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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Indonesia: Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt, Indo Tambangraya Megah, Agile Property Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • FTSE All-World/​​All-Cap Index Rebalance: Changes, Switches, Hits & Misses
  • ITMG – Insights from the Q2 2022 Presentation
  • Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Sino-Ocean Service, Times China

FTSE All-World/​​All-Cap Index Rebalance: Changes, Switches, Hits & Misses

By Brian Freitas


ITMG – Insights from the Q2 2022 Presentation

By Sameer Taneja

  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) reported strong Q2 2022, with profits of 247 mn USD up 225% YoY, and coal prices averaging 202 USD/ton for the quarter (inline). 
  • The only disappointment was volumes which came in at 3.9 mn tons, down 20.5% YoY. The company guided sequential improvement in coal production for Q3 2022 to 4.6 mn tons. 
  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) is 2.6x PE FY22e, with 28% of its market capitalization in cash and a dividend yield of 28% based on a 70% payout ratio.

Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Sino-Ocean Service, Times China

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Macro: Just A Flesh Wound and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Just A Flesh Wound, or A Deep Cut?
  • “Price Leads Fundamentals”, Or “Don’t Fight the Fed”?
  • Supply-Side Developments Raise the Spectre of Structurally Higher Inflation

Just A Flesh Wound, or A Deep Cut?

By Cam Hui

  • The S&P 500 has paused its advance after a breadth thrust, but not all breadth thrusts are the same.
  • To be sure, most breadth thrusts have strong bullish implications. But this time may be different.
  • A variety of market internals indicates that the pause is likely to resolve in a deeper pullback rather than a more benign sideways consolidation.

“Price Leads Fundamentals”, Or “Don’t Fight the Fed”?

By Cam Hui

  • A wide gulf is opening between technical analysts, who are bullish, and macro analysts, who are bearish. A study of past major bear market bottoms suggests two possibilities.
  • The benign outcome will see the market undergo some choppiness for several months in the manner of the 2010 and 2011 bottom.
  • The more bearish scenario calls for a second leg down in the manner of the post-9/11 rally as the full effects of the recession reach culmination.

Supply-Side Developments Raise the Spectre of Structurally Higher Inflation

By Said Desaque

  • Poor productivity and rising unit labour costs since 2021 Q4 have raised the ante on companies to increase selling prices in order to preserve operating margins. 
  • The current environment presents the Fed with an opportunity to wrest control of setting US financial conditions by remaining focussed on restoring price stability.
  • Geopolitical tensions have raised inflation pressures via food and energy supply disruptions, while China’s future willingness to satiate Western consumer demand at any cost should be questioned. 

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: ITMG – Insights from the Q2 2022 Presentation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • ITMG – Insights from the Q2 2022 Presentation
  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Strengthening Innovative Portfolio Through In-Licensing
  • Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 2022H1 – Hard to Achieve V-Share Rebound
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Seeing Sign of an Upturn
  • Will This De-SPAC Be The Next Peloton?
  • China Internet Weekly (22Aug22): E-Commerce, Logistics, Online Game, Food Delivery
  • RC Ventures Sold Its Entire Stake In Bed, Bath & Beyond. Is GameStop Next?

ITMG – Insights from the Q2 2022 Presentation

By Sameer Taneja

  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) reported strong Q2 2022, with profits of 247 mn USD up 225% YoY, and coal prices averaging 202 USD/ton for the quarter (inline). 
  • The only disappointment was volumes which came in at 3.9 mn tons, down 20.5% YoY. The company guided sequential improvement in coal production for Q3 2022 to 4.6 mn tons. 
  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) is 2.6x PE FY22e, with 28% of its market capitalization in cash and a dividend yield of 28% based on a 70% payout ratio.

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Strengthening Innovative Portfolio Through In-Licensing

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK) is strengthening its innovative drug pipeline. In August the company in-licensed one clinical stage drug candidate for women health, having large addressable market opportunity in China.
  • Earlier in May, entered into an exclusive license agreement with NiKang Therapeutics and obtained an exclusive license to develop and commercialize NKT2152 for the treatment of cancer within China.
  • Hansoh’s self-developed oncology drug is getting closer to the UK approval through its partner EQRx. The company received approval for one generic oncology drug in China.

Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 2022H1 – Hard to Achieve V-Share Rebound

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • WuXi Biologics released 2022H1 results. The Company maintained its growth momentum. We highlight some positive sides. However, gross profit margin decreased. Considering the future trend, margin performance is not optimistic.
  • A drop in demand has already occurred. Meanwhile, after the biologic drug boom has passed, the “low-hanging fruit” is gone, there could be more magnified cyclical problems for WuXi Biologics.
  • As an old generation CXO, it’s difficult for WuXi Biologics to achieve V-shaped rebound or hit new highs.2022 is a good time to offload. Investors can take advantage of it.

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Seeing Sign of an Upturn

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Core net profit rose a healthy 10.9% at ENN Energy (2688 HK) in 1H22 despite challenges from pandemic lockdowns and surge in input costs.
  • We expect to see sequential improvement in both dollar margin for gas sales and overall gross margin in 2H22. Excellent integrated energy pipeline should add to earnings momentum.
  • Gearing improved 2.2pp in 1H22 and there is more room to deleverage in 2H22. While the stock’s valuation is not particularly cheap, it has probably already hit the trough. 

Will This De-SPAC Be The Next Peloton?

By subSPAC

  • Pandemic darling Peloton saw a meteoric rise and fall over the past two years.
  • The company initially benefited from soaring demand, but overestimated demand and eventually leading to a fire sale and massive layoffs.
  • German sports e-commerce retailer Signa Sports United, which went public through a SPAC deal last year, could face a similar fate in the coming months.

China Internet Weekly (22Aug22): E-Commerce, Logistics, Online Game, Food Delivery

By Ming Lu

  • Logistics companies’ revenue grew by over 10%, which reflects the recovery of e-commerce.
  • The market size of Chinese online game continued to shrink in July.
  • Alibaba’s Ele.me sets up a mini-program on TikTok to fight Meituan.

RC Ventures Sold Its Entire Stake In Bed, Bath & Beyond. Is GameStop Next?

By Andrei Zakharov

  • GameStop (GME US)  shares have materially outperformed the Nasdaq and S&P 500. GameStop shares fell ~2% YTD vs. Nasdaq (~-19%) and S&P 500 (~-11%). 
  • RC Ventures, controlled by GameStop Chairman Mr. Ryan Cohen, holds a ~12% stake in the struggling video game retailer. The company announced a 4-for-1 stock split in July.  
  • GameStop reported a record net loss of $158M and burned through ~$311M in cash in 1QFY22. We continue to believe the stock is massively overvalued and see downside potential. 

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Daily Brief China: China Shenhua Energy Co H, Haier Smart Home Co Ltd, China Pacific Insurance, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Wuxi Biologics, ENN Energy, Alibaba Group, Agile Property Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Hang Seng Index Rebalance – FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)
  • Hang Seng Tech Rebalance – No Name Changes But Lots of Flow
  • HSCEI Rebalance – One In, One Out, 3.1% One-Way Flow
  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Strengthening Innovative Portfolio Through In-Licensing
  • Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 2022H1 – Hard to Achieve V-Share Rebound
  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Seeing Sign of an Upturn
  • China Internet Weekly (22Aug22): E-Commerce, Logistics, Online Game, Food Delivery
  • Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Sino-Ocean Service, Times China

Hang Seng Index Rebalance – FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)

By Travis Lundy


Hang Seng Tech Rebalance – No Name Changes But Lots of Flow

By Travis Lundy

  • The Hang Seng Index Team announced the index review for the Hang Seng Tech Index Friday after the close. There were no additions or deletions.
  • However, there is a 4.9% one-way turnover on reasonably heavy FAF and capping changes. Sensetime sees a huge FAF increase. Tencent, Meituan, and Kuaishou get re-capped higher. Xiaomi lower.
  • There is a fair bit of flow, but the obvious big name – SenseTime Group (20 HK) – has potential overhang. Watch Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)

HSCEI Rebalance – One In, One Out, 3.1% One-Way Flow

By Travis Lundy


Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Strengthening Innovative Portfolio Through In-Licensing

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK) is strengthening its innovative drug pipeline. In August the company in-licensed one clinical stage drug candidate for women health, having large addressable market opportunity in China.
  • Earlier in May, entered into an exclusive license agreement with NiKang Therapeutics and obtained an exclusive license to develop and commercialize NKT2152 for the treatment of cancer within China.
  • Hansoh’s self-developed oncology drug is getting closer to the UK approval through its partner EQRx. The company received approval for one generic oncology drug in China.

Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 2022H1 – Hard to Achieve V-Share Rebound

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • WuXi Biologics released 2022H1 results. The Company maintained its growth momentum. We highlight some positive sides. However, gross profit margin decreased. Considering the future trend, margin performance is not optimistic.
  • A drop in demand has already occurred. Meanwhile, after the biologic drug boom has passed, the “low-hanging fruit” is gone, there could be more magnified cyclical problems for WuXi Biologics.
  • As an old generation CXO, it’s difficult for WuXi Biologics to achieve V-shaped rebound or hit new highs.2022 is a good time to offload. Investors can take advantage of it.

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Seeing Sign of an Upturn

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Core net profit rose a healthy 10.9% at ENN Energy (2688 HK) in 1H22 despite challenges from pandemic lockdowns and surge in input costs.
  • We expect to see sequential improvement in both dollar margin for gas sales and overall gross margin in 2H22. Excellent integrated energy pipeline should add to earnings momentum.
  • Gearing improved 2.2pp in 1H22 and there is more room to deleverage in 2H22. While the stock’s valuation is not particularly cheap, it has probably already hit the trough. 

China Internet Weekly (22Aug22): E-Commerce, Logistics, Online Game, Food Delivery

By Ming Lu

  • Logistics companies’ revenue grew by over 10%, which reflects the recovery of e-commerce.
  • The market size of Chinese online game continued to shrink in July.
  • Alibaba’s Ele.me sets up a mini-program on TikTok to fight Meituan.

Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Sino-Ocean Service, Times China

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Event-Driven: FTSE All-World/​​All-Cap Index Rebalance: Changes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • FTSE All-World/​​All-Cap Index Rebalance: Changes, Switches, Hits & Misses
  • Hang Seng Index Rebalance – FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)
  • Hang Seng Tech Rebalance – No Name Changes But Lots of Flow
  • HSCEI Rebalance – One In, One Out, 3.1% One-Way Flow
  • Merger Arb Mondays (22 Aug) – Link, Alliance, Nearmap, Genex, Ramsay, Lifestyle, EVOC, Giordano
  • Overheated Short Selling Designation in Korea: Precise Definitions for the Confusing Terms
  • Weekly Deals Digest (21 Aug) – CTGDF, Frasers Hospitality, Nearmap, Alliance, Tassal, Yashili

FTSE All-World/​​All-Cap Index Rebalance: Changes, Switches, Hits & Misses

By Brian Freitas


Hang Seng Index Rebalance – FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)

By Travis Lundy


Hang Seng Tech Rebalance – No Name Changes But Lots of Flow

By Travis Lundy

  • The Hang Seng Index Team announced the index review for the Hang Seng Tech Index Friday after the close. There were no additions or deletions.
  • However, there is a 4.9% one-way turnover on reasonably heavy FAF and capping changes. Sensetime sees a huge FAF increase. Tencent, Meituan, and Kuaishou get re-capped higher. Xiaomi lower.
  • There is a fair bit of flow, but the obvious big name – SenseTime Group (20 HK) – has potential overhang. Watch Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)

HSCEI Rebalance – One In, One Out, 3.1% One-Way Flow

By Travis Lundy



Overheated Short Selling Designation in Korea: Precise Definitions for the Confusing Terms

By Sanghyun Park

  • The definitions of the terms used in this designation rule have not been clearly disclosed. Even the words used in the original Korean text make interpreting quite tricky.
  • What confuses investors the most is the Short Selling Proportion, basically the ratio of a stock’s short-selling to the market.
  • Amount Increase in Short Selling Transactions is also quite confusing. It is the ratio of a stock’s short selling to its 40-day average daily short selling volume.

Weekly Deals Digest (21 Aug) – CTGDF, Frasers Hospitality, Nearmap, Alliance, Tassal, Yashili

By Arun George


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Health Care: Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Wuxi Biologics, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Strengthening Innovative Portfolio Through In-Licensing
  • Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 2022H1 – Hard to Achieve V-Share Rebound
  • More Companies Are Hiring Women Directors, but to Solve the Fundamental Problem of Diversity

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Strengthening Innovative Portfolio Through In-Licensing

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK) is strengthening its innovative drug pipeline. In August the company in-licensed one clinical stage drug candidate for women health, having large addressable market opportunity in China.
  • Earlier in May, entered into an exclusive license agreement with NiKang Therapeutics and obtained an exclusive license to develop and commercialize NKT2152 for the treatment of cancer within China.
  • Hansoh’s self-developed oncology drug is getting closer to the UK approval through its partner EQRx. The company received approval for one generic oncology drug in China.

Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 2022H1 – Hard to Achieve V-Share Rebound

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • WuXi Biologics released 2022H1 results. The Company maintained its growth momentum. We highlight some positive sides. However, gross profit margin decreased. Considering the future trend, margin performance is not optimistic.
  • A drop in demand has already occurred. Meanwhile, after the biologic drug boom has passed, the “low-hanging fruit” is gone, there could be more magnified cyclical problems for WuXi Biologics.
  • As an old generation CXO, it’s difficult for WuXi Biologics to achieve V-shaped rebound or hit new highs.2022 is a good time to offload. Investors can take advantage of it.

More Companies Are Hiring Women Directors, but to Solve the Fundamental Problem of Diversity

By Aki Matsumoto

  • It shows that many companies still do not recognize the importance of diversity and that the hiring of women independent directors is merely a numbers game.
  • In Japan, there is the belief that a close-knit organization is more effective in achieving its goals, and there is a practice of excluding different opinions by emphasizing homogeneity.
  • In addition to the repeated disregard for women’s rights, the deep-seated problem of accepting this disregard is the reason diversity has not truly progressed.

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The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Utilities: ENN Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): Seeing Sign of an Upturn

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Seeing Sign of an Upturn

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Core net profit rose a healthy 10.9% at ENN Energy (2688 HK) in 1H22 despite challenges from pandemic lockdowns and surge in input costs.
  • We expect to see sequential improvement in both dollar margin for gas sales and overall gross margin in 2H22. Excellent integrated energy pipeline should add to earnings momentum.
  • Gearing improved 2.2pp in 1H22 and there is more room to deleverage in 2H22. While the stock’s valuation is not particularly cheap, it has probably already hit the trough. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: China Shenhua Energy Co H, Indo Tambangraya Megah, Ecopro BM Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Hang Seng Index Rebalance – FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)
  • ITMG – Insights from the Q2 2022 Presentation
  • Overheated Short Selling Designation in Korea: Precise Definitions for the Confusing Terms

Hang Seng Index Rebalance – FOUR Names IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)

By Travis Lundy


ITMG – Insights from the Q2 2022 Presentation

By Sameer Taneja

  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) reported strong Q2 2022, with profits of 247 mn USD up 225% YoY, and coal prices averaging 202 USD/ton for the quarter (inline). 
  • The only disappointment was volumes which came in at 3.9 mn tons, down 20.5% YoY. The company guided sequential improvement in coal production for Q3 2022 to 4.6 mn tons. 
  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) is 2.6x PE FY22e, with 28% of its market capitalization in cash and a dividend yield of 28% based on a 70% payout ratio.

Overheated Short Selling Designation in Korea: Precise Definitions for the Confusing Terms

By Sanghyun Park

  • The definitions of the terms used in this designation rule have not been clearly disclosed. Even the words used in the original Korean text make interpreting quite tricky.
  • What confuses investors the most is the Short Selling Proportion, basically the ratio of a stock’s short-selling to the market.
  • Amount Increase in Short Selling Transactions is also quite confusing. It is the ratio of a stock’s short selling to its 40-day average daily short selling volume.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Link Administration, Nearmap Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Arb Mondays (22 Aug) – Link, Alliance, Nearmap, Genex, Ramsay, Lifestyle, EVOC, Giordano
  • Weekly Deals Digest (21 Aug) – CTGDF, Frasers Hospitality, Nearmap, Alliance, Tassal, Yashili


Weekly Deals Digest (21 Aug) – CTGDF, Frasers Hospitality, Nearmap, Alliance, Tassal, Yashili

By Arun George


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Financials: China Pacific Insurance, Agile Property Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCEI Rebalance – One In, One Out, 3.1% One-Way Flow
  • Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Sino-Ocean Service, Times China

HSCEI Rebalance – One In, One Out, 3.1% One-Way Flow

By Travis Lundy


Morning Views Asia: CIFI Holdings, Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Sino-Ocean Service, Times China

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars