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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief ECM: JST Group (6687 HK): Valuation Insights and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • JST Group (6687 HK): Valuation Insights
  • TeraView Holdings IPO Preview – The First U.K. Based Company to Pursue a Listing in Korea
  • Seres Group A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium
  • TOP TOY Intl: Pre-IPO – More than Just Emotional Value
  • Eccogene (诚益生物) Pre-IPO: Decent Innovation and Differentiation
  • Rubicon Research IPO Trading – Strongest IPO Demand of 2025 Yet
  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd Pre-IPO: Unsustainable Growth in Profitability
  • Elevate Campuses Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Pre-IPO Bama Tea (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


JST Group (6687 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • JST Group (6687 HK) is China’s largest e-commerce SaaS ERP provider. It is seeking to raise HK$2,086 million (US$268 million).
  • I previously discussed the IPO in JST Group IPO: The Investment Case
  • In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive in the context of the revenue growth.

TeraView Holdings IPO Preview – The First U.K. Based Company to Pursue a Listing in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • TeraView Holdings is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ by end of this year. TeraView Holdings is the first U.K. based company to pursue a listing in Korea.
  • The IPO price range is from 7,000 won to 8,000 won per share. The book building for the institutional investors will be from 13 to 19 November. 
  • The company provides ultra-precision inspection equipment and technology services (solutions) that detect microscopic cracks and errors that cannot be seen with the naked eye based on a technology called ‘terahertz’. 

Seres Group A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
  • Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
  • In our previous note we had looked at its past performance. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.

TOP TOY Intl: Pre-IPO – More than Just Emotional Value

By Osbert Tang, CFA


Eccogene (诚益生物) Pre-IPO: Decent Innovation and Differentiation

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Eccogene, a China-based clinical-stage biopharma company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. Jefferies, BoA, and CICC are the joint sponsors.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s core products, ECC4703, and key products ECC5004 and ECC0509.
  • We also look at the company’s pre-IPO investors and management team.

Rubicon Research IPO Trading – Strongest IPO Demand of 2025 Yet

By Akshat Shah

  • Rubicon Research Limited (1453591D IN) raised about US$155m in its India IPO.
  • Rubicon Research has shown strong FY25–1Q26 growth, driven by expanding product launches, ANDA approvals, and higher US market penetration, while margins improved with operating leverage and lower R&D intensity.
  • In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd Pre-IPO: Unsustainable Growth in Profitability

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd (1880671D IN) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Tenneco Clean Air India (TCAIL) designs and manufactures clean air, powertrain, and suspension solutions for Indian OEMs, export markets, and the aftermarket, serving PVs, CVs, OHs, and industrial applications.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

Elevate Campuses Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Elevate Campuses Limited (1638929D IN) is looking to raise about US$287m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by JM Fin, MS and IIFL.
  • Elevate Campuses Limited (ECL) owns, operates and manages on-campus student accommodation across Higher Education Institutions and owns K-12 (Kindergarten-to-12th grade) assets, operating under ‘Good Host Spaces’ and ‘ScholarZ’ brands.  
  • As of Aug 31, 2025, ECL was the largest institutionalized and independent education platform in India, based on student capacity, as per the CBRE Report.

Pre-IPO Bama Tea (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The core of Bama’s business model is light-asset operation of “brand + channel”. Bama is highly dependent on franchise model, but we’ve seen a diminishing marginal benefit of channel penetration.
  • Due to sluggish consumption environment, revenue of Bama could decline by 4% in 2025.From 2026 to 2027, as strategic adjustments take effect, Bama may resume growth of 3% to 5%.
  • Considering the decline in performance in 25H1 and the low valuation of traditional tea enterprises in the Hong Kong stock market, Bama’s valuation performance may be under pressure.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Valeura Energy Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Quality partner to revive Turkiye


Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Quality partner to revive Turkiye

By Auctus Advisors

  • TransAtantic Petroleum is acquiring 50% WI in the West Thrace Production and Exploration Licences, currently held 63% by Valeura and 37% by Pinnacle.
  • In exchange, TransAtlantic will fund the re-entry of the Devepinar-1 well—including hydraulic stimulation and testing of the Kesan zones (4.7–4.8 km depth)—for up to US$2 mm.
  • Operations could commence in 4Q25.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung Electronics Pref Shares, HD Hyundai Marine Solution , Korea Ratings and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s Div Tax Story Suddenly Hits a Radical Inflection: Targeting Samsung Elec & Hyundai Motor
  • KOSPI200 and Major Global Index Rebalance in 4Q25 Highlighted by Locals
  • Primer: Korea Ratings (034950 KS) – Oct 2025


Korea’s Div Tax Story Suddenly Hits a Radical Inflection: Targeting Samsung Elec & Hyundai Motor

By Sanghyun Park

  • Kim Yong-beom proposed cutting eligibility to 25%+ payout firms and hinted the Presidential Office may slash the dividend tax ceiling to 25%, potentially the boldest move yet.
  • Short-Term spotlight: large-cap 25–40% payout stocks, led by Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor. Kim Yong-beom hinted the Presidential Office wants them included to drive dividend growth.
  • Big-Cap 25–40% payout stocks, especially Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor, could see heavy flows, with their preferred shares poised to outperform in the near term.

