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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Meituan, Shui On Land and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • [Meituan (3690 HK) Rating Change]: Meituan’s Counterstrike Is Effective, Upgrade to BUY
  • Weekly Wrap – 21 Apr 2023

[Meituan (3690 HK) Rating Change]: Meituan’s Counterstrike Is Effective, Upgrade to BUY

By Shawn Yang

  • We upgrade Meituan to BUY as (1) its recent subsidy campaign vs. Douyin has achieved some  successes, and (2) its food delivery margin may have further upside; 
  • We suggest that Douyin’s local service market share reaches a high level, especially when compared with its eCommerce market share; 
  • Our C1Q23 top/bottom line are in-line/25.5% vs. cons. Raise TP to HK$ 165, which implies 4x PS/12x PE/1x PS for delivery/in-store/new initiatives.

Weekly Wrap – 21 Apr 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Vedanta Resources
  2. Yankuang Energy Group
  3. Alam Sutera Realty
  4. Guangzhou R&F Properties
  5. Fosun International

and more…


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  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief United States: Uber, Lyft Inc, Trimble Navigation, Coca Cola Co, Etsy Inc, Iridium Communications, Coeptis Therapeutics Holdings, Soluna Holdings, Inter Parfums and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Uber Technologies Inc.: Major Drivers
  • Lyft Inc.: A New Bid To Attract Eco-Conscious Customers – Major Drivers
  • Trimble Inc.: Major Drivers
  • Coca-Cola Q1 Earnings Preview: Factors To Consider
  • Etsy Inc.: Major Drivers
  • IRDM: Compounding Free Cash Flow
  • Coeptistx (COEP) Deverra Deal Flash Note 20042023
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc – Project Dorothy Energized at Last!
  • IPAR: Demand Outpacing Expectations

Uber Technologies Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Uber Technologies Inc. has delivered good results during this quarter and managed an all-around beat with a positive bottom-line.
  • The overall situation is in favor of the company as the competitive environment is getting better.
  • We give Uber Technologies Inc. a ‘Hold’ rating with a revised target price.

Lyft Inc.: A New Bid To Attract Eco-Conscious Customers – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lyft’s Q4 financial performance was mixed as it reported wider-than-expected losses despite surpassing the revenue expectations of Wall Street.
  • The company saw a mix of high demand for ride-sharing services, an improving supply, and promising early results from its cost-cutting initiatives.
  • Its overall revenue for 2022 increased by 28% compared to 2021 and the company added $375 million to its insurance reserves.

Trimble Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Trimble Inc had a disappointing result and failed to meet Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.
  • The challenges in terms of the supply chain remained the same in the business environment, which has also affected the operations of the company.
  • Trimble delivered over 20% organic growth in ARR in addition to high levels of ACV software bookings and cross-sell bookings.

Coca-Cola Q1 Earnings Preview: Factors To Consider

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Inflationary headwinds in Latin America might have had a material effect in Q1.
  • However, Coca-Cola’s EMEA and North American results will probably blossom once more.
  • Most are non-core and unlikely to influence the stock’s valuation, KO stock is fairly valued.

Etsy Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Etsy Inc delivered a mixed set of results during the quarter and managed to surpass the revenue expectations of analysts but its profitability was below par.
  • The company’s management claims that its overall reach and consumer demand have increased and the services offered by the company are differentiated.
  • The company’s marketing programs, including the Star Seller program, continued to benefit the company.

IRDM: Compounding Free Cash Flow

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IRDM reported first quarter results continuing its recent trend of adding more billable subscribers to its network. 
  • The first quarter is seasonally a period when there are fewer maritime customers, but Internet of Things (“IOT”) data subscribers grew sequentially
  • Equipment revenue has grown over the past year. IRDM’s partners do not stock inventory. Therefore, any planned installs should result in higher subscriber revenue as these units are activated

Coeptistx (COEP) Deverra Deal Flash Note 20042023

By ACF Equity Research

  • Binding exclusivity to acquire or license Deverra Therapeutics’ platform asset 
  • CAR-T + GEAR COEP platforms could plug into Deverra platform
  • Other key assets – 2x FDA approved PI INDs for CD34+ NK Cells.

