Valuation
  • 2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Strong H1 Performance; FY24 Guidance Reaffirmed


Snow Peak (7816) – Nikkei Says Bain to Launch ¥50bn MBO

By Travis Lundy

  • Apparently, MergerMarket had an article out Friday saying once-higher-flying outdoor/sporting goods retailer Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP) was considering going private. The company said(J) late they were considering multiple options.
  • A Nikkei article (J) Saturday said it was Bain would launch an MBO/Tender Offer as early as this week paying ¥50bn. 
  • This will probably go limit up Monday. I’d expect an announcement post-close Monday. Long-suffering long-only investors who have already sold will be disappointed. Those who were late to sell? Happy.

[Japan Governance] FSA Urges Japan Non-Life Insurers to Eliminate Cross-Holdings – Sales Coming

By Travis Lundy

  • There has been a recent non-life insurer price-fixing scandal. The JFTC and FSA investigated. Last December, the FSA issued Business Improvement Orders to the four majors. 
  • There was a Bigmotor scandal last summer and Sompo Japan got a Business Improvement Order last month. All four insurers have 
  • 9 Feb post-close, Jiji/Nikkei had articles saying the FSA had urged four major non-lifes subject to the first BIO to accelerate sales of ¥6.5trln+ of 5,900 Cross-Holdings. That’s big.

Renesas (6723 JP): Two More Strategic Acquisitions

By Scott Foster

  • Renesas has acquired PCB electronic design company Altium and Gallium Nitride power device maker Transphorm. Its tender offer for Sequans Communications has been extended.
  • These are positive developments in our view, but sales and profit margins were down in 4Q of FY Dec-23 and are expected to decline this quarter as well.
  • On the other hand, inventory adjustment is proceeding and the share price has dropped 12.6% since last Tuesday. Buy on weakness for the longer term. 

Weekly Deals Digest (18 Feb) – Toei, Outsourcing, YSK, Altium, Ansarada, China TCM, Vinda

By Arun George


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning

By Brian Freitas


Last Week in Event SPACE: Outsourcing Ltd, MGM China, JSR Corp, Dissentient Blues

By David Blennerhassett

  • Nobody “named” having >5.0% in Outsourcing (2427 JP); no public noise, the stock down; people won’t be fighting for a bump unless the delay and impairment are truly meaningless.
  • Stay long MGM China Holdings (2282 HK) as its FY23 top line surpasses pre-Covid levels.
  • Investors and risk arbitrageurs who are worried about the potential loss of the case to RF SUNY should simply avoid, or sell then avoid JSR Corp (4185 JP) shares.

Higher ROE & ROA Are Keys to Higher Valuation, but This Wasn’t Easy for Companies with Low Valuation

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Over the past year, Tobin’s Q increased slightly for listed companies as a whole; companies that increased their ROE and ROA increased their Tobin’s Q. vice versa.
  • Companies that originally had high stock valuations and high ROE and ROA increased their valuations by becoming more profitable. Raising ROE and ROA is the key to higher valuations.
  • For companies with low valuations, it wasn’t easy to raise ROE and ROA solely at TSE’s request. Some of companies whose stock valuations have fallen will go private through MBOs.

2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Strong H1 Performance; FY24 Guidance Reaffirmed

By Tina Banerjee

  • Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) announced better-than-expected result in H1FY24, with double-digit growth across all major parameters. Growth was driven by favorable Fx, recovery and expansion of cases, and strong demand.
  • Revenue from medical division increased 22% YoY to ¥48B. Operating income of the medical division increased 52% YoY to ¥13B, representing 540bps YoY margin expansion to 27.3%.
  • Asahi Intecc has not revised FY24 guidance as it is difficult to forecast currency movements and revenue from distributors in medical division due to volatility of quarterly transactions.

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Most Read: DISCO Corp, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology, Infosys Ltd, Abacus Storage King, HSBC Holdings, Snow Peak Inc, Hang Seng Index, MS&AD Insurance, Altium Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: N225, ASX, STAR50, NIFTY50, KRX New Deal, UOL SP, Korea Passive
  • STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: High Risk/Return Trade Setup
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float
  • MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: ASK Looks Like a Delete
  • Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Idling at 82 Members; 100 Members in 2025 at the Earliest
  • Snow Peak (7816) – Nikkei Says Bain to Launch ¥50bn MBO
  • EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week
  • [Japan Governance] FSA Urges Japan Non-Life Insurers to Eliminate Cross-Holdings – Sales Coming
  • Japan Weekly | Rakuten, Asics, Ebara, Tokyo Electron Chalk up Big Gains
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Altium, Ansarada, Roland DG, Welbe, Orecorp, Vinda


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: N225, ASX, STAR50, NIFTY50, KRX New Deal, UOL SP, Korea Passive

By Brian Freitas


STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: High Risk/Return Trade Setup

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the March rebalance ended 31 January. We expect the changes to be announced 23 February with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 March.
  • There are 10 stocks in inclusion zone and 11 in deletion zone. There should be 10 changes since that is the cap for the maximum changes at a single rebalance.
  • The potential adds and deletes are down between 37-47% over the last 6 months and a long/short trade could provide superior risk-adjusted returns.

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

By Brian Freitas

  • There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.
  • The review period for the March rebalance of the S&P/ASX 200 and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.
  • There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: ASK Looks Like a Delete

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the March rebalance ends in a couple of weeks. There could be one deletion from the index and a bunch of capping changes.
  • The index changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.2% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m. There are two stocks with over A$3m to trade.
  • With market participants expecting lower interest rates, there has been short covering on a lot of the REITs in the last few months.

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Idling at 82 Members; 100 Members in 2025 at the Earliest

By Brian Freitas

  • In a surprise, the Hang Seng index committee has decided not to make any constituent changes to the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) at the March rebalance.
  • We now see the index reaching its 100-member target in 2025 at the earliest, though we would not be surprised to see it spill into 2026 as well.
  • Free float and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 1.2% resulting in a round trip trade of HK$4.54bn. HSBC Holdings (5 HK) is the biggest sell.

Snow Peak (7816) – Nikkei Says Bain to Launch ¥50bn MBO

By Travis Lundy

  • Apparently, MergerMarket had an article out Friday saying once-higher-flying outdoor/sporting goods retailer Snow Peak Inc (7816 JP) was considering going private. The company said(J) late they were considering multiple options.
  • A Nikkei article (J) Saturday said it was Bain would launch an MBO/Tender Offer as early as this week paying ¥50bn. 
  • This will probably go limit up Monday. I’d expect an announcement post-close Monday. Long-suffering long-only investors who have already sold will be disappointed. Those who were late to sell? Happy.

EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week

By Nico Rosti

  • The Hang Seng Index is rallying as anticipated in a previous insight, but it could stop this week and pullback a bit. 
  • 3 possible trades available: go SHORT and hold to profit from a re-start of the downtrend, go SHORT and close after 1 week, wait the pullback and go LONG.
  • It’s unclear at the moment if the index will go lower or rebound after the upcoming pullback.

[Japan Governance] FSA Urges Japan Non-Life Insurers to Eliminate Cross-Holdings – Sales Coming

By Travis Lundy

  • There has been a recent non-life insurer price-fixing scandal. The JFTC and FSA investigated. Last December, the FSA issued Business Improvement Orders to the four majors. 
  • There was a Bigmotor scandal last summer and Sompo Japan got a Business Improvement Order last month. All four insurers have 
  • 9 Feb post-close, Jiji/Nikkei had articles saying the FSA had urged four major non-lifes subject to the first BIO to accelerate sales of ¥6.5trln+ of 5,900 Cross-Holdings. That’s big.

Japan Weekly | Rakuten, Asics, Ebara, Tokyo Electron Chalk up Big Gains

By Mark Chadwick

  • The Nikkei hasn’t been this high since the Berlin Wall came toppling down. The Nikkei was up over 4% on the week and stands 15% higher YTD.
  • There were plenty of reasons not to be higher. US stocks closed marginally lower; AI stocks like  SMCI crashed on Friday; 
  • Japanese stocks were higher but that hides significant divergence between the winners and losers after a heavy week of earnings releases. Perhaps a pause for breath next week.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Altium, Ansarada, Roland DG, Welbe, Orecorp, Vinda

By David Blennerhassett


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Top 10 Highlights from the APAC PE, VC and Startup Ecosystem this Week – 18 Feb 2024

By | Private Markets, Smartkarma Newswire

Top ten highlights from the APAC PE, VC, and startup ecosystem this week:

  1. **Global Elections:** Nearly 60 countries are set to hold elections in 2024, making it a significant election year with almost half of the world’s population participating in electing new leaders.
  2. **Indonesia’s Festival of Democracy:** In Indonesia, the election process is considered a celebration known as pesta demokrasi, where citizens not only cast their votes but also celebrate the essence of democracy.
  3. **Presidential Candidates:** Indonesia’s presidential election featured prominent candidates like Anies Baswedan, Prabowo Subianto, and Ganjar Pranowo, whose debates sparked discussions in various settings.
  4. **Defence Minister’s Declaration:** Defence Minister Prabowo Subianto claimed victory in the presidential race based on unofficial vote counts, awaiting the official results.
  5. **IPO Delay:** Major companies are postponing their IPO plans until there is clarity on policy directions from the new administration in Indonesia.
  6. **January Startup Funding:** Southeast Asian startup funding hit a 12-month low of $246 million in January, down 78% from the previous month, despite a rise in deal count.
  7. **Startup Troubles:** Indonesian startups like Ula and Mapan faced challenges, with Ula likely to close its office and Mapan experiencing difficulties amid layoffs and declining volumes.
  8. **Investment Shifts:** Singtel Innov8 exited its investment in tech startup Vizzio, while Blue Planet Environmental Solutions acquired Mahindra Waste to Energy Solutions Limited in India.
  9. **Leadership Changes:** Several startups announced top deck changes, with significant figures like SiCepat Ekspres, Modalku, and Octopus witnessing transitions in leadership roles.
  10. **Investment Updates:** Private equity firms like COPE Private Equity and InCred Alternative Investments, and pension funds like KWAP and CPP Investments, made notable investment moves in various sectors across Asian markets.

APAC Private Markets Research

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