KOSPI200 and Major Global Index Rebalance in 4Q25 Highlighted by Locals

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we highlight stocks that have been highlighted by locals as potential inclusion/exclusion candidates in KOSPI200 and major global index rebalance in 4Q25.
  • The five potential inclusion candidates include Paradise, Asia Holdings, LG CNS, APR, and HD Hyundai Marine Solution. 
  • The five potential exclusion candidates include TCC Steel, KG Mobility, Dentium, Orion Corp, and LG H&H. 

Primer: Korea Ratings (034950 KS) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Market Position: Korea Ratings is one of the top three credit rating agencies in South Korea, an oligopolistic market with extremely high barriers to entry due to stringent licensing requirements and the need for a long-standing reputation.
  • Stable Financials with Strong Resilience: The company exhibits a flawless balance sheet, consistent profitability, and robust cash flow generation, underscored by a Smartkarma Resilience score of 5/5. Its business model is inherently tied to the recurring need for corporate debt issuance, providing a stable revenue base.
  • Strategic International Partnership: As a subsidiary of Fitch Ratings, Ltd., Korea Ratings benefits from global best practices, sophisticated rating methodologies, and an enhanced international network, strengthening its competitive edge in the domestic market.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: StubWorld: Genting (GENT MK)’s U.S. Expansion Is A Gamble and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: Genting (GENT MK)’s U.S. Expansion Is A Gamble
  • Korea’s Div Tax Story Suddenly Hits a Radical Inflection: Targeting Samsung Elec & Hyundai Motor
  • Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): A Favourable Court Ruling
  • Mandom (4917 JP): Murakami Continues to Add
  • Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): Court Rules Cosette Cannot Walk
  • HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Set to Report Q2 Results Ahead of Diwali Break
  • Accor (AC FP) SLB: Trade the Verification Window
  • Intermestic (Zoff) Doubles Stores to 600 with Megane Super Purchase


StubWorld: Genting (GENT MK)’s U.S. Expansion Is A Gamble

By David Blennerhassett

  • Genting (GENT MK)‘s Offer for Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) is further evidence of the gaming group’s move for even greater U.S. exposure. 
  • Preceding my comments on GENT are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Korea’s Div Tax Story Suddenly Hits a Radical Inflection: Targeting Samsung Elec & Hyundai Motor

By Sanghyun Park

  • Kim Yong-beom proposed cutting eligibility to 25%+ payout firms and hinted the Presidential Office may slash the dividend tax ceiling to 25%, potentially the boldest move yet.
  • Short-Term spotlight: large-cap 25–40% payout stocks, led by Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor. Kim Yong-beom hinted the Presidential Office wants them included to drive dividend growth.
  • Big-Cap 25–40% payout stocks, especially Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor, could see heavy flows, with their preferred shares poised to outperform in the near term.

Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): A Favourable Court Ruling

By Arun George

  • The NSW court has dismissed all Cosette claims relating to terminating its scheme implementation deed with Mayne Pharma (MYX AU).  
  • While Cosette can appeal, the chances that the judgment will be overturned are low due to the comprehensive judgment. 
  • The ruling will provide more certainty regarding the interpretation of MACs. The scheme is subject to FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming. At the last close, the spread was 30.7%.

Mandom (4917 JP): Murakami Continues to Add

By Arun George

  • Murakami has amassed an 18.85% ownership ratio in Mandom Corp (4917 JP). The average buy-in price of JPY2,157.78 per share is 10.1% above the JPY1,960 CVC-sponsored MBO.
  • Murakami’s ongoing stake building likely suggests that any potential discussions with CVC and the founding family to reinvest into BidCo have hit an impasse.  
  • CVC/Founding family can buy time by extending the 10 November close and disclosing additional irrevocables. Nevertheless, an offer bump remains more likely than not. 

Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): Court Rules Cosette Cannot Walk

By David Blennerhassett

  • In a watershed decision, the Supreme Court of NSW ruled Cosette cannot terminate its Scheme for Mayne Pharma (MYX AU).
  • The hearings were the first time a material adverse change clause had been considered by an Australian court under such circumstances.
  • The transaction still requires FIRB signing off. Concerns linger over whether Cosette intends to close a South Australian plant. Mayne has previously dispelled these concerns. 

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Set to Report Q2 Results Ahead of Diwali Break

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) is scheduled to report its FY 2026 Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025.
  • Highlight: Consensus sees EPS near INR 11.3 and revenue around INR 437 Bn; options imply a ±2.3% move, above the historical ±1.7% average.
  • Portfolio Impact: As the largest constituent of the Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex, HDFC’s earnings will be closely watched and could set the tone for the broader market.

Accor (AC FP) SLB: Trade the Verification Window

By Evan Campbell, CFA

  • Trade the 2028 SLB. Long value in Accor’s €700MM 2.375% SLB due in 2028. Monetise price moves around verification and vendor updates.
  • High 2025 miss risk. 2024 levels imply steep absolute cuts required in one year. Intensity improved, absolutes did not. Scope 3 looks hardest to meet.
  • Know the catalyst path. Observation occurs at YE 2025, with reporting and assurance arriving in 1Q 2026. Markets usually react when verification and data vendor fields update.

Intermestic (Zoff) Doubles Stores to 600 with Megane Super Purchase

By Michael Causton

  • Intermestic, operator of the eyewear retailer, Zoff, has acquired Megane Super for ¥19 billion. 
  • WIth 620 stores, the combined new eyewear chain is larger than JINS, but the latter still has higher sales, at least for now.
  • Zoff will use Megane Super’s expertise to take more share in the contact lens market but will also use its new scale to expand its own chain.

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Most Read: Ebara Corp, Tekscend Photomask, Genting Bhd, China Nonferrous Mining Corp, Samsung Electronics Pref Shares, SK Inc, Mayne Pharma, Ganfeng Lithium, Seibu Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning
  • Tekscend Photomask IPO Trading – Priced at the Top, but Still Relatively Cheap
  • StubWorld: Genting (GENT MK)’s U.S. Expansion Is A Gamble
  • China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears
  • Korea’s Div Tax Story Suddenly Hits a Radical Inflection: Targeting Samsung Elec & Hyundai Motor
  • Chey Divorce Verdict Tomorrow at 10 AM: SK Inc Poised for Larger-Than-Expected Intraday Moves
  • Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): A Favourable Court Ruling
  • Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK): Global Index Inclusion, Outperformance & The A/H Trade
  • Seibu Holdings (9024 JP): Big Outperformance and Global Index Inclusion
  • Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): Court Rules Cosette Cannot Walk


Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • After the recent rally, Ebara Corp (6361 JP)‘s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.
  • Ebara Corp (6361 JP) has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.
  • There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for Ebara Corp (6361 JP) since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.

Tekscend Photomask IPO Trading – Priced at the Top, but Still Relatively Cheap

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, raised around US$900m in its Japan IPO.
  • TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
  • In our previous note, we looked at its past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

StubWorld: Genting (GENT MK)’s U.S. Expansion Is A Gamble

By David Blennerhassett

  • Genting (GENT MK)‘s Offer for Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) is further evidence of the gaming group’s move for even greater U.S. exposure. 
  • Preceding my comments on GENT are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

By Brian Freitas

  • The rally in China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)‘s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. 
  • China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK) has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.
  • Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday’s sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.

Korea’s Div Tax Story Suddenly Hits a Radical Inflection: Targeting Samsung Elec & Hyundai Motor

By Sanghyun Park

  • Kim Yong-beom proposed cutting eligibility to 25%+ payout firms and hinted the Presidential Office may slash the dividend tax ceiling to 25%, potentially the boldest move yet.
  • Short-Term spotlight: large-cap 25–40% payout stocks, led by Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor. Kim Yong-beom hinted the Presidential Office wants them included to drive dividend growth.
  • Big-Cap 25–40% payout stocks, especially Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor, could see heavy flows, with their preferred shares poised to outperform in the near term.

Chey Divorce Verdict Tomorrow at 10 AM: SK Inc Poised for Larger-Than-Expected Intraday Moves

By Sanghyun Park

  • Supreme Court divorce ruling for Chairman Chey (17.9% owner) hits tomorrow 10 a.m., likely driving intraday swings.
  • Chey’s wealth is mainly SK Inc (17.8%) and SK Siltron (29.6%). With half SK Inc shares tied, only SK Siltron offers liquidity, but it still falls short of his needs.
  • If the Supreme Court surprises, Chey may act on SK Inc shares, fueling a management/control narrative. Payments are due immediately, so SK Inc could see bigger intraday swings than expected.

Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): A Favourable Court Ruling

By Arun George

  • The NSW court has dismissed all Cosette claims relating to terminating its scheme implementation deed with Mayne Pharma (MYX AU).  
  • While Cosette can appeal, the chances that the judgment will be overturned are low due to the comprehensive judgment. 
  • The ruling will provide more certainty regarding the interpretation of MACs. The scheme is subject to FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming. At the last close, the spread was 30.7%.

Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK): Global Index Inclusion, Outperformance & The A/H Trade

By Brian Freitas


Seibu Holdings (9024 JP): Big Outperformance and Global Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas

  • The recent rally has taken Seibu Holdings (9024 JP)‘ stock price to a new high. The increased market cap should result in global index inclusion in November.
  • Seibu Holdings (9024 JP) has outperformed its peers by a wide margin, over the last couple of years and in the short-term.
  • While there has been an increase in positioning in the stock over the last few weeks, it does not different materially from what we see in its peers.

Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): Court Rules Cosette Cannot Walk

By David Blennerhassett

  • In a watershed decision, the Supreme Court of NSW ruled Cosette cannot terminate its Scheme for Mayne Pharma (MYX AU).
  • The hearings were the first time a material adverse change clause had been considered by an Australian court under such circumstances.
  • The transaction still requires FIRB signing off. Concerns linger over whether Cosette intends to close a South Australian plant. Mayne has previously dispelled these concerns. 

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Daily Brief United States: OpenAI, Occidental Petroleum, Dell Technologies , AST SpaceMobile Inc, Caterpillar Inc, Crude Oil, Equity Metals Corp, NewGenIVF Group Ltd, Viper Energy Partners LP, Asset Entities and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • OpenAI and Its House Built on GPUs, Debt, and Leveraged Demand
  • Occidental’s Rush to Reduce Debt Will Erode Long-Term Resilience
  • Dell Is Quietly Building The Backbone Of The AI Revolution — And Wall Street Hasn’t Noticed Yet!
  • AST SpaceMobile Skyrockets After Verizon Deal—Is This the Next Starlink Killer?
  • Caterpillar’s $728 Million Bet On Mining Software Could Redefine The Industry!
  • Oil futures: Crude resumes price slide as IEA trims demand forecast
  • EQMEF: Zacks Company Report
  • NIVF: Initiating Coverage of a Leading IVF Provider in Asia
  • Primer: Viper Energy Partners LP (VNOM US) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Asset Entities (ASST US) – Oct 2025


OpenAI and Its House Built on GPUs, Debt, and Leveraged Demand

By Raghav Vashisht

  • OpenAI’s growth model relies on an intricate loop of vendor financing, aggressive forward contracts, and $80B+ in projected external capital.
  • Long-Dated chip commitments seem less about immediate infra demand and more about bolstering OpenAI’s fundraising optics by showcasing secured access to future capacity.
  • If credit tightens or execution slips, the weakest links—OEMs and private equity firms backing infra-hungry AI startups—may snap first, with cascading effects on Nvidia, AMD, and TSMC to follow.

Occidental’s Rush to Reduce Debt Will Erode Long-Term Resilience

By Suhas Reddy

  • Occidental’s USD 9.7 billion OxyChem divestment fast-tracks debt reduction but removes a steady earnings buffer, leaving the company more exposed to volatile oil market cycles.
  • The sale strengthens Occidental’s balance sheet and strategic focus on upstream operations but sacrifices diversification, as the chemicals unit provided resilient cash flows during oil downturns.
  • Executing the divestment amid a chemical sector downcycle appears poorly timed. Occidental will sell a profitable asset at a discount while crude prices remain subdued.

Dell Is Quietly Building The Backbone Of The AI Revolution — And Wall Street Hasn’t Noticed Yet!

By Baptista Research

  • Dell Technologies is undergoing a strategic transformation that could redefine its growth trajectory, as it aggressively scales its AI-optimized infrastructure portfolio.
  • At the forefront of this shift is Dell’s Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), which saw a 44% year-over-year revenue surge in Q2 FY2026, driven primarily by soaring demand for AI servers.
  • The company now projects over $20 billion in AI server sales in FY2026, up from just $10 billion in FY2025, with expectations of crossing the $25 billion threshold by FY2027.

AST SpaceMobile Skyrockets After Verizon Deal—Is This the Next Starlink Killer?

By Baptista Research

  • AST SpaceMobile surged 16% to $86.42 in early trading after revealing a groundbreaking agreement with telecom giant Verizon to bring space-based cellular broadband service to U.S. customers by 2026.
  • This announcement marks a significant validation for ASTS’s direct-to-smartphone satellite network, which aims to eliminate coverage gaps by connecting everyday devices to satellites without requiring any specialized equipment.
  • The move positions AST SpaceMobile as a formidable challenger to Elon Musk’s Starlink in the rapidly evolving satellite telecom landscape.

Caterpillar’s $728 Million Bet On Mining Software Could Redefine The Industry!

By Baptista Research

  • In a move that signals a sharp strategic pivot, Caterpillar has announced its intent to acquire RPMGlobal, Australia’s last publicly traded mining software company, for approximately A$1.12 billion ($728 million).
  • This acquisition comes at a time when Caterpillar is riding high on strong operational performance and is transitioning toward a more service-centric, digitally driven revenue model.
  • The offer of A$5 per share by Caterpillar, revealed in early September, has pushed RPMGlobal shares near their all-time highs, currently trading at A$4.75.

Oil futures: Crude resumes price slide as IEA trims demand forecast

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures were under pressure again Tuesday despite an easing of tensions between the US and China, with benchmarks unable to hold early-week gains.
  • Front-month Dec25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $62.53/b (2005 BST) versus Monday’s settle of $63.32/b, while Nov25 NYMEX WTI was at $58.84/b against a previous close of $59.49/b.
  • Prices were again testing multi-month lows, as short-term volatility persisted amid tariffs, sanctions and OPEC+ policy.

EQMEF: Zacks Company Report

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Equity Metals Corporation offers a compelling investment profile as a junior explorer with a high-grade flagship asset, strong financial discipline, and multiple near-term catalysts.
  • The company is advancing its Silver Queen silver-gold project in British Columbia while expanding its portfolio through strategic acquisitions like the Arlington gold-copper-silver property.
  • With a proven track record of resource growth, efficient capital deployment, and diversified commodity exposure, Equity Metals is well-positioned to deliver shareholder value in a rising metals market.

NIVF: Initiating Coverage of a Leading IVF Provider in Asia

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • NewGenIVF (NIVF) provides Assisted Reproductive Services (ARS) to couples and individuals across Asia.
  • Core businesses include In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) treatments and surrogacy services.
  • More recently, the company acquired proprietary technology and related assets to facilitate family balancing/gender selection.

Primer: Viper Energy Partners LP (VNOM US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Viper Energy Partners LP is a leading mineral and royalty company with a strategic focus on the oil-rich Permian Basin, positioning it for continued growth through targeted acquisitions and organic development from its operators.
  • The company operates under a capital-light business model, acquiring and managing mineral interests in oil and natural gas properties. This approach eliminates direct exposure to drilling and operating costs and risks, allowing for scalable growth and financial flexibility.
  • Recent strategic acquisitions, notably the merger with Sitio Royalties, are expected to significantly enhance cash distributions, increase production, and solidify Viper’s position as a leading unconventional royalty company.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Asset Entities (ASST US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Asset Entities is undergoing a complete transformation through a merger with Strive Enterprises, pivoting from a niche social media management company into ‘Strive, Inc.’, a public Bitcoin Treasury Company.
  • The transformation is backed by a substantial Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) expected to raise over $750 million, with potential for an additional $750 million, fundamentally altering the company’s balance sheet and strategic direction.
  • While the legacy business demonstrated rapid revenue growth from a low base, it was characterized by significant net losses and cash burn, making the future success of the company entirely dependent on the execution of its new, high-risk, high-reward Bitcoin-centric strategy.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: OpenAI and Its House Built on GPUs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • OpenAI and Its House Built on GPUs, Debt, and Leveraged Demand
  • Plover Bay Technologies Ltd (1532) – Monday, Jul 14, 2025
  • PB Fintech Ltd- When Zero GST Turns Costly
  • Smartphone 3Q25: A Little Bit Better, Just a Little
  • $85 Oil Calls (CLM27) – Friday, Jul 11, 2025
  • Occidental’s Rush to Reduce Debt Will Erode Long-Term Resilience
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Set Up Opportunity During Taiwan Sesssion Ahead of Results Today
  • Dell Is Quietly Building The Backbone Of The AI Revolution — And Wall Street Hasn’t Noticed Yet!
  • Money Forward (3994 JP) | Q3 FY11/25 Results – Better Profitability; Core KPIs In-Line
  • Marks & Spencer’s Bold Digital Comeback: The E-Commerce Gamble That Could Redefine Its Future!


OpenAI and Its House Built on GPUs, Debt, and Leveraged Demand

By Raghav Vashisht

  • OpenAI’s growth model relies on an intricate loop of vendor financing, aggressive forward contracts, and $80B+ in projected external capital.
  • Long-Dated chip commitments seem less about immediate infra demand and more about bolstering OpenAI’s fundraising optics by showcasing secured access to future capacity.
  • If credit tightens or execution slips, the weakest links—OEMs and private equity firms backing infra-hungry AI startups—may snap first, with cascading effects on Nvidia, AMD, and TSMC to follow.

Plover Bay Technologies Ltd (1532) – Monday, Jul 14, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Plover Bay Technologies specializes in reliable internet connectivity for critical applications in challenging environments.
  • The company has partnered with Starlink as their first Authorized Technology Partner to enhance multi-WAN bandwidth bonding and fail-over capabilities.
  • CEO Alex Chan emphasized the mission to improve connectivity at Peplink’s global developer summit in Amsterdam.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


PB Fintech Ltd- When Zero GST Turns Costly

By Nitin Mangal

  • GST removal on life and health insurance eliminates insurers’ input tax credit, forcing them to cut agent-commissions, severely hurting Policybazaar (POLICYBZ IN) , whose 68% revenue depends on these segments.
  • PB Fintech could have faced revenue losses upto 4.4% and 65.7% Adj. EBITDA hit if it fully absorbs GST; even 50% absorption cuts Adj.EBITDA by ~35%, based on FY25 numbers.
  • Moreover, trail revenues, mainly from health insurance, could shrink sharply, threatening PB Fintech’s high-margin revenue stream and delaying its INR 10 bn profit target beyond FY27.

Smartphone 3Q25: A Little Bit Better, Just a Little

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Smartphone units increase ~3% YoY, that’s slightly better than 1H26 at ~1.5%, but still low growth.   
  • Premium replacement demand is solid (Samsung, iPhone 17).  Improvements in Emerging Markets (Xiaomi, Transsion, vivo).   
  • Mediatek reports on 31 Oct, Qualcomm on 5 Nov.  Their Smartphone business isn’t a driver given tepid growth. New ventures revenue timeline is the question.

$85 Oil Calls (CLM27) – Friday, Jul 11, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Oil prices are at a 50-year low, raising investment concerns in a volatile market.
  • The oil and gas sector faces challenges, making traditional investments risky.
  • Investors can consider cautious engagement through call options, with the current gold/oil ratio indicating oil is exceptionally cheap.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Occidental’s Rush to Reduce Debt Will Erode Long-Term Resilience

By Suhas Reddy

  • Occidental’s USD 9.7 billion OxyChem divestment fast-tracks debt reduction but removes a steady earnings buffer, leaving the company more exposed to volatile oil market cycles.
  • The sale strengthens Occidental’s balance sheet and strategic focus on upstream operations but sacrifices diversification, as the chemicals unit provided resilient cash flows during oil downturns.
  • Executing the divestment amid a chemical sector downcycle appears poorly timed. Occidental will sell a profitable asset at a discount while crude prices remain subdued.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Set Up Opportunity During Taiwan Sesssion Ahead of Results Today

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +27.3% Premium; Opportunity to Set Up ADR Spread Short During Taiwan Session
  • UMC: +2.0% Premium; Wait for Slightly Higher Premium Before Opening Spread Short
  • ASE: +2.6% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Swing Before Going Long or Short

Dell Is Quietly Building The Backbone Of The AI Revolution — And Wall Street Hasn’t Noticed Yet!

By Baptista Research

  • Dell Technologies is undergoing a strategic transformation that could redefine its growth trajectory, as it aggressively scales its AI-optimized infrastructure portfolio.
  • At the forefront of this shift is Dell’s Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), which saw a 44% year-over-year revenue surge in Q2 FY2026, driven primarily by soaring demand for AI servers.
  • The company now projects over $20 billion in AI server sales in FY2026, up from just $10 billion in FY2025, with expectations of crossing the $25 billion threshold by FY2027.

Money Forward (3994 JP) | Q3 FY11/25 Results – Better Profitability; Core KPIs In-Line

By Mark Chadwick

  • Q3 Summary: Solid EBITDA beat with margin expansion to 12%, though top-line missed street estimates; core business KPIs broadly in line, with slightly soft ARPA growth.
  • Thesis: Strong positioning in Japan’s underpenetrated SaaS back-office market, with regulatory tailwinds, operational leverage, and FY11/28 targets of ¥65B sales and ¥20B EBITDA. 
  • Valuation: Stock trades near our ¥5,700 fair value (~6x EV/revenue); short-term upside limited, but long-term fundamentals remain attractive.

Marks & Spencer’s Bold Digital Comeback: The E-Commerce Gamble That Could Redefine Its Future!

By Baptista Research

  • Marks and Spencer has reported strong financial performance for the past year, with sales growing by 6.1% to £13.9 billion and a significant 22% increase in profit before tax and adjusting items, reaching £875.5 million.
  • The company also improved its free cash flow, ending the year with net funds of over £400 million, which is a demonstration of robust financial health.
  • These improvements position Marks and Spencer in its strongest financial state in nearly three decades.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Capitaland India Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • kopi-C with CapitaLand India Trust – Singapore’s Gateway To Investing in India


kopi-C with CapitaLand India Trust – Singapore’s Gateway To Investing in India

By Geoff Howie

  • CapitaLand India Trust, listed on SGX since 2007, has a portfolio valued at S$3.7 billion as of June 2025.
  • For FY 2024, net property income rose 14% to S$205.6 million, with distributions to unitholders increasing 7% to S$101.5 million.
  • The trust offers stable income distributions and growth by managing properties, developing land, and acquiring new assets.

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Daily Brief India: Policybazaar, HDFC Bank, NIFTY Index, Thyrocare Technologies, Rubicon Research Limited, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd, Elevate Campuses Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • PB Fintech Ltd- When Zero GST Turns Costly
  • HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Set to Report Q2 Results Ahead of Diwali Break
  • NIFTY 50 Tactical Outlook: Indecision May Lead to Pullback
  • From Turnaround to Triumph: Thyrocare’s Strategic Leap into the GLP-1 Megatrend
  • Rubicon Research IPO Trading – Strongest IPO Demand of 2025 Yet
  • IndiGo Q2FY26 Preview: High Fuel Prices, Currency Pressure, and Weak Seasonal Demand
  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd Pre-IPO: Unsustainable Growth in Profitability
  • Elevate Campuses Pre-IPO Tearsheet


PB Fintech Ltd- When Zero GST Turns Costly

By Nitin Mangal

  • GST removal on life and health insurance eliminates insurers’ input tax credit, forcing them to cut agent-commissions, severely hurting Policybazaar (POLICYBZ IN) , whose 68% revenue depends on these segments.
  • PB Fintech could have faced revenue losses upto 4.4% and 65.7% Adj. EBITDA hit if it fully absorbs GST; even 50% absorption cuts Adj.EBITDA by ~35%, based on FY25 numbers.
  • Moreover, trail revenues, mainly from health insurance, could shrink sharply, threatening PB Fintech’s high-margin revenue stream and delaying its INR 10 bn profit target beyond FY27.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Set to Report Q2 Results Ahead of Diwali Break

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) is scheduled to report its FY 2026 Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025.
  • Highlight: Consensus sees EPS near INR 11.3 and revenue around INR 437 Bn; options imply a ±2.3% move, above the historical ±1.7% average.
  • Portfolio Impact: As the largest constituent of the Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex, HDFC’s earnings will be closely watched and could set the tone for the broader market.

NIFTY 50 Tactical Outlook: Indecision May Lead to Pullback

By Nico Rosti

  • The NIFTY Index has been stuck in the 25k price zone since May 2025. The index is going nowhere.
  • Our quantitative model indicates a 62.5% probability of reversal next week, if the index closes around 25300 (if the close is positive).
  • If the index closes this week down, a pullback may be under way, entry zones details are discussed in detail in the insight.

From Turnaround to Triumph: Thyrocare’s Strategic Leap into the GLP-1 Megatrend

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Company marks explosive profitability in Q2 FY26 as revenue surged 22%, translating to an 82% EPS growth and strong 34.8% EBITDA margins.
  • Volume grew 21% supported by a 20% franchise jump. Radiology margin improved by 800bp, signaling a turnaround.
  • Company maximizes shareholder reward by declaring a massive 2:1 Bonus Share issuance and a generous Rs. 7 Interim Dividend, underscoring confidence.

Rubicon Research IPO Trading – Strongest IPO Demand of 2025 Yet

By Akshat Shah

  • Rubicon Research Limited (1453591D IN) raised about US$155m in its India IPO.
  • Rubicon Research has shown strong FY25–1Q26 growth, driven by expanding product launches, ANDA approvals, and higher US market penetration, while margins improved with operating leverage and lower R&D intensity.
  • In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

IndiGo Q2FY26 Preview: High Fuel Prices, Currency Pressure, and Weak Seasonal Demand

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • IndiGo’s Q2FY26 performance is expected to disappoint, with higher fuel prices, weak demand, and rupee depreciation sharply eroding margins and reversing the profitability momentum of recent quarters.
  • Cost pressures are intensifying while yields weaken amid overcapacity and strong competition. The company’s cost advantage is narrowing, raising concerns about margin sustainability and near-term earnings visibility.
  • With rising costs, currency headwinds, and pricing pressure, IndiGo’s profitability outlook appears challenging. Short-term recovery looks uncertain despite its strong balance sheet and scale advantages.

Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd Pre-IPO: Unsustainable Growth in Profitability

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd (1880671D IN) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Tenneco Clean Air India (TCAIL) designs and manufactures clean air, powertrain, and suspension solutions for Indian OEMs, export markets, and the aftermarket, serving PVs, CVs, OHs, and industrial applications.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

Elevate Campuses Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Elevate Campuses Limited (1638929D IN) is looking to raise about US$287m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by JM Fin, MS and IIFL.
  • Elevate Campuses Limited (ECL) owns, operates and manages on-campus student accommodation across Higher Education Institutions and owns K-12 (Kindergarten-to-12th grade) assets, operating under ‘Good Host Spaces’ and ‘ScholarZ’ brands.  
  • As of Aug 31, 2025, ECL was the largest institutionalized and independent education platform in India, based on student capacity, as per the CBRE Report.

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Daily Brief China: Ganfeng Lithium, JST Group, Plover Bay Technologies, Seres Group , TOP TOY International Group, Eccogene, Yunji Inc., Seazen (Formerly Future Land), Shanghai Sunmi Technology Co., Ltd., Bama Tea and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK): Global Index Inclusion, Outperformance & The A/H Trade
  • JST Group (6687 HK): Valuation Insights
  • Plover Bay Technologies Ltd (1532) – Monday, Jul 14, 2025
  • Seres Group A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium
  • TOP TOY Intl: Pre-IPO – More than Just Emotional Value
  • Eccogene (诚益生物) Pre-IPO: Decent Innovation and Differentiation
  • Primer: Yunji Inc. (YJ US) – Oct 2025
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Primer: Shanghai Sunmi Technology Co., Ltd. (1536269D CH) – Oct 2025
  • Pre-IPO Bama Tea (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK): Global Index Inclusion, Outperformance & The A/H Trade

By Brian Freitas


JST Group (6687 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • JST Group (6687 HK) is China’s largest e-commerce SaaS ERP provider. It is seeking to raise HK$2,086 million (US$268 million).
  • I previously discussed the IPO in JST Group IPO: The Investment Case
  • In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is attractive in the context of the revenue growth.

Plover Bay Technologies Ltd (1532) – Monday, Jul 14, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Plover Bay Technologies specializes in reliable internet connectivity for critical applications in challenging environments.
  • The company has partnered with Starlink as their first Authorized Technology Partner to enhance multi-WAN bandwidth bonding and fail-over capabilities.
  • CEO Alex Chan emphasized the mission to improve connectivity at Peplink’s global developer summit in Amsterdam.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Seres Group A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.
  • Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
  • In our previous note we had looked at its past performance. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.

TOP TOY Intl: Pre-IPO – More than Just Emotional Value

By Osbert Tang, CFA


Eccogene (诚益生物) Pre-IPO: Decent Innovation and Differentiation

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Eccogene, a China-based clinical-stage biopharma company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. Jefferies, BoA, and CICC are the joint sponsors.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s core products, ECC4703, and key products ECC5004 and ECC0509.
  • We also look at the company’s pre-IPO investors and management team.

Primer: Yunji Inc. (YJ US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Yunji Inc. is a pioneer in China’s membership-based social e-commerce sector, leveraging social interactions to drive sales through a network of members who act as promoters.
  • The company is facing significant headwinds, including declining revenues and widening net losses, amidst intense competition in the Chinese e-commerce landscape.
  • Yunji’s strategic focus is on cost optimization, improving gross margins, and launching new product lines in an effort to achieve profitability and stabilize its financial performance.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Seazen Group, Vedanta Resources
  • The UST curve twisted slightly steeper yesterday, following dovish comments from a few Fed officials that kept rate-cut expectations intact. The yield on the 2Y UST fell 2 bps to 3.48%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.03%.
  • Equities retreated, owing to fresh US-China trade tensions. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% to 6,644, while the Nasdaq declined 0.8% to 22,522.

Primer: Shanghai Sunmi Technology Co., Ltd. (1536269D CH) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Market Leader in a Growing Niche: Shanghai Sunmi Technology is a global leader in the Android-based Business Internet of Things (BIoT) device sector, with a reported market share of over 10%. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the global transition from traditional point-of-sale (POS) systems to integrated, smart-device ecosystems.
  • Robust Partner Ecosystem as a Key Differentiator: Sunmi’s competitive advantage is anchored by its extensive open-platform ecosystem, which includes the SUNMI OS (based on Android), a dedicated business app store with over 13,000 applications, and a network of more than 58,000 ecosystem partners. This fosters innovation and provides end-users with a wide array of tailored software solutions.
  • Strategic Backing and Impending IPO: The company is backed by prominent strategic investors, including Ant Group, Xiaomi Technology, and Meituan. Sunmi is currently in the IPO registration phase for a Hong Kong listing, which is expected to provide significant capital for future growth, product development, and market expansion.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Pre-IPO Bama Tea (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The core of Bama’s business model is light-asset operation of “brand + channel”. Bama is highly dependent on franchise model, but we’ve seen a diminishing marginal benefit of channel penetration.
  • Due to sluggish consumption environment, revenue of Bama could decline by 4% in 2025.From 2026 to 2027, as strategic adjustments take effect, Bama may resume growth of 3% to 5%.
  • Considering the decline in performance in 25H1 and the low valuation of traditional tea enterprises in the Hong Kong stock market, Bama’s valuation performance may be under pressure.

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