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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Greatview Aseptic Packaging, DuPont, Rpm International and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • GA Pack (468 HK): Shandong Xinjufeng’s Offer on the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional
  • DuPont’s Separation 2.0: How a Two-Way Split Could Reshape Its Future!
  • RPM International Inc.: Construction Products Group (CPG) & Performance Innovations As A Major Growth Accelerator! – Major Drivers


GA Pack (468 HK): Shandong Xinjufeng’s Offer on the Cusp of Being Declared Unconditional

By Arun George

  • Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)’s offer from Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH) is HK$2.65 with a 50% minimum acceptance condition. The first closing date is 21 January.  
  • The Board has recommended that shareholders not accept. However, based on CCASS data, including acceptances, Shandong Xinjufeng’s shareholding was 46.41% of outstanding shares as of 17 January.
  • Absent an unlikely competing offer, the offer is on the cusp of being declared unconditional. At the last close and 4 February payment, the gross/annualized spread is 3.1%/128%.

DuPont’s Separation 2.0: How a Two-Way Split Could Reshape Its Future!

By Baptista Research

  • In a major strategic pivot, DuPont de Nemours has announced a streamlined separation strategy that could significantly impact its operational focus and market positioning.
  • Initially planning a three-way split of its Water, Electronics, and Materials businesses, the company has revised its approach by deciding to retain the Water business while accelerating the spinoff of the Electronics division.
  • This decision underscores DuPont’s intent to simplify its structure and enhance shareholder value in a more agile manner.

RPM International Inc.: Construction Products Group (CPG) & Performance Innovations As A Major Growth Accelerator! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • RPM International delivered a robust performance in the fiscal year 2025 second quarter even amidst a macroeconomic landscape characterized by no to low growth.
  • The company set new records in sales, adjusted EBIT margin, and adjusted EPS.
  • This achievement is notable considering a significant $4.4 million earnings headwind due to a customer bankruptcy charge in the Consumer Group sector.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Duolingo, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Simply Good Foods Co, WD-40 Company and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Duolingo’s TikTok-Fueled Surge: A Golden Opportunity or Fading Trend?
  • If Profits Cannot Grow, Tokyo Market Will Be Full of PE and Activist Investors
  • Walgreens Boots Alliance: An Insight Into Its Procurement Optimization
  • The Simply Good Foods Company: Expanding Product Innovation to Address Evolving Consumer Demands! – Major Drivers
  • WD-40 Company: Expansion in High-Potential International Markets Propelling Our Optimism! – Major Drivers


Duolingo’s TikTok-Fueled Surge: A Golden Opportunity or Fading Trend?

By Baptista Research

  • Duolingo has made headlines recently with a sharp rise in users flocking to its Mandarin courses.
  • This surge coincides with a wave of U.S. users abandoning TikTok amidst uncertainty about its future, following potential bans discussed by the U.S. Supreme Court.
  • As TikTok users migrate to RedNote (Xiaohongshu), a Chinese social media app, interest in Mandarin has grown significantly, contributing to a 216% year-over-year increase in Mandarin learners on Duolingo.

If Profits Cannot Grow, Tokyo Market Will Be Full of PE and Activist Investors

By Aki Matsumoto

  • There do not seem to be many companies that have executed large one-time dividends that have subsequently grown in corporate value.
  • Now that the exit from deflationary economy is seen and profit margins have room to grow, the environment is conducive to investing in growth, and companies have opportunities to change.
  • Limited profit growth is making it easier for market risk-taking investors to leave. Unless companies can grow profitably, Tokyo market will be full of private equity funds and activist investors.

Walgreens Boots Alliance: An Insight Into Its Procurement Optimization

By Baptista Research

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance’s latest earnings reveals a mixed financial and strategic picture for the company, which has been taking significant strides in response to ongoing challenges and strategic realignments.
  • On the positive side, the company has initiated a turnaround strategy for its U.S. Retail Pharmacy business as a crucial focus area.
  • The company made progress in optimizing its store footprint, with positive early results and better-than-expected script retention rates following store closures.

The Simply Good Foods Company: Expanding Product Innovation to Address Evolving Consumer Demands! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Simply Good Foods Company’s first quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call has provided insights into the company’s performance and strategy going forward, reflecting both opportunities and challenges within their portfolio.
  • The company reported a 10.6% increase in net sales, boosted primarily by the acquisition of Only What You Need (OWYN).
  • Legacy net sales remained flat, impacted by shipment timing issues, although net sales growth in the Quest brand was strong despite some initial stockouts.

WD-40 Company: Expansion in High-Potential International Markets Propelling Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • WD-40 Company reported solid financial results for its first fiscal quarter of 2025, indicating growth and strategic shifts in priority areas.
  • Net sales for the quarter were $153.5 million, a 9% increase from the same quarter last year, driven largely by maintenance products, which saw a 10% rise.
  • This growth in core products underscores the company’s strategic focus on expanding its footprint in the maintenance market.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Shanghai Henlius Biotech , Metsera, Xiamen Amoytop Biotech Co Ltd, Zhongyuan Union Cell & Gene Eng Corp, Veradigm and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week In Event SPACE: Shanghai Henlius, Malaysia Airports, Kokusai Electric, Smart Share
  • Metsera, Inc. (MTSR): Peeking at the Prospectus for the Next Obesity and Metabolic Diseases Biotech
  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Mar 25: LONGs Up ~12% Vs SHORTs in a Month; More to Come
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Jun 25: 1-5x ADV to Trade; Sector-Neutral Rebal Trade Idea Inside
  • Veradigm Inc (MDRX) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024


Last Week In Event SPACE: Shanghai Henlius, Malaysia Airports, Kokusai Electric, Smart Share

By David Blennerhassett


Metsera, Inc. (MTSR): Peeking at the Prospectus for the Next Obesity and Metabolic Diseases Biotech

By IPO Boutique

  • Biotechnology company developing next-generation injectable and oral nutrient stimulated hormone, or NuSH, analog peptides to treat obesity, overweight and related conditions filed for Q1 IPO
  • Preliminary Phase 2 results in January suggested a durable pharmacodynamic, or PD, effect consistent with the observed half-life.
  • ARCH Ventures along with Fidelity are among the existing shareholders as this company enters begins its road to be a publicly traded company

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Mar 25: LONGs Up ~12% Vs SHORTs in a Month; More to Come

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • STAR 100 index tracks the next 100 names (51st-150th ranks) and it represents the mid-cap segment of the STAR market.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices for the March 2025 index rebal event.

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Jun 25: 1-5x ADV to Trade; Sector-Neutral Rebal Trade Idea Inside

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization, and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in June 2025.
  • We expect up to four ADDs and four DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index review event based on the latest available data.

Veradigm Inc (MDRX) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Veradigm is a healthcare IT and services company with sticky, recurring revenue and organic growth potential
  • Currently trading at an inexpensive valuation due to financial issues and a questionable acquisition
  • Recent changes in shareholder base and management, as well as announcement of a strategic process, suggest potential sale in near future, unlocking significant upside for investors.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Makino Milling Machine Co, Axiscades Engineering Technologies, LS Electric, MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc, ZTO Express Cayman and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Makino Milling (6135) – Trading Through Terms, May Need Investor Pushing
  • Axiscades Technologies Ltd- Forensic Analysis
  • LS Electric: Increasing Supplies for Distribution Board Components to Elon Musk’s XAI Data Centers
  • MSC Industrial Direct Co Has Bold Investment Plans For Market Expansion But Will They Work? – Major Drivers
  • Monthly Chinese Express Tracker: Fight For Parcel Volume Share Heated Up in Q424 (January 2025)


Makino Milling (6135) – Trading Through Terms, May Need Investor Pushing

By Travis Lundy

  • Nidec Corp (6594 JP) in late December proposed an unsolicited takeover of Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), with a 3-month delay before launching a Tender Offer. 
  • Makino has asked for an extension to the start. Nidec has said no. Makino is going about this the wrong way. Makino needs to assume Nidec thought this through.
  • Makino needs to open up the process to other bidders, and investors can help. 

Axiscades Technologies Ltd- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Axiscades Engineering Technologies (AXET IN) provides comprehensive engineering and technology solutions for global manufacturers in diverse sectors such as aerospace, defence, automotive, energy, electronics, and heavy engineering. 
  • The acquisition of Mistral Solutions using deferred consideration has helped the group grow its turnover and net profit during the last six years 
  • Our concerns stem from the current vacuum in top management due to exits of senior personnel in spite of high remuneration levels, risk of goodwill impairment, few questionable transactions, etc.

LS Electric: Increasing Supplies for Distribution Board Components to Elon Musk’s XAI Data Centers

By Douglas Kim

  • LS Electric, one of the major power equipment providers in Korea, became a new supplier of distribution board components to Elon Musk’s xAI data centers in Memphis, Tennessee.
  • Some of the major electric utilities and other companies in the US have been reluctant to use electrical equipment products from China due to quality and security concerns.
  • Therefore, leading Korean companies such as LS Electric have been beneficiary of receiving more orders from the major US electrical utilities and other major companies in the US. 

MSC Industrial Direct Co Has Bold Investment Plans For Market Expansion But Will They Work? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MSC Industrial Supply Co.’s first-quarter fiscal 2025 performance reflects a mixture of both achievements and ongoing challenges in line with its strategic objectives and the current economic climate.
  • The company recorded a modest improvement against its sales expectations, with average daily sales surpassing initial guidance despite an overall 2.7% year-over-year decline.
  • This decline was narrower than anticipated, driven by growth in the public sector and sustained momentum in their solutions offerings, notably within November, though these gains are not seen as indicative of a long-term trend.

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker: Fight For Parcel Volume Share Heated Up in Q424 (January 2025)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In Q424, there were dramatic shifts in share among the six listed Chinese express companies
  • STO and J&T gained the most volume share, while volume leader ZTO gave up the most
  • STO won share without ceding much price; ZTO still has not settled on a new strategy

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Daily Brief Financials: Insignia Financial, American International Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU): CC Capital Bumps, Next Move Bain
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Jamco, AVJennings, Insignia Financial, Advanced Info Service/Thaicom
  • Can American Airlines Reclaim Its Throne In Corporate Travel?


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): CC Capital Bumps, Next Move Bain

By Arun George

  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU) disclosed a revised non-binding privatisation offer from CC Capital at A$4.60, a 7.0% premium compared to its previous A$4.30 offer and Bain’s A$4.30 offer.
  • While the revised CC Capital offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, there remains valuation headroom for Bain to engage in a bidding war. 
  • The presence of several substantial shareholders facilitates a bidding war. The board should provide both bidders with due diligence access to promote the auction.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Jamco, AVJennings, Insignia Financial, Advanced Info Service/Thaicom

By David Blennerhassett


Can American Airlines Reclaim Its Throne In Corporate Travel?

By Baptista Research

  • American Airlines, the second-largest U.S. carrier by passenger traffic, has recently been on a mission to regain the trust and business of corporate travelers—a segment it admits to neglecting in recent years.
  • After a failed sales and distribution strategy in 2022, the airline found itself trailing its rivals, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines, both of which gained market share in the lucrative business travel segment.
  • The misstep cost American Airlines an estimated $1.5 billion in revenue in 2023 and left it grappling with customer dissatisfaction.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Shankara Building Products L, Macromill, Inc, D-MARKET Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Event Driven: Shankara Building Products, A Demerger Play
  • Macromill (3978 JP): CVC Bumps to JPY1,250, but the Offer Remains Light
  • Hepsiburada (HEPS) – Friday, Oct 18, 2024
  • What’s News in Amsterdam – 17 January (Ahold Delhaize)


Event Driven: Shankara Building Products, A Demerger Play

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Shankara Building Products L (SHANKARA IN) plans to demerge its steel manufacturing and building materials marketplace, enabling each business to operate independently with tailored leadership and capital allocation strategies.
  • This separation allows for targeted expansions in non-steel product lines and dedicated manufacturing improvements, potentially raising margins and fueling profitable growth in India’s booming construction market.
  • Focused leadership, improved transparency, and strategic capital deployment could enhance investor confidence, offering significant upside as Shankara refocuses on high-growth segments and streamlines its operations post-demerger.

Macromill (3978 JP): CVC Bumps to JPY1,250, but the Offer Remains Light

By Arun George

  • Macromill, Inc (3978 JP) disclosed a revised tender offer from CVC at JPY1,250, an 8.7% premium to the previous JPY1,150 offer. The offer has been declared final.
  • The revised offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges. Since the announcement of the offer, the share price has never exceeded it.
  • CVC seeks an irrevocable from Oasis, but Oasis has several reasons to ignore the overtures. Due to the high required acceptance rate, a gross spread of 0.2% is unattractive. 

Hepsiburada (HEPS) – Friday, Oct 18, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Hepsiburada, a Turkish e-commerce company, is being acquired by Kazakh ‘super app’ Kaspi at a price of $4.75 per Class B share
  • Current market price of HEPS is $3.35, presenting a potential merger arbitrage opportunity for investors
  • Market misunderstanding of Turkish capital market rules may lead to a mandatory offer for remaining Class B shares at the same price in cash

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


What’s News in Amsterdam – 17 January (Ahold Delhaize)

By The IDEA!

  • For the first time in decades, Ahold Delhaize’s main Dutch rival Jumbo saw its FY24 sales falling short of the prior year’s level.
  • Besides, its market share decreased for the third consecutive year. According to Jumbo, both are mainly the result of price cuts and the ban on tobacco sales, which has been in force since July.
  • Royal Jumbo Food Group’s FY24 sales came in at EUR 10.72bn, down by about 2.7% when compared to a year earlier. 

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Daily Brief Financials: Insignia Financial, Schloss Bangalore Ltd, Bank Of America, Pacific Current, China Vanke , Indosat Tbk PT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bumpity Bumpity. Expect Bain To Match – Or Exceed – CC Capital’s Terms
  • Schloss Bangalore Pre-IPO – Diversified Luxury Portfolio but Comes with High Debt
  • BAC – Almost All of Net Profit Delta YoY Is Core Income, with Strong Corporate Lending in QoQ
  • Pacific Current Group (PAC) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (17-Jan-2025): ESR & CloudHQ JV for $2B Osaka Data Centre Campus


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bumpity Bumpity. Expect Bain To Match – Or Exceed – CC Capital’s Terms

By David Blennerhassett

  • After CC Capital waded in on the 6th January with a A$4.30/share NBIO for wealth manager Insignia Financial (IFL AU), trumping Bain’s A$4.00/share proposal, Bain subsequently matched CC Capital’s terms.  
  • CC Capital has now lifted is indicative Offer to A$4.60/share, a ~50% premium to undisturbed. Time for IFL to engage. And for Tanarra to be supportive. 
  • And Bain? I expect them to match CC Capital’s terms, again; if not a small premium. 

Schloss Bangalore Pre-IPO – Diversified Luxury Portfolio but Comes with High Debt

By Akshat Shah

  • Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) is looking to raise about US$600m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

BAC – Almost All of Net Profit Delta YoY Is Core Income, with Strong Corporate Lending in QoQ

By Daniel Tabbush

  • BAC shows strong growth of its core income in the period YoY, almost accounting for 100% of its full net profit delta YoY
  • The bank is showing greater strength in corporate lending YoY and QoQ, and this can be more powerful of a statement for economic health
  • NCO figures are coming down in corporate lending, while residential mortgages is seeing strong new originations – both are a good view on US economy

Pacific Current Group (PAC) – Thursday, Oct 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Pacific Current Group expected to receive a large tender offer at a premium of 20%+ in the next 2-4 months
  • Trading at a 20% discount to estimated fair value NAV of A$13.47 per share with minimal NAV volatility risk
  • Successful monetization of ownership stakes in boutique asset managers improving financial profile, poised for growth and value creation

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In the US, December advance retail sales eased to 0.4% m-o-m (0.6% e / 0.8% revised p), while the November figure was revised upwards to 0.8% (from 0.7%).
  • Growth in auto sales slowed to 0.7% (after accelerating 3.1% in November), albeit receipts at miscellaneous store retailers soared 4.3%.
  • The retail sales control group (which feeds into the government’s calculation of goods spending for GDP, and excludes food services, auto dealers, gas stations and building materials stores) accelerated 0.7% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.4% p). 

Asia Real Estate Tracker (17-Jan-2025): ESR & CloudHQ JV for $2B Osaka Data Centre Campus

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • ESR partners with CloudHQ for $2B Osaka data centre, aiming to enhance digital infrastructure in the region.
  • Macquarie Asset Management plans to invest $5B in a crypto firm turned data centre startup, highlighting growing interest in the industry.
  • US hyperscaler enters Malaysian market, establishing a 220MW campus in Johor to meet increasing demand for data services in the region.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 17th): Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 17th): Tencent, AIA, Cosco Shipping


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jan 17th): Tencent, AIA, Cosco Shipping

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jan 17th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Cosco Shipping (1919 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Anta (2020 HK).

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Daily Brief ESG: Samsung Electronics: Revamping Executive Compensation to Include Stocks – Benchmarking TSMC and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Samsung Electronics: Revamping Executive Compensation to Include Stocks – Benchmarking TSMC


Samsung Electronics: Revamping Executive Compensation to Include Stocks – Benchmarking TSMC

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung Electronics announced that it will revamp its executive compensation system to include treasury shares as incentives. Samsung has benchmarked TSMC in terms of paying treasury shares to its employees.
  • Samsung Electronics’ decision to revamp its executive compensation system to include treasury shares as incentives aligns the interests of the shareholders along with the company’s management.
  • Now that Samsung Electronics has incorporated stock based incentive system, it is likely that other Korean companies that could follow suit. 

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Most Read: Canvest Environmental Protection Group, Hyundai Motor India , Shanghai Henlius Biotech , Delta Electronics Thailand , Ruijie Networks , Hyundai Motor, Insignia Financial, LG CNS, Shankara Building Products L, Macromill, Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction
  • Hyundai Motor (HYUNDAI IN): Anchor Lock-Up Expiry Increases Float; Index Inclusions Near
  • Henlius (2696 HK): So, When Was The Last Time A PE/VC Outfit Blocked A Deal?
  • Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Off the Peak; SET50 Deletion Risk Increases
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 25: Great Momentum for the Exp ADDs Vs Exp DELs Trade
  • Key Info We Need to Know About Boosting Predictability of Dividend Record Dates in Korea
  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bumpity Bumpity. Expect Bain To Match – Or Exceed – CC Capital’s Terms
  • LG CNS IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • Event Driven: Shankara Building Products, A Demerger Play
  • Macromill (3978 JP): CVC Bumps to JPY1,250, but the Offer Remains Light


Canvest (1381 HK): Attractive Spread with Steady Progress in Precondition Satisfaction

By Arun George

  • Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) continues to make steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its HK$4.90 privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)
  • Two of the five preconditions are satisfied, and another will be satisfied by 20 January. The long stop date of 17 July provides ample time to satisfy the remaining two. 
  • Although the peers have materially re-rated, the offer implies a premium compared to peer multiples. Vote risk remains low, aided by selling by a shareholder with a blocking stake. 

Hyundai Motor (HYUNDAI IN): Anchor Lock-Up Expiry Increases Float; Index Inclusions Near

By Brian Freitas

  • The lock-up on the second half of the anchor investor allocation for Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN) ends after market close today and the shares will be available for sale tomorrow.
  • The lock-up expiry further increases free float for the stock and there will be multiple index inclusions over the next few months.
  • The largest index inclusion will be in February, followed by smaller inclusions in March and June. In total, passives will mop up around 16% of the float.

Henlius (2696 HK): So, When Was The Last Time A PE/VC Outfit Blocked A Deal?

By David Blennerhassett

  • You might have to go all the back to Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)‘s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.
  • Otherwise, it’s slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like Soho China (410 HK) and TCM (570 HK)
  • IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they appear to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don’t understand why they would want to block.

Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Off the Peak; SET50 Deletion Risk Increases

By Brian Freitas


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 25: Great Momentum for the Exp ADDs Vs Exp DELs Trade

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • We see 10 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event. Combined it is about US$1bn to trade one-way.

Key Info We Need to Know About Boosting Predictability of Dividend Record Dates in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • Major banks, Hyundai Motor, POSCO Holdings, and companies like HMM, which updated their articles, will likely set dividend record dates pre-AGM in the mid-to-late February window.
  • Track backwardation in March futures for mispricings. Companies will likely follow last year’s playbook: AGM in mid-to-late March, record date 3–4 weeks prior, announcement 2 weeks ahead.
  • Opportunity lies in the March futures basis spread between February contract and record date announcement. Watch those for potential dividend hikes and futures mispricing ahead.

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bumpity Bumpity. Expect Bain To Match – Or Exceed – CC Capital’s Terms

By David Blennerhassett

  • After CC Capital waded in on the 6th January with a A$4.30/share NBIO for wealth manager Insignia Financial (IFL AU), trumping Bain’s A$4.00/share proposal, Bain subsequently matched CC Capital’s terms.  
  • CC Capital has now lifted is indicative Offer to A$4.60/share, a ~50% premium to undisturbed. Time for IFL to engage. And for Tanarra to be supportive. 
  • And Bain? I expect them to match CC Capital’s terms, again; if not a small premium. 

LG CNS IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • LG CNS reported a successful IPO book building results analysis. The IPO price has been finalized at 61,900 won per share (high end of the IPO price range).
  • The demand ratio from the institutional investors was 114 to 1. At the IPO price of 61,900 won, the expected market cap will be 6 trillion won. 
  • According to our valuation analysis, it suggests a base case target price of 76,383 won per share, which represents a 23% upside from the IPO price of 61,900 won.

Event Driven: Shankara Building Products, A Demerger Play

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Shankara Building Products L (SHANKARA IN) plans to demerge its steel manufacturing and building materials marketplace, enabling each business to operate independently with tailored leadership and capital allocation strategies.
  • This separation allows for targeted expansions in non-steel product lines and dedicated manufacturing improvements, potentially raising margins and fueling profitable growth in India’s booming construction market.
  • Focused leadership, improved transparency, and strategic capital deployment could enhance investor confidence, offering significant upside as Shankara refocuses on high-growth segments and streamlines its operations post-demerger.

Macromill (3978 JP): CVC Bumps to JPY1,250, but the Offer Remains Light

By Arun George

  • Macromill, Inc (3978 JP) disclosed a revised tender offer from CVC at JPY1,250, an 8.7% premium to the previous JPY1,150 offer. The offer has been declared final.
  • The revised offer is reasonable compared to historical trading ranges. Since the announcement of the offer, the share price has never exceeded it.
  • CVC seeks an irrevocable from Oasis, but Oasis has several reasons to ignore the overtures. Due to the high required acceptance rate, a gross spread of 0.2% is unattractive. 

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