
In today’s briefing:
- Yageo Bigly Overbids Minebea (+20%) For Shibaura Elec (6957) At ¥5400
- [Japan Activism] – ValueAct Agrees to Tender to KKR Topcon (7732) Tender and Join As Buyer
- Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): No Messing Around as Yageo (2327 TT) Returns with a JPY5,400 Offer
- TRYT (9164) – Limit Up On Report of Round 2 Bidding; A Growth Multiple Gets You a High Price
- Ryobi (5851 JP) – OP Recovery Expected in FY12/25

Yageo Bigly Overbids Minebea (+20%) For Shibaura Elec (6957) At ¥5400
- In February Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) made an unsolicited bid for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) at ¥4,300/share after getting the cold shoulder for months.
- Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP) was asked to bid, and they did a week ago, bidding ¥4,500/share. Yesterday the Shibaura CEO was in an article saying an overbid would be considered.
- Mid-Day, I boomeranged my piece, saying I thought Yageo would overbid. Today after the close, Yageo has overbid with a whopping ¥5,400/share bid, with unchanged start date of 7 May.
[Japan Activism] – ValueAct Agrees to Tender to KKR Topcon (7732) Tender and Join As Buyer
- Last night, Topcon Corp (7732 JP) announced that KKR had agreed a deal with ValueAct Capital who owns 14.62% of Topcon to have VAC tender shares and invest in Bidco.
- Topcon’s Special Committee saw nothing wrong with this in terms of fairness. I think that argument needs to be investigated at a broader level.
- If Bidder wants 50.1% control and expects passive to agree, and Bidder gets 50.1% to join Bidco at terms, obviously, majority of minority disappears. This is an unintended loophole.
Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): No Messing Around as Yageo (2327 TT) Returns with a JPY5,400 Offer
- Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has revised its hostile preconditional tender offer for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) to JPY5,400, representing a 20.0% premium to Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)’s JPY4,500 offer.
- All the other terms remain unchanged. In response to the revised Yageo offer, the Board will commence a sincere review to determine if the Yageo offer will enhance corporate value.
- There is a 50/50 chance that Minebea walks or revises its offer. Yageo’s revised offer is marginally above the midpoint of Minebea IFA’s DCF range, potentially justifying a higher offer.
TRYT (9164) – Limit Up On Report of Round 2 Bidding; A Growth Multiple Gets You a High Price
- TRYT (9164 JP) was bought by EQT years ago and IPOed on TSE Growth in July 2023 at ¥1,200/share. The shares tanked on Day 1, almost reached ¥1,000 days later.
- Then they fell, and fell some more, reaching the ¥370s early in Q1, then again post Trump tariff announcement. EQT still holds ~60%. Shares closed at ¥374 on 16 April.
- In February, there were noises about EQT putting the business up for sale, reportedly seeking an offer close to ¥1,200/share. Now there are noises of a Second Round.
Ryobi (5851 JP) – OP Recovery Expected in FY12/25
- FY12/24 sales rose 3.8% YoY to ¥293.31bn while operating profit dropped -22.3% to ¥9.49bn, surpassing previously revised down forecasts.
- Sales growth was boosted by the weak yen. However, the rise was limited by slowing auto production by Japanese, US and European carmakers in China and the impact from new model certification irregularities discovered at domestic automakers in Japan.
- OP was hit by rising costs, especially labor. However, the company is expecting a sharp rebound in OP growth in FY12/25 thanks to starting production of new products in Japan, a recovery in customers’ China output and starting to pass on rises in labor and energy costs, rather than only aluminum price fluctuations.