All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Westwater Resources, Cf Industries Holdings, Crude Oil, Fmc Corp, TMC the metals co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Impressive Progress on Multiple Fronts to End the Year
  • CF Industries Holdings Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
  • Our Oil Price Analysis // FED is Willing to Break the Market
  • FMC Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
  • Getting ISA Exploitation Application Ducks in a Row with the Help of Bechtel

Impressive Progress on Multiple Fronts to End the Year

By Water Tower Research

  • WWR provided an investor update for 4Q22 and FY22 results, which included a full-year net loss of $11.1 million, compared with a $16.1 million loss in 2021, driven by lower product development costs, partially offset by higher general and administrative costs, as the company continues to add to its team.
  • For the year, WWR spent $52.8 million in capex on Phase I of its Kellyton, AL graphite plant and has $75 million in cash remaining on its balance sheet as of the end of 2022, with no debt.
  • Agreement with Tier I battery OEM. WWR has entered into an agreement with a Tier I EV battery manufacturer that can result in a finalized offtake agreement for potentially all graphite anode material from the plant.

CF Industries Holdings Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on one of the largest producers of nitrogen products in the world – CF Industries.
  • CF’s overall performance was fairly good against the backdrop of a continually tight global supply-demand balance for nitrogen.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of CF Industries with an ‘Outperform’ rating.

Our Oil Price Analysis // FED is Willing to Break the Market

By The Commodity Report

  • According to S&P Global, the renewable output by the grid operator MISO averaged 333,012 GWh in Q4.
  • Despite Bonneville Power Administration’s (BPA) renewable output slipping 12% in Q4, it remained the footprint with the most renewable market share at 75.6% of its total fuel mix for Q4.
  • The latest ACP data shows that the total installed solar capacity in the US grew by 17% year on year, reaching 74.126 GW in Q4.

FMC Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on FMC Corporation, a major agricultural sciences company in the U.S.
  • FMC achieved significant results in the quarter because of high volume growth and aggressive pricing and it managed to deliver an all-around beat.
  • Its new product sales are growing quickly, nearly doubling year over year, accounting for 11% of overall sales in the quarter.

Getting ISA Exploitation Application Ducks in a Row with the Help of Bechtel

By Water Tower Research

  • Having completed the large-scale pilot program in December 2022, TMC, along with its NORI partners, consultants, and independent observers, generated and collected a wealth of environmental, technical, and economic data pertaining to deep-sea mining operations the company intends to undertake on commercial scale once the ISA exploitation application is accepted and approved.
  • TMC also announced that it joined an international consortium to develop the first ESG handbook for marine minerals in an effort to establish global uniform standards for the evaluation of ESG performance of marine mineral projects.
  • In preparation for its exploitation contract application, the company has engaged Bechtel Australia Ltd., a global leader in engineering, procurement, and construction, to collect and compile the various technical and economic studies, including environmental studies, being prepared by the consultants that will form the basis for NORI’s application to the ISA for an exploitation contract.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Consumer: Sona BLW Precision Forgings, K Car, Fuji Oil Holdings, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix, Ricegrowers Ltd, Trial Holdings and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Sona Blw Precision Placement – US$585m Clean-Up Sale by Blackstone Will Lift the Overhang
  • Names for a Preemptive Long Short Setup for KOSPI 200 June Rebalancing
  • Fuji Oil: Probably The Last Chance For Itochu to Scoop Up Fuji Oil at a Bargain
  • What’s Solution for TSE Growth Market, Where IPOs Became the Goal and Lost Growth Due to Burnout?
  • Ricegrowers Limited (SunRice) – H1 FY23 Highlights Relative Freight Opportunity
  • Trial Holdings Pre-IPO – The Positives – Steady past Performance with an Expanding Footprint

Sona Blw Precision Placement – US$585m Clean-Up Sale by Blackstone Will Lift the Overhang

By Clarence Chu

  • Singapore VII Topco III (Blackstone-affiliate) is looking to raise at least US$585m in its stake sale of Sona BLW Precision Forgings (SONACOMS IN)
  • The share sale is a clean-up one and will lift the overhang on the stock.
  • The block is marketed at a floor price of INR400/share, at a 8.3% discount to last close. 

Names for a Preemptive Long Short Setup for KOSPI 200 June Rebalancing

By Sanghyun Park

  • Kum Yang and Youlchon Chemical are within the borderline for inclusion, whereas Hwaseung Enterprise and K Car are in the deletion zone.
  • Since the review period has reached 75%, it seems reasonable to consider a somewhat aggressive buildup for them.
  • We can also consider setting up preemptive positions only for Kum Yang and Hwaseung Enterprise and then sequentially look for entry opportunities for Youlchon and K Car later on.

Fuji Oil: Probably The Last Chance For Itochu to Scoop Up Fuji Oil at a Bargain

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Having conducted several acquisitions and reinvested most of the operating cashflows into building its overseas business base, Fuji Oil Holdings (2607 JP) seems ready to unleash its earnings potential.
  • There could be more than a 100% upside to Fuji Oil shares if ROE returns to the historical median of 9% in the next few years.
  • Therefore, if Itochu Corp (8001 JP) has plans to takeover Fuji-Oil, the current price and the position in the business-cycle present the best opportunity to buy-out Fuji-Oil at a bargain.

What’s Solution for TSE Growth Market, Where IPOs Became the Goal and Lost Growth Due to Burnout?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Few companies have generally achieved significant growth since listing, and about half of the companies are below their market capitalization at the IPO, which is challenges in TSE Growth Market.
  • Even if the number of companies subject to such shares is limited, the use of multiple voting shares shouldn’t be ruled out if the dilution of voting rights hinders fundraising.
  • The key to solving the challenges of TSE Growth Market, where few companies have growth potential and have financing needs, is the ability of management to realize growth potential post-listing.

Ricegrowers Limited (SunRice) – H1 FY23 Highlights Relative Freight Opportunity

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • We have compiled a summary of the results and outlook statements for our assessed peers of Ricegrowers Limited, trading as SunRice (ASX:SGLLV), with a particular focus on trading conditions, product pricing, freight costs, outlook statements and consensus earnings changes.
  • The overwhelming summary of trading conditions over CY22 was ‘challenging’ outside of Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE) and Ridley Corporation (ASX:RIC).
  • The overwhelming outlook commentary assumes normalising weather conditions, price increases recouping cost inflation, lower freight costs, improved labour availability and higher earnings. 

Trial Holdings Pre-IPO – The Positives – Steady past Performance with an Expanding Footprint

By Sumeet Singh

  • Trial Holdings (5882 JP)‘s is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO.
  • TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.
  • In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Meituan, Kanzhun, USD Coin and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Meituan: Scaling Back Ride-Hailing Business to Maintain Margins
  • [Kanzhun Ltd. (BZ US) Rating Change]: Nearing a Saturation Point…DG to SELL
  • The Aftermath: What Happened to USDC?

Meituan: Scaling Back Ride-Hailing Business to Maintain Margins

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Several news media outlets reported last week that Meituan (3690 HK) is restructuring its ride-hailing services business to cut down costs as top line growth is slowing down.
  • Meituan launched ride-hailing services as a stand-alone app in 2017, it was merged into Meituan Super App in 2019. Relaunched as a stand-alone app in 2021 following Didi’s app removal.
  • Meituan has increased its headcount to compete with Douyin while has started hiring riders to launch services in Hong Kong which would likely to further drag down margins.

[Kanzhun Ltd. (BZ US) Rating Change]: Nearing a Saturation Point…DG to SELL

By Shawn Yang

  • We are concerned that BZ will incur higher sales marketing cost to maintain its increasingly sluggish MAU growth. 
  • We expect BZ to post C4Q22 revenue 2% higher than consensus, but with non-GAAP net margin 5.7ppt lower, due to lower GM and higher S&M.
  • We downgrade BZ from BUY to SELL rating, and cut TP to US$12.4, imply 51x PE in 2023, and the stock currently trading at 76x PE in 2023.

The Aftermath: What Happened to USDC?

By Kaiko

  • In the hours following Sillicon Valley Bank’s collapse, news emerged that Circle, issuer of the USDC stablecoin, held $3.3bn of reserves in SVB, triggering panic that the stablecoin was no longer fully backed.
  • As of Sunday night, we know that Circle’s reserves are safe, but over the weekend both centralized and decentralized markets descended into chaos.
  • Today, we’ll walk you through what exactly happened.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Financials: Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Country Garden Holdings Co, GK Goh Holdings, Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Sa, Sprott Physical Platinum and Palladium Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): Offering Price Decided; Buyback & Passive Flow Coming Up
  • Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): JPY1,131 Offer Price; Updated Playbook
  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO – It Was All Good, till Friday
  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Transmission, Country Garden Holdings Co
  • G.K.Goh’s Offer Doc Out. No New News Otherwise
  • FY2022 Results and Discount to NAV
  • SPPP: Betting Big On Platinum And Palladium

Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): Offering Price Decided; Buyback & Passive Flow Coming Up

By Brian Freitas

  • Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) has announced that the offering price has been set at JPY 1131/share, a 2.08% discount to the closing price. Settlement is on 20 March.
  • The buyback will run from 22 March to 12 May and at last prices will mop up 1.85% of shares outstanding or 4.62% of post-offering float.
  • In the short-term, we expect buying from Topix (TPX INDEX), MSCI and other global trackers to support the stock price. 

Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): JPY1,131 Offer Price; Updated Playbook

By Arun George

  • Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) priced its offer at JPY1,131, a discount of 2.1% to the last close. JPB’s on-market buyback period runs from 22 March to 12 May.
  • Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)/ JPH’s 2021 offering suggests that the share price will have support to trade above the offer price at delivery date and the on-market buyback period.
  • The offer price’s forward P/B of 0.45x and yield of 4.42% are attractive vs peers. JPB’s price ratio at the offer price is undemanding vs TOPIX Banks ETF and JPH.

SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO – It Was All Good, till Friday

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is looking to raise around US$390m in its second listing attempt.
  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.
  • In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range

Morning Views Asia: Adani Transmission, Country Garden Holdings Co

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


G.K.Goh’s Offer Doc Out. No New News Otherwise

By David Blennerhassett

  • The Offer Document for GK Goh Holdings (GKG SP)‘s MBO has been dispatched. The Offer price of $1.26/share, which is final, is a 38.5% premium to last close. 
  • The Offer is conditional on the Goh family holding 90%, which may be reduced to 50%. GKG Investment, with 62.89%, has given an irrevocable to tender. 
  • There is no IFA opinion in the Offer Doc. This will be present in the Circular which is expected to be sent out by the 28th March, at the latest.

FY2022 Results and Discount to NAV

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • NAV/Share down 19% for FY2022 in line with falls in the market. Private/alternative assets represented 36.3% of GAV and 39.86% of NAV. Discount to NAV was 35.8% as of YE2022.
  • The discount to NAV was 36.7% as of 10 March. GBL is buying and cancelling its own shares, which creates value as it’s done at a deep discount to NAV.
  • GBL has completed its transition towards a 40% of private/alternative assets in portfolio, but still needs to convince investors to lower its discount to levels closer to Investor AB. 

SPPP: Betting Big On Platinum And Palladium

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • Sprott Physical Platinum & Palladium Trust has a nearly equally-weighted portfolio of physical Platinum and Palladium.
  • The closed-ended trust has an expense ratio of only 0.5% and is trading below its short and long-term moving averages.
  • Platinum Group Metal (“PGM”) prices offer researchers an exciting topic, given the velocity of the recent shift in supply and demand-side variables that influence PGM prices.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Industrials: Halcyon Agri, ZTO Express, LX International, SK Networks, JD Logistics, ZKH Group, Hanwha Aerospace, MonotaRO Co Ltd, Parker Hannifin and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Halcyon Agri’s Offer: IFA Says Fair. Independent Directors Say Accept
  • China Internet Weekly (13Mar2023): ZTO, Meituan, Alibaba, Trip.com, Dada, JD.com
  • Shorting Event on LX International’s Potential Rights Offer for HMM Takeover
  • SK Networks: 100 Billion Won in Share Buyback + 70 Billion Won in Treasury Shares Cancellation
  • JD Logistics (2618 HK): 4Q22, Outside Customer Revenue Continued Surging, Buy
  • ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case
  • MSCI Korea Potential Adds & Deletes in May 2023 Amid Heightened Market Volatility
  • Monotaro (3064) | Pricing in Downside Risks
  • Parker-Hannifin Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – The Meggitt Synergies & Other Drivers

Halcyon Agri’s Offer: IFA Says Fair. Independent Directors Say Accept

By David Blennerhassett

  • Halcyon Agri (HACL SP) has issued the circular in response to China Hainan Rubber Industry (601118 CH)‘s conditional MGO.
  • The IFA reckons the Offer is fair and reasonable. The Independent Directors recommend that shareholders accept the Offer.
  • The first close is the 24 March. Hainan Rubber is under no obligation to extend the Offer beyond this date. 

China Internet Weekly (13Mar2023): ZTO, Meituan, Alibaba, Trip.com, Dada, JD.com

By Ming Lu

  • Grizzly Research LLC publishes a short selling report on ZTO.
  • Meituan plans to shift car hailing from direct operation to a platform for third-party operators.
  • Dada, which was acquired by JD.com last year, posts good 4Q22 results.

Shorting Event on LX International’s Potential Rights Offer for HMM Takeover

By Sanghyun Park

  • The opinion rapidly spreading in the local market is that LX International is increasing its available shares by twice the amount to plan a paid-in increase for the HMM acquisition.
  • The size of an offering is estimated at ₩1.2T to ₩1.5T. The short-term price impact will undoubtedly be significant for LX International having a market cap of ₩1.2T.
  • The market has already witnessed a preemptive position buildup targeting this. However, since there is a time gap until the offering announcement, an entry point opportunity may still be available.

SK Networks: 100 Billion Won in Share Buyback + 70 Billion Won in Treasury Shares Cancellation

By Douglas Kim

  • SK Networks announced that it will repurchase 100 billion won in common shares and also cancel nearly 70 billion won of existing treasury shares.
  • The combined share buyback and treasury shares cancellation will represent nearly 14% of the company’s total outstanding shares.  
  • The combined share buyback and treasury shares cancellation which will represent nearly 14% of the company’s total outstanding shares, will likely have a positive impact on SK Network’s share price.

JD Logistics (2618 HK): 4Q22, Outside Customer Revenue Continued Surging, Buy

By Ming Lu

  • Total revenue increased by 41% YoY and revenue from external customers increased by 69% YoY in 4Q22.
  • We believe total revenue will grow by 26% in 2023 and 17% in 2024.
  • We also believe the stock has an upside of 58% and a price target of HK$20.

ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • ZKH Group (ZKH US), a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.
  • The ZKH platform is for enterprise customers and the GBB platform is for micro businesses. Key backers include Tencent (700 HK) and Tiger Global.
  • The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, solid customer loyalty, improving gross margin, lower operating losses and a strong balance sheet.

MSCI Korea Potential Adds & Deletes in May 2023 Amid Heightened Market Volatility

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions in the next MSCI Korea Index rebalance announcement in May 2023 amid heightened market volatility.
  • The potential inclusions (high probability) in the MSCI Korea index in May are Hanwha Aerospace and Ecopro. Potential adds (low probability) include POSCO International, Cosmo AM&T, and SM Entertainment.
  • The three most likely exclusions in the MSCI Korea index in May include Lotte Shopping, SD Biosensor, and S1 Corporation.

Monotaro (3064) | Pricing in Downside Risks

By Mark Chadwick

  • We reassess our long-term financial model for Monotaro following 2 consecutive months of weak monthly data
  • Just two months into the new fiscal year, but YTD sales growth of 13% is far short of the full year target
  • Our DCF valuation highlights further 21% downside assuming 10y CAGR of 10.5%

Parker-Hannifin Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – The Meggitt Synergies & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Parker-Hannifin Corporation, a global leader in motion and control technologies.
  • Parker-Hannifin delivered strong operating performance throughout the second quarter of the current fiscal and delivered an all-around beat.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of Parker-Hannifin Corporation with a ‘Hold’ rating.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Industrials: Halcyon Agri, ZTO Express, LX International, SK Networks, JD Logistics, ZKH Group, Hanwha Aerospace, MonotaRO Co Ltd, Parker Hannifin and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Halcyon Agri’s Offer: IFA Says Fair. Independent Directors Say Accept
  • China Internet Weekly (13Mar2023): ZTO, Meituan, Alibaba, Trip.com, Dada, JD.com
  • Shorting Event on LX International’s Potential Rights Offer for HMM Takeover
  • SK Networks: 100 Billion Won in Share Buyback + 70 Billion Won in Treasury Shares Cancellation
  • JD Logistics (2618 HK): 4Q22, Outside Customer Revenue Continued Surging, Buy
  • ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case
  • MSCI Korea Potential Adds & Deletes in May 2023 Amid Heightened Market Volatility
  • Monotaro (3064) | Pricing in Downside Risks
  • Parker-Hannifin Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – The Meggitt Synergies & Other Drivers

Halcyon Agri’s Offer: IFA Says Fair. Independent Directors Say Accept

By David Blennerhassett

  • Halcyon Agri (HACL SP) has issued the circular in response to China Hainan Rubber Industry (601118 CH)‘s conditional MGO.
  • The IFA reckons the Offer is fair and reasonable. The Independent Directors recommend that shareholders accept the Offer.
  • The first close is the 24 March. Hainan Rubber is under no obligation to extend the Offer beyond this date. 

China Internet Weekly (13Mar2023): ZTO, Meituan, Alibaba, Trip.com, Dada, JD.com

By Ming Lu

  • Grizzly Research LLC publishes a short selling report on ZTO.
  • Meituan plans to shift car hailing from direct operation to a platform for third-party operators.
  • Dada, which was acquired by JD.com last year, posts good 4Q22 results.

Shorting Event on LX International’s Potential Rights Offer for HMM Takeover

By Sanghyun Park

  • The opinion rapidly spreading in the local market is that LX International is increasing its available shares by twice the amount to plan a paid-in increase for the HMM acquisition.
  • The size of an offering is estimated at ₩1.2T to ₩1.5T. The short-term price impact will undoubtedly be significant for LX International having a market cap of ₩1.2T.
  • The market has already witnessed a preemptive position buildup targeting this. However, since there is a time gap until the offering announcement, an entry point opportunity may still be available.

SK Networks: 100 Billion Won in Share Buyback + 70 Billion Won in Treasury Shares Cancellation

By Douglas Kim

  • SK Networks announced that it will repurchase 100 billion won in common shares and also cancel nearly 70 billion won of existing treasury shares.
  • The combined share buyback and treasury shares cancellation will represent nearly 14% of the company’s total outstanding shares.  
  • The combined share buyback and treasury shares cancellation which will represent nearly 14% of the company’s total outstanding shares, will likely have a positive impact on SK Network’s share price.

JD Logistics (2618 HK): 4Q22, Outside Customer Revenue Continued Surging, Buy

By Ming Lu

  • Total revenue increased by 41% YoY and revenue from external customers increased by 69% YoY in 4Q22.
  • We believe total revenue will grow by 26% in 2023 and 17% in 2024.
  • We also believe the stock has an upside of 58% and a price target of HK$20.

ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • ZKH Group (ZKH US), a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.
  • The ZKH platform is for enterprise customers and the GBB platform is for micro businesses. Key backers include Tencent (700 HK) and Tiger Global.
  • The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, solid customer loyalty, improving gross margin, lower operating losses and a strong balance sheet.

MSCI Korea Potential Adds & Deletes in May 2023 Amid Heightened Market Volatility

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions in the next MSCI Korea Index rebalance announcement in May 2023 amid heightened market volatility.
  • The potential inclusions (high probability) in the MSCI Korea index in May are Hanwha Aerospace and Ecopro. Potential adds (low probability) include POSCO International, Cosmo AM&T, and SM Entertainment.
  • The three most likely exclusions in the MSCI Korea index in May include Lotte Shopping, SD Biosensor, and S1 Corporation.

Monotaro (3064) | Pricing in Downside Risks

By Mark Chadwick

  • We reassess our long-term financial model for Monotaro following 2 consecutive months of weak monthly data
  • Just two months into the new fiscal year, but YTD sales growth of 13% is far short of the full year target
  • Our DCF valuation highlights further 21% downside assuming 10y CAGR of 10.5%

Parker-Hannifin Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – The Meggitt Synergies & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Parker-Hannifin Corporation, a global leader in motion and control technologies.
  • Parker-Hannifin delivered strong operating performance throughout the second quarter of the current fiscal and delivered an all-around beat.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of Parker-Hannifin Corporation with a ‘Hold’ rating.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Health Care: Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics, Lutronic Corp, AmerisourceBergen Corp, Centene Corp, Davita Healthcare Partners and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760.CH) – Shareholders’ Stock Selling and the Outlook
  • Lutronic Corp (085370 KS): Record-High Performance in 2022; Litigation May Limit Upside Potential
  • AmerisourceBergen Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Acquisition of PharmaLex & Key Drivers
  • Centene Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Restructuring & Other Drivers
  • DaVita Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Strong Value Proposition & Key Drivers

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760.CH) – Shareholders’ Stock Selling and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Several original shareholders reduced their holdings of Mindray, which indicates that the senior executives and major shareholders aren’t optimistic about Mindray’s outlook, putting the Company’s long-term growth under scrutiny.
  • Mindray’s performance in overseas markets could be under pressure, which is an uncertain factor to drag down this year’s performance growth. Supply chain issue would hinder Mindray’s breakthrough in high-end fields.
  • Performance slowdown could continue if without breakthroughs in new growth points or internationalization. Our forecast on 2023 growth is about 15%-18%. Mindray’s valuation may fall back to 30-35 PE TTM.

Lutronic Corp (085370 KS): Record-High Performance in 2022; Litigation May Limit Upside Potential

By Tina Banerjee

  • Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) recorded its highest ever revenue and operating profit in 2022, driven by strong performance of overseas business, which contributed 88% of revenue and grew 62% YoY.
  • Overall, business has recovered with the reopening of the dermatology clinics and resumption of elective procedures globally. In addition to product sales, sales of consumables and services are steadily increasing.
  • Despite stellar performance in 2022, ongoing lawsuit against U.S.-based competitor remains an overhang on Lutronic’s overseas growth aspirations, especially in the U.S.

AmerisourceBergen Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Acquisition of PharmaLex & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on major pharmaceutical sourcing and distribution services provider, AmerisourceBergen.
  • Among major updates, AmerisourceBergen added PharmaLex to its portfolio of specialty solutions to expand its capabilities.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Centene Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Restructuring & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Centene Corporation, one of the largest health insurance players in the U.S.
  • Centene had a successful year in 2022 and ended it on a positive note with an all-around beat.
  • Total revenue grew by $3 billion, driven by strong organic growth in Medicaid, strong growth in Medicare membership, and the acquisition of Magellan.

DaVita Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Strong Value Proposition & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on major healthcare provider, DaVita.
  • DaVita produced an adjusted operating income of $317 million and adjusted profits per share from continuing operations of $1.11 for the fourth quarter, bringing the entire year squarely at the top of the revised target range it provided last quarter.
  • During the previous quarter, the international adjusted operating income fell by $15 million.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Utilities: Adani Transmission and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

Quiddity Leaderboard for BSE/​SENSEX Jun 23: NMDC Could Be a BSE 200 ADD

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the June 2023 Rebalance.
  • The BSE AllCap March 2023 Rebalance results were announced and this changes the main universe from which SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 members are selected.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the recent updates to my expectations and the price and volume performance of the candidates.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief Australia: Harvey Norman Holdings, HomeCo Daily Needs REIT, Invocare Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: One Deletion & Other Changes
  • MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance:  Float/Capping Changes
  • Merger Arb Mondays (13 Mar) – InvoCare, Origin, Tyro, Toyo, Oishi, AAG Energy, Yashili, Halcyon

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: One Deletion & Other Changes

By Brian Freitas


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance:  Float/Capping Changes

By Brian Freitas



💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief China: Jiangsu Cnano Technology Co Ltd-A, Alibaba (ADR), Country Garden Holdings Co, China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in June (Possibly)
  • [Alibaba (BABA US) Target Price Change]: No Growth in March Promotion, Cut TP to US$100
  • China Real Estate
  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Road King Infrastructure, Sunny Optical, Vedanta Resources

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in June (Possibly)

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 26 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 9 June.
  • We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.
  • One way turnover is estimated at 1.6% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 1,442m. The impact on the deletions will be larger than that on the inclusions.

[Alibaba (BABA US) Target Price Change]: No Growth in March Promotion, Cut TP to US$100

By Shawn Yang

  • Based on our recent checks, we expect that Tmall sales in the march promo were weaker-than-expected, especially in apparel and beauty make-up. 
  • Meanwhile, we maintain our prior forecast for Douyin’s overall eCommerce growth, and we expect that Douyin Mall’s share of Douyin eCommerce GMV is now higher than we previously estimated.
  • We cut the GMV growth of Taobao and Tmall from 4.4% YoY to 1.4% YoY in FY24, and cut BABA’s TP to US$ 100, implying 12.6x FY23 PE.

China Real Estate

By Untying The Gordian Knot

  • As a background, can I refer the reader to Substack Note No One Cares 有中国特色 Real Estate Liquidity Spiral to Solvency Challenge 31st October 2022 ?
  • It bottoms ticked recovery in the highly leveraged Real estate Index Hang Seng Mainland Property Index (HSPMI) and rallied 103% from trough to peak 27th January 2023.
  • The mainland listed Index CSI 300 Real estate (CSI300RE) trough (1st November) to peak (27th November) was 43.5%.

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Road King Infrastructure, Sunny Optical, Vedanta Resources

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars