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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Adani Enterprises, Jiangnan, ABB India Ltd, Honeywell International, Illinois Tool Works and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Adani Group – MSCI’s Special Treatment Gets More Special, and Partially Delayed, and Possibly Worse
  • Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Powering Up
  • NIFTY NEXT50 / NIFTY100 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes + Capping = Big Turnover
  • Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Is the Chairman/CEO Reattempting Privatisation?
  • Honeywell International Inc.: Hydrogen Fuel Cells For Aviation & Other Drivers
  • Illinois Tool Works Inc.: Major Drivers

Adani Group – MSCI’s Special Treatment Gets More Special, and Partially Delayed, and Possibly Worse

By Travis Lundy

  • On 8 February, MSCI announced special treatment for the Adani names in its indices, discussed in Adani Group – MSCI Will Treat Very Adani Funds as a Very Special Case
  • Late on 15 February they came out with a revision of their implementation – which was problematic because some stocks had gone limit down many days in a row. 
  • The stocks responded. But it clearly isn’t an easy implementation, and it clearly isn’t over. 

Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Powering Up

By David Blennerhassett

  • Jiangnan (1366 HK), a manufacturer of wires and cables for power transmission and distribution systems, was suspended yesterday at lunchtime pursuant to Hong Kong’s Code on Takeovers and Mergers.
  • But not before the share price gained 63% on clear news leakage.
  • Chu Hui, the chairman, CEO, and major shareholder, mulled taking the private six years ago. 

NIFTY NEXT50 / NIFTY100 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes + Capping = Big Turnover

By Brian Freitas


Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Is the Chairman/CEO Reattempting Privatisation?

By Arun George

  • Jiangnan (1366 HK) entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 16 February. 
  • It is likely that Mr Chu Hui (Chairman and CEO), the largest shareholder representing 34.99% of outstanding shares is reattempting to privatise Jiangnan. 
  • The 83.9% share price run prior to the trading halt suggests that the offeror is very close to finalising a formal proposal at a hefty premium to the undisturbed price. 

Honeywell International Inc.: Hydrogen Fuel Cells For Aviation & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Honeywell had another challenging quarter with inflation headwinds and supply chain constraints still at play.
  • Modest improvement in the supply chain helped Honeywell to reduce its cost to use backlog and deliver more building management systems and fire products resulting in organic growth in the building products.
  • Advanced materials grew in the quarter, as seen from the strong value capture across the demand and portfolio in fluorine products.

Illinois Tool Works Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Illinois Tool Works continues to face various challenges in this operating environment which is why it had a mixed financial performance in the last quarter of the year.
  • Automotive OEM revenues were up, and food equipment delivered a very strong quarter.
  • Welding delivery had quite a strong organic growth in the quarter, with a rise in equipment and consumables.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Classys, Fresenius Medical Care Ag & Co, Basilea Pharmaceutica Ag, Cardinal Health, Gilead Sciences and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Classys (214150 KS): Record-High Sales and Profit in 2022; Geography Expansion to Accelerate Growth
  • Fresenius Medical Care (FME GR): Look Before You Leap; Uncertainty & Cost Pressure Continue to Bite
  • Basilea Pharmaceutica – Profitability sooner than expected
  • Cardinal Health Inc: Major Drivers
  • Gilead Sciences Inc.: Advancement In Autoimmune Immunotherapy Pipeline & Other Drivers

Classys (214150 KS): Record-High Sales and Profit in 2022; Geography Expansion to Accelerate Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Classys (214150 KS) reported strong performance in 2022, with highest ever revenue and profit, driven by increased sales of equipment and consumables due to increased global awareness of major products.
  • Revenue from export recorded a CAGR of 30% during 2017–2022, mainly driven by strong growth in Brazil. Classys launched Shrink Universe in Korea and Ultraformer MPT in global market.
  • For 2023, Classys has guided for revenue of KRW170B (+20% YoY), driven by Shrink Universe’s expansion into the global market, full-fledged domestic sales of Volumemers, and increasing volume of consumables.

Fresenius Medical Care (FME GR): Look Before You Leap; Uncertainty & Cost Pressure Continue to Bite

By Tina Banerjee

  • Fresenius Medical Care Ag & Co (FME GR) is reporting decelerating organic revenue growth and earnings decline. The company has revised 2022 revenue and earnings guidance twice in last year.  
  • Earnings are heavily impacted by the unprecedented US labor market situation constraining capacity and accelerating wage inflation, and worsening macroeconomic environment driving cost inflation and supply chain disruptions.
  • For 2022, the company expects low single-digit percentage revenue growth and high teens to mid-twenties percentage decline in net income. CEO has stepped down within two months of taking charge.

Basilea Pharmaceutica – Profitability sooner than expected

By Edison Investment Research

Basilea reported strong FY22 results following the successful execution of its strategic realignment to focus on anti-infectives. The top-line beat (c 21% ahead of the top end of guidance) was driven by accelerating global uptake of its marketed assets, primarily Cresemba, which recorded 22% year-on-year growth in royalties (to CHF65m). In combination with the receipt of milestone payments, lower-than-expected operating expenses and the sale of oncology assets, management was able to achieve profitability (FY22 net profit of CHF12.1m) a year earlier than anticipated. As Cresemba peaks, we expect additional support to come from the successful US launch of Zevtera (NDA expected in March/April 2023) and the introduction of novel late pre-clinical/clinical anti-infective assets in Basilea’s development pipeline. Our updated valuation is CHF785m or CHF65.7/share (previously CHF921.7m or CHF77.8/share), reflecting our revised estimates and the recent sale of oncology assets, partially offset by lower net debt (CHF46.7m at end-FY22) following repayment of the 2022 convertibles.


Cardinal Health Inc: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cardinal Health, one of the largest wholesalers of the healthcare industry in the U.S., continued its strong performance in the last quarter and managed to deliver an all-around beat.
  • Cardinal Health’s total revenue has increased by 13% in the last quarter, and the gross margin increased by 3%, driven by the Pharma segment.
  • There was an increasing overall pharmaceutical demand and a strong performance from the Generics programs.

Gilead Sciences Inc.: Advancement In Autoimmune Immunotherapy Pipeline & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Gilead had a very strong quarter with solid growth in each of its core franchises and across all geographies led by oncology and HIV.
  • In the U.S., Sunlenca received its foremost approval for heavily treatment-experienced adults having multidrug-resistant HIV infection.
  • The company continues to add further programs, including its new preclinical candidate to collaborate with lenacapavir for its long-acting HIV treatment programs.

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Daily Brief Financials: Hong Kong Hang Seng Index, Mori Trust Sogo Reit, Kolte Patil Developers, Hopson Development, Nesco Ltd, KakaoBank, NU Holdings Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Top Asia Shorts
  • Mori Trust Sogo REIT (8961) Small Index Upweight on 27 Feb
  • Kolte Patil: Q4FY23 Is All Set to Bring a Strong Close to FY23
  • Weekly Wrap – 17 Feb 2023
  • Nesco: Business Is Now As Usual Similar to Pre-COVID Level
  • President Yoon Calls for Greater Competition and Social Contribution by the Korean Banks
  • Nubank (NU US); Strong Execution to Drive Premium ROE into 2023 and Beyond

Top Asia Shorts

By Thomas Schroeder

  • After Asian indexes met targets we have now turned negative in a domino sequence.
  • Our table pounding inflationary higher USD and higher yield thesis is seeing the dollar on the move with yield in hot pursuit.
  • Bull divergence in yield and the USD warn or a multi month rise. This is just the beginning of the pain trade to unwind peak inflation and peak rate positioning.

Mori Trust Sogo REIT (8961) Small Index Upweight on 27 Feb

By Travis Lundy


Kolte Patil: Q4FY23 Is All Set to Bring a Strong Close to FY23

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Kolte Patil reported weaker than expected Q3FY23 accounting earnings due to slight delay in arrival of OC for some projects. However, sales velocity and business development activity was robust.
  • Reported Q3FY23 earnings had weak margins due to revenue contribution from two low-margin projects.
  • Q4FY23 is on track to be strong both in terms of reported earnings (which depends on the timing of OC) and sales velocity.

Weekly Wrap – 17 Feb 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Alam Sutera Realty
  2. China SCE
  3. China Jinmao Holdings
  4. Lifestyle International Holdings
  5. Geely Auto

and more…


Nesco: Business Is Now As Usual Similar to Pre-COVID Level

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • BEC revenues continue to match the pre-COVID level suggesting that the business has now normalized fully post-COVID. COVID led shift in working habits has had no structural impact.
  • IT Office Leasing revenues grew 6%+ QoQ, led by the improvement in occupancy rates. Profitability also improved led by operating efficiencies. 
  • BEC’s EBIT margin came in significantly lower than expected due to one-off expense of INR 15cr for demolition of a factory shed to build a new exhibition hall.

President Yoon Calls for Greater Competition and Social Contribution by the Korean Banks

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the increasing likelihood of formation of another Internet bank, challenger banks, and other measures to foster competition and increase social contribution on the Korean banking sector in 2023.  
  • The Korean banks underperformed in the past week due to President Yoon pointing out “banks and telcos need to share the increasing living costs.”
  • We believe Kakao Bank is likely to underperform the market in the next several months as investors fear about greater competitive pressure, especially on the existing Internet banks.

Nubank (NU US); Strong Execution to Drive Premium ROE into 2023 and Beyond

By Victor Galliano

  • 4Q22 results confirm that Nubank is the benchmark among EM neobanks in terms of activity rates, as well as trends in revenues and costs per client and digital efficiencies
  • We see further potential for broadening and deepening the product offer to customers, at little incremental cost especially in Brazil, to drive cost effective revenue growth
  • Our proprietary Nubank model forecasts are broadly in sync with positive consensus estimates; we forecast group ROE of close to 30% in FY 2025, despite high cost of credit assumptions

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Daily Brief Consumer: Hainan Meilan International Airport, Clorox Company, Estee Lauder Companies Cl A, Devro PLC, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix, Sirius Xm Holdings, Starbucks Corp and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Meilan Airport (357 HK): Takeaway from Recent Passenger Throughput
  • The Clorox Co: Major Drivers
  • The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.: Major Drivers
  • SARIA/Devro: Increased and Final
  • Different Criteria for Exercising Voting Rights for Overseas and Domestic Institutional Investors
  • Sirius XM Holdings Inc.: Major Drivers
  • Starbucks Corporation: Web3 Odyssey Program & Other Drivers

Meilan Airport (357 HK): Takeaway from Recent Passenger Throughput

By Eric Chen

  • Strong passenger traffic year-to-date indicates that full-year passenger throughput for 2023 will be on par with 2019.
  • Concerns that China resuming outbound travel could turn domestic tourists away from Hainan are overblown, overlooking the huge pent-up leisure travel demand over last three years.
  • We expect investors will focus on pace and sustainability of the recovery when company announces 2022 results. Being eligible for Stock Connect Program in 2023 will be a key catalyst. 

The Clorox Co: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Clorox delivered a solid set of results in the previous quarter with organic sales growth in 3 to 4 segments, double-digit earnings growth, and gross margin expansion, despite the challenges in the market due to an unstable global operating environment.
  • The company delivered an all-around beat and continued to work on the enhancement of its brand equity.
  • Clorox has been encountering different challenges in the macro environment for the past few quarters especially after the Covid-19 tailwinds have receded.

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Estee Lauder delivered a highly disappointing result despite surpassing Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.
  • With its business continuing to be pressured by external headwinds resulting from the pandemic, the organic net sales and the earnings per share decreased in the quarter for Estee Lauder.
  • Estee Lauder should also benefit from the acquisition of Tom Ford in competing with L’Oréal.

SARIA/Devro: Increased and Final

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Shareholders have gently pressed. SARIA has upped by 4.4% (“increased and final”) its cash offer for casings manufacturer Devro to 320p+10p interim, which represents 10x EV/Fwd EBITDA and 17.1x Fwd P/E.
  • The increased consideration puts the offer almost in line with market leader Viscofan’s multiples (10.2x EV/Fwd EBITDA). The initial offer was already generous, even more so now.
  • The deal should complete. Spread (gross/annualised) is 1.06%/2.65%, assuming settlement by 14 July (settlement will happen the same day as the second permitted dividend payment).

Different Criteria for Exercising Voting Rights for Overseas and Domestic Institutional Investors

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The number of shareholder proposals in June 2022 was 241, significant increase from 136 in June 2021. It’s expected that the number of shareholder proposals will increase again this year.
  • The increase in the percentage of shareholder proposals recommended by voting advisors can be considered an increase in shareholder proposals that are quite reasonable from the shareholder’s point of view.
  • The percentage of overseas investors in favor of shareholder proposals increased, while that of domestic institutional investors remained unchanged at 7%, the same as the previous year.

Sirius XM Holdings Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sirius XM had a mixed quarterly result.
  • This was a challenging environment for the company as the auto sales were the lowest in 11 years in 2022.
  • Sirius XM is trying to attract more consumers to its platform and continues holding the largest share of car music outside combined terrestrial radio.

Starbucks Corporation: Web3 Odyssey Program & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Starbucks delivered a disappointing set of results as it failed to meet Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.
  • The U.S. company-operated stores Starbucks have a decent revenue in the quarter, and so did North America overall.
  • In the quarter, it launched its first Starbucks reward named Reward Together partnership with Delta Airlines.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Hopson Development and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Wrap – 17 Feb 2023

Weekly Wrap – 17 Feb 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Alam Sutera Realty
  2. China SCE
  3. China Jinmao Holdings
  4. Lifestyle International Holdings
  5. Geely Auto

and more…


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  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief South Korea: Hanwha Solutions, Classys, KakaoBank and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Index Corporate Actions for Hanwha Solutions Split: Passive Flow Size & Schedule
  • Classys (214150 KS): Record-High Sales and Profit in 2022; Geography Expansion to Accelerate Growth
  • President Yoon Calls for Greater Competition and Social Contribution by the Korean Banks

Index Corporate Actions for Hanwha Solutions Split: Passive Flow Size & Schedule

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hanwha Solutions received shareholder approval for its proposed demerger on February 13. The demerger will split Hanwha Solutions into two separate entities: Hanwha Galleria and Hanwha Solutions.
  • Hanwha Solutions will experience a passive outflow of 0.92x ADTV at the closing price on February 24 for KOSPI 200. A similar passive inflow will occur on March 31.
  • MSCI Standard will deliver an outflow of 0.43x ADTV at the close on March 31 as the weight of Hanwha Solutions, an existing constituent, will be reduced.

Classys (214150 KS): Record-High Sales and Profit in 2022; Geography Expansion to Accelerate Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Classys (214150 KS) reported strong performance in 2022, with highest ever revenue and profit, driven by increased sales of equipment and consumables due to increased global awareness of major products.
  • Revenue from export recorded a CAGR of 30% during 2017–2022, mainly driven by strong growth in Brazil. Classys launched Shrink Universe in Korea and Ultraformer MPT in global market.
  • For 2023, Classys has guided for revenue of KRW170B (+20% YoY), driven by Shrink Universe’s expansion into the global market, full-fledged domestic sales of Volumemers, and increasing volume of consumables.

President Yoon Calls for Greater Competition and Social Contribution by the Korean Banks

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the increasing likelihood of formation of another Internet bank, challenger banks, and other measures to foster competition and increase social contribution on the Korean banking sector in 2023.  
  • The Korean banks underperformed in the past week due to President Yoon pointing out “banks and telcos need to share the increasing living costs.”
  • We believe Kakao Bank is likely to underperform the market in the next several months as investors fear about greater competitive pressure, especially on the existing Internet banks.

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Most Read: Sembcorp Marine, Qingdao Haier Biomedical, PolyNovo Ltd, Adways Inc, Adani Enterprises, Trend Micro Inc, Hanwha Solutions, Jiangnan, Hong Kong Hang Seng Index, Mori Trust Sogo Reit and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Sembcorp Marine & Keppel O&M: STI Inclusion Possibility & Other Index Flow
  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes Forecast as Review Period Ends
  • S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete
  • Adways (2489 JP) – Really, Really Big News for a SmallCap
  • Adani Group – MSCI’s Special Treatment Gets More Special, and Partially Delayed, and Possibly Worse
  • Trend Micro (4704 JP) – Value Act’s Activism Starts To Show, But It’s Still Small Potatoes
  • Index Corporate Actions for Hanwha Solutions Split: Passive Flow Size & Schedule
  • Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Powering Up
  • Top Asia Shorts
  • Mori Trust Sogo REIT (8961) Small Index Upweight on 27 Feb

Sembcorp Marine & Keppel O&M: STI Inclusion Possibility & Other Index Flow

By Brian Freitas


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes Forecast as Review Period Ends

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the March rebalance ends today. We forecast 2 changes using a 12-month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6-month minimum listing history.
  • We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history. The impact on the potential deletes is a lot higher than the impact on the potential adds.
  • With 5 changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 5.1% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4,549m. There is a reasonably large reverse funding trade.

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete

By Brian Freitas

  • We currently see 1 change for the ASX20 Index, 2 changes for the ASX100 Index, 4 changes for the ASX200 Index, 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.
  • On average, the potential adds to each of the indices have outperformed the potential deletes with the largest outperformance for the ASX300 Index.
  • Shorts have continued to increase positions on the potential deletes while covering their positions on the potential adds. We expect there are large pre-positions on some of the stocks now.

Adways (2489 JP) – Really, Really Big News for a SmallCap

By Travis Lundy

  • Adways Inc (2489 JP) is an ad agency, ad platform, marketing platform, and a variety of sub-platforms serving certain mobile, PC, marketing, and app development niches. 
  • They released earnings last Friday, but today released other – follow-on information. 
  • Included was a buyback – up to 5.7mm shares (13.57% of shares out) for up to ¥2bn (9% of mktcap) – over the next 5.5 months. Seems big. Look closer.

Adani Group – MSCI’s Special Treatment Gets More Special, and Partially Delayed, and Possibly Worse

By Travis Lundy

  • On 8 February, MSCI announced special treatment for the Adani names in its indices, discussed in Adani Group – MSCI Will Treat Very Adani Funds as a Very Special Case
  • Late on 15 February they came out with a revision of their implementation – which was problematic because some stocks had gone limit down many days in a row. 
  • The stocks responded. But it clearly isn’t an easy implementation, and it clearly isn’t over. 

Trend Micro (4704 JP) – Value Act’s Activism Starts To Show, But It’s Still Small Potatoes

By Travis Lundy

  • Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP) is an interesting, but odd little company in an interesting odd little niche. They make cybersecurity products and are good at it. 
  • Last summer, well-known activist Value Act Capital showed up on the tape in August with an 8.7% position. 
  • What had been good dividend payout ratios are now cemented. Now there is a big buyback to return cash. Look for more. And as always, details matter. 

Index Corporate Actions for Hanwha Solutions Split: Passive Flow Size & Schedule

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hanwha Solutions received shareholder approval for its proposed demerger on February 13. The demerger will split Hanwha Solutions into two separate entities: Hanwha Galleria and Hanwha Solutions.
  • Hanwha Solutions will experience a passive outflow of 0.92x ADTV at the closing price on February 24 for KOSPI 200. A similar passive inflow will occur on March 31.
  • MSCI Standard will deliver an outflow of 0.43x ADTV at the close on March 31 as the weight of Hanwha Solutions, an existing constituent, will be reduced.

Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Powering Up

By David Blennerhassett

  • Jiangnan (1366 HK), a manufacturer of wires and cables for power transmission and distribution systems, was suspended yesterday at lunchtime pursuant to Hong Kong’s Code on Takeovers and Mergers.
  • But not before the share price gained 63% on clear news leakage.
  • Chu Hui, the chairman, CEO, and major shareholder, mulled taking the private six years ago. 

Top Asia Shorts

By Thomas Schroeder

  • After Asian indexes met targets we have now turned negative in a domino sequence.
  • Our table pounding inflationary higher USD and higher yield thesis is seeing the dollar on the move with yield in hot pursuit.
  • Bull divergence in yield and the USD warn or a multi month rise. This is just the beginning of the pain trade to unwind peak inflation and peak rate positioning.

Mori Trust Sogo REIT (8961) Small Index Upweight on 27 Feb

By Travis Lundy


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Daily Brief United States: Clorox Company, Estee Lauder Companies Cl A, Qualcomm Inc, Conocophillips, Honeywell International, Microchip Technology, Sirius Xm Holdings, Cardinal Health, Starbucks Corp, Copper and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • The Clorox Co: Major Drivers
  • The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.: Major Drivers
  • Qualcomm Technologies Inc.: New Launches & Other Drivers
  • ConocoPhillips: Collaboration With Sempra Infrastructure & Other Drivers
  • Honeywell International Inc.: Hydrogen Fuel Cells For Aviation & Other Drivers
  • Microchip Technology Inc: New Launches & Other Drivers
  • Sirius XM Holdings Inc.: Major Drivers
  • Cardinal Health Inc: Major Drivers
  • Starbucks Corporation: Web3 Odyssey Program & Other Drivers
  • Commodity Watch – What Super Cycle?

The Clorox Co: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Clorox delivered a solid set of results in the previous quarter with organic sales growth in 3 to 4 segments, double-digit earnings growth, and gross margin expansion, despite the challenges in the market due to an unstable global operating environment.
  • The company delivered an all-around beat and continued to work on the enhancement of its brand equity.
  • Clorox has been encountering different challenges in the macro environment for the past few quarters especially after the Covid-19 tailwinds have receded.

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Estee Lauder delivered a highly disappointing result despite surpassing Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.
  • With its business continuing to be pressured by external headwinds resulting from the pandemic, the organic net sales and the earnings per share decreased in the quarter for Estee Lauder.
  • Estee Lauder should also benefit from the acquisition of Tom Ford in competing with L’Oréal.

Qualcomm Technologies Inc.: New Launches & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Qualcomm has been witnessing various short-term challenges impacting the semiconductor industry which is why its revenues in the last result were below Wall Street expectations.
  • In handsets, the recently announced Snapdragon Gen 2 mobile platform of the company in order to create AI-accelerated experiences for smartphones.
  • Within IoT, multiple end industries and the handset industry continue to experience weaker demand and elevated inventory levels.

ConocoPhillips: Collaboration With Sempra Infrastructure & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ConocoPhillips had a mixed result in the last quarter as the company was able to surpass the revenue expectations of Wall Street given its diversified and deep portfolio.
  • From a portfolio perspective, the company’s deep asset base is very well-positioned to generate solid cash flow and has generated a high return on capital.
  • The company has many new LNG opportunities in the United States and in Qatar which provide a strong upside.

Honeywell International Inc.: Hydrogen Fuel Cells For Aviation & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Honeywell had another challenging quarter with inflation headwinds and supply chain constraints still at play.
  • Modest improvement in the supply chain helped Honeywell to reduce its cost to use backlog and deliver more building management systems and fire products resulting in organic growth in the building products.
  • Advanced materials grew in the quarter, as seen from the strong value capture across the demand and portfolio in fluorine products.

Microchip Technology Inc: New Launches & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Microchip had a solid fourth quarter that surpassed Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.
  • Microchip has also increased the raw materials inventory to protect the internal manufacturing chains.
  • In terms of new launches, Microchip launched the MIC69303RT, a 3A Low-Dropout Voltage Regulator in the previous quarter.

Sirius XM Holdings Inc.: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sirius XM had a mixed quarterly result.
  • This was a challenging environment for the company as the auto sales were the lowest in 11 years in 2022.
  • Sirius XM is trying to attract more consumers to its platform and continues holding the largest share of car music outside combined terrestrial radio.

Cardinal Health Inc: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cardinal Health, one of the largest wholesalers of the healthcare industry in the U.S., continued its strong performance in the last quarter and managed to deliver an all-around beat.
  • Cardinal Health’s total revenue has increased by 13% in the last quarter, and the gross margin increased by 3%, driven by the Pharma segment.
  • There was an increasing overall pharmaceutical demand and a strong performance from the Generics programs.

Starbucks Corporation: Web3 Odyssey Program & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Starbucks delivered a disappointing set of results as it failed to meet Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.
  • The U.S. company-operated stores Starbucks have a decent revenue in the quarter, and so did North America overall.
  • In the quarter, it launched its first Starbucks reward named Reward Together partnership with Delta Airlines.

Commodity Watch – What Super Cycle?

By Andreas Steno

  • Where is the global commodity super cycle that everyone keeps predicting? 
  • Industrial metals have outperformed energy (as we predicted) and will likely continue to do so
  • Selective positioning in the commodity space remains of vital value with no super cycle in sight

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Daily Brief India: Adani Enterprises, ABB India Ltd, Kolte Patil Developers, Hopson Development, Nesco Ltd, Rajshree Polypack and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Adani Group – MSCI’s Special Treatment Gets More Special, and Partially Delayed, and Possibly Worse
  • NIFTY NEXT50 / NIFTY100 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes + Capping = Big Turnover
  • Kolte Patil: Q4FY23 Is All Set to Bring a Strong Close to FY23
  • Weekly Wrap – 17 Feb 2023
  • Nesco: Business Is Now As Usual Similar to Pre-COVID Level
  • RPPL: Q3FY23 Was Seasonally Weak As Expected, But Q4FY23 Is On Track To Be Strong

Adani Group – MSCI’s Special Treatment Gets More Special, and Partially Delayed, and Possibly Worse

By Travis Lundy

  • On 8 February, MSCI announced special treatment for the Adani names in its indices, discussed in Adani Group – MSCI Will Treat Very Adani Funds as a Very Special Case
  • Late on 15 February they came out with a revision of their implementation – which was problematic because some stocks had gone limit down many days in a row. 
  • The stocks responded. But it clearly isn’t an easy implementation, and it clearly isn’t over. 

NIFTY NEXT50 / NIFTY100 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes + Capping = Big Turnover

By Brian Freitas


Kolte Patil: Q4FY23 Is All Set to Bring a Strong Close to FY23

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Kolte Patil reported weaker than expected Q3FY23 accounting earnings due to slight delay in arrival of OC for some projects. However, sales velocity and business development activity was robust.
  • Reported Q3FY23 earnings had weak margins due to revenue contribution from two low-margin projects.
  • Q4FY23 is on track to be strong both in terms of reported earnings (which depends on the timing of OC) and sales velocity.

Weekly Wrap – 17 Feb 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Alam Sutera Realty
  2. China SCE
  3. China Jinmao Holdings
  4. Lifestyle International Holdings
  5. Geely Auto

and more…


Nesco: Business Is Now As Usual Similar to Pre-COVID Level

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • BEC revenues continue to match the pre-COVID level suggesting that the business has now normalized fully post-COVID. COVID led shift in working habits has had no structural impact.
  • IT Office Leasing revenues grew 6%+ QoQ, led by the improvement in occupancy rates. Profitability also improved led by operating efficiencies. 
  • BEC’s EBIT margin came in significantly lower than expected due to one-off expense of INR 15cr for demolition of a factory shed to build a new exhibition hall.

RPPL: Q3FY23 Was Seasonally Weak As Expected, But Q4FY23 Is On Track To Be Strong

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Q3FY23 tends to be the weakest quarter seasonally. Volume de-growth was -10% QoQ, in line with the expectation as per historical seasonality trend.
  • Q4FY23 is all set to be a strong quarter. Management is confident of closing FY23 as per the previously stated revenue and margin guidance.
  • The new value-added segment, Barrier Packaging, has started to contribute meaningfully to the revenue. Tube Laminates, another value-added segment, will also start to contribute soon.

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Daily Brief China: Jiangnan, Hong Kong Hang Seng Index, Hainan Meilan International Airport, Hopson Development and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Powering Up
  • Top Asia Shorts
  • Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Is the Chairman/CEO Reattempting Privatisation?
  • Meilan Airport (357 HK): Takeaway from Recent Passenger Throughput
  • Weekly Wrap – 17 Feb 2023

Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Powering Up

By David Blennerhassett

  • Jiangnan (1366 HK), a manufacturer of wires and cables for power transmission and distribution systems, was suspended yesterday at lunchtime pursuant to Hong Kong’s Code on Takeovers and Mergers.
  • But not before the share price gained 63% on clear news leakage.
  • Chu Hui, the chairman, CEO, and major shareholder, mulled taking the private six years ago. 

Top Asia Shorts

By Thomas Schroeder

  • After Asian indexes met targets we have now turned negative in a domino sequence.
  • Our table pounding inflationary higher USD and higher yield thesis is seeing the dollar on the move with yield in hot pursuit.
  • Bull divergence in yield and the USD warn or a multi month rise. This is just the beginning of the pain trade to unwind peak inflation and peak rate positioning.

Jiangnan Group (1366 HK): Is the Chairman/CEO Reattempting Privatisation?

By Arun George

  • Jiangnan (1366 HK) entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 16 February. 
  • It is likely that Mr Chu Hui (Chairman and CEO), the largest shareholder representing 34.99% of outstanding shares is reattempting to privatise Jiangnan. 
  • The 83.9% share price run prior to the trading halt suggests that the offeror is very close to finalising a formal proposal at a hefty premium to the undisturbed price. 

Meilan Airport (357 HK): Takeaway from Recent Passenger Throughput

By Eric Chen

  • Strong passenger traffic year-to-date indicates that full-year passenger throughput for 2023 will be on par with 2019.
  • Concerns that China resuming outbound travel could turn domestic tourists away from Hainan are overblown, overlooking the huge pent-up leisure travel demand over last three years.
  • We expect investors will focus on pace and sustainability of the recovery when company announces 2022 results. Being eligible for Stock Connect Program in 2023 will be a key catalyst. 

Weekly Wrap – 17 Feb 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Alam Sutera Realty
  2. China SCE
  3. China Jinmao Holdings
  4. Lifestyle International Holdings
  5. Geely Auto

and more…


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars