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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: [Japan M&A] YAGEO Extends Shibaura TOB Limbo at FSA/METI/BOJ Request on FEFTA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] YAGEO Extends Shibaura TOB Limbo at FSA/METI/BOJ Request on FEFTA
  • KCC Corp: EB Issue of $625 Million Of HD KSOE + KCC Corp and KCC Glass Share Swaps
  • Fengxiang (9977 HK): Precondition Satisfied
  • New World Resources (NWC AU): Yes, The Board Is Frustrating Kinterra’s Bid
  • Coronado Global (CRN AU): Partial/Full Sale? Something’s Up (As Is The Share Price)
  • Event Driven: Apollo’s Restructuring-Unlocking Value in India’s Omni-Channel Healthcare Ecosystem
  • Jilin Jiutai RCB (6122 HK): A Conditional VGO Puts Minorities Between a Rock and a Hard Place
  • Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Green Light
  • Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Mergers, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025
  • Fengxiang (9977 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Possible Payment Mid-September


[Japan M&A] YAGEO Extends Shibaura TOB Limbo at FSA/METI/BOJ Request on FEFTA

By Travis Lundy

  • YAGEO’s deal for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) had been extended a couple of times – once for Shibaura’s yuho, and once for Taiwan Investment Commission Approval. 
  • YAGEO had re-filed its notification for FEFTA on 2 June, and the “normal” 30 day waiting period expired 1 July. YAGEO extended by 4 business days to 15 July.
  • The TRS amendment was less informative than the TDNET release today. That’s worth reading. More waiting ahead. But the timing may be politically strategic.

KCC Corp: EB Issue of $625 Million Of HD KSOE + KCC Corp and KCC Glass Share Swaps

By Douglas Kim

  • KCC announced that it is issuing an EB worth $625 million in foreign currency using its stake in HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering as the underlying asset. 
  • The asset that is used as the underlying asset for the EB is 2.056 million shares of HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering held by the KCC Corp
  • We believe this large EB issue by KCC Corp is likely to have a positive impact on KCC Corp but slightly negative impact on HD KSOE.

Fengxiang (9977 HK): Precondition Satisfied

By Arun George

  • The precondition for the PAG privatisation offer for Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK) is satisfied. The composite document will be despatched by 11 July. 
  • Despite being a 39.9% discount to the IPO price, the offer is attractive compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples. 
  • The scheme vote remains low-risk due to the irrevocables, the lack of protest votes at the recent AGM, and the signalling from PAG’s decision not to introduce a scrip offer. 

New World Resources (NWC AU): Yes, The Board Is Frustrating Kinterra’s Bid

By David Blennerhassett

  • Suitors Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) and Kinterra Capital are locked at A$0.062/share bids apiece for copper play New World Resources (NWC AU).
  • Kinterra has tapped the Takeovers Panel after NWC failed to terminate the CAML placement “despite the relevant condition for the termination of that agreement having been satisfied“.
  • Kinterra’s application has merit. Expect the Panel to make orders preventing the placement. Kinterra currently holds 19.3% of shares out and CAML 12.08%

Coronado Global (CRN AU): Partial/Full Sale? Something’s Up (As Is The Share Price)

By David Blennerhassett

  • Declining coking coal prices, operational issues, a credit rating downgrade, and Sev.en Global’s failed Offer, have resulted in met coal play Coronado (CRN AU)‘s shares trading around an all-time low. 
  • Shares popped 14.8% today, and are now up ~48% from its all-time low a month ago.
  • What gives? Coronado has already confirmed the potential sale of a minority interest in certain assets. But there is speculation a full Offer may be in the wings.

Event Driven: Apollo’s Restructuring-Unlocking Value in India’s Omni-Channel Healthcare Ecosystem

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) is demerging its omni-channel pharmacy and digital health business into a new entity, later merging with Keimed ltd, the wholesale pharmacy distribution arm.
  • The reorganisation aims to unlock shareholder value, enhance operational focus, and create a transparent, comprehensive pharmacy and digital healthcare platform.
  • The NewCo(AHL) targets INR 25,000 crore revenue(50%+) by FY27 from digital health and pharmacy scale-up, while core hospitals expand with new beds and high-value therapies.

Jilin Jiutai RCB (6122 HK): A Conditional VGO Puts Minorities Between a Rock and a Hard Place

By Arun George

  • Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank (6122 HK) has disclosed a voluntary conditional offer and delisting proposal by Jilin Province at HK$0.70 per H Share, a 70.7% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The key conditions are H Shareholder approval of the delisting proposal and a minimum acceptance condition (50% of outstanding and 90% of H shares).
  • Minorities are caught between a rock and a hard place, as the offer is unattractive, but the timeline for lifting the trading suspension is uncertain.  

Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Green Light

By David Blennerhassett

  • Given the ACCC’s comprehensive list of concerns, as detailed in Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Statement Of Issues, this approval comes as a (pleasant) surprise. 
  • DP World’s Offer for Silk Logistics (SLH AU) remains subject to FIRB signing off and a Scheme vote. Neither of which should pose an issue. 
  • Timing? The IE and Scheme Booklet are all in place – from December last year. This requires a new schedule from the Courts. A possible revised timetable suggest late-August completion. 

Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: SPACs, Mergers, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025

By Special Situation Investments

  • Yorkville Acquisition and Lutnick’s SPACs are politically connected, targeting speculative capital tied to Trump’s administration and crypto.
  • Mayne Pharma’s merger with Cosette faces legal challenges over a material adverse change, with a court hearing set.
  • Lifeway Foods may be sold to Danone; shareholder campaign aims to overhaul the board for negotiations.

