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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Health Care: China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma, Celltrion Inc, Stryker Corp, Bristol Myers Squibb Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • CR Sanjiu (000999.CH) To Acquire Tasly Pharma (600535.CH) – SOEs Have High Enthusiasm for TCM Assets
  • Celltrion (068270 KS): 2Q24 Result- Biosimilar Sales Roar; Operating Profit Recovers Sequentially
  • Stryker Corporation: The Artelon Acquisition
  • Bristol-Myers Squibb: Will The Enhanced Focus on Cell Therapy and Innovative Cancer Treatments Pay Off? – Major Drivers


CR Sanjiu (000999.CH) To Acquire Tasly Pharma (600535.CH) – SOEs Have High Enthusiasm for TCM Assets

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • China Resources Sanjiu plans to acquire 28% stake in Tasly for RMB6.21 billion at RMB14.85/share. The acquisition of Tasly is in line with the strategic direction of 14th Five-Year Plan.
  • China Resources is positioned as a leading enterprise in modern industrial chain of TCM by the SASAC.Due to policy support, TCM assets are more likely to be favored by SOEs.
  • The deal is positive for Tasly, whose valuation has room to rise further, but the market seems “skeptical” about China Resources Sanjiu’s decision, leading to a lackluster share price reaction. 

Celltrion (068270 KS): 2Q24 Result- Biosimilar Sales Roar; Operating Profit Recovers Sequentially

By Tina Banerjee

  • Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) posted revenue of KRW875B in 2Q24, driven by balanced growth in both the existing core and new biosimilar products.
  • Operating profit ‘temporarily’ declined 60% YoY due to the ongoing impact of the merger. However, operating profit improved by a massive 371% sequentially.
  • Celltrion maintains its 2024 revenue target of KRW3.5T (+60% YoY). The improvement in sales and operating profit in the second half of the year is expected to become increasingly evident.

Stryker Corporation: The Artelon Acquisition

By Baptista Research

  • Stryker Corporation has released its earnings for the second quarter of 2024, showing a robust performance marked by a strong organic growth sales of 9% year-over-year.
  • The diversified medical technology company’s balanced growth across its MedSurg and Neurotechnology and Orthopaedics and Spine segments underpins its broad performance and robust demand for its products.
  • The global organic growth was evenly distributed with both U.S. and international markets expanding by approximately 9%.

Bristol-Myers Squibb: Will The Enhanced Focus on Cell Therapy and Innovative Cancer Treatments Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Bristol-Myers Squibb reported its second quarter 2024 earnings showcasing continued execution of its long-term strategy aimed at fostering sustainable growth.
  • The company highlighted an 18% year over-year increase in its growth portfolio revenues, amounting to a 21% rise when excluding the impact of foreign exchange.
  • This bolstered growth originated largely from several marketed products gaining traction in the market.

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Daily Brief Financials: Resona Holdings, S&P Global , Hang Lung Properties, PrimeTime Property Holdings, Aon , RDC Properties, Greentown China, Westaim Corporation, Anicom Holdings, Chiba Kogyo Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Japanese Big Five Banks – Opportunity in the Face of Market Turmoil; Focus on Resona and Mizuho
  • S&P Global Inc.: Expansion into Private Markets and Credit Indices As A New Avenue For Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Hang Lung Properties 101 HK: Dragged by China Slowing Luxury Retail, but Stock Too Cheap to Ignore
  • PrimeTime Property Holdings Limited: Punching Above Its Weight – Small Firm, Big Value
  • Aon plc: Expanding Market Presence through Acquisitions! – Major Drivers
  • RDC Properties Limited: Botswana’s Family-Dominated Behemoth – Quo Vadis?
  • Greentown China – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • Westaim Corp (WED.V) – Tuesday, May 7, 2024
  • Anicom Holdings (8715 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update
  • Chiba Kogyo Bank (8337 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update


Japanese Big Five Banks – Opportunity in the Face of Market Turmoil; Focus on Resona and Mizuho

By Victor Galliano

  • The sharp Japanese market correction has hit the banks hard, and heightened market volatility is likely to remain a feature, at least in the very near term
  • Nonetheless, the big five’s results in the first quarter to June-end paint a reassuring picture, and we see that BoJ is pausing on rate rises in these unsettled markets
  • Among the big five Japanese bank shares, we highlight Resona and Mizuho in particular for their strong gearing to higher interest rates; we are also positive on SMFG and Concordia

S&P Global Inc.: Expansion into Private Markets and Credit Indices As A New Avenue For Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • S&P Global demonstrated a robust performance in the second quarter of 2024, marking significant milestones and strategic advancements, achieved amidst a backdrop of market variability.
  • The company reported a 16% increase in total revenue, adjusted for divestitures, with highlights including a notable spike in transaction revenue in the Ratings division by over 60%.
  • This division’s success was propelled by increased activity in the public and private markets, notably a 70% boost in private market rating services.

Hang Lung Properties 101 HK: Dragged by China Slowing Luxury Retail, but Stock Too Cheap to Ignore

By Jacob Cheng

  • HLP malls, which focus on China luxury retail consumption, is facing headwind from slowing China economy and weaker consumption
  • The retail sales in its malls slowed down and recorded -13% yoy growth for 1H 2024.  Dividend cut was a negative surprise
  • However, market is forward looking and stock valuation is too cheap to ignore, we recommend long-term investors can look at this name

PrimeTime Property Holdings Limited: Punching Above Its Weight – Small Firm, Big Value

By Garreth Elston

  • PrimeTime Property Holdings operates a diversified portfolio of thirty properties, spread across Botswana, South Africa, and Zambia.
  • The company is currently Botswana’s smallest listed property company in market capitalisation terms, despite having the fourth largest portfolio by asset value, but the company’s intrinsically fully let portfolio offers professionally managed, superior quality buildings, in desirable locations at a currently attractive valuation.
  • Latest interim results have seen revenues increased by 6% compared to the prior year’s interim period.

Aon plc: Expanding Market Presence through Acquisitions! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Aon plc has delivered a robust performance for the second quarter of 2024, marked by a clear focus on delivering on its three-dimensional, three-year strategic plan known as the “3×3 plan.” This approach underscores Aon’s commitment to strengthening offerings across risk capital and human capital solutions, all promoted through its Aon client leadership model.
  • The acquisition of NFP, welcoming 7,700 new colleagues, has played a pivotal role, adding substantial scale and extending Aon’s capabilities in critical business areas.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

RDC Properties Limited: Botswana’s Family-Dominated Behemoth – Quo Vadis?

By Garreth Elston

  • RDC Properties Limited is a variable loan stock company listed on the Botswana Stock Exchange.
  • The company is currently Botswana’s second largest listed property company in market capitalisation terms, despite having the largest portfolio by asset value.
  • It currently operates in Botswana, South Africa, Madagascar, Mozambique, Zambia, Croatia, and the United States of America.

Greentown China – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Greentown China’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”. 


Westaim Corp (WED.V) – Tuesday, May 7, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Westaim aims to create value for shareholders through a recent secondary offering and potential sale of remaining shares in Skyward Specialty
  • The company is set to increase its cash position and reduce its discount to intrinsic value, providing an attractive investment opportunity
  • Investors can capitalize on Westaim’s near-cash assets and potential upside in the future.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Anicom Holdings (8715 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Recurring revenue rose 11.1% YoY to JPY16.5bn, driven by increases in underwriting, investment, and other recurring revenue.
  • Recurring profit increased 34.9% YoY to JPY1.6bn, aided by cost control and streamlined operations, with a 9.8% profit margin.
  • E/I loss ratio increased 1.5pp YoY to 61.1%, while the operating expense ratio improved by 1.0pp YoY to 32.8%.

Chiba Kogyo Bank (8337 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Consolidated ordinary income was JPY14.0bn (-8.2% YoY), with ordinary profit at JPY2.8bn (-18.5% YoY) and profit attributable to owners at JPY2.2bn (-9.4% YoY).
  • Non-consolidated core gross profit increased to JPY9.7bn (+0.9% YoY), and core operating profit rose to JPY3.3bn (+3.0% YoY).
  • Loans outstanding increased 0.6% YoY, while the loan-to-deposit ratio decreased to 77.5% from 77.8% a year ago.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 2nd): Sk Hynix and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 2nd): Sk Hynix, Korea Aerospace, Posco


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 2nd): Sk Hynix, Korea Aerospace, Posco

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.4bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Korea Aerospace, Posco.