Soluna Holdings, Inc – Project Dorothy Energized at Last!

By Water Tower Research

  • Project Dorothy now energized. ERCOT (grid operator) has given final approval to energize the first 50 MW of Soluna’s game-changing Project Dorothy.
  • The long-delayed project had been held up by ERCOT while it implemented its new Interim Large Load Interconnection Process to ensure grid reliability.
  • Energization sets the stage for signing hosting contracts at Project Dorothy. Soluna can now finalize and begin receiving revenues from hosting contracts at Project Dorothy.

IPAR: Demand Outpacing Expectations

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IPAR announced its first quarter sales highlighting the continued momentum in demand the Company has been seeing in recent quarters. 
  • IPAR’s major brands each grew by more than 20 percent compared to the year ago period. 
  • IPAR raised full year sales and EPS outlook as the business continues to run with brisk demand

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Daily Brief India: Mankind Pharma and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Mankind Pharma IPO- Forensic Analysis

Mankind Pharma IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)‘s IPO is lined up to be open for subscription next week.
  • Mankind is one of the largest pharmaceutical formulation player in India. The company is a market leader in condoms, pregnancy test kits, emergency contraceptives category, etc.
  • However, when it comes to the balance sheet, there are several aspects that warrant attention. These include acquisitions, asset quality, non-comparable return ratios owing to accounting treatment, etc.

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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief South Korea: Dongwon Industries, Ts Corporation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Aggressive Shorting on Dongwon Industries, Which Has Not Been Noticed as a K200 Deletion
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #21: TS Corp – Addicted to Sugar

Aggressive Shorting on Dongwon Industries, Which Has Not Been Noticed as a K200 Deletion

By Sanghyun Park

  • Dongwon Industries’ float rate is less than 10% (1 – 63.15% – 27.65% = 9.20%), which makes it ineligible for KOSPI 200. KRX will reflect this in the June review.
  • The passive outflow size due to K200 deletion is expected to be about 50 billion won, which will cause an impact of about 28x ADTV.
  • Considering this deletion has not been sufficiently exposed in the market, the actual price impact may be even more significant and preemptive.

Korea Small Cap Gem #21: TS Corp – Addicted to Sugar

By Douglas Kim

  • Ts Corporation (001790 KS) is the 21st company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series.
  • TS Corp is one of the largest sugar refining companies in Korea. Rising raw sugar prices generally have a positive impact on TS Corp’s sales and profits. 
  • TS Corp owns very valuable real estate assets that are much larger than its current market cap (299 billion won).

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

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  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Australia: Essential Metals, Shui On Land, Alkane Resources and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Essential Metals In Limbo As MinRes Lurks
  • Weekly Wrap – 21 Apr 2023
  • Alkane Resources – Guidance increased again

Essential Metals In Limbo As MinRes Lurks

By David Blennerhassett


Weekly Wrap – 21 Apr 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Vedanta Resources
  2. Yankuang Energy Group
  3. Alam Sutera Realty
  4. Guangzhou R&F Properties
  5. Fosun International

and more…


Alkane Resources – Guidance increased again

By Edison Investment Research

Alkane continues to increase its production guidance, indicating confidence in a strong close to FY23, from 62,000–70,000oz to 65,000-73,000oz. It also lowered its expected unit costs to an AISC of A$1,550–1,700/oz, from previous guidance of A$1,550–1,800/oz. These updates follow confirmation of Q323 gold production of 16,641oz and a total for the year to date of 54,431oz, at an AISC of A$1,446/oz.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

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Daily Brief Japan: Toshiba Corp, Recruit Holdings, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Toshiba – HDD Business Risk
  • Recruit: Further Drop in US Job Openings Adds Strain on HRTech Earnings
  • To Change a Company that Didn’t Change when Activist Investors Asked for Solutions to Their Issues

Toshiba – HDD Business Risk

By Mio Kato

  • We have been tracking Toshiba’s rapidly deteriorating HDD business over the last few quarters. 
  • Recent trends raise further concerns about the long-term viability of the business. 
  • In particular, visibility remains low on a strong recovery in demand and until that occurs the possibility of a YoY deterioration remains high.

Recruit: Further Drop in US Job Openings Adds Strain on HRTech Earnings

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • US job openings in February fell to 9.9m, lowest since May 2021 and 0.5m below market expectations. The job openings are forecast to drop further in March 2023.
  • Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) ‘s 3QFY03/2023 profits declined significantly with labour markets returning to normalcy and we expect further drop in margins going forward.
  • HR Tech drives most of Recruit’s profits and we expect the company’s earnings to decline going forward with weakening of labour markets globally.

To Change a Company that Didn’t Change when Activist Investors Asked for Solutions to Their Issues

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Now that percentage of foreign shareholders has reached 30%, other foreign shareholders are more likely to support activist investors’ proposals, and companies are paying more attention to communication with investors.
  • While cross-shareholdings held by banks etc. are declining, foreign shareholders and trust banks are on the rise. The holdings held by trust banks are managed by domestic institutional investors.
  • Whether their exercise of voting rights changes from the past will be the key to improving governance and moving forward with solutions to issues that have been postponed until now.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Financials: Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index, Shui On Land, Bank Mandiri Persero, Foxtons and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Crack/Red Flag
  • Weekly Wrap – 21 Apr 2023
  • Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Growth Potential Backed by a Sound Balance Sheet at Attractive Valuations
  • Foxtons Group – Early signs of strategic success

Taiwan Crack/Red Flag

By Thomas Schroeder

  • Taiwan has been a top long but losing bull energy. RSI second support break warns of a price break below pivotal trendline turning our stance from exhaustive to bearish.
  • Taiwan has been a good hiding place but appears over owned amid waning upside momentum and high conviction RSI bear divergence.
  • Bearish rising wedge amid divergence are the key chart components to focus on.

Weekly Wrap – 21 Apr 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Vedanta Resources
  2. Yankuang Energy Group
  3. Alam Sutera Realty
  4. Guangzhou R&F Properties
  5. Fosun International

and more…


Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Growth Potential Backed by a Sound Balance Sheet at Attractive Valuations

By Victor Galliano

  • Mandiri delivered solid 1Q23 results, underscoring its attractive valuations with single digit prospective PE multiples and premium growth potential all backed by a strong balance sheet
  • Mandiri improved 1Q23 pre-provision operating profit and net profit YoY; Mandiri’s credit quality metrics were sound in 1Q23, with strong liquidity and funding ratios
  • Mandiri has an attractive PEG ratio and delivers 20%+ ROE on a strong capital base for its PBV ratio comparing well against Indonesian and big cap EM bank peers

Foxtons Group – Early signs of strategic success

By Edison Investment Research

Foxtons Group’s Q1 trading update highlighted increased revenue per transaction and market share gains, evidence of early progress in rolling out the new strategy – characterised by upgrades to data infrastructure, investment in staff and a reinvigoration of the Foxtons brand. If the strategy succeeds, over the medium term Foxtons expects margins to expand by 500bp and operating profit to more than double. We retain our base case valuation of 59p/share and our preferred ‘bull’ case valuation of 124p/share, more than three times the current price.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Meituan, Network International Holdings, Uber, Lyft Inc, Trimble Navigation, Iridium Communications, MotorK Ltd, Soluna Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • [Meituan (3690 HK) Rating Change]: Meituan’s Counterstrike Is Effective, Upgrade to BUY
  • Competing Proposals
  • Uber Technologies Inc.: Major Drivers
  • Lyft Inc.: A New Bid To Attract Eco-Conscious Customers – Major Drivers
  • Trimble Inc.: Major Drivers
  • IRDM: Compounding Free Cash Flow
  • MotorK – Positive indicators provide strong visibility
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc – Project Dorothy Energized at Last!

[Meituan (3690 HK) Rating Change]: Meituan’s Counterstrike Is Effective, Upgrade to BUY

By Shawn Yang

  • We upgrade Meituan to BUY as (1) its recent subsidy campaign vs. Douyin has achieved some  successes, and (2) its food delivery margin may have further upside; 
  • We suggest that Douyin’s local service market share reaches a high level, especially when compared with its eCommerce market share; 
  • Our C1Q23 top/bottom line are in-line/25.5% vs. cons. Raise TP to HK$ 165, which implies 4x PS/12x PE/1x PS for delivery/in-store/new initiatives.

Competing Proposals

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Middle East and Africa leading payments processing firm Network International is in play. On 21 April, Brookfield submitted a 400p competing proposal, vs. CVC/Francisco’s earlier 387p. Network was trading cheaply.
  • Exposure to underserved MEA markets should support sustainable longer-term growth. My fair value estimate is 431p. The shares trade 0.75% below Brookfield’s proposal, the market awaits a counteroffer from CVC/Francisco.
  • The fact that Brookfield has raised just 3.4% above CVC/Francisco seems to signal that Brookfield will be cautious in case of an “auction”. Long.

Uber Technologies Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Uber Technologies Inc. has delivered good results during this quarter and managed an all-around beat with a positive bottom-line.
  • The overall situation is in favor of the company as the competitive environment is getting better.
  • We give Uber Technologies Inc. a ‘Hold’ rating with a revised target price.

Lyft Inc.: A New Bid To Attract Eco-Conscious Customers – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lyft’s Q4 financial performance was mixed as it reported wider-than-expected losses despite surpassing the revenue expectations of Wall Street.
  • The company saw a mix of high demand for ride-sharing services, an improving supply, and promising early results from its cost-cutting initiatives.
  • Its overall revenue for 2022 increased by 28% compared to 2021 and the company added $375 million to its insurance reserves.

Trimble Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Trimble Inc had a disappointing result and failed to meet Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.
  • The challenges in terms of the supply chain remained the same in the business environment, which has also affected the operations of the company.
  • Trimble delivered over 20% organic growth in ARR in addition to high levels of ACV software bookings and cross-sell bookings.

IRDM: Compounding Free Cash Flow

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IRDM reported first quarter results continuing its recent trend of adding more billable subscribers to its network. 
  • The first quarter is seasonally a period when there are fewer maritime customers, but Internet of Things (“IOT”) data subscribers grew sequentially
  • Equipment revenue has grown over the past year. IRDM’s partners do not stock inventory. Therefore, any planned installs should result in higher subscriber revenue as these units are activated

MotorK – Positive indicators provide strong visibility

By Edison Investment Research

MotorK’s Q123 trading update indicates that the group is on track to meet its FY23 guidance and our forecasts after management secured 59% of the annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth required. Performance in Q1 was strong, with the group reporting high double-digit revenue growth, driven by low customer churn and continuing multi-product adoption. With investment in its platform largely complete, the company is starting to see operating leverage. The stock is up 89% year to date, and we believe there is still significant upside potential, as highlighted by its discount to peers.


Soluna Holdings, Inc – Project Dorothy Energized at Last!

By Water Tower Research

  • Project Dorothy now energized. ERCOT (grid operator) has given final approval to energize the first 50 MW of Soluna’s game-changing Project Dorothy.
  • The long-delayed project had been held up by ERCOT while it implemented its new Interim Large Load Interconnection Process to ensure grid reliability.
  • Energization sets the stage for signing hosting contracts at Project Dorothy. Soluna can now finalize and begin receiving revenues from hosting contracts at Project Dorothy.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Consumer: Dongwon Industries, Ts Corporation, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix, Coca Cola Co, Etsy Inc, Inter Parfums and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Aggressive Shorting on Dongwon Industries, Which Has Not Been Noticed as a K200 Deletion
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #21: TS Corp – Addicted to Sugar
  • To Change a Company that Didn’t Change when Activist Investors Asked for Solutions to Their Issues
  • Coca-Cola Q1 Earnings Preview: Factors To Consider
  • Etsy Inc.: Major Drivers
  • IPAR: Demand Outpacing Expectations

Aggressive Shorting on Dongwon Industries, Which Has Not Been Noticed as a K200 Deletion

By Sanghyun Park

  • Dongwon Industries’ float rate is less than 10% (1 – 63.15% – 27.65% = 9.20%), which makes it ineligible for KOSPI 200. KRX will reflect this in the June review.
  • The passive outflow size due to K200 deletion is expected to be about 50 billion won, which will cause an impact of about 28x ADTV.
  • Considering this deletion has not been sufficiently exposed in the market, the actual price impact may be even more significant and preemptive.

Korea Small Cap Gem #21: TS Corp – Addicted to Sugar

By Douglas Kim

  • Ts Corporation (001790 KS) is the 21st company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series.
  • TS Corp is one of the largest sugar refining companies in Korea. Rising raw sugar prices generally have a positive impact on TS Corp’s sales and profits. 
  • TS Corp owns very valuable real estate assets that are much larger than its current market cap (299 billion won).

To Change a Company that Didn’t Change when Activist Investors Asked for Solutions to Their Issues

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Now that percentage of foreign shareholders has reached 30%, other foreign shareholders are more likely to support activist investors’ proposals, and companies are paying more attention to communication with investors.
  • While cross-shareholdings held by banks etc. are declining, foreign shareholders and trust banks are on the rise. The holdings held by trust banks are managed by domestic institutional investors.
  • Whether their exercise of voting rights changes from the past will be the key to improving governance and moving forward with solutions to issues that have been postponed until now.

Coca-Cola Q1 Earnings Preview: Factors To Consider

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Inflationary headwinds in Latin America might have had a material effect in Q1.
  • However, Coca-Cola’s EMEA and North American results will probably blossom once more.
  • Most are non-core and unlikely to influence the stock’s valuation, KO stock is fairly valued.

Etsy Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Etsy Inc delivered a mixed set of results during the quarter and managed to surpass the revenue expectations of analysts but its profitability was below par.
  • The company’s management claims that its overall reach and consumer demand have increased and the services offered by the company are differentiated.
  • The company’s marketing programs, including the Star Seller program, continued to benefit the company.

IPAR: Demand Outpacing Expectations

By Hamed Khorsand

  • IPAR announced its first quarter sales highlighting the continued momentum in demand the Company has been seeing in recent quarters. 
  • IPAR’s major brands each grew by more than 20 percent compared to the year ago period. 
  • IPAR raised full year sales and EPS outlook as the business continues to run with brisk demand

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Health Care: Mankind Pharma, Dechra Pharmaceuticals, Coeptis Therapeutics Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Mankind Pharma IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN): Best Case Scenario Offers 10% Upside Potential
  • Coeptistx (COEP) Deverra Deal Flash Note 20042023

Mankind Pharma IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)‘s IPO is lined up to be open for subscription next week.
  • Mankind is one of the largest pharmaceutical formulation player in India. The company is a market leader in condoms, pregnancy test kits, emergency contraceptives category, etc.
  • However, when it comes to the balance sheet, there are several aspects that warrant attention. These include acquisitions, asset quality, non-comparable return ratios owing to accounting treatment, etc.

Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN): Best Case Scenario Offers 10% Upside Potential

By Tina Banerjee

  • Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN) received an offer from the Swedish private equity firm EQT regarding a possible all-cash deal, where Dechra shareholders would receive £40.70 per ordinary share in cash.
  • Right after the announcement, Dechra shares surged 33%. The shares are currently trading at £37.66, implying 10% upside potential.
  • Without EQT offer, based on current financial performance, Dechra has a bleak outlook. Currently, Dechra has average target price of £39.39, implying a spread of just ~5%.

Coeptistx (COEP) Deverra Deal Flash Note 20042023

By ACF Equity Research

  • Binding exclusivity to acquire or license Deverra Therapeutics’ platform asset 
  • CAR-T + GEAR COEP platforms could plug into Deverra platform
  • Other key assets – 2x FDA approved PI INDs for CD34+ NK Cells.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars