Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Financials: Suntec REIT, Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co Ltd., NIFTY Index, Ares Management , Bitcoin, Direct Line Insurance Group Pl and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang’s Obligatory Offer. But … Is ESR A Seller?
  • Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact
  • EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Vol Term-Structure Inverts as Front-End IVs Jump to 15.0%
  • Ares Management’s $3.7 Billion Acquisition: Shift for the U.S. And Global Index
  • Strategic Bitcoin Reserve?
  • Aviva/Direct Line: Preliminary Offer Agreement


Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang’s Obligatory Offer. But … Is ESR A Seller?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Gordan Tang (& his wife Celine) acquired 2.14% in Suntec REIT (SUN SP), lifting their stake to 31.45% from 29.31%, triggering a MGO.
  • The Offer Price is $1.16/share against a recent close of $1.17. The Offer will be conditional on a 50% acceptance hurdle. That’s it. This is purely a technical Offer. 
  • Share popped 7% on the news, and closed up ~5%. This appears unwarranted. Tang is not going to take Suntec private. But ESR Group (1821 HK) may be exiting. 

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 8 adds and 7 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December. We had a 100% hit rate on our forecasts.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% resulting in a one-way trade of TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There are 16 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.
  • There has been a big increase in short interest on some of the deletions and there could be some short covering the stocks closer to implementation date.

EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Vol Term-Structure Inverts as Front-End IVs Jump to 15.0%

By Sankalp Singh

  • Short-Date IVs reprice higher as active contract rolls over to 12.12.2024 expiry. Elevated risk-premia justified as contracts capture RBI rate decision & U.S. NFP event risks.
  • Re-Pricing of front-end IVs has kicked Vol term-structure into Backwardation. Monthly & Quarterly IVs remain unchanged. Current Vol curve shape is at odds with improving sentiment in underlying Index.
  • Strategic Implications: (1) Avoid Short Gamma exposure. (2) Continue allocation to Short Vega + Short Smile structures. (3) Look for Nifty50 trading range to stabilize as trigger for Skew harvesting.   

Ares Management’s $3.7 Billion Acquisition: Shift for the U.S. And Global Index

By Harry Kalfas

  • Ares Management (ARES US) entered into a definitive agreement a $3.7 billion acquisition of GLP Capital Partners’ international operations.
  • The acquisition is structured with a mix of cash and stock, including performance incentives.
  • The deal, subject to regulatory approvals, will impact Ares’ presence in a global and a major US index, potentially creating significant passive demand.

Strategic Bitcoin Reserve?

By Fallacy Alarm

  • Donald Trump’s election and the subsequent bull run to 100k has emboldened Bitcoiners. Many of them are now calling for the US government to build what they call a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

  • This idea has been floating around for a while. Robert Kennedy Jr. gave it a big boost in July when he promised to make the Treasury buy a quarter of all Bitcoin in circulation was he elected as president.

  • Since the election, various crypto celebrities have chimed in and politicians at the state and the federal level have come up with policy proposals to push this agenda.


Aviva/Direct Line: Preliminary Offer Agreement

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Aviva’s sweetened 275p proposal for Direct Line, with a 73.3% premium, aims to strengthen its UK insurance market leadership and achieve £100M+ cost synergies, enhancing profitability and competitiveness.
  • The proposal values Direct Line at an 13.05x forward P/E multiple, higher than its five-year average of 9.95x. The acquisition is a transformative move for Aviva amidst ongoing sector consolidation.
  • PUSU deadline is 25 December. Gross spread is 8.8%. I believe Aviva will make a firm offer and would be long the spread. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 8)- Eoflow and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 8)- Eoflow, Celltrion, Takeda, Medipal, SanBio, Aurobindo Pharma
  • Southeast Asia Shines as Chinese Clean-Energy Firms’ Traditional Markets Dim
  • Structural Shift in China’s Energy Mix (Part 1, EVs)
  • Structural Shift in China’s Energy Mix (Part 2, LNG Trucks)