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Daily Brief ESG: The Number of TOPIX Components Should Be More Reduced to Raise the Quality of Engagement and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • The Number of TOPIX Components Should Be More Reduced to Raise the Quality of Engagement, Though
  • Road King – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


The Number of TOPIX Components Should Be More Reduced to Raise the Quality of Engagement, Though

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The cost is somewhat reduced for the user because of the higher weighting of more liquid stocks. Meanwhile, selling pressure is inevitable for less liquid companies whose weights are reduced.
  • Even if the number of stocks decreases, 1,200 stocks isn’t small number. Also, even though the market capitalization of the components has increased, approximately 73 billion yen isn’t sufficiently liquid.
  • With calls for increased engagement, the number of issues remains too large for domestic asset managers, where passive funds account for a high percentage of AUM.

Road King – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Road King’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with the Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): MARKETS AND SEMICONDUCTORS and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • MARKETS AND SEMICONDUCTORS
  • Ohayo Japan | Turnaround Tuesday
  • Bangladesh Chaos: Impact on Indian Companies
  • The Beat Ideas: Websolar Energy- From Bad Past to Turnaround
  • The Bangladesh Crisis: What Does It Mean for India?
  • Japan Morning Connection: 6301 JP, 6326 JP, 2503 JP
  • [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BILIUS/TCOMUS/SEUS/PDDUS/4689JP/4385JP/BABAUS/3690HK/JDUS/700HK/NTESUS
  • # 40 India Insight: ONGC Gas Production, Vedanta Debt Reduction, Tata Power Acquisition
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/AAPL US/2150 HK/Macro News Update/Consumer Industry Update


MARKETS AND SEMICONDUCTORS

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • Hello! I went on a short hike this weekend, which always seems to cause something to change.
  • What changed was that we are seeing a very large leveraged unwind in the market, driven by the BOJ’s hike in interest rates.
  • Let me write out the series of events. First and foremost, last week, we saw some of the first macro jitters. The CPI came to light, which was viewed as positive. But then NFP showed a bit of weakness.

Ohayo Japan | Turnaround Tuesday

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks snapped a three-day losing streak as investors set aside recession worries
  • All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 posted gains, with megacap tech stocks leading the rebound; Nvidia increased 3.8%, and Meta Platforms rose 3.9%.
  • The VIX fell by 10.8 points to end the session at 27.71

Bangladesh Chaos: Impact on Indian Companies

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Bangladesh, India’s 2nd largest trading partner in Asia is under a political crisis leading to instability and uncertainty. 
  • Companies impacted by Bangladesh Crisis in India across sectors and across market caps listed below. 
  • There might be short-term impact, but in long run, there would not be much impact as overall exposure is not that much.

The Beat Ideas: Websolar Energy- From Bad Past to Turnaround

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Websol Energy System (WESL IN) has upgraded from PERC to TOPCon technology, significantly expanding its production capacity.
  • The shift to advanced TOPCon cells positions Websol for higher efficiency and growth, with 75% capacity utilization achieved shortly after the upgrade.
  • Earlier, the Company has underperformed due to less efficient technology and a history of non-performance of promoters.

The Bangladesh Crisis: What Does It Mean for India?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Sheikh Hasina resigned, leading to chaos in Bangladesh and the formation of an interim government in Bangladesh.
  • Political instability could disrupt India-Bangladesh trade, delay the FTA, and intensify regional strategic concerns, including China’s growing influence.
  • Indian companies will also be impacted by this geopolitical issue, as India exports 35% of its cotton to Bangladesh and imports ready-made garments from the same country.

Japan Morning Connection: 6301 JP, 6326 JP, 2503 JP

By Andrew Jackson

  • US rebound lacks breadth, and while tech should be strong to start it may be too early to predict an extended rally off the lows in Japan after yesterday’s gains.
  • An SMCI after-market miss is dulling the mood which may also dent sentiment for AI/SPE related to start.
  • A good print from CAT sets a positive tone for the likes of 6301 Komatsu and 6326 Kubota who were both sold heavily in the recent panic.

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BILIUS/TCOMUS/SEUS/PDDUS/4689JP/4385JP/BABAUS/3690HK/JDUS/700HK/NTESUS

By Ying Pan

  • BILI US: Bilibili’s <Three Kingdoms: MDTX> Shows Significant Grossing Ranking Rebound After Season 2 Update (+)
  • TCOM US:Beijing’s tourist arrivals increased by 16.7% YoY in July (+)
  • TCOM US: Amap Launches Airport Shuttle Service in Hong Kong (-)

# 40 India Insight: ONGC Gas Production, Vedanta Debt Reduction, Tata Power Acquisition

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • ONGC plans to increase gas production from 1,527 to 1,675 MMSCM by drilling new wells
  • Vedanta aims to reduce debt by $3 billion through cash flow, asset sales, and strategic measures
  • Tata Power will acquire Paradeep Transmission Ltd to build and operate a 765 kV transmission line

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/AAPL US/2150 HK/Macro News Update/Consumer Industry Update

By Eric Wen

  • 1211 HK: BYD and Uber reach agreement to launch 100,000 vehicles globally (/)
  • AAPL US: Huawei double-hinge folding device has begun production (-)
  • Macro News Update: The State Council Releases the “Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Consumption,” Primarily Focusing on Supply-Side Improvement.(+)

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Downgrading Outlook on $SPX; Upgrading Real Estate and Staples. Many Significant Risk-Off Signals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Downgrading Outlook on $SPX; Upgrading Real Estate and Staples. Many Significant Risk-Off Signals


Downgrading Outlook on $SPX; Upgrading Real Estate and Staples. Many Significant Risk-Off Signals

By Joe Jasper

  • We are downgrading our long-term outlook to neutral (had been bullish since early-November 2023) due to rapidly deteriorating market dynamics
  • We still believe the S&P 500 is going through a 1- to 4-month consolidation phase, but odds have increased that this consolidation phase could be a topping pattern.
  • SPX is initially holding at 5100-5191 as discussed last week, but we’re not interested in knife-catching or picking a bottom, want to see stabilization/price discovery before adjusting our still-defensive posture.

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Daily Brief ECM: Horizon Robotics IPO: High Valuation Is At Risk As NEV Production Forecasts Have Weakened and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Horizon Robotics IPO: High Valuation Is At Risk As NEV Production Forecasts Have Weakened
  • WeRide Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Boasting Partnerships, but Peers Aren’t Too Far Behind
  • Eternal Beauty Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Middling


Horizon Robotics IPO: High Valuation Is At Risk As NEV Production Forecasts Have Weakened

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Horizon Robotics, a leading provider of ADAS and AD solutions for passenger vehicles, plans to raise up to $500M in Hong Kong IPO.
  • I expect Horizon Robotics will price its IPO below last round valuation of ~$8.7B as revenue growth will slow below 50% y/y in 2024, down from 71% y/y in 2023.
  • The company’s key competitors, including Mobileye and Microchip Technology, revised their revenue guidance downwards for the second half of 2024.

WeRide Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Boasting Partnerships, but Peers Aren’t Too Far Behind

By Clarence Chu

  • WeRide Corp (WER CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming US IPO.
  • WeRide provides autonomous driving products and services from L2 to L4 of driving automation.
  • We had looked at the firm’s past performance in an earlier note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Eternal Beauty Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Eternal Beauty Holdings Limited (EBHL12 HK) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by BNP Paribas, Citic, CMBI and DBS.
  • Eternal Beauty is the largest brand management company of perfumes in the combined markets of Mainland China, Hong Kong and Macau, in terms of retail sales in 2023.
  • The company has a diverse portfolio of iconic brands of not only perfumes, but also color cosmetics, skincare products, personal care products, eyewear and home fragrances under management.

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Middling

By Sumeet Singh

  • China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
  • In our earlier note, we talked about the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Thinking About The Toyota Tender Offer Buyback and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Thinking About The Toyota Tender Offer Buyback
  • Go-To Arbs Amid Market Carnage
  • Technology Select Sector Index (XLK US): Market Consultation to Avoid Reverse Turnover (NVDA/AAPL)
  • Fancl (4921 JP): Kirin (2503 JP) Relents and Bumps to JPY2,800
  • Doosan Group Revises Merger Report and Increasing Probability of Merger Getting Cancelled
  • How Has the Index Rebalance Strategy Performed During Market Turmoil?
  • GA Pack (468 HK): Stalemate Broken as Management Considers a Possible Counteroffer
  • The Unusual Flow Trading Development Caused by SK Innovation’s Appraisal Rights Premium
  • GAPack (468 HK)’s Co-Founders (Almost) Walk The Walk
  • Sapporo Holdings: Investor Activism Sparks Short-Term Gains, Tax Reforms Ensure Long-Term Success


Thinking About The Toyota Tender Offer Buyback

By Travis Lundy

  • In May when shares were trading near ¥3,500-3,600, Toyota announced a ¥1trln buyback. When shares fell, they announced a Tender Offer Buyback at a large discount (¥2,781/share). 
  • Subsequently, the shares fell very sharply on Thursday 1 August, then again Friday and yesterday. That put shares WELL below the Tender Offer Price. That creates possible opportunity. 
  • This insight discusses modalities (talk to your advisor for specific advice/info) who might do what and why. It sets parameters. But I think Toyota is cheap here.

Go-To Arbs Amid Market Carnage

By David Blennerhassett


Technology Select Sector Index (XLK US): Market Consultation to Avoid Reverse Turnover (NVDA/AAPL)

By Brian Freitas

  • NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) and Apple (AAPL US) switched positions in June setting off huge flows. Those flows could reverse in September if the current index methodology is used.
  • To avoid frequent reverse turnover, S&P DJI have started a market consultation to change the index weighting methodology. We believe feedback will be positive and the proposals will be approved.
  • Apple (AAPL US) will have inflows in September while there will be outflows from Microsoft Corp (MSFT US) and NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Fancl (4921 JP): Kirin (2503 JP) Relents and Bumps to JPY2,800

By Arun George

  • Kirin Holdings (2503 JP) has increased the Fancl Corp (4921 JP) tender offer price by 4.1% to JPY2,800 and extended the offer period to 28 August. The price is final.
  • Kirin tried to get the required acceptances by refusing to bump and extending the offer period. However, these tactics failed, as the shares continued to trade above terms.
  • The Board twice asked Kirin to raise its offer higher than JPY2,800, but eventually recommended the revised offer. Nevertheless, the bump should be sufficient for Kirin to succeed. 

Doosan Group Revises Merger Report and Increasing Probability of Merger Getting Cancelled

By Douglas Kim

  • On 6 August, the Doosan Group announced a revised merger report. Despite some changes in the merger report, there was no change the merger ratios. 
  • Many minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Bobcat are likely to oppose this merger. The net result is an increasing probability that this merger gets cancelled, in our view.
  • Doosan Enerbility has set aside about 600 billion won for exercise of appraisal rights and if it exceeds this amount, the merger may be cancelled. 

How Has the Index Rebalance Strategy Performed During Market Turmoil?

By Brian Freitas

  • The market turmoil over the last few trading sessions has not been kind to a simple index rebalance strategy of buying the forecast adds and selling the forecast deletes.
  • The overall returns and stock specific returns indicate that trades are more crowded in some indices as compared to others and traders should consider that when position sizing.
  • Anecdotally, periods of negative returns are followed by periods of strong returns for the strategy as weak hands are shaken out of their positions.

GA Pack (468 HK): Stalemate Broken as Management Considers a Possible Counteroffer

By Arun George

  • Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK) disclosed that Mr Bi Hua Jeff (CEO) and Mr Hong Gang (co-founder) are contemplating a possible voluntary conditional offer. The terms and conditions were not disclosed.
  • Due to the recent AGM protest votes, management needed to provide a credible alternative to shareholders to ensure that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)’s offer failed.   
  • Shandong Xinjufeng’s likely game plan is to wait for a binding counteroffer, focus on satisfying the preconditions, and requisition an EGM again to get Board representation.

The Unusual Flow Trading Development Caused by SK Innovation’s Appraisal Rights Premium

By Sanghyun Park

  • Exceeding the ceiling doesn’t cancel the merger; SK Innovation can still proceed. With their decision confirmed, focus should shift to appraisal rights flows rather than cancellation risk.
  • We should focus on flow trading given the notable exercise size and potential for unprecedented market activity if institutions, including the NPS, exercise their rights due to the juicy premium.
  • The large exercise size and SK Innovation’s KOSPI large-cap status may create unique flow trading opportunities, with potential repurchases after new shares list.

GAPack (468 HK)’s Co-Founders (Almost) Walk The Walk

By David Blennerhassett

  • To say Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)‘s management and Shandong Xinjufeng (301296 CH) (XJF) don’t get along is an understatement. GAPack has labelled XJF’s pre-conditional Offer hostile and unwelcome.
  • Last night (6th August), co-founders Jeff Bi and Gang Hong tabled a non-binding Offer. No price was mentioned. Collectively they hold 14.72% of shares out compared to XJF’s 26.8%.
  • A firm Offer (and price) would have been welcome, and this probably reflects on-going funding negotiations. But the announcement will give minorities pause if/when tendering into XJF’s Offer.

Sapporo Holdings: Investor Activism Sparks Short-Term Gains, Tax Reforms Ensure Long-Term Success

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Sapporo Holdings (2501 JP)‘s strategic position in the domestic market, coupled with untapped potential in international markets, makes the company an interesting prospect for the long-term.
  • 3D Investment Partners’ July 2024 letter praising Sapporo’s intention to divest its real estate business has reignited investor interest in Sapporo as a play focusing on Japan’s investor activism.
  • Therefore, Sapporo seems interesting both in the short term and long term, as we think shares could break out to a new high with trading volumes showing signs of improvement.

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Daily Brief Credit: News: Cemex to Divest Its Dominican Republic Operations for $950 Million and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • News: Cemex to Divest Its Dominican Republic Operations for $950 Million
  • MercadoLibre 2Q24: Fintech Credit Fuels Commerce Growth
  • Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, Medco Energi, Vedanta Resources


News: Cemex to Divest Its Dominican Republic Operations for $950 Million

By Leandro Gubler

  • The transaction is valued at approximately 6.8x 2023 EBITDA, or $396/ton, which we consider a good price given that Cemex currently trades at 5.5x LTM EBITDA, or $208/ ton.
  • We view Cemex’s divestments of its Dominican Republic assets as a positive credit event that aligns with its strategic priorities.
  • With this divestment, the company should focus on growing its key markets through bolt-on acquisition while maintaining its commitment to a healthy balance sheet.

MercadoLibre 2Q24: Fintech Credit Fuels Commerce Growth

By Leandro Gubler

  • We maintain our Outperform recommendation on MercadoLibre with a preference for MELI 2.375% 2026 bonds. We remain optimistic about the company’s overall financial and business risks.
  • Revenues increased by 41.5% (FX-neutral: 113%) to $5.1 billion in 2Q24. However, the EBIT margin contracted significantly by 440 bps to 14.3% from 18.7%.
  • MELI ended the quarter with $976mn in net debt, down from $1.4 bn sequentially. Gross leverage remained relatively stable at 1.8x, and net leverage improved by 0.2x sequentially to 0.3x.  

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, Medco Energi, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Global Markets Plummet as Recession Fears and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Markets Plummet as Recession Fears, Weak Jobs Report, and Israel-Iran Conflicts Escalate
  • Palantir Technolog Inc (PLTR) – Tuesday, May 7, 2024
  • Daikin (6367) | Q1 Earnings: Frozen in Uncertainty
  • GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025
  • NWD 17 HK Update: De-Leveraging in Process, the Biggest Beneficiary of Fed Rate Cut Cycle
  • Wacom (6727 JP) – Preparing to Transition to a New Stage of Growth
  • SK Telecom: A Blue-Chip Defensive Stock That Could Outperform KOSPI Amid Market Turmoil
  • Novatek (3034.TT): 3Q24 Guidance Slightly Weak in GM
  • Fiscalnote Holdings Inc (NOTE) – Tuesday, May 7, 2024
  • AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update


Global Markets Plummet as Recession Fears, Weak Jobs Report, and Israel-Iran Conflicts Escalate

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • July saw only 114,000 new jobs versus a forecast of 180,000. Unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021. 
  • The S&P 500 fell 1.8% and dropped below its 50-day moving average, tech and semiconductor sectors led significant market declines. 
  • Implied volatility surged as the S&P 500 saw high put options activity. Analysts expect a potential market rebound later in August.

Palantir Technolog Inc (PLTR) – Tuesday, May 7, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Palantir Technologies Inc. provides software solutions for government customers in national security and intelligence
  • Facing competition in AI products in the commercial sector, which may affect stock performance
  • Company founded in 2003, known for utilizing technology to extract insights from data for government operations, with significant impact on Western society.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Daikin (6367) | Q1 Earnings: Frozen in Uncertainty

By Mark Chadwick

  • Q1 Operating Profit -2% YoY; weaker than analyst consensus; Full year guidance unchanged but risk to the downside
  • Key concerns around EU and China remain in Q1. Both regions seeing zero top line growth and heat pumps have cratered 
  • The stock price has declined 16% since our last note, underperforming Topix by around 6%. Valuation more supportive

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Semi Industry Expected to Recover in 2H24, Holding an Bright Outlook in 2025

By Patrick Liao

  • The 2Q24 revenue was NT$15.3bn, 1.6% QoQ and -14.4% YoY. GM in 2Q24 was 32.3%, -5.8% QQ and -14.3% YoY. OPM in 2Q24 was 22.0%, -16.3% QoQ and -24.1% YoY.
  • The widespread adoption of AI-driven electronic devices, along with the onset of the AI-powered device replacement cycle, is likely driving increased demand for peripheral ICs and sensors. 
  • With inventory levels gradually depleting and downstream customers ramping up production capacity in 2025, the semiconductor industry is expected to recover in 2H24 and maintain an optimistic outlook for 2025.

NWD 17 HK Update: De-Leveraging in Process, the Biggest Beneficiary of Fed Rate Cut Cycle

By Jacob Cheng

  • In this update, we analyzed recent NWD’s corporate actions, which show their de-leveraging plan is on track
  • NWD, having the highest gearing among HK RE names, will become the biggest beneficiary if Fed starts a new rate cut cycle
  • Valuation is compelling.  There is ample upside assuming a bear case scenario.  It is a BUY

Wacom (6727 JP) – Preparing to Transition to a New Stage of Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Wacom is a technology company specializing in the development of graphic tablets (pen tablet products), pen displays (display products), and related digital interface solutions.
  • Leveraging its high reputation for its branded products, it is expanding in the OEM solutions market.
  • Due to changes in market structure driven by demand shifting towards general-purpose tablets and lengthening replacement cycles, Wacom is focused on improving its sales mix and earnings quality by developing a service-centric growth engine. 

SK Telecom: A Blue-Chip Defensive Stock That Could Outperform KOSPI Amid Market Turmoil

By Douglas Kim

  • Amid recent market turmoil, we believe that SK Telecom could be a solid blue-chip, defensive Korean stock that could outperform the market in the next 6-12 months.
  • SK Telecom reported better than expected profits in 2Q 2024. The company’s sales were 0.5% higher than the consensus and its operating profit was 3.9% higher than the consensus estimates.
  • SK Telecom’s shareholder return policy is to return at least 50% of adjusted profit for the year on a consolidated basis.

Novatek (3034.TT): 3Q24 Guidance Slightly Weak in GM

By Patrick Liao

  • The 3Q24 revenue is expected 10.5% higher than 2Q24, but the GM/OPG outlook will be 5.1%/3.6% lower because of pricing adjustments and limited NRE sales .  
  • Smartphone’s demand will enter peak season with expected stockpiling for new models. Automotive inventory adjustment is needed due to muted demand.  
  • Dividend payout ratio has remained at 80-85% in recent years, with no major changes expected.

Fiscalnote Holdings Inc (NOTE) – Tuesday, May 7, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • FiscalNote is a legal data and analytics company with a $170 million market cap
  • The company provides software and services in the public policy and geopolitical intelligence sector
  • FiscalNote generates revenue through recurring subscription services and is seen as a compelling investment opportunity with potential for margin expansion.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 4.5% YoY to JPY49.7bn, while operating profit decreased by 50.5% YoY to JPY1.9bn.
  • Logistics segment revenue was JPY49.0bn (+4.4% YoY) with operating profit of JPY2.4bn (-36.4% YoY).
  • Other segment revenue was JPY689mn (+14.1% YoY) with operating profit of JPY94mn (+32.4% YoY).

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