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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: AKR Corporindo, Hanwha Ocean , Teleperformance and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Smelters and Gas Stations Bring Opportunity
  • Flagging the Hanwha Ocean CB Conversion Risk (20% of Shares Out)
  • Teleperformance (TEP) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024


AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Smelters and Gas Stations Bring Opportunity

By Angus Mackintosh

  • AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) hosted an analyst call to outline prospects for 2025, which revealed a more positive outlook for fuel distribution driven by growth in demand from mining. 
  • The chemical distribution will also benefit from demand from new smelters as well as new chemicals, whilst land sales at JIIPE are set to increase significantly in 2025. 
  • The retail gas station business is picking up momentum and should benefit from the government reducing fuel subsidies. Valuations are attractive with support from a 7% dividend yield.

Flagging the Hanwha Ocean CB Conversion Risk (20% of Shares Out)

By Sanghyun Park

  • KEXIM ignoring this premium could be a breach of duty, making Hanwha Ocean a prime short play. With 20% of shares, past cases suggest a 5-10% pullback.
  • This play’s tougher than HMM’s. Without step-ups, timing the conversion is tricky. Early redemption’s unlikely, so the focus is on when KEXIM pulls the trigger on the conversion.
  • No hints from KEXIM on the CB conversion yet, so loading up aggressively could be risky. We’ll likely need to wait for a signal from KEXIM before jumping in.

Teleperformance (TEP) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Teleperformance is undervalued with its Language Line Solutions business not fully reflected in its current market price
  • Despite strong growth and high profit margins, concerns about AI disrupting the industry have overshadowed Teleperformance’s fundamentals
  • Operating across three segments, Teleperformance is positioned to capitalize on the expected growth in the customer experience management market, projected to reach $14.9 billion by 2025

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: LG CNS, Samsung Electronics, Xiaomi Corp, Takachiho Koheki, Charter Communications and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • LG CNS IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • EQD | Samsung Electronics – How to Position Amid a Plethora of Catalysts
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jan-2025): Trump AI policies
  • 2676 JP – Aiming to Transform from “selling Goods” to “selling Services”…
  • Charter Communications Inc (CHTR) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024
  • Samsung Electronics: Revamping Executive Compensation to Include Stocks – Benchmarking TSMC


LG CNS IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • LG CNS reported a successful IPO book building results analysis. The IPO price has been finalized at 61,900 won per share (high end of the IPO price range).
  • The demand ratio from the institutional investors was 114 to 1. At the IPO price of 61,900 won, the expected market cap will be 6 trillion won. 
  • According to our valuation analysis, it suggests a base case target price of 76,383 won per share, which represents a 23% upside from the IPO price of 61,900 won.

EQD | Samsung Electronics – How to Position Amid a Plethora of Catalysts

By John Ley

  • Samsung Electronics stock has been an underperformer outright and also relative to Kospi200 as an overhang of catalysts has weighed on performance.
  • Implied vols are at the 88th percentile over the last 3 years and are at the top of their range relative to Kospi200.
  • We recommend 4 different ways to position in front of these catalysts and the large stock buy-back that was announced in November. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jan-2025): Trump AI policies

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Trump 2.0 AI policies spark debate and criticism with a focus on nationalism and economic protectionism, dividing opinions.
  • China launches new low-altitude economy department to drive future growth, while Apple establishes Shanghai subsidiary to enhance AI integration in the country.
  • Nvidia CEO confirms growing CoWoS-L production capacity, but Apple faces crisis in China with 25% drop in iPhone shipments despite market dominance. Vietnam semiconductor push hindered by power supply challenges, prompting Asian countries to counter Trump 2.0’s aggressive policies swiftly.

2676 JP – Aiming to Transform from “selling Goods” to “selling Services”…

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Takachiho Koheki (hereafter, the Company) is a trading company highly specialized in electronics technology that has identified the underlying needs of its customers to introduce the world’s cutting-edge electronics products to Japan ahead of competitors.
  • With engineering employees accounting for over 40% of its workforce, the Company is a highly specialized technical organization with a total of about 25,000 customer accounts, and its solid customer base is one of its assets.
  • In H1 FY2025/3, the Company surpassed initial estimates, reporting consolidated net sales of JPY13,314 mn (+4.6% YoY), operating profit of JPY936 mn (+31.2% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY811 mn (-23.2% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereinafter, net profit) of JPY594 mn (-17.2% YoY).


Charter Communications Inc (CHTR) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author has a long position in CHTR and may buy or sell securities without notice
  • Importance of conducting independent research before making investment decisions
  • Views CHTR as a opportunity despite competition from FWA, with significant risk-reward potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Samsung Electronics: Revamping Executive Compensation to Include Stocks – Benchmarking TSMC

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung Electronics announced that it will revamp its executive compensation system to include treasury shares as incentives. Samsung has benchmarked TSMC in terms of paying treasury shares to its employees.
  • Samsung Electronics’ decision to revamp its executive compensation system to include treasury shares as incentives aligns the interests of the shareholders along with the company’s management.
  • Now that Samsung Electronics has incorporated stock based incentive system, it is likely that other Korean companies that could follow suit. 

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Shell PLC, Crude Oil, Louisiana Pacific, Trigon Metals , SGX Rubber Future TSR20, PetroTal, Sintana Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • [Earnings Preview] Lower Gas Output and Tight Margins Hit Shell’s Q4 Outlook
  • [ETP 2025/03] WTI Rises on Falling Stockpiles, Henry Hub Fluctuates on Volatile Weather Forecasts
  • Louisiana-Pacific Corp (LPX) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024
  • TM: Operations Halted; Valuation Stands
  • RRII And ATMA Make Rubber Inroads In Northeast
  • PTAL: High FY25 Production Driven by High Uptime During the Dry Season and Investment
  • Sintana Energy Inc.: Kapana-1X Uncommercial but Chevron Expects to Continue Exploration Activities


[Earnings Preview] Lower Gas Output and Tight Margins Hit Shell’s Q4 Outlook

By Suhas Reddy

  • Shell’s Q4 2024 revenue and EPS are expected to decline 21.9% YoY and 35.1%, respectively. For fiscal 2024, forecasts project a 4.8% revenue drop and a 7.4% EPS decline.
  • Shell anticipates a USD 1.3 billion Q4 charge for emissions certificates and biofuel programs, alongside non-cash post-tax impairments ranging from USD 1.5 billion to USD 3 billion.
  • Shell forecasts flat refining margins at USD 5.5/bbl but a 16% QoQ drop in chemical margins to USD 138/tonne.

[ETP 2025/03] WTI Rises on Falling Stockpiles, Henry Hub Fluctuates on Volatile Weather Forecasts

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 10/Jan, US crude inventories fell by 2m barrels, missing expectations of a 3.5m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.
  • US natural gas inventories fell by 258 Bcf for the week ending 10/Jan, slightly missing analyst expectations of a 260 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 2.5% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • BP forecasts tepid Q4 earnings on low refining margins and upstream output, while TotalEnergies expects higher production and gas prices to offset lower oil prices.

Louisiana-Pacific Corp (LPX) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • LPX is recommended to buy at $104 with a 5-year price target of $255
  • The company has developed value-added Oriented Strand Board products and converted mills to produce higher-margin siding
  • LPX is expected to deliver mid/high-teens total shareholder return and has opportunities for reinvestment at high returns, focused on wood-based products for construction.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


TM: Operations Halted; Valuation Stands

By Atrium Research

  • Trigon announced that its two underground pumps failed at its Kombat Mine, halting operations.
  • All personnel and mining equipment have been removed from the underground mine.
  • The Company stated that despite the issues, Horizon still plans to proceed with its commitment to purchase TM’s interest in Kombat.

RRII And ATMA Make Rubber Inroads In Northeast

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • RRII’s new clone RRII 417 to give yield of 2080 kg/ha a year
  • INROAD project covers 1,25,272 hectares in four years in NE
  • Northeast share of national production to go up to 32% 

PTAL: High FY25 Production Driven by High Uptime During the Dry Season and Investment

By Auctus Advisors

  • PetroTal expects to produce 21-23 mbbl/d in 2025, with the midpoint of this guidance exceeding our expectations of 21.2 mbbl/d.
  • Although only four new wells are expected to come online in 2025 (including the 23H well but excluding the final well of the FY25 four-well drilling program), average production is expected to grow by ~4.2 mbbl/d from 2024 to 2025.
  • In comparison, six new producers were brought online in 2024 (excluding the 23H well but including the 16H well), but production increased by only ~3.4 mbbl/d from 2023 to 2024.

Sintana Energy Inc.: Kapana-1X Uncommercial but Chevron Expects to Continue Exploration Activities

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Kapana 1-X well on PEL-90 did not encounter commercial hydrocarbons.
  • The rig is likely to be demobilized, but the well’s results have increased confidence in the block.
  • Chevron has indicated that it anticipates further exploration in Namibia.

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Daily Brief Industrials: AKR Corporindo, Hanwha Ocean , Teleperformance and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Smelters and Gas Stations Bring Opportunity
  • Flagging the Hanwha Ocean CB Conversion Risk (20% of Shares Out)
  • Teleperformance (TEP) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024


AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Smelters and Gas Stations Bring Opportunity

By Angus Mackintosh

  • AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) hosted an analyst call to outline prospects for 2025, which revealed a more positive outlook for fuel distribution driven by growth in demand from mining. 
  • The chemical distribution will also benefit from demand from new smelters as well as new chemicals, whilst land sales at JIIPE are set to increase significantly in 2025. 
  • The retail gas station business is picking up momentum and should benefit from the government reducing fuel subsidies. Valuations are attractive with support from a 7% dividend yield.

Flagging the Hanwha Ocean CB Conversion Risk (20% of Shares Out)

By Sanghyun Park

  • KEXIM ignoring this premium could be a breach of duty, making Hanwha Ocean a prime short play. With 20% of shares, past cases suggest a 5-10% pullback.
  • This play’s tougher than HMM’s. Without step-ups, timing the conversion is tricky. Early redemption’s unlikely, so the focus is on when KEXIM pulls the trigger on the conversion.
  • No hints from KEXIM on the CB conversion yet, so loading up aggressively could be risky. We’ll likely need to wait for a signal from KEXIM before jumping in.

Teleperformance (TEP) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Teleperformance is undervalued with its Language Line Solutions business not fully reflected in its current market price
  • Despite strong growth and high profit margins, concerns about AI disrupting the industry have overshadowed Teleperformance’s fundamentals
  • Operating across three segments, Teleperformance is positioned to capitalize on the expected growth in the customer experience management market, projected to reach $14.9 billion by 2025

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Utilities: Adani Green Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In the US, the December CPI edged higher to 2.9% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.7% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p), the fastest monthly pace since March 2024.
  • That said, core CPI (excluding food and energy) eased marginally to 3.2% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.3% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p).
  • Core CPI eased on a m-o-m basis for the first time in six months, after standing at 0.3% for four consecutive months.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 10th): BHP and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 10th): BHP, Aristocrat Leisure, Origin Energy, Computershare, Dexus
  • TSMC (2330.TT) Posted Record Profits, But Our Model Flashes “OVERBOUGHT”: Should You Wait to Invest?


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 10th): BHP, Aristocrat Leisure, Origin Energy, Computershare, Dexus

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 10th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.0bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Aristocrat Leisure, Origin Energy, Computershare, Dexus Property, Jb Hi-Fi.

