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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Australia: Opthea Ltd, Alkane Resources and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Opthea (OPT AU): Kicks Off A$80M Capital Raise To Support Phase 3 Trial of Lead Drug Candidate
  • Alkane Resources – The Bodas continue to grow


Opthea (OPT AU): Kicks Off A$80M Capital Raise To Support Phase 3 Trial of Lead Drug Candidate

By Tina Banerjee

  • Opthea Ltd (OPT AU) is seeking to raise A$80M ($51M) through a combination of private placement and accelerated non-renounceable entitlement offer. The proceeds will fund the clinical development of OPT-302.
  • The proceeds of the offer, pending funds from the earlier agreements, along with existing cash balance, are expected to fund the company’s operation through Q3 2024.
  • OPT-302 is in two phase 3 trials, which are expected to be fully enrolled by 1H24. In phase 2 trial, OPT-302 has demonstrated superior visual acuity over standard of care.

Alkane Resources – The Bodas continue to grow

By Edison Investment Research

Alkane Resource’s FY23 financial results were broadly in line with our forecasts, with profit after tax totalling A$42.5m (compared to our forecast of A$44.0m) and EPS of 7.10c (cf 7.38c). Cash flows from operations exceeded our forecasts (A$95.5m cf A$75.6m) as a result of an increase in deferred tax liabilities, albeit this was balanced by higher exploration capex of A$58.1m to result in a net cash flow of A$4.1m (cf A$2.4m). Following FY23 production of 70,253oz at an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of A$1,602/oz, FY24 guidance for Tomingley is 60,000–65,000oz at an AISC of A$1,750–2,100/oz. Our forecasts remain largely unchanged in the aftermath of Alkane’s FY23 results. We maintain our valuation.


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Daily Brief South Korea: Soulbrain, Revu Corporation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Overlooked by the Market: A Compelling Long Short Opportunity in Newly-Listed ETF Rebal in Korea
  • Revu Corporation IPO Preview


Overlooked by the Market: A Compelling Long Short Opportunity in Newly-Listed ETF Rebal in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • In the inaugural constituent selection, FnGuide revealed a noteworthy pattern. Given the smaller market capitalization of the electrolyte suppliers, FnGuide has included only the largest among them in this ETF.
  • SoulBrain, categorized by FnGuide as an electrolyte supplier like Chunbo, has significantly outperformed Chunbo. As a result, there is a considerable likelihood that SoulBrain will replace Chunbo in December.
  • The price impact from ETF rebalancing trading has disappeared substantially in Korea. We should focus on the first rebalancing of newly listed ETFs that haven’t yet established a learning effect.

Revu Corporation IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Revu Corporation is the number one influencer platform company in Korea with the largest number of influencer members in the industry.
  • The IPO price range is from 11,500 won to 13,200 won. The maximum total offering amount is 29.5 billion won. 
  • The bankers used three companies including DearU, Silicon2, and Connectwave as comparable companies for Revu Corp. The average P/E of the comps is 32.6x.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Indika Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Wrap – 25 Aug 2023


Weekly Wrap – 25 Aug 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Softbank Group
  2. China Hongqiao
  3. China Jinmao Holdings
  4. Geely Auto
  5. First Pacific Co

and more…


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Daily Brief Singapore: Grab Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform
  • Grab: Profitability Seems Not So Easy to Sustain


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it reduced incentives yet increased its market share. 
  • Grab saw GMV growth in both deliveries more notably in mobility, with revenues growing at a faster pace and adjusted EBITDA surprising on the upside, bringing forward breakeven to 3Q2023. 
  • Prospects for 2H2023 look even better with Grab’s affordability initiatives gaining traction and improving retention and profitability.

Grab: Profitability Seems Not So Easy to Sustain

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Grab’s share price moved up by about 10% following its 2Q2023 earnings announcement as the market got excited over the company’s prospect of reaching profits in the next few quarters.
  • Mobility GMV is nearing pre-Covid levels, however, there has been a sharp increase in incentive spending during 2Q2023 suggesting incentives is a key driver of GMV growth.
  • Our analysis on deliveries biz suggests that segment’s margins have very little room for improvement and further reducing incentives could stall growth going forward.  

