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• Azure Revenue Growth: Microsoft’s Azure revenue soared 21% YoY to $26.7B in Q3 2024, driven by advanced AI capabilities and increased enterprise adoption.
• AI & Personal Computing: AI-driven Copilot+ PCs and hybrid AI solutions are reshaping the market, with AI-capable PC shipments projected to rise from 19% in 2024 to 60% by 2027.
• Gaming + Activision: The $68.7B Activision acquisition boosted gaming revenue by 51% YoY, with Game Pass subscribers exceeding 30M and expanding Microsoft’s position in cloud gaming.

• The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
• These indices are rebalanced quarterly. In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the September 2024 index rebal event.
• T50/100 index changes can also trigger TDIV index changes. Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT) could be involved in such a move in September 2024.

• The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
• In this insight, we take look at Quiddity’s expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the September 2024 index rebal event.
• We expect one deletion and we estimate the one-way capping flow to be US$289mn.

• We had a conference call with Silicon Motion; the leading global provider of NAND flash controllers and solid-state storage solutions for the consumer, enterprise, and industrial markets.
• We focus on how Silicon Motion is leveraging advantages of QLC NAND flash memory, which is becoming a critical memory solution for new AI servers, AI PCs, and AI mobiles
• Maintain Structural Long rating for Silicon Motion and $102 valuation. The company is in a leading position to benefit from the rising importance of advanced memory controllers for AI applications.

• Temairazu is a high-quality vertical SaaS company in Japan with impressive EBIT growth rates, presenting as an undervalued investment opportunity
• Japan’s software sector is flourishing with a higher number of listed companies compared to Western markets, offering fertile ground for small-cap opportunities like Temairazu
• With upcoming improvements in shareholder returns and a competitive landscape in sectors like accounting software, Temairazu has the potential to be a Japanese hidden gem for prospective investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) could price their secondary offering after market close today. The stock is down 10.5% since the rumors of the placement began 7 trading sessions ago.
• The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index (SOX INDEX) has been dropping over the last few days and is 8.6% lower over the last 8 trading days.
• Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) has been trading higher on expectations of index inclusion in August, but that could move to November now.

• TSMC guided Q324 revenues of $22.8 billion at the midpoint, up 9.5% QoQ and up 32% YoY
• Increased full year guidance to be above mid-20% YoY growth in US dollar terms
• Share price has declined ~14% from its 52 week high but still up >2x from its 52 week low. Many will view this pullback as a gift, we certainly do…

• ASML’s results last week indicated continued strength in the semiconductor industry. We analyze the results to identify any potential signs of weakening or pauses in global industry momentum for Taiwan.
• Net system bookings surged 54% QoQ and ASML reported rising utilization levels of its clients’ equipment. Inventory days rose significantly, but this is due to upcoming 2025 orderbook deliveries.
• New US, Europe, and Japan fabs bolster strong revenue outlook into 2026E. Overall, robust industry demand persists according to ASML’s latest data, with no major signs of softness.

• The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
• SOUTHBOUND inflow strong but SOEs not leading and Hang Seng down hard. Bank buying minimal. NORTHBOUND saw significant selling, but A-share indices generally strong on the week. Window-dressing?
• AH Premia rose 3.3% on average. Really bad week for H vs A as Liquid Hs underperformed their As by 4%. Stunning week really. Relative performance a sea of red.

• Taiwan Stocks Fall On Potential New U.S. Tech Restrictions for China & Potential Policy Shift from a Trump White House… Strong TSMC & ASML Results Fail to Rally the Sector
• Even Tighter Technology Restrictions for China?  — US Could Use Special Rule to Restrict Selling of Products Made by Foreign Companies
• We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up 

• SoftwareONE is currently considered a special situation case by the market, with its new Board of Directors being more receptive to a potential transaction, possibly above CHF 20/share.
• Compelling stock narrative: strong balance sheet (10.3% of market cap in net cash&equivalents), low valuation (8.7x EV/NTM EBITDA, 17.5x Fwd P/E), shareholder return policy (buyback and dividend), and ongoing recovery.
• My fair value estimate is CHF 20.04/share, which implies an undemanding 9.8x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA. SoftwareONE releases Q2 and H1 results on 21 August. Long.

• The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
• Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB +19.3bn of A-shares. NORTHBOUND sold everything. Consumer, Finance, and Energy hit hardest.
• Net flows as a percentage of value traded are clearly “short gamma”, but the net buys this week were of stocks previously a net sell. 

• Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)‘s smartphone shipments to India surged in Q2 2024, reclaiming the top spot, while Samsung slipped to third.
• Consumer discretionary sales, including smartphones, were weak during the quarter due to elections, subdued demand, and extreme weather.
• The upcoming festive season is crucial for sales, with customers anticipating new launches and better bargains. 5G device upgrades continue to drive growth in 2024.

• Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24, which is the most rapid growth among the global top five.
• Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share among the global top five.
• We believe the stock has an upside of 35% and the target price is HK$22.30 for the end of 2024.

• Com2Us’s net cash (including long-term financial investments) is 151% of its market cap. It is trading at P/B ratio of only 0.45x. 
• The company paid out 2,600 won in DPS in FY23. If we assume the same DPS, this would suggest a dividend yield of 6.7% at current price of 38,900 won. 
• Com2Us is a turnaround story. It had an operating profit of 1.2 billion won in 1Q 2024, improving from an operating loss of 13.3 billion won in 1Q 2023. 

• Zhihu Technology (ZH US) has launched a conditional share buyback offer to acquire a maximum of 46.9m Class A ordinary shares (15.93% of outstanding shares) at HK$9.11 (US$3.50 per ADS).
• The offer is conditional on shareholder approval by a majority of votes cast at the EGM. There is no minimum acceptance condition. The EGM vote is done due to irrevocables. 
• Zhihu’s share buyback returns 19% of cash not subject to government controls, below Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)’s comparable 34%. The minimum pro-ration is expected to be around 34%. 

• A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
• ECM developments: ASICS Corp (7936 JP) and Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) placements; Sanil Electric (062040 KS) and Timee Inc (215A JP) IPOs.
• Event-Driven developments China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK), Samson Holding (531 HK), Zhihu Technology (ZH US), Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB), Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB). 

• CrowdStrike, once hailed as a beacon of innovation in the cybersecurity sector, now finds itself at a precarious crossroads.
• Despite boasting a robust platform, impressive revenue growth, and high-profile clients, recent events have cast a long shadow over its future prospects.
• The global IT outage linked to CrowdStrike’s software has brought its skyrocketing valuation down but is there a rock-bottom in sight?

• Since the US$2.0 billion secondary placement announcement, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s shares are down 5.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,520 per share (8 July).
• Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Kokusai’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
• The offering will likely be priced on 22 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

• TSMC’s Q2 revenue hits NT$673.51 billion, exceeding expectations amid strong demand for advanced chips.
• TSMC to grapple with tight supply through 2025, striving to meet soaring global demand across various sectors.
• TSMC on track for 2025 mass production of 2nm chips, enhancing capabilities for more powerful and efficient technologies.

• Micron is sampling MRDIMMs for AI and HPC applications, exploring innovative solutions for data processing needs.
• Hyundai Motors plans to add 300 new charging stations to support the expansion of their hydrogen bus fleet, promoting eco-friendly transportation options.
• German electrification struggle worsens with supplier bankruptcy up 60%, hindering the widespread adoption of electric vehicles and renewable energy technologies.

• Zuora is considering a potential sale after receiving acquisition interest, with Qatalyst Partners hired to facilitate the process
• Founder and CEO Tien Tzuo and other large shareholders may participate in the transaction
• Potential deal price of $13-15 per share, offering 40-60% upside from current levels, with downside protection due to low valuation and improving cash flow outlook

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• Five9, a noted leader in cloud contact center solutions, has been facing activist pressure in order to explore a potential sale of the company after a decent quarterly result.
• Positively, Five9 reported a solid increase in subscription revenue, growing 20% year-over-year, which underscores its successful transition and dominance in the cloud-based contact center market.
• This growth trajectory is supported by three key trends: the ongoing shift to cloud-based platforms, heightened focus on customer experience enhancement, and revolutionary impacts of AI on customer services.

• This is a follow-up research note on MoneyHero Group, a leading personal finance aggregation and comparison entity in Greater Southeast Asia.
• In its most recent Q1 2024 result, the company continues to demonstrate exceptional growth and strategic agility.
• MoneyHero Group has seen a significant uptick in revenues and improved margins and was also in the news for an important strategic sale of CompareHero in Malaysia that could prove to be another game changer.

Esker reported Q224 year-on-year constant currency (cc) revenue growth of 14% and bookings annual recurring revenue (ARR) cc growth of 65%. Bookings more than doubled in the Americas, helped by a large upsell to an existing customer, and had double-digit growth in every other region. On the back of the strong order intake year-to-date, management confirmed that its expectations for FY24 were unchanged. We have made small upgrades to our forecasts to reflect the strong Q2 performance.

In H124, digital wallets/account-to-account (A2A) adoption continued, with revenue growth of more than 50% y-o-y. Carrier billing revenues were robust with double-digit growth. The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be broadly flat versus FY23 as Boku invests to support core back-end infrastructure. We have raised our revenue forecasts while trimming our EBITDA forecasts to reflect this investment, which should support stronger growth in the medium term. The company has appointed a new CFO, Rob Whittick, with immediate effect.

• KT’s foreign room has been exhausted due to value-up trading inflows, NPS selling shares, and KT canceling treasury stocks.
• Hyundai Motor may sell 0.5% of its KT stake, likely to overseas investors. KT’s 700,000 share cancellation will lower foreign ownership to the low-4% range, possibly below 3.75% by November.
• Focus on the stock price surge from ETF recall requests around the effective date, and note that passive outflow corrections typically occur afterward.

• TSMC expects sales to grow by mid-20% YoY in USD in 2024, compared to low to mid-20% previously.
• The N3/N5 capacity is very tight, and they are even working with customers for 2026 capacity requirements, while N2 is on track to enter MP in 4Q25.
• A16 will enter MP in 2H26, and it’s first process starts adopting backside power.

• Significant revenue guidance hike — TSMC reported 2Q24 results, increasing 2024E revenue growth guidance to exceed ‘mid-20’s’ percent, a significant hike from previous guidance.
• Management is low-balling LT margins — Latest figures and long-term margin color makes us believe that TSMC will be able to increase GM much higher than current official LT guidance.
• Signs of Apple expecting strong iPhone 16 sales — TSMC reported strength in smartphone end-applications and we believe this is reflective of Apple ramping up re: stronger iPhone volume expectations.

• Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) is forecasted to experience slight growth in 3Q24 compared to 2Q24.  
• Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) is expected to introduce AI PCs in 2024, while Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) scheduled for this product is anticipated to delivered in 2H25.  
• The shipment forecast for the Dimensity 9400 is approximately 5 million sets in 2H24.

• Dell Technologies (DELL US) is the main candidate for addition-transition with uncertainty arising from the ‘Multiple Share Classes’ criterion. Forecasted demand is ~$7bn and ~4 ADV.
• Williams Sonoma (WSM US) is one of the top candidates for addition-migration with uncertainty due to the migrations’ inconsistent market cap selection pattern. Forecasted demand is $840m and ~2.6 ADV.
• American Airlines Group (AAL US) is one of the main candidates for deletion with uncertainty due to price hence ranking fluctuations until cut-off. Forecasted supply is $290m and ~0.8 ADV.

• Author admires Brad Jacobs’ entrepreneurial success but questions high valuation of SilverSun Technologies
• Conversion of SSNT into stake in QXO implies optimistic market capitalization of $46 billion
• Author remains skeptical of QXO valuation despite Jacobs’ successful track record

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• XPeng and Baidu leading China’s autonomous driving technology advancements in 2023
• Malaysia’s semiconductor sector set for growth in 3Q24 with talent recruitment and AI integration
• Singtel partners with SK Telecom for 6G and AI innovation, while automakers persist in V2X development efforts

• RaaS Research Group has published an update report on ‘Know Your People’ regtech company, Kinatico (ASX:KYP) following its Q4 FY24 result which confirmed the company delivered NPAT of $0.8m for FY24, up 225% on FY23 and 60% ahead of our forecast.
• Q4 SaaS revenue jumped 40% on the pcp to $2.8m and was 12% ahead of Q3 and was ahead of our expectations.
• Transactional revenue of $4.5m for the quarter was flat on Q3 and down 12% on the pcp.

• RaaS Research Group recently interviewed Kinatico Non Executive Director Georg Chmiel on what attracted him to join the KYP board in September 2023.
• We discussed the merits of platform businesses and his experiences with technology platform companies.
• Mr Chmiel noted the merits of recurring revenues, including higher margins than one-time or transactional revenue, and lower costs as the platform becomes more scalable.

• Last night, the Board of Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)  announced an amalgamation with Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) and Tender Offers for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) (at THB 216.30) 
• And Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB) (THB 11.00) shares. This is really big news. It appears to try to cap years of re-arrangement of the capital structure. It’s complicated.
• But it is not fair. INTUCH shareholders lose 22% of earnings value per investment value in 2024. 20% in 2025. But, there may be a way to block it…

• The amalgamation will entail the ratios for allocations of shares in the NewCo to the shareholders of GULF and INTUCH as detailed below.
• The amalgamation process and the establishment of the NewCo are expected to be completed in 2Q25.
• The restructuring is aimed at reducing duplication in the shareholding structure and facilitating growth opportunities in the energy, infrastructure, and digital businesses.

• TSMC: +17.9% Premium; Rebounds After Brief Breakdown; Wait for Better Levels
• UMC: +1.8% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Premium at Current Level
• ASE: +5.5% Premium Represents a Major Breakdown; Can Consider Going Long

• KKR and KSP Kokusai Investments are looking to raise approximately US$1.7bn through an extended secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 22.3% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP). 
• We have looked at the lockup expiry and deal dynamics in our earlier notes.
• In this note, we talk about share price performance since then.

• In 2021, Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) made an offer to acquire all Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) shares at THB65/share. Singtel (ST SP) did not tender their then 21% stake.
• Now Gulf Energy Development (GULF) and Intouch Holdings (INTUCH) are looking to merge and that will result in VTO’s for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) and Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB).
• The merger will result in an inclusion to the SET 50 Index in the first quarter of 2025. There is the December rebalance before that.

• The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
• The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
• In this insight, we take a look at our latest rankings for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in December 2024.

• Google’s ad revenue growth consensus is 11.7% YoY in Q2, with some analysts projecting even higher, reflecting robust global digital ad spend trends.
• Google Cloud’s revenue reached $9.5 billion in Q1 2024, marking a 35% YoY increase and a 4x growth over the past four years. Q2 expected to see continued growth. 
• AI investments and innovations showcased at Google I/O aim to boost user experience and market leadership, with potential double-digit growth.

• GlobalWafers secures $400M from CHIPS Act to boost semiconductor production amid global chip shortage.
• Samsung intensifies focus on wearable device sales with new strategies to adapt to declining demand in market.
• Acer targets Indian smartphone market with white-label approach and Qualcomm teams up with Microsoft to innovate PCs using AI technology.

• ASML Holding NV has released its financial results for the first quarter of 2024, highlighting a combination of achievements and forecasts that paint a detailed picture of the company’s current and future trajectory.
• In terms of financial performance, ASML reported total net sales of EUR 5.3 billion, which aligns with the company’s previous guidance.
• The revenue from 11 EUV (extreme ultraviolet) systems constituted EUR 1.8 billion of the total net sales.

• EB has teamed up with TikTok in an integration that could lead to a sharp increase in new creators and overall traffic on EB’s marketplace.
• TikTok announced on its blog that EB has been integrated to allow content creators to manage and promote events within their TikTok content.
• The integration would enable followers to purchase tickets to creators’ events straight from TikTok without having to leave the platform.

• Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT) is looking to raise up to US$350m in its upcoming GDR offering. The firm is also looking to raise another US$300m via convertible bonds.
• In late Jun 2024, Gigabyte announced that it had received its shareholder’s approval to issue between 32-38m common shares via a GDR offering. 
• Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a long drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.

• Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT) is looking to raise up to US$307m in its global depository receipts (GDRs) offering. The firm is also looking to raise another US$300m via convertible bonds.
• Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
• In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

• Back on the 18th June, personal computer parts and accessories play PC Partner (1263 HK)  announced a SGX listing was under consideration; and a possible withdrawal of the HKEx listing.
• This development was discussed in PC Partner (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal.  PC Partner subsequently announced a privatisation would not accompany any proposed withdrawal (should it happens).
• My recent discussions with SFC confirms this is possible. And there was a recent precedent. But there may be caveats.

• SMCI has surged 214% YTD and will form part of NASDAQ-100 from 22/Jul topping $50 billion in valuation. Strategic partnerships with Nvidia & AMD boosted its AI server market presence. 
• Walgreens has declined 56% YTD with its market cap falling below $10 billion. Failing to maintain at least 0.1% of NASDAQ 100’s market value has led to its exclusion. 
• Historically, stocks added to indices outperformed briefly post-announcement. Although recent trend shows minimal outperformance, SMCI and WBA have shown strong trends due to idiosyncratic drivers.

• With 70% of the review period complete, 4 non-constituents are in inclusion zone and 5 constituents are in deletion zone.
• We estimate one-way turnover of 6.5% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.8bn (US$1.2bn). Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
• The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. With multiple days ADV to trade on the changes and the recent short selling clampdown, there could be further outperformance.