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 8)- Eoflow, Celltrion, Takeda, Medipal, SanBio, Aurobindo Pharma

By Tina Banerjee

  • Eoflow Has been ordered by the U.S. Court to pay $452M as damages. Celltrion has submitted clinical trial application for CT-P44 (Darzalex biosimilar) to the FDA.
  • Takeda Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive licensing agreement to develop and commercialize a late-stage oncology drug candidate. Medipal and JCR Pharmaceuticals initiated the Phase I/II trial of JR-446 in Japan.
  • SanBio has completed second production run for Akuugo suspension for intracranial implantation. Aurobindo Pharma’s U.S. arm Eugia has received final approval from the FDA to manufacture and market Pazopanib Tablets.

Southeast Asia Shines as Chinese Clean-Energy Firms’ Traditional Markets Dim

By Caixin Global

  • Chinese clean-energy companies should increasingly look to Southeast Asia for its abundant resources and growing electric-vehicle (EV) market, experts said, as their prospects in Europe dim amid tighter regulations.
  • Chinese companies’ overseas expansion was a key focus at the 2024 ESG and Sustainable Business Ecosystem Conference in Beijing on Friday, where entrepreneurs, investors, scholars and industry experts also explored how artificial intelligence (AI) could help China meet its dual-carbon goals, among other issues.
  • “Southeast Asia … has both demographic dividends and rich natural resources,” said Zheng Wendan of Singapore advisory firm Alliance For Good, at the environmental, social and governance (ESG) event, organized by Beijing-based tech firm For Good and the China Business Journal.

Structural Shift in China’s Energy Mix (Part 1, EVs)

By Amrutha Raj

  • China’s EV sales surpassed ICE car sales for five straight months. From January to November 2024, EV wholesales totalled 11.2 million.  
  • China’s EV sales reached a record 1.467 million units in November, marking 53% YoY growth and surpassing one million units for the fourth consecutive month. 
  • China’s EV sales are projected to hit 12 million units in 2024, 48.1% YoY increase from 8.1 million in 2023. In 2020, only 1.1 million units were sold in China. 

Structural Shift in China’s Energy Mix (Part 2, LNG Trucks)

By Amrutha Raj

  • From January to August 2024, LNG trucks captured 42% of China’s heavy-duty truck market, up from 9% in 2022. This is expected to displace 8% of diesel demand this year. 
  • China’s diesel demand dropped 11% YoY in H1 2024 and is expected to fall 2%-7% in H2, while LNG consumption is projected to rise 7.7% YoY in 2024.
  • In 2023, LNG truck sales surged 307% YoY to 152,000 units, with sales up another 104% in H1 2024, driving an 8.7% increase in natural gas consumption. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks
  • Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer
  • Rakuten (4755 JP) – Trying To Goose The Stock Price Before Year-End or Mobile Sub Numbers for 2025?
  • Weekly Deals Digest (08 Dec) – ESR, HKBN, Lifestyle China, Seven & I, De Grey, SG Fleet, Kioxia
  • Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit
  • Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – TCM VBP Update, GLP-1’s Good Story Broke, China TCM’s Sudden Rally
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT
  • EQD | Hang Seng (HSI Index) – Most Popular Option Strategies, Calendar Strategies on the Rise


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: Big Buying in Yang Ming Marine (2609 TT) In Two Weeks

By Brian Freitas


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

By Arun George

  • Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. 
  • The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. 
  • While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.

Rakuten (4755 JP) – Trying To Goose The Stock Price Before Year-End or Mobile Sub Numbers for 2025?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, Rakuten (4755 JP) announced a new shareholder benefit (株主優待) program today, to reward shareholders as of end-December 2024. The stated goal? To “thank shareholders”… 
  • …And provide more people with the opportunity to try out the benefits of Rakuten Mobile, with 1yr free of a 30GB/mo mobile plan. There are conditions, but it’s juicy.
  • Last year’s 3mo plan was given with one day of notice. This year’s larger full-year govt gets 3+wks. They are juicing the sub numbers for 2025.

Weekly Deals Digest (08 Dec) – ESR, HKBN, Lifestyle China, Seven & I, De Grey, SG Fleet, Kioxia

By Arun George


Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit

By Arun George

  • Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) shares rose 26% after the Nikkei reported that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) is contemplating selling its 64.5% stake. 
  • Logisnext confirmed the sale process. In a fair process, minorities should receive the tender offer price plus the proportionate share of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries’ TOB tax benefits. 
  • Despite the rise in share price, Logisnext trades at a discount to peer multiples. At an offer of JPY2,000, Logisnext would trade in line with median peer multiples.

Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the December 2024 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
  • There will be one ADD/DEL for both ASX 50 and ASX 200. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations.
  • In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN

By David Blennerhassett

  • Reportedly, Ito Junro’s MBO for Seven & I (3382 JP) includes a US assets IPO to help pay down MBO debt to Japanese banks.  Possible strategic mistake by Ito-san here.
  • Starwood/Warburg Pincus’ firm Offer for ESR Group (1821 HK) secures support from 30.79% of the register.
  • We may be wrong on Sanrio (8136 JP) by a big factor but the multiple and the concentration risk of momentum factor means you are in an illiquid stock.

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – TCM VBP Update, GLP-1’s Good Story Broke, China TCM’s Sudden Rally

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The Medical Insurance Bureau of Hubei Province issued two documents on the VBP of TCM patent medicines.Shineway’s core product Qing Kai Ling is included, which would bring pressure on performance.
  • It’s time to be cautious about the outlook for GLP-1s. We may need to be mentally prepared in advance that the actual market size of GLP-1s is only US$100 billion.
  • Recent changes at the top of CNPGC have left some investors hopeful that China TCM will resolve horizontal competition as scheduled next year,but current bet on shares reversal isn’t wise.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

By David Blennerhassett


EQD | Hang Seng (HSI Index) – Most Popular Option Strategies, Calendar Strategies on the Rise

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Last week, the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) gained 2.3% an increase while volatility slightly declined by 0.2%. The volatility surface provides the context for last week’s most popular strategies, 
  • Low implied volatility and a flat term structure support long volatility strategies and Calendar Spreads. In a bullish sentiment shift, almost half the strategies reflect a bullish view.
  • The largest volume trade, an Iron Condor, is a rare example of a strategy generating premium income. This insight provides both aggregate data analysis and drill-down into individual trade parameters.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Lululemon 3Q’24 Update and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Lululemon 3Q’24 Update
  • Jb Financial (175330 KS) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024
  • Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities
  • Marvell Technology Inc.: Custom Silicon Solutions As A Vital Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Descartes Systems Group: Will The Acquisition of Sellercloud to Enhance Omnichannel Ecommerce Solutions Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Dollar Tree: An Analysis Of Its Expansion & Optimization of Family Dollar! – Major Drivers
  • Bumble Inc. Delivers a Game-Changing Marketing Blitz to Captivate Gen Z Women & Supercharge Brand Loyalty! – Major Drivers
  • Core & Main Inc.: Its Efforts Towards Strategic M&A & Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • Hormel Foods Corporation: International Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • Five Below’s The Bold Value Pricing Revolution: Unbelievable Deals Under $5! – Major Drivers


Lululemon 3Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • While the overall market continues to hit All-time High almost every other day, Lulu has been battling the skeptics for much of this year.
  • There is still a long way to go, but with the stock now up almost 50% over the last three months, Mr. Market has likely started acknowledging that the bear narratives perhaps went a bit too far.
  • Glancing through the numbers for 3Q’24 may seem eerily similar to 2Q’24, but management’s tone was much more upbeat in tonight.

Jb Financial (175330 KS) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • JB Financial is a Korean regional bank involved in traditional banking services such as mortgage loans, auto loans, and asset management
  • The bank has a stable performance with a 10-12% return on common equity and a strong 12.5% CET1 ratio, but trades at a low valuation of .56xTBV and 4-5x earnings
  • Activist fund Align Partners has influenced JB’s capital allocation decisions, advocating for buybacks and higher capital returns, while the bank offers a significant 6.6% dividend that has been growing at a double-digit rate

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities

By Altay Capital

  • Company is marginally profitable and owns a portfolio of securities (mostly public stocks) and rental real estate worth ~3x its market cap (~¥18,000 /share vs ¥6,000 stock price).

  • These figures assign zero value to the operating business and its fixed assets.

  • Activist investor is the #1 shareholder with a 17.4%. #2 shareholder owns 11% and will likely align with activist. Insiders don’t own enough to easily block future activism.


Marvell Technology Inc.: Custom Silicon Solutions As A Vital Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marvell Technology Inc. reported its third quarter of fiscal year 2025 earnings, indicating a mix of positive growth and strategic shifts.
  • The company’s revenues reached $1.516 billion, exceeding guidance by $66 million and showing a 19% sequential increase, driven by heightened demand in the AI sector and strong execution.
  • On a year-over-year basis, revenue grew by 7%, marking a return to growth, with data center applications, notably in AI, accounting for 73% of total revenues.

Descartes Systems Group: Will The Acquisition of Sellercloud to Enhance Omnichannel Ecommerce Solutions Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Descartes Systems Group reported solid third-quarter financial performance, showcasing significant growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, while expanding its portfolio through strategic acquisitions.
  • The company registered a 17% increase in total revenues compared to the same period last year, driven by a combination of organic growth and successful incorporation of newly acquired businesses.
  • Organic revenue growth stood at approximately 10%, reinforcing the company’s ability to enhance its offering within existing operations.

Dollar Tree: An Analysis Of Its Expansion & Optimization of Family Dollar! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dollar Tree’s third-quarter fiscal 2024 results reflect both advancements and challenges as it navigates a changing retail landscape and continues its strategic transformation.
  • The company reported consolidated net sales of $7.6 billion, marking a 3.5% year-on-year increase.
  • This was largely driven by stronger performances in their Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments, both of which experienced improved sequential comparable sales.

Bumble Inc. Delivers a Game-Changing Marketing Blitz to Captivate Gen Z Women & Supercharge Brand Loyalty! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Bumble, the parent company of the popular dating app, recently released its third-quarter earnings for 2024.
  • The results reflect a mixed quarter where Bumble managed to meet its revenue expectations but still operates within the challenges of an evolving business.
  • On the positive side, Bumble achieved total revenue of $274 million, which, while representing a slight 1% decline, fell within the provided outlook range.

Core & Main Inc.: Its Efforts Towards Strategic M&A & Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Core & Main, a leader in the water infrastructure sector, reported strong fiscal 2024 third-quarter results, demonstrating both growth and resilience amidst challenging conditions.
  • The company achieved record quarterly sales exceeding $2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $277 million, driven by a combination of organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
  • Sales grew by nearly 12%, reflecting both the company’s expansion efforts and robust demand across its core markets.

Hormel Foods Corporation: International Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Hormel Foods Corporation recently held its fourth quarter earnings call, delivering a mix of positive developments and some areas of concern.
  • The company’s financial performance in fiscal 2024 reflected its strategic shift and operational initiatives, which helped manage a challenging macroeconomic environment and exhibited the resilience of its portfolio and team.
  • From a positive perspective, Hormel Foods reported a year of solid execution of its strategic initiatives, which included introducing innovative products across its portfolio, expanding its market presence, and reinvesting in its well-established brands like Hormel Black Label, Jennie-O, SPAM, and Applegate.

Five Below’s The Bold Value Pricing Revolution: Unbelievable Deals Under $5! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Five Below recently announced its third quarter results for fiscal year 2024, reflecting a blend of positive strides and ongoing challenges.
  • The company reported a 15% increase in sales, reaching $844 million, slightly surpassing its guidance with a comparable sales growth of 0.6%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share stood at $0.42, an improvement over the previous year.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation 2h-Nov and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation 2h-Nov


Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation 2h-Nov

By Actinver

  • For the second half of November, we forecast headline inflation at -0.08% bw.
  • This would bring November inflation to 4.57% YoY.
  • Our estimate of -0.08% bw is below the historical 0.07% bw for this period as we identify prices reductions in some agricultural products.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Australia: CAR Group and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering


Quiddity ASX Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; ADDs Have High-Impact; DELs See Short Covering

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the December 2024 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
  • There will be one ADD/DEL for both ASX 50 and ASX 200. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations.
  • In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Jb Financial Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Jb Financial (175330 KS) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024


Jb Financial (175330 KS) – Friday, Sep 6, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • JB Financial is a Korean regional bank involved in traditional banking services such as mortgage loans, auto loans, and asset management
  • The bank has a stable performance with a 10-12% return on common equity and a strong 12.5% CET1 ratio, but trades at a low valuation of .56xTBV and 4-5x earnings
  • Activist fund Align Partners has influenced JB’s capital allocation decisions, advocating for buybacks and higher capital returns, while the bank offers a significant 6.6% dividend that has been growing at a double-digit rate

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: Lululemon Athletica, Marvell Technology , Bumble, Campbell Soup Co, Chewy , Core & Main , Dollar Tree Inc, Five Below, Hormel Foods, nCino and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Lululemon 3Q’24 Update
  • Marvell Technology Inc.: Custom Silicon Solutions As A Vital Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Bumble Inc. Delivers a Game-Changing Marketing Blitz to Captivate Gen Z Women & Supercharge Brand Loyalty! – Major Drivers
  • Why Campbell’s Is Poised to Win Big in 2025 – The Secret Behind Its Strategic Masterstroke! – Major Drivers
  • Chewy Inc.: Will Its Expansion into Vet Clinics Be A Potential Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • Core & Main Inc.: Its Efforts Towards Strategic M&A & Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • Dollar Tree: An Analysis Of Its Expansion & Optimization of Family Dollar! – Major Drivers
  • Five Below’s The Bold Value Pricing Revolution: Unbelievable Deals Under $5! – Major Drivers
  • Hormel Foods Corporation: International Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • nCino Inc – How M&A Activity Might Help Catalyze Their Future Growth! – Major Drivers


Lululemon 3Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • While the overall market continues to hit All-time High almost every other day, Lulu has been battling the skeptics for much of this year.
  • There is still a long way to go, but with the stock now up almost 50% over the last three months, Mr. Market has likely started acknowledging that the bear narratives perhaps went a bit too far.
  • Glancing through the numbers for 3Q’24 may seem eerily similar to 2Q’24, but management’s tone was much more upbeat in tonight.

Marvell Technology Inc.: Custom Silicon Solutions As A Vital Factor Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marvell Technology Inc. reported its third quarter of fiscal year 2025 earnings, indicating a mix of positive growth and strategic shifts.
  • The company’s revenues reached $1.516 billion, exceeding guidance by $66 million and showing a 19% sequential increase, driven by heightened demand in the AI sector and strong execution.
  • On a year-over-year basis, revenue grew by 7%, marking a return to growth, with data center applications, notably in AI, accounting for 73% of total revenues.

Bumble Inc. Delivers a Game-Changing Marketing Blitz to Captivate Gen Z Women & Supercharge Brand Loyalty! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Bumble, the parent company of the popular dating app, recently released its third-quarter earnings for 2024.
  • The results reflect a mixed quarter where Bumble managed to meet its revenue expectations but still operates within the challenges of an evolving business.
  • On the positive side, Bumble achieved total revenue of $274 million, which, while representing a slight 1% decline, fell within the provided outlook range.

Why Campbell’s Is Poised to Win Big in 2025 – The Secret Behind Its Strategic Masterstroke! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The quarter for Campbell’s Company presented a mixed picture, marked by both accomplishments and hurdles.
  • Starting with the positives, the company reported a 10% increase in net sales, largely driven by the inclusion of recently acquired Sovos Brands.
  • Rao’s, a part of Sovos, showcased exceptional performance with in-market consumption growing robustly at 15%, helping boost the overall results for Campbell’s Meals and Beverages division.

Chewy Inc.: Will Its Expansion into Vet Clinics Be A Potential Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Chewy, Inc.’s third quarter results for fiscal year 2024 reveal a mixed performance, showcasing both strengths and areas for potential improvement.
  • On the positive side, Chewy reported net sales of $2.88 billion, marking an approximate 5% increase year over year.
  • This growth exceeded the high end of the company’s net sales guidance range.

Core & Main Inc.: Its Efforts Towards Strategic M&A & Market Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Core & Main, a leader in the water infrastructure sector, reported strong fiscal 2024 third-quarter results, demonstrating both growth and resilience amidst challenging conditions.
  • The company achieved record quarterly sales exceeding $2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $277 million, driven by a combination of organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
  • Sales grew by nearly 12%, reflecting both the company’s expansion efforts and robust demand across its core markets.

Dollar Tree: An Analysis Of Its Expansion & Optimization of Family Dollar! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dollar Tree’s third-quarter fiscal 2024 results reflect both advancements and challenges as it navigates a changing retail landscape and continues its strategic transformation.
  • The company reported consolidated net sales of $7.6 billion, marking a 3.5% year-on-year increase.
  • This was largely driven by stronger performances in their Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments, both of which experienced improved sequential comparable sales.

Five Below’s The Bold Value Pricing Revolution: Unbelievable Deals Under $5! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Five Below recently announced its third quarter results for fiscal year 2024, reflecting a blend of positive strides and ongoing challenges.
  • The company reported a 15% increase in sales, reaching $844 million, slightly surpassing its guidance with a comparable sales growth of 0.6%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share stood at $0.42, an improvement over the previous year.

Hormel Foods Corporation: International Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Hormel Foods Corporation recently held its fourth quarter earnings call, delivering a mix of positive developments and some areas of concern.
  • The company’s financial performance in fiscal 2024 reflected its strategic shift and operational initiatives, which helped manage a challenging macroeconomic environment and exhibited the resilience of its portfolio and team.
  • From a positive perspective, Hormel Foods reported a year of solid execution of its strategic initiatives, which included introducing innovative products across its portfolio, expanding its market presence, and reinvesting in its well-established brands like Hormel Black Label, Jennie-O, SPAM, and Applegate.

nCino Inc – How M&A Activity Might Help Catalyze Their Future Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • nCino, a cloud-based software provider for the financial services industry, reported its third-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results, highlighting both achievements and challenges.
  • The company’s revenue grew by 14% year-over year, reaching $138.8 million, with subscription revenue contributing $119.9 million, also a 14% increase.
  • Driving this growth was strong sales performance in the U.S. market, particularly within community and regional banks, as well as the enterprise segment.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief China: Lifestyle China, ESR Group , China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hang Seng Index and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer
  • Weekly Deals Digest (08 Dec) – ESR, HKBN, Lifestyle China, Seven & I, De Grey, SG Fleet, Kioxia
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – TCM VBP Update, GLP-1’s Good Story Broke, China TCM’s Sudden Rally
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT
  • EQD | Hang Seng (HSI Index) – Most Popular Option Strategies, Calendar Strategies on the Rise


Lifestyle China (2136 HK): Thomas Lau’s Low-Balled Scheme Offer

By Arun George

  • Lifestyle China (2136 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Thomas Lau at HK$0.913 per share, a 21.7% premium to the last close price of HK$0.75. 
  • The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples, and historical trading ranges. It has not been declared final. 
  • While no shareholder holds a blocking stake, the high AGM minority participation rates and emerging retail opposition suggest a high chance of a deal break. Therefore, a bump is probable.

Weekly Deals Digest (08 Dec) – ESR, HKBN, Lifestyle China, Seven & I, De Grey, SG Fleet, Kioxia

By Arun George


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – TCM VBP Update, GLP-1’s Good Story Broke, China TCM’s Sudden Rally

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The Medical Insurance Bureau of Hubei Province issued two documents on the VBP of TCM patent medicines.Shineway’s core product Qing Kai Ling is included, which would bring pressure on performance.
  • It’s time to be cautious about the outlook for GLP-1s. We may need to be mentally prepared in advance that the actual market size of GLP-1s is only US$100 billion.
  • Recent changes at the top of CNPGC have left some investors hopeful that China TCM will resolve horizontal competition as scheduled next year,but current bet on shares reversal isn’t wise.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

By David Blennerhassett


EQD | Hang Seng (HSI Index) – Most Popular Option Strategies, Calendar Strategies on the Rise

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Last week, the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) gained 2.3% an increase while volatility slightly declined by 0.2%. The volatility surface provides the context for last week’s most popular strategies, 
  • Low implied volatility and a flat term structure support long volatility strategies and Calendar Spreads. In a bullish sentiment shift, almost half the strategies reflect a bullish view.
  • The largest volume trade, an Iron Condor, is a rare example of a strategy generating premium income. This insight provides both aggregate data analysis and drill-down into individual trade parameters.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Rakuten, Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd., Seven & I Holdings, Takigami Steel Construction and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Rakuten (4755 JP) – Trying To Goose The Stock Price Before Year-End or Mobile Sub Numbers for 2025?
  • Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN
  • Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities


Rakuten (4755 JP) – Trying To Goose The Stock Price Before Year-End or Mobile Sub Numbers for 2025?

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, Rakuten (4755 JP) announced a new shareholder benefit (株主優待) program today, to reward shareholders as of end-December 2024. The stated goal? To “thank shareholders”… 
  • …And provide more people with the opportunity to try out the benefits of Rakuten Mobile, with 1yr free of a 30GB/mo mobile plan. There are conditions, but it’s juicy.
  • Last year’s 3mo plan was given with one day of notice. This year’s larger full-year govt gets 3+wks. They are juicing the sub numbers for 2025.

Mitsubishi Logisnext (7105 JP): Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) Seeks to Exit

By Arun George

  • Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP) shares rose 26% after the Nikkei reported that Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP) is contemplating selling its 64.5% stake. 
  • Logisnext confirmed the sale process. In a fair process, minorities should receive the tender offer price plus the proportionate share of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries’ TOB tax benefits. 
  • Despite the rise in share price, Logisnext trades at a discount to peer multiples. At an offer of JPY2,000, Logisnext would trade in line with median peer multiples.

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, ESR Group, Sanrio, HKBN

By David Blennerhassett

  • Reportedly, Ito Junro’s MBO for Seven & I (3382 JP) includes a US assets IPO to help pay down MBO debt to Japanese banks.  Possible strategic mistake by Ito-san here.
  • Starwood/Warburg Pincus’ firm Offer for ESR Group (1821 HK) secures support from 30.79% of the register.
  • We may be wrong on Sanrio (8136 JP) by a big factor but the multiple and the concentration risk of momentum factor means you are in an illiquid stock.

Takigami Steel Construction (TYO 5918) – A Portfolio of Public Securities

By Altay Capital

  • Company is marginally profitable and owns a portfolio of securities (mostly public stocks) and rental real estate worth ~3x its market cap (~¥18,000 /share vs ¥6,000 stock price).

  • These figures assign zero value to the operating business and its fixed assets.

  • Activist investor is the #1 shareholder with a 17.4%. #2 shareholder owns 11% and will likely align with activist. Insiders don’t own enough to easily block future activism.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars