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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Xiaomi (1810 HK)’s US$5bn Placement: Unfavourable Index Dynamics but Strong Momentum and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Xiaomi (1810 HK)’s US$5bn Placement: Unfavourable Index Dynamics but Strong Momentum
  • Tokyu Corp (9005) To Lift Stake in Tokyu REIT (8957) Again – Bigger Than You Think It Is
  • Gold Road (GOR AU): Rejects an NBIO from Gold Fields (GFI US)
  • Short Selling Resuming on 31 March in Korea – Stocks With Highest Short Selling Lending Balance
  • StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Is Still Inexpensive To Its Cellebrite Stake
  • More Gold Fever: Gold Field’s Hostile Tilt For Gold Road
  • Insiders’ Playbook: Who’s Buying and Selling Amid Market Turbulence?
  • Telefónica: Execution and Valuation Update


Xiaomi (1810 HK)’s US$5bn Placement: Unfavourable Index Dynamics but Strong Momentum

By Brian Freitas

  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is looking to place 750m shares at a price range of HK$52.8-54.6/share, a 4.2-7.4% discount from last. That could raise up to HK$40.95bn (US$5.27bn).
  • There will be limited passive buying near-term. There will be more passive buying at the end of May. Then there will be passive selling early June.
  • Shorts will be hurting from the relentless move higher in the stock and there could be short covering if the stock moves lower from these levels.

Tokyu Corp (9005) To Lift Stake in Tokyu REIT (8957) Again – Bigger Than You Think It Is

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, Tokyu Corp (9005 JP) announced it would increase its stake its family REIT, buying up to 48,880 units or 5.0% of units out over the next six months.
  • This comes a couple of days after Hankyu Hanshin announced the same for its REIT, discussed here. Others have done so before. Tokyu has. Others will do so going forward. 
  • The main reason? Squeeze the ‘share’ price higher. Get the REIT to 1.0x PNAV then stuff it with sponsor-held properties. That’s not bad. The goal is a higher price.

Gold Road (GOR AU): Rejects an NBIO from Gold Fields (GFI US)

By Arun George

  • Gold Road Resources (GOR AU) has rejected a non-binding proposal from Gold Fields (GFI US). The offer is A$2.27 plus value per share of Gold Road’s shareholding in De Grey.
  • The Board has rejected the offer mainly due to opportunistic timing and no value attributed to the potential underground expansion of the Gruyere mine (Gold Road/Gold Fields are JV partners).
  • The proposal is a logical consolidation to eliminate dis-synergies. The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples, precedent transactions and historical trading ranges. 

Short Selling Resuming on 31 March in Korea – Stocks With Highest Short Selling Lending Balance

By Douglas Kim

  • Short selling balance in the Korean stock market was 62.4 trillion won as of 21 March 2025, up significantly from 47.2 trillion won three months ago.
  • Among the stocks in KOSPI with high short selling balance and high lending balance ratios include Posco Future M, Yuhan Corp, LG Energy Solution, and Hanwha Aerospace. 
  • Among the stocks in KOSDAQ with high short selling balance and high lending balance ratios include Ecopro BM, Ecopro Co, HLB, and Eo Technics. 

StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Is Still Inexpensive To Its Cellebrite Stake

By David Blennerhassett

  • Sun Corp (6736 JP) has declined ~6% in the past month. Its 44.3% stake in Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) is worth ~186% of its market cap.
  • Preceding my comments on Sun Corp are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

More Gold Fever: Gold Field’s Hostile Tilt For Gold Road

By David Blennerhassett


Insiders’ Playbook: Who’s Buying and Selling Amid Market Turbulence?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The start of 2025 has been particularly turbulent for Indian equities as broader market sentiment soured due to elevated valuations, foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, and global macro uncertainty. 
  • However, amid this volatility, one signal stood out: insider trading activity.
  • In this report, we deep-dive into insider buying and selling trends from January 1 to March 3, 2025, to uncover where company promoters and top executives are placing their bets

Telefónica: Execution and Valuation Update

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Telefónica is nearing completion of its Latin American divestment strategy, unlocking capital from low-margin markets and reducing geopolitical risk, with €2.5 billion equity value estimated for remaining Hispam units.
  • A conservative 4x EV/EBITDA multiple applied to Hispam subsidiaries yields a fair value of €5.06 per share, while a prudent €4.50 target reflects geopolitical and execution risk buffers.
  • Proceeds from disposals strengthen Telefónica’s balance sheet, support its 7% dividend yield, and enable reinvestment into high-growth segments like Tech and fibercos, enhancing long-term shareholder value and operating efficiency.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Mar-2025): DeepSeek impacts chip demand globally.
  • What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?
  • StoneCo Ltd.: 6 Major Game-Changers Impacting Its 2025 Performance & Beyond!
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Delta At Nvidia GTC 2025; Foxconn EV Strategy Win; Key Semi Industry Indicators
  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive
  • Torikizoku (3193 JP): Coverage Initiation,1H FY07/25 flash update
  • BYD (1211): Encouraging 2024 Result, But Close to Our Target After Two Buy Suggestions This Year.
  • [PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD US, BUY, TP US$146) Review]: A New PDD Focusing on Low Tier and Non-US
  • Docusign Inc.: Will Its Emphasis On The Expansion of Identity and Access Management (IAM) Pay Off?


Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the March batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. We see pick up in approval rate this month.
  • Both Tencent and Netease received approval for one game. In addition, Kingsoft received approval for its legendary Sword Heroes series.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Mar-2025): DeepSeek impacts chip demand globally.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • DeepSeek is a significant factor driving global chip demand with implications for various industries including automotive.
  • Tesla and Tata are in talks regarding the sourcing of EV components, highlighting the growing importance of electric vehicles in the market.
  • Tim Cook’s visit to China to discuss collaboration with DeepSeek signals potential advancements in the supply chain and technology sectors.

What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Investors should keep a close eye on Adani’s execution timeline, the impact on valuations in the sector, and the fundamentals of existing players in the C&W industry. 
  • While Adani’s entry may bring some disruption, the sector’s strong growth prospects and the resilience of leading players suggest that there is still value to be found. 
  • In the end, long-term success in this industry will depend on a combination of strategic vision, operational excellence, and the ability to adapt to changing market dynamics.

StoneCo Ltd.: 6 Major Game-Changers Impacting Its 2025 Performance & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • StoneCo Ltd. recently shared its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings, demonstrating a period marked by robust strategic execution and notable financial outcomes, despite facing macroeconomic challenges.
  • The company’s strategy is focused on three core objectives: leadership in the MSMB (micro, small, and medium businesses) market, enhanced client engagement, and scalable platform growth.
  • In 2024, StoneCo’s MSMB operations saw a 15% year-over-year increase in card total payment values (TPV), although this fell short of guidance due to the rapid adoption of PIX, the Brazilian instant payment system, which continued to encroach on traditional debit and cash transactions.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Delta At Nvidia GTC 2025; Foxconn EV Strategy Win; Key Semi Industry Indicators

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • NVIDIA GTC 2025 Last Week — Delta Electronics Expands Role in Nvidia Ecosystem Showcasing AI-Centric Power Solutions
  • Foxconn’s Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come 
  • Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, and 2025 Forecasts 

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) reported 33% YoY net profit growth to RMB4.4B on 21% YoY revenue growth to RMB12.3B in 2024. Oncology revenue jumped 32% YoY to RMB8.1B.
  • Revenue from innovative drugs zoomed 38% YoY to RMB9.5B and its proportion to total revenue increased to 77.3% in 2024 from 67.9% in 2023.
  • In 2024, three key innovative drug candidates entered the phase 3 clinical stage for the first time. Hansoh will continue to focus on R&D of innovative drugs and internationalization strategy.

Torikizoku (3193 JP): Coverage Initiation,1H FY07/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 10.7% YoY to JPY22.2bn, driven by inbound tourism recovery and new restaurant openings.
  • Operating profit declined 20.5% YoY to JPY1.3bn due to higher SG&A expenses from overseas expansion and wage increases.
  • Gross profit margin decreased to 69.1%, while SG&A ratio rose to 63.1%, impacting operating profit margin.

BYD (1211): Encouraging 2024 Result, But Close to Our Target After Two Buy Suggestions This Year.

By Ming Lu

  • We believe the stock’s upside is very limited after two buy rating this year.
  • In 2024, total revenue grew by 29% and total automobile sales grew by 41%.
  • The gross margin of automobile improved more than one percentage point.

[PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD US, BUY, TP US$146) Review]: A New PDD Focusing on Low Tier and Non-US

By Ying Pan

  • PDD reported C4Q24 top line 1.1%/(6.1%) vs. our est./cons. and non-GAAP operating income (5.4%)/(5.6%) vs. est./cons., 
  • PDD rose to prominence by optimizing the value chain built/inherited by Alibaba/eBay in China and Amazon/eBay in US. 
  • As these two “bonuses” coming to an end, PDD must build its own. While growth shall normalize, China low tier cities and global developing markets shall sustain its growth. 

Docusign Inc.: Will Its Emphasis On The Expansion of Identity and Access Management (IAM) Pay Off?

By Baptista Research

  • DocuSign, Inc. delivered a noteworthy performance in the fourth quarter of Fiscal Year 2025, underpinned by both strategic pivots and operational efficiency gains.
  • The company reported a revenue of $776 million, marking a 9% year-over-year rise, culminating in an annual revenue of $3 billion—an 8% increase over the prior year.
  • This growth trajectory underscores a positive momentum, primarily fueled by the launch of Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM), a comprehensive AI-driven platform focused on transforming how businesses manage agreements.

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Daily Brief Macro: The Week Ahead – In The Eye of The Storm and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • The Week Ahead – In The Eye of The Storm
  • PMI Spring Vibe Shifts
  • Making Sense of Policy Uncertainty
  • Global Commodities: Oil vigilantes in action
  • Global FX: What to expect when you are expecting tariffs (again)
  • [US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/12] Henry Hub Falls for Second Week on Milder Weather Outlook
  • Global Rates – Discussing the divergent drivers of US and EUR breakevens
  • 213: The Evolution of Private Markets in Modern Investment Portfolios
  • CrossASEAN Strategy – Indonesia’s Delicate Balance
  • Indian Rubber Prices Soar As Rubber Board Prepares For EUDR


The Week Ahead – In The Eye of The Storm

By Nomura – The Week Ahead

  • The Fed, Bank of England, and BOJ all left rates unchanged with their own unique perspectives
  • Market volatility continues with equities bouncing and the dollar rebounding
  • Fed Chair Powell emphasized keeping options open and uncertainty in the economy, with no immediate rate cuts expected

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


PMI Spring Vibe Shifts

By Phil Rush

  • A resurgence in the US and UK services PMIs seems inconsistent with renewed dovish pricing that assumes activity weakness. Vibes may be throwing surveys beyond reality.
  • Labour demand growth seems to be trending close to supply, signalling monetary conditions close to neutral. That is broadly the story across a broad basket of countries.
  • We still believe rate pricing is too dovish for the Fed and, to a lesser extent, the BoE. Noisy survey vibes and spurious assumptions of tightness are likely to be misleading.

Making Sense of Policy Uncertainty

By Cam Hui

  • How should investors react to the increase in policy uncertainty? The latest FOMC statement and subsequent press conference were full of references to “uncertainty”. 
  • In the short run, stock prices are rebounding from an oversold condition in response to the sanguine reaction of the credit markets to policy uncertainty.
  • Longer term, equity investors have to be prepared for a deterioration in the growth outlook, which is bearish for equities.

Global Commodities: Oil vigilantes in action

By At Any Rate

  • OPEC’s output decision is seen as the most influential factor for the oil market, with prices tumbling and Brent crude trading just above $70
  • OPEC shows tolerance to potential economic fallout from tariffs and plans to increase crude oil output starting in April 2025
  • Uncertainty remains in the market as geopolitical tensions escalate in the Middle East and President Trump proposes a new Iranian nuclear deal with a two-month deadline, putting pressure on Iran and other countries subject to sanctions

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Global FX: What to expect when you are expecting tariffs (again)

By At Any Rate

  • Market is seeing an uptick in CNY fixing, potentially halting the DXY bear trend temporarily
  • Investors are focused on upcoming tariff event risk on April 2, leading to de-risking behavior
  • Various potential scenarios for tariff implementation and FX response, with uncertainty around delivery and impact of tariffs on different sectors and countries

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


[US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/12] Henry Hub Falls for Second Week on Milder Weather Outlook

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 21/Mar, U.S. natural gas prices fell by 3% due to milder weather forecasts and larger-than-expected build in the U.S. natural gas inventories.
  • Henry Hub dropped by 6.4% on 20/Mar (Thu) after the EIA reported a 9 Bcf build in U.S. inventories. Prices ended the week below the 9-day and 21-day moving averages.
  • Henry Hub OI PCR increased to 1.05 on 21/Mar from 1.03 on 14/Mar. Call OI rose by 3.6% WoW, while put OI grew by 5%.

Global Rates – Discussing the divergent drivers of US and EUR breakevens

By At Any Rate

  • Recent fall in US inflation breakevens driven by change in growth expectations and trade policy developments
  • US breakevens appear somewhat cheap versus fair value framework, with near term inflation risks still skewed to the upside
  • European breakevens have outperformed due to seismic shift in German fiscal policy, leading to a backup in intermediate yields on the German curve.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


213: The Evolution of Private Markets in Modern Investment Portfolios

By The Bid

  • Private markets are evolving and becoming a mainstream part of investment portfolios
  • Access to private market investments is no longer limited to just institutional investors
  • Growth in private market universe is driven by demand for private capital and innovative structures for investor access

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


CrossASEAN Strategy – Indonesia’s Delicate Balance

By Angus Mackintosh

  • The Indonesian market has seen a sharp sell-off with a confluence of concerns centred around the execution and implementation of government policy but the fall was mainly driven by retail.
  • The sell-off does not reflect an underlying deterioration of growth prospects for the economy or indeed earnings, although 4Q2024 results saw a slower performance for some sectors. 
  • The government has already taken note and has determined to take action to reassure investors through policy measures. Valuations have already reached a historically attractive level.

Indian Rubber Prices Soar As Rubber Board Prepares For EUDR

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Prices crosses the magical level of INR 200/kg after five months  
  • Supply short but farmers who stock and didn’t rainguard benefit  
  •  Rubber Board starts geo-mapping of rubber plantations

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Daily Brief Industrials: Lotte Global Logistics, Adani Enterprises, DN Solutions, Teledyne Technologies, Braemar Shipping Services PLC, Nitto Kogyo, S.F. Holding, Sono Group, Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Lotte Global Logistics IPO Preview
  • What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?
  • DN Solutions IPO: The Bear Case
  • DN Solutions Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison
  • Teledyne Technologies: These Are The 5 Biggest Hindrances To Its Growth In 2025 & Beyond!
  • Braemar — Geopolitical factors weigh on charter rates
  • Nitto Kogyo Corporation (6651 JP) – Q3 Follow-Up
  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volume, Price Trends | ZTO Rejoins Volume Game | (March 2025)
  • SEVCF: CEO on Building a Future Powered with Solar Mobility
  • Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies Pre-IPO- The Negatives – Margin Pressures & Concentration Risks


Lotte Global Logistics IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Lotte Global Logistics is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in May 2025. IPO price range is from 11,500 won and 13,500 won.
  • At the high end of the IPO price range, the expected public offering amount is 202 billion won.
  • According to the bankers’ valuation, the expected market cap after the IPO is 479 billion won to 562 billion won. 

What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Investors should keep a close eye on Adani’s execution timeline, the impact on valuations in the sector, and the fundamentals of existing players in the C&W industry. 
  • While Adani’s entry may bring some disruption, the sector’s strong growth prospects and the resilience of leading players suggest that there is still value to be found. 
  • In the end, long-term success in this industry will depend on a combination of strategic vision, operational excellence, and the ability to adapt to changing market dynamics.

DN Solutions IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS), the third-largest machining centre/turning centre machine tool manufacturer, seeks to raise US$1.1 billion in a KRX IPO.
  • In DN Solutions IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on tepid growth due to volume declines, early indications of margin pressure, rising cash conversion cycle, and mid-tier FCF margin.

DN Solutions Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison

By Sumeet Singh

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS) (DNS) aims to raise around US$1.1bn in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • DNS is engaged in the manufacture and sale of machine tools and the business of automation solutions and services related thereto.
  • We have looked at its past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Teledyne Technologies: These Are The 5 Biggest Hindrances To Its Growth In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Teledyne Technologies Incorporated presented a mixed financial performance in their fourth quarter of 2024 earnings call.
  • The company reported record revenues, with a 5.4% increase in sales compared to the prior year.
  • This growth was further highlighted by record achievements in full-year non-GAAP earnings per share and operating margins.

Braemar — Geopolitical factors weigh on charter rates

By Edison Investment Research

Despite a challenging trading environment in H225, which has prompted a modest adjustment to forecasts, Braemar’s trading outlook for FY26 is promising. The underlying activities continue to expand and diversify, and the company remains well positioned to leverage its strong balance sheet to drive its growth strategy in a fragmented market. Although we have adjusted forecasts modestly, we have maintained our 535p valuation as this is driven by our dividend discount model, which remains unchanged. Furthermore, it is worth highlighting the substantial valuation differential between Braemar and its only quoted peer, Clarkson.


Nitto Kogyo Corporation (6651 JP) – Q3 Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Q3 2025/3 Earnings Result Summary: Nitto Kogyo Corporation (hereafter, the Company) announced net sales of JPY 133,354 mn (+14.1% YoY), operating profit of JPY 9,298 mn (+3.3% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 9,503 mn (-0.0% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 9,014 mn (+36.3% YoY).
  • The double-digit increase in net profit was attributed to the recording of extraordinary gains on the acquisition of shares in a subsidiary.
  • FY2025/3 Earnings Forecast: The forecast calls for net sales of JPY178,000 mn (+10.8% YoY), operating profit of JPY12,000 mn (+0.3% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY12,000 mn (-4.5% YoY), and net profit of JPY10,000 mn (+14.7% YoY).

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volume, Price Trends | ZTO Rejoins Volume Game | (March 2025)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • By some measures, combined Jan-Feb volume growth slowed vs recent trend growth rates
  • Volume leader ZTO rejoining volume share game in FY25, -ive implications for pricing?
  • With concerns about mainstream price growing, we continue to favor only SF Holding

SEVCF: CEO on Building a Future Powered with Solar Mobility

By Water Tower Research

  • Sono Group is a pioneering German solar technology company dedicated to revolutionizing the transportation industry. 
  • Sono’s focus is on developing and commercializing innovative solar integration technologies for a wide range of vehicles, including solar kits for trucks, semi-truck trailers, vans, RVs, and buses.
  • The products are designed to reduce fuel consumption and CO2 emissions, offering cost savings and environmental benefits to commercial fleet operators.

Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies Pre-IPO- The Negatives – Margin Pressures & Concentration Risks

By Akshat Shah

  • Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies (JSZENERGY CH) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • Zenergy is an EV and energy storage system battery manufacturer providing integrated battery solutions, encompassing battery cells, modules, packs and battery management systems dedicated to large-scale applications of electrochemical products.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Utilities: China Oil And Gas and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • China Oil & Gas – Earnings Flash – FY 2024 Results – Lucror Analytics


China Oil & Gas – Earnings Flash – FY 2024 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • COG has reported largely stable FY 2024 results, with gross profit and EBITDA growing despite a lower top line.
  • Consolidated leverage improved, supported by the stronger earnings and cash flows.
  • Liquidity at the holdco level remains adequate.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Gold Road Resources, CRH , Posco Future M, Crude Oil, Nanshan Aluminium International Holdings, Natural Gas, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Gold Road (GOR AU): Rejects an NBIO from Gold Fields (GFI US)
  • [Quiddity Index Mar25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Early Days But a Few Intrareview Changes Possible
  • Short Selling Resuming on 31 March in Korea – Stocks With Highest Short Selling Lending Balance
  • More Gold Fever: Gold Field’s Hostile Tilt For Gold Road
  • Global Commodities: Oil vigilantes in action
  • Nanshan Aluminium IPO Trading: Low Institutional Coverage, Likely to Trade Weak
  • [US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/12] Henry Hub Falls for Second Week on Milder Weather Outlook
  • [US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/12] WTI Marks Second Weekly Gain on Rising Geopolitical Tensions
  • OPEC Holds Demand Outlook as EIA and IEA Lower Forecasts; Henry Hub Prices Set to Climb Through 2026
  • Indian Rubber Prices Soar As Rubber Board Prepares For EUDR


Gold Road (GOR AU): Rejects an NBIO from Gold Fields (GFI US)

By Arun George

  • Gold Road Resources (GOR AU) has rejected a non-binding proposal from Gold Fields (GFI US). The offer is A$2.27 plus value per share of Gold Road’s shareholding in De Grey.
  • The Board has rejected the offer mainly due to opportunistic timing and no value attributed to the potential underground expansion of the Gruyere mine (Gold Road/Gold Fields are JV partners).
  • The proposal is a logical consolidation to eliminate dis-synergies. The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples, precedent transactions and historical trading ranges. 

[Quiddity Index Mar25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Early Days But a Few Intrareview Changes Possible

By Travis Lundy

  • The S&P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • We expect two regular changes in June 2025. There are also multiple live spin-off and M&A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes.

Short Selling Resuming on 31 March in Korea – Stocks With Highest Short Selling Lending Balance

By Douglas Kim

  • Short selling balance in the Korean stock market was 62.4 trillion won as of 21 March 2025, up significantly from 47.2 trillion won three months ago.
  • Among the stocks in KOSPI with high short selling balance and high lending balance ratios include Posco Future M, Yuhan Corp, LG Energy Solution, and Hanwha Aerospace. 
  • Among the stocks in KOSDAQ with high short selling balance and high lending balance ratios include Ecopro BM, Ecopro Co, HLB, and Eo Technics. 

More Gold Fever: Gold Field’s Hostile Tilt For Gold Road

By David Blennerhassett


Global Commodities: Oil vigilantes in action

By At Any Rate

  • OPEC’s output decision is seen as the most influential factor for the oil market, with prices tumbling and Brent crude trading just above $70
  • OPEC shows tolerance to potential economic fallout from tariffs and plans to increase crude oil output starting in April 2025
  • Uncertainty remains in the market as geopolitical tensions escalate in the Middle East and President Trump proposes a new Iranian nuclear deal with a two-month deadline, putting pressure on Iran and other countries subject to sanctions

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Nanshan Aluminium IPO Trading: Low Institutional Coverage, Likely to Trade Weak

By Nicholas Tan

  • Nanshan Aluminium International Holdings (NAI HK) , raised around US$302m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is a leading high-quality alumina manufacturer in Southeast Asia.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

[US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/12] Henry Hub Falls for Second Week on Milder Weather Outlook

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 21/Mar, U.S. natural gas prices fell by 3% due to milder weather forecasts and larger-than-expected build in the U.S. natural gas inventories.
  • Henry Hub dropped by 6.4% on 20/Mar (Thu) after the EIA reported a 9 Bcf build in U.S. inventories. Prices ended the week below the 9-day and 21-day moving averages.
  • Henry Hub OI PCR increased to 1.05 on 21/Mar from 1.03 on 14/Mar. Call OI rose by 3.6% WoW, while put OI grew by 5%.

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/12] WTI Marks Second Weekly Gain on Rising Geopolitical Tensions

By Suhas Reddy

  • WTI futures rose 1.6% for the week ending 21/Mar, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and declining U.S. fuel inventories.
  • The U.S. rig count rose by one to 593. The oil rig count dropped by one to 486 and gas rigs rose by two to 102.
  • WTI OI PCR fell to 0.90 on 21/Mar from 0.93 on 14/Mar. Call OI decreased by 12.2% WoW, while put OI dropped by 14.6%.

OPEC Holds Demand Outlook as EIA and IEA Lower Forecasts; Henry Hub Prices Set to Climb Through 2026

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC maintains its 2025 oil demand growth forecast at 1.45m bpd, while the IEA lowered its estimate due to weaker-than-expected economic activity.
  • The EIA reduced its 2025 global liquid fuels production forecast to 1.4m bpd, down from 1.7m bpd, while maintaining its 2026 forecast at 1.6m bpd.
  • Rising non-OPEC+ production, led by the U.S., Canada, and Brazil, may result in an oversupplied market by late 2025.

Indian Rubber Prices Soar As Rubber Board Prepares For EUDR

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Prices crosses the magical level of INR 200/kg after five months  
  • Supply short but farmers who stock and didn’t rainguard benefit  
  •  Rubber Board starts geo-mapping of rubber plantations

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Xiaomi Corp, Tencent, Samsung SDI, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, DocuSign , Telefonica SA, Soluna Holdings , Asana and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Xiaomi (1810 HK)’s US$5bn Placement: Unfavourable Index Dynamics but Strong Momentum
  • Xiaomi US$5.3bn Placement – Relatively Small, Strong Momentum but Is Expensive
  • Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March
  • Revisiting Korea’s Local Rights Issue Arb Setup
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Mar-2025): DeepSeek impacts chip demand globally.
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Delta At Nvidia GTC 2025; Foxconn EV Strategy Win; Key Semi Industry Indicators
  • Docusign Inc.: Will Its Emphasis On The Expansion of Identity and Access Management (IAM) Pay Off?
  • Telefónica: Execution and Valuation Update
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc. – Secures $5 Million in Non-Dilutive Debt Financing
  • Asana Inc.: An Enhanced Revenue Forecasting & ARR Growth Insight!


Xiaomi (1810 HK)’s US$5bn Placement: Unfavourable Index Dynamics but Strong Momentum

By Brian Freitas

  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is looking to place 750m shares at a price range of HK$52.8-54.6/share, a 4.2-7.4% discount from last. That could raise up to HK$40.95bn (US$5.27bn).
  • There will be limited passive buying near-term. There will be more passive buying at the end of May. Then there will be passive selling early June.
  • Shorts will be hurting from the relentless move higher in the stock and there could be short covering if the stock moves lower from these levels.

Xiaomi US$5.3bn Placement – Relatively Small, Strong Momentum but Is Expensive

By Sumeet Singh

  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is looking to raise around US$5.3bn via selling 3% additional shares.
  • The shares have done exceedingly well this year and are now trading at their all time highs.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Tencent/Netease: One Game Approved Each in March

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the March batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening. We see pick up in approval rate this month.
  • Both Tencent and Netease received approval for one game. In addition, Kingsoft received approval for its legendary Sword Heroes series.

Revisiting Korea’s Local Rights Issue Arb Setup

By Sanghyun Park

  • Korea’s rights issues offer a clean arb setup—track stock rights vs. spot price, with first price as a cap, and lock in predictable entry vs. exit costs.
  • Aggressive locals skip hedging, betting the discount holds between final pricing and listing. History backs it, but it’s a case-by-case call—not a blanket recommendation.
  • Samsung SDI and Hanwha Aerospace’s KRW 5.5T raise is massive, likely flooding stock rights into the market—prime setup for arb plays.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Mar-2025): DeepSeek impacts chip demand globally.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • DeepSeek is a significant factor driving global chip demand with implications for various industries including automotive.
  • Tesla and Tata are in talks regarding the sourcing of EV components, highlighting the growing importance of electric vehicles in the market.
  • Tim Cook’s visit to China to discuss collaboration with DeepSeek signals potential advancements in the supply chain and technology sectors.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Delta At Nvidia GTC 2025; Foxconn EV Strategy Win; Key Semi Industry Indicators

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • NVIDIA GTC 2025 Last Week — Delta Electronics Expands Role in Nvidia Ecosystem Showcasing AI-Centric Power Solutions
  • Foxconn’s Huge EV Bet Pays Off: Key Mitsubishi Win Could Spark Additional Automaker Deals to Come 
  • Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, and 2025 Forecasts 

Docusign Inc.: Will Its Emphasis On The Expansion of Identity and Access Management (IAM) Pay Off?

By Baptista Research

  • DocuSign, Inc. delivered a noteworthy performance in the fourth quarter of Fiscal Year 2025, underpinned by both strategic pivots and operational efficiency gains.
  • The company reported a revenue of $776 million, marking a 9% year-over-year rise, culminating in an annual revenue of $3 billion—an 8% increase over the prior year.
  • This growth trajectory underscores a positive momentum, primarily fueled by the launch of Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM), a comprehensive AI-driven platform focused on transforming how businesses manage agreements.

Telefónica: Execution and Valuation Update

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Telefónica is nearing completion of its Latin American divestment strategy, unlocking capital from low-margin markets and reducing geopolitical risk, with €2.5 billion equity value estimated for remaining Hispam units.
  • A conservative 4x EV/EBITDA multiple applied to Hispam subsidiaries yields a fair value of €5.06 per share, while a prudent €4.50 target reflects geopolitical and execution risk buffers.
  • Proceeds from disposals strengthen Telefónica’s balance sheet, support its 7% dividend yield, and enable reinvestment into high-growth segments like Tech and fibercos, enhancing long-term shareholder value and operating efficiency.

Soluna Holdings, Inc. – Secures $5 Million in Non-Dilutive Debt Financing

By Water Tower Research

  • Earlier this week, Soluna announced that it has successfully closed a $5 million loan facility with Galaxy Digital (TSX: GLXY), a financial services and investment management innovator in the digital asset and blockchain technology sectors.
  • CEO John Belizaire highlighted that the deal underscores the strength of the company’s project cash flow and demonstrates confidence in its ability to monetize energy through AI and Bitcoin mining.
  • Belizaire said, “Simply put, the assets we build are durable and very, very valuable. With this financing, we gain access to additional capital to accelerate our execution— without diluting our shareholders.”

Asana Inc.: An Enhanced Revenue Forecasting & ARR Growth Insight!

By Baptista Research

  • Asana, Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, showing a blend of achievements and challenges.
  • The company’s revenue grew by over 10% year-over-year, slightly exceeding adjusted guidance when accounting for currency impact, signaling stabilization in growth rates.
  • Positively, Asana reached a significant milestone by generating positive free cash flow for the entire fiscal year.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Lotte Global Logistics, Adani Enterprises, DN Solutions, Teledyne Technologies, Braemar Shipping Services PLC, Nitto Kogyo, S.F. Holding, Sono Group, Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Lotte Global Logistics IPO Preview
  • What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?
  • DN Solutions IPO: The Bear Case
  • DN Solutions Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison
  • Teledyne Technologies: These Are The 5 Biggest Hindrances To Its Growth In 2025 & Beyond!
  • Braemar — Geopolitical factors weigh on charter rates
  • Nitto Kogyo Corporation (6651 JP) – Q3 Follow-Up
  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volume, Price Trends | ZTO Rejoins Volume Game | (March 2025)
  • SEVCF: CEO on Building a Future Powered with Solar Mobility
  • Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies Pre-IPO- The Negatives – Margin Pressures & Concentration Risks


Lotte Global Logistics IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Lotte Global Logistics is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSPI in May 2025. IPO price range is from 11,500 won and 13,500 won.
  • At the high end of the IPO price range, the expected public offering amount is 202 billion won.
  • According to the bankers’ valuation, the expected market cap after the IPO is 479 billion won to 562 billion won. 

What Does Adani’s Foray into Wires & Cables Mean for Investors and the Industry?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Investors should keep a close eye on Adani’s execution timeline, the impact on valuations in the sector, and the fundamentals of existing players in the C&W industry. 
  • While Adani’s entry may bring some disruption, the sector’s strong growth prospects and the resilience of leading players suggest that there is still value to be found. 
  • In the end, long-term success in this industry will depend on a combination of strategic vision, operational excellence, and the ability to adapt to changing market dynamics.

DN Solutions IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS), the third-largest machining centre/turning centre machine tool manufacturer, seeks to raise US$1.1 billion in a KRX IPO.
  • In DN Solutions IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on tepid growth due to volume declines, early indications of margin pressure, rising cash conversion cycle, and mid-tier FCF margin.

DN Solutions Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison

By Sumeet Singh

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS) (DNS) aims to raise around US$1.1bn in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • DNS is engaged in the manufacture and sale of machine tools and the business of automation solutions and services related thereto.
  • We have looked at its past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Teledyne Technologies: These Are The 5 Biggest Hindrances To Its Growth In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Teledyne Technologies Incorporated presented a mixed financial performance in their fourth quarter of 2024 earnings call.
  • The company reported record revenues, with a 5.4% increase in sales compared to the prior year.
  • This growth was further highlighted by record achievements in full-year non-GAAP earnings per share and operating margins.

Braemar — Geopolitical factors weigh on charter rates

By Edison Investment Research

Despite a challenging trading environment in H225, which has prompted a modest adjustment to forecasts, Braemar’s trading outlook for FY26 is promising. The underlying activities continue to expand and diversify, and the company remains well positioned to leverage its strong balance sheet to drive its growth strategy in a fragmented market. Although we have adjusted forecasts modestly, we have maintained our 535p valuation as this is driven by our dividend discount model, which remains unchanged. Furthermore, it is worth highlighting the substantial valuation differential between Braemar and its only quoted peer, Clarkson.


Nitto Kogyo Corporation (6651 JP) – Q3 Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Q3 2025/3 Earnings Result Summary: Nitto Kogyo Corporation (hereafter, the Company) announced net sales of JPY 133,354 mn (+14.1% YoY), operating profit of JPY 9,298 mn (+3.3% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 9,503 mn (-0.0% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 9,014 mn (+36.3% YoY).
  • The double-digit increase in net profit was attributed to the recording of extraordinary gains on the acquisition of shares in a subsidiary.
  • FY2025/3 Earnings Forecast: The forecast calls for net sales of JPY178,000 mn (+10.8% YoY), operating profit of JPY12,000 mn (+0.3% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY12,000 mn (-4.5% YoY), and net profit of JPY10,000 mn (+14.7% YoY).

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Volume, Price Trends | ZTO Rejoins Volume Game | (March 2025)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • By some measures, combined Jan-Feb volume growth slowed vs recent trend growth rates
  • Volume leader ZTO rejoining volume share game in FY25, -ive implications for pricing?
  • With concerns about mainstream price growing, we continue to favor only SF Holding

SEVCF: CEO on Building a Future Powered with Solar Mobility

By Water Tower Research

  • Sono Group is a pioneering German solar technology company dedicated to revolutionizing the transportation industry. 
  • Sono’s focus is on developing and commercializing innovative solar integration technologies for a wide range of vehicles, including solar kits for trucks, semi-truck trailers, vans, RVs, and buses.
  • The products are designed to reduce fuel consumption and CO2 emissions, offering cost savings and environmental benefits to commercial fleet operators.

Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies Pre-IPO- The Negatives – Margin Pressures & Concentration Risks

By Akshat Shah

  • Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies (JSZENERGY CH) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • Zenergy is an EV and energy storage system battery manufacturer providing integrated battery solutions, encompassing battery cells, modules, packs and battery management systems dedicated to large-scale applications of electrochemical products.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Australia: Gold Road Resources and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Gold Road (GOR AU): Rejects an NBIO from Gold Fields (GFI US)
  • More Gold Fever: Gold Field’s Hostile Tilt For Gold Road


Gold Road (GOR AU): Rejects an NBIO from Gold Fields (GFI US)

By Arun George

  • Gold Road Resources (GOR AU) has rejected a non-binding proposal from Gold Fields (GFI US). The offer is A$2.27 plus value per share of Gold Road’s shareholding in De Grey.
  • The Board has rejected the offer mainly due to opportunistic timing and no value attributed to the potential underground expansion of the Gruyere mine (Gold Road/Gold Fields are JV partners).
  • The proposal is a logical consolidation to eliminate dis-synergies. The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples, precedent transactions and historical trading ranges. 

More Gold Fever: Gold Field’s Hostile Tilt For Gold Road

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Health Care: Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group , Annovis Bio , BioNTech , Abeona Therapeutics , Legend Biotech Corp, Mira Pharmaceuticals , Duality Biotherapeutics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive
  • ANVS: CEO on Taking Treatments of Neurodegenerative Diseases to the Next Level
  • How BioNTech’s Growing Oncology Pipeline Could Reshape Its Future!
  • ABEO: Countdown to PDUFA Date of April 29, 2025
  • Legend Biotech: An Insight Into Its Manufacturing Capacity Expansion & Major Growth Levers!
  • MIRA: Expands Pipeline and Increases Capital
  • Pre-IPO Duality Biotherapeutics (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Innovative Drugs Drive 2024 Performance; Outlook Is Positive

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) reported 33% YoY net profit growth to RMB4.4B on 21% YoY revenue growth to RMB12.3B in 2024. Oncology revenue jumped 32% YoY to RMB8.1B.
  • Revenue from innovative drugs zoomed 38% YoY to RMB9.5B and its proportion to total revenue increased to 77.3% in 2024 from 67.9% in 2023.
  • In 2024, three key innovative drug candidates entered the phase 3 clinical stage for the first time. Hansoh will continue to focus on R&D of innovative drugs and internationalization strategy.

ANVS: CEO on Taking Treatments of Neurodegenerative Diseases to the Next Level

By Water Tower Research

  • Annovis Bio is a late-stage clinical drug platform company that develops novel disease-modifying therapies for neurodegenerative diseases.
  • The company recently initiated a Phase 3 study in its lead small molecule candidate Buntanetap, which targets early-stage Alzheimer’s.
  • Annovis completed a Phase 3 study of Buntanetap for Parkinson’s and is expected to meet with the FDA in 2Q25 to determine the path forward for the program.

How BioNTech’s Growing Oncology Pipeline Could Reshape Its Future!

By Baptista Research

  • BioNTech, a pioneering biopharmaceutical company, revealed their fourth quarter and full year financial results for 2024, along with strategic priorities moving into 2025.
  • The company remains steadfast in its mission to leverage its immunotherapy and architectural prowess to tackle diseases, especially cancer and infectious diseases like COVID-19.
  • In 2024, BioNTech reported revenues of approximately EUR 2.8 billion, aligning with the midpoint of its guidance, although this represents a decline from the previous year, attributed to reduced COVID-19 vaccine demand.

ABEO: Countdown to PDUFA Date of April 29, 2025

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On March 20, 2025, Abeona Therapeutics, Inc. (ABEO) announced financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024 and provided a business update.
  • Preparations continue for the potential approval of prademagene zamikeracel (pz-cel), which has a PDUFA date of April 29, 2025.
  • Abeona disclosed that it received draft prescribing information on the label for pz-cel, which was in-line with company expectations.

Legend Biotech: An Insight Into Its Manufacturing Capacity Expansion & Major Growth Levers!

By Baptista Research

  • Legend Biotech’s recent financial disclosures and strategic updates present a multifaceted view of the company’s performance and outlook.
  • The firm has made significant strides with its CARVYKTI therapy, a CAR-T treatment for multiple myeloma, suggesting a robust growth trajectory influenced by several critical factors.
  • Positively, Legend Biotech is experiencing strong demand for CARVYKTI, with net trade sales reaching approximately $334 million in the fourth quarter of 2024.

MIRA: Expands Pipeline and Increases Capital

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • MIRA Pharmaceuticals(MIRA) Company Sponsored Research Report

Pre-IPO Duality Biotherapeutics (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Since DB-1303 has no advantage in clinical data in front of competing products, the commercialization outlook is gloomy. The priority for DB-1311 is to verify the druggability of this target.
  • Considering that the current capital market has become more and more rational toward innovative drug/biotech companies, the absence of commercialized products of Duality will obviously affect valuation expectations.
  • The post-money valuation after Series B+ financing is about US$270 million (or about RMB2 billion), which is not expensive, and there is a chance to obtain valuation premium after IPO. 

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