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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Credit: Minerva 3Q25: Stronger Credit as Integration Completes and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Minerva 3Q25: Stronger Credit as Integration Completes, Margins Under Pressure


Minerva 3Q25: Stronger Credit as Integration Completes, Margins Under Pressure

By Leandro Gubler

  • We maintain our Overweight on Minerva, favoring the 2033s for superior carry-to-duration despite limited upside, supported by strong liquidity, improving leverage, and integration-driven efficiencies
  • We see room for further spread compression over 9–12 months as operating conditions remain favorable, tariff mitigation continues, and synergies from acquired plants strengthen the credit profile
  • Relative value remains constructive, with Minerva notes still wide to key benchmarks and peers even after tightening, while rising cattle prices and weak interest coverage remain the main risks

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Daily Brief Thailand: Rubber Future SGX TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Weak Demand Lingers Amid Tariff Turbulence, Impacting Thai Rubber Exports


Weak Demand Lingers Amid Tariff Turbulence, Impacting Thai Rubber Exports

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Thailand’s rubber exports up by .5% MoM to 204,095 MT in Sept

  • Chinese imports decline while US imports sharply rise

  • Significant disruption to production due to rains

    Thailand, which continued to witness unusually heavy rains during its ongoing production season, saw rubber export volume increasing marginally from August to September, while the returns also increased correspondingly as tight supply prevented prices from falling further.


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Daily Brief Consumer: Tsuruha Holdings, Alibaba, WPP PLC, BYD, Geely Auto, Izumi Co Ltd, Acushnet Holdings, Minerva /Brazil, Nippon Seiki, Perdoceo Education and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan Activism/M&A] Thinking About the Partial Tender Trade Coming in Dec25
  • Alibaba (9988 HK / BABA US): Brace for a Big Earnings Move
  • Potential Takeover of WPP Plc — Event-Driven Risk Arbitrage Catalyst Emerging
  • BYD (1211 HK): Leverage Softening Fundamentals with Short Calls
  • Geely (175 HK): 3Q25, Revenue up by 26%, Deliveries Reached 90% of BYD
  • Izumi Plans 300 Supermarkets Including Through M&A
  • GOLF: 3Q Sales and EBITDA Beat Expectations; Raising Estimates
  • Minerva 3Q25: Stronger Credit as Integration Completes, Margins Under Pressure
  • Primer: Nippon Seiki (7287 JP) – Nov 2025
  • Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO): Going Ghost


[Japan Activism/M&A] Thinking About the Partial Tender Trade Coming in Dec25

By Travis Lundy


Alibaba (9988 HK / BABA US): Brace for a Big Earnings Move

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Alibaba (9988 HK) / Alibaba (BABA US) will announce quarterly results on Tuesday, November 25, 8:30 p.m. HKT (7:30 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time)
  • Options markets anticipate an above average move with a bearish bias in traders’ expectations. Implied volatility is expected to drop significantly after the event.
  • Get ready for Alibaba‘s earnings announcement. Potential above-average volatility in Alibaba has the potential to impact the wider market and Chinese benchmark indices.

Potential Takeover of WPP Plc — Event-Driven Risk Arbitrage Catalyst Emerging

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Takeover speculation re-ignites WPP plc, with interest reportedly from Havas, Apollo, and KKR. Depressed valuation, strategic review, and FTSE ejection risk position WPP as a live event-driven opportunity.
  • Valuation disconnect significant: FY2024 EV/EBITDA only 3.8× versus peers 8–10× (5.4x NTM consensus, vs. peers NTM averaging ~6.7x). Base-case bid 430–550 p implies 50–80 % upside, assuming £7.5–9.5 billion EV.
  • Arbitrage setup compelling: Expected 6-month return ≈ 34 % (IRR 45 %), asymmetric 3:1 reward-to-risk profile. Key catalysts – formal bid indication, Havas/Vivendi stake-building, or private-equity consortium approach.

BYD (1211 HK): Leverage Softening Fundamentals with Short Calls

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Bearish fundamental views are strengthening: Recent Smartkarma Insights argue BYD (1211 HK) is overvalued, with slowing sales growth and valuation multiples pointing to limited upside.
  • Call overwriting offers efficient yield: Implied volatility in the mid-30s enables attractive income generation.
  • Strike and expiry selection matter: Short-dated December options provide the best liquidity, while higher strikes balance premium income with room for near-term upside.

Geely (175 HK): 3Q25, Revenue up by 26%, Deliveries Reached 90% of BYD

By Ming Lu

  • Geely’s total revenue continued to grow rapidly by 26% YoY in 3Q25.
  • Geely’s deliveries reached 90% of BYD’s in October of 2025.
  • We conclude a price target of HK$18.50 for next 12 months, which suggests an upside of 19%.

