Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief ECM: Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case
  • Sino-American Silicon GDR Offering – Relatively Large One to Digest, Although Discount Is Attractive
  • K Bank IPO – Peer Comparison – Lags Its Main Peer on Most Fronts


Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • Tokyo Metro (TKYMETRO JP), a mass transit operator, is seeking to raise up to US$2.3 billion. Pricing is on 15 October, and the listing is on 23 October.   
  • Tokyo Metro is held 53.42% by the Minister of Finance and 46.58% by the Tokyo Metropolitan Government. 
  • The bull case rests on a core high-quality asset, future growth drivers, top-quartile profitability, high FCF generation, and peer-leading dividend payout. 

Sino-American Silicon GDR Offering – Relatively Large One to Digest, Although Discount Is Attractive

By Clarence Chu

  • Sino American Silicon Products (5483 TT) is looking to raise US$287m in its GDRs offering. Proceeds will be used to purchase overseas raw materials, repay bank loans and purchase machinery.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal has had a long drawn out approval process. Thus, the deal is a very well flagged one.
  • The deal is a relatively large one to digest at 15.7 days of the stock’s three month ADV.

K Bank IPO – Peer Comparison – Lags Its Main Peer on Most Fronts

By Sumeet Singh

  • K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
  • In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: The Biggish Sep 2024 “Thursday-Friday Trade” and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • The Biggish Sep 2024 “Thursday-Friday Trade”
  • REA’s Improved Terms For Rightmove
  • Why MBK’s Move into Local Hostile Takeover Scene Matters: Focus on SK Inc and Lotte Corp
  • What Are Locals Saying About Potential Allies to Choi Family in Fight for Korea Zinc?
  • NSL Ltd (NSL SP): YTL’s Unconditional Offer
  • REA/Rightmove: Third Proposal Seems Close to Fair Value


The Biggish Sep 2024 “Thursday-Friday Trade”

By Travis Lundy

  • Every year it’s the same trade. This year it is Thursday and Friday. There is some funkiness to Monday too.
  • There is meaningful directional buying on one day, which then kind of gets stretched a bit. This year, circumstances suggest high confidence buying should be at the top end.
  • This year, because circumstances, I expect the trade is a lot larger than last year. I’d say ¥1.6trln. 

REA’s Improved Terms For Rightmove

By David Blennerhassett

  • Rightmove PLC (RMV LN), UK’s largest real estate portal, has twice rejected REA Group Ltd (REA AU) cash/scrip non-binding Offers this month.
  • REA has upped terms to 341 pence + 0.0422 new REA shares per Rightmove share, or 770p/share, a 39% premium. If completed, Rightmove’s shareholders would own ~20.1% of the MergeCo.
  • Thrice rejected? I think Rightmove should engage. REA also has until the 30th September to make a formal Offer. Or walk away.

Why MBK’s Move into Local Hostile Takeover Scene Matters: Focus on SK Inc and Lotte Corp

By Sanghyun Park

  • The new 100% mandatory tender offer rule could push buyers to lower premiums for major shareholders, potentially increasing hostile takeover attempts as costs get shared with minority shareholders.
  • It looks like MBK is eyeing this situation as a chance to redefine their strategy. This really shows how serious MBK is about the Korea Zinc deal.
  • Watch for top-tier assets available via hostile takeovers, particularly companies like SK Inc and Lotte Corp, where low shareholder stakes may lead to management conflicts.

What Are Locals Saying About Potential Allies to Choi Family in Fight for Korea Zinc?

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss three particular allies that could help the Choi family that have been highlighted by the local media including Hanwha, KIS, and Softbank.
  • The Hanwha Group is one of the largest shareholders of Korea Zinc. In addition, Hanwha Group Vice Chairman Kim Dong-Kwan has a close relationship with Korea Zinc Chairman Choi Yoon-Beom.
  • Korea Zinc is planning to hold an important press conference on the 24 September to reveal its position on the tender offer of Korea Zinc shares by MBK.

NSL Ltd (NSL SP): YTL’s Unconditional Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 23rd July, YTL Cement entered into a S&P agreement with 98 Holdings to acquire a 81.24% stake in building material manufacturing/supplier NSL Ltd (NSL SP) at S$0.75/share. 
  • Pre-Conditions are now satisfied, and YTL Cement has launched a mandatory unconditional cash Offer. The Offer price is also S$0.75/share. 
  • Super straightforward deal. And will trade tight to – or through terms. YTL’s intention is to maintain NSL’s listing. 

REA/Rightmove: Third Proposal Seems Close to Fair Value

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The Board of Rightmove PLC (RMV LN) will consider REA Group Ltd (REA AU)‘s third proposal (implied value of 770p/share, 39% premium, 20.4x EV/NTM EBITDA, 28x Fwd P/E).
  • Using 21.3x NTM EBITDA (comps) would indicate fair value of 805p, 4.5% increase to  current offer, implying 29.3x P/E, although proforma leverage would increase to 3.6x.
  • REA has not stated that the offer is final. Rightmove investors and Board may require further persuasion, as the implied probability of deal success is just 58%.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: The Beat Ideas: Globus Spirits- Maize and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas: Globus Spirits- Maize, Capex, B2C Play
  • BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)
  • Uniqlo’s European Romance
  • Arras Minerals: Looking for Elephant Sized Gold/Copper Deposits in Kazakhstan
  • Nike CEO Shakeup: Challenges Ahead for Elliott Hill as He Takes the Helm of the Sneaker Giant!
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – The Business Model Has “Flaws”
  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)
  • Chart Industries Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – A Solid Competitive Advantage Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • KE (BEKE US): Why Earning Money in Weak Market
  • S&U – Timing is everything


The Beat Ideas: Globus Spirits- Maize, Capex, B2C Play

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • In Q4FY24, Globus Spirits (GBSL IN) changed its raw material from rice to maize to improve the margin and stability in margins.
  • Globus Spirits (GBSL IN) increased its capacity in Q4 recently 120KLPD, 60 each in Jharkhand and West Bengal.
  • Recently, the government also removed the ban on using FCI grain and sugarcane for Ethanol production.

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)

By David Mudd


Uniqlo’s European Romance

By Michael Causton

  • Uniqlo’s European arm is on a roll, with more stores, higher sales and a loyal fan base. 35% of customers were under 29 last year up from 16% in 2019.
  • Uniqlo is also doing better at home but it needs the boost from newer markets given concerns over growth in China.
  • And it is far too early to know whether GU’s formal launch in the US will pay off but so far so good.

Arras Minerals: Looking for Elephant Sized Gold/Copper Deposits in Kazakhstan

By Nicolas Van Broekhoven


Nike CEO Shakeup: Challenges Ahead for Elliott Hill as He Takes the Helm of the Sneaker Giant!

By Baptista Research

  • Nike recently announced a significant leadership change, with CEO John Donahoe stepping down and longtime company veteran Elliott Hill set to take over.
  • This transition comes amid a broader restructuring effort at Nike, aimed at addressing the company’s evolving business challenges.
  • Donahoe, who led the company through several years of strategic shifts, including the prioritization of direct-to-consumer sales, had faced increasing pressure due to flat revenue growth and lower-than-expected guidance for fiscal 2025.

Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – The Business Model Has “Flaws”

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The sharp decline in revenue/profits indicates that Fu Shou Yuan’s business model is not as excellent as previously imagined. The Company’s performance would still be heavily influenced by macro factors.
  • Once Fu Shou Yuan slows down external expansion and explores endogenous growth, it usually doesn’t require too much capital, which means the Company would have greater motivation to distribute dividends.
  • The economic downturn leading to performance headwinds is just short-term logic. In the long run, the logic behind the increasing demand in funeral industry has not changed. Valuation would rebound.

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • August parcel volume growth moderated, but easing price pressure matters more
  • In July & August, Chinese X-border parcel volume growth re-accelerated
  • We believe easing price pressure should lead to express margin expansion

Chart Industries Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – A Solid Competitive Advantage Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Chart Industries, Inc. reported its 2024 second quarter results, showcasing robust financial performance, marked by several all-time highs across various metrics.
  • The company, renowned for its industrial and energy equipment, posted record earnings in sales, operating income, and EBITDA margins, among others, signifying superior operational execution and strategic growth initiatives.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

KE (BEKE US): Why Earning Money in Weak Market

By Ming Lu

  • In 2Q24, KE’s revenue grew by 20% YoY despite the weak property market.
  • We believe property developers and personal landlords need KE more than the prosperous time.
  • We believe the stock has an upside of 148% for the end of 2025. Buy.

S&U – Timing is everything

By Edison Investment Research

Interim results, for the six months to 31 July (H125), will be published on 8 October. Ahead of that, S&U has alerted the market that based on the H1 performance, full year PBT is unlikely to meet the previous market consensus expectations. We believe this to be primarily a timing issue, reflecting the continuing impact of the temporary FCA restrictions on collections activity in the motor finance business. Once regulatory clarity has been established, we expect a significant recovery. Meanwhile, as previously reported, the property lending division continues to perform strongly. We have reduced our FY25 PBT estimate by 7% to £27m and will review our FY26 forecasts with the interim results.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: Global Commodities: All systems go for precious metals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Commodities: All systems go for precious metals
  • Steno Signals #118 – The labour market is NOT growing. The Fed will cut MORE
  • Portfolio Watch: A hawkish 50bp cut marking the bottom?
  • US Rig Count Resumes Decline After Last Week’s Strong Rebound
  • Helixtap China Report: Inclement Weather And Arbitrage Buying Spurs Chinese Prices
  • [IO Technicals Weekly 2024/​38] Iron Ore Falls Below Key Support Level Amid Weak Fundamentals
  • CrossASEAN Ground Zero – Shopee & YouTube, MR DIY Rollingout, GOTO, and AI & Micro Lending
  • Clashing PMI and Policy Spreads
  • Fund Managers Hate Commodities // EU Deforestation Law Disaster
  • The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma  – GoTo & Baba, Adaro Energy, and Bangkok Dusit Medical


Global Commodities: All systems go for precious metals

By At Any Rate

  • Gold prices have been supported by rising interest rates and central bank demand, but investor flow is now becoming the key driver for further sustained rally.
  • Physical demand in China has decreased, but investor demand, particularly in ETFs, has been increasing over the past four months.
  • The upcoming direction of gold prices will depend on the pace of Fed cuts and the shift in investor ownership from money market funds to gold ETFs.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Steno Signals #118 – The labour market is NOT growing. The Fed will cut MORE

By Andreas Steno

  • Happy Sunday from Copenhagen.
  • We made a major U-turn over the summer to align ourselves with the weakening of the labor market in the US.
  • Thankfully, our nowcasting techniques give us a time-edge over the markets in assessing these peaks and troughs in the economic cycle ahead of major trend turns.

Portfolio Watch: A hawkish 50bp cut marking the bottom?

By Andreas Steno

  • Happy Friday from Copenhagen!We haven’t had the best week, but we are thankfully still doing well in trades trending in a cutting cycle, such as the steepener (Z4 vs.H7).
  • The market is still grappling with a lack of true conviction in a slowdown of the US economy, and we share that sentiment.
  • Interestingly, it is normal to see weak hiring ahead of the election in an election year, and if history is any guide, Oct-Dec will prove to be much stronger hiring-wise than the past 1-2 quarters.

US Rig Count Resumes Decline After Last Week’s Strong Rebound

By Suhas Reddy

  • US oil and gas rig count fell by two to 588 for the week ending 20/Sep, the fifth decline in six weeks, after rising by eight last week.
  • The US oil rig count stayed flat at 488 after rising by five last week. Gas rigs fell by one to 96, marking its fourth decrease in five weeks.
  • For the week ending 20/Sep, US energy producers added two rigs in Texas. Conversely, they cut one rig each in Colorado, Louisiana, New Mexico, and Utah.   

Helixtap China Report: Inclement Weather And Arbitrage Buying Spurs Chinese Prices

By Arusha Das

  • Adverse weather impacts Chinese prices   
  • Arbitrage buying spurs prices up  
  • TSR inventory drops in September 

[IO Technicals Weekly 2024/​38] Iron Ore Falls Below Key Support Level Amid Weak Fundamentals

By Pranay Yadav

  • SGX Iron Ore futures closed the week $1.38 lower, with wide trading range of $5.85/ton in a week filled with economic releases including FOMC and PBoC rate decisions.
  • Momentum indicators are neutral; RSI at 37.70 signals potential upside, while the price remains below key moving averages, including the 9, 21, 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs.
  • Prices broke below key volume profile support at $91.27 and may see a short-term rebound to $90/ton due to limited trading volume below this level.

CrossASEAN Ground Zero – Shopee & YouTube, MR DIY Rollingout, GOTO, and AI & Micro Lending

By Angus Mackintosh

  • This week we look at Shopee’s tie-up with YouTube on e-commerce in Indonesia, MR DIY’s next plan to list in Indonesia, and GoTo helping to drive free school meals programme.
  • We also look at the potential pitfalls of AI in the banking industry specifically for micro-lending, where the data may not be reliable, leading to a higher incidence of NPLs. 
  • CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.

Clashing PMI and Policy Spreads

By Phil Rush

  • PMIs crashed in the Euro area and slowed in the UK yet broadly sustained a rapid pace in the US, which remains in rude relative health near its highs.
  • Price balances also increased as forceful monetary easing into resilient demand risks reflating inflationary pressures from a hoped-for soft landing into no landing.
  • US unemployment’s slight trend rise does not demand much easing to resolve. Dovish market pricing increasingly risks policy needing to reverse, like Brazil already has.

Fund Managers Hate Commodities // EU Deforestation Law Disaster

By The Commodity Report

  • According to the latest BofA fund manager survey, investors continue to sell commodities.
  • Allocation-wise we’re now back at levels we were at the beginning of the pandemic back in 2020.
  • Long commodities is now a contrarian trade again.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma  – GoTo & Baba, Adaro Energy, and Bangkok Dusit Medical

By Angus Mackintosh


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Australia: Iron Ore and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • [IO Technicals Weekly 2024/​38] Iron Ore Falls Below Key Support Level Amid Weak Fundamentals


[IO Technicals Weekly 2024/​38] Iron Ore Falls Below Key Support Level Amid Weak Fundamentals

By Pranay Yadav

  • SGX Iron Ore futures closed the week $1.38 lower, with wide trading range of $5.85/ton in a week filled with economic releases including FOMC and PBoC rate decisions.
  • Momentum indicators are neutral; RSI at 37.70 signals potential upside, while the price remains below key moving averages, including the 9, 21, 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs.
  • Prices broke below key volume profile support at $91.27 and may see a short-term rebound to $90/ton due to limited trading volume below this level.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: SK Inc, Korea Zinc, K Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Why MBK’s Move into Local Hostile Takeover Scene Matters: Focus on SK Inc and Lotte Corp
  • What Are Locals Saying About Potential Allies to Choi Family in Fight for Korea Zinc?
  • K Bank IPO – Peer Comparison – Lags Its Main Peer on Most Fronts


Why MBK’s Move into Local Hostile Takeover Scene Matters: Focus on SK Inc and Lotte Corp

By Sanghyun Park

  • The new 100% mandatory tender offer rule could push buyers to lower premiums for major shareholders, potentially increasing hostile takeover attempts as costs get shared with minority shareholders.
  • It looks like MBK is eyeing this situation as a chance to redefine their strategy. This really shows how serious MBK is about the Korea Zinc deal.
  • Watch for top-tier assets available via hostile takeovers, particularly companies like SK Inc and Lotte Corp, where low shareholder stakes may lead to management conflicts.

What Are Locals Saying About Potential Allies to Choi Family in Fight for Korea Zinc?

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss three particular allies that could help the Choi family that have been highlighted by the local media including Hanwha, KIS, and Softbank.
  • The Hanwha Group is one of the largest shareholders of Korea Zinc. In addition, Hanwha Group Vice Chairman Kim Dong-Kwan has a close relationship with Korea Zinc Chairman Choi Yoon-Beom.
  • Korea Zinc is planning to hold an important press conference on the 24 September to reveal its position on the tender offer of Korea Zinc shares by MBK.

K Bank IPO – Peer Comparison – Lags Its Main Peer on Most Fronts

By Sumeet Singh

  • K Bank (279570 KS) plans to raise up to US$740m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
  • In our previous note, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Singapore: NSL Ltd, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, ESR-LOGOS REIT, ST Engineering and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • NSL Ltd (NSL SP): YTL’s Unconditional Offer
  • Helixtap China Report: Inclement Weather And Arbitrage Buying Spurs Chinese Prices
  • REIT Watch – S-Reits gain 1.7% after Fed’s rate cut
  • Institutions net buyers of Singapore stocks


NSL Ltd (NSL SP): YTL’s Unconditional Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 23rd July, YTL Cement entered into a S&P agreement with 98 Holdings to acquire a 81.24% stake in building material manufacturing/supplier NSL Ltd (NSL SP) at S$0.75/share. 
  • Pre-Conditions are now satisfied, and YTL Cement has launched a mandatory unconditional cash Offer. The Offer price is also S$0.75/share. 
  • Super straightforward deal. And will trade tight to – or through terms. YTL’s intention is to maintain NSL’s listing. 

Helixtap China Report: Inclement Weather And Arbitrage Buying Spurs Chinese Prices

By Arusha Das

  • Adverse weather impacts Chinese prices   
  • Arbitrage buying spurs prices up  
  • TSR inventory drops in September 

REIT Watch – S-Reits gain 1.7% after Fed’s rate cut

By Geoff Howie

  • After the recent softening in jobs data and inflation figures, the US Federal Reserve declared its first rate reduction in four years, decreasing the overnight borrowing rate by 50 basis points or half a percentage point, in line with market expectations.
  • The Fed has indicated additional rate cuts, forecasting another 50 basis points this year, a full percentage point in 2025, and half a percentage point in 2026.
  • Similarly, the five S-REITs that recorded largest net retail inflows were Frasers Centrepoint Trust, ESR-LOGOS REIT, Paragon REIT, Mapletree Industrial Trust, and CapitaLand Ascendas REIT.

Institutions net buyers of Singapore stocks

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 13 to 19, with S$367 million of net institutional inflow, bringing total net inflows from the 15 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 19, to S$1.2 billion.
  • Financial Services, Telecommunications, Industrials and REITs have led the net institutional inflow over the 15 sessions spanning Aug 30 to Sep 19.
  • Seatrium also bought back 1.17 million shares, taking the cumulative percentage of issued shares (excluding treasury shares) acquired on the current mandate to 0.37 per cent.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Globus Spirits, Nesco Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas: Globus Spirits- Maize, Capex, B2C Play
  • Nesco: Mixed Q1FY25, However On Track for Robust Growth


The Beat Ideas: Globus Spirits- Maize, Capex, B2C Play

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • In Q4FY24, Globus Spirits (GBSL IN) changed its raw material from rice to maize to improve the margin and stability in margins.
  • Globus Spirits (GBSL IN) increased its capacity in Q4 recently 120KLPD, 60 each in Jharkhand and West Bengal.
  • Recently, the government also removed the ban on using FCI grain and sugarcane for Ethanol production.

Nesco: Mixed Q1FY25, However On Track for Robust Growth

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Nesco reported a mixed Q1FY25. The IT Park business reported strong growth led by improved occupancy. IT Park revenue grew 20%+ YoY and 7.4% QoQ.
  • The BEC business saw decline in its revenue due to seasonality. Q1 tends to be the weakest quarter for BEC. This also impacted the Nesco Foods business to an extent.
  • BEC revenue declined -19% YoY. Nesco Foods revenue declined -14% YoY. Overall, Nesco’s PBT increased 7% YoY, however PAT declined -8% YoY due to deferred tax impact. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: Nike, Crude Oil, Chart Industries, Cocoa Futures, Intel Corp, Schlumberger Ltd, Casella Waste Systems Inc A, Lexaria Bioscience , DLocal, Euronet Worldwide and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Nike CEO Shakeup: Challenges Ahead for Elliott Hill as He Takes the Helm of the Sneaker Giant!
  • US Rig Count Resumes Decline After Last Week’s Strong Rebound
  • Chart Industries Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – A Solid Competitive Advantage Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • Fund Managers Hate Commodities // EU Deforestation Law Disaster
  • Qualcomm’s Game-Changing Play: What Intel’s Acquisition Could Mean for the Future of Tech!
  • [Earnings Preview] Schlumberger Set for Q3 Growth on Global Demand and Seasonal Boost
  • Casella Waste Systems: Initiation Of Coverage – Expansion of Service Offering and Market Penetration! – Major Drivers
  • LEXX: Changing Gears: Christopher Takes Over as CEO
  • DLocal Limited: Initiation Of Coverage – Continuous TPV Growth and Market Expansion As A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers
  • Euronet Worldwide Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – A Tale Of Diversification and Strategic Partnerships! – Major Drivers


Nike CEO Shakeup: Challenges Ahead for Elliott Hill as He Takes the Helm of the Sneaker Giant!

By Baptista Research

  • Nike recently announced a significant leadership change, with CEO John Donahoe stepping down and longtime company veteran Elliott Hill set to take over.
  • This transition comes amid a broader restructuring effort at Nike, aimed at addressing the company’s evolving business challenges.
  • Donahoe, who led the company through several years of strategic shifts, including the prioritization of direct-to-consumer sales, had faced increasing pressure due to flat revenue growth and lower-than-expected guidance for fiscal 2025.

US Rig Count Resumes Decline After Last Week’s Strong Rebound

By Suhas Reddy

  • US oil and gas rig count fell by two to 588 for the week ending 20/Sep, the fifth decline in six weeks, after rising by eight last week.
  • The US oil rig count stayed flat at 488 after rising by five last week. Gas rigs fell by one to 96, marking its fourth decrease in five weeks.
  • For the week ending 20/Sep, US energy producers added two rigs in Texas. Conversely, they cut one rig each in Colorado, Louisiana, New Mexico, and Utah.   

Chart Industries Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – A Solid Competitive Advantage Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Chart Industries, Inc. reported its 2024 second quarter results, showcasing robust financial performance, marked by several all-time highs across various metrics.
  • The company, renowned for its industrial and energy equipment, posted record earnings in sales, operating income, and EBITDA margins, among others, signifying superior operational execution and strategic growth initiatives.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Fund Managers Hate Commodities // EU Deforestation Law Disaster

By The Commodity Report

  • According to the latest BofA fund manager survey, investors continue to sell commodities.
  • Allocation-wise we’re now back at levels we were at the beginning of the pandemic back in 2020.
  • Long commodities is now a contrarian trade again.

Qualcomm’s Game-Changing Play: What Intel’s Acquisition Could Mean for the Future of Tech!

By Baptista Research

  • The semiconductor industry is buzzing with news that Qualcomm, the world leader in smartphone chipsets and wireless technology patents, has approached Intel about a potential acquisition.
  • The Wall Street Journal recently reported on this development, signaling Qualcomm’s ambition to expand beyond its mobile chipset dominance and deepen its reach into the PC and server markets.
  • While the deal remains uncertain and could face significant regulatory hurdles, this move could be transformative for Qualcomm.

[Earnings Preview] Schlumberger Set for Q3 Growth on Global Demand and Seasonal Boost

By Suhas Reddy

  • Schlumberger’s Q3 2024 revenue is projected to increase by 12% YoY and EPS by 15.4%, driven by international growth, digital sales, and cost-efficiency programs.
  • Management expects 2024 EBITDA margin to reach or exceed 25%, driven by stronger H2 performance led by seasonally higher year-end digital and product sales.
  • Schlumberger announced a milestone in sustainable lithium production and secured significant contracts through its carbon capture and OneSubsea joint ventures.

Casella Waste Systems: Initiation Of Coverage – Expansion of Service Offering and Market Penetration! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Casella Waste Systems has demonstrated a trajectory of strategic execution and growth, marked by recent acquisitions and operational optimizations, as evidenced in the second quarter 2024 earnings discussion.
  • The company has expanded its geographical footprint to 10 states, which underscores an aggressive growth strategy through acquisitions that align with Casella’s core operational focus.
  • During the quarter, Casella added to its portfolio with the acquisition of LMR Disposal and Whitetail Disposal, marking significant strides in extending service offerings in the Mid-Atlantic region.

LEXX: Changing Gears: Christopher Takes Over as CEO

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Zacks Small-Cap Research Note for Lexaria Bioscience Corp. (LEXX)

DLocal Limited: Initiation Of Coverage – Continuous TPV Growth and Market Expansion As A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • DLocal’s Q2 2024 earnings report indicates a complex blend of growth, challenges, and strategic adaptation amid volatile market conditions.
  • The company reported a significant achievement with its Total Payment Volume (TPV) reaching $6 billion, depicting a strong year-on-year growth of 38% despite a high comparative in the previous year.
  • This growth attests to DLocal’s ongoing capability to deepen relationships with existing global merchants and to attract new ones, contributing positively toward its long-term expansion prospects.

Euronet Worldwide Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – A Tale Of Diversification and Strategic Partnerships! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Euronet Worldwide delivered a strong performance in the second quarter of 2024, reflected through significant growth across several key financial metrics.
  • Leading the charge was the Electronic Financial Transactions (EFT) segment, which reported robust growth facilitated by improved travel trends across Europe and effective expansion into new markets, particularly evident in its merchant services business.
  • Notably, enhanced cost management strategies and a proactive reorganization of the ATM estate underpinned almost a 300 basis point operating margin expansion in the EFT segment.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief China: Weibo , Fu Shou Yuan, S.F. Holding, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, KE Holdings , Sands China and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – The Business Model Has “Flaws”
  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)
  • Helixtap China Report: Inclement Weather And Arbitrage Buying Spurs Chinese Prices
  • KE (BEKE US): Why Earning Money in Weak Market
  • Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 23)


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 21)

By David Mudd


Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – The Business Model Has “Flaws”

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The sharp decline in revenue/profits indicates that Fu Shou Yuan’s business model is not as excellent as previously imagined. The Company’s performance would still be heavily influenced by macro factors.
  • Once Fu Shou Yuan slows down external expansion and explores endogenous growth, it usually doesn’t require too much capital, which means the Company would have greater motivation to distribute dividends.
  • The economic downturn leading to performance headwinds is just short-term logic. In the long run, the logic behind the increasing demand in funeral industry has not changed. Valuation would rebound.

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • August parcel volume growth moderated, but easing price pressure matters more
  • In July & August, Chinese X-border parcel volume growth re-accelerated
  • We believe easing price pressure should lead to express margin expansion

Helixtap China Report: Inclement Weather And Arbitrage Buying Spurs Chinese Prices

By Arusha Das

  • Adverse weather impacts Chinese prices   
  • Arbitrage buying spurs prices up  
  • TSR inventory drops in September 

KE (BEKE US): Why Earning Money in Weak Market

By Ming Lu

  • In 2Q24, KE’s revenue grew by 20% YoY despite the weak property market.
  • We believe property developers and personal landlords need KE more than the prosperous time.
  • We believe the stock has an upside of 148% for the end of 2025. Buy.

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 23)

By David Mudd

  • Hong Kong tech sector leads the market higher with increased momentum and lower volatility.  Short selling has abated with unwind of HKD carry trade.
  • Sands China (1928 HK) had a breakout from a Falling Wedge pattern. The share price broke above its short-term averages with increasing momentum.
  • China Feihe (6186 HK) broke out from its downtrend with a Reversal from its U-Shaped Bottom.  Techtronic Industries (669 HK) broke out to a new YTD high.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars