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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Paytm 2.0: Growth Triggers Loading… and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Paytm 2.0: Growth Triggers Loading…
  • Apple in Crisis Mode? Tariffs, Stock Wipeouts, and Supply Chain Shocks Shake Up the Tech Giant!
  • Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 14 April 2025)
  • AIMD: Deep Dive into AI-Powered Smell in Semi Fabs and Robotics After Recent Partnerships
  • Ocean Wilsons Holdings — Disposal to generate surplus capital
  • Harley-Davidson Is Losing Speed: Will A New CEO Fix The Sales Slump Amid Tariff Turmoil?
  • Creek & River (4763 JP): Full-year FY02/25 flash update
  • Compass Group: Initiation of Coverage
  • RIO: Highlights from Our Site Visit to the Fenix Gold Project
  • Usen-Next Holdings Co Ltd (9418 JP): 1H FY08/25 flash update


Paytm 2.0: Growth Triggers Loading…

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Paytm (PAYTM IN) is pivoting post-regulatory setbacks with board overhaul, license reapplications, and focus on high-margin verticals like lending and merchant services.
  • Triggers like MDR revival, PPBL embargo removal, and PA license approval could significantly lift monetization, improve take rates, and stabilize investor sentiment.
  • While competition is stiff, structural improvements and cost controls position Paytm for a profitable rebound, making it a potential re-rating candidate in FY26.

Apple in Crisis Mode? Tariffs, Stock Wipeouts, and Supply Chain Shocks Shake Up the Tech Giant!

By Baptista Research

  • Apple Inc. is facing one of the most turbulent moments in its recent history.
  • Over the past week, the company has lost over $700 billion in market capitalization, relinquished its crown as the most valuable U.S. company to Microsoft, and seen its shares plummet by 23% across four trading sessions.
  • The sell-off comes on the back of escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, with President Donald Trump introducing a 125% tariff on Chinese imports—directly impacting Apple’s China-dependent supply chain.

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 14 April 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 14 April. 
  • Our top 10 picks in the most recent bi-weekly was down 2.5% on average, outperforming KOSPI which was down 4.9% in the same period. 
  • The top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Binggrae, Hyundai Rotem, Krafton, Nongshim, SK Telecom, Hanwha Systems, APR, SK Inc, Korean Air, and Samsung Heavy Industries. 

AIMD: Deep Dive into AI-Powered Smell in Semi Fabs and Robotics After Recent Partnerships

By Water Tower Research

  • AI Nose for healthcare, industrials, and robotics. Ainos is digitizing smell with AI Nose to capture airborne chemical signatures, using AI-powered processes to immediately classify and identify scents in any environment.
  • Initially focused on healthcare, Ainos is developing a women’s health test, Ainos Flora with AI Nose, in addition to an elderly care project with Japanese partners to assist caregivers in monitoring seniors.
  • Ainos recently entered partnerships with ugo and ASE, expanding AI Nose development to robotics and industrial applications.

Ocean Wilsons Holdings — Disposal to generate surplus capital

By Edison Investment Research

In FY24, Ocean Wilsons increased its earnings per share and dividend by 7% and more than 40%, respectively. 2024 was a seismic year for the company as it agreed to sell its 56% holding in Wilson Sons. It will be returning a portion of the sale proceeds to shareholders but the use of the remaining proceeds is still under consideration. Currently, Ocean Wilsons is trading at a c 40% discount to our estimated total asset value of 2,389p/share. Given the pending disposal, we are withdrawing our forecasts.


Harley-Davidson Is Losing Speed: Will A New CEO Fix The Sales Slump Amid Tariff Turmoil?

By Baptista Research

  • Harley-Davidson is navigating a critical crossroads as it searches for a new CEO to replace Jochen Zeitz, who recently announced plans to retire after five years at the helm.
  • This leadership transition comes at a precarious time for the iconic motorcycle brand, which is grappling with a sustained decline in sales, intensifying macroeconomic pressures, and the looming threat of retaliatory tariffs—particularly from the European Union.
  • In 2024, global retail sales dropped by 7%, with international sales falling a steep 13%, reflecting a broader downturn in discretionary spending.

Creek & River (4763 JP): Full-year FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by JPY476mn (+1.0% YoY), driven by growth in the Creative (Japan) segment, while operating profit decreased by JPY489mn (-11.9% YoY).
  • The company forecasts FY02/26 consolidated sales of JPY60.0bn (+19.3% YoY) and operating profit of JPY5.0bn (+38.3% YoY).
  • Year-end dividend forecast for FY02/26 is JPY45.0 per share, with a payout ratio of 38.9%.

Compass Group: Initiation of Coverage

By Baptista Research

  • Compass Group PLC has released its full-year 2024 financial results, showcasing a strong performance with a 16% increase in operating profit and an 11% growth in organic revenue.
  • The company reported a margin progression of 30 basis points, taking it to 7.1%.
  • This has been complemented by a net new business growth of 4.2%, further gaining momentum in the second half of the year.

RIO: Highlights from Our Site Visit to the Fenix Gold Project

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • We visited Rio2’s Fenix Gold Project near Copiapó, Chile on March 25th.
  • • The visit was valuable in better understanding the layout of the project, progress on construction, the scale of the asset, and team behind it.
  • • As a reminder, The Fenix Gold Project is the largest fully permitted and financed gold heap leach project in the Americas.

Usen-Next Holdings Co Ltd (9418 JP): 1H FY08/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • 1H FY08/25 revenue increased 22.7% YoY to JPY186.8bn, with progress toward full-year forecast at 51.9%.
  • Operating profit rose 5.0% YoY to JPY16.6bn, with all segments showing growth except Communications & Energy.
  • Subscriber count for U-NEXT increased by 150,000, while former Paravi subscribers declined by 20,000 in 1H FY08/25.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: James Hardie (JHX AU)/Azek (AZEK US) Merger: Risky and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • James Hardie (JHX AU)/Azek (AZEK US) Merger: Risky, Expensive, And Poor Governance
  • Capri Unstitched: A Versace Sale Could Unlock Value for CPRI
  • Event Driven: Delhivery Acquires Ecom Express as Distress Sale


James Hardie (JHX AU)/Azek (AZEK US) Merger: Risky, Expensive, And Poor Governance

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 24th March, building materials outfit James Hardie Industries Plc (JHX AU) announced a cash/scrip merger with decking manufacturer Azek (AZEK US).
  • JHX is offering 1.034 new JHX shares plus US$26.45/share in cash for each Azek share, or an implied $56.88 all-in price (at the time), a punchy 37.4% premium to undisturbed. 
  • Apart from pushback on pricing for Azek, JHX shareholders have voiced opposition over the ASX granting a waiver, allowing the merger to proceed without a vote from JHX shareholders

Capri Unstitched: A Versace Sale Could Unlock Value for CPRI

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Capri Holdings’ sale of Versace to Prada removes a structurally weak asset, shifting its balance sheet from net debt to net cash, simplifying its brand portfolio for sharper strategic focus.
  • Post-Transaction, Capri trades at just 4.4x EBITDA despite becoming a leaner, debt-free luxury group with two globally recognized brands — a setup primed for significant multiple expansion and investor re-rating.
  • A sum-of-the-parts valuation excluding Versace suggests Capri’s fair value is $30–33 per share, offering investors over 100% upside as the company pivots from portfolio fixer-upper to focused luxury contender.

Event Driven: Delhivery Acquires Ecom Express as Distress Sale

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Delhivery (DELHIVER IN) acquired a 99.4% stake in Ecom Express for ₹1,407 crore, months after Ecom’s failed IPO and rights issue raised similar funds.
  • The deal combines two logistics leaders, expands Tier-2/3 reach, and promises cost efficiency, route optimization, and stronger pricing discipline in India’s fast-growing B2C e-commerce logistics.
  • Despite red flags in Ecom and DRHP disputes, Delhivery may have picked up a distressed but strategic asset at a bargain, with upside from network and tech integration.

