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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Japan: JX Advanced Metals, Tokyo Electron, Nikkei 225, Macbee Planet , TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Poletowin Pitcrew Holdings, Koukandekirukun Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • JX Advance Metals IPO Trading – Demand Wasn’t Great
  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession
  • Nikkei 225 Outlook After the Mar25 Rebalance
  • Macbee Planet (7095 JP) – Focus on Volume-First Growth Strategy
  • MBOs Will Rise, Even if Companies and Funds Are Sleeping in the Same Bed but Having Different Dreams
  • Poletowin Pitcrew Holdings (3657 JP): Full-year FY01/25 flash update
  • Koukandekirukun (7695 JP) – Digital Revolution in Appliance Replacement Services


JX Advance Metals IPO Trading – Demand Wasn’t Great

By Sumeet Singh

  • JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)’s parent, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP), raised around US$2.5bn via selling more than half of its stake in JXAM in its Japan IPO.
  • JXAM engages in business activities primarily focused on the development, manufacture and sale of materials made from copper and rare metals, which are used in the semiconductor and ICT fields.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession

By Scott Foster

  • After dropping by half, Tokyo Electron’s share price has bounced. But it is still vulnerable to cutbacks in AI-related investments and tariff-induced recession.
  • A positive scenario has net profit rising by 8% in FY Mar-26. In a negative scenario, it drops by 25%. We take the positive view.
  • Innovations in manufacturing point toward a big step up in profit margins by the end of the decade. But watch out for a cyclical downturn between now and then.

Nikkei 225 Outlook After the Mar25 Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) has been in a paralyzed trend since August 2024. Then at the end of February 2025 it started to correct.
  • As explained by Travis Lundy and Brian Freitas the index rebalance on March 5th, 2025 was a bit unexpected and minimal in terms of changes.
  • The index bottomed 1 week after the March 2025 Nikkei 225 Average Review, and then started a rally, quite modest for now which could be signaling short-term tactical weakness.

Macbee Planet (7095 JP) – Focus on Volume-First Growth Strategy

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Emphasizing sales volume expansion – Q1-3 FY4/25 results indicated strong sales volume growth at 32.2% YoY, as the company continued diversifying into market sectors such as medical, recruitment and finance.
  • Although prioritizing growth has meant a shift in the customer mix away from traditionally high margin brick-and-mortar in-store experiences, we believe this strategic shift is positive given their larger addressable markets.
  • The company revised its FY4/25 guidance, providing greater clarity over the short term, and highlighted its medium-term expectations for sustained double-digit growth.

MBOs Will Rise, Even if Companies and Funds Are Sleeping in the Same Bed but Having Different Dreams

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Even if a company goes private due to listing costs, it is good for investors to shift to a more share price-conscious management in order to maintain the listing.
  • Many companies want to take over management rights with the founding family, but find it not easy to continue as a publicly traded company and consider going private.
  • New problems lie ahead in the coming years between founding families who chose MBO to inherit the management control of “family business” and MBO funds who have to Exit.

Poletowin Pitcrew Holdings (3657 JP): Full-year FY01/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue grew 11.8% YoY to JPY52.2bn, driven by Overseas Solutions orders and yen depreciation, despite extraordinary losses.
  • Operating profit increased 76.4% YoY to JPY787mn, impacted by business liquidation expenses and additional co-development costs.
  • FY01/26 forecasts sales of JPY55.1bn, operating profit of JPY1.2bn, and net income of JPY310mn, with a JPY16.00 dividend.

Koukandekirukun (7695 JP) – Digital Revolution in Appliance Replacement Services

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Striving to dominate a new market – Koukandekirukun is an innovative online platform offering home appliance and sanitaryware replacement services.
  • With an early-mover advantage, it aims to transform the ¥2.8tn residential equipment replacement market, where just 2% of orders are handled online.
  • Efficiencies gained from its comprehensive online quote service help undercut traditional rivals by about a third and generate data to continuously improve SEO, driving traffic to its site. 

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Daily Brief India: Hyundai Motor India , NIFTY Index and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Hyundai India’s ₹31,500 Cr Related-Party Deal Sparks Governance Debate
  • Nifty Index Options Weekly (Mar 10–13): Outperforming SPX in Low-Volatility Trade


Hyundai India’s ₹31,500 Cr Related-Party Deal Sparks Governance Debate

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN) has proposed seven related-party transactions worth over INR 31,500 crore, just months after its record-breaking IPO.
  • Proxy advisors are sharply divided, with concerns around valuation, transparency, and fairness, raising governance red flags for a newly listed company.
  • Despite likely approval due to promoter holding, investor trust hinges on how Hyundai communicates and ensures accountability post-IPO.

Nifty Index Options Weekly (Mar 10–13): Outperforming SPX in Low-Volatility Trade

By John Ley

  • Nifty traded in an exceptionally narrow range during a holiday-shortened week, a stark contrast to volatility in other markets.
  • We highlight Nifty’s relative performance against SPX across both long- and short-term time frames.
  • Implied volatility softened as the quiet range and muted trading activity put pressure on options pricing.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Nickel Industries , Arwana Citramulia, Criterium Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) – Rectifying and Enlarging
  • Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Replacing 160% of FY24 oil production. Gas contingent resources increased by ~40%


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Nickel Industries, West China Cement, China Hongqiao
  • In the US, the March (preliminary) University of Michigan consumer sentiment fell to 57.9 (63.0 e / 64.7 p), declining for three consecutive months and reaching the lowest level since November 2022.
  • Many consumers cited the high uncertainty around policy and other economic factors, as frequent gyrations in economic policies make it very difficult for consumers to plan for the future, according to Surveys of Consumers director Joanne Hsu.

Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) – Rectifying and Enlarging

By Angus Mackintosh

  • A call with Arwana Citramulia cleared up some lingering concerns from 2024, which was a year of reconfiguration of capacity to help differentiate and drive future growth and margins.
  • The company has now fixed the gas price for its production, which is now set for five years, sustaining its cost advantage over Chinese imports, which now face anti-dumpoing measures.
  • Arwana Citramulia is rapidly increasing its rectified capacity and increasing exposure to larger-sized tiles as well as raising prices, given that Chinese players face higher tariff-related costs. Valuations remain attractive.

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Replacing 160% of FY24 oil production. Gas contingent resources increased by ~40%

By Auctus Advisors

  • • At YE24, Criterium was estimated to hold 4.6 mmbbl 2P oil reserves, a slight increase from estimated YE23, as the reserves additions from the work-over program (especially the new GH sand) more tan offsets FY24 production of approximately 0.3 mmboe.
  • • The after-tax NPV10 of the 2P reserves is US$60 mm.
  • • The 2C contingent gas resources at Tungkal are estimated at 27.5 bcf, higher than the previous estimate of 20 bcf.

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Most Read: JX Advanced Metals, Sumitomo Corp, Rio Tinto Ltd, HKBN Ltd, Daishi Hokuetsu Financial Group, Spartan Resources /Australi, Samsung Electronics, Shandong Fengxiang and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • JX Advance Metals Pre-IPO – The Positives – Transforming
  • Warren Buffett and the Japanese Trading Houses I
  • Rio Tinto (RIO LN/RIO AU): Thinking About Unification
  • HKBN (1310 HK): MBK Ups Stake Via VLN Conversion
  • Gunma Bank (8334) And DHFG (7327) In Integration Talks – ‘Guess The Ratio’ Is ‘Efficiency Vs Value’
  • MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: 7 Adds & Other Changes Lead to US$610m Trade
  • Ramelius/Spartan Merger: MergeCo Close to ASX100 Index Inclusion
  • HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion
  • The Backdrop Behind Today’s Pivot in Samsung’s Playbook
  • Fengxiang (9977 HK): Privatisation by PAG?


JX Advance Metals Pre-IPO – The Positives – Transforming

By Sumeet Singh

  • JX Advance Metal’s (JXAM) parent, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP), is looking to raise around US$2.6bn via selling more than half of its stake in JXAM in its Japan IPO.
  • JXAM engages in business activities primarily focused on the development, manufacture and sale of materials made from copper and rare metals, which are used  in the semiconductor and ICT fields.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Warren Buffett and the Japanese Trading Houses I

By Travis Lundy

  • The Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder Letter for 2024 was released this weekend. Much was made in Japanese twitter-space of the comments he made on the Japanese trading houses. 
  • He said Berkshire Hathaway’s admiration of these companies “has consistently grown” and Berkshire likes their capital deployment, managements, and their attitude in respect to investors. They also pay themselves reasonably.
  • He mentioned Berkshire will increase their stakes somewhat in the trading houses “over time.” That comment deserves some exploration, as does the comment about yen funding.

Rio Tinto (RIO LN/RIO AU): Thinking About Unification

By Arun George

  • Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) shareholders will vote on Palliser’s AGM resolution to conduct an independent review on whether the potential unification is in the best interests of shareholders. 
  • Palliser and the Board’s arguments for and against unification focus on five factors: tax costs, post-unification share price, lack of scrip M&A, wastage of franking credits, and shareholder support.
  • A Grant Thornton report supports unification. The board’s case is strong primarily on tax costs, while Palliser’s case is strong on post-unification share price, M&A, and franking credits.

HKBN (1310 HK): MBK Ups Stake Via VLN Conversion

By David Blennerhassett

  • China Mobile (941 HK) has made a pre-conditional HK$5.23/share voluntary Offer for HKBN Ltd (1310 HK). However, a possible separate Offer from I Squared continues to make the news. 
  • In an unusual move, MBK, via Twin Holding, has converted HK$970.5mn of VLNs, at a whopping HK$11.60/share conversion price, lifting MBK’s stake to 16.39% on a fully diluted basis.
  • Speculation is rife that MBK provides an irrevocable to I Squared for its enlarged shareholding. Maybe. I still don’t see China supporting a U.S.-based infrastructure firm over an SOE .

Gunma Bank (8334) And DHFG (7327) In Integration Talks – ‘Guess The Ratio’ Is ‘Efficiency Vs Value’

By Travis Lundy

  • Nikkei Business reported Friday 14 March that Gunma Bank (8334 JP) and Daishi Hokuetsu Financial Group (7327 JP) (“DHFG”) were in talks to integrate to create a Super-Regional Bank
  • Gunma and Daishi-Hokuetsu are part of the same multiple-regional bank alliances, including the Gunma-Daishi Hokuetsu Alliance since 2021, in order to collaborate regionally, build scale, and lower service provision cost.
  • As Gunma and Daishi Hokuetsu serve adjacent jurisdictions, and they are already exploring sharing branches, this makes sense. The World with Interest (rates above zero) may cause more integration talk.

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: 7 Adds & Other Changes Lead to US$610m Trade

By Brian Freitas


Ramelius/Spartan Merger: MergeCo Close to ASX100 Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas


HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion

By Arun George

  • A new Sing Tao Daily article on HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) claims that China Mobile (941 HK)’s offer is a stalemate, and a potential I Squared offer faces regulatory challenges. 
  • The article is being unduly alarmist. The concerns raised on the China Mobile offer remain premature, and there remains a medium-to-high probability of a competing offer from I Squared. 
  • Last Friday, MBK converted its vendor loan notes (VLN) into shares, which could signal that an I Squared competing offer is imminent. 

The Backdrop Behind Today’s Pivot in Samsung’s Playbook

By Sanghyun Park

  • Jay Lee flipping the switch signals Samsung’s pivot—no more playing defense, no more legal jitters. Market’s reading this as full send on the next phase.
  • Near-Term, Samsung’s pushing hard—NVIDIA’s HBM qual tests are in focus. With NVIDIA’s event this week, traders are watching for bullish signals after earlier cautious moves.
  • The real juice? Samsung might drop a bold value-up play and a no-nonsense shareholder message. The prime launchpad: AGM day, this Wednesday, 19th, 9 AM.

Fengxiang (9977 HK): Privatisation by PAG?

By Arun George

  • Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK) entered a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers.” PAG, the controlling shareholder, likely aims to privatise Fengxiang. 
  • The offer will likely be structured as a privatisation by merger by absorption requiring approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (<10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). 
  • The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates a reasonable offer. An offer of HK$1.80-2.00 (a 21%—33% premium to the last close) could win over these shareholders’ backing.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Canvest Environmental Protection Group, DN Solutions, Jardine Matheson Holdings, SATS, Tokyo Electron, Arwana Citramulia, Verisk Analytics, CBAK Energy Technology , Electrovaya and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Canvest (1381 HK): Precondition Satisfied
  • DN Solutions IPO: Index Inclusion Timing Depends on Lock-Up Expiry Schedule
  • DN Solutions IPO: OC’s Out, but the Hit-And-Run Setup Post-Listing Is Still in Play
  • StubWorld: Matheson Looks Stretched
  • SATS: Integrating WFS –Key to Acquisition Success
  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession
  • Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) – Rectifying and Enlarging
  • Verisk Analytics: A Value-Driven Pricing Strategy In Play But Is It Working?
  • CBAT: Reasons for optimism are on the horizon as the company discusses new expansion plans.
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Focus on Electrovaya, Inc. (ELVA)


Canvest (1381 HK): Precondition Satisfied

By Arun George

  • Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) has satisfied the precondition related to its privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)
  • The offer remains attractive despite the re-rating of peers since announcing the deal. The vote risk is low as the two shareholders holding blocking stakes will be supportive. 
  • This is a done deal. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread for a mid-June payment is 3.8%/13.0%. 

DN Solutions IPO: Index Inclusion Timing Depends on Lock-Up Expiry Schedule

By Brian Freitas

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS) is looking to raise up to KRW 1,573bn (US$1.08bn), valuing the company at KRW 5.66 trillion (US$3.9bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.
  • The highest probability of DN Solutions being added to the KOSPI200 Index is at the June 2026 rebalance. The stock needs to move 60% higher to be added in December 2025.
  • Inclusion in global indices could commence in August/November and will depend on institutional investor lock-up schedules. Flows are small unless the stock moves higher and is included in bigger indices.

DN Solutions IPO: OC’s Out, but the Hit-And-Run Setup Post-Listing Is Still in Play

By Sanghyun Park

  • Wild card here is the FSS—they’re eyeing a shadow listing risk for DN Automotive (007340 KS). If they push for a revision, a 2-week delay busts the 135-day limit.
  • 14x PE looks cheap, but comps are shaky—LS Electric’s AI play, Fanuc’s scale advantage, and DMG MORI’s automation pivot all make direct comparisons a stretch.
  • DN Solutions is a pure-play machine tool name, making comps shaky. This IPO’s shaping up like an LG CNS rerun—solid numbers, fair valuation, but a weak growth story.

StubWorld: Matheson Looks Stretched

By David Blennerhassett

  • Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) posted a 11% drop in FY24 underlying profit; but has promptly gained 9% since.
  • Preceding my comments on Matheson are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

SATS: Integrating WFS –Key to Acquisition Success

By Tan Yee Peng

  • In September 2022, as the world began to rebound from COVID-era travel restrictions, Singapore-listed SATS Ltd. made waves with an audacious move.
  • With a market cap of SGD 4.5 billion, SATS announced plans to acquire global air cargo giant Worldwide Flight Services (“WFS”) for up to €1.3 billion (S$1.9 billion), valuing the deal at an enterprise value (“EV”) of €2.25 billion (S$3.1 billion).
  • The market reacted with skepticism, sending SATS’ share price plummeting by 35% as concerns over equity dilution and debt levels unsettled investors accustomed to steady dividends and strong returns.

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession

By Scott Foster

  • After dropping by half, Tokyo Electron’s share price has bounced. But it is still vulnerable to cutbacks in AI-related investments and tariff-induced recession.
  • A positive scenario has net profit rising by 8% in FY Mar-26. In a negative scenario, it drops by 25%. We take the positive view.
  • Innovations in manufacturing point toward a big step up in profit margins by the end of the decade. But watch out for a cyclical downturn between now and then.

Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) – Rectifying and Enlarging

By Angus Mackintosh

  • A call with Arwana Citramulia cleared up some lingering concerns from 2024, which was a year of reconfiguration of capacity to help differentiate and drive future growth and margins.
  • The company has now fixed the gas price for its production, which is now set for five years, sustaining its cost advantage over Chinese imports, which now face anti-dumpoing measures.
  • Arwana Citramulia is rapidly increasing its rectified capacity and increasing exposure to larger-sized tiles as well as raising prices, given that Chinese players face higher tariff-related costs. Valuations remain attractive.

Verisk Analytics: A Value-Driven Pricing Strategy In Play But Is It Working?

By Baptista Research

  • Verisk Analytics, a leading data analytics company primarily serving the insurance industry, reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024.
  • A key highlight of the quarter was an 11% growth in subscription revenues, driven mainly by a surge in demand for their analytics and software services and successful conversion of transactional contracts to subscription-based contracts.
  • For the fourth quarter, Verisk achieved an 8.6% increase in organic constant currency (OCC) revenue, largely propelled by sales momentum and incidental benefits from storm-related activities, particularly hurricanes Helene and Milton.

CBAT: Reasons for optimism are on the horizon as the company discusses new expansion plans.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • CBAK Energy Technology’s core battery business has performed well during the prolonged industry downturn still generating over $20 million in operating income in 2024.
  • Capacity expansions discloses were increased on the company’s conference call as the company now anticipates growing from 2.3 GWh of capacity to 7.6 GWh in 2026.
  • Tariff concerns continue to weigh on the shares and the company’s raw material business remains very weak but for investors seeking exposure to the cylindrical cell market CBAK’s shares could represent a good value if expansion plans are successfully implemented.

Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Focus on Electrovaya, Inc. (ELVA)

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was down 1.2% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 2.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 1.5%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 2.5%).
  • Energy Technology (12.9% of the index) was down 0.1%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (45.6% of the index) was down 2.2%, ClimateTech Mining was down 1.1%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (22.1% of the index) was up 0.4%.
  • Top 10 Performers: PEV, ARVL, JEV, PEGY, ENG, AMMP, GRB, SX, NFI, KULR

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Dongjin Semichem, JX Advanced Metals, Uranium, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Nickel Industries , Petroleo Brasileiro , APA , Gold, Frontline , Eog Resources and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • A Potential Family Feud At Dongjin Semichem Post Death of Founder Lee?
  • JX Advance Metals IPO Trading – Demand Wasn’t Great
  • Why the uranium shorts are wrong (Guy Keller interview)
  • IRGMA Raises Alarm Over Dumping Of Inferior Gloves Into India
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • PBR/A US – Petrobras’ Billion-Dollar Bet: The ‘Dream Field’ That Could Redefine Oil Production!
  • APA Corporation: Will Its Permian Basin Production Strategy Help Capitalize On Market Opportunities?
  • Major Cotton Reversal Trade / Potential Investment Case
  • Frontline Ltd: Will The Recent Adjustments in Crude Oil Trade Patterns Have A Positive Impact?
  • EOG Resources’ Billion-Dollar Plan: Massive Cash Payouts & Debt Strategy Revealed!


A Potential Family Feud At Dongjin Semichem Post Death of Founder Lee?

By Douglas Kim

  • After the death of Dongjin Semichem’s founder Lee on 25 February, the company has yet to reveal the details of the succession plan.
  • There is a potential for a family feud between the two sons of founder Lee if indeed there was no will directing the late chairman Lee’s ownership of Dongjin Holdings.
  • A potential family feud for the control of Dongjin Semichem could lead to a grab for shares by both the family members as well as the general investors.

JX Advance Metals IPO Trading – Demand Wasn’t Great

By Sumeet Singh

  • JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)’s parent, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP), raised around US$2.5bn via selling more than half of its stake in JXAM in its Japan IPO.
  • JXAM engages in business activities primarily focused on the development, manufacture and sale of materials made from copper and rare metals, which are used in the semiconductor and ICT fields.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Why the uranium shorts are wrong (Guy Keller interview)

By Money of Mine

  • The conversation focuses on the current state of the uranium market, with a emphasis on short interest and sentiment towards uranium stocks.
  • Guy discusses the reasons behind the consensus short uranium position among hedge funds, and how it originated from thematic responses and shifts in the market.
  • Despite the negative sentiment and high short interest, Guy remains optimistic about the potential for a sentiment shift in the uranium market.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


IRGMA Raises Alarm Over Dumping Of Inferior Gloves Into India

By Vinod Nedumudy

  •  Dumping of gloves from Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam into India alleged  
  •  IRGMA petitions Indian Government for intervention to stop  
  • DGTR recommends ADD on imports of titanium dioxide from China

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Nickel Industries, West China Cement, China Hongqiao
  • In the US, the March (preliminary) University of Michigan consumer sentiment fell to 57.9 (63.0 e / 64.7 p), declining for three consecutive months and reaching the lowest level since November 2022.
  • Many consumers cited the high uncertainty around policy and other economic factors, as frequent gyrations in economic policies make it very difficult for consumers to plan for the future, according to Surveys of Consumers director Joanne Hsu.

PBR/A US – Petrobras’ Billion-Dollar Bet: The ‘Dream Field’ That Could Redefine Oil Production!

By Baptista Research

  • Petróleo Brasileiro S.A., also known as Petrobras, delivered an impressive operational performance in 2024, showing strong cash generation and substantial investment while facing certain external challenges.
  • The company’s operational cash flow reached an impressive BRL 204 billion, showcasing its capability to generate significant resources and enhance financial robustness.
  • Despite global challenges, including a decline in Brent crude prices and a 40% drop in diesel crack spread, Petrobras maintained strong financial health with its financial debt reduced to the lowest level since 2008, at BRL 23 billion.

APA Corporation: Will Its Permian Basin Production Strategy Help Capitalize On Market Opportunities?

By Baptista Research

  • APA Corporation reported its fourth-quarter and year-end 2024 financial and operational results, demonstrating both strategic progress and ongoing challenges.
  • The company has been focusing on strengthening its portfolio, primarily in the Permian Basin and Egypt, while also advancing its exploration activities in Suriname.
  • Positively, APA Corporation has successfully reshaped its business by acquiring assets in the Permian Basin and finalizing a gas price agreement in Egypt, facilitating additional drilling opportunities.

Major Cotton Reversal Trade / Potential Investment Case

By The Commodity Report

  • As of today, we’re still short cotton, but we see a major potential reversal pattern brewing in the market.
  • A worsening economic outlook provided major headwinds to the price of cotton during the past few couple of months.
  • Overall, the market has corrected more than 50% since Q2 of 2022.

Frontline Ltd: Will The Recent Adjustments in Crude Oil Trade Patterns Have A Positive Impact?

By Baptista Research

  • Frontline plc, a prominent player in the tanker industry, recently held its fourth quarter 2024 results conference.
  • The discussion highlighted the company’s financial performance, fleet status, market conditions, and potential future impacts of geopolitical factors affecting the global oil trade.
  • In terms of financial performance, Frontline reported a profit of $66.7 million for the quarter, translating to $0.30 per share, while the adjusted profit stood at $45.1 million or $0.20 per share.

EOG Resources’ Billion-Dollar Plan: Massive Cash Payouts & Debt Strategy Revealed!

By Baptista Research

  • EOG Resources has reported its financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, reflecting a year of substantial achievement and strategic investment across various fronts.
  • EOG Resources has managed to exceed its prior production forecasts, maintain capital discipline, and achieve significant shareholder returns despite industry volatility.
  • Notably, the company achieved a 25% return on capital employed, demonstrating its operational efficiency and financial robustness.

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Daily Brief Utilities: China Resources Power and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: Large Price Swings Needed to Trigger Index Changes


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Jun25: Large Price Swings Needed to Trigger Index Changes

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 “Mainland China” securities listed in Hong Kong.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • We see no index changes based on the latest available data. However, there will be some flows in June 2025 due to capping.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Canvest Environmental Protection Group, DN Solutions, Jardine Matheson Holdings, SATS, Tokyo Electron, Arwana Citramulia, Verisk Analytics, CBAK Energy Technology , Electrovaya and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Canvest (1381 HK): Precondition Satisfied
  • DN Solutions IPO: Index Inclusion Timing Depends on Lock-Up Expiry Schedule
  • DN Solutions IPO: OC’s Out, but the Hit-And-Run Setup Post-Listing Is Still in Play
  • StubWorld: Matheson Looks Stretched
  • SATS: Integrating WFS –Key to Acquisition Success
  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession
  • Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) – Rectifying and Enlarging
  • Verisk Analytics: A Value-Driven Pricing Strategy In Play But Is It Working?
  • CBAT: Reasons for optimism are on the horizon as the company discusses new expansion plans.
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Focus on Electrovaya, Inc. (ELVA)


Canvest (1381 HK): Precondition Satisfied

By Arun George

  • Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) has satisfied the precondition related to its privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)
  • The offer remains attractive despite the re-rating of peers since announcing the deal. The vote risk is low as the two shareholders holding blocking stakes will be supportive. 
  • This is a done deal. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread for a mid-June payment is 3.8%/13.0%. 

DN Solutions IPO: Index Inclusion Timing Depends on Lock-Up Expiry Schedule

By Brian Freitas

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS) is looking to raise up to KRW 1,573bn (US$1.08bn), valuing the company at KRW 5.66 trillion (US$3.9bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.
  • The highest probability of DN Solutions being added to the KOSPI200 Index is at the June 2026 rebalance. The stock needs to move 60% higher to be added in December 2025.
  • Inclusion in global indices could commence in August/November and will depend on institutional investor lock-up schedules. Flows are small unless the stock moves higher and is included in bigger indices.

DN Solutions IPO: OC’s Out, but the Hit-And-Run Setup Post-Listing Is Still in Play

By Sanghyun Park

  • Wild card here is the FSS—they’re eyeing a shadow listing risk for DN Automotive (007340 KS). If they push for a revision, a 2-week delay busts the 135-day limit.
  • 14x PE looks cheap, but comps are shaky—LS Electric’s AI play, Fanuc’s scale advantage, and DMG MORI’s automation pivot all make direct comparisons a stretch.
  • DN Solutions is a pure-play machine tool name, making comps shaky. This IPO’s shaping up like an LG CNS rerun—solid numbers, fair valuation, but a weak growth story.

StubWorld: Matheson Looks Stretched

By David Blennerhassett

  • Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) posted a 11% drop in FY24 underlying profit; but has promptly gained 9% since.
  • Preceding my comments on Matheson are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

SATS: Integrating WFS –Key to Acquisition Success

By Tan Yee Peng

  • In September 2022, as the world began to rebound from COVID-era travel restrictions, Singapore-listed SATS Ltd. made waves with an audacious move.
  • With a market cap of SGD 4.5 billion, SATS announced plans to acquire global air cargo giant Worldwide Flight Services (“WFS”) for up to €1.3 billion (S$1.9 billion), valuing the deal at an enterprise value (“EV”) of €2.25 billion (S$3.1 billion).
  • The market reacted with skepticism, sending SATS’ share price plummeting by 35% as concerns over equity dilution and debt levels unsettled investors accustomed to steady dividends and strong returns.

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Buy if You’re Not Afraid of Recession

By Scott Foster

  • After dropping by half, Tokyo Electron’s share price has bounced. But it is still vulnerable to cutbacks in AI-related investments and tariff-induced recession.
  • A positive scenario has net profit rising by 8% in FY Mar-26. In a negative scenario, it drops by 25%. We take the positive view.
  • Innovations in manufacturing point toward a big step up in profit margins by the end of the decade. But watch out for a cyclical downturn between now and then.

Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) – Rectifying and Enlarging

By Angus Mackintosh

  • A call with Arwana Citramulia cleared up some lingering concerns from 2024, which was a year of reconfiguration of capacity to help differentiate and drive future growth and margins.
  • The company has now fixed the gas price for its production, which is now set for five years, sustaining its cost advantage over Chinese imports, which now face anti-dumpoing measures.
  • Arwana Citramulia is rapidly increasing its rectified capacity and increasing exposure to larger-sized tiles as well as raising prices, given that Chinese players face higher tariff-related costs. Valuations remain attractive.

Verisk Analytics: A Value-Driven Pricing Strategy In Play But Is It Working?

By Baptista Research

  • Verisk Analytics, a leading data analytics company primarily serving the insurance industry, reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024.
  • A key highlight of the quarter was an 11% growth in subscription revenues, driven mainly by a surge in demand for their analytics and software services and successful conversion of transactional contracts to subscription-based contracts.
  • For the fourth quarter, Verisk achieved an 8.6% increase in organic constant currency (OCC) revenue, largely propelled by sales momentum and incidental benefits from storm-related activities, particularly hurricanes Helene and Milton.

CBAT: Reasons for optimism are on the horizon as the company discusses new expansion plans.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • CBAK Energy Technology’s core battery business has performed well during the prolonged industry downturn still generating over $20 million in operating income in 2024.
  • Capacity expansions discloses were increased on the company’s conference call as the company now anticipates growing from 2.3 GWh of capacity to 7.6 GWh in 2026.
  • Tariff concerns continue to weigh on the shares and the company’s raw material business remains very weak but for investors seeking exposure to the cylindrical cell market CBAK’s shares could represent a good value if expansion plans are successfully implemented.

Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Focus on Electrovaya, Inc. (ELVA)

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was down 1.2% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 2.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 1.5%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 2.5%).
  • Energy Technology (12.9% of the index) was down 0.1%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (45.6% of the index) was down 2.2%, ClimateTech Mining was down 1.1%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (22.1% of the index) was up 0.4%.
  • Top 10 Performers: PEV, ARVL, JEV, PEGY, ENG, AMMP, GRB, SX, NFI, KULR

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Daily Brief Health Care: Bangkok Dusit Medical Services, WuXi AppTec, Unitedhealth Group, Hinge Health, Marpai Inc, Natera Inc, Nurexone Biologic, Option Care Health, Quoin Pharmaceuticals , Revelation Biosciences and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Bangkok Dusit Medical (BDMS TB): Stable 2024 Performance as International Patients Drive Growth
  • WuXi AppTec (2359 HK): In-Line 2024 Performance; Announces Dividend and A Share Buyback Plan
  • UnitedHealth: The Expansion of Optum’s Integrated Healthcare Services Might Just Be The Single Most Important Catalyst For Them Today!
  • Hinge Health (HNGE): Peeking at the Prospectus of the Next Software/Healthcare IPO
  • Marpai Inc – MS Microcaps Conference: Company Spotlights & Key Takeaways
  • Natera Inc.: Strong Execution in Revenue Per Test Powering Our Optimism!
  • NRXBF: Tests Confirm Potential for Spinal Cord Injury Recovery
  • Option Care Health: Is Its Expansion of Advanced Practitioner Model The Right Move to Capture Significant Market Share?
  • QNRX: With Clinical Activities Expanding, QNRX Expects Cash Runway Into 2Q26
  • REVB: Study Shows Positive Results


Bangkok Dusit Medical (BDMS TB): Stable 2024 Performance as International Patients Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB) posted 7% rise in revenue from hospital operations in 2024 as both International and Thai patients revenue reported growth of 11% and 5%, respectively.
  • EBITDA grew 7% YoY to THB26.6B on higher revenues and better cost management while net profit also rose to THB16B on lower interest cost.
  • COEs, focusing trauma, heart, orthopedics, cancer, and neuro contributed 57% of hospital revenue, while their contribution to EBITDA was at 60% in 2024.

WuXi AppTec (2359 HK): In-Line 2024 Performance; Announces Dividend and A Share Buyback Plan

By Tina Banerjee

  • WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) has reported 2024 result, with revenue reaching RMB39.2M, in-line with guidance of RMB38.3–40.5B. Excluding Covid-19 commercial project, 2024 revenue represents 5% YoY growth.
  • The company has announced a cash dividend of RMB9.8 and a special dividend of RMB3.5 for every 10 shares. Wuxi AppTech has also proposed RMB 1B buyback plan (for A-shares).
  • Based on the current backlog, Wuxi AppTech expects continuing operations revenue to resume double-digit growth of 10–15% YoY in 2025, targeting to deliver a total revenue of RMB41.5–43.0B.

UnitedHealth: The Expansion of Optum’s Integrated Healthcare Services Might Just Be The Single Most Important Catalyst For Them Today!

By Baptista Research

  • UnitedHealth Group’s fourth quarter and full year 2024 results were characterized by resilience and strong operational execution despite significant challenges.
  • Revenues exceeded $400 billion, with an adjusted earnings per share of $27.66, aligning with the company’s projections.
  • Notably, the medical care ratio was 150 basis points above the initial outlook, mainly due to a mix change of the people served, a more rapid acceleration in certain high-cost medication prescriptions, and coding intensity shifts in hospitals.

Hinge Health (HNGE): Peeking at the Prospectus of the Next Software/Healthcare IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • They have designed their platform to address a broad spectrum of Musculoskeletal system (MSK) care—from acute injury, to chronic pain, to post-surgical rehabilitation.
  • As of December 31, 2024, they had over 532,000 members and more than 2,250 clients, compared to approximately 371,000 members and approximately 1,650 clients as of December 31, 2023.
  • Their revenue was $390.4 million and $292.7 million for the years ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 33%.

Marpai Inc – MS Microcaps Conference: Company Spotlights & Key Takeaways

By Atrium Research

  • We recently teamed up with MS Microcaps to publish Company Spotlight reports on the companies presenting at its conference earlier this month.
  • The reports aim to serve as an introduction to each company and provide a basic investment thesis.
  • For access to full versions of all interviews please visit either mscliffnotes.substack.com or geoinvesting.com/free-trial/.

Natera Inc.: Strong Execution in Revenue Per Test Powering Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • Natera Inc. presented its fourth quarter 2024 financial results, signaling a robust period for the company as they continue to expand and enhance their operations.
  • The company’s revenues for the quarter reached $476 million, marking a substantial 53% increase year-on-year and exceeding their January pre-announcement by $4 million.
  • This robust revenue growth is attributed to an increase in test volumes across their product lines, with a particular highlight on the 60% clinical volume growth of Signatera compared to the fourth quarter of 2023.

NRXBF: Tests Confirm Potential for Spinal Cord Injury Recovery

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • NurExone (OTC-NRXBF) is a preclinical stage biotech company that is developing a breakthrough treatment for spinal cord injuries that has the potential to dramatically improve lives.
  • The technology involved also has the potential to more efficiently get other treatments to the needed area.
  • The company announced that a preclinical study demonstrated that ExoPTEN treatment led to motor function recovery and improvements in blood flow-both positive signs for an IND submission.

Option Care Health: Is Its Expansion of Advanced Practitioner Model The Right Move to Capture Significant Market Share?

By Baptista Research

  • Option Care Health recently reported its financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024.
  • During the call, the executives outlined several aspects of their performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook.
  • Key takeaways include a robust revenue growth rate of approximately 19.7% year-over-year in the fourth quarter and an overall satisfactory management of operational challenges such as supply chain issues.

QNRX: With Clinical Activities Expanding, QNRX Expects Cash Runway Into 2Q26

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • In Dec.
  • 2024, Quoin received FDA clearance to initiate a new investigator led whole-body clinical study for QRX003, which will evaluate the safety and efficacy of twice-daily application of QRX003 to more than 80% of the body surface area in NS patients, an application dosage QNRX anticipates in real-world usage if QRX003 obtains regulatory approval.
  • This represents the most extensive clinical application of QRX003 thus far.

REVB: Study Shows Positive Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Revelation Biosciences is a life sciences company whose development of immunologic-based therapies is based on the well-established biology of phosphorylated hexaacyl disaccharide (PHAD) and its effect on the innate immune system.
  • The company announced that a study on its flagship Gemini treatment showed the drug reduces inflammation in human blood cells.
  • These results hold great promise for the treatment of conditions such as CKD (chronic kidney disease).

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: HKBN Ltd, Samsung Electronics, Kuaishou Technology, Alibaba Group Holding , Okta , Synopsys Inc, ZoomInfo Technologies , Macbee Planet , Itron Inc, Ebay Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion
  • The Backdrop Behind Today’s Pivot in Samsung’s Playbook
  • Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Jun25/Sep25: Capping Flows in June and Index Changes in September
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Mar-2025): Tesla strengthens ties with Baidu amid US-China tech tensions.
  • Okta Inc.: Monetization of Agentic AI As A Significant Growth Opportunity!
  • Synopsys Inc.: How Is The Adoption of AI & Agentic AI Technologies Are Helping Them Aplify Their Efficiency In Electronic Design Automation?
  • ZoomInfo: Adding Copilot AI Agents & Workflow Automation To Maintain Its Relevance!
  • Macbee Planet (7095 JP) – Focus on Volume-First Growth Strategy
  • Itron Inc.: Strengthening Partnerships & Strategic M&A -The Secret to Maximizing Profits While Navigating Uncertainty!
  • eBay Inc.: Will The Integration of Artificial Intelligence Help Them Stay Competitive Against Larger E-Commerce Giants?


HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion

By Arun George

  • A new Sing Tao Daily article on HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) claims that China Mobile (941 HK)’s offer is a stalemate, and a potential I Squared offer faces regulatory challenges. 
  • The article is being unduly alarmist. The concerns raised on the China Mobile offer remain premature, and there remains a medium-to-high probability of a competing offer from I Squared. 
  • Last Friday, MBK converted its vendor loan notes (VLN) into shares, which could signal that an I Squared competing offer is imminent. 

The Backdrop Behind Today’s Pivot in Samsung’s Playbook

By Sanghyun Park

  • Jay Lee flipping the switch signals Samsung’s pivot—no more playing defense, no more legal jitters. Market’s reading this as full send on the next phase.
  • Near-Term, Samsung’s pushing hard—NVIDIA’s HBM qual tests are in focus. With NVIDIA’s event this week, traders are watching for bullish signals after earlier cautious moves.
  • The real juice? Samsung might drop a bold value-up play and a no-nonsense shareholder message. The prime launchpad: AGM day, this Wednesday, 19th, 9 AM.

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Jun25/Sep25: Capping Flows in June and Index Changes in September

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The Hang Seng Internet & IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
  • In this insight, we take a look at our capping flow expectations for the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • We have also presented our index change expectations for the next semiannual index review which will take place in September 2025 (regular ADDs/DELs only take place in March and September).

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Mar-2025): Tesla strengthens ties with Baidu amid US-China tech tensions.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Tesla has strengthened ties with Baidu amid the US-Sino tech crossfire, showcasing the complex dynamics between the two countries.
  • China achieves a breakthrough in semiconductor technology with EUV, while lawmakers propose anonymous semiconductor purchases to secure the industry.
  • VCI Global’s plan to establish India’s first semiconductor wire plant in Chennai marks a significant milestone for the tech industry in the country, with Alibaba’s Tongyi Qianwen aiming to revolutionize China’s AI.

Okta Inc.: Monetization of Agentic AI As A Significant Growth Opportunity!

By Baptista Research

  • Okta reported a strong fourth quarter, highlighting accelerating remaining performance obligations (RPO) and current RPO (cRPO), record profitability, and robust free cash flow.
  • Demand for both workforce and customer identity products was strong, with notable contributions from new offerings such as Okta Identity Governance, Privileged Access, and Identity Security Posture Management.
  • The company emphasized product innovation, partner ecosystem expansion, and go-to-market specialization as key drivers of its momentum heading into the next fiscal year.

Synopsys Inc.: How Is The Adoption of AI & Agentic AI Technologies Are Helping Them Aplify Their Efficiency In Electronic Design Automation?

By Baptista Research

  • Synopsys Inc. delivered a notable performance in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, showing resilience amidst shifting market dynamics and broader economic uncertainties.
  • Synopsys reported revenue of $1.46 billion, slightly under its previous year’s performance due to one less week in the quarter.
  • However, the company’s non-GAAP earnings per share were above the guidance range, indicating solid financial management and operational execution.

ZoomInfo: Adding Copilot AI Agents & Workflow Automation To Maintain Its Relevance!

By Baptista Research

  • ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. recently reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, showcasing mixed outcomes.
  • The company generated GAAP revenue of $309 million for the quarter, which exceeded expectations.
  • The adjusted operating income was reported at $116 million, representing a margin of 37%, and similarly surpassing guidance.

Macbee Planet (7095 JP) – Focus on Volume-First Growth Strategy

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Emphasizing sales volume expansion – Q1-3 FY4/25 results indicated strong sales volume growth at 32.2% YoY, as the company continued diversifying into market sectors such as medical, recruitment and finance.
  • Although prioritizing growth has meant a shift in the customer mix away from traditionally high margin brick-and-mortar in-store experiences, we believe this strategic shift is positive given their larger addressable markets.
  • The company revised its FY4/25 guidance, providing greater clarity over the short term, and highlighted its medium-term expectations for sustained double-digit growth.

Itron Inc.: Strengthening Partnerships & Strategic M&A -The Secret to Maximizing Profits While Navigating Uncertainty!

By Baptista Research

  • Itron Inc., a technology company engaged in providing solutions for the management of energy and water resources, reported their fourth-quarter and full-year results for 2024.
  • Their performance in the fourth quarter was marked by an above-expectation outcome, underscored by record revenues in key growth segments, remarkably Network Solutions and Outcomes.
  • The company registered a fourth-quarter revenue of $613 million, demonstrating a 6% year-over-year increase.

eBay Inc.: Will The Integration of Artificial Intelligence Help Them Stay Competitive Against Larger E-Commerce Giants?

By Baptista Research

  • eBay Inc.’s fourth-quarter results highlight various strategic and financial developments that mark a significant year for the company.
  • The results signify a mix of progress and challenges typical of eBay’s evolving position within the e-commerce landscape.
  • On the positive side, eBay has shown resilience in gross merchandise volume (GMV), with GMV recording a modest increase of over 2% to $19.3 billion.

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