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Daily Brief China: Meituan, Pop Mart International Group L, AAC Technologies Holdings, Indika Energy and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Meituan: Strong Earnings but Tough Times Ahead
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK):  Short-Term Trading Opportunity On International Expansion
  • AAC Technologies – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Weekly Wrap – 25 Aug 2023


Meituan: Strong Earnings but Tough Times Ahead

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Meituan (3690 HK) reported 2Q2023 results yesterday which beat consensus estimates and the company’s profitability has further strengthened during the quarter.
  • However, there has been clear signs of a slowdown in the company’s core local commerce biz with increased promotions/incentive, decline in revenue per on-demand delivery transaction and fall in OPM.
  • Meituan has flagged that macroeconomic headwinds and adverse weather conditions could slowdown core local commerce biz in the current quarter which should drag down earnings.

Pop Mart (9992 HK):  Short-Term Trading Opportunity On International Expansion

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) presents an interesting story of a Chinese domestic brand going overseas, and potentially being successful overseas (at least in the short-term). 
  • A recent case of a Chinese brand achieving success overseas is Miniso (MNSO US), and shareholders of Miniso have been richly rewarded. 
  • Pop Mart trades at a PE of 24x based on estimated 2024 earnings, with around 30% expected net profit growth in 2024E.   

AAC Technologies – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

AAC Technologies’ results were weak as expected, with the top line and gross margin both lower. Overall revenue fell 2% y-o-y to CNY 9.22 bn for H1/23. Gross profit declined 27.2% to CNY 1.3 bn, with the gross margin down 4.8 ppts to 14.1%. This was largely due to market competition for the optics and acoustics business, as well as changes in the product mix. Despite the muted sales performance, the company deleveraged further and achieved strong FCF, driven by increased CFO and reduced capex. Liquidity appears to be sound, with 4.4x LTM Cash/ST Debt. Management guided for the optical lens gross margin to be positive in Q4.


Weekly Wrap – 25 Aug 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Softbank Group
  2. China Hongqiao
  3. China Jinmao Holdings
  4. Geely Auto
  5. First Pacific Co

and more…


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  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
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  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Happy Forgings Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Happy Forgings Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Happy Forgings Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Happy Forgings Limited (6596652Z IN) is looking to raise around US$160m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Happy Forgings Limited (HF) is a manufacturer of complex and safety critical, heavy forged and high precision machines components in India.
  • As per the Ricardo Report, the firm is the fourth largest firm domestically in terms of FY23 forging capacity. 

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Daily Brief United States: Electronic Arts, Global Payments, SolarEdge Technologies , Devon Energy, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, Thorne HealthTech Inc, Immix Biopharma Inc, Metlife Inc, Rockwell Automation and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Electronic Arts Inc.: he Big Push in Mobile Gaming and Major Drivers! – Financial Forecasts
  • Global Payments Inc.: 3 Reasons Behind Consistent Growth in Merchant Solutions! – Financial Forecasts
  • SolarEdge Technologies Inc.: Solar-Attached EV Management Solution & Major Developments
  • Devon Energy Corporation: Surging Oil Volumes
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: What Are The Biggest Catalysts For Its Future Growth? – Financial Forecasts
  • Thorne HealthTech Up For Sale: An M&A Arbitrage Opportunity? – Major Drivers
  • Immix Biopharma – NXC-201 gains Orphan Drug designation in MM
  • MetLife Inc.: An Inside Look at Underwriting Mastery and Effective Expense Control! – Major Drivers
  • Rockwell Automation Inc.: Decoding High Teens Growth in Semiconductor Sales and Beyond! – Major Drivers


Electronic Arts Inc.: he Big Push in Mobile Gaming and Major Drivers! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Electronic Arts delivered a mixed set of results in the last quarter, with revenues below the analyst consensus.
  • The company achieved net bookings of $1.6 billion, up 21% yearly, due to continued growth across the EA SPORTS FIFA ecosystem and the release of Star Wars Jedi: Survivor.
  • Electronic Arts executed across its business during the quarter, introducing 5 new high-quality titles and offering over 145 content upgrades across 37 titles.

Global Payments Inc.: 3 Reasons Behind Consistent Growth in Merchant Solutions! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Despite the uncertain financial situation around the world, Global Payments managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.
  • The company once again produced excellent organic growth in the Merchant Solutions business, driven by the continuous success of their companies that use technology.
  • This quarter, they again achieved significant revenues, outpacing the impressive results of the previous quarter.

SolarEdge Technologies Inc.: Solar-Attached EV Management Solution & Major Developments

By Baptista Research

  • SolarEdge Technologies delivered mixed results in the quarter, with revenues failing to meet analysts’ expectations but above-par earnings.
  • SolarEdge’s solar business generated $947 million in revenue, while its non-solar businesses generated $44 million.
  • Their solar business revenue increased due to significant revenues in Europe.

Devon Energy Corporation: Surging Oil Volumes

By Baptista Research

  • Devon Energy Corporation delivered a mixed result in the quarter, with revenues above expectations, but the company failed to surpass the analyst consensus regarding earnings.
  • In terms of production, the company managed to increase oil volumes by 8% year over year this past quarter.
  • By averaging 323,000 barrels per day in the quarter, this outcome beat midpoint forecast estimates and created a new all-time high oil production high for the corporation.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: What Are The Biggest Catalysts For Its Future Growth? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical delivered an all-around beat in the most recent quarterly result.
  • In the quarter, revenues showed 13% year-over-year growth and 16% growth, excluding KUVAN.
  • BioMarin is on track to meet its 2023 goals of double-digit revenue growth and considerable operating leverage with Q2 total revenues of $595 million, including $113 million in Voxzogo revenues.

Thorne HealthTech Up For Sale: An M&A Arbitrage Opportunity? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is a special, one-time report on Thorne HealthTech which presents itself as a captivating short-term investment prospect, particularly in light of the recent reports of its speculated sale.
  • Despite Thorne’s stock price exhibiting volatility and relatively stagnant appreciation over the past year, its potential sale could act as a catalyst for change.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Immix Biopharma – NXC-201 gains Orphan Drug designation in MM

By Edison Investment Research

Immix has announced that the FDA has granted orphan drug designation (ODD) to CAR-T asset NXC-201 for multiple myeloma (MM). The benefits of ODD include seven years of US market exclusivity post approval, tax credits for qualified clinical trials and exemption from the Prescription Drug User Fee. ODD is issued to drugs/biologics intended for the safe and effective treatment, diagnosis or prevention of rare diseases/conditions that affect fewer than 200k people in the US. With NXC-201, Immix aims to differentiate against currently approved CAR-T therapies that are often associated with neurotoxicity and high-grade cytokine release syndrome (CRS). NXC-201 data appears to provide a competitive safety profile with no serious adverse events reported to date, positioning it as potentially the first outpatient CAR-T therapy. We believe the ODD marks a key milestone and believe that the next readout (expected in September 2023) from the ongoing NEXICART-1 trial could be an important catalyst for the company.


MetLife Inc.: An Inside Look at Underwriting Mastery and Effective Expense Control! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MetLife delivered mixed results for the previous quarter, with revenues above analyst expectations but below-par earnings.
  • MetLife reported adjusted earnings of $1.5 billion or $1.94 per share, showcasing underlying momentum in its core businesses.
  • MetLife’s prudent investment portfolio management and risk management were evident in the well-controlled underwriting results and effective expense management.

Rockwell Automation Inc.: Decoding High Teens Growth in Semiconductor Sales and Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Rockwell Automation’s results were a major disappointment as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.
  • This quarter, the company saw a double-digit increase in both sales and earnings as component shortages eased.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

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Daily Brief Japan: Indika Energy, iShares MSCI ACWI ETF, Geniee Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Wrap – 25 Aug 2023
  • Key Supports Holding Strong; 10-Year Treasury Yield Below Key Resistance; Buys in Non-Defensives
  • Geniee (6562 JP) – Staying on Course to Maintain Long-Term Growth


Weekly Wrap – 25 Aug 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Softbank Group
  2. China Hongqiao
  3. China Jinmao Holdings
  4. Geely Auto
  5. First Pacific Co

and more…


Key Supports Holding Strong; 10-Year Treasury Yield Below Key Resistance; Buys in Non-Defensives

By Joe Jasper

  • Last week (Aug. 18) we discussed the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY testing respective resistance (4.3%-4.35% and $103.50-$103.70).
  • As long as no decisive breakouts in the 10-year yield or DXY, we were buyers on the pullback to $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
  • Outside of our overweight countries (Japan, India, Taiwan, Greece), defensive Sectors continue to lag. We highlight buys in Technology, Services, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Materials/Energy, and Financials.

Geniee (6562 JP) – Staying on Course to Maintain Long-Term Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Strong start to the year – Geniee demonstrated solids ales in Q1 FY3/2024 of 22.3% YoY.
  • Despite the market downturn in the advertising platform business, progress made in expanding into untapped markets led to a gross profit growth YoY.
  • The Marketing SaaS business has been progressing in acquiring customers in the enterprise sector and revenue steadily increased 55.2% YoY. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Grab Holdings , Happy Forgings Limited, Rockwell Automation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform
  • Happy Forgings Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Grab: Profitability Seems Not So Easy to Sustain
  • Rockwell Automation Inc.: Decoding High Teens Growth in Semiconductor Sales and Beyond! – Major Drivers


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it reduced incentives yet increased its market share. 
  • Grab saw GMV growth in both deliveries more notably in mobility, with revenues growing at a faster pace and adjusted EBITDA surprising on the upside, bringing forward breakeven to 3Q2023. 
  • Prospects for 2H2023 look even better with Grab’s affordability initiatives gaining traction and improving retention and profitability.

Happy Forgings Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Happy Forgings Limited (6596652Z IN) is looking to raise around US$160m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Happy Forgings Limited (HF) is a manufacturer of complex and safety critical, heavy forged and high precision machines components in India.
  • As per the Ricardo Report, the firm is the fourth largest firm domestically in terms of FY23 forging capacity. 

Grab: Profitability Seems Not So Easy to Sustain

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Grab’s share price moved up by about 10% following its 2Q2023 earnings announcement as the market got excited over the company’s prospect of reaching profits in the next few quarters.
  • Mobility GMV is nearing pre-Covid levels, however, there has been a sharp increase in incentive spending during 2Q2023 suggesting incentives is a key driver of GMV growth.
  • Our analysis on deliveries biz suggests that segment’s margins have very little room for improvement and further reducing incentives could stall growth going forward.  

Rockwell Automation Inc.: Decoding High Teens Growth in Semiconductor Sales and Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Rockwell Automation’s results were a major disappointment as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.
  • This quarter, the company saw a double-digit increase in both sales and earnings as component shortages eased.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Soulbrain, Indika Energy, Devon Energy, Alkane Resources, Trigon Metals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Overlooked by the Market: A Compelling Long Short Opportunity in Newly-Listed ETF Rebal in Korea
  • Weekly Wrap – 25 Aug 2023
  • Devon Energy Corporation: Surging Oil Volumes
  • Alkane Resources – The Bodas continue to grow
  • TM: Initial Concentrate Recovery Exceeds Expectations


Overlooked by the Market: A Compelling Long Short Opportunity in Newly-Listed ETF Rebal in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • In the inaugural constituent selection, FnGuide revealed a noteworthy pattern. Given the smaller market capitalization of the electrolyte suppliers, FnGuide has included only the largest among them in this ETF.
  • SoulBrain, categorized by FnGuide as an electrolyte supplier like Chunbo, has significantly outperformed Chunbo. As a result, there is a considerable likelihood that SoulBrain will replace Chunbo in December.
  • The price impact from ETF rebalancing trading has disappeared substantially in Korea. We should focus on the first rebalancing of newly listed ETFs that haven’t yet established a learning effect.

Weekly Wrap – 25 Aug 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Softbank Group
  2. China Hongqiao
  3. China Jinmao Holdings
  4. Geely Auto
  5. First Pacific Co

and more…


Devon Energy Corporation: Surging Oil Volumes

By Baptista Research

  • Devon Energy Corporation delivered a mixed result in the quarter, with revenues above expectations, but the company failed to surpass the analyst consensus regarding earnings.
  • In terms of production, the company managed to increase oil volumes by 8% year over year this past quarter.
  • By averaging 323,000 barrels per day in the quarter, this outcome beat midpoint forecast estimates and created a new all-time high oil production high for the corporation.

Alkane Resources – The Bodas continue to grow

By Edison Investment Research

Alkane Resource’s FY23 financial results were broadly in line with our forecasts, with profit after tax totalling A$42.5m (compared to our forecast of A$44.0m) and EPS of 7.10c (cf 7.38c). Cash flows from operations exceeded our forecasts (A$95.5m cf A$75.6m) as a result of an increase in deferred tax liabilities, albeit this was balanced by higher exploration capex of A$58.1m to result in a net cash flow of A$4.1m (cf A$2.4m). Following FY23 production of 70,253oz at an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of A$1,602/oz, FY24 guidance for Tomingley is 60,000–65,000oz at an AISC of A$1,750–2,100/oz. Our forecasts remain largely unchanged in the aftermath of Alkane’s FY23 results. We maintain our valuation.


TM: Initial Concentrate Recovery Exceeds Expectations

By Atrium Research

  • Trigon announced initial production results from its first copper concentrate.
  • The newly commissioned mill produced a concentrate grade of 33.5% copper (well above the 20% expected) at 79.5% recoveries.
  • Underground Fleet On August 21st, TM announced its $8.9M order to purchase underground mining equipment from Epiroc.

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