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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Korea Zinc, Natural Gas, ADF Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • MBK’s Dual Tenders for Korea Zinc and Youngpoong Precision: The Largest Deal Ever in Korea
  • MBK Partners and Jang Family Partner to Control Korea Zinc + Tender Offer of 14.6% of Korea Zinc
  • [ETP 2024/37] Oil Prices Rebound but Weak Demand Limits Gains, Nat-Gas Rises on Output Cuts
  • DRX: Revenue Misses due to Delays but Margins Smash Expectations


MBK’s Dual Tenders for Korea Zinc and Youngpoong Precision: The Largest Deal Ever in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • MBK launches a tender offer to acquire 14.6% of Korea Zinc at ₩660,000 per share, a ₩2T deal with an 18.7% premium. Offer runs from September 13 to October 4.
  • On top of that, MBK’s also rolling out a tender offer for Young Poong Precision at ₩20,000 per share—a hefty 113% premium over yesterday’s close.
  • Spread action is possible if the Choi family counters, driving volatility. The market’s watching for a higher bid, which could create trading opportunities amid rising spread volatility.

MBK Partners and Jang Family Partner to Control Korea Zinc + Tender Offer of 14.6% of Korea Zinc

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 12 September, Maekyung Business Daily reported that MBK Partners will become the largest shareholder of Korea Zinc (010130 KS) along with Young Poong (000670 KS). 
  • MBK Partners, along with Youngpoong and advisor Jang Hyung-jin, also plans to conduct a tender offer of 14.6% stake in Korea Zinc. 
  • The tender offer price for Korea Zinc is 660,000 won per share, which is 18.7% higher than the closing price on 12 September.

[ETP 2024/37] Oil Prices Rebound but Weak Demand Limits Gains, Nat-Gas Rises on Output Cuts

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 06/Sept, US crude inventories increased by 0.8m barrels, lower than the 0.9m barrel forecast. Gasoline stockpiles rose unexpectedly, while distillate inventories grew more than anticipated.
  • US natural gas inventories rise 40 Bcf for the week ending 06/Sep, lower than analyst expectations of a 49 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 9.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • BP, Occidental Petroleum, and Exxon Mobil see target price cuts. Schlumberger announces breakthrough in Lithium production.

DRX: Revenue Misses due to Delays but Margins Smash Expectations

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • ADF reported mixed Q2 financials that missed our revenue estimate due project delays but largely beat our profitability estimates.
  • • Revenue came in at $74.9M vs. our $92.6M (due to $35M in delays) while EBITDA came in at $24.9M (33% margin) vs. our estimate of $17.9M.
  • • Management remained bullish on the long-term growth of the sector and ended the quarter in large net cash position.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Ibiden Co Ltd, Fuji Soft Inc, Gitlab , SUNeVision Holdings, Hewlett Packard Enterprise , Asana , NEOJAPAN Inc, Credo Technology Group Holding, i-mobile Co Ltd, Zscaler and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Shinko Electric (6967 JP) Takeover – Time To Buy Dips, and Ibiden (4062 JP)
  • Fuji Soft (9749) – Fuji Softer
  • GitLab Inc.: Expansion of AI-Driven Developer Tools & Major Growth Drivers
  • BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 12)
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE): Expanded Portfolio of AI Solutions & Hybrid Cloud Solutions Are Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers
  • Asana Inc.: These Are The 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path For Growth! – Major Drivers
  • NEOJAPAN Inc (3921 JP): 1H FY01/25 flash update
  • Credo Technology Group: Expansion Of Optical Digital Signal Processor Business & Rack-to-Rack Connectivity Solutions Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating? – Major Drivers
  • i-mobile Co Ltd (6535 JP): Full-year FY07/24 flash update
  • Zscaler Inc.: Expansion into Emerging Product Lines Driving Our Bullish Rating! – Major Drivers


Shinko Electric (6967 JP) Takeover – Time To Buy Dips, and Ibiden (4062 JP)

By Travis Lundy

  • Late last month, Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) announced that the JIC consortium Tender Offer due to be launched by end-August would be delayed. Next update? January 2025.
  • Everyone was expecting a delay, but that caused the stock to fall. Then tech/AI fell out of bed, Ibiden crashed, then China export restrictions noise/pushback caused further delay.
  • I saw a 9% gross spread yesterday and thought “Geez”, that’s a buy.” A day later, it’s 6%. Still wide, still interesting. And that has set a boundary.