Fengxiang (9977 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Possible Payment Mid-September

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 11th April, Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK) announced a $2.00/share Offer, by way of a pre-conditional Merger by Absorption, from PAG.
  • Those pre-conditions (NDRC, Ministry of Commerce, and SAFE) have now been satisfied.  The Composite Doc is expected to be dispatched no later than 11 July.
  • This Offer is a Merger by Absorption incorporating a Scheme-like vote. There is no tendering condition. This is done. I estimate payment the second week of September

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Intel 18A Not Ready for Foundry (Preparing for Bad News?) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel 18A Not Ready for Foundry (Preparing for Bad News?), TSMC Exit GaN (Doesn’t Matter), UMC 6nm
  • Puregold Price Club (PGOLD PM) – Members Bring Benefits
  • Mitsui & Co. (8031.T): Strong Cash Flows, Weak Growth Despite Portfolio Shift
  • Robinhood’s CEO on the Plan to Tokenize Everything
  • Meta Superintelligence Labs. Genius Move Or Desperate Gamble?
  • Dexus – The Overnight Report: Tariff Deadline Looms
  • Cosmecca Korea: Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI Likely to Be Completed in 2H 2025
  • Rudi’s View: Charter Hall, Droneshield, Pinnacle, WiseTech & More
  • Executive Exodus at Karnataka Bank: More Than Just “Personal Reasons”?
  • China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): What’s UP?


Intel 18A Not Ready for Foundry (Preparing for Bad News?), TSMC Exit GaN (Doesn’t Matter), UMC 6nm

By Nicolas Baratte

  • The real point of Reuters’ article on Intel CEO “new” Foundry strategy is, imo, to pre-announce the possibility of a very large write off 
  • TSMC discontinues GaN doesn’t matter, it’s not even 1% of revenue. 1) Auto demand is slow, GaN is lower margins, lot of competition  2) management has better things to do 
  • UMC 6nm rumor, maybe yes but most likely with Intel’s manufacturing after 2030. UMC and Intel first start with 12nm in 2027-28.

Puregold Price Club (PGOLD PM) – Members Bring Benefits

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Puregold Price Club (PGOLD PM) is now the largest groceries company by market share in the Philippines, recently overtaking SM Retail, through its Puregold and S&R Warehouse stores. 
  • The company’s S&R Warehouse is a members-only big box retailer aiming at more affluent consumers, whilst Puregold stores cater for both Sari Sari (mom&pop) and less affluent consumers. 
  • Puregold Price Club booked a solid start to the year, despite seasonal disruptions, with management remaining confident about the outlook for FY2025. Valuations are attractive. 

Mitsui & Co. (8031.T): Strong Cash Flows, Weak Growth Despite Portfolio Shift

By Rahul Jain

  • Mitsui & Co. has delivered robust earnings and cash flows, fueled by commodity tailwinds and disciplined capital returns over the last 5 years.
  • Looking ahead, the company plans to rebalance its portfolio through increased exposure to LNG and energy transition assets 
  • However, muted near-term growth and persistently low ROCE—driven by scattered, low-control holdings—suggest limited upside until newer investments begin contributing meaningfully to the bottom line.

Robinhood’s CEO on the Plan to Tokenize Everything

By Odd Lots

  • The culture of trading has shifted, with people enjoying losing money and constantly looking for prices on various assets
  • Robinhood caught the wave of this cultural shift with its user-friendly interface and introduction of free stock trading during the pandemic

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Meta Superintelligence Labs. Genius Move Or Desperate Gamble?

By William Keating

  • On Monday, June 30, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced the creation of Meta Superintelligence Labs, staffing it with a host of leading researchers from the likes of OpenAI and Google 
  • With astronomical hiring bonuses and lucrative compensation packages, this newly assembled team will struggle to gel and likely drive an exodus of existing Meta AI employees elsewhere
  • Yann LeCun is sidelined in the MSL memo. He believes LLMs are not the way to achieve human-level AI. It appears that Mark Zuckerberg disagrees. Let’s see…

Dexus – The Overnight Report: Tariff Deadline Looms

By FNArena

  • A global perspective on what happened overnight

Cosmecca Korea: Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI Likely to Be Completed in 2H 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • On 2 July, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) announced that it plans to switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI. Cosmecca Korea is the third largest cosmetics ODM company in Korea.
  • Cosmecca Korea’s ROE is similar to the average ROE of the comps. However, Cosmecca Korea’s P/B valuation is 36% discount to that of the comps.
  • By switching its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI, there is an increasing probability of the Cosmecca Korea receiving higher valuations, narrowing the gap with its peers. 

Rudi’s View: Charter Hall, Droneshield, Pinnacle, WiseTech & More

By FNArena

  • Update on changes to and revisions of analysts’ Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

Executive Exodus at Karnataka Bank: More Than Just “Personal Reasons”?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Karnataka Bank (KBL IN)‘s top two executives resigned under unclear circumstances, with boardroom friction, unauthorized spending, and weak financial performance raising concerns.
  • Even audit report also suggests some red flags of minuscule amounts in unauthorized expenses, raising governance issues.
  • The bank’s leadership shakeup and declining financials suggest instability; while governance reforms are needed along with new and strong leadership and governance realignment.

China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): What’s UP?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK)‘s 1-week share price rally was driven by restructuring speculations. Yet, underlying operations have improved in 2H24.  
  • Tourist attractions and hotel operations will stay decent in FY25, and more projects will come on stream to fuel profitability.
  • Asset-Based valuation should be the focus, and its 0.49x P/B is inexpensive. Net cash now equals 8.2% of the share price. 

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group
  • The UST curve bear-steepened yesterday, alongside a selloff in long-dated UK gilts. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.79%, while that on the 10Y UST climbed 4 bps to 4.28%.
  • Equities advanced after US President Donald Trump announced that he had reached a trade deal with Vietnam. The S&P 500 was up 0.5% to a fresh record of 6,227, while the Nasdaq rose 0.9% to 20,393.

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Daily Brief Macro: BoE Surveys Sustain Resilience and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • BoE Surveys Sustain Resilience
  • Global FX Derivatives: Thin Cushion. A Slippery Slope from Calm to Uncertainty
  • CX Daily: Can China Provide Middle-Schoolers Long-Promised Exam Relief?
  • [IO Fundamentals 2025/26] Conflicting Factory Signals and Rising IO Inventories
  • OPEC, IEA, EIA Forecast Rising Oil Supply, Sluggish Demand
  • Real Asset Chartbook Week #13: The Copper Surge Continues
  • H2 ’25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields
  • Oversupply Meets Tepid Demand Weighing Down on Soybean Meal
  • Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 4 July 2025


BoE Surveys Sustain Resilience

By Phil Rush

  • The Decision Maker Panel and Credit Conditions Surveys remained resilient. Price and wage inflation are stuck at excessive levels, and US trade policy makes little difference.
  • Default rates are falling while the availability and demand for credit are rising to reveal a loosening of monetary conditions. There is no evidence of policy being too tight.
  • Inflation and labour market data matched BoE forecasts from May, when most members were biased to slow easing. Resilient surveys should discourage it from cutting again.

Global FX Derivatives: Thin Cushion. A Slippery Slope from Calm to Uncertainty

By At Any Rate

  • FX volumes expected to remain steady in the next month and a half before potentially increasing later in Q3
  • Dollar risk reversals are priced expensively for puts, suggesting the need for alternative option structures
  • Consideration of bullish yen option trades in lower beta crossian underlyings like CNH as alternatives to dollar yen positions due to stretched spec positioning and high carry costs

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


CX Daily: Can China Provide Middle-Schoolers Long-Promised Exam Relief?

By Caixin Global

  • Exam / In Depth: Can China provide middle-schoolers long-promised exam relief?
  • Tourism /: Thailand falls out of favor with Chinese tourists
  • Drugs /: China cuts new path for commercial insurance holders to get pricey drugs

[IO Fundamentals 2025/26] Conflicting Factory Signals and Rising IO Inventories

By Umang Agrawal

  • China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.7, while Caixin jumped to 50.4, highlighting a divergence driven by survey scope, timing, and domestic demand strength.
  • Taiwan’s 20.15% steel tariffs may slash Chinese exports, triggering domestic oversupply, weaker prices, and reduced iron ore demand amid growing regional trade uncertainty.
  • Portside inventories climbed as arrivals rose, outpacing stable port demand and pointing to further stockpile growth.

OPEC, IEA, EIA Forecast Rising Oil Supply, Sluggish Demand

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC maintained steady demand forecasts, while the IEA and EIA cut 2025 growth estimates. All agencies see limited near-term catalysts for a meaningful rise in global oil demand.
  • OPEC, EIA, and IEA project rising oil supply, driven by non-OPEC producers and near-term OPEC+ overproduction.
  • The EIA remains bullish on Henry Hub gas prices, forecasting strong demand and tightening supply through late 2025.

Real Asset Chartbook Week #13: The Copper Surge Continues

By Massif Capital Research

  • Two weeks ago, we flagged our Tanker Equity Basket as a potentially interesting place to look for opportunities.
  • The week after we flagged it, the basket bounced, presumably on events in the Middle East, and this week has given back most of those returns.
  • The basket has now fallen below the 10-day moving average and is bouncing along the 200-day moving average.

H2 ’25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • In H1, Asia climbed several walls of worry. Valuations are slightly higher than long-term average. H2 could be more modest, as export driven growth moderates and trade agreements become contentious.
  • Our end-2025 targets are: MXASJ 850, SHCOMP 3760, Sensex 85000, HSI 26000, KOSPI 3400, TWSE 23500, Strait Times 4200, JCI 7450, SET 1150. Overweights on Korea, HK/China, India, continue.
  • Asian currencies should continue to appreciate, driving more FII flows. Benign inflation and headroom for monetary easing are key tailwinds. We expect two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025.

Oversupply Meets Tepid Demand Weighing Down on Soybean Meal

By Pranay Yadav

  • China’s soybean imports surged 129% MoM in May, yet excess inventory and weak feed demand continue to suppress soybean meal prices.
  • Technical indicators turned bearish with a June 25 death cross and sustained price drop below the 50-day DMA.
  • Despite near-term bearishness, call option buildup from July to November suggests medium-term recovery hopes.

Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 4 July 2025

By Dr. Jim Walker

  • India’s manufacturing PMI remains strong, while much of Asia and the US show signs of contraction.

  • Thai political turmoil deepens as markets and economy continue to deteriorate.

  • US intensifies economic pressure on China through tariffs and strategic trade alliances.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Kcc Corp, Geekplus Technology, DroneShield Ltd, Silk Logistics, EACON Group Co., Ltd, Bwx Technologies, KION Group , Terex Corp, Fraport Ag Frankfurt Airport S, RENK Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • KCC Corp: EB Issue of $625 Million Of HD KSOE + KCC Corp and KCC Glass Share Swaps
  • Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): Valuation Insights
  • Rudi’s View: Charter Hall, Droneshield, Pinnacle, WiseTech & More
  • Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Green Light
  • Eacon Group Co., Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • BWX Technologies: Innovations in Nuclear Medicine & Molybdenum-99 Production Driving Our Optimism!
  • KION Group: Will Service-Led Innovation Power the Next Industrial Revolution?
  • Terex Corporation: An Insight Into Its Backlog
  • Fraport AG: Initiation of Coverage- Can Cost Controls Power Massive Profit Upside?
  • Renk Group – Powering a €13 Billion Pipeline with Precision


KCC Corp: EB Issue of $625 Million Of HD KSOE + KCC Corp and KCC Glass Share Swaps

By Douglas Kim

  • KCC announced that it is issuing an EB worth $625 million in foreign currency using its stake in HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering as the underlying asset. 
  • The asset that is used as the underlying asset for the EB is 2.056 million shares of HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering held by the KCC Corp
  • We believe this large EB issue by KCC Corp is likely to have a positive impact on KCC Corp but slightly negative impact on HD KSOE.

Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Rudi’s View: Charter Hall, Droneshield, Pinnacle, WiseTech & More

By FNArena

  • Update on changes to and revisions of analysts’ Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Green Light

By David Blennerhassett

  • Given the ACCC’s comprehensive list of concerns, as detailed in Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Statement Of Issues, this approval comes as a (pleasant) surprise. 
  • DP World’s Offer for Silk Logistics (SLH AU) remains subject to FIRB signing off and a Scheme vote. Neither of which should pose an issue. 
  • Timing? The IE and Scheme Booklet are all in place – from December last year. This requires a new schedule from the Courts. A possible revised timetable suggest late-August completion. 

Eacon Group Co., Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Troy Wong

  • Eacon Group Co., Ltd (EG) is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Haitong.
  • EG ranks first among all L4 autonomous driving companies globally by revenue in 2024, as per Frost & Sullivan.
  • EG had 11 end-customer groups. Its technology has been deployed across 24 mining sites of leading mining groups like CHN Energy, SPIC, TBEA, Zijin Mining, Shougang Group, and Baowu Group.

BWX Technologies: Innovations in Nuclear Medicine & Molybdenum-99 Production Driving Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, illustrating both robust performance and future growth opportunities.
  • The highlights of the quarter included double-digit revenue, EBITDA, and earnings per share growth compared to the previous year.
  • This strong performance was attributed to effective execution and an increased pace of work, along with strategic wins in both commercial and government operations.

KION Group: Will Service-Led Innovation Power the Next Industrial Revolution?

By Baptista Research

  • KION Group AG, a prominent player in the intralogistics sector, presented a nuanced performance in the first quarter of 2025, showcasing a blend of resilience and challenges that reflect the complex market environment it operates in.
  • The company’s financial results illustrate both positive dynamics and areas where uncertainties prevail.
  • In terms of order intake, KION displayed robust performance with a notable 11% increase year-over-year, reaching EUR 2.7 billion.

Terex Corporation: An Insight Into Its Backlog

By Baptista Research

  • Terex Corporation’s first-quarter 2025 earnings report presents a mixed outlook, highlighting areas of strong performance while acknowledging ongoing challenges.
  • The company’s overall financial performance exceeded its initial expectations, with earnings per share of $0.83 on sales of $1.2 billion.
  • The effective tax rate for the quarter was slightly higher at 21%, and the company predicted a return on invested capital of 15%.

Fraport AG: Initiation of Coverage- Can Cost Controls Power Massive Profit Upside?

By Baptista Research

  • Fraport AG has reported its full fiscal year 2024 results, highlighting both accomplishments and challenges over the period.
  • Fraport managed to achieve its financial and operational targets despite encountering a series of external pressures.
  • Key financial metrics were noted at all-time highs, with an EBITDA of EUR 1.3 billion and a group net result exceeding EUR 500 million, closely approaching the record levels of 2018.

Renk Group – Powering a €13 Billion Pipeline with Precision

By Baptista Research

  • RENK Group AG reported its Q1 2025 earnings, showing a mix of positive momentum and some areas to watch.
  • The company achieved a record high in order intake, reaching EUR 549 million, up 164% year-over-year, with a robust book-to-bill ratio of 2.0x.
  • This is a significant achievement compared to the 0.9x last year, driven by major defense orders and strategic expansions in partnerships with key players in future technologies.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: New World Resources, Industrias Penoles, S.A.B. De C.V., Mitsui & Co Ltd, Coronado Global Resources Inc, Gold, Iron Ore, Copper, Crude Oil, Warriedar Resources , Covestro AG and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • New World Resources (NWC AU): Yes, The Board Is Frustrating Kinterra’s Bid
  • [Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep25 Rebalance Predictions: Flow Expectations
  • Mitsui & Co. (8031.T): Strong Cash Flows, Weak Growth Despite Portfolio Shift
  • Coronado Global (CRN AU): Partial/Full Sale? Something’s Up (As Is The Share Price)
  • Global Macro Outlook (July): Trump Volatility Playbook Offers Clues for July Positioning
  • [IO Fundamentals 2025/26] Conflicting Factory Signals and Rising IO Inventories
  • Real Asset Chartbook Week #13: The Copper Surge Continues
  • OPEC, IEA, EIA Forecast Rising Oil Supply, Sluggish Demand
  • Warriedar Resources Limited – Gold Tinted with a Critical Mineral
  • Covestro: Initiation of Coverage- A €400 Million STRONG Program Sets Stage for Profit-Driven Reinvention!


New World Resources (NWC AU): Yes, The Board Is Frustrating Kinterra’s Bid

By David Blennerhassett

  • Suitors Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) and Kinterra Capital are locked at A$0.062/share bids apiece for copper play New World Resources (NWC AU).
  • Kinterra has tapped the Takeovers Panel after NWC failed to terminate the CAML placement “despite the relevant condition for the termination of that agreement having been satisfied“.
  • Kinterra’s application has merit. Expect the Panel to make orders preventing the placement. Kinterra currently holds 19.3% of shares out and CAML 12.08%

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep25 Rebalance Predictions: Flow Expectations

By Travis Lundy

  • The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. 
  • This index is reviewed semi-annually in March/September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index. We like it because a lot of money tracks it.
  • There are several potential ADDs/DELs for the Index Rebal Event in September 2025 but as yet most are Medium Conviction. There are a couple of large capping flows expected. 

Mitsui & Co. (8031.T): Strong Cash Flows, Weak Growth Despite Portfolio Shift

By Rahul Jain

  • Mitsui & Co. has delivered robust earnings and cash flows, fueled by commodity tailwinds and disciplined capital returns over the last 5 years.
  • Looking ahead, the company plans to rebalance its portfolio through increased exposure to LNG and energy transition assets 
  • However, muted near-term growth and persistently low ROCE—driven by scattered, low-control holdings—suggest limited upside until newer investments begin contributing meaningfully to the bottom line.

Coronado Global (CRN AU): Partial/Full Sale? Something’s Up (As Is The Share Price)

By David Blennerhassett

  • Declining coking coal prices, operational issues, a credit rating downgrade, and Sev.en Global’s failed Offer, have resulted in met coal play Coronado (CRN AU)‘s shares trading around an all-time low. 
  • Shares popped 14.8% today, and are now up ~48% from its all-time low a month ago.
  • What gives? Coronado has already confirmed the potential sale of a minority interest in certain assets. But there is speculation a full Offer may be in the wings.