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Daily Brief Macro: UK: GDP Seasonal Surge Before Slowing and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: GDP Seasonal Surge Before Slowing
  • Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 11 April 2025
  • HEW: Sipping ECB Dove-Juice
  • Real Asset Chartbook Week #2: That Was Interesting
  • The Art of the Trade War: FIRST ROUND GOES TO THE MARKETS!
  • CX Daily: Chinese Firms Set to Seek Alternative Sources for Key U.S. Imports


UK: GDP Seasonal Surge Before Slowing

By Phil Rush

  • Fundamental causes should not be assigned to UK GDP surging far beyond consensus expectations again in February, despite the notability of Q1 growth tracking 0.7% q-o-q.
  • Residual seasonality has dominated the post-pandemic growth profile, and the recent resilience merely matches it. Stagnation for the rest of the year is the consequence.
  • Disruptive and volatile US trade policy will also depress the underlying economic trend beneath the spurious seasonals. We now bake both more fully into our modal forecasts.

Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 11 April 2025

By Dr. Jim Walker

  • India and the Philippines cut interest rates, supporting domestic growth amid easing inflation.

  • US inflation remains sticky, limiting chances of Fed rate cuts despite political pressure.

  • US-China tensions escalate with new tariffs, stoking geopolitical risks and Taiwan conflict concerns.


HEW: Sipping ECB Dove-Juice

By Phil Rush

  • Market disruptions occurred over the past week due to volatility in reciprocal and China tariffs, affecting the significance of data releases such as low US inflation and surging UK GDP.
  • Next week, UK unemployment and inflation data may lean hawkishly due to resilient underlying trends and the delayed impact of Spring stock in clothing store price samples.
  • The European Central Bank (ECB) is also being pushed towards making another cut on Thursday due to market movements.

Real Asset Chartbook Week #2: That Was Interesting

By Massif Capital Research

  • The second week of the Real Asset Chartbook and it has been an eventful one.
  • Our custom equity indices tracking different parts of the liquid real asset universe are showing dramatic moves, yet it does not look like we have found a bottom yet.
  • Probably more short-term pain to come, but everything in the real asset space was cheap before and has just gotten cheaper.

The Art of the Trade War: FIRST ROUND GOES TO THE MARKETS!

By David Mudd

  • The US treasury and dollar markets have proven to be key participants in US trade negotiations.
  • In a battle of wills, Trump and Xi delay direct negotiations between the world’s two largest economies.  Time is on China’s side as consumer confidence plummets in US.
  • Regardless of the results of the trade negotiations, the co-dependent support dynamic for the US equity, dollar, and treasury markets is broken.

CX Daily: Chinese Firms Set to Seek Alternative Sources for Key U.S. Imports

By Caixin Global

  • Tariffs / Chinese firms set to seek alternative sources for key U.S. imports
  • Ad /In Depth: China’s ad market cools as businesses lose patience
  • Interview /Interview: Countries should unite to fight Trump’s tariffs

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Daily Brief Australia: James Hardie Industries Plc, Glencore and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • James Hardie (JHX AU)/Azek (AZEK US) Merger: Risky, Expensive, And Poor Governance
  • Glencore: Initiation of Coverage


James Hardie (JHX AU)/Azek (AZEK US) Merger: Risky, Expensive, And Poor Governance

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 24th March, building materials outfit James Hardie Industries Plc (JHX AU) announced a cash/scrip merger with decking manufacturer Azek (AZEK US).
  • JHX is offering 1.034 new JHX shares plus US$26.45/share in cash for each Azek share, or an implied $56.88 all-in price (at the time), a punchy 37.4% premium to undisturbed. 
  • Apart from pushback on pricing for Azek, JHX shareholders have voiced opposition over the ASX granting a waiver, allowing the merger to proceed without a vote from JHX shareholders

Glencore: Initiation of Coverage

By Baptista Research

  • Glencore PLC’s 2024 financial results reflect a robust operational year, with the company reporting an adjusted EBITDA of $14.4 billion, indicating strong performance across its industrial and marketing segments.
  • The industrial segment achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $10.6 billion, primarily driven by a healthy metals business despite challenging conditions in the metallurgical market.
  • The recent integration of the EVR coal business contributed significantly, adding $1 billion to EBITDA in the latter half of the year.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung SDI, Hyundai Rotem Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Clearing Up the Confusion: Ex-Rights Trading in Korean Rights Offerings
  • Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 14 April 2025)


Clearing Up the Confusion: Ex-Rights Trading in Korean Rights Offerings

By Sanghyun Park

  • Not much juice at ex-rights — price move’s small, and shorting’s risky with recall risk and having to compensate the lender for lost rights.
  • Some locals chase rights instead, but it’s not really a go-to trade with all the cost/efficiency uncertainty.
  • First round price pre–ex-rights sets the floor for arb margins and anchors rights pricing once they start trading — key level to keep in the playbook.

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 14 April 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 14 April. 
  • Our top 10 picks in the most recent bi-weekly was down 2.5% on average, outperforming KOSPI which was down 4.9% in the same period. 
  • The top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Binggrae, Hyundai Rotem, Krafton, Nongshim, SK Telecom, Hanwha Systems, APR, SK Inc, Korean Air, and Samsung Heavy Industries. 

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Daily Brief Singapore: Sembcorp Industries, Singtel and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Still Favor Defensives Until Market Dynamics Improve; EURO STOXX 50 Testing Crucial 5000 Level
  • Net Retail Buying Surpasses S$1.24B Amid Recent Volatility


Still Favor Defensives Until Market Dynamics Improve; EURO STOXX 50 Testing Crucial 5000 Level

By Joe Jasper

  • Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int’l Compass) we expected an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
  • But that all changed last week (4/1/25 Compass and 4/3/25 Int’l Compass), when we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious, citing several concerning developments.
  • Despite the 90-day pause, we remain cautious and we continue to favor defensives as long as the S&P 500 and ACWI-US are below their 200-day MAs.

Net Retail Buying Surpasses S$1.24B Amid Recent Volatility

By Geoff Howie

  • Retail investors net bought S$1.24 billion of Singapore stocks, while institutions net sold S$333 million over eight sessions.
  • STI Banks led net retail inflow with a 12.3% average decline; Telecommunications led net retail outflow, driven by Singtel.
  • Buybacks by primary-listed companies totaled S$265 million; 20 stocks with highest net retail inflow saw 12.0% average decline.

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Daily Brief United States: Chagee Holdings, Apple , Ainos , Capri Holdings , Harley Davidson, American International Group, Devolver Digital, SES AI Corp, Levi Strauss & Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Chagee Holdings Limited (CHA): Chinese Tea Company Moves Forward with IPO Despite Macro Risks
  • Chagee IPO: Trading at a Discount to Peers but with Geopolitical Overhang
  • Apple in Crisis Mode? Tariffs, Stock Wipeouts, and Supply Chain Shocks Shake Up the Tech Giant!
  • AIMD: Deep Dive into AI-Powered Smell in Semi Fabs and Robotics After Recent Partnerships
  • Capri Unstitched: A Versace Sale Could Unlock Value for CPRI
  • Harley-Davidson Is Losing Speed: Will A New CEO Fix The Sales Slump Amid Tariff Turmoil?
  • American Airlines Braces for Turbulence: Are Tariffs and Corporate Cuts Threatening Its 2025 Takeoff?
  • Devolver Digital — 2024 in line and 2025 to continue improvements
  • SES AI Corp. – 1Q25 Revenue Preview Demonstrates Continuing Traction on Commercialization
  • Levi Strauss Rides DTC Momentum—But Will Tariffs Dent the Denim Giant?


Chagee Holdings Limited (CHA): Chinese Tea Company Moves Forward with IPO Despite Macro Risks

By IPO Boutique

  • Chinese Tea Company is moving ahead with the IPO despite heavy Macro-Economic winds.
  • The company is seeking up to $412m with a high-end pricing and already includes $205m worth of buying on the cover of the prospectus.
  • There are. more questions than answers regarding this IPO due to the current uncertainty in the market. 

Chagee IPO: Trading at a Discount to Peers but with Geopolitical Overhang

By Nicholas Tan

  • Chagee Holdings (CHA US)  is looking to raise up to US$411m in its upcoming US IPO.
  • It is a leading premium tea drinks brand, serving healthy and delicious freshly-made tea drinks.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our initial thoughts on valuations. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Apple in Crisis Mode? Tariffs, Stock Wipeouts, and Supply Chain Shocks Shake Up the Tech Giant!

By Baptista Research

  • Apple Inc. is facing one of the most turbulent moments in its recent history.
  • Over the past week, the company has lost over $700 billion in market capitalization, relinquished its crown as the most valuable U.S. company to Microsoft, and seen its shares plummet by 23% across four trading sessions.
  • The sell-off comes on the back of escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, with President Donald Trump introducing a 125% tariff on Chinese imports—directly impacting Apple’s China-dependent supply chain.

AIMD: Deep Dive into AI-Powered Smell in Semi Fabs and Robotics After Recent Partnerships

By Water Tower Research

  • AI Nose for healthcare, industrials, and robotics. Ainos is digitizing smell with AI Nose to capture airborne chemical signatures, using AI-powered processes to immediately classify and identify scents in any environment.
  • Initially focused on healthcare, Ainos is developing a women’s health test, Ainos Flora with AI Nose, in addition to an elderly care project with Japanese partners to assist caregivers in monitoring seniors.
  • Ainos recently entered partnerships with ugo and ASE, expanding AI Nose development to robotics and industrial applications.

Capri Unstitched: A Versace Sale Could Unlock Value for CPRI

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Capri Holdings’ sale of Versace to Prada removes a structurally weak asset, shifting its balance sheet from net debt to net cash, simplifying its brand portfolio for sharper strategic focus.
  • Post-Transaction, Capri trades at just 4.4x EBITDA despite becoming a leaner, debt-free luxury group with two globally recognized brands — a setup primed for significant multiple expansion and investor re-rating.
  • A sum-of-the-parts valuation excluding Versace suggests Capri’s fair value is $30–33 per share, offering investors over 100% upside as the company pivots from portfolio fixer-upper to focused luxury contender.

Harley-Davidson Is Losing Speed: Will A New CEO Fix The Sales Slump Amid Tariff Turmoil?

By Baptista Research

  • Harley-Davidson is navigating a critical crossroads as it searches for a new CEO to replace Jochen Zeitz, who recently announced plans to retire after five years at the helm.
  • This leadership transition comes at a precarious time for the iconic motorcycle brand, which is grappling with a sustained decline in sales, intensifying macroeconomic pressures, and the looming threat of retaliatory tariffs—particularly from the European Union.
  • In 2024, global retail sales dropped by 7%, with international sales falling a steep 13%, reflecting a broader downturn in discretionary spending.

American Airlines Braces for Turbulence: Are Tariffs and Corporate Cuts Threatening Its 2025 Takeoff?

By Baptista Research

  • American Airlines is navigating a complex and turbulent operating environment as macroeconomic pressures, declining consumer confidence, and reduced corporate travel weigh heavily on the airline industry.
  • While the broader sector has been battered by a steep drop in airline stock valuations—American Airlines itself has declined 24% in the past month alone—American has nonetheless posted a strong financial performance in recent quarters.
  • In Q4, the carrier reported an adjusted pretax profit of $808 million and EPS of $0.86, beating guidance and contributing to a full-year adjusted pretax profit of $1.8 billion.

Devolver Digital — 2024 in line and 2025 to continue improvements

By Edison Investment Research

Devolver Digital’s H1 FY24 results saw a return to adjusted EBITDA profitability as the company and its peers adjusted to post-pandemic market conditions. The H224 results continued that trend and, with a higher proportion of royalty-free first-party intellectual property (IP) and higher-margin front catalogue products set for release this year, 2025 profits should be able to grow further. The Switch 2 release is another potential welcome boost for 2025, suggesting that consensus forecasts are relatively well underpinned in an otherwise challenging gaming market.


