Category

Daily Briefs

Most Read: Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H, Shin Kong Financial Holding, Vishal Mega Mart, BYD, Carta Holdings, Inc., Delta Electronics Thailand , ENN Energy, Hanjin KAL Corp, CaoCao and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): BIG Impact of Benchmark Change
  • Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) – Short Timer, FX Risk, Index Flows – Time To Buy Vs Peers
  • Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN) Placement: PE Selling Will Lead to Large Passive Buying
  • BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain
  • [Japan M&A] NTT Docomo Buys Out Carta Holdings (3688) Minorities – Done Deal
  • SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes in Two Weeks; DELTA Capping Too
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Application Proof Is Out. Interesting For What Is Not Present
  • Why Late August Could Be the Pivot Point for the Hanjin KAL Trade?
  • Cao Cao Pre-IPO: Grossly Overvalued
  • BYD (1211 HK) Outlook Following Regulatory Pushback on Market Dominance


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): BIG Impact of Benchmark Change

By Brian Freitas

  • The VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) has announced a benchmark change from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index.
  • That change will result in a bunch of constituent and weight changes in September. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$3.1bn.
  • The flow and turnover numbers will change following the June rebalance of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index and the September rebalance of the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index.

Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) – Short Timer, FX Risk, Index Flows – Time To Buy Vs Peers

By Travis Lundy

  • Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) are scheduled to merge in less than 6 weeks. 
  • The recent TWD strength has meant sharp losses for Shin Kong Life, but the merger agreement the FSC agreed has Taishin explicitly supporting Shin Kong Life. 
  • There are near-term flows and technical limitations which make this situation interesting again. Grab your shorts! It could be a bumpy ride!

Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN) Placement: PE Selling Will Lead to Large Passive Buying

By Brian Freitas

  • Reports indicate that Kedaara Capital Fund is looking to sell 22% of Vishal Mega Mart at a floor price of INR 110/share, a 11.9% discount to the last close.
  • The placement will lead to a huge increase in the free float for the stock and Vishal Mega Mart could be added to a global index in August.
  • Vishal Mega Mart is also an inclusion to another global index at the close on Friday and we could see more buying in the stock following the increase in float.

BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain

By Ming Lu

  • BYD announced that the company would provide price discounts for 22 models.
  • BYD has scale advantage over other NEV car makers and the NEV industry has bargaining power over suppliers and dealers.
  • The auto association and the Ministry of Industry are trying to protect small companies from bankruptcy.

[Japan M&A] NTT Docomo Buys Out Carta Holdings (3688) Minorities – Done Deal

By Travis Lundy

  • On 16 June 2025, NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) (9432 JP) sub NTT Docomo and Dentsu Inc (4324 JP) announced Docomo would buy out minorities in Dentsu sub Carta Holdings.
  • It’s an OK price, not a great price. But while they are not calculated by advisors, at least the Target Board talks about the value of synergies to minorities.
  • The price is light, but the combined irrevocables and large individual shareholders not brought over the wall get this over the line.

SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes in Two Weeks; DELTA Capping Too

By Brian Freitas


ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Application Proof Is Out. Interesting For What Is Not Present

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 26th March, ENN Energy (2688 HK) announced a cash/scrip Offer from ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH) (ENN-NG), its largest shareholder.
  • The pushback is that the scrip portion pivots off the value of newly-listed ENN-NG H-shares. And the IFA’s theoretical assessment on such leaves a lot to be desired.
  • A redacted version of ENN-NG’s application proof is now out. Curiously, the share ratio – new ENN-NG H Shares for each ENN shares – is noticeably absent

Why Late August Could Be the Pivot Point for the Hanjin KAL Trade?

By Sanghyun Park

  • KDB just signaled they’ll offload their Hanjin KAL stake post-merger, likely in 2027—ending speculation they’d stay long-term to back Cho Won-tae.
  • The 9% held by Daishin and Eugene PEs may hit the market in August, with LPs likely to cash out—Hoban grabbing it could flip the whole Hanjin KAL setup.
  • If Hoban grabs the 9% PE stake in August, it could trigger a pre-2027 bidding war—possibly even a tender offer—to lock down float. This is the key near-term pivot.

Cao Cao Pre-IPO: Grossly Overvalued

By Nicholas Tan

  • CaoCao (2643 HK)  is looking to raise up to $236m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is a ride hailing platform in China originally incubated by Geely Group connecting passengers and drivers to deliver consistent and high-quality ride experiences.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

BYD (1211 HK) Outlook Following Regulatory Pushback on Market Dominance

By Nico Rosti

  • As reported by Ming Lu, Chinese regulators are pushing back against BYD (1211 HK)’s dominance, which has strained smaller domestic EV competitors. Read his latest BYD insight for more details.
  • In a recent insightwe signaled BYD was tactically overbought. The stock fell rapidly right after.
  • The stock is currently mildly oversold according to our WEEKLY model: it could fall a bit more, but if this week closes in negative territory there could be a rebound.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Biocon Biologics, Tata Motors, ReNew Energy
  • US treasury yields rose for a second day, with the curve steepening despite good overall demand for an auction of 20Y notes. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.97%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 5 bps at 4.45%.
  • Equities advanced on news that Iran was asking Gulf states to mediate a ceasefire with Israel. The S&P 500 increased 0.9% to 6,033, while the Nasdaq climbed 1.5% to 19,701.

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Daily Brief ESG: Thanks to TSE’s Guidance and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Thanks to TSE’s Guidance, Parent-Subsidiary Listings Remain a Long-Lasting Investment Opportunity


Thanks to TSE’s Guidance, Parent-Subsidiary Listings Remain a Long-Lasting Investment Opportunity

By Aki Matsumoto

  • From the standpoint of endorsing parent-subsidiary listings, TSE intends to provide better disclosure guidance to ensure that the interests of minority shareholders of listed subsidiaries are adequately secured.
  • While investors expect early resolution, parent-subsidiary listings continue to be a long-lived theme and investment opportunity, thanks to the TSE giving them time to dissolve their parent-subsidiary listings.
  • As for the parent-subsidiary listings, the key is the percentage of foreign holdings, with some companies initiating restructuring of their business portfolios and many others not.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Unconditional Surrender and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Unconditional Surrender
  • “Buy the Worst” HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25
  • Japan Morning Connection: Risk-Off Tape Unlikely to Last with Regime Change the Most Likely Outcome
  • GDS and VNET – Recent Pullback Provides Entry Opportunity, Long-Term AI Growth Solid and Strong
  • Valuations, Visas & Venture Pullback: An Equity + M&A Overview of the Education Sector in Q1 2025
  • [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/BIDU US/E-Commerce
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles
  • #163 India Insight: Steel Tax To Cut Imports By 50%, ADD on Chemicals, BAT to Exit ITC Hotel’s Stake
  • Charted Insights: Evaluating Indian Sectoral Positioning After FY25 Earnings
  • Middle East FX & Egypt, June 17th 2025


Ohayo Japan | Unconditional Surrender

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks fell Tuesday as escalating tensions between the US and Iran weighed on sentiment, with President Trump calling for Iran’s “unconditional surrender”
  • Honda’s subsidiary successfully demonstrated a reusable small rocket, launching and landing a 6.3-meter craft in Hokkaido, targeting suborbital space by 2029.
  • Nissan Motor announced the redesign of its Leaf electric vehicle, the first update in eight years, transforming it into a compact SUV

“Buy the Worst” HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

By Osbert Tang, CFA


Japan Morning Connection: Risk-Off Tape Unlikely to Last with Regime Change the Most Likely Outcome

By Andrew Jackson

  • Defense related plays stronger as the potential for US direct involvement in Iran grows…watch heavies for more upside.
  • Kioxia squeeze unlikely to last now lock-up expiry now past.
  • Nintendo back at the highs, but with record sales already priced in and Switch2 sold out a correction from here looks likely.

GDS and VNET – Recent Pullback Provides Entry Opportunity, Long-Term AI Growth Solid and Strong

By Jacob Cheng

  • Both GDS and VNET declined more than 70% from all time high.   We think both stocks are over-penalized by market from top-down macro-economic reasons and geo-political tensions
  • We think there is a dis-connect between the share price and solid company fundamentals.   The explosive growth in demand for AI and Cloud computing infrastructure remains strong
  • GDS is a mature, blue-chip name that offers sustainable profitability while on de-leveraging.  VNET is a high-growth, high-risk turnaround play with its wholesale offering higher short-term upside

Valuations, Visas & Venture Pullback: An Equity + M&A Overview of the Education Sector in Q1 2025

By Daniel Su


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/BIDU US/E-Commerce

By Ying Pan

  • BABA US: Eleme to Invest Additional RMB1 Billion in Merchant Support Over Next Three Months(-)
  • JD US/1810 HK:May Retail Sales Growth Exceeds Expectations, Online Growth Slightly Accelerates (+/+)
  • JD US : JD.com Sponsors “Jiangsu Super League” . (+)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles

By Eric Wen

  • 1211 HK : BYD Issues Super Short-Term Commercial Paper. (-)
  • 1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/1810 HK /XPEV US:2025 June 9 – June 15 NEV Delivery Rankings(+/+/-/-//)
  • New Energy Vehicles: Lithium Carbonate Price Falls to 60,000 Yuan/Ton (+)

#163 India Insight: Steel Tax To Cut Imports By 50%, ADD on Chemicals, BAT to Exit ITC Hotel’s Stake

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India expects steel imports to fall by 50% as new tax supports local industry. Rising demand shows the steel sector is set for strong growth.
  • India imposes five-year anti-dumping duties on Vitamin A Palmitate and Insoluble Sulphur imports to protect domestic producers, signaling stronger trade enforcement amid global competition.
  • British American Tobacco (BATS LN) plans to exit its 14.55% stake in ITC Hotels post-demerger, focusing on core operations. The move may reshape ownership and boost institutional participation.

Charted Insights: Evaluating Indian Sectoral Positioning After FY25 Earnings

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • BSE500 PAT growth slowed over 50% to 10%, not demand-led, with revenue stable below 10% This warrants careful sectoral positioning due to cost-driven margins.
  • Pharma, FMCG, Paints are at peak 10-year margins, offering limited upside. Durables, Chemicals, Cement, QSR offer margin potential if demand improves.
  • Persistent EPS downgrades across key sectors like Export Auto (-11%), Non-lending Financials (-7%), Apparel/Retail (-6%), and Pharmaceuticals imply stretched valuations whereas telecom and consumer services avoided negative revision of EPS. 

Middle East FX & Egypt, June 17th 2025

By Denis Collot

  • Some observations : with the events, we got to discover the living rooms and studies of many Middle East intelligence and military consultants/specialists/experts.
  • All commenting a bit far from the action but some are interesting even though it doesn’t in anyway preclude what is going to happen next, only Israel PM Mr Netanyahu and Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khameini might know.
  • One thing that is rarely mentioned or talked about is a similar operation that Israel undertook in June 1981 and codenamed Operation Babylon that saw a daring air force raid destroyed an unfinished nuclear reactor a short distance away from Baghdad. 

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Semiconductors and Technology Leading the Way; IWM Holding Above $209; Still Firmly Bullish and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Semiconductors and Technology Leading the Way; IWM Holding Above $209; Still Firmly Bullish


Semiconductors and Technology Leading the Way; IWM Holding Above $209; Still Firmly Bullish

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 5700-5785 (up from 5500).
  • We continue to be buyers in the 5700-5785 range, and we would also be buyers at 5804-5854 gap support. We are expecting all-time highs soon on SPX.

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Daily Brief Utilities: ENN Energy, Jersey Electricity PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Application Proof Is Out. Interesting For What Is Not Present
  • Jersey Electricity — H1 strong both financially and operationally


ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Application Proof Is Out. Interesting For What Is Not Present

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 26th March, ENN Energy (2688 HK) announced a cash/scrip Offer from ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH) (ENN-NG), its largest shareholder.
  • The pushback is that the scrip portion pivots off the value of newly-listed ENN-NG H-shares. And the IFA’s theoretical assessment on such leaves a lot to be desired.
  • A redacted version of ENN-NG’s application proof is now out. Curiously, the share ratio – new ENN-NG H Shares for each ENN shares – is noticeably absent

Jersey Electricity — H1 strong both financially and operationally

By Edison Investment Research

Jersey Electricity (JEL) recently released its H125 results, reporting group revenue growth of 9% y-o-y to £82.3m (H124: £75.6m), mainly due to the performance of its energy business. PBT remained relatively flat year-on-year at £10.5m, while cost of sales and operating costs increased 12% y-o-y, reflecting continuing inflationary pressures. Net cash on the balance sheet contracted to £8.5m from £16.7m last year, driven by a rise in capital expenditure as part of JEL’s £180m five-year strategic investment plan to improve its energy network and services. We maintain our previous estimates and valuation of 708p per share.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Hanjin KAL Corp, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kepco Engineering & Construction, Intloop , Sany Heavy Industry, COPRO-HOLDINGS Co Ltd, Ohba Co Ltd, Chesterfield Special Cylinders Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Why Late August Could Be the Pivot Point for the Hanjin KAL Trade?
  • Mitsubishi Heavy (7011) – Strong Earnings, ¥10.2T Backlog, Macro Tailwinds Remain Supportive
  • MHI (7011 JP): Take Profits
  • KEPCO E&C (052690.KQ) – Nuclear Tailwinds, Proprietary Edge, and Execution Challenges
  • INTLOOP (9556 JP) – Delivering Solid Margin Expansion
  • Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – Has Suffered Recently, Showing Signs of Stabilizing
  • Friday Take Away: 06 June 2025
  • Q4 Follow-Up – Copro-Holdings (7059 JP) – An Increase in Dividend Payment…
  • Q3 Follow-Up – Ohba (9765 JP) – Favorable External Conditions Likely to Continue in FY2026
  • Chesterfield Special Cylinders — Green shoots from a refocused business


Why Late August Could Be the Pivot Point for the Hanjin KAL Trade?

By Sanghyun Park

  • KDB just signaled they’ll offload their Hanjin KAL stake post-merger, likely in 2027—ending speculation they’d stay long-term to back Cho Won-tae.
  • The 9% held by Daishin and Eugene PEs may hit the market in August, with LPs likely to cash out—Hoban grabbing it could flip the whole Hanjin KAL setup.
  • If Hoban grabs the 9% PE stake in August, it could trigger a pre-2027 bidding war—possibly even a tender offer—to lock down float. This is the key near-term pivot.

Mitsubishi Heavy (7011) – Strong Earnings, ¥10.2T Backlog, Macro Tailwinds Remain Supportive

By Rahul Jain

  • MHI has delivered a strong turnaround over the past four years, with revenue up 26% and business profit expanding nearly 10x from FY22 to FY25
  • The consolidated order backlog crossed ¥10.2 trillion in FY25, up ~22% YoY, offering ~2 years of forward revenue visibility and skewed toward high-margin Energy and Defense segments.
  • While the stock has rallied sharply, management’s solid FY25–30 guidance, along with structural tailwinds from energy transition and defense spending, continue to underpin the long-term thesis.

MHI (7011 JP): Take Profits

By Scott Foster

  • MHI is up nearly 60% year-to-date to 46x management’s EPS guidance for FY Mar-26 and 27x our EPS estimate for FY Mar-30.
  • By then, we expect Air, Defense & Space revenues to double and the division’s operating margin to rise from 10% to 15%, which is the likely cap on profitability. 
  • Given Japan’s uncertain finances and the long time horizon that should already be discounted, we recommend profit taking. 

KEPCO E&C (052690.KQ) – Nuclear Tailwinds, Proprietary Edge, and Execution Challenges

By Rahul Jain

  • KEPCO E&C is well-positioned to benefit from the global revival in nuclear power, with strong domestic visibility and growing international interest in its engineering capabilities. 
  • Its proprietary APR1400 reactor platform anchors the business, supported by verticals in O&M, decommissioning, and green energy EPC. 
  • While earnings have grown sharply on margin gains, high valuations and project execution risks—particularly overseas—warrant careful monitoring.

INTLOOP (9556 JP) – Delivering Solid Margin Expansion

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Unlocking improved earnings potential – By prioritizing high-quality business opportunities, INTLOOP continues to improve OPM YoY, reflecting stronger operating efficiency.
  • Q1-3 FY7/25 results were ahead of unchanged FY guidance, with the company continuing to invest in scaling capacity with new senior mid-career hires as well as graduates.
  • Management believes there is further upside to margin expansion through profit-focused sales activities and price revisions. 

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – Has Suffered Recently, Showing Signs of Stabilizing

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.
  • Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

Friday Take Away: 06 June 2025

By Hybridan

  • The Interims to March 2025 were reported on 3rd of June from the re-named designer and manufacturer of high-pressure containment products and services serving the global energy, defence, and industrial gases market.
  • Disappointingly, revenues of £5.4m were 16.9% lower causing the gross profit margin to decline to 18.5% from 23.1%, with an EBITDA loss of £1.3m compared to an EBITDA loss of £0.7m in FY H1 2024.
  • The lower revenue reflects the phasing of contracts weighted heavily to H2 and thereby also affecting the margins due to the business’ fixed costs. 

Q4 Follow-Up – Copro-Holdings (7059 JP) – An Increase in Dividend Payment…

By Sessa Investment Research

  • COPRO-HOLDINGS. Co., Ltd., (hereafter, the Company) announced the full year results for FY2025/3 after the market close on Thursday, May 15, 2025.
  • The key consolidated figures are net sales of JPY 30,015 mn (+24.6% YoY), gross profit of JPY 8,308 mn (+22.6% YoY), operating profit of JPY 2,763 mn (+29.1% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 1,820 mn (+24.4% YoY).
  • COPRO Construction. Co., Ltd. (hereafter, COPRO CN), which operates the Company‘s core business of construction technician dispatching contributed significantly to results of strong growth due to record recruiting.

Q3 Follow-Up – Ohba (9765 JP) – Favorable External Conditions Likely to Continue in FY2026

By Sessa Investment Research

  • FY2025/5 Q3 Results|On April 10, 2025, OHBA (hereafter, the Company) announced its Q3 FY2025/5 results.
  • Due to the seasonal nature of its business, which tends to concentrate earnings in Q4, progress rates toward the full-year plan appear low at first glance, with net sales at 68.6% and operating profit at 62.3%.
  • However, SIR believes the Company is steadily progressing toward achieving its full-year targets of 6.1% YoY sales growth and 5.8% YoY operating profit growth. 

Chesterfield Special Cylinders — Green shoots from a refocused business

By Edison Investment Research

Following the disposal of its Precision Machined Components (PMC) division, Chesterfield Special Cylinders (CSC) is moving forward as a focused, specialist high-pressure cylinder business, as reflected in the recent change of name (formerly Pressure Technologies). As part of this strategy, management has set out ambitious targets for 30% sales growth and EBITDA margins of >12% by 2028. H125 results are unexciting but the strong order book supports management confidence for positive EBITDA in FY25, putting CSC firmly on the right trajectory. Key will be the speed at which the defence (75% of FY24 sales) and hydrogen (11%) activities, both expected to be supported by positive fundamentals, can grow.


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Daily Brief ECM: Cao Cao Pre-IPO: Grossly Overvalued and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Cao Cao Pre-IPO: Grossly Overvalued
  • CaoCao IPO (2643 HK): Valuation Insights
  • MakeMyTrip Placement – Basically a Selldown by Trip.com
  • Foshan Haitian: Upsized at Top Price. Near Term Upside, Long Term Value Play.
  • Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food Company Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis
  • CaoCao IPO: Improving Financials but In Need of Cash
  • Loob Berhad Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Pre-IPO Anjoy Foods Group (PHIP Updates) – Thoughts on Performance Forecast and IPO Valuation
  • Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – Has Suffered Recently, Showing Signs of Stabilizing


Cao Cao Pre-IPO: Grossly Overvalued

By Nicholas Tan

  • CaoCao (2643 HK)  is looking to raise up to $236m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is a ride hailing platform in China originally incubated by Geely Group connecting passengers and drivers to deliver consistent and high-quality ride experiences.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

CaoCao IPO (2643 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • CaoCao (2643 HK) has launched its IPO to raise US$236 million at HK$41.94 per share. The shares will be listed on 25 June.
  • I previously discussed the IPO in CaoCao IPO: The Bull Case and CaoCao IPO: The Bear Case
  • In this note, I present my forecasts and discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that CaoCao is at best fairly valued at the offer price. Therefore, avoid the IPO.

MakeMyTrip Placement – Basically a Selldown by Trip.com

By Akshat Shah

  • Makemytrip Ltd (MMYT US) is looking to raise upto US$2.66bn via an equity combo of a 14m share selldown, which could raise around US$1.41bn and US$1.25bn five-year put-three convertible bonds.
  • The company plans to use the proceeds to buy back Class B shares from Trip.com to lower Trip.com’s voting power in MakeMyTrip to 19.99%.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Foshan Haitian: Upsized at Top Price. Near Term Upside, Long Term Value Play.

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Foshan Haitian has priced its Hong Kong offer at the top end (HKD36.3/share) and upsized it to 279 million shares, raising a strong HKD10.1 billion (USD1.3 billion).
  • With a massive 696x oversubscription and nearly half the deal secured by cornerstone investors, the stock could see a lively debut when it lists on June 19th.
  • We believe Foshan Haitian Flavouring (3288 HK) lacks a clear catalyst for growth and hence the growth expectations built into its Hong Kong pricing may prove difficult to materialise.

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food Company Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • On 17 June, Bloomberg reported that Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food Company has raised HK$10.1 billion after a strong remand for its shares to be listed in Hong Kong.
  • We estimate the company to generate revenue of 29.4 billion RMB (up 9.2% YoY) and net profit of 6.8 billion RMB (up 7.1% YoY) in 2025.
  • Our valuation analysis suggests that Foshan Haitian is undervalued. Our base case valuation suggests implied market cap of 286 billion CNY, which represents 25% higher than current levels.

CaoCao IPO: Improving Financials but In Need of Cash

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Backed by Geely Auto (175 HK) , CaoCao (2643 HK) is a ride-hailing platform operating in China and has filed for an IPO on the HKEx to raise around US$237m.
  • The company’s revenues have seen significant growth with expanding into new cities, while it has managed to generated gross margins and reduce operating losses.
  • However, CaoCao’s balance sheet is highly leveraged with borrowings accounting for 1.77x of total assets and in dire need of cash to grow its business and repay debt.

Loob Berhad Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Troy Wong

  • Loob Berhad (LB) is looking to raise about US$150m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. The deal will be run by Maybank and AmInvestment bank.
  • It’s the largest brand owner by number of stores in the F&B industry in Malaysia, as per the IMR Report. LB has two core brands, namely Tealive and Bask Bear.
  • Mainly operates directly-owned stores, with 979 Tealive stores (547 corporate stores, 400 franchised stores, and 5 licensed stores) and 135 Bask Bear stores (129 corporate stores and 6 licensed stores).

Pre-IPO Anjoy Foods Group (PHIP Updates) – Thoughts on Performance Forecast and IPO Valuation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • With the outbreak of the Middle East war, Anjoy would face rising costs due to hyperinflation. Together with the sluggish consumption, 2025 performance growth of Anjoy would be under pressure.
  • The price war caused by overcapacity and increasing competition in the industry has forced companies to increase their promotional efforts, resulting in downward pressure on profit margin.
  • We shared our forecast for next three years. Valuation of Anjoy could be lower than Yihai (1579 HK) and Qianweiyangchu Food (001215 CH), but could be higher than the industry average. 

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – Has Suffered Recently, Showing Signs of Stabilizing

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.
  • Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain
  • Mitsubishi Heavy (7011) – Strong Earnings, ¥10.2T Backlog, Macro Tailwinds Remain Supportive
  • Chinese Tea Chain: An Impromptu Snapshot Visit at Sunac Mall – Mixue, Chagee, Goodme, ChaPanda
  • Shiseido (4911) | Beauty in the Bargain Bin
  • MHI (7011 JP): Take Profits
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s 2nm Node to Generate Largest Revenue Ever; US Bottleneck in Adv Packaging
  • HINDZINC – ₹12,000 Cr Smelter Expansion Approved Amid Long-Term Growth Push
  • Boss Energy (ASX: BOE) – Transitioning to Tier-1 Producer with Strong Quarterly Momentum
  • Carnarvon Energy UPDATE(CVN)
  • KEPCO E&C (052690.KQ) – Nuclear Tailwinds, Proprietary Edge, and Execution Challenges


BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain

By Ming Lu

  • BYD announced that the company would provide price discounts for 22 models.
  • BYD has scale advantage over other NEV car makers and the NEV industry has bargaining power over suppliers and dealers.
  • The auto association and the Ministry of Industry are trying to protect small companies from bankruptcy.

Mitsubishi Heavy (7011) – Strong Earnings, ¥10.2T Backlog, Macro Tailwinds Remain Supportive

By Rahul Jain

  • MHI has delivered a strong turnaround over the past four years, with revenue up 26% and business profit expanding nearly 10x from FY22 to FY25
  • The consolidated order backlog crossed ¥10.2 trillion in FY25, up ~22% YoY, offering ~2 years of forward revenue visibility and skewed toward high-margin Energy and Defense segments.
  • While the stock has rallied sharply, management’s solid FY25–30 guidance, along with structural tailwinds from energy transition and defense spending, continue to underpin the long-term thesis.

Chinese Tea Chain: An Impromptu Snapshot Visit at Sunac Mall – Mixue, Chagee, Goodme, ChaPanda

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We recently visited Guangzhou city, a tier one city in China, on a vacation trip. 
  • One of the malls that we visited happened to have several listed tea chain stores.
  • We took a snapshot of the shop traffic and noted the difference in locations of various stores. We also ordered tea drinks from two of these stores.

Shiseido (4911) | Beauty in the Bargain Bin

By Mark Chadwick

  • Shiseido’s core brand remains strong, but years of weak growth, high costs, and tariff risks have pushed valuations to deeply discounted, near-decade lows.
  • Early signs from Japan show margin recovery is possible; aggressive cost-cutting could double core operating margins and unlock significant upside if execution holds.
  • If management fails to deliver, Shiseido’s global brand equity, strategic footprint, and low valuation make it an obvious acquisition target for PE or industry buyers.

MHI (7011 JP): Take Profits

By Scott Foster

  • MHI is up nearly 60% year-to-date to 46x management’s EPS guidance for FY Mar-26 and 27x our EPS estimate for FY Mar-30.
  • By then, we expect Air, Defense & Space revenues to double and the division’s operating margin to rise from 10% to 15%, which is the likely cap on profitability. 
  • Given Japan’s uncertain finances and the long time horizon that should already be discounted, we recommend profit taking. 

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s 2nm Node to Generate Largest Revenue Ever; US Bottleneck in Adv Packaging

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s Next Generation 2nm Node Gathers Momentum as Intel Lags Behind
  • TSMC’s Arizona Plant Ships First AI Chips — But Taiwan Remains Core to Packaging
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): Chinese Stimulus Program Might Lose Actively; Google DPU Project Delay to 2026. 

HINDZINC – ₹12,000 Cr Smelter Expansion Approved Amid Long-Term Growth Push

By Rahul Jain

  • HZL has approved a ₹12,000 crore investment to set up a 250 KTPA integrated zinc smelter at Debari as part of its 2x capacity expansion plan.
  • While smelting investments are not inherently value-accretive due to low TCs, they are necessary to process captive ore and minimize logistics costs.
  • The overall growth outlook remains strong, but the pending mine lease expiries by 2030 pose a material long-term risk.

Boss Energy (ASX: BOE) – Transitioning to Tier-1 Producer with Strong Quarterly Momentum

By Rahul Jain

  • Boss delivered a robust March 2025 quarter, with Honeymoon generating free cash flow and production ramping sharply.
  • The company targets ~2.9M lbs annual output by FY27, supported by Alta Mesa and multiple exploration assets.
  • Valuations remain attractive at ~8× forward P/E, though uranium price volatility and execution risks persist.

Carnarvon Energy UPDATE(CVN)

By Triple S Special Situations Investing

  • Yes, I know I wrote this one up a year ago, but things have changed to make this a more interesting investment opportunity.
  • I would recommend holding this in an account where you can sit on it for a few years.
  • The ultimate IRR will be attractive, but this isn’t a quick flip.

KEPCO E&C (052690.KQ) – Nuclear Tailwinds, Proprietary Edge, and Execution Challenges

By Rahul Jain

  • KEPCO E&C is well-positioned to benefit from the global revival in nuclear power, with strong domestic visibility and growing international interest in its engineering capabilities. 
  • Its proprietary APR1400 reactor platform anchors the business, supported by verticals in O&M, decommissioning, and green energy EPC. 
  • While earnings have grown sharply on margin gains, high valuations and project execution risks—particularly overseas—warrant careful monitoring.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN) Placement: PE Selling Will Lead to Large Passive Buying and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN) Placement: PE Selling Will Lead to Large Passive Buying
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Application Proof Is Out. Interesting For What Is Not Present
  • Why Late August Could Be the Pivot Point for the Hanjin KAL Trade?
  • HDB Financial IPO: Offer Details & Index Entry Timing
  • New World Resources (NWC AU): Kinterra Capital Emerges With A 12% Stake
  • StubWorld: Melco (200 HK) Needs To Fall
  • PharmaResearch Spin-Off: A Textbook Case Study of Destroying Shareholder Value
  • Weekly Update (WBD, STRZ, MODG)
  • TSB: Divestment as a Defensive Lever in Sabadell’s BBVA Saga
  • Neinor/Aedas Homes: Locked-In Majority, But Minorities May Still Get Paid


Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN) Placement: PE Selling Will Lead to Large Passive Buying

By Brian Freitas

  • Reports indicate that Kedaara Capital Fund is looking to sell 22% of Vishal Mega Mart at a floor price of INR 110/share, a 11.9% discount to the last close.
  • The placement will lead to a huge increase in the free float for the stock and Vishal Mega Mart could be added to a global index in August.
  • Vishal Mega Mart is also an inclusion to another global index at the close on Friday and we could see more buying in the stock following the increase in float.

ENN Energy (2688 HK): ENN Natural Gas’ Application Proof Is Out. Interesting For What Is Not Present

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 26th March, ENN Energy (2688 HK) announced a cash/scrip Offer from ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH) (ENN-NG), its largest shareholder.
  • The pushback is that the scrip portion pivots off the value of newly-listed ENN-NG H-shares. And the IFA’s theoretical assessment on such leaves a lot to be desired.
  • A redacted version of ENN-NG’s application proof is now out. Curiously, the share ratio – new ENN-NG H Shares for each ENN shares – is noticeably absent

Why Late August Could Be the Pivot Point for the Hanjin KAL Trade?

By Sanghyun Park

  • KDB just signaled they’ll offload their Hanjin KAL stake post-merger, likely in 2027—ending speculation they’d stay long-term to back Cho Won-tae.
  • The 9% held by Daishin and Eugene PEs may hit the market in August, with LPs likely to cash out—Hoban grabbing it could flip the whole Hanjin KAL setup.
  • If Hoban grabs the 9% PE stake in August, it could trigger a pre-2027 bidding war—possibly even a tender offer—to lock down float. This is the key near-term pivot.

HDB Financial IPO: Offer Details & Index Entry Timing

By Brian Freitas

  • HDB Financial Services Ltd (0117739D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling up to INR125bn (US$1.46bn) of stock at a valuation of around INR 620bn (US$7.2bn).
  • The stock will not get Fast Entry to either of the global indices. The earliest inclusion in a global index should take place in December.
  • HDB Financial Services Ltd‘s peers have traded well over the last 6 months and that could spill over into demand for the stock. Grey market premium is pretty high.

New World Resources (NWC AU): Kinterra Capital Emerges With A 12% Stake

By David Blennerhassett


StubWorld: Melco (200 HK) Needs To Fall

By David Blennerhassett

  • Melco International Development (200 HK)‘s fully-paid rights shares commence trading today. Melco is down just ~14% since announcing a one-for-two rights issue; and 13% above the TERP.
  • Preceding my comments on Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

PharmaResearch Spin-Off: A Textbook Case Study of Destroying Shareholder Value

By Douglas Kim

  • Last week, PharmaResearch announced that it has approved a corporate spin-off, to separate the existing company into two distinct entities including PharmaResearch Holdings (surviving entity) and PharmaResearch (newly created entity).
  • PharmaResearch spin-off is a textbook case study of destroying shareholder value. Minority shareholders should oppose this deal. 
  • The spin-off ratio is based on a pure net asset basis, not taking into consideration the future earnings and cash flow streams of the company’s most important product line Rejuran.

Weekly Update (WBD, STRZ, MODG)

By Richard Howe

  • Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) announced on June 9, 2025, its plan to split into two independent, publicly traded companies by mid-2026.

  • Global Networks will be the entity that is spun-off. It will consist of legacy cable TV and digital networks, such as: CNN, TBS, TNT (including TNT Sports)…

  • CFO Gunnar Wiedenfels will become CEO of this spun‑off entity.


TSB: Divestment as a Defensive Lever in Sabadell’s BBVA Saga

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Sabadell is exploring a sale of TSB amid BBVA’s hostile bid, with offers in the €2.0–2.35B range.
  • A sale at those levels would imply a small capital loss, not a gain, in my view.
  • Strategic value remains: a divestment could disrupt BBVA’s plans, raise cash, or fund returns.

Neinor/Aedas Homes: Locked-In Majority, But Minorities May Still Get Paid

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Neinor’s offer is strategically sound but priced below NAV, raising legal and minority resistance risks.
  • Castlelake’s 79% commitment secures majority control, but a squeeze-out or delisting still requires a higher bid.
  • A revised offer near €26.50 would align interests and improve execution certainty at minimal cost to Neinor.

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