Global Macro Outlook (July): Trump Volatility Playbook Offers Clues for July Positioning

By John Ley

  • Across markets realized volatility generally came in below implied, making June favorable for volatility sellers.
  • July has historically rewarded vol sellers; we reference a prior Insight on volatility during Trump’s first term highlighting a large deviation from average in July.
  • Average July returns are mixed, but there are clear standouts among the macro markets.

[IO Fundamentals 2025/26] Conflicting Factory Signals and Rising IO Inventories

By Umang Agrawal

  • China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI edged up to 49.7, while Caixin jumped to 50.4, highlighting a divergence driven by survey scope, timing, and domestic demand strength.
  • Taiwan’s 20.15% steel tariffs may slash Chinese exports, triggering domestic oversupply, weaker prices, and reduced iron ore demand amid growing regional trade uncertainty.
  • Portside inventories climbed as arrivals rose, outpacing stable port demand and pointing to further stockpile growth.

Real Asset Chartbook Week #13: The Copper Surge Continues

By Massif Capital Research

  • Two weeks ago, we flagged our Tanker Equity Basket as a potentially interesting place to look for opportunities.
  • The week after we flagged it, the basket bounced, presumably on events in the Middle East, and this week has given back most of those returns.
  • The basket has now fallen below the 10-day moving average and is bouncing along the 200-day moving average.

OPEC, IEA, EIA Forecast Rising Oil Supply, Sluggish Demand

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC maintained steady demand forecasts, while the IEA and EIA cut 2025 growth estimates. All agencies see limited near-term catalysts for a meaningful rise in global oil demand.
  • OPEC, EIA, and IEA project rising oil supply, driven by non-OPEC producers and near-term OPEC+ overproduction.
  • The EIA remains bullish on Henry Hub gas prices, forecasting strong demand and tightening supply through late 2025.

Warriedar Resources Limited – Gold Tinted with a Critical Mineral

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Warriedar Resources Limited (ASX:WA8) is an emerging gold and antimony developer whose flagship Golden Range project hosts ~2.3moz in AuEq resources in the prolific gold producing Murchison region of Western Australia.
  • Since the acquisition of the project in CY23, WA8 has expanded the gold resource and delineated a globally significant antimony resource which is also contained in the core Ricciardo deposit.
  • Whilst the gold resource alone could support a commercial development, the overlapping antimony resource not only increases the economic value, it adds a strategic value to the project given the supply shortages and trade restrictions affecting this commodity.

Covestro: Initiation of Coverage- A €400 Million STRONG Program Sets Stage for Profit-Driven Reinvention!

By Baptista Research

  • Covestro AG, a noted player in the polymers industry, recently disclosed its Q1 2025 financial results, indicating a period of stable sales but highlighted by several challenges impacting its performance.
  • The company achieved a revenue of EUR 3.5 billion, nearly unchanged from the previous year, while the EBITDA stood at EUR 137 million, which is notably in the upper range of their guidance.
  • However, this reflects a substantial 50% drop yearover-year due to significant costs associated with the company’s ongoing transformation initiatives.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Shibaura Electronics, Intel Corp, Meta, United Microelectronics Corp, SmartRent, Softbank Group, Belden Inc, Banxa Holdings, Ma Com Technology Solutions, Yelp Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] YAGEO Extends Shibaura TOB Limbo at FSA/METI/BOJ Request on FEFTA
  • Intel 18A Not Ready for Foundry (Preparing for Bad News?), TSMC Exit GaN (Doesn’t Matter), UMC 6nm
  • Meta Superintelligence Labs. Genius Move Or Desperate Gamble?
  • Our Thesis: Intel Should Take a Stake in UMC — New Signals Reinforce the Case
  • SmartRent’s Stock Surge: How a Bold Pivot to Recurring Revenues Could Redefine Its Future!
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Belden Inc.: A Tale Of Solutions Transformation & Strategic Expansion!
  • Banxa’s Acquisition by OSL Group: Navigating Regulatory Approvals, Shareholder Votes, and Market Uncertainties
  • MACOM Technology Solutions Powers Up Europe’s Defense With GaN Tech & Drone-Ready Radar Systems; What Lies Ahead?
  • Yelp Inc.: An Enhanced Advertiser Value Proposition & Critical Growth Levers!


[Japan M&A] YAGEO Extends Shibaura TOB Limbo at FSA/METI/BOJ Request on FEFTA

By Travis Lundy

  • YAGEO’s deal for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) had been extended a couple of times – once for Shibaura’s yuho, and once for Taiwan Investment Commission Approval. 
  • YAGEO had re-filed its notification for FEFTA on 2 June, and the “normal” 30 day waiting period expired 1 July. YAGEO extended by 4 business days to 15 July.
  • The TRS amendment was less informative than the TDNET release today. That’s worth reading. More waiting ahead. But the timing may be politically strategic.

Intel 18A Not Ready for Foundry (Preparing for Bad News?), TSMC Exit GaN (Doesn’t Matter), UMC 6nm

By Nicolas Baratte

  • The real point of Reuters’ article on Intel CEO “new” Foundry strategy is, imo, to pre-announce the possibility of a very large write off 
  • TSMC discontinues GaN doesn’t matter, it’s not even 1% of revenue. 1) Auto demand is slow, GaN is lower margins, lot of competition  2) management has better things to do 
  • UMC 6nm rumor, maybe yes but most likely with Intel’s manufacturing after 2030. UMC and Intel first start with 12nm in 2027-28.

Meta Superintelligence Labs. Genius Move Or Desperate Gamble?

By William Keating

  • On Monday, June 30, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced the creation of Meta Superintelligence Labs, staffing it with a host of leading researchers from the likes of OpenAI and Google 
  • With astronomical hiring bonuses and lucrative compensation packages, this newly assembled team will struggle to gel and likely drive an exodus of existing Meta AI employees elsewhere
  • Yann LeCun is sidelined in the MSL memo. He believes LLMs are not the way to achieve human-level AI. It appears that Mark Zuckerberg disagrees. Let’s see…

Our Thesis: Intel Should Take a Stake in UMC — New Signals Reinforce the Case

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • UMC’s renewed push into 6nm, paired with Intel’s strategic overhaul under new CEO Lip-Bu Tan, raises the likelihood of an Intel equity stake in UMC.
  • We maintain our Structural Long view on UMC and reiterate our original thesis: a deeper partnership via a stake from Intel would be transformative.
  • At 12.5x trailing PER with a net cash position, UMC remains attractively valued as a strategic asset — especially if can essentially have its own ‘Group’ advanced fabs with Intel.

SmartRent’s Stock Surge: How a Bold Pivot to Recurring Revenues Could Redefine Its Future!

By Baptista Research

  • SmartRent’s first quarter earnings call for 2025 highlights several dynamics at play in the company’s pursuit of sustainable growth and value creation.
  • The company, well known for its Internet of Things (IoT) technology, aims to transform property operations and enhance resident experiences.
  • SmartRent’s approach involves extensive IoT device integration, a software platform compatible with third-party systems, and deployment expertise tailored to retrofit environments.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Softbank Group
  • The UST curve bear-steepened yesterday, alongside a selloff in long-dated UK gilts. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.79%, while that on the 10Y UST climbed 4 bps to 4.28%.
  • Equities advanced after US President Donald Trump announced that he had reached a trade deal with Vietnam. The S&P 500 was up 0.5% to a fresh record of 6,227, while the Nasdaq rose 0.9% to 20,393.

Belden Inc.: A Tale Of Solutions Transformation & Strategic Expansion!

By Baptista Research

  • Belden Inc.’s first-quarter results for 2025 reveal a mix of considerable growth achievements and underlying challenges.
  • The company reported revenues of $625 million, a 17% increase from the previous year, surpassing the high end of its guidance.
  • This was complemented by a 29% rise in earnings per share (EPS) to $1.60, driven by an improvement in gross margins to 39.8% and adjusted EBITDA margins to 16.6%.

Banxa’s Acquisition by OSL Group: Navigating Regulatory Approvals, Shareholder Votes, and Market Uncertainties

By Special Situation Investments

  • Banxa agreed to be acquired by OSL Group for C$1.55/share in cash, pending shareholder and regulatory approval.
  • Banxa’s management and founder hold a combined 46% stake on a fully diluted basis, potentially securing shareholder approval.
  • The termination fee for the OSL transaction is set at 5% of the transaction value, indicating elevated risks.

MACOM Technology Solutions Powers Up Europe’s Defense With GaN Tech & Drone-Ready Radar Systems; What Lies Ahead?

By Baptista Research

  • MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. reported its financial results for Q2 of fiscal 2025, demonstrating strong growth across its core business segments, namely Industrial & Defense, Data Center, and Telecom.
  • The company achieved a revenue of $235.9 million, marking a significant sequential increase from the previous quarter.
  • Adjusted earnings per diluted share were recorded at $0.85, showcasing a robust bottom-line performance.

Yelp Inc.: An Enhanced Advertiser Value Proposition & Critical Growth Levers!

By Baptista Research

  • Yelp Inc. reported solid financial performance in the first quarter of 2025, achieving an 8% year-over-year increase in net revenue to $359 million, exceeding their expectations.
  • This growth was driven by the continued strength in Yelp’s services business, contrasting with challenges faced in the restaurant, retail, and othercategories (RR&O) which saw a 3% revenue decline year-over-year.
  • Profitability saw significant improvements with a net income margin expansion by 3 percentage points and an adjusted EBITDA margin increase by 4 percentage points compared to the same quarter last year.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Kcc Corp, Geekplus Technology, DroneShield Ltd, Silk Logistics, EACON Group Co., Ltd, Bwx Technologies, KION Group , Terex Corp, Fraport Ag Frankfurt Airport S, RENK Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • KCC Corp: EB Issue of $625 Million Of HD KSOE + KCC Corp and KCC Glass Share Swaps
  • Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): Valuation Insights
  • Rudi’s View: Charter Hall, Droneshield, Pinnacle, WiseTech & More
  • Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Green Light
  • Eacon Group Co., Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • BWX Technologies: Innovations in Nuclear Medicine & Molybdenum-99 Production Driving Our Optimism!
  • KION Group: Will Service-Led Innovation Power the Next Industrial Revolution?
  • Terex Corporation: An Insight Into Its Backlog
  • Fraport AG: Initiation of Coverage- Can Cost Controls Power Massive Profit Upside?
  • Renk Group – Powering a €13 Billion Pipeline with Precision


KCC Corp: EB Issue of $625 Million Of HD KSOE + KCC Corp and KCC Glass Share Swaps

By Douglas Kim

  • KCC announced that it is issuing an EB worth $625 million in foreign currency using its stake in HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering as the underlying asset. 
  • The asset that is used as the underlying asset for the EB is 2.056 million shares of HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering held by the KCC Corp
  • We believe this large EB issue by KCC Corp is likely to have a positive impact on KCC Corp but slightly negative impact on HD KSOE.

Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Rudi’s View: Charter Hall, Droneshield, Pinnacle, WiseTech & More

By FNArena

  • Update on changes to and revisions of analysts’ Best Ideas and Conviction Calls, as well as Model Portfolio compositions

Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Green Light

By David Blennerhassett

  • Given the ACCC’s comprehensive list of concerns, as detailed in Silk Logistics (SLH AU): ACCC’s Statement Of Issues, this approval comes as a (pleasant) surprise. 
  • DP World’s Offer for Silk Logistics (SLH AU) remains subject to FIRB signing off and a Scheme vote. Neither of which should pose an issue. 
  • Timing? The IE and Scheme Booklet are all in place – from December last year. This requires a new schedule from the Courts. A possible revised timetable suggest late-August completion. 

Eacon Group Co., Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Troy Wong

  • Eacon Group Co., Ltd (EG) is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Haitong.
  • EG ranks first among all L4 autonomous driving companies globally by revenue in 2024, as per Frost & Sullivan.
  • EG had 11 end-customer groups. Its technology has been deployed across 24 mining sites of leading mining groups like CHN Energy, SPIC, TBEA, Zijin Mining, Shougang Group, and Baowu Group.

BWX Technologies: Innovations in Nuclear Medicine & Molybdenum-99 Production Driving Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, illustrating both robust performance and future growth opportunities.
  • The highlights of the quarter included double-digit revenue, EBITDA, and earnings per share growth compared to the previous year.
  • This strong performance was attributed to effective execution and an increased pace of work, along with strategic wins in both commercial and government operations.

KION Group: Will Service-Led Innovation Power the Next Industrial Revolution?

By Baptista Research

  • KION Group AG, a prominent player in the intralogistics sector, presented a nuanced performance in the first quarter of 2025, showcasing a blend of resilience and challenges that reflect the complex market environment it operates in.
  • The company’s financial results illustrate both positive dynamics and areas where uncertainties prevail.
  • In terms of order intake, KION displayed robust performance with a notable 11% increase year-over-year, reaching EUR 2.7 billion.

Terex Corporation: An Insight Into Its Backlog

By Baptista Research

  • Terex Corporation’s first-quarter 2025 earnings report presents a mixed outlook, highlighting areas of strong performance while acknowledging ongoing challenges.
  • The company’s overall financial performance exceeded its initial expectations, with earnings per share of $0.83 on sales of $1.2 billion.
  • The effective tax rate for the quarter was slightly higher at 21%, and the company predicted a return on invested capital of 15%.

Fraport AG: Initiation of Coverage- Can Cost Controls Power Massive Profit Upside?

By Baptista Research

  • Fraport AG has reported its full fiscal year 2024 results, highlighting both accomplishments and challenges over the period.
  • Fraport managed to achieve its financial and operational targets despite encountering a series of external pressures.
  • Key financial metrics were noted at all-time highs, with an EBITDA of EUR 1.3 billion and a group net result exceeding EUR 500 million, closely approaching the record levels of 2018.

Renk Group – Powering a €13 Billion Pipeline with Precision

By Baptista Research

  • RENK Group AG reported its Q1 2025 earnings, showing a mix of positive momentum and some areas to watch.
  • The company achieved a record high in order intake, reaching EUR 549 million, up 164% year-over-year, with a robust book-to-bill ratio of 2.0x.
  • This is a significant achievement compared to the 0.9x last year, driven by major defense orders and strategic expansions in partnerships with key players in future technologies.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Alibaba Health Information Tec, Shandong Fengxiang, Anjoy Foods Group, Puregold Price Club, Boxihe Outdoor Sports Group, Cosmecca Korea , Wakefit Innovations, MAP Aktif Adiperkasa PT, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong, Perfect Medical Health and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba Health Placement – Delta Placement for EB, but Track Record Isn’t Great
  • Fengxiang (9977 HK): Precondition Satisfied
  • Anjoy Foods Group A/H Trading – Cheap Price but Sluggish Demand
  • Puregold Price Club (PGOLD PM) – Members Bring Benefits
  • Boxihe Outdoor Sports Pre-IPO – Scaling Fast in China’s Outdoor Boom
  • Cosmecca Korea: Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI Likely to Be Completed in 2H 2025
  • Wakefit Innovations Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • MAP Aktif (MAPA IJ) — 2025 Update
  • China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): What’s UP?
  • Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Green Shoots Emerging After A Disastrous FY25


Alibaba Health Placement – Delta Placement for EB, but Track Record Isn’t Great

By Sumeet Singh

  • Banks are offering US$500m of Alibaba Health Information Tec (241 HK) stock in order to allow Exchangeable Bond investors to hedge their exposure.
  • Alibaba Health (AH) stock has been heading in the wrong direction for the past few years and it remains unclear if the EB offering was well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Fengxiang (9977 HK): Precondition Satisfied

By Arun George

  • The precondition for the PAG privatisation offer for Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK) is satisfied. The composite document will be despatched by 11 July. 
  • Despite being a 39.9% discount to the IPO price, the offer is attractive compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples. 
  • The scheme vote remains low-risk due to the irrevocables, the lack of protest votes at the recent AGM, and the signalling from PAG’s decision not to introduce a scrip offer. 

Anjoy Foods Group A/H Trading – Cheap Price but Sluggish Demand

By Sumeet Singh

  • Anjoy Foods Group (2648 HK), a quick-frozen food company in China,  raised around US$350m in its H-share listing.
  • AFG was the largest quick-frozen food company in China in terms of revenue in 2023, with a market share of 6.2%, according to the Frost & Sullivan report.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Puregold Price Club (PGOLD PM) – Members Bring Benefits

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Puregold Price Club (PGOLD PM) is now the largest groceries company by market share in the Philippines, recently overtaking SM Retail, through its Puregold and S&R Warehouse stores. 
  • The company’s S&R Warehouse is a members-only big box retailer aiming at more affluent consumers, whilst Puregold stores cater for both Sari Sari (mom&pop) and less affluent consumers. 
  • Puregold Price Club booked a solid start to the year, despite seasonal disruptions, with management remaining confident about the outlook for FY2025. Valuations are attractive. 

Boxihe Outdoor Sports Pre-IPO – Scaling Fast in China’s Outdoor Boom

By Troy Wong

  • Boxihe Outdoor Sports (BOS) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • BOS has delivered impressive growth, with a 122% revenue CAGR (FY22–24) led by its core Pelliot brand.
  • Its shift from a pure online DTC model to include offline and distributor channels has broadened reach, while improving gross margins reflect strong pricing and cost control.

Cosmecca Korea: Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI Likely to Be Completed in 2H 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • On 2 July, Cosmecca Korea (241710 KS) announced that it plans to switch its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI. Cosmecca Korea is the third largest cosmetics ODM company in Korea.
  • Cosmecca Korea’s ROE is similar to the average ROE of the comps. However, Cosmecca Korea’s P/B valuation is 36% discount to that of the comps.
  • By switching its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI, there is an increasing probability of the Cosmecca Korea receiving higher valuations, narrowing the gap with its peers. 

Wakefit Innovations Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Wakefit Innovations (1684049D IN)  (WIL)  is looking to raise about US$231m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners for the deal are Axis, IIFL, Nomura.
  • Wakefit Innovations is direct‑to‑consumer and sleep and home‑solutions company, founded in 2016.
  • According to the Redseer Report, the company was the largest D2C home and furnishings company in India by revenue in FY24.

MAP Aktif (MAPA IJ) — 2025 Update

By Michael Fritzell

  • MAP Aktif is the sportswear subsidiary of Indonesian retail giant Mitra Adiperkasa.

  • I wrote a deep dive on MAP Aktif in January 2022, during the depths of the COVID-19 pandemic.

  • At the time, it was suffering from Indonesia’s large-scale social distancing restrictions. But I thought that it would eventually recover, continue growing its store count, and end up with a single-digit P/E ratio.


China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): What’s UP?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK)‘s 1-week share price rally was driven by restructuring speculations. Yet, underlying operations have improved in 2H24.  
  • Tourist attractions and hotel operations will stay decent in FY25, and more projects will come on stream to fuel profitability.
  • Asset-Based valuation should be the focus, and its 0.49x P/B is inexpensive. Net cash now equals 8.2% of the share price. 

Perfect Medical (1830 HK): Green Shoots Emerging After A Disastrous FY25

By Sameer Taneja

  • Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK) reported a disastrous FY25 with revenues/profits down 19.1%/34.5% YoY. For H2 FY25, revenues/profits were down 25%/48% YoY. 
  • The company saw a stabilization in its revenues QoQ for H2 FY25, and is now seeing a slight uptick in revenues/profits courtesy of revamped stores ramping up and cost-cutting measures.  
  • With 23% of its market cap in cash/investments, a PE of 10.4x/8.0x for FY25/FY26e, respectively, the company has an appetizing dividend yield of 12.5% (assuming -4.5% YoY revenue growth). 

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Daily Brief Health Care: Nanjing Leads Biolabs, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise, QIAGEN NV, Aft Pharmaceuticals, Earth Science Tech, Achieve Life Sciences , Nanosonics Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) Pre-IPO: Valuation
  • Event Driven: Apollo’s Restructuring-Unlocking Value in India’s Omni-Channel Healthcare Ecosystem
  • QIAGEN: How Digital Solutions Are Transforming Diagnostic Leadership!
  • AFT Pharmaceuticals — Making progress on growth strategy
  • ETST: Initiating Coverage of a Strategic Holding Company Focused on the Healthcare Industry
  • ACHV: Achieve’s Busy Day
  • In Brief: Austal, Superloop, Motorcycle Holdings & Nanosonics


Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) Pre-IPO: Valuation

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Leads Biolabs, a China-based clinical-stage biotech, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. The joint book runners are MS and CITIC.
  • In our previous insight, we looked at the company’s core products and its management team, as well as investor backing, as well as PHIP updates.
  • In this note we will provide an rNPV-based valuation for the company.

Event Driven: Apollo’s Restructuring-Unlocking Value in India’s Omni-Channel Healthcare Ecosystem

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) is demerging its omni-channel pharmacy and digital health business into a new entity, later merging with Keimed ltd, the wholesale pharmacy distribution arm.
  • The reorganisation aims to unlock shareholder value, enhance operational focus, and create a transparent, comprehensive pharmacy and digital healthcare platform.
  • The NewCo(AHL) targets INR 25,000 crore revenue(50%+) by FY27 from digital health and pharmacy scale-up, while core hospitals expand with new beds and high-value therapies.

QIAGEN: How Digital Solutions Are Transforming Diagnostic Leadership!

By Baptista Research

  • QIAGEN’s recent earnings call highlighted several points of interest for investors.
  • The company reported betterthan-expected results for Q1 2025, with net sales of $483 million, marking a 7% rise at constant exchange rates (CER) year-over-year.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $0.50 at CER, surpassing initial forecasts.

AFT Pharmaceuticals — Making progress on growth strategy

By Edison Investment Research

AFT Pharmaceuticals has provided an investor update for Q2 CY25 (Q1 FY26), summarising material progress made across its global expansion and R&D-driven growth strategy. The highlight of the period was the launch of Maxigesic IV/Combogesic IV in Canada, marking the beginning of direct sales in North America. This, along with the expanded licensing and profit-share agreement with Hikma in May 2025 (to include distribution of Combogesic Rapid in the US), provides AFT with a solid foundation to expand its footprint in these key global markets. The period also saw notable R&D progress including a pre-investigational new drug (IND) filing with the FDA for AFT’s antibiotic eyedrop targeting resistant ocular infections (eg MRSA), and preparations for filings related to its strawberry birthmarks topical (pre-IND) treatment and the Phase-III ready novel injectable iron therapy. A paediatric study of Maxigesic IV is also planned, which could expand the addressable patient populations.


ETST: Initiating Coverage of a Strategic Holding Company Focused on the Healthcare Industry

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) is a strategic holding company, with wholly-owned subsidiaries operating in the compounding pharmaceutical (RxCompoundStore.com, MisterMeds.com), telehealth (Peaks Curative, Las Villas Health Care, DOConsultations.com), real estate (Avenvi), and consumer products (Magnefuse) sectors.
  • Senior executives remain focused on managing and optimizing company operations, as well as acquiring complementary assets.
  • The firm was incorporated in 2010, with headquarters in Miami, Florida.

ACHV: Achieve’s Busy Day

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Achieve Life Sciences is developing cytisinicline for use as a smoking cessation treatment in the United States and rest of world.
  • Topline results from ORCA-2 were reported in April 2022 and for ORCA-3 in May 2023.
  • Results exceeded expectations on safety & efficacy parameters.

In Brief: Austal, Superloop, Motorcycle Holdings & Nanosonics

By FNArena

  • Structural growth and challenges are in focus this week for In Brief’s stock snacks with those companies benefitting from longer term trends or impeded by uncertainty

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