SES AI Corp. – 1Q25 Revenue Preview Demonstrates Continuing Traction on Commercialization

By Water Tower Research

  • SES announced on Tuesday that its 1Q25 revenue would be $5-5.8 million, in line with prior guidance (see our summary note from last quarter).
  • At that time, the company said that FY25 revenue would be $15- 25 million.
  • In it 1Q25 preview, SES sighted the same revenue streams it had previously called out: materials. discovery for EV batteries, sales of its 2170 Li-ion cells into the drone space, and the beginning of the commercialization of its technology for BESS for data centers.

Levi Strauss Rides DTC Momentum—But Will Tariffs Dent the Denim Giant?

By Baptista Research

  • Levi Strauss & Co. reported strong first-quarter fiscal 2025 results, exhibiting growth across key financial metrics amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • The company’s strategic shift towards a Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) model has begun to bear fruit, as evidenced by a 9% increase in organic net revenue, primarily driven by a 12% rise in DTC sales.
  • These results showcase the impact of successful new store openings, positive comparable growth, and robust e-commerce performance.

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Daily Brief China: Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited, Longfor Properties and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Troy Wong

  • Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited (JIRI) is looking to raise about US$140m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by CICC.
  • It’s a pre-revenue tungsten mining company with the world’s largest open-pit tungsten mine in terms of mineral resources of tungsten trioxide (WO3) in 2024, as per Frost & Sullivan (F&S).
  • Mining operation is conducted by a local subsidiary while JIRI is responsible for the processing operation and sales of the product to its customers.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Sunny Optical, Greentown China
  • In the US, the March CPI came in below estimates at negative 0.1% m-o-m (0.1% e / 0.2% p) and 2.4% y-o-y (2.5% e / 2.8% p). This was driven by lower energy costs, as well as a decline in discretionary spending such as airfares, used vehicles and hotels. Core CPI (excluding food and energy) slowed to 0.1% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% p) and 2.8% y-o-y (3.0% e / 3.1% p).

  • The White House has clarified that US President Donald Trump’s total tariffs on Chinese imports stands at 145%, comprising a 125% reciprocal tariff rate on top of the existing 20% duty imposed earlier in February and March.


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Daily Brief India: Paytm, Jindal Steel & Power, Delhivery , Max Healthcare Institute and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Paytm 2.0: Growth Triggers Loading…
  • The Beat Ideas: Jindal Steel & Power, A 31000Cr Mega Capex Plan
  • Event Driven: Delhivery Acquires Ecom Express as Distress Sale
  • Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Multi-Pronged Expansion Strategy Augurs Well for Sustainable Growth


Paytm 2.0: Growth Triggers Loading…

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Paytm (PAYTM IN) is pivoting post-regulatory setbacks with board overhaul, license reapplications, and focus on high-margin verticals like lending and merchant services.
  • Triggers like MDR revival, PPBL embargo removal, and PA license approval could significantly lift monetization, improve take rates, and stabilize investor sentiment.
  • While competition is stiff, structural improvements and cost controls position Paytm for a profitable rebound, making it a potential re-rating candidate in FY26.

The Beat Ideas: Jindal Steel & Power, A 31000Cr Mega Capex Plan

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • The company is in the final stages of commissioning its INR 31,000 crore capex plan, accompanied by strong promoter buying in recent months
  • The new capacity is expected to improve margins through deeper backward integration while also expanding its value-added product mix.
  • With secured fuel, captive power, and value-added downstream capacity, it is poised to emerge as an infrastructure powerhouse. A steel price recovery would further amplify gains.

Event Driven: Delhivery Acquires Ecom Express as Distress Sale

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Delhivery (DELHIVER IN) acquired a 99.4% stake in Ecom Express for ₹1,407 crore, months after Ecom’s failed IPO and rights issue raised similar funds.
  • The deal combines two logistics leaders, expands Tier-2/3 reach, and promises cost efficiency, route optimization, and stronger pricing discipline in India’s fast-growing B2C e-commerce logistics.
  • Despite red flags in Ecom and DRHP disputes, Delhivery may have picked up a distressed but strategic asset at a bargain, with upside from network and tech integration.

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Multi-Pronged Expansion Strategy Augurs Well for Sustainable Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) completed the acquisition of Jaypee Healthcare in last November, thereby adding 700 beds. Jaypee added INR1,120M revenue with an operating EBITDA of INR230M in Q3FY25.
  • Max is setting up ~500 bedded hospital at Thane, Maharashtra on an asset-light built-to-suit basis. The proposed construction of hospital premises is expected to be completed by 2028.
  • Current expansion plan indicates significant capacity ramp-up (20%+) in FY26, and majority of which will come by Q1, thereby generating scope for revenue realization for most part of the year.

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Daily Brief Japan: Suzuki Motor, Creek & River, Usen-Next Holdings Co Ltd, Aeon Fantasy, Fast Retailing, Yoshinoya Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Suzuki Motor (7269 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Creek & River (4763 JP): Full-year FY02/25 flash update
  • Usen-Next Holdings Co Ltd (9418 JP): 1H FY08/25 flash update
  • Aeon Fantasy (4343 JP): Full-year FY02/25 flash update
  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Profit Targets After Q2 Results
  • Yoshinoya Holdings (9861 JP): Full-year FY02/25 flash update


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the announcement of the US$1.1 billion secondary offering, Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)’s shares have remained broadly unchanged at the undisturbed price of JPY1570.5 per share (7 April).
  • It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Suzuki’s share performance is the joint best among recent large placements.
  • However, the shares have underperformed the Nikkei 225 index (up 7.9%). The offering will likely be priced on 14 April. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Creek & River (4763 JP): Full-year FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased by JPY476mn (+1.0% YoY), driven by growth in the Creative (Japan) segment, while operating profit decreased by JPY489mn (-11.9% YoY).
  • The company forecasts FY02/26 consolidated sales of JPY60.0bn (+19.3% YoY) and operating profit of JPY5.0bn (+38.3% YoY).
  • Year-end dividend forecast for FY02/26 is JPY45.0 per share, with a payout ratio of 38.9%.

Usen-Next Holdings Co Ltd (9418 JP): 1H FY08/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • 1H FY08/25 revenue increased 22.7% YoY to JPY186.8bn, with progress toward full-year forecast at 51.9%.
  • Operating profit rose 5.0% YoY to JPY16.6bn, with all segments showing growth except Communications & Energy.
  • Subscriber count for U-NEXT increased by 150,000, while former Paravi subscribers declined by 20,000 in 1H FY08/25.

Aeon Fantasy (4343 JP): Full-year FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • FY02/25 sales increased by 6.7% YoY, with operating profit up 21.2% YoY, but recurring profit declined 23.4% YoY.
  • FY02/26 forecasts sales of JPY92.2bn (+5.7% YoY), operating profit of JPY7.3bn (+68.0% YoY), and net income of JPY2.5bn.
  • The company plans to open new facility formats and expand in regional cities, focusing on profitability and efficiency.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Profit Targets After Q2 Results

By Nico Rosti

  • Mark Chadwick highlighted Fast Retailing (9983 JP) ‘s outlook in 2 recent insights, before and after Q2 earnings: his DCF model for this stock suggests roughly a +13% upside.
  • This week the stock rallied from the crash at the start of the week, closing a bit higher than the previous week (it had closed 1 week down, CC=-1).
  • Assuming the stock may rally further from here, pushed by good Q2 results, let’s have a look to our model to analyze some profit targets.

Yoshinoya Holdings (9861 JP): Full-year FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Consolidated sales reached JPY205.0bn (+9.3% YoY), with operating profit at JPY7.3bn (-8.4% YoY) and net income JPY3.8bn (-32.1% YoY).
  • The company forecasts FY02/26 sales at JPY225.0bn (+9.8% YoY), with operating profit expected to rise 1.3% YoY.
  • The company achieved JPY187.5bn sales in FY02/24, surpassing its JPY180.0bn target, due to agile menu price revisions.

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