Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: Lotte Rental, Gabia Inc, Hanyang Eng and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s 4th Policy Trade Is Right Around the Corner: Mandatory Tender Offers
  • A Review of Tender Offers in Korea in 2025
  • Primer: Hanyang Eng (045100 KS) – Dec 2025


Korea’s 4th Policy Trade Is Right Around the Corner: Mandatory Tender Offers

By Sanghyun Park

  • The next policy swing is mandatory tender offers (MTO), with the gov’t + ruling party pushing for passage this session, likely alongside the mandatory treasury-share cancellation.
  • 2022 FSS/FSC 50%+1 trigger scrapped; 25% stays. Ruling party favors 50%+ MTO, base case 100%, but pushback may reduce to 70–80%.
  • MTOs tighten discounts, benefit minority holders; focus on local holding firms, PE-backed exits, and parent-driven M&A prospects.

A Review of Tender Offers in Korea in 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we review the major tender offers of Korean companies in 2025. Some of the major M&A tender offers in 2025 include HMM, Kolon Mobility Group, and VIOL.
  • The tender offers have mostly been profitable for the investors in these targeted companies (especially those shareholders who owned these shares prior to the tender offer announcement).
  • What is also impressive is that even after the 1st day of trading (post tender offer announcement), there have been extra alpha for the following week.

Primer: Hanyang Eng (045100 KS) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Hanyang Eng is a key enabler of the high-tech industry, specializing in the construction of facilities for semiconductor and display manufacturers, which positions it to benefit from the ongoing global investment in chip production.
  • The company demonstrates strong financial health, characterized by consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and a strong dividend profile, making it an attractive value and income investment.
  • While heavily exposed to the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry, Hanyang Eng is diversifying its business into bio-pharmaceuticals, aerospace, and green energy, potentially mitigating long-term risks and opening new growth avenues.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Is Silver Leading the Charge? Do New Highs in Silver Signal Green Light for New Gold Highs? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Is Silver Leading the Charge? Do New Highs in Silver Signal Green Light for New Gold Highs?
  • Ohayo Japan | Payroll Drop Drives Fed-Cut Bets as Financials Rally and AI Stocks Lag
  • Singapore Equity Strategy: November 2025
  • Japan Morning Connection: Power/Industrial Semi Strength Offsets Relative Weakness for Tech Big Guns
  • Singapore Market Roundup (03-Dec-2025): DBS sees potential catalysts for Nam Cheong’s rerating.
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (03-Dec-2025): Singapore’s CDL acquires London Holiday Inn for $370M.
  • Thematic Report on Indian Wood Panel Industry: The “Compliance Moat” Supercycle
  • WTR Consumer Index Edges Out S&P SmallCap 600 in Nov; Apparel & Accessories Lead Again


Is Silver Leading the Charge? Do New Highs in Silver Signal Green Light for New Gold Highs?

By Amrutha Raj

  • Is Gold poised for a breakout, confirmed by Silver’s lead? Gold prices are currently forming a triangle continuation pattern akin to the one in Q4 2024.
  • Critically, silver serves as a lead indicator in this context; it has already completed its own triangle pattern and broken out to new highs.
  • The path ahead for gold prices is contingent on the timing of US rate cuts, real-yield trends, and geopolitical risks.

Ohayo Japan | Payroll Drop Drives Fed-Cut Bets as Financials Rally and AI Stocks Lag

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks advanced on Wednesday as a sharp 32,000 drop in ADP private payrolls reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week
  • JFE Holdings (5411 JP) will invest ¥270bn for a 50% stake in Bhushan Power & Steel, targeting expansion to 10mtpa by 2030 through tech transfer and ore access.
  • Fanuc (6954 JP) is shifting toward open, AI-enabled automation through ROS 2 integration and expanded Nvidia partnerships, enhancing interoperability and positioning the company to capture long-term smart-factory growth.

Singapore Equity Strategy: November 2025

By Wealth Management Alliance

  • Given recent investor wariness over a global AI bubble, we think it is instructive to look at how exposed the Singapore stock market is to the Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector, both directly and indirectly.
  • On direct exposure, we identify companies listed on the SGX – mainly in the upstream (including data centres) and midstream segments – which are, to a large or some extent, involved in AI. Downstream AI companies are predominately end-users and applications.
  • As a rough guide, the market capitalization of these companies totals around SGD21.3bn, accounting for a relatively small share of about 2.7% of the aggregated capitalization of SGD773bn of the FTSE Straits Times All Share Index (which comprises the top 98% of companies in the SGX Mainboard universe).

Japan Morning Connection: Power/Industrial Semi Strength Offsets Relative Weakness for Tech Big Guns

By Andrew Jackson

  • Marvell’s bullish guidance sets strong tone for ASIC with revs set to rise 4x by next year.
  • Reports that the Trump admin is going to issue executive orders for robotics firms will help Japanese FA.
  • Microchip Tech numbers will continue to buoy industrial and component names even after yesterdays strength.

Singapore Market Roundup (03-Dec-2025): DBS sees potential catalysts for Nam Cheong’s rerating.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • DBS sees potential rerating catalysts for Nam Cheong.
  • Analysts set Marco Polo Marine shares at 14 cents after profit surge.
  • Evolve Capital notes Old Chang Kee needs new growth catalysts in a recent report.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (03-Dec-2025): Singapore’s CDL acquires London Holiday Inn for $370M.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Singapore’s CDL has successfully acquired the Holiday Inn in London for a total of $370 million.
  • Vanke has caused market surprise with a delay in its $280 million onshore bond payment, raising concerns.
  • Ares Management is consolidating its $3.7 billion GLP funds business, rebranding it as Marq.

Thematic Report on Indian Wood Panel Industry: The “Compliance Moat” Supercycle

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The full enforcement of Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) Quality Control Orders (QCO) has triggered a supply shock, collapsing wood panel imports by 90% as of late 2025.
  • This creates an immediate INR3,000+ crore revenue vacuum. Combined with a K-shaped real estate recovery favoring premium homes, demand is shifting from unorganized sector (70% share) to compliant listed leaders.
  • The industry is transitioning from a fragmented, low-entry-barrier market into a compliance-driven oligopoly. Organized leaders with scale, certification, and capital efficiency are positioned to capture disproportionate value.

WTR Consumer Index Edges Out S&P SmallCap 600 in Nov; Apparel & Accessories Lead Again

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Consumer Index increased 2.7% in November, slightly outpacing the S&P SmallCap 600, which increased 2.5%. 
  • Relative earnings favored our index, with its 12-month prospective increasing 1.4% versus a decline of 0.3% for the S&P SmallCap 600. 
  • However, market sentiment favored the broader index, whose prospective P/E ratio increased 0.5x to 16.9x from 16.4x, while the prospective P/E ratio for our index only increased 0.2x to 15.6x from 15.4x. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Singapore: Rubber Future SGX TSR20, BeeX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Indonesian Rubber Export Momentum Returns After Mid-Year Lows
  • (03 Dec 2025) BeeX<4270> — Fisco Company Research


Indonesian Rubber Export Momentum Returns After Mid-Year Lows

By Vinod Nedumudy

Highlights

  • Indonesian rubber exports worth over US$250 million in Sept

  • Asia drives demand as US tariffs mellow to pave the way

  • Prices firm but volatility persists with weather risks and soft demand

    Though the major consumer, China, tracked impressive increases in August and September compared to July, September witnessed a decline from the second-highest levels of the year in August, in both value and volume.


(03 Dec 2025) BeeX<4270> — Fisco Company Research

By FISCO

Key points (machine generated)

  • BeeX, listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange as 4270, anticipates double-digit revenue and profit growth by February 2026, with its first dividend expected at that time.
  • The company focuses on cloud solutions, particularly Digital Transformation and multi-cloud strategies, migrating corporate systems to the cloud.
  • BeeX provides services such as cloud integration consulting, cloud license resale for major platforms, and Managed Service Provider operations for post-migration server maintenance.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ECM: JD Industrials IPO – Valuation Cut Means Its Priced to Go and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • JD Industrials IPO – Valuation Cut Means Its Priced to Go
  • Swiggy Possible Placement – US$1bn Raising, Will Be Well Flagged, Might Not Be Well Liked
  • JD Industrials IPO (7618 HK): Valuation Insights
  • Chubb Insurance Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Mandi Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • JD Industrials (7618 HK) IPO: Only Attractive if Priced Cheaply
  • JD Industrial IPO: Structural Efficiency, Asset Light Model, Upscaling Paves Way for Growth
  • 3SBio Inc (1530 HK) Placement – The Placing Price Indicates Decent Upside Potential in Valuation
  • CiDi Inc. IPO: PHIP Updates and Thoughts on Upcoming Offering In Hong Kong


JD Industrials IPO – Valuation Cut Means Its Priced to Go

By Sumeet Singh

  • JD Industrials (7618 HK) is now looking to raise up to US$421m, in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • JDI is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC.
  • We looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Swiggy Possible Placement – US$1bn Raising, Will Be Well Flagged, Might Not Be Well Liked

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The company now plans to raise another US$1bn worth of fresh funds.
  • Swiggy is a business to commerce marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and possible placement.

JD Industrials IPO (7618 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Chubb Insurance Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Chubb Insurance (1071557D MK) is looking to raise at least US$300m in its upcoming Malaysian IPO. The deal will be run by Maybank.
  • It is a general insurer in Malaysia, offering a diversified portfolio of products across property and casualty, accident and health, and motor insurance.
  • Originally incorporated in 1970 as Jerneh Insurance Corporation, the company was acquired by the Chubb Group in 2010.

Mandi Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Mandi (MANDI HK) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Huatai.
  • Mandi is a leading specialized consumer pharmaceuticals company in China, primarily focused on skin health (including hair health) and weight management.
  • The company was spun off from 3SBio (1530.HK) to operate as a distinct entity. 

JD Industrials (7618 HK) IPO: Only Attractive if Priced Cheaply

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Although JD Industrials (7618 HK) is China’s largest MRO player, its maximum IPO price of HK$15.5 implies a rich FY26 PER of 28.2x.
  • The stock’s highest justified valuation is a 20% premium to the sector average FY26F PER, implying only 8% upside from the IPO price, providing a limited safety margin.
  • We think it will only be attractive to price below the mid-point of the IPO range, that is, HK$14.10.

JD Industrial IPO: Structural Efficiency, Asset Light Model, Upscaling Paves Way for Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • JD Industrial launched its Hongkong IPO aiming to raise up to HK$3.3B. The company plans to sell 211.2M shares at a price band of HK$ 12.7-HK$ 15.5 per share.
  • Proceeds to be used to enhance industrial supply chain capabilities, for business expansion across geographies, for potential strategic investments or acquisitions and for general corporate purposes and working capital needs.
  • Topline growth momentum expected to remain strong in the near term alongside strengthening margins. We feel JD Industrial issue is fairly priced and investors can surely subscribe to the offer.

3SBio Inc (1530 HK) Placement – The Placing Price Indicates Decent Upside Potential in Valuation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Mandi’s valuation logic is drifting away from the main line of 3SBio.Mandi is “good asset but not core asset” within 3SBio system, so it’s difficult to drive up overall valuation. 
  • Innovative drug R&D will be the main driver for future valuation growth in “post-Mandi era”. The Placing can be regarded as the continuous development of 3SBio after Mandi spin-off .
  • 3SBio is undervalued. Valuation would be higher than Sino Biopharm and may also surpass Akeso, Hengrui in the future if its SSGJ-707 can deliver good clinical data in future trials.

CiDi Inc. IPO: PHIP Updates and Thoughts on Upcoming Offering In Hong Kong

By Andrei Zakharov

  • CiDi Inc., China’s leading provider of AD technology for commercial vehicles, plans to go public in Hong Kong in December or January at the latest.
  • The AD company may seek to raise up to $US200M for development of its CiDiTruck, R&D, improvement of commercialization capabilities, and enhancing the international footprint, among others.
  • The IPO looks promising after Pony AI and WeRide jointly raised ~US$1.2B in their public share offerings in Hong Kong this year.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: IShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, CRH , Comfort Systems Usa, Marvell Technology , Natural Gas, NVIDIA Corp, Firstenergy Corp, Moderna , Datadog and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Bitcoin: HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN A BULL MARKET!!
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Dec25 Rebal: Last Minute Surprise in The Leading Names
  • S&P500 December 2025 Final Forecast: FIX & CRH Leading the Pack
  • Marvell Technology (MRVL US): Heroic Earnings Unlock S&P500 Eligibility
  • Gas Markets See Divergence Due to Weather, LNG Flows and Europe’s Calm Start
  • Nvidia’s $2 Billion Synopsys Bet: AI Chip Design Just Got A Massive Upgrade!
  • FirstEnergy Executes a High-Stakes Capital Plan—Is Wall Street Underestimating the Upside?
  • Moderna In Crisis? FDA Memo Ties Vaccines To Deaths, Stock Tumbles!
  • Bitcoin Tactical Outlook After The -35% Drop
  • Primer: Datadog (DDOG US) – Dec 2025


Bitcoin: HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN A BULL MARKET!!

By David Mudd

  • Bitcoin has seen a historic price decline since October.  The fear gauge is higher than at any time in its history, and technical indicators show further downside is likely.
  • The bitcoin ecosystem is highly leveraged and has seen miners and related single-stock ETFs fall dramatically.  Bitcoin volatility remains below historical levels, suggesting further selling is likely.
  • Bitcoin price is highly dependent on monetary conditions, which indicate that easing will end by 1Q 2027. Gold is supported by continuing higher inflation expectations and, hence, the price divergence.

Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Dec25 Rebal: Last Minute Surprise in The Leading Names

By Anjana Amarasuriya

  • The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
  • The index changes for the December 2025 rebal will be based on the open of 3rd December 2025 and announced after the close of 5th December 2025.

S&P500 December 2025 Final Forecast: FIX & CRH Leading the Pack

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Marvell Technology (MRVL US): Heroic Earnings Unlock S&P500 Eligibility

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Marvell Technology (MRVL US) became eligible at the last minute for S&P500 inclusion in the December 2025 review, following positive Q3 earnings.
  • Marvell Technology (MRVL US) experienced a significant turnaround in profitability in the last year, but its latest earnings are driven by non-operational activity.
  • The company’s market cap and other eligibility metrics are estimated to place it among the top addition candidates for S&P500 with a higher chance of inclusion in 2026.

Gas Markets See Divergence Due to Weather, LNG Flows and Europe’s Calm Start

By Suhas Reddy

  • Henry Hub surged on cold forecasts and record LNG demand, while TTF stayed soft due to tepid demand. Weather and LNG flows now drive a volatile winter spread.
  • The Henry Hub–TTF spread faces exceptional uncertainty, shaped by diverging regional fundamentals. Henry Hub remains sensitive to U.S. forecast shifts, while TTF is anchored by strong EU storage.
  • With weather driving short-term volatility, the spread remains highly unpredictable. Even steady U.S.–Europe LNG flows offer only partial stability as shifting forecasts and regional imbalances continue to reshape price dynamics.

Nvidia’s $2 Billion Synopsys Bet: AI Chip Design Just Got A Massive Upgrade!

By Baptista Research

  • The recent quarter’s performance by NVIDIA Corporation reflects strong financial outcomes and strategic initiatives in the AI and computing domains.
  • Garnering revenue of $57 billion, a 62% year-over-year increase, NVIDIA continues to benefit from burgeoning demand in the accelerated computing and AI sectors, setting a new record with a $10 billion sequential revenue growth.
  • Such figures underscore the company’s position within the rapidly evolving AI infrastructure landscape.

FirstEnergy Executes a High-Stakes Capital Plan—Is Wall Street Underestimating the Upside?

By Baptista Research

  • In evaluating FirstEnergy Corp.’s third-quarter 2025 results, several key aspects inform an investment thesis.
  • On the positive side, the company reported increases in both GAAP and core earnings per share, underscoring strong operational performance.
  • Specifically, FirstEnergy’s core earnings saw a rise to $0.83 per share from $0.76 the previous year, while year-to-date core earnings jumped 15% to $2.02 per share, driven by effective execution of customer-focused investments and base rate adjustments in Pennsylvania.

Moderna In Crisis? FDA Memo Ties Vaccines To Deaths, Stock Tumbles!

By Baptista Research

  • During the third quarter of 2025, Moderna Inc. reported $1 billion in revenue, primarily driven by sales of their approved vaccines: Spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, and mRESVIA.
  • However, the company reported a net loss of $200 million, contrasting with a profit of $13 million in the same period the previous year.
  • The decline in revenue, by 45% year-over-year, was mainly due to reduced demand for COVID vaccines.

Bitcoin Tactical Outlook After The -35% Drop

By Nico Rosti

  • Bitcoin has been selling off since early October 2025 and reached a -35% loss around November 20, then bounced back, the rally is currently ongoing.
  • Our focus is always short-term and in this insight we will try to analyze how far the current BTC-USD spot rally can go before a new sell-off begins.
  • The alternate hypothesis is that the current downturn is merely a sharp, tactical correction within a larger secular bull market. Under this interpretation, the pullback could be a buying opportunity.

Primer: Datadog (DDOG US) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Datadog is a market-leading observability platform for cloud-scale applications, providing a unified, real-time view of a company’s entire technology stack. Its strong growth is driven by secular tailwinds of cloud migration and digital transformation.
  • The company exhibits a powerful financial profile, characterized by high revenue growth, a recurring subscription-based model, and improving profitability and free cash flow. The ‘land-and-expand’ strategy has proven highly effective, with a strong net revenue retention rate.
  • While the company’s strategic position and growth are compelling, its shares trade at a significant premium valuation. Key risks include intense competition from both specialized vendors and large cloud providers, and the stock’s sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts impacting IT spending.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • The UST curve twisted marginally steeper yesterday, as the market focused on the selection for the next Fed Chairman amid little macro developments.
  • The yield on the 2Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.51%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.09%.
  • Equities recovered from Monday’s sell-off, in tandem with a rise in cryptocurrencies. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.2 and 0.6% to 6,829 and 23,414, respectively. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: Korea’s 4th Policy Trade Is Right Around the Corner: Mandatory Tender Offers and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s 4th Policy Trade Is Right Around the Corner: Mandatory Tender Offers
  • StubWorld: Don’t Sell Toyota Inds (6201 JP) – Buy More
  • A Review of Tender Offers in Korea in 2025
  • Predictive Discovery (PDI AU): Perseus (PRU AU) Trumps Robex with a Competing Offer
  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: November 2025 Report


Korea’s 4th Policy Trade Is Right Around the Corner: Mandatory Tender Offers

By Sanghyun Park

  • The next policy swing is mandatory tender offers (MTO), with the gov’t + ruling party pushing for passage this session, likely alongside the mandatory treasury-share cancellation.
  • 2022 FSS/FSC 50%+1 trigger scrapped; 25% stays. Ruling party favors 50%+ MTO, base case 100%, but pushback may reduce to 70–80%.
  • MTOs tighten discounts, benefit minority holders; focus on local holding firms, PE-backed exits, and parent-driven M&A prospects.

StubWorld: Don’t Sell Toyota Inds (6201 JP) – Buy More

By David Blennerhassett

  • At ¥17,340/share, Toyota Industries (6201 JP) is cheap. Corporate governance supporting this deal is shocking. In Travis Lundy‘s words: “Stay long. Buy more. And make some noise.”
  • Preceding my comments on Toyota are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

A Review of Tender Offers in Korea in 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we review the major tender offers of Korean companies in 2025. Some of the major M&A tender offers in 2025 include HMM, Kolon Mobility Group, and VIOL.
  • The tender offers have mostly been profitable for the investors in these targeted companies (especially those shareholders who owned these shares prior to the tender offer announcement).
  • What is also impressive is that even after the 1st day of trading (post tender offer announcement), there have been extra alpha for the following week.

Predictive Discovery (PDI AU): Perseus (PRU AU) Trumps Robex with a Competing Offer

By Arun George

  • Predictive Discovery (PDI AU) has disclosed a competing all-scrip scheme offer from Perseus Mining (PRU AU) at 0.136 Perseus shares per PDI share.
  • The Perseus offer is attractive compared to peer resource multiples and historical trading ranges. The Board had deemed the proposal superior to the Robex Resources (RBX CN) merger transaction.
  • Robex has five business days to exercise matching rights. Robex will struggle to match due to the large gap in the offer values. 

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: November 2025 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Holdco dispersion persists: GBL simplifies and strengthens liquidity yet trades at –30.5%; Industrivärden and Investor remain unusually tight; Heineken Holding stable in its post-Covid range.
  • Porsche SE’s ~30% discount aligns with “no-liability” scenarios, while Rio Tinto’s DLC premium stays structurally elevated, leaving convergence trades dependent on governance catalysts rather than statistical mean reversion.
  • Vivendi’s discount widened to 42% on legal timing noise; AMF logic unchanged. Optionality rebuilt, making Vivendi the most asymmetric setup in the current holdco universe.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Swiggy, Aequs Ltd, Castrol India, Kse Ltd, Ptl Enterprises, Repco Home Finance, Sukhjit Starch & Chemicals, Ambika Cotton Mills and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Swiggy Possible Placement – US$1bn Raising, Will Be Well Flagged, Might Not Be Well Liked
  • Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story
  • Primer: Castrol India (CSTRL IN) – Dec 2025
  • Primer: Kse Ltd (KRSE IN) – Dec 2025
  • Primer: Ptl Enterprises (PTLE IN) – Dec 2025
  • Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) – Dec 2025
  • Primer: Sukhjit Starch & Chemicals (SHSC IN) – Dec 2025
  • Primer: Ambika Cotton Mills (ACML IN) – Dec 2025


Swiggy Possible Placement – US$1bn Raising, Will Be Well Flagged, Might Not Be Well Liked

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The company now plans to raise another US$1bn worth of fresh funds.
  • Swiggy is a business to commerce marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and possible placement.

Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story

By Rahul Jain

  • Aequs has a strong integrated aerospace ecosystem and deep OEM ties, but consolidated margins remain weak due to low overseas utilisation and losses in the consumer vertical.
  • A robust ₹4,200–4,500 Cr aerospace backlog and India cluster scale provide visibility, but working-capital stretch and customer concentration elevate execution risk.
  • View: Operating-Leverage story; valuation upside (₹180–200) requires utilisation lift and margin recovery. OFS-heavy structure and promoter dilution temper near-term sentiment.

Primer: Castrol India (CSTRL IN) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Castrol India stands as a leading player in the Indian lubricant market, commanding a significant market share of approximately 20-22% driven by its powerful brand equity, extensive distribution network, and technological prowess inherited from its parent company, BP.
  • The company demonstrates robust financial health characterized by consistent profitability, strong cash flow generation, and a debt-free balance sheet, enabling a generous dividend policy.
  • While facing the long-term strategic challenge of the transition to electric vehicles (EVs), Castrol is proactively diversifying its portfolio by investing in EV fluids, auto care products, and vehicle servicing networks to mitigate future risks and capture new growth opportunities.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Kse Ltd (KRSE IN) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Regional Player with Diversified Revenue Streams: KSE Ltd. is a leading manufacturer of compound cattle feed in Southern India, with a growing presence in the dairy and coconut oil processing segments. This diversification provides a natural hedge against volatility in any single business line.
  • Strong Financial Performance and Attractive Valuation: The company has demonstrated robust profit growth and maintains a healthy balance sheet with minimal debt. Trading at a significant discount to its peers, the stock presents a compelling value proposition for long-term investors.
  • Favorable Industry Tailwinds: The Indian animal feed market is poised for significant growth, driven by rising demand for protein-rich diets, increasing livestock population, and a shift towards organized farming practices. KSE is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Ptl Enterprises (PTLE IN) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • PTL Enterprises operates a unique, low-risk business model, leasing its tyre manufacturing plant in Kerala to its associate company, Apollo Tyres Ltd., generating a stable and predictable rental income stream.
  • The company is characterized by its high dividend yield and attractive valuation, trading at a significant discount to its book value. Its financial profile is robust, with virtually no debt and consistent profitability.
  • The primary risk and key determinant of future performance is the heavy dependence on a single lessee, Apollo Tyres. The terms and renewal of the long-term lease agreement are critical to the company’s outlook.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Niche Player with Strong Recent Growth: Repco Home Finance has demonstrated robust growth in recent years, evidenced by a 3-year net income CAGR of 33.47%. The company focuses on the underserved self-employed and non-salaried segments in Tier-II and Tier-III cities, particularly in South India, which provides a pricing power advantage.
  • Attractive Valuation with Improving Asset Quality: The company trades at a significant discount to fair value, with a Price-to-Book ratio of 0.61 and a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 4.55. Asset quality has shown marked improvement, with Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) declining from a peak of 7% in FY22 to 4.1% in FY24.
  • Key Risks Center on Concentration and Competition: The business faces risks from its high geographical concentration in South India (83% of its loan portfolio) and its reliance on the economically sensitive self-employed segment. Intense competition from larger banks and other Housing Finance Companies (HFCs) could pressure margins and growth.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Sukhjit Starch & Chemicals (SHSC IN) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Sukhjit Starch & Chemicals is a well-established player in the Indian starch industry with over seven decades of experience, making it one of the oldest and largest producers in the country. The company has a strong foothold in the maize-based starch and derivatives market, with a diverse product portfolio catering to various industries including food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, paper, and textiles.
  • The company is strategically expanding its manufacturing capacities to meet the growing demand for starch and its derivatives. This expansion, coupled with a focus on high-value products and deeper penetration into Tier 2 and 3 cities, positions the company for future growth. The favorable global environment for the starch industry, due to higher corn costs in other major producing countries, presents an additional tailwind.
  • Key risks for the company include the volatility of raw material prices, particularly maize, which constitutes a significant portion of its operating income. The company’s operating margins are susceptible to fluctuations in maize prices and changes in government regulations, such as the implementation of minimum support prices.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Ambika Cotton Mills (ACML IN) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Ambika Cotton Mills (ACML) is a specialized manufacturer of premium compact and Elitwist cotton yarn, catering to high-end apparel makers globally, which affords it a niche position and pricing power compared to commodity yarn producers.
  • The company demonstrates strong financial resilience with a historically conservative, low-debt approach, funding capacity expansions primarily through internal accruals and maintaining healthy profitability margins.
  • Key risks include volatility in raw cotton prices, high dependence on a few large clients, and cyclical demand from the global textile industry, which has impacted recent financial performance.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Bitcoin: HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN A BULL MARKET!! and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Bitcoin: HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN A BULL MARKET!!
  • Japanese Banks – 2026 High Conviction Ideas
  • Unisound AI IPO Lockup (9678.HK): ~US$1.6B Early Lockup Release for Co-Founders
  • Nvidia’s $2 Billion Synopsys Bet: AI Chip Design Just Got A Massive Upgrade!
  • Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story
  • FirstEnergy Executes a High-Stakes Capital Plan—Is Wall Street Underestimating the Upside?
  • Shopify BREAKS DOWN On Cyber Monday: Can It Afford Another Slip-Up?
  • Primer: Hanyang Eng (045100 KS) – Dec 2025
  • Moderna In Crisis? FDA Memo Ties Vaccines To Deaths, Stock Tumbles!
  • Primer: Datadog (DDOG US) – Dec 2025


Bitcoin: HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN A BULL MARKET!!

By David Mudd

  • Bitcoin has seen a historic price decline since October.  The fear gauge is higher than at any time in its history, and technical indicators show further downside is likely.
  • The bitcoin ecosystem is highly leveraged and has seen miners and related single-stock ETFs fall dramatically.  Bitcoin volatility remains below historical levels, suggesting further selling is likely.
  • Bitcoin price is highly dependent on monetary conditions, which indicate that easing will end by 1Q 2027. Gold is supported by continuing higher inflation expectations and, hence, the price divergence.

Japanese Banks – 2026 High Conviction Ideas

By Victor Galliano

  • Our key themes for Japanese banks in 2026 are top line growth due to a hawkish BoJ and the potential for shareholder value creation through cross-holding disposals
  • In the big caps, we stick with Resona Holdings as our top pick for its strong gearing to rising interest rates and its relatively high equity cross-holdings to market value
  • Our top mid-caps picks are Iyogin Holdings and Hokuhoku, both of which are well positioned to benefit from higher interest rates and also have healthy cross-holdings relative to market value

Unisound AI IPO Lockup (9678.HK): ~US$1.6B Early Lockup Release for Co-Founders

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Unisound AI Technology, a Beijing-based AI solution provider focusing on the sales of conversational AI products and solutions, completed an initial public offering at HK$205/share in June.
  • The company raised HK$251M in its Hong Kong IPO, including additional net proceeds from the over-allotment shares issued upon the full exercise of the over-allotment option.
  • The stock peaked at HK$879.00 in September and fell ~41% over the next two months. The company’s early IPO lockup will expire on December 29, 2025.

Nvidia’s $2 Billion Synopsys Bet: AI Chip Design Just Got A Massive Upgrade!

By Baptista Research

  • The recent quarter’s performance by NVIDIA Corporation reflects strong financial outcomes and strategic initiatives in the AI and computing domains.
  • Garnering revenue of $57 billion, a 62% year-over-year increase, NVIDIA continues to benefit from burgeoning demand in the accelerated computing and AI sectors, setting a new record with a $10 billion sequential revenue growth.
  • Such figures underscore the company’s position within the rapidly evolving AI infrastructure landscape.

Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story

By Rahul Jain

  • Aequs has a strong integrated aerospace ecosystem and deep OEM ties, but consolidated margins remain weak due to low overseas utilisation and losses in the consumer vertical.
  • A robust ₹4,200–4,500 Cr aerospace backlog and India cluster scale provide visibility, but working-capital stretch and customer concentration elevate execution risk.
  • View: Operating-Leverage story; valuation upside (₹180–200) requires utilisation lift and margin recovery. OFS-heavy structure and promoter dilution temper near-term sentiment.

FirstEnergy Executes a High-Stakes Capital Plan—Is Wall Street Underestimating the Upside?

By Baptista Research

  • In evaluating FirstEnergy Corp.’s third-quarter 2025 results, several key aspects inform an investment thesis.
  • On the positive side, the company reported increases in both GAAP and core earnings per share, underscoring strong operational performance.
  • Specifically, FirstEnergy’s core earnings saw a rise to $0.83 per share from $0.76 the previous year, while year-to-date core earnings jumped 15% to $2.02 per share, driven by effective execution of customer-focused investments and base rate adjustments in Pennsylvania.

Shopify BREAKS DOWN On Cyber Monday: Can It Afford Another Slip-Up?

By Baptista Research

  • Shopify’s third-quarter results for 2025 highlight several strategic themes that underlie its current performance and future prospects, balanced by some challenges and considerations that investors should weigh.
  • On the positive side, Shopify reported a significant 32% growth in gross merchandise volume (GMV) and revenue, with a notable 38% increase in Merchant Solutions revenue.
  • This was largely driven by the rising adoption of Shopify Payments, which has reached a penetration rate of 65%.

Primer: Hanyang Eng (045100 KS) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Hanyang Eng is a key enabler of the high-tech industry, specializing in the construction of facilities for semiconductor and display manufacturers, which positions it to benefit from the ongoing global investment in chip production.
  • The company demonstrates strong financial health, characterized by consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and a strong dividend profile, making it an attractive value and income investment.
  • While heavily exposed to the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry, Hanyang Eng is diversifying its business into bio-pharmaceuticals, aerospace, and green energy, potentially mitigating long-term risks and opening new growth avenues.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Moderna In Crisis? FDA Memo Ties Vaccines To Deaths, Stock Tumbles!

By Baptista Research

  • During the third quarter of 2025, Moderna Inc. reported $1 billion in revenue, primarily driven by sales of their approved vaccines: Spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, and mRESVIA.
  • However, the company reported a net loss of $200 million, contrasting with a profit of $13 million in the same period the previous year.
  • The decline in revenue, by 45% year-over-year, was mainly due to reduced demand for COVID vaccines.

Primer: Datadog (DDOG US) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Datadog is a market-leading observability platform for cloud-scale applications, providing a unified, real-time view of a company’s entire technology stack. Its strong growth is driven by secular tailwinds of cloud migration and digital transformation.
  • The company exhibits a powerful financial profile, characterized by high revenue growth, a recurring subscription-based model, and improving profitability and free cash flow. The ‘land-and-expand’ strategy has proven highly effective, with a strong net revenue retention rate.
  • While the company’s strategic position and growth are compelling, its shares trade at a significant premium valuation. Key risks include intense competition from both specialized vendors and large cloud providers, and the stock’s sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts impacting IT spending.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: Gas Markets See Divergence Due to Weather and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Gas Markets See Divergence Due to Weather, LNG Flows and Europe’s Calm Start
  • Indonesian Rubber Export Momentum Returns After Mid-Year Lows
  • Oil futures: Crude climbs higher as US-Russia talks falter


Gas Markets See Divergence Due to Weather, LNG Flows and Europe’s Calm Start

By Suhas Reddy

  • Henry Hub surged on cold forecasts and record LNG demand, while TTF stayed soft due to tepid demand. Weather and LNG flows now drive a volatile winter spread.
  • The Henry Hub–TTF spread faces exceptional uncertainty, shaped by diverging regional fundamentals. Henry Hub remains sensitive to U.S. forecast shifts, while TTF is anchored by strong EU storage.
  • With weather driving short-term volatility, the spread remains highly unpredictable. Even steady U.S.–Europe LNG flows offer only partial stability as shifting forecasts and regional imbalances continue to reshape price dynamics.

Indonesian Rubber Export Momentum Returns After Mid-Year Lows

By Vinod Nedumudy

Highlights

  • Indonesian rubber exports worth over US$250 million in Sept

  • Asia drives demand as US tariffs mellow to pave the way

  • Prices firm but volatility persists with weather risks and soft demand

    Though the major consumer, China, tracked impressive increases in August and September compared to July, September witnessed a decline from the second-highest levels of the year in August, in both value and volume.


Oil futures: Crude climbs higher as US-Russia talks falter

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures Wednesday were climbing higher amid a deteriorating geopolitical situation, although ongoing concerns over a growing surplus kept prices withing the recent narrow band.
  • Front-month Feb26 ICE Brent  futures were trading at  $62.70/b (2009 GMT) versus Tuesday’s settle of $62.45/b, while Jan26 NYMEX WTI  was at  $58.98/b against a previous close of $59.32/b.
  • However, both benchmarks had traded higher earlier in the day.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars