Smartkarma Daily Briefs

• Alibaba Group (9988 HK) currently has a Secondary Listing in Hong Kong and is looking to become dual primary listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
• The main change will be inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect program where mainland investors will be able to buy the stock.
• Alibaba Group (9988 HK) is capped at 8% in the HSCEI INDEX and is close to 8% of the HSI INDEX, there will be negligible impact on the dividend futures.

• We have completed days 1-5 in the review period for the MSCI August QIR. This is the last review that will use the current QIR methodology.
• Most changes are expected in China with the largest inflows on Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK), Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH) and Qinghai Salt Lake Industry (000792 CH). 
• There are a few stocks that will have same way flows from the FTSE All-World and All-Cap trackers at the September SAIR.

• At the September rebalance, we expect changes to the S&P/ASX 100 Index, S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&P/ASX 300 Index. Announcement is on 2 September with implementation on 16 September.
• Potential adds/deletes with large flow and impact include Shopping Cntrs Austrls (SCP AU), Sayona Mining (SYA AU), Charter Hall Social Infrastructure REIT (CQE AU) and Capricorn Metals (CMM AU).
• Shorts have increased significantly on a few stocks over the last few weeks, indicating that there could be some pre-positioning on these stocks.

• This morning – 26 July – Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) / Alibaba Group (9988 HK) issued an announcement it would pursue a primary listing on the HKEX.
• When Alibaba listed in NY, it was on ADRs. When it listed in HK, it was the shares underlying the ADRs but it was a quickie secondary listing.
• It will now seek a dual primary listing as others have. This will make BABA Southbound-eligible and will slightly improve BABA’s HSI funding trade prospects in future. 

• There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.
• There is passive inflow on Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO) due to index inclusion, and on Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA) due to capping changes.
• With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.

• The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website. 
• Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. 
• These insights also flags those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.

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Corporate Webinars by Smartkarma Corporate Solutions feature discussions with IROs and Executives, discussing their companies, the challenges they face, and the opportunities in their sectors and markets.

• China started mulling an expansion of its Stock Connect relationships in late 2021 with plans to allow GDR issuance in Switzerland and eventually Germany.
• New GDR issuance rules came into effect in February and companies started planning to issue GDRs in Switzerland in March.
• The new SIX Listing Rules went into effect 25 July. Two companies priced GDRs on 22 July and two more yesterday. US$1.5bn so far. There are 6 more near-term.

• After the close, Walmart slashed its quarter and full-year profit guidance – the second inflation-induced cut this year – stock down sharply 
• The company said inflation is causing consumers to spend more on must-have things such as food and less on electronics 
• Japanese electronics retailers will face a similar problem as inflation feeds through to weaker consumption of high-end goods  

• MACA Ltd (MLD AU) has recommended a A$1.025 per share offer from Thiess. The offer price represents a 28.1% premium to the unaffected price of A$0.80 (on 25 July).
• The offer is conditional on a 90% minimum acceptance condition and regulatory approvals (FIRB and ACCC). The target statement will be released in late August.
• We think that the offer is reasonable in the context of historical share prices and multiples. At the last close, the gross spread is 3.5%.