Fuji Soft (9749) – Fuji Softer

By Travis Lundy

  • When Bain came out saying they would bid more, with preparation to launch in November, KKR launched early to see if they could get the jump, discussed here.
  • The stock popped when the Bain’s bid was obviously serious, and supported by the Founding Family, but it went to Bain’s “5% higher” plus another 5%. I was bearish.
  • But I signalled willingness to change my mind if the stock price dropped. It has dropped. 

GitLab Inc.: Expansion of AI-Driven Developer Tools & Major Growth Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GitLab’s Q2 Fiscal Year 2025 results showcase a blend of growth and strategic enhancements, particularly in its DevSecOps platform enriched with AI capabilities.
  • Revenue grew substantially by 31% year-over-year, totaling $183 million, a testament to the adoption of new accounts alongside expansions in existing clientele including notable names like Delaware North and Guild Mortgage.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 12)

By David Mudd

  • Hong Kong market is range bound with conglomerates showing strength over the last few weeks.  As the CNY/HKD strengthens the A/H premium should narrow.
  • SUNeVision Holdings (1686 HK) reported good results on the back of increased demand driven by the AI sector. 
  • Yum China Holdings (9987 HK),Yum China Holdings (YUMC US) reported flat sales and an increase in operating profit in a difficult fast food retail environment in China.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE): Expanded Portfolio of AI Solutions & Hybrid Cloud Solutions Are Critical Growth Catalysts! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (HPE) demonstrated a strong financial performance in the third quarter of fiscal 2024, reporting substantial year-over-year revenue growth and a marginal increase in non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share.
  • As delineated in their earnings call, the company continues to navigate a dynamic market environment, focusing on growth sectors such as AI, hybrid cloud, and networking.
  • Revenue reached $7.7 billion, a 10% increase from the previous year, which is attributed to notable growth in AI systems revenue and other portfolio enhancements.

Asana Inc.: These Are The 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path For Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Asana’s second quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings presentation highlighted several fundamental aspects of the company’s financial health and strategic direction.
  • The overall tone indicated cautious optimism, marked by a cautious stabilization in revenues with indications of accelerating growth in the foreseeable future.
  • Financially, Asana reported a revenue increase of 10% year-over-year, surpassing its own projections and signaling subtle strength within certain operational segments.

NEOJAPAN Inc (3921 JP): 1H FY01/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 4.4% YoY to JPY3.4bn, operating profit rose by 40.8% YoY to JPY848mn.
  • Revenue from desknet’s NEO Cloud grew 7.5% YoY, while AppSuite Cloud revenue surged 30.6% YoY.
  • Total license revenue declined 27.8% YoY, with desknet’s NEO licenses decreasing 22.7% YoY.

Credo Technology Group: Expansion Of Optical Digital Signal Processor Business & Rack-to-Rack Connectivity Solutions Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Credo’s Q1 fiscal 2025 results suggest a mixed yet promising growth trajectory.
  • The company reported total revenue of $59.7 million, with product revenues significantly marking a 30% increase at $57.3 million in comparison to previous quarters.
  • This growth highlights the effectiveness of Credo’s strategy in expanding its product offerings across high-speed connectivity solutions such as active electrical cables (AEC), optical digital signal processing (DSP), and line card physical layer devices (PHYs).

i-mobile Co Ltd (6535 JP): Full-year FY07/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • i-mobile reported FY07/24 revenue of JPY18.7bn (+14.1% YoY) and operating profit of JPY3.5bn (+0.7% YoY).
  • Consumer Service business FY07/24 revenue was JPY16.0bn (+20.1% YoY) and segment profit JPY3.4bn (+15.8% YoY).
  • FY07/25 projections: revenue JPY23.0bn (+22.8% YoY), operating profit JPY4.5bn (+26.8% YoY), net income JPY3.0bn (+21.9% YoY).

Zscaler Inc.: Expansion into Emerging Product Lines Driving Our Bullish Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Zscaler is actively expanding and executing within the rapidly evolving cybersecurity market.
  • Recent developments highlight the company’s strong financial performance and strategic positioning as it continues to capitalize on growing demand for advanced security solutions.
  • Zscaler posted robust financial results, showcasing a 30% year-over-year growth in revenue, underscoring the increasing market demand and customer adoption of its solutions.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Duality Biotherapeutics, Healthequity Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Duality Biotherapeutics (映恩生物) Pre-IPO: Too Early, Too Ambitious
  • HealthEquity Inc: Expansion into Digital and API Solutions & Other Major Drivers


Duality Biotherapeutics (映恩生物) Pre-IPO: Too Early, Too Ambitious

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Duality Biotherapeutics, a China-based clinical-stage biotechnology company, plans to raise up to US$300m via a Hong Kong listing.
  • In this note, we examine the company’s two core products, namely DB-1313 (HER2 ADC) and DB-1311 (B7-H3 ADC). We think the company’s products are not yet convincing.
  • While the management has expertise as biotech investors, biotech-related operational experience seems to be lacking.

HealthEquity Inc: Expansion into Digital and API Solutions & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • HealthEquity recently shared its fiscal second quarter 2025 results, showcasing strong growth driven by strategic initiatives and integration gains from the BenefitWallet asset acquisition.
  • The company, under the leadership of President and CEO Jon Kessler and CFO James Lucania, outlined its current position and future direction during the latest discussion.
  • The company posted impressive financial results, with a 23% year-over-year revenue increase.

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Daily Brief Financials: Remitly Global, Attacq Ltd, China Vanke , Good Com Asset, Pioneer Credit and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Marathon Partners’ Mario Cibelli on digital remittances company, Remitly $RELY
  • Attacq – FY24 distributable income outperforms
  • Morning Views Asia: Adaro Energy, China Vanke , Greentown China
  • Good Com Asset (3475 JP): Q3 FY10/24 flash update
  • Pioneer Credit Ltd – Turning point


Marathon Partners’ Mario Cibelli on digital remittances company, Remitly $RELY

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Remitly is a digital international money transfer company competing with traditional providers like Western Union and MoneyGram.
  • Mario Sabelli sees Remitly as potentially becoming the “booking.com of the digital remittance space.”
  • He believes Remitly is well-positioned to dominate the market due to its scale and competitive advantages over legacy competitors.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Attacq – FY24 distributable income outperforms

By Edison Investment Research

Attacq is a diversified real estate investment trust (REIT), which generates revenue from a ZAR22.9bn investment property portfolio made up of shopping centres, collaboration hubs (offices), logistics, hotels and data centres in South Africa. It also taps into its huge land bank and 1.4 million sqm of bulk with development rights in various sectors to build residential properties for sale. Attacq’s gross revenue for FY24 increased 6.9% to ZAR2.6bn, largely bolstered by rental income growth of 8.8% to ZAR2.5bn. Distributable income per share (DIPS) came in at 86.2c, up 19.9% y-o-y, above management’s previous guidance. Attacq has provided DIPS guidance of 103.4c for FY25, which implies an 82.7c dividend per share, given the 80% payout ratio. The stock is trading at a price to NAV multiple of 0.7x, with a dividend yield of 5.3% and a shareholder yield of 31.8% (sum of dividend yield, share buyback yield and net debt repayment yield). The share buyback and net debt repayment yields are 0.6% and 25.9%, respectively, although the shareholder yield has benefited from asset sales.


Morning Views Asia: Adaro Energy, China Vanke , Greentown China

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Good Com Asset (3475 JP): Q3 FY10/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased to JPY34.0bn (+136.2% YoY), with an operating profit of JPY2.9bn (+84.4% YoY) and net income of JPY1.6bn (+79.3% YoY).
  • Wholesale Sales segment saw sales rise by 355.7% YoY and operating profit by 66.6% YoY, with a 7.3% profit margin.
  • Real Estate Management segment achieved sales of JPY2.0bn (+62.9% YoY) and operating profit of JPY925mn (+437.0% YoY), with a 45.9% profit margin.

Pioneer Credit Ltd – Turning point

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS Research Group has published an update on ethically-motivated, diversified financials group Pioneer Credit (ASX:PNC) following the company’s FY24 result in which it delivered NPAT adjusted of $1.2m.
  • Our base case valuation has increased to $263m (previously $217m) or $1.96/share reflecting improved financing.
  • We model a range based on a number of factors giving us a low case of $1.84/share and high case of $2.23/share.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Alibaba Group Holding , Raymond Lifestyle, Rakuten, China Resources Beverage, Midea Group Co Ltd A, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Casey’s General Stores, Hormel Foods, Dollar Tree Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • When Dissenting REALLY Pays Off
  • Raymond Lifestyle: A Value Play in Ethnic Wear with Special Situation Potential
  • Rakuten: Rewiring Japan’s Digital Economy – [Business Breakdowns, EP.182]
  • CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case
  • Midea Group (300 HK): Priced at Top End; Offer Size Adj Option Exercise Would Ease Index Fast Entry
  • Companies Should Reset the Yen’s Depreciation Benefit Mindset and Regain Core Competencies
  • DICK’S Sporting Goods Inc.: Expansion of Innovative Store Formats & Focus On High-Performance Vertical Brands For Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Casey’s General Stores Inc.: Leveraging Financial Health for Strategic Acquisitions! – Major Drivers
  • Hormel Foods Corporation: Acquisition of Cidade do Sol & Retail Expansion Are Key Developments With A Future Impact! – Major Drivers
  • Dollar Tree: Enhanced Consumer Experience and Store Conversions Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers


When Dissenting REALLY Pays Off

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back in August 2017, Xingxuan Technology, a privately held Cayman Islands company operating in the online food delivery space in China, was transferred by way of a statutory merger. 
  • The buyer was Alibaba Group (9988 HK)-backed Rajax, the key seller, Baidu (9888 HK). The dissenter, having paid US$125mn for its shares, was offered cash/scrip worth an estimated US$42mn.
  • The dissenter considered terms low-balled. The judge agreed. The uplift? 659%.

Raymond Lifestyle: A Value Play in Ethnic Wear with Special Situation Potential

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Raymond Lifestyle (RAYMONDL IN) recently demerged from Raymond Limited.  Since Raymond Limited was part of various indexes, Raymond Lifestyle was not. Index Fund selling led to a correction.
  • The correction made Raymond Lifestyle a special situation value bet.
  • The cherry on the cake is strong management guidance and a foray into the untapped non branded and unorganized apparel segment

Rakuten: Rewiring Japan’s Digital Economy – [Business Breakdowns, EP.182]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Rakuten is a Japanese conglomerate with a diverse portfolio of businesses, including e-commerce, finance, travel, and mobile telephony.
  • Founded during the late nineties global Internet boom, Rakuten has become a ubiquitous brand in Japan.
  • The loyalty point system has become a key feature of Rakuten’s business model, connecting its various services together.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


CR Beverage IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • China Resources Beverage (CRB HK), China’s largest purified drinking water company, has received HK listing approval for a US$1 billion IPO.
  • In CR Beverage IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on core business’ pricing pressure, a slow pace of revenue diversification, a sizeable pre-IPO dividend, and margin and FCF generation below its key peer. 

Midea Group (300 HK): Priced at Top End; Offer Size Adj Option Exercise Would Ease Index Fast Entry

By Brian Freitas

  • Media reports indicate that Midea Group (000333 CH) has priced its H-shares IPO at HK$54.8/share, the top of the range. That is a 19.85% discount to the A-shares.
  • Reports also indicate that the IPO was oversubscribed multiple times with Hillhouse and GIC putting in large orders. That could result in the Offer Size Adjustment Option being exercised.
  • The exercise of the Offer Size Adjustment Option will take the IPO raise to HK$31bn (US$3.98bn) and index inclusion in some of the larger indices will become a lot easier.

Companies Should Reset the Yen’s Depreciation Benefit Mindset and Regain Core Competencies

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Comparing the number of Japanese companies in top 50 global market capitalization and Japan’s GDP as percentage of world’s GDP in 1989, it’s clear that economy and companies didn’t grow.
  • Without more Japanese companies that have an edge in profitability, a key focus for long-term global investors, it will not be possible to put long-term investment money into Japanese equities.
  • It is assumed that BoJ’s policy of inducing the yen to depreciate through ultra-monetary easing may have in part spoiled company managers and caused them to neglect their corporate efforts.

DICK’S Sporting Goods Inc.: Expansion of Innovative Store Formats & Focus On High-Performance Vertical Brands For Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • DICK’S Sporting Goods’ second quarter 2024 earnings showcased a compelling financial performance, emphasizing its robust strategies and execution capacities.
  • The sporting goods retailer reported an encouraging 7.8% increase in sales compared to the previous year, reaching nearly $3.5 billion.
  • This result reflects not only an enhancement of average sales tickets but also an uptick in transaction volumes, signaling strengthened consumer engagement and market share.

Casey’s General Stores Inc.: Leveraging Financial Health for Strategic Acquisitions! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Casey’s General Stores wrapped up its first quarter of fiscal year 2025 with a positive outlook on its operations, financials, and strategic direction.
  • Led by CEO Darren Rebelez and CFO Stephen Bramlage, the company’s performance reflected a strong start to the fiscal year with notable progress in both store operations and financial metrics.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Hormel Foods Corporation: Acquisition of Cidade do Sol & Retail Expansion Are Key Developments With A Future Impact! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Hormel Foods Corporation reported a robust performance in its third quarter of fiscal 2024, exhibiting a mixture of strengths across various segments and some challenges, particularly in the retail andinternational sectors.
  • Starting with the positives, Hormel continued to witness healthy performance across its key retail brands.
  • Brands such as Hormel Black Label Bacon, SPAM luncheon meats, and Skippy peanut butter exhibited strong growth, emphasizing successful consumer engagement and brand strength.

Dollar Tree: Enhanced Consumer Experience and Store Conversions Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dollar Tree, a prominent American chain of discount variety stores, recently conducted its second quarter 2024 earnings call, providing varied insights into its current financial health and future expectations.
  • The discussion, led by Chief Operating Officer Mike Creedon in place of CEO Rick who is currently unwell, highlighted both the company’s challenges and areas of robust performance despite a demanding macroeconomic environment.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief ESG: TDC NET – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • TDC NET – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • Teva – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


TDC NET – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess TDC NET’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Social and Governance scores, while the Environmental score is “Strong”. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”.


Teva – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Teva’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its “Adequate” Environmental and Social scores. The company has “Strong” Governance. Controversies are “Material”, but Disclosure is “Strong”.


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Chip Stocks Drive Nasdaq Higher and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Chip Stocks Drive Nasdaq Higher
  • Global Consumer (Midweek Update): Consumer Woes Persist, Especially in China.
  • Ally Financial – Suggests Large Fed Cut, Credit Cost Guidance Worsening, Fringe Finco View Can Lead
  • Japan Morning Connection: SPE Set to Surge
  • Global AI Regulations: Big Tech Braces for New Compliance and Innovation Challenges [Part 1]
  • Greatland copy the NST Playbook
  • Hong Kong Property Market: Change of Land Use


Ohayo Japan | Chip Stocks Drive Nasdaq Higher

By Mark Chadwick

  • The Nasdaq jumped 2.17%, driven by tech and semiconductor stocks. Nvidia surged 8%, and AMD rose nearly 5%
  • Mitsui & Co. is doubling its share buyback limit from 200 billion to 400 billion yen, the largest in its history.
  • Kubota acquired U.S. agricultural startup Bloomfield Robotics, which specializes in AI-powered fruit analysis using tractor-mounted cameras

Global Consumer (Midweek Update): Consumer Woes Persist, Especially in China.

By Neil Campling


Ally Financial – Suggests Large Fed Cut, Credit Cost Guidance Worsening, Fringe Finco View Can Lead

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Ally Financial (ALLY US) gave a poor view of now and the immediate future for credit costs within its primary loan book, used cars for subprime borrowers
  • There is often good read-through for mainstream banks and overall credit metrics, we saw this in Thailand before 1997 and in the US with Indymac, Countrywide, Household
  • If the Fed has a better view on granular data than one single finance company, we believe they will use this data when considering rate cut magnitude, next week

Japan Morning Connection: SPE Set to Surge

By Andrew Jackson

  • Major rebound for tech/AI as markets went risk-on with the debate de-risked and consumer inflation data adding to the certainty for Sep rate cuts and a soft landing for the US economy.
  • Renewables in Japan should follow US names higher after the likes of FSLR surged on expectations measures such as the inflation reduction act will continue.
  • SPE set to surge, but avoid excessive optimism for China export names after Harris comments that the US will win the AI and quantum computing race, and Trump’s China critisism.

Global AI Regulations: Big Tech Braces for New Compliance and Innovation Challenges [Part 1]

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • The EU AI Act’s strict testing for high-risk AI may increase compliance costs for tech firms, forcing them to slow down releases or invest more in safety protocols. 
  • California’s AI Bill anticipates future advancements, putting tech firms on notice, driving pre emptive transparency efforts, and likely raising operational costs for scaling AI systems. 
  • Tech giants like Meta and OpenAI, with democrats like Pelosi oppose California’s SB 1047, citing risks to open-source AI and innovation. Prominent figures like Musk and Anthropic AI support regulation.

Greatland copy the NST Playbook

By Money of Mine

  • Paladin announcement surprises after lack of information in the morning
  • Greatland raises $500 million for Newmont’s Telfer, with potential deferred payments
  • Telfer nearing end of its life, but potential for new opportunities with Greatland’s involvement

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Hong Kong Property Market: Change of Land Use

By Alex Ng

  • The downturn in the property market is an indisputable fact, but who can survive this disaster depends on whether they can “turn around” quickly enough.
  • In fact, in addition to the word “split”, the recent theme of the property market also revolves around the word “reform”.
  • For example, the government has taken the lead in “converting” 20% of the commercial floor space in the Hung Shui Kiu New Development Area in Yuen Long into residential buildings.

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Daily Brief ECM: DAM Capital Pre-IPO Tearsheet and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • DAM Capital Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • The Born Korea IPO Valuation Vs Recent M&A Valuation of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods
  • Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Remains Far from Being Profitable
  • Trial Holdings IPO Lockup – Large Number of Small Holders Hold Around US$400m of Stock


DAM Capital Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • DAM Capital (930970Z IN) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Nuvama Wealth.
  • DAM Capital provides a range of financial solutions in investment banking comprising equity capital markets, mergers and acquisitions, private equity, structured finance advisory; and institutional equities comprising broking and research.
  • According to CRISIL, DAM Capital was the fastest growing investment bank in India by revenue CAGR from FY22-24 along with the highest profit margin in FY24.

The Born Korea IPO Valuation Vs Recent M&A Valuation of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we compare the IPO valuation of The Born Korea (475560 KS) versus the recent M&A valuation of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods (JFC PM).
  • Using the recent M&A multiples of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods suggests an attractive upside to The Born Korea (relative to the IPO price range).
  • No other listed company in Korea has a restaurant business model that is consistently profitable, with strong balance sheet, and solid sales growth as The Born Korea. 

Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Remains Far from Being Profitable

By Sumeet Singh

  • Hozon New Energy Automobile is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO.
  • Hozon New Energy Automobile (HNEA) is a NEV technology company which sells cars under the Neta brand. The prices of its vehicles generally range between US$15,000 to US$45,000.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Trial Holdings IPO Lockup – Large Number of Small Holders Hold Around US$400m of Stock

By Sumeet Singh

  • Trial Holdings (5882 JP) raised around US$259m in Mar 2024. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.
  • TH operates a network of retail stores in Japan that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price (EDLP) model.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Continuum Green Energy, Sands China
  • Morning Views Asia: China Water Affairs, Meituan


Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Continuum Green Energy, Sands China

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: China Water Affairs, Meituan

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Taking Advantage of Terumo (4543) Weakness And After-Offering Flow and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Taking Advantage of Terumo (4543) Weakness And After-Offering Flow
  • CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade Tops US$6bn as ETF Creations Soar
  • Exploring Why Samsung Electronics’ Pref Discount Narrowing Took a Sharp Turn Yesterday
  • Silverlake Axis (SILV SP): Goh’s Hybrid Offer Now Open
  • Dyna-Mac (DMHL SP): Hanwha’s Voluntary Conditional Offer
  • Hanwha Galleria Tender Results Are in with No Proration Issue Despite a Fat Spread. What’s Next?
  • Puig Brands (PUIG SM): 50/50 Global Index Inclusion for Largest Spanish IPO Since 2015
  • Kim Dong-Sun Likely to Purchase More Shares of Hanwha Galleria Post Tender Offer
  • Hanwha Group Makes A Move On Dyna-Mac


Taking Advantage of Terumo (4543) Weakness And After-Offering Flow

By Travis Lundy

  • Terumo Corp (4543 JP) was able to hang in well after the announcement, up until the day or two before pricing date, then the shares were walloped into Pricing. 
  • After pricing, they have fallen and erased most of the discount. That’s an opportunity. 
  • The shares have underperformed Peers, and there is flow to come. This deal was, as advertised, smaller than it first appeared. 

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade Tops US$6bn as ETF Creations Soar

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 17 changes at the December rebalance with the Industrials sector gaining 3 index spots and the Information Technology sector losing 3 spots.
  • We estimate one-way turnover of 2.9% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 21.96bn (US$3.1bn). There are 22 stocks with over 3x ADV to trade.
  • Impact on the stocks has increased as creations in ETFs linked to the CSI 300 Index continue. That flow will reverse from the deletions in the next few months.

Exploring Why Samsung Electronics’ Pref Discount Narrowing Took a Sharp Turn Yesterday

By Sanghyun Park

  • Samsung’s preferred shares lagged significantly behind the common shares yesterday, showing the largest daily sigma move we’ve seen in a while.
  • Samsung’s delayed value-up announcement, despite regulatory pressure, has fueled speculation about a potential Biologics stake purchase from C&T.
  • It’s time to pause the trade on Samsung’s preferred discount narrowing that I highlighted in early August. The main inflection point will be when Samsung makes its value-up announcement.

Silverlake Axis (SILV SP): Goh’s Hybrid Offer Now Open

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 26 August, Goh Peng Ooi, the executive chair and founder, made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 25.9% in Silverlake Axis (SILV SP) not held.
  • The Offer Doc is now out for this S$0.36/share cash Offer. The first close is the 7th October.
  • There was no IFA opinion in this Doc. This will appear in the Response Doc within a fortnight. It’ll be interesting how the mixed consideration alternative is assessed. Or not.

Dyna-Mac (DMHL SP): Hanwha’s Voluntary Conditional Offer

By Arun George

  • Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP) disclosed a voluntary conditional offer from Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS) and Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) at S$0.60, a 21.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer is conditional on regulatory approval (Competition and Consumer Commission of Singapore) and a 50% minimum acceptance condition. 
  • The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples. However, it may face resistance as it is below the recent high of S$0.615 and Dyna-Mac’s improving outlook (S$681 million order book). 

Hanwha Galleria Tender Results Are in with No Proration Issue Despite a Fat Spread. What’s Next?

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hanwha Galleria’s tender offer, led by Kim Dong-sun, closed today with a subscription rate just over 80%, according to the local brokerage after market close.
  • Retail investors in small caps like Hanwha Galleria often skip tender offers, hoping for price gains. Kim Dong-sun may try to buy the remaining 10-15% soon, possibly via open-market buys.
  • Watch for signs that Kim Dong-sun might go for a second tender to take Galleria private. He might be aiming to avoid taxes and boost his stake’s value.

Puig Brands (PUIG SM): 50/50 Global Index Inclusion for Largest Spanish IPO Since 2015

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Puig Brands (PUIG SM) will be added in SXXP and SXXE at the close of 20 September 2024. Forecasted demand is ~1.6m shares, ~$36m and ~2.7 ADV.
  • The security is at risk of failing the fcap threshold hence inclusion in November 2024 due to a recent price drop and a substantial portion of shares outstanding being unlisted.
  • The company closely exceeds the minimum public voting rights and its inclusion is expected in December 2024. Forecasted demand is ~4.5m shares, ~$101m and ~7.5 ADV.

Kim Dong-Sun Likely to Purchase More Shares of Hanwha Galleria Post Tender Offer

By Douglas Kim

  • The tender offer period for Hanwha Galleria ended on 11 September. Its share price closed down 7.4% but still up 8.2% from its price prior to the tender offer announcement.
  • The local media accounts mentioned today that about 80-90% of the shares targeted in this tender offer have been filled.
  • If 90% of the tender offer is successful, Kim Dong-Sun’s stake in the company will rise from 2.3% to 18.1%.

Hanwha Group Makes A Move On Dyna-Mac

By David Blennerhassett


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