TSMC (2330.TT) Posted Record Profits, But Our Model Flashes “OVERBOUGHT”: Should You Wait to Invest?

By Nico Rosti

  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) logged record quarterly profits, but some tactical considerations stemming from our WEEKLY model analysis suggest the stock is short-term OVERBOUGHT.
  • Both the Time Model and the Price Model are indicating the stock does not have much room to go higher before a possible pullback, maybe 1-2 more weeks, target 1143.
  • The pullback will be an opportunity to buy at slightly discounted prices, rather than pile in at the highest possible price. The long-term outlook is bullish, buy-the dip.

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Daily Brief ESG: Raising Requirements for Shareholder Proposals Could Hinder the Shift to Value-Creating Management and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Raising Requirements for Shareholder Proposals Could Hinder the Shift to Value-Creating Management


Raising Requirements for Shareholder Proposals Could Hinder the Shift to Value-Creating Management

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Because the majority of companies are still unable to change themselves, both the government and the TSE have taken measures to expect engagement from institutional investors, including activist investors.
  • Japan has high barriers in areas that aren’t regulated by law. The existence of cross-shareholdings has allowed managers to continue to operate without respect for the interests of minority shareholders.
  • It is premature to raise the requirements for shareholder proposals and requests to call special meetings to the level of other countries when many companies are still protected by cross-shareholdings.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Closes Lower as Tech Stocks Slide and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Closes Lower as Tech Stocks Slide
  • Japan Morning Connection: US Semi-Capex Names Higher on TSMC Numbers…more for JP Also?
  • Takashimaya to Close Sakai Store, Meitetsu Nagoya Future in Doubt
  • Singapore Market Roundup (16-Jan-2025): RHB predicts strong 1HFY2025 earnings growth for SGX.
  • Tech Talk: Next-Gen Data Centers Green and Crypto Data Centers
  • #87 India Insight: China Export Halt; GTRI Suggests Tariff Cuts; Fintech Funding Drops 33%


Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Closes Lower as Tech Stocks Slide

By Mark Chadwick

  • Nasdaq slid 0.9%, with large-cap tech stocks like Nvidia and Tesla underperforming
  • Nintendo has unveiled the Switch 2, the successor to its highly successful console. The new device features a larger screen
  • Tokyo Gas will sell assets, including real estate, to fund growth investments and boost shareholder value, following activist pressure

Japan Morning Connection: US Semi-Capex Names Higher on TSMC Numbers…more for JP Also?

By Andrew Jackson

  • Japan saw big gains for SPE in the last 15 mins of trading on the TSMC capex outlook which should continue today.
  • Luxury names got a shot in the arm from Richemont numbers overnight so likes of Shiseido and Kose  may see a knee jerk higher.
  • Nintendo looks to have largely priced in the Switch 2, but upside remains for component makers.

Takashimaya to Close Sakai Store, Meitetsu Nagoya Future in Doubt

By Michael Causton

  • Despite the tourist boom, sales to locals remain less consistent, with sales actually falling in October and less than stellar results before then. 
  • So more department stores will close this year as owners review aging buildings and weigh whether costs will exceed profit potential longer-term.
  • Even in central Nagoya, plans for major redevelopment of the station area mean Meitetsu Department Store is likely to close. 

Singapore Market Roundup (16-Jan-2025): RHB predicts strong 1HFY2025 earnings growth for SGX.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • RHB predicts strong earnings growth for SGX in 1HFY2025 with interim DPS of 17.5 cents, indicating positive performance ahead.
  • DBS issues special dividend as UOB plans share buyback, showcasing strong financial health and confidence in future prospects.
  • CGSI forecasts DBS’s 4QFY2024 net profit at $2.7 billion and quarterly dividend rising to 60 cents, suggesting continued profitability.

Tech Talk: Next-Gen Data Centers Green and Crypto Data Centers

By Water Tower Research

  • Computing, and thus data centers, are becoming more critical to nearly every business (thank AI).
  • In this edition of Tech Talk, we focus on green and crypto data centers, highlighting their specific needs, characteristics, market dynamics, and leading vendors.
  • Simply put, a green data center uses many of the standard computer systems and networking equipment of other data centers, but with a strong emphasis on minimizing environmental impact. 

#87 India Insight: China Export Halt; GTRI Suggests Tariff Cuts; Fintech Funding Drops 33%

By Sudarshan Bhandari


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Daily Brief Credit: EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views


EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views

By Leandro Gubler

  • The LatAm Corporate Index widened by 4 bps to 317 bps in the week ended Wednesday, January 15, 2025. 
  • YPF Priced $1.1bn Bond Due 2034 at 8.5% Yield. PEMEX Commits to Settling Supplier Debts by March
  • Moody’s Upgrades Ratings of Argentine Non-Financial Companies Following Country Ceiling Adjustment

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Daily Brief ECM: Chongqing Terminus Smart Technology Pre-IPO: Deteriorating Revenue and Losing Market Share and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Chongqing Terminus Smart Technology Pre-IPO: Deteriorating Revenue and Losing Market Share
  • Smithfield Foods (SFD) : Peeking at the Prospectus of an Upcoming Q1 IPO
  • Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation
  • LG Electronics India Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Not All Categories Have Been Growing
  • Geek+ IPO Valuation Analysis: Exit Valuation Would Be Significantly Above Last Private Round of ~$2B
  • Venture Global (VG): Rich Valuation Marks Questions About Being Already Priced for Perfection
  • Beta Bionic, Inc. (BBNX) – Medical Device Company Targeting the Insulin Market Prepares for Q1 IPO


Chongqing Terminus Smart Technology Pre-IPO: Deteriorating Revenue and Losing Market Share

By Nicholas Tan

  • Chongqing Terminus (2471080D CH) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It operates in China’s public realm AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) industry.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Smithfield Foods (SFD) : Peeking at the Prospectus of an Upcoming Q1 IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • American food giant with $14 billion in sales to go public in Q1
  • Company is a spin-off from WH Group which acquired Smithfield in 2013
  • Breaking down key points of the initial prospectus which was filed  on January 6th

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison & Thoughts on Valuation

By Clarence Chu

  • Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.
  • In our earlier notes, we had looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and discuss our thoughts on valuation.

LG Electronics India Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Not All Categories Have Been Growing

By Sumeet Singh

  • LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India.
  • LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Geek+ IPO Valuation Analysis: Exit Valuation Would Be Significantly Above Last Private Round of ~$2B

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Geek+, a Beijing-based warehouse robot maker, filed to list IPO on Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The AI & robotics company plans to raise up to $200M.
  • Their last round was a $208M Series E1 in August 2022 that was led by Vertex Growth Fund, Intel Capital and B Capital China at a ~$2B post-money valuation.
  • Geek+ is growing faster than Doosan Robotics, UBTech Robotics and Shenzhen Dobot. The company will likely trade above their last private round valuation of ~$2B in August of 2022.

Venture Global (VG): Rich Valuation Marks Questions About Being Already Priced for Perfection

By IPO Boutique

  • Largest Cash Raise for a company since July 2024 marking important event for Equity Capital Markets to start the calendar year
  • Rising and volatile natural gas prices combined with rich valuation nearly prices company to perfection
  • Deal color for potential price sensitive IPOs is crucial in determining near-term performance

Beta Bionic, Inc. (BBNX) – Medical Device Company Targeting the Insulin Market Prepares for Q1 IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • ILet Bionic Pancreas Device autonomously determine every insulin dose without requiring a user to count carbohydrate intake
  • Revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 was $44.7 million, more than 3.5x that of their annual revenue of $12.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2023.
  • We anticipate this company to set terms (share size, price range) in the next week for a late January / early February debut.

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