Izumi Plans 300 Supermarkets Including Through M&A

By Michael Causton

  • Izumi is joining the race to buy up more of Japan’s food and FMCG retail share. 
  • Currently one of the dominant players in Kyushu, Izumi says it will use M&A to increase store numbers over the next decade.
  • This will also mean pivoting more towards food rather than its traditional GMS format just like its competitors.

GOLF: 3Q Sales and EBITDA Beat Expectations; Raising Estimates

By Water Tower Research

  • GOLF reported 3Q GAAP EPS of $0.81 versus $0.89, down Y/Y due to a much higher tax rate. GAAP operating income increased 13.2%. 
  • We note that while the company provides adjusted EBITDA, it does not adjust EPS for one-time items, nor does it discuss EPS in its quarterly commentary or outlook.
  • If we apply the GAAP tax rate to adjusted pretax income, EPS was $0.87 versus $0.92, above our $0.85 estimate.

Minerva 3Q25: Stronger Credit as Integration Completes, Margins Under Pressure

By Leandro Gubler

  • We maintain our Overweight on Minerva, favoring the 2033s for superior carry-to-duration despite limited upside, supported by strong liquidity, improving leverage, and integration-driven efficiencies
  • We see room for further spread compression over 9–12 months as operating conditions remain favorable, tariff mitigation continues, and synergies from acquired plants strengthen the credit profile
  • Relative value remains constructive, with Minerva notes still wide to key benchmarks and peers even after tightening, while rising cattle prices and weak interest coverage remain the main risks

Primer: Nippon Seiki (7287 JP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Nippon Seiki is a global leader in the automotive instrument cluster and Head-Up Display (HUD) market, holding the top global market share for HUDs at approximately 30%. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the automotive industry’s shift towards digitalization and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS).
  • Financially, the company has demonstrated robust growth in recent years, with a 3-year revenue CAGR of 12.26% and a net income CAGR of 47.08%. This performance is supported by strong demand in North America and ASEAN, and the easing of semiconductor shortages.
  • Despite strong growth, the company faces risks associated with the cyclical nature of the automotive industry, high dependency on a few major OEM customers, and volatility in cash flow. The long-term market cap performance has been weak, suggesting historical investor concerns.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO): Going Ghost

By Bleecker Street Research

  • Perdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO) is a ~$2B market cap, for-profit education company that has seen unprecedented enrollment and retention growth across its online academic institutions, which has driven its stock price up ~200% over the last two years. 
  • In Q1 24, the pace of enrollments suddenly began to accelerate, with enrollment growth at Colorado Technical University (CTU), PRDO’s largest school, peaking at 28% year-over-year.
  • This growth far surpassed the normalized levels management were forecasting just one quarter prior, and well outstripped the ~3% average pre-COVID enrollment growth at CTU.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Daiichi Sankyo, Thyrocare Technologies, Merck & Co, Suzhou Ribo Life Science, Celltrion , Cingulate, Cross Country Healthcare, Inc, CytoSorbents , Ensysce Biosciences , Imunon and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) – Were We Too Early in Oct 2024?
  • Thyrocare Technologies Limited: Positioned for the GLP-1 Diagnostics
  • Merck Buys Cidara In $9.2 Billion Deal—Here’s What They’re Really After!
  • Suzhou Ribo Life Science (瑞博生物) Pre-IPO: Competition Understated
  • Primer: Celltrion (068270 KP) – Nov 2025
  • CING: Third Quarter Results
  • Primer: Cross Country Healthcare, Inc (CCRN US) – Nov 2025
  • CTSO: CytoSorbents reports 3rd quarter 2025 financial results. The company plans to submit a new De Novo application for Drug-Sorb ATR in early 2026. As a reminder
  • ENSC: Pipeline Advancement Gets Cash Infusion
  • IMNN: R&D Day Highlights Potential for IMNN-001


Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) – Were We Too Early in Oct 2024?

By Avien Pillay

  • We were correct not buying at a 51 FPE (at the top), despite our bullish view on their oncology portfolio of drugs.
  • With hindsight, we were early at the end Oct 2024 at 39 FPE – numbers disappointed and the counter derated significantly.
  • At a 16.5 FPE, expectations are very different. Enhertu has moved from strength to strength and has just achieved its first billion dollar quarter.

Thyrocare Technologies Limited: Positioned for the GLP-1 Diagnostics

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The generic availability of GLP-1 drugs from 2026 presents a structural, high-volume, and repetitive diagnostics opportunity that perfectly fits Thyrocare’s low-cost, centralized B2B model.
  • Thyrocare Technologies (THYROCAR IN) reported robust Q2 FY’26 consolidated revenue growth of 22% YoY, coupled with a normalized EBITDA margin expansion to 34.8%.
  • Strong execution and quality improvements position Thyrocare to capture this multi-year GLP-1-driven volume surge.

Merck Buys Cidara In $9.2 Billion Deal—Here’s What They’re Really After!

By Baptista Research

  • Merck & Co., Inc.’s third-quarter performance demonstrates its commitment to leveraging scientific advances to deliver value in the healthcare space.
  • The company’s revenue for the quarter reached $17.3 billion, a growth of 4% despite foreign exchange headwinds.
  • This growth was primarily driven by the continued strength of its oncology segment, notably the drug KEYTRUDA, which saw an 8% increase in sales, contributing $8.1 billion.

Suzhou Ribo Life Science (瑞博生物) Pre-IPO: Competition Understated

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Suzhou Ribo Life is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CICC and Citi are the deal sponsors.
  • While our previous note provides a brief background overview of the company, we look at the updates and competition in this note.
  • We become more conservative when looking at its competitive landscape.

Primer: Celltrion (068270 KP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Celltrion is strategically transitioning from a biosimilar powerhouse to a global innovative biopharmaceutical company, underscored by the recent US launch of Zymfentra™, a novel subcutaneous formulation of infliximab.
  • The late 2023 merger with Celltrion Healthcare is a pivotal move to enhance operational efficiency, improve cost competitiveness by creating a fully integrated value chain, and increase transparency, which is expected to fund large-scale investments in its future pipeline.
  • While facing intense competition in the biosimilar market, the company is pursuing a dual-track growth strategy, aiming to expand its biosimilar portfolio to 22 products by 2030 while targeting 40% of its revenue from a robust pipeline of new drugs, including antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) and multi-specific antibodies.

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CING: Third Quarter Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Cingulate is developing its Precision Timed Release (PTR) technology to deliver ADHD medicines to improve onset & efficacy of previously approved products.
  • It licensed rights to manufacturing a 3-layer tablet that releases dexmethylphenidate (CTx-1301) over the active day.
  • CTx-1301 provides immediate onset, eliminates the need for a booster dose, reduces diversion & simplifies dosing among other benefits.

Primer: Cross Country Healthcare, Inc (CCRN US) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. (CCRN) is a prominent provider of healthcare staffing and workforce solutions in the United States, offering a comprehensive suite of services including temporary and permanent placement of healthcare professionals, managed services programs (MSPs), and recruitment process outsourcing.
  • The company is navigating a dynamic healthcare staffing industry characterized by persistent labor shortages, fluctuating demand post-pandemic, and a growing emphasis on technology-driven solutions and flexible staffing models.
  • CCRN’s financial performance has moderated from the peaks seen during the COVID-19 pandemic, with recent quarters showing declining revenue and a net loss, reflecting broader industry trends of stabilizing demand and pricing for travel nurses. The company is focused on diversifying its service offerings and leveraging technology to drive future growth.

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CTSO: CytoSorbents reports 3rd quarter 2025 financial results. The company plans to submit a new De Novo application for Drug-Sorb ATR in early 2026. As a reminder

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • CytoSorbents is commercializing its E.U. approved CytoSorb blood purification technology to treat life-threatening conditions in the intensive care unit and cardiac surgery.
  • The company also seeks U.S. and Canadian approval of a second product, DrugSorb-ATR, to reduce perioperative bleeding risk in patients on blood thinners in cardiac surgery.
  • After FDA denial in April 2025, the company plans to submit a new De Novo application to the FDA in 2026.

ENSC: Pipeline Advancement Gets Cash Infusion

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Ensysce Biosciences is committed to finding a solution to the opioid crisis plaguing the US and other developed countries around the world.
  • Through its proprietary TAAP technology Ensysce is in the process of receiving approval for an abuse-resistant yet still pain-relieving opioid.
  • The company released its 3Q2025 financial results that showed continued progress toward commercialization of an important pain reliever that we believe is critically needed.

IMNN: R&D Day Highlights Potential for IMNN-001

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On November 10, 2025, Imunon, Inc. (IMNN) held an R&D Day and provided updates on the latest data for IMNN-001 along with the ongoing OVATION 3 trial.
  • Multiple speakers at the event highlighted the ability of IMNN-001 to turn “cold” tumors “hot”, its highly favorable benefit/risk profile, new translational data showing how IMNN-001 is taken up by macrophages in the peritoneal fluid that leads to a robust immune response, along with the statistical plan for the OVATION 3 trial.
  • The company also recently presented at the SITC 40th Annual Meeting where new translational data from the OVATION 2 study demonstrated how IMNN-001 can remodel the tumor microenvironment through increased recruitment of CD8+ T cells.

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Daily Brief South Korea: APlus Asset Advisor, Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, Celltrion and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • A Tender Offer of 19.9% Stake in APlus Asset Advisor by Align Partners
  • Korea FSC’s New Vote‑Split Disclosure Rule: What It Really Means for Appraisal Risk
  • Primer: Celltrion (068270 KP) – Nov 2025


A Tender Offer of 19.9% Stake in APlus Asset Advisor by Align Partners

By Douglas Kim

  • Align Partners is launching a tender offer of 19.91% stake in APlus Asset Advisor. Tender offer price is 8,000 won per share, which is 35.6% higher than current price.
  • The tender offer period is from 18 November to 7 December. The total value of the tender offer is 36 billion won involving 4.5 million shares.
  • This tender offer has a sizeable premium and likely to positively impact its share price. 

Korea FSC’s New Vote‑Split Disclosure Rule: What It Really Means for Appraisal Risk

By Sanghyun Park

  • FSC’s rule gives same‑day vote ratios, offering quick sentiment read and partial visibility on appraisal risk—step one toward faster hard‑count disclosure down the line.
  • Hard count of dissenting shares only surfaces in quarterly reports, post‑appraisal window—denominator risk stays live for corp‑action trades tied to appraisal rights.
  • FSC rule applies from March ’26 AGMs/EGMs; half‑baked disclosure, but appraisal‑linked corp‑actions may see new post‑meeting trading patterns—stay prepped for the shift.

Primer: Celltrion (068270 KP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Celltrion is strategically transitioning from a biosimilar powerhouse to a global innovative biopharmaceutical company, underscored by the recent US launch of Zymfentra™, a novel subcutaneous formulation of infliximab.
  • The late 2023 merger with Celltrion Healthcare is a pivotal move to enhance operational efficiency, improve cost competitiveness by creating a fully integrated value chain, and increase transparency, which is expected to fund large-scale investments in its future pipeline.
  • While facing intense competition in the biosimilar market, the company is pursuing a dual-track growth strategy, aiming to expand its biosimilar portfolio to 22 products by 2030 while targeting 40% of its revenue from a robust pipeline of new drugs, including antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) and multi-specific antibodies.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: [Japan Activism/M&A] Thinking About the Partial Tender Trade Coming in Dec25 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan Activism/M&A] Thinking About the Partial Tender Trade Coming in Dec25
  • China Hongqiao (1378 HK): Index Impact of US$1.2bn Placement
  • Alibaba (9988 HK / BABA US): Brace for a Big Earnings Move
  • Jinke Smart (9666 HK): Boyu Changes Up And Now Seeks Delisting
  • Potential Takeover of WPP Plc — Event-Driven Risk Arbitrage Catalyst Emerging
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 14 Nov 2025) – Strong SOE/Energy/Financials Buying on BABA Sales
  • RPMGlobal (RUL AU): Scheme Vote on 19 December
  • A Tender Offer of 19.9% Stake in APlus Asset Advisor by Align Partners
  • Korea FSC’s New Vote‑Split Disclosure Rule: What It Really Means for Appraisal Risk
  • CATL IPO Lockup – US$5.3bn Lockup Release, with H-Shares at Significant Premium to A-Shares


[Japan Activism/M&A] Thinking About the Partial Tender Trade Coming in Dec25

By Travis Lundy


China Hongqiao (1378 HK): Index Impact of US$1.2bn Placement

By Brian Freitas

  • China Hongqiao (1378 HK) is looking to raise US$1.2bn via a top-up placement at an indicative price of HK$29.2/share, a 9.6% discount from the last close.
  • There will be limited passive buying from global index trackers at the time of settlement of the placement shares. However, there are a couple of potential index inclusions in December.
  • Then there will be more passive buying from trackers of a global index, Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) next year.

Alibaba (9988 HK / BABA US): Brace for a Big Earnings Move

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Alibaba (9988 HK) / Alibaba (BABA US) will announce quarterly results on Tuesday, November 25, 8:30 p.m. HKT (7:30 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time)
  • Options markets anticipate an above average move with a bearish bias in traders’ expectations. Implied volatility is expected to drop significantly after the event.
  • Get ready for Alibaba‘s earnings announcement. Potential above-average volatility in Alibaba has the potential to impact the wider market and Chinese benchmark indices.

Jinke Smart (9666 HK): Boyu Changes Up And Now Seeks Delisting

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 28th April 2025, PRC-incorporated property management play Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) announced a possible unconditional MGO take-under at HK$6.67/share from a Boyu-backed Offeror.
  • The Offeror (and Concert Parties), bought a 18.05% stake in Jinke at auction, lifting their stake >50% triggering the MGO. The Offeror’s intention was to maintain Jinke’s listing. 
  • That’s now changed. The Offeror is now seeking Jinke’s delisting at HK$8.69/share; however, as Jinke is PRC incorporated, the privatisation conditions include a Scheme-like vote and a 90% tendering condition. 

Potential Takeover of WPP Plc — Event-Driven Risk Arbitrage Catalyst Emerging

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Takeover speculation re-ignites WPP plc, with interest reportedly from Havas, Apollo, and KKR. Depressed valuation, strategic review, and FTSE ejection risk position WPP as a live event-driven opportunity.
  • Valuation disconnect significant: FY2024 EV/EBITDA only 3.8× versus peers 8–10× (5.4x NTM consensus, vs. peers NTM averaging ~6.7x). Base-case bid 430–550 p implies 50–80 % upside, assuming £7.5–9.5 billion EV.
  • Arbitrage setup compelling: Expected 6-month return ≈ 34 % (IRR 45 %), asymmetric 3:1 reward-to-risk profile. Key catalysts – formal bid indication, Havas/Vivendi stake-building, or private-equity consortium approach.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 14 Nov 2025) – Strong SOE/Energy/Financials Buying on BABA Sales

By Travis Lundy

  • HK$100bn a day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity with US$600mm+ of net buying on average. Net flows continue to be impressive. SOEs/Energy/Financials dominate.
  • Watch for news on the Dual Counter (RMB) Trading eligibility for SOUTHBOUND near-term. That could up the pace of things.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.

RPMGlobal (RUL AU): Scheme Vote on 19 December

By Arun George

  • The RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU) IE considers Caterpillar Inc (CAT US)’s scheme offer at A$5.00 to be fair and reasonable, as it falls within its valuation range (A$4.43-A$5.12).
  • The key scheme conditions are shareholder approval, FIRB approval, and ACCC approval. Regulatory approvals are expected to be forthcoming, and the scheme vote carries a low risk.
  • The offer is attractive. At the last close and for an 18 February 2026 payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.5%/10.2%.  

A Tender Offer of 19.9% Stake in APlus Asset Advisor by Align Partners

By Douglas Kim

  • Align Partners is launching a tender offer of 19.91% stake in APlus Asset Advisor. Tender offer price is 8,000 won per share, which is 35.6% higher than current price.
  • The tender offer period is from 18 November to 7 December. The total value of the tender offer is 36 billion won involving 4.5 million shares.
  • This tender offer has a sizeable premium and likely to positively impact its share price. 

Korea FSC’s New Vote‑Split Disclosure Rule: What It Really Means for Appraisal Risk

By Sanghyun Park

  • FSC’s rule gives same‑day vote ratios, offering quick sentiment read and partial visibility on appraisal risk—step one toward faster hard‑count disclosure down the line.
  • Hard count of dissenting shares only surfaces in quarterly reports, post‑appraisal window—denominator risk stays live for corp‑action trades tied to appraisal rights.
  • FSC rule applies from March ’26 AGMs/EGMs; half‑baked disclosure, but appraisal‑linked corp‑actions may see new post‑meeting trading patterns—stay prepped for the shift.

CATL IPO Lockup – US$5.3bn Lockup Release, with H-Shares at Significant Premium to A-Shares

By Sumeet Singh

  • CATL (3750 HK) raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing in May 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.
  • CATL is the global leader in new energy vehicle battery solutions, in China and globally, as per SNE Research.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

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Daily Brief Financials: Jinke Smart Services, APlus Asset Advisor, Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, United Urban Investment, Nikkei 225, Avidia Bancorp, Central Bancompany, Wadakohsan Corp, Polar Capital Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Jinke Smart (9666 HK): Boyu Changes Up And Now Seeks Delisting
  • A Tender Offer of 19.9% Stake in APlus Asset Advisor by Align Partners
  • Korea FSC’s New Vote‑Split Disclosure Rule: What It Really Means for Appraisal Risk
  • United Urban Investment Corporation Placement: Accretive Raising for Asset Acquisition
  • Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Outlook After Japan’s Economy Contracts on Tariff Hit
  • Avidia Bancorp (AVBC US): Dollar-Light, Volume-Heavy with US Index Inclusion
  • Central Bancompany, Inc. (CBC): Legacy Bank Steps Into the IPO Spotlight
  • (17 Nov 2025) Wadakohsan Corp(8931 JP) — Fisco Company Research
  • Deutsche Beteiligungs — An active exit pipeline for the quarters ahead
  • H1 growth tees Polar up for very strong FY26


Jinke Smart (9666 HK): Boyu Changes Up And Now Seeks Delisting

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 28th April 2025, PRC-incorporated property management play Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) announced a possible unconditional MGO take-under at HK$6.67/share from a Boyu-backed Offeror.
  • The Offeror (and Concert Parties), bought a 18.05% stake in Jinke at auction, lifting their stake >50% triggering the MGO. The Offeror’s intention was to maintain Jinke’s listing. 
  • That’s now changed. The Offeror is now seeking Jinke’s delisting at HK$8.69/share; however, as Jinke is PRC incorporated, the privatisation conditions include a Scheme-like vote and a 90% tendering condition. 

A Tender Offer of 19.9% Stake in APlus Asset Advisor by Align Partners

By Douglas Kim

  • Align Partners is launching a tender offer of 19.91% stake in APlus Asset Advisor. Tender offer price is 8,000 won per share, which is 35.6% higher than current price.
  • The tender offer period is from 18 November to 7 December. The total value of the tender offer is 36 billion won involving 4.5 million shares.
  • This tender offer has a sizeable premium and likely to positively impact its share price. 

Korea FSC’s New Vote‑Split Disclosure Rule: What It Really Means for Appraisal Risk

By Sanghyun Park

  • FSC’s rule gives same‑day vote ratios, offering quick sentiment read and partial visibility on appraisal risk—step one toward faster hard‑count disclosure down the line.
  • Hard count of dissenting shares only surfaces in quarterly reports, post‑appraisal window—denominator risk stays live for corp‑action trades tied to appraisal rights.
  • FSC rule applies from March ’26 AGMs/EGMs; half‑baked disclosure, but appraisal‑linked corp‑actions may see new post‑meeting trading patterns—stay prepped for the shift.

United Urban Investment Corporation Placement: Accretive Raising for Asset Acquisition

By Hong Jie Seow

  • United Urban Investment (8960 JP) is looking to raise US$155m in a primary placement.
  • The purpose is for financing of its medium-term growth strategy plan which includes the acquisition of new assets.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Outlook After Japan’s Economy Contracts on Tariff Hit

By Nico Rosti

  • Japan’s Q3 GDP shrank 1.8% vs forecast 2.5% (annualised), while consumption slowed to 0.1%. This is the first contraction in six quarter.
  • The cause is the drop in exports in the face of U.S. tariffs, automakers in particular plummeted, following a period of hiking exports before tariffs came into effect.
  • We’ve consistently flagged the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) as overbought. This tactical short-term analysis pinpoints critical support (and resistance, but we think the index may fall).

Avidia Bancorp (AVBC US): Dollar-Light, Volume-Heavy with US Index Inclusion

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Avidia Bancorp (AVBC US) went public in August and despite its low market cap, the impact from passive funds is significant due to low liquidity, high free float, and tracking.
  • Inclusion in US indices took place in September 2025 with passive fund demand causing an observed impact of 6 ADV.
  • Inclusion in a major US index is expected in December 2025 with passive fund demand forecasted to cause an impact of more than 20 ADV. 

Central Bancompany, Inc. (CBC): Legacy Bank Steps Into the IPO Spotlight

By IPO Boutique

  • Discounted earnings valuation but premium to book; limited float and up-listing suggest muted early trading despite strong fundamentals.
  • CBC leverages low-cost deposits, diversified lending, and disciplined organic and acquisition-driven growth to sustain stable, long-term regional banking performance.
  • IPO demand is multiple-times oversubscribed; small float and family control create scarcity but may limit early trading liquidity.

(17 Nov 2025) Wadakohsan Corp(8931 JP) — Fisco Company Research

By FISCO

Key points (machine generated)

  • Wada Kousan is a 126-year-old real estate company thriving in the Kobe and Hanshin condominium market.
  • The company expects significant revenue and profit increases for the interim period ending February 2026.
  • Wada Kousan has been the top condominium seller in Kobe City for 27 years and is diversifying its business beyond condominiums.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.


Deutsche Beteiligungs — An active exit pipeline for the quarters ahead

By Edison Investment Research

Deutsche Beteiligungs’ (DBAG’s) NAV total return (TR) of 2.1% in 9M25 was dampened by the continued weak market backdrop in Germany. That said, DBAG has seen a good flow of transactional opportunities, both in terms of new investments (underpinned by, among others, its ability to structure more complex deals involving bilateral agreements with existing owners) and exits (as illustrated by the successful realisation of duagon, signed in September 2025). DBAG is now fully invested, but continues its new deal origination and buybacks given the contracted exit proceeds and the fact that portfolio companies representing over 20% of its NAV are subject to ongoing discussions with investors on realisations. Share repurchases were NAV-accretive given the wide discount at which DBAG’s shares trade to the NAV of its private market investments (34.8% at present), on top of which DBAG’s shares offer exposure to its fund services business, generating recurring earnings (guided at €10–15m in FY25).


H1 growth tees Polar up for very strong FY26

By Equity Development

  • Polar’s +25% AUM growth rate over H1-26 was far stronger than all peers and almost five times the sector-median (page 4).
  • AUM opened on 1 Apr 25 at £21.4bn, near the trough of the ‘tariff turmoil’ dip.
  • It then jumped £5.3bn over H1 to £26.7bn, as markets recovered and Polar’s returns (+29%) beat broad market indexes by some distance (MSCI ACWI GBP: +15%).

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Daily Brief ECM: China Hongqiao Placement: Good Valuation but Likely Opportunistic and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • China Hongqiao Placement: Good Valuation but Likely Opportunistic, on the Back of Chuangxin Listing
  • Chuangxin Pre-IPO: Increasing Exposure to Volatile Alumina; Offered at Premium to Peers
  • WT Micro GDR Offering – Slightly Larger Deal to Digest, Discount Mostly in Line With Recent Deals
  • United Urban Investment Corporation Placement: Accretive Raising for Asset Acquisition
  • [Japan Offering] Sakata Inx (4633 JP) Selldown by Financial Crossholders
  • Klook Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Disclosures Lagging
  • TPG Telecom Placement: Widely Anticipated but Large Deal to Digest
  • Suzhou Ribo Life Science (瑞博生物) Pre-IPO: Competition Understated
  • Central Bancompany, Inc. (CBC): Legacy Bank Steps Into the IPO Spotlight
  • Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO Trading – Lacklustre Demand


China Hongqiao Placement: Good Valuation but Likely Opportunistic, on the Back of Chuangxin Listing

By Nicholas Tan

  • China Hongqiao (1378 HK) is looking to raise around US$1.2bn from a primary placement.
  • This represents 9.1 days of the stock’s three month ADV, and 2.9% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Chuangxin Pre-IPO: Increasing Exposure to Volatile Alumina; Offered at Premium to Peers

By Nicholas Tan

  • Chuangxin Industries (CXI HK) is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is focused on alumina refining and aluminum smelting within the upstream of the aluminum industry chain.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

WT Micro GDR Offering – Slightly Larger Deal to Digest, Discount Mostly in Line With Recent Deals

By Akshat Shah

  • WT Microelectronics (3036 TT) (WT Micro) is looking to raise up to US$393m, selling 90m shares(18m GDRs)via a GDR offering. It is also selling a two-year zero-coupon CB to raiseUS$350m.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

United Urban Investment Corporation Placement: Accretive Raising for Asset Acquisition

By Hong Jie Seow

  • United Urban Investment (8960 JP) is looking to raise US$155m in a primary placement.
  • The purpose is for financing of its medium-term growth strategy plan which includes the acquisition of new assets.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

[Japan Offering] Sakata Inx (4633 JP) Selldown by Financial Crossholders

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday post-close, Sakata Inx Corp (4633 JP) announced a ¥6bn+ selldown offering by financial crossholders. There may be others to come, but not clear how much.
  • The company has had a good couple of years, the stock has reached book value. Optimised balance sheet ROE now clears 10%.
  • Index impact is limited in all respects. Low vol, low multiple, decent dividend, high earnings progression on decent business growth are all positive factors. 

Klook Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Disclosures Lagging

By Sumeet Singh

  • Klook (KLK US), a pan-regional experiences platform in Asia-Pacific, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
  • Klook connects travelers with merchants providing a vast array of activities, tours, attractions and other travel services across the globe.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

TPG Telecom Placement: Widely Anticipated but Large Deal to Digest

By Nicholas Tan

  • TPG Telecom (TPG AU) is looking to raise around US$359m from a primary placement.
  • This is a large deal to digest, representing 111.2 days of the stock’s three month ADV, and 7.8% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Suzhou Ribo Life Science (瑞博生物) Pre-IPO: Competition Understated

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Suzhou Ribo Life is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CICC and Citi are the deal sponsors.
  • While our previous note provides a brief background overview of the company, we look at the updates and competition in this note.
  • We become more conservative when looking at its competitive landscape.

Central Bancompany, Inc. (CBC): Legacy Bank Steps Into the IPO Spotlight

By IPO Boutique

  • Discounted earnings valuation but premium to book; limited float and up-listing suggest muted early trading despite strong fundamentals.
  • CBC leverages low-cost deposits, diversified lending, and disciplined organic and acquisition-driven growth to sustain stable, long-term regional banking performance.
  • IPO demand is multiple-times oversubscribed; small float and family control create scarcity but may limit early trading liquidity.

Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO Trading – Lacklustre Demand

By Akshat Shah

  • Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited (0198068D IN) (EPPL) raised around US$327m in its India IPO.
  • EPPL is a vertically-integrated solar PV module and cell manufacturer in India, with operations spanning the solar PV modules production cycle from solar cell production to solar PV module assembly.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief Australia: Capricorn Metals, Atlas Arteria, RPMGlobal Holdings Limited, TPG Telecom , Alkane Resources, Cash Converters Intl, Airtasker, Cobalt Blue Holdings, Orica Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up
  • Atlas Arteria (ALX AU): IFM Creeps To A ~35% Stake
  • RPMGlobal (RUL AU): Scheme Vote on 19 December
  • TPG Telecom Placement: Widely Anticipated but Large Deal to Digest
  • Alkane Resources — Re-evaluating the new Alkane
  • Cash Converters International – Accelerating a clear growth strategy
  • Airtasker Ltd – Capital raise and new media deals up the ante
  • Primer: Cobalt Blue Holdings (COB AU) – Nov 2025
  • Solid Momentum Drives Orica’s FY26 Optimism


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 25): Changes Across Indices as Positioning Picks Up

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 2 changes each for the ASX50 and ASX100 indices and 7 changes for the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in December.
  • Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)
  • The forecast adds have outperformed (and continue to outperform) the forecast deletes to the S&P/ASX 100 Index and the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)

Atlas Arteria (ALX AU): IFM Creeps To A ~35% Stake

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 8th June 2022, IFM Global Infrastructure Fund announced a 15% stake in Atlas Arteria (ALX AU) (ATLAX), and subsequently floated the possibility of a non-binding proposal. 
  • However, IFM’s request, at the time, for limited company information on ATLAX , a US/Europe toll-road play, came to nought.
  • Undeterred, IFM continues to accumulate shares. Reportedly, IFM now holds ~35% after picking up 1.9% this morning.

RPMGlobal (RUL AU): Scheme Vote on 19 December

By Arun George

  • The RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU) IE considers Caterpillar Inc (CAT US)’s scheme offer at A$5.00 to be fair and reasonable, as it falls within its valuation range (A$4.43-A$5.12).
  • The key scheme conditions are shareholder approval, FIRB approval, and ACCC approval. Regulatory approvals are expected to be forthcoming, and the scheme vote carries a low risk.
  • The offer is attractive. At the last close and for an 18 February 2026 payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.5%/10.2%.  

TPG Telecom Placement: Widely Anticipated but Large Deal to Digest

By Nicholas Tan

  • TPG Telecom (TPG AU) is looking to raise around US$359m from a primary placement.
  • This is a large deal to digest, representing 111.2 days of the stock’s three month ADV, and 7.8% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Alkane Resources — Re-evaluating the new Alkane

By Edison Investment Research

Since completing its merger with Mandalay Resources on 5 August, Alkane has 1) provided guidance for the combined group for FY26, 2) updated group reserves and resources and 3) released its Quarterly Activities Report for Q126. In the wake of these announcements, we forecast that the ‘new Alkane’ will produce c 158.8koz (plus c 4.3koz AuE in the form of antimony) in FY26 (cf 70.1koz in FY25) and that the merger will prove transformative to both its scale and valuation, including achieving the size required for inclusion in the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) and the ASX 300 index (now confirmed).


Cash Converters International – Accelerating a clear growth strategy

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Cash Converters International (ASX:CCV) is a consumer finance company that operates as both a service provider and a network owner and franchisor of second-hand retail and financial services stores in Australia and internationally.
  • CCV is currently executing a clearly stated growth strategy involving the reshaping of its personal finance business and growing its corporately-owned store network through acquisitions in Australia and offshore.
  • This strategy has just been accelerated through the proposed $37m acquisition of a further 29 Australian stores, expanding the corporate ownership footprint to 121, or 80% of all stores across the country.

Airtasker Ltd – Capital raise and new media deals up the ante

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Airtasker Limited (ASX:ART) is an online marketplace for local services, connecting people and businesses who need work done with people who want to work.
  • ART has announced a $10m capital raise (at $0.30/share), with at least half earmarked for additional cash marketing spend in the US and UK.
  • In parallel ART has added an additional US$5m (A$7.6m) in media capital from iHeartRadio in the US in the form of a convertible note.

Primer: Cobalt Blue Holdings (COB AU) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Cobalt Blue Holdings (COB) is a pure-play cobalt development company focused on its flagship Broken Hill Cobalt Project (BHCP) in New South Wales, Australia, positioning it as a significant, ethical, and non-Congolese source of cobalt for the burgeoning battery market.
  • The company’s strategy is centered around an integrated mine-to-refinery model, aiming to produce high-purity cobalt sulphate suitable for direct use in lithium-ion battery cathodes, thereby capturing a larger portion of the value chain. The development of the Kwinana Cobalt Refinery is a key pillar of this strategy.
  • While the long-term demand outlook for cobalt is robust, driven by the electric vehicle and energy storage revolutions, COB faces significant project execution risks, commodity price volatility, and future financing hurdles to bring its large-scale, capital-intensive projects to fruition.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Solid Momentum Drives Orica’s FY26 Optimism

By FNArena

  • Orica posted a strong FY25 result and forecasts improving growth across all three business segments through FY26.
  • -Orica’s FY25 result solid, slightly ahead of consensus -Specialty Chemicals and Digital Solutions now primary drivers -Around half of earnings stem from gold and copper sectors -Adds incremental $100m to recently completed $400m buyback program

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Surya Pertiwi and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: Surya Pertiwi (SPTO IJ) – Nov 2025


Primer: Surya Pertiwi (SPTO IJ) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Market Leader with Strong Brand Equity: As the sole agent and exclusive distributor of TOTO products in Indonesia since 1978, Surya Pertiwi commands a leading position in the nation’s sanitary ware market, underpinned by the premium TOTO brand, which is synonymous with quality and reliability.
  • Favorable Long-Term Industry Tailwinds: The company is well-positioned to capitalize on Indonesia’s positive demographic trends, including a growing middle class, rapid urbanization, and government-led infrastructure and housing initiatives, which are expected to drive sustained demand for sanitary and bathroom products.
  • Attractive Shareholder Returns and Solid Financials: SPTO has a track record of consistent profitability and revenue growth, complemented by a generous dividend policy, offering investors a compelling combination of growth and income. The company’s high dividend yield is a key feature of its investment profile.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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