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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Crypto: The USD Stablecoin Issuing Business: Learnings from the USDH Bidding War and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • The USD Stablecoin Issuing Business: Learnings from the USDH Bidding War


The USD Stablecoin Issuing Business: Learnings from the USDH Bidding War

By Animoca Brands Research

  • Hyperliquid, a popular decentralized exchange, recently initiated an open Request for Proposal (RFP) for issuers of its native stablecoin, USDH.
  • The requirements for issuers were clear: they needed to be “Hyperliquid-first,” “Hyperliquid-aligned,” and compliant.
  • The platform’s substantial existing stablecoin demand of $6 billion, coupled with its rapid growth potential, attracted numerous stablecoin issuers.

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Daily Brief Macro: UK: Poor Productivity Paradigms and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: Poor Productivity Paradigms
  • Turning tides: a new dawn for capital flows
  • From Buyers to Builders: Assessing the U.S. Housing Market
  • Oil futures: Crude drifts lower as markets look for fresh direction
  • CX Daily: The Unfinished Transformation of China’s LGFVs
  • Tire Industry Faces Over Capacity As Mid Range Players Build Factories
  • Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 10 October 2025
  • Exencial Economy Tidings 09/10/2025
  • BSP Delivers Unexpected Policy Easing


UK: Poor Productivity Paradigms

By Phil Rush

  • The OBR looks likely to trim its productivity trend assumption to 1%, which would still be a bullish break from the current stagnation. Trends rarely break outside recessions.
  • High taxes are squeezing the most productive and being transferred to the inactive. It should not be surprising that the UK’s political choices have stalled productivity.
  • We see no reason to think the UK will pull off an internationally exceptional jobs-light boom from here. Ongoing stagnation would extend the UK’s rule for fiscal slippage.

Turning tides: a new dawn for capital flows

By The Emerging Market Equities Podcast

  • Shift in capital flows and rise of domestic emerging market investors
  • Discussion with experts in UAE and Singapore on their experiences and perspectives
  • Impact of global events like financial crisis and COVID on emerging markets and expat communities

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


From Buyers to Builders: Assessing the U.S. Housing Market

By All The Credit

  • Market sentiment on rate cutting and its impact on the housing market in 2026 is largely optimistic
  • Home prices are up two and a half percent through June but have been declining month-over-month
  • Housing supply at a national level is back to pre-Covid levels, transitioning to a buyer’s market from a seller’s market with strong mortgage credit but affordability challenges due to higher rates

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Oil futures: Crude drifts lower as markets look for fresh direction

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures Thursday were drifting lower with the market looking for direction, although concerns over a supply glut remain the dominant factor.
  • Front-month Dec25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $65.01/b (2025 BST) versus Wednesday’s settle of $66.25/b, while Nov25 NYMEX WTI was at $61.31/b against a previous close of $62.55/b.
  • Analysts are increasingly moving towards the supply glut scenario, particularly after OPEC+ made its intension clear with a further quota increase for November among the eight members taking part in voluntary cuts.

CX Daily: The Unfinished Transformation of China’s LGFVs

By Caixin Global

  • Debt / In Depth: The Unfinished Transformation of China’s LGFVs
  • Port /: U.S. Details Steep Port Fees on China-Linked Vessels Starting Oct. 14
  • Foreign reserves /: China’s Foreign Reserves Edge Higher in September as Global Bonds Rally

Tire Industry Faces Over Capacity As Mid Range Players Build Factories

By Farah Miller

  • Highlights    • Market shift from premium to mid-tier brands   • Profit vs volume strategy hurting premium brands   • Mid-Tier brands expanding globally There is a lot of uncertainty around the ongoing tire demand and supply situation.
  • The first thing to note is that while demand is growing slightly, the distribution of sales between premium tire makers and less well-known brands is changing.
  • The transfer of market share away from the premium tire makers is rapid and appears to be accelerating.

Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 10 October 2025

By Dr. Jim Walker

  • Japan’s new leadership under Takaichi promises more fiscal stimulus and low rates, risking higher inflation and political instability.

  • Thailand faces economic concerns like weak consumer confidence and high debt, with uncertain monetary policy.

  • Vietnam’s economy is booming with 8.2% GDP growth in Q3, though risks from US exports and transshipment could threaten stability.


Exencial Economy Tidings 09/10/2025

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • Centre releases Rs.10.9 bln as 1st installment of untied grants for RLBs in 2 states
  • FICCI survey shows strong manufacturing growth in Q2 FY 26
  • India likely to have surplus sugar production in sugar season 2025-26

BSP Delivers Unexpected Policy Easing

By Heteronomics AI

  • BSP cut rates 25bp to 4.75% surprising market expectations for a pause, citing a weakened growth outlook from infrastructure governance concerns.
  • Benign inflation at 1.7%, well below the 2-4% target, provides scope for accommodation despite electricity and rice tariff upside risks.
  • Further easing is likely in December as BSP signals the policy “sweet spot” is lower than expected amid persistent growth headwinds.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung C&T and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Samsung C&T: Updated NAV Analysis + A Key Beneficiary of Share Price Rise of Samsung Electronics


Samsung C&T: Updated NAV Analysis + A Key Beneficiary of Share Price Rise of Samsung Electronics

By Douglas Kim

  • Our NAV analysis of Samsung C&T suggests implied market cap of 43 trillion won or target price of 253,146 won per share which is 28% higher than current price. 
  • The biggest components of Samsung C&T’s value is its stakes in Samsung Electronics and Samsung Biologics which are worth 54.1 trillion won (161% higher than Samsung C&T’s current market cap).   
  • In the past three months, the share price discrepancy between Samsung Electronics and Samsung C&T is more noticeable (Samsung Electronics – up 47.3% versus Samsung C&T – up 15.9%). 

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Daily Brief Singapore: iFAST, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Avation PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Asian Equities: A Few Singapore Small and Mid-Cap Jewels
  • Tire Industry Faces Over Capacity As Mid Range Players Build Factories
  • Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 02/10/2025


Asian Equities: A Few Singapore Small and Mid-Cap Jewels

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • Singapore’s stellar performance has been propelled primarily by large caps. We think investors should focus on SMID now, as MAS’s S$5bn EQDP incentivizes fund managers to look outside index stocks.
  • We screen SMID stocks in SGX with above-market forecast earnings growth, EPS estimate upgrades over past 6 months, low leverage and reasonable growth adjusted valuations (PEG<1.4x).
  • Eight SMID stocks come up on our screen, spread across various sectors, but tilted towards Energy and Minerals and Mining. Most are net cash companies with ROEs higher than COEs.

Tire Industry Faces Over Capacity As Mid Range Players Build Factories

By Farah Miller

  • Highlights    • Market shift from premium to mid-tier brands   • Profit vs volume strategy hurting premium brands   • Mid-Tier brands expanding globally There is a lot of uncertainty around the ongoing tire demand and supply situation.
  • The first thing to note is that while demand is growing slightly, the distribution of sales between premium tire makers and less well-known brands is changing.
  • The transfer of market share away from the premium tire makers is rapid and appears to be accelerating.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 02/10/2025

By Hybridan

  • The commercial passenger aircraft leasing Company has published its annual report and audited financial statements for the year ended 30 June 2025.
  • Revenue increased by 19.2% to $110m (from $92m in 2024), with EBITDA increasing by 20.3% to $107.1m.
  • Total year-end cash and bank balances were $130m and $148.5m at 26 September 2025. 

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Indo Tambangraya Megah and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ): 10% Buy Back A Major Catalyst, Cash 67% of Mkt Cap


Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ): 10% Buy Back A Major Catalyst, Cash 67% of Mkt Cap

By Sameer Taneja

  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) recently announced a 10% buyback, reaffirming our bullish stance on the company. With 67% of its market capitalization in cash, it can be easily accomplished. 
  • The company can also maintain its 65% payout ratio, which equates to an 8% yield on net profits of $180-200 million USD for FY25. 
  • We now look to November 3rd, 2025, as the next catalyst, when the shareholder meeting (GMS) will be held to vote on the buyback, among other decisions.

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Daily Brief United States: Global X Mlp & Energy Infras, International Business Machines, Crude Oil, Airbnb , Hyper USD, CoreWeave, Affirm Holdings , Brown & Brown, Apartment Investment and Manag, Alliance Laundry Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Capital Shifts Toward Stability as Energy M&A Adapts to Lower Oil Prices
  • IBM Just Partnered With Anthropic—Here’s Why Enterprise AI Will Never Be The Same!
  • Oil futures: Crude drifts lower as markets look for fresh direction
  • Primer: Airbnb (ABNB US) – Oct 2025
  • The USD Stablecoin Issuing Business: Learnings from the USDH Bidding War
  • Primer: CoreWeave (CRWV US) – Oct 2025
  • Affirm Holdings (Nasdaq: AFRM) – Accelerating Growth and Expanding Profitability
  • Brown & Brown Inc (BRO) – Thursday, Jul 10, 2025
  • Apartment Invst & Mgmt Co (AIV) – Thursday, Jul 10, 2025
  • Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH): Debt-Heavy Private Equity IPO Surprises with Strong Debut


Capital Shifts Toward Stability as Energy M&A Adapts to Lower Oil Prices

By Suhas Reddy

  • With oil prices expected to remain under pressure from a persistent supply glut, investors and dealmakers are turning cautious and prioritising capital efficiency.
  • Private equity-led consolidation in midstream signals growing demand for yield resilience amid falling oil prices and market uncertainty.
  • MLPX ETF inflows in 2025 highlight investor preference for dependable midstream returns over cyclical energy exposure.

IBM Just Partnered With Anthropic—Here’s Why Enterprise AI Will Never Be The Same!

By Baptista Research

  • IBM and Anthropic have joined forces in a major strategic move that could significantly reshape the enterprise AI landscape.
  • As announced in early October 2025, Anthropic’s Claude AI models will be integrated directly into IBM’s software suite, beginning with its integrated developer environment (IDE).
  • The collaboration represents a calculated step for IBM to reinforce its enterprise AI strategy by embedding powerful AI agents within its hybrid cloud and software platforms.

Oil futures: Crude drifts lower as markets look for fresh direction

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures Thursday were drifting lower with the market looking for direction, although concerns over a supply glut remain the dominant factor.
  • Front-month Dec25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $65.01/b (2025 BST) versus Wednesday’s settle of $66.25/b, while Nov25 NYMEX WTI was at $61.31/b against a previous close of $62.55/b.
  • Analysts are increasingly moving towards the supply glut scenario, particularly after OPEC+ made its intension clear with a further quota increase for November among the eight members taking part in voluntary cuts.

Primer: Airbnb (ABNB US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Airbnb stands as a dominant force in the alternative accommodations market, benefiting from a powerful brand and a robust network effect that connects millions of hosts and guests globally.
  • The company exhibits a strong growth trajectory, with impressive revenue and net income expansion, underpinned by a resilient, cash-generative, asset-light business model.
  • Future growth is anticipated to be driven by international market penetration, expansion of non-core offerings like ‘Experiences’, and leveraging technology, though the company faces significant risks from regulatory pressures and intense competition.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


The USD Stablecoin Issuing Business: Learnings from the USDH Bidding War

By Animoca Brands Research

  • Hyperliquid, a popular decentralized exchange, recently initiated an open Request for Proposal (RFP) for issuers of its native stablecoin, USDH.
  • The requirements for issuers were clear: they needed to be “Hyperliquid-first,” “Hyperliquid-aligned,” and compliant.
  • The platform’s substantial existing stablecoin demand of $6 billion, coupled with its rapid growth potential, attracted numerous stablecoin issuers.

Primer: CoreWeave (CRWV US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Specialized AI Infrastructure Provider Poised for Hyper-Growth: CoreWeave operates as a specialized cloud provider of high-performance GPU infrastructure, a critical component for the burgeoning AI industry. This focus allows it to cater to the specific, high-demand computing needs of AI developers and enterprises, positioning it to capitalize on the exponential growth in AI model training and inference.
  • Strong Revenue Growth Underpinned by Long-Term Contracts: The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, driven by substantial long-term contracts with major AI players. These multi-year agreements provide significant revenue visibility and backlog, reducing the volatility typically associated with usage-based cloud models.
  • Significant Financial Risks Amidst Aggressive Expansion: Despite its growth trajectory, CoreWeave faces considerable financial risks, including a heavy debt burden, significant capital expenditures, and substantial net losses. The company’s high customer concentration and reliance on debt to fund its rapid expansion are key areas of concern for investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Affirm Holdings (Nasdaq: AFRM) – Accelerating Growth and Expanding Profitability

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Affirm has turned GAAP EBIT positive for the first time in Q425 reflecting disciplined cost control and improving unit economics.
  • Revenues are on track to reach nearly $4B in FY26, driven by expanding merchant adoption and the rising contribution from the Affirm Card.
  • The stock is  pricing in sustained 25–30% growth and margin expansion as evident in its elevated valuation multiple of 40.5x 2026 P/E.

Brown & Brown Inc (BRO) – Thursday, Jul 10, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Brown & Brown (BRO) is now the 4th largest insurance broker in the U.S. after acquiring Accession Risk Partners.
  • BRO’s business model involves earning fixed commissions on insurance premiums, with expected organic growth of 4-6% through economic cycles.
  • The $9.4 billion acquisition, funded partly by a $4 billion equity raise, presents integration risks but offers potential synergies and is priced attractively at 12x EBITDA.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Apartment Invst & Mgmt Co (AIV) – Thursday, Jul 10, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Aimco is a multifamily REIT focused on undervalued Class B apartments in major U.S. markets.
  • The company is moving towards liquidation, particularly with the sale of the Brickell Assemblage.
  • Shareholders could see an upside of 18% to 40% per share, or 23% to 54% with a projected special distribution.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH): Debt-Heavy Private Equity IPO Surprises with Strong Debut

By IPO Boutique

  • The shares priced at the high end of the range, $22.00, and opened at $24.50, marking an initial gain of 11.4% on first trade.
  • The deal was north of 10-times oversubscribed and the underwriters had enough demand to message to investors an upsize of 10%. 
  • This steady performance, combined with strong book demand, positioned ALH as one of the few private equity-backed IPO success stories in 2025.

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Daily Brief China: Hang Seng Bank, BeiGene , InnoScience Suzhou Technology, Yum China Holdings , Dickson Concepts Intl, Geely Auto, Shanghai Electric Group Company, Sirius Therapeutics, Guming Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HSBC (5 HK)’s Fair Offer for Hang Seng (11 HK)’s Minorities
  • Hang Seng Bank (11 HK): HSBC (5 HK)’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal
  • Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec25: BeOne, Innovent, & Other Potential Surprises
  • Innoscience Suzhou Tech Placement – Selling Ahead of Lockup Expiry, Relatively Small
  • Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec25: Final Ranks; Three ADDs/DELs Likely
  • Dickson Concepts Faces Potential Privatization as Founder Poon Considers Renewed Bid After Failed Attempt
  • Geely (175 HK): 3Q25, Expects Strong Revenue for Strong Deliveries
  • Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): High Risk, High Return
  • Sirius (靖因) Pre-IPO: Credible SiRNA Products
  • Guming Holdings (1364 HK) – Thursday, Jul 10, 2025


HSBC (5 HK)’s Fair Offer for Hang Seng (11 HK)’s Minorities

By David Blennerhassett

  • Hang Seng Bank (11 HK) has announced an Offer from controlling parent (63.3551%), HSBC Holdings (5 HK), by way of a Scheme, in a HK$106bn (US$13.6bn) deal. 
  • The Scheme Consideration is HK$155/share, a 30.3% premium to last close. The price is final. A “third interim dividend” will be added. Optically, the price is bang on.
  • The long stop for conditions is the 30th September 2026. I think this transaction can be wrapped up in around five months. 

Hang Seng Bank (11 HK): HSBC (5 HK)’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal

By Arun George

  • Hang Seng Bank (11 HK) announced a scheme privatisation offer from HSBC Holdings (5 HK) at HK$155, a 30.3% premium to the undisturbed price.  
  • Based on an estimated 2025 third dividend of HK$1.3 per share, the total consideration is HK$156.30 per share. The offer price is final.
  • The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the current price and for a late March payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.9%/6.2%.

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec25: BeOne, Innovent, & Other Potential Surprises

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
  • In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in December 2025.
  • The index changes are expected to be confirmed on 21st November 2025.

Innoscience Suzhou Tech Placement – Selling Ahead of Lockup Expiry, Relatively Small

By Sumeet Singh

  • InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK) aims to raise around US$200m in its Hong Kong placement.
  • Innoscience was only listed in Dec 2024 and it undertook another primary raising in July 2025, the lockup for which has yet to expire.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec25: Final Ranks; Three ADDs/DELs Likely

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 “Mainland China” securities listed in Hong Kong.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect three ADDs and three DELs for December 2025. We also estimate there to be US$303mn in one-way flows.

Dickson Concepts Faces Potential Privatization as Founder Poon Considers Renewed Bid After Failed Attempt

By Special Situation Investments

  • Dickson Concepts trades at a 40% discount to net cash, with a market cap of HK$2bn and HK$3.3bn in cash.
  • Founder Dickson Poon attempted privatization at HK$7.20/share, blocked by minority shareholders with 10.16% voting against.
  • Business remains profitable despite downturn, with average net income of HK$200m and HK$1.4bn operating business value.

Geely (175 HK): 3Q25, Expects Strong Revenue for Strong Deliveries

By Ming Lu

  • Total deliveries grew by 35% YoY in Sep. 2025 and 43% YoY in 3Q25.
  • BEV (Battery Electric Vehicle) deliveries were double of the same period last year.
  • We believe the stock has at least 29% upside for next 12 months.

Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): High Risk, High Return

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With a 37.3% rally in Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)‘s share price in the last 5 trading days, it is poised for a correction, which is a long-term opportunity. 
  • Key positive drivers include its Fanuc Robots earnings, progress in China’s nuclear fusion project, solid new order momentum, and speculation on asset acquisition.
  • PER valuations are not cheap, but this is understandable due to the company’s transition. However, its 1.5x P/B multiple is not outrageously expensive relative to peers.

Sirius (靖因) Pre-IPO: Credible SiRNA Products

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Sirius Therapeutics, a China-based clinical-stage biopharma company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. GS, Haitong, and HSBC are the joint sponsors.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s core products, SRSD107, and the key product SRSD216.
  • We also look at the company’s pre-IPO investors and management team.

Guming Holdings (1364 HK) – Thursday, Jul 10, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Hong Kong-listed bubble tea companies are seen as classic fad stocks, presenting short-selling opportunities.
  • Guming is highlighted as the preferred choice for short-selling due to its available borrow, while Nayuki serves as a cautionary example of decline.
  • The author compares the bubble tea trend to previous restaurant fads, indicating a pattern of declining growth and increased competition.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Japan: Sun Corp, Soft99 Corp, Fast Retailing, Bell System24 Holdings Inc, Softbank Group, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Loadstar Capital and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan Activism] Sun Corp (6736) Gets ANOTHER Public Activist – ValueAct Reports 7.9%
  • Soft99 Corp (4464 JP): Potential Outcomes as the Board Responds to Effissimo Allegations
  • [Japan M&A/Activism] Soft99 Board Rebuts Effissimo’s Rebuttal. Still An Awful “Fiduciary” Response
  • Fast Retailing (9983) | Global Gains Keep It in Fashion
  • Bell System24 Holdings Inc (6183 JP): 1H FY02/26 flash update
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Tire Industry Faces Over Capacity As Mid Range Players Build Factories
  • Loadstar Capital K.K. (3482 JP) – A Disciplined High Velocity Real Estate Investor
  • (9 Oct 2025) IID Inc(6038 JP) — Fisco Company Research
  • (09 Oct 2025) Tanabe Management Consulting(9644 JP) — Fisco Company Research


[Japan Activism] Sun Corp (6736) Gets ANOTHER Public Activist – ValueAct Reports 7.9%

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Value Act reported that it owned 7.87% of shares outstanding in Sun Corp (6736 JP) and it may make proposals to management. 
  • This has been trading cheaply (and I pointed it out on 13 Aug and 12 Sep). Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) is up 35% in those 8 weeks. Sun Corp +50%.
  • ValueAct had owned 4.9+% for at least a few months before, but now it has gone public. They were likely in already under a different name in March, now public.

Soft99 Corp (4464 JP): Potential Outcomes as the Board Responds to Effissimo Allegations

By Arun George

  • The Soft99 Corp (4464 JP) Board has responded to Effissimo’s allegations. As expected, the Board accuses Effissimo of stating half-truths. 
  • The Board’s missive indirectly suggests that incremental acceptances since October 1 have been tepid, KeePer has not tendered, and the MBO is struggling to meet the minimum tendering condition. 
  • The two likeliest outcomes are 1) the MBO succeeds at current terms with KeePer likely joining BidCo, and 2) both offers fail. The risk/reward is unattractive at the last close. 

[Japan M&A/Activism] Soft99 Board Rebuts Effissimo’s Rebuttal. Still An Awful “Fiduciary” Response

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Soft99 Corp (4464 JP)‘s Board issued a statement on “Our View” of Effissimo’s “Our View” Press Release. It’s bad.   
  • But it points out the “weaknesses” that Effissimo’s Tender Offer Press Release had as it concerns a counterbid. And that tells you how Effissimo should amend their Tender Offer docs.
  • Soft99 Board’s response is interesting. It asks Effissimo to not be coercive (i.e. bid for 50%+) in response to the MBO Bid’s coerciveness. Not a winning argument but not impossible.

Fast Retailing (9983) | Global Gains Keep It in Fashion

By Mark Chadwick

  • Guidance slightly ahead: FY8/26 outlook modestly above consensus at both revenue and operating profit, signalling continued steady growth.
  • Global strength offsets China: Expanding international markets and yen tailwinds continue to drive profitability, plus an end to lingering China weakness?
  • Valuation supportive: Trading below historical averages on EBIT and P/E, offering global exposure at a reasonable multiple.

Bell System24 Holdings Inc (6183 JP): 1H FY02/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In 1H FY02/26, revenue was JPY73.1bn (+1.5% YoY) with operating profit at JPY5.9bn (+23.0% YoY).
  • Revenue from SC operations was JPY62.6bn (+1.0% YoY) and SB operations JPY10.4bn (+5.4% YoY).
  • Gross profit in 1H FY02/26 was JPY13.6bn (+6.5% YoY) with a GPM of 18.5% (+0.9pp YoY).

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group
  • The UST curve twisted flatter slightly yesterday, albeit there were few material catalysts. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.58%, while that on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.12%. Equities rebounded from Tuesday’s dip, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.6% and 1.1%, respectively.
  • The September FOMC meeting minutes showed that most officials “judged that it likely would be appropriate to ease policy further over the remainder of this year”.

Tire Industry Faces Over Capacity As Mid Range Players Build Factories

By Farah Miller

  • Highlights    • Market shift from premium to mid-tier brands   • Profit vs volume strategy hurting premium brands   • Mid-Tier brands expanding globally There is a lot of uncertainty around the ongoing tire demand and supply situation.
  • The first thing to note is that while demand is growing slightly, the distribution of sales between premium tire makers and less well-known brands is changing.
  • The transfer of market share away from the premium tire makers is rapid and appears to be accelerating.

Loadstar Capital K.K. (3482 JP) – A Disciplined High Velocity Real Estate Investor

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Loadstar Capital is unique among listed Japanese real estate peers in its use of leverage, velocity of capital deployment, and shareholder alignment.
  • We believe the Company is much more akin to a real estate private equity fund in its approach towards capital allocation and focus on asset monetization.
  • Importantly, Loadstar’s founder, Mr. Tatsushi Iwano, continues to hold 20% of the Company, reflecting management’s alignment with shareholders and belief that Loadstar can continue to sustain its growth. 

(9 Oct 2025) IID Inc(6038 JP) — Fisco Company Research

By FISCO

Key points (machine generated)

  • IID, Inc. reported its first net profit increase in four years for FY6/25 despite a decline in net sales and operating profit.
  • The company operates two segments: Creator Platform Business and Creator Solutions Business, facing challenges in the latter.
  • For FY6/26, IID expects a 5.2% increase in net sales and a 30.5% rise in operating profit, focusing on M&A, AI monetization, and shareholder benefits.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.


(09 Oct 2025) Tanabe Management Consulting(9644 JP) — Fisco Company Research

By FISCO

Key points (machine generated)

  • TANABE CONSULTING GROUP CO., LTD. achieved record-high net sales and profits in 2025, its 68th year in business.
  • The company’s success is driven by effective business development and M&A initiatives as part of a diversification strategy.
  • TCG provides tailored consulting services to upper mid-sized enterprises, focusing on management strategies, operational execution, and digital transformation.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief India: Fortis Healthcare, WeWork India Management Ltd, Trent Ltd, Rubicon Research Limited, Maruti Suzuki India, Indraprastha Gas, Canara Robeco AMC, BlackBuck, Aequs Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Fortis Healthcare (FORH IN): Indian Regulators Cleared Long-Awaited Open Offer of IHH
  • WeWork India IPO Trading – Muted Demand, Likely to Trade Weak
  • Trent Ltd (TRENT IN): Down 45% from Peak. Why Is It Trending Down?
  • Rubicon Research IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation
  • Maruti Suzuki’s Resurgence: Winning with SUVs and a Timely Tax Break
  • IGL: Strategic Advantages in Tax and Crude Price Lead to Higher Profit Growth
  • Canara Robeco AMC: Can a Laggard Get off the Block Now?
  • BlackBuck Ltd: Digitizing India’s Fragmented Trucking Ecosystem with Dominant Platform Position
  • Aequs Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Fortis Healthcare (FORH IN): Indian Regulators Cleared Long-Awaited Open Offer of IHH

By Tina Banerjee

  • SEBI has approved IHH Healthcare’s open offer for acquisition of up to 26% stake in Fortis Healthcare (FORH IN). If materializes, this should uplift IHH’s holding in Fortis to 57%.
  • In 2018, Fortis’ original open offer price was INR170 per share, and the offer size was INR33B. Currently, Fortis share is trading at INR1,054, up more than 6x since 2018.
  • IHH will make appropriate announcement ‘in a timely manner’, which should provide clarity on open offer pricing. Unless an attractive revised price is announced, the shareholders acceptance will be limited.

WeWork India IPO Trading – Muted Demand, Likely to Trade Weak

By Akshat Shah

  • WeWork India Management Ltd (1690124D IN) raised about US$338m in its India IPO.
  • WeWork India (WWI) offers a wide range of workspace solutions, including custom-designed buildings, floors, and offices, enterprise office suites, private offices, co-working spaces, customized managed offices, and hybrid digital solutions.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN): Down 45% from Peak. Why Is It Trending Down?

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) reported first half FY2026 revenue growth at 19%, well below the Street’s full-year consensus estimate of around 26%.
  • With Zudio store expansion wave now maturing and no new growth engine of comparable scale yet in sight, revenue growth appears to be normalizing to the low double-digit range.
  • In this context, the stock’s steep valuation multiples (78.5x 1-year forward P/E) look increasingly difficult to justify; as growth expectations are recalibrated a valuation de-rating seems likely.

Rubicon Research IPO – RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

By Akshat Shah

  • Rubicon Research Limited (1453591D IN) is looking to raise about US$155m in its India IPO.
  • RR’s has shown strong FY25–1Q26 growth, driven by expanding product launches, ANDA approvals, and higher US market penetration, while margins improved with operating leverage and lower R&D intensity.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.

Maruti Suzuki’s Resurgence: Winning with SUVs and a Timely Tax Break

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • MSIL decisively shifted to UVs, reaching a 41% segment share in FY25 via key launches (Brezza, Grand Vitara), fundamentally reversing market share losses to become a full-range powerhouse.
  • The revised GST flat rate of 40% for SUVs reduces prices and boosts affordability, creating a powerful dual catalyst with the festive season for significant volume and market share growth.
  • Strong exports grew by 17.5%, establishing MSIL as the parent’s global EV hub and mitigating local risks, while high EBITDA margins (~13%) ensure profitable and sustainable growth.

IGL: Strategic Advantages in Tax and Crude Price Lead to Higher Profit Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • IGL is set for a significant margin boost from a VAT reduction on Gujarat-sourced gas, the new PNGRB two-zone tariff, and lower crude-linked input costs
  • The reduced VAT, new tariff structure, and falling oil prices position IGL for significant margin growth, potentially boosting PAT by 8-15% in the coming years.
  • Favorable regulatory changes and reduced raw material costs create a clear pathway for IGL to achieve its higher EBITDA per SCM guidance and sustain robust volume growth.

Canara Robeco AMC: Can a Laggard Get off the Block Now?

By Himanshu Dugar

  • Canara Robeco AMC (570515Z IN) a JV between Canara Bank (CBK IN) and Orix Corp (8591 JP) is the second oldest but the latest AMC to list in India
  • A laggard with just 1.5% market share as of date, the company boasts of an equity-dominant AUM and strong retail franchise delivering strong PAT margins (47%) and ROE (36%)
  • However, its SIP book has been declining while the broader industry has more than doubled. We feel the IPO pricing doesn’t leave room for material upside.

BlackBuck Ltd: Digitizing India’s Fragmented Trucking Ecosystem with Dominant Platform Position

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • BlackBuck operates in India’s highly fragmented trucking ecosystem, targeting the digitization of this traditional sector.
  • The company functions as a digital platform that connects various stakeholders in the trucking industry.
  • BlackBuck has established a dominant position in the Indian logistics technology space through its platform approach.

Aequs Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Aequs Ltd is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by JM Financial, IIFL Capital and Kotak.
  • Aequs Limited is a precision-engineering and manufacturing company that produces complex, high-tolerance components for global OEMs across the aerospace and consumer sectors.
  • The company operates three integrated manufacturing ecosystems in India (the Belagavi, Hubballi, and Koppal clusters) each designed to deliver end-to-end production capabilities from design to assembly.

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Most Read: Hang Seng Bank, Sony Financial Group, Vingroup Jsc, Kokusai Electric , Sun Corp, Soft99 Corp, BeiGene , InnoScience Suzhou Technology and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • HSBC (5 HK)’s Fair Offer for Hang Seng (11 HK)’s Minorities
  • [Japan Event] Sony Financial (8729 JP) Moves On From ToSTNeT-3 Buybacks, Now In the Market
  • Vietnam: Global Index Inclusion & Passive Flows
  • [Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) – Applied Materials $330mm Selldown
  • [Japan Activism] Sun Corp (6736) Gets ANOTHER Public Activist – ValueAct Reports 7.9%
  • Hang Seng Bank (11 HK): HSBC (5 HK)’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal
  • Soft99 Corp (4464 JP): Potential Outcomes as the Board Responds to Effissimo Allegations
  • [Japan M&A/Activism] Soft99 Board Rebuts Effissimo’s Rebuttal. Still An Awful “Fiduciary” Response
  • Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec25: BeOne, Innovent, & Other Potential Surprises
  • Innoscience Suzhou Tech Placement – Selling Ahead of Lockup Expiry, Relatively Small


HSBC (5 HK)’s Fair Offer for Hang Seng (11 HK)’s Minorities

By David Blennerhassett

  • Hang Seng Bank (11 HK) has announced an Offer from controlling parent (63.3551%), HSBC Holdings (5 HK), by way of a Scheme, in a HK$106bn (US$13.6bn) deal. 
  • The Scheme Consideration is HK$155/share, a 30.3% premium to last close. The price is final. A “third interim dividend” will be added. Optically, the price is bang on.
  • The long stop for conditions is the 30th September 2026. I think this transaction can be wrapped up in around five months. 

[Japan Event] Sony Financial (8729 JP) Moves On From ToSTNeT-3 Buybacks, Now In the Market

By Travis Lundy

  • Sony Financial Group (8729 JP) started ToSTNeT-3 buybacks last week and did one this week to jumpstart the buyback, cushioning the Nikkei 225 deletion on 29 Sep and subsequent overhang.
  • In three ToSTNeT-3 buybacks in 6 trading days spending ¥28.9bn, the company bought back 177.513mm shares or 2.5% of shares out, or about 6.2% of Max Real World Float (MRWF).
  • With ¥71.1bn left, at last that’s 460mm shares, or 16.2% of MRWF. Over 10mos that is 1.62%/month. That will boost Mar26 DPS, Mar27 DPS projections, EPS, etc.

Vietnam: Global Index Inclusion & Passive Flows

By Brian Freitas

  • After years of being on the watchlist, Vietnam will be added to a global index in September 2026 as long as progress is made on one key issue.
  • The final decision will be made in March 2026, and the implementation of the inclusion will take place in phases.
  • We currently see 21 stocks meeting the inclusion criteria. There are others that are close to the inclusion thresholds, and the list will change over the next few months.

[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) – Applied Materials $330mm Selldown

By Travis Lundy


[Japan Activism] Sun Corp (6736) Gets ANOTHER Public Activist – ValueAct Reports 7.9%

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Value Act reported that it owned 7.87% of shares outstanding in Sun Corp (6736 JP) and it may make proposals to management. 
  • This has been trading cheaply (and I pointed it out on 13 Aug and 12 Sep). Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) is up 35% in those 8 weeks. Sun Corp +50%.
  • ValueAct had owned 4.9+% for at least a few months before, but now it has gone public. They were likely in already under a different name in March, now public.

Hang Seng Bank (11 HK): HSBC (5 HK)’s Scheme Privatisation Is a Done Deal

By Arun George

  • Hang Seng Bank (11 HK) announced a scheme privatisation offer from HSBC Holdings (5 HK) at HK$155, a 30.3% premium to the undisturbed price.  
  • Based on an estimated 2025 third dividend of HK$1.3 per share, the total consideration is HK$156.30 per share. The offer price is final.
  • The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. At the current price and for a late March payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.9%/6.2%.

Soft99 Corp (4464 JP): Potential Outcomes as the Board Responds to Effissimo Allegations

By Arun George

  • The Soft99 Corp (4464 JP) Board has responded to Effissimo’s allegations. As expected, the Board accuses Effissimo of stating half-truths. 
  • The Board’s missive indirectly suggests that incremental acceptances since October 1 have been tepid, KeePer has not tendered, and the MBO is struggling to meet the minimum tendering condition. 
  • The two likeliest outcomes are 1) the MBO succeeds at current terms with KeePer likely joining BidCo, and 2) both offers fail. The risk/reward is unattractive at the last close. 

[Japan M&A/Activism] Soft99 Board Rebuts Effissimo’s Rebuttal. Still An Awful “Fiduciary” Response

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Soft99 Corp (4464 JP)‘s Board issued a statement on “Our View” of Effissimo’s “Our View” Press Release. It’s bad.   
  • But it points out the “weaknesses” that Effissimo’s Tender Offer Press Release had as it concerns a counterbid. And that tells you how Effissimo should amend their Tender Offer docs.
  • Soft99 Board’s response is interesting. It asks Effissimo to not be coercive (i.e. bid for 50%+) in response to the MBO Bid’s coerciveness. Not a winning argument but not impossible.

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Dec25: BeOne, Innovent, & Other Potential Surprises

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
  • In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in December 2025.
  • The index changes are expected to be confirmed on 21st November 2025.

Innoscience Suzhou Tech Placement – Selling Ahead of Lockup Expiry, Relatively Small

By Sumeet Singh

  • InnoScience Suzhou Technology (2577 HK) aims to raise around US$200m in its Hong Kong placement.
  • Innoscience was only listed in Dec 2024 and it undertook another primary raising in July 2025, the lockup for which has yet to expire.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

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