• Our valuation analysis suggests a base case implied market cap of 567 billion won or implied price per share of 41,450 won.
• This suggests a 3% upside to the high end of the IPO price range. We would not subscribe to this IPO due to lack of upside.
• Our base case valuation is based on P/E of 18.8x using the company’s net profit of 30.2 billion won in 2023.

• OneStream, the financial software maker and enterprise-focused technology company, set terms for its IPO and plans to raise ~$441M at the midpoint of the range at $18.00 per share.  
• The company was backed by American global investment company KKR, D1 Capital Partners, Investment Group of Santa Barbara and Tiger Global Management.
• The offering is attractively valued vs. peers given 30%+ growth rates at scale and cash flow generation. OneStream shares are expected to list on the Nasdaq next week.

• UL Solutions offers independent testing, inspection, and certification services globally as a newly listed company
• They are the only US-listed player in the TIC industry, making them a valuable investment option for potential compound growth
• With a strong brand and historical roots dating back to 1894, investors see ULS as a potential premium multiple due to their market position, revenue growth, and earnings growth opportunities.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

• Lenovo

• Intelsat’s secured bonds offer a potential short-term re-rating opportunity due to discussions of a merger with SES
• A merger with SES would benefit Intelsat’s equity owners by de-risking their investment and increasing liquidity for SES
• The Intelsat 6.5% 2030 secured bond could see a significant increase in value if a merger is announced, trading at a yield similar to SES’s <4.5%

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• There are a bunch of stocks that have underperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in August.
• The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of August where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
• Shorts have been built up on all the stocks over the last few months and the extent of the positioning varies across stocks.

• Nine companies disclosed value-up plans, with four official and five pending disclosures. Initially, these announcements boosted stock prices, but long-term correlations were inconclusive. Yet, shareholder returns notably rose in H1.
• NPS increased stakes in three of the nine recently announced value-up companies. They share traits in value-up trading (large caps & low PBR), potentially guiding our strategy as NPS enters.
• BlackRock’s Hong Kong branch has recently engaged with six Korean asset management firms for potential entrustment of its Asian fund’s Korean investment portion, focusing on the value-up policy.

• Money Forward released Q2 results post market close on Friday. Revenue growth of +41% YoY beat our estimates by 7%.
• We highlight continued solid financial metrics supported by growth in SaaS ARR and in particular mid-sized corporate growth.
• No change to our bullish long-term view on the company. Stock has run up around 11% ahead of earnings but we see further 20%+ upside from here. 

• Energy is scarce, thus, besides renewable energy, energy efficiency should also be the key focus. 
• Wasion Group Holdings (3393 HK) customers have grown from domestic grids to both non-grid and grid domestic as well as overseas customers (Latin America). 
• Despite a 65% YTD return, it is still trading at 11x PER, with a 4% dividend yield, 6x EV/EBITDA, and 1.2x PBR. 

• The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website.
• Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
• The key stocks mentioned in this regular insight include: Zhongsheng Group (881 HK), Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP), FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK), and Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT).

• With 70% of the review period now complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index at the close on 13 December.
• We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.3% at the rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY12.08bn (US$1.7bn). The Information Technology and HealthCare sectors gain at the expense of Industrials.
• The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI Smallcap 500 Index (SH000905 INDEX) since the start of the year with the outperformance gradually picking up.

• DCI Indonesia (DCII IJ) is Indonesia’s leading operator of Tier 4 data centres, which require the highest operational standards, with its main business in co-location services.
• The company has a long track record of growth in both sales and profits, making it more than a concept, with a well-thought-out expansion at its three existing data centres.
• DCI Indonesia is hard to justify on current valuations but has a strong track record on execution with a high pedigree management team and customer base, with backing from Salim.

• Lowya began as an online furniture retailer and is still one of the largest in e-commerce, but limited brand awareness has held it back and sales fell last year. 
• Vega Corporation, Lowya’s parent, is now expanding physical stores and offering omnichannel solutions to fix the problem.
• This makes sense in a market where stores remain preeminent and are likely to remain so.

• In Q1 FY02/25, TECMIRA reported revenue of JPY2.8bn (+53.7% YoY), operating loss of JPY42mn, and net loss of JPY31mn.
• Revenue growth was driven by strong sales of new Nintendo Switch software and first-time consolidation of Wellmira.
• AI & Cloud segment saw significant revenue increase due to AI chatbot services, while IoT & Devices segment grew 2.6x YoY.

• Investment opportunity in MOMO, Chinese ADR trading at 70% of net cash and 5x EPS/FCF
• Core business may be in decline, but management has shown good cost discipline and capital allocation
• Potential for MOMO to return $200m per year to shareholders, offering potential 50% return on investment as a cigar butt investment similar to HUYA success.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• There could be 18 changes at the December rebalance with the Industrials sector gaining 3 index spots and the Information Technology sector losing 5 spots.
• We estimate one-way turnover of 3.3% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 22.07bn (US$3bn). There are a lot of stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
• The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. There were ETF inflows last week amid a short selling crackdown as the Third Plenum kicks off.

• Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
• On the IPO front, there were a number of listing in the past week, most of which performed as per our expectations.
• On the placement front, Japan continued to dominate the ECM flows.

• Pateo Connect Technology (PTC HK) seeks to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by CICC, Guotai Junan, CMBI, Huatai and Citic Securities.
• Pateo Connect Technology (PCT) provides one-stop smart cockpit solutions and intelligent vehicle connectivity solutions. Its smart cockpit solutions enhance driving safety, convenience and connectivity, offering a more intelligent driving experience. 
• It offers OEM customers the flexibility to choose individual software and products or combine various components into a seamless and integrated smart cockpit solution. 

• Coherent Corp. is a maker of optical components with a focus on optical connectivity within GPU clusters
• Predicted 20%+ internal rate of return over a 3-year holding period due to secular adoption trends
• Emphasis on addressing interconnect bandwidth wall issue in data centers to improve data movement speed in relation to compute speeds

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• The Toyota Group cross-holding ecosystem is in flux. They started with a small announcement by Aisin (7259 JP) but moves have come fast and furious.
• Apparently minorities are grumbling to the SFC about the low-balled Offer for Asia Cement China (743 HK). And for good reason. The best course of action? Vote against the Scheme.
• Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS) is trading at a steep NAV discount. And the controlling family is making  a partial Offer to gain majority control. 

• I tally 46 – mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac – transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
• Four new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: Second Chance Properties (SCE SP)‘s VGO,Shinsung Tongsang (005390 KS)‘s Tender, Rex Minerals (RXM AU)‘s Scheme, and Canvest (1381 HK)‘s possible Offer.
• Key updates took place on Altium Ltd (ALU AU), Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), Asia Cement China (743 HK), Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK), and Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP).

• A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
• ECM developments: ASICS Corp (7936 JP), Honda Motor (7267 JP), Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) placements; Sanil Electric (062040 KS) and Timee Inc (215A JP) IPOs.
• Event-Driven developments: Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK), Hong Kong Television Network (1137 HK), Rex Minerals (RXM AU), Second Chance Properties (SCE SP).

• Chenqi Technology Ltd., operator of the ride-sharing platform OnTime, closed its first trading day in Hong Kong 3.14% below the offering price, after raising $124 million in its initial public offering.
• Chenqi’s shares closed at HK$33.9 ($4.3) each, recovering from a 14% drop during its debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The company’s market cap stood at HK$6.92 billion.
• Chenqi, also known as Ruqi Mobility, offered more than 30 million shares at HK$35 each in its IPO, raising a net HK$969 million.

• Endava’s recent fiscal performance and strategic initiatives highlight a dynamic period for the company as it navigates a challenging economic landscape marked by cautious client spending and macroeconomic uncertainties.
• The third-quarter results for the fiscal year 2024 saw a revenue figure of GBP 174.4 million, which represents an 11.8% decrease in constant currency terms year-over-year from GBP 203.5 million.
• This performance was within the expected guidance range but underscored the challenges faced by the technology services sector broadly.

• Marathon Digital Holdings recently reported their first quarter 2024 results, revealing a substantial transformation and strategic reorientation of their business model.
• The company has shifted from primarily an asset-light bitcoin mining operation into a diversified global entity focusing on digital asset computations with a strong emphasis on sustainability and inclusivity.
• A significant highlight of the quarter was Marathon’s acquisition and integration of fully owned bitcoin mining sites, a critical step towards gaining direct operational control and optimizing cost efficiencies.

• nCino, an advanced cloud-based software for financial institutions, has reported its first quarter fiscal year 2025 financial results, showing a year-over-year increase in total revenues to $128.1 million, which signifies a 13% rise from the previous year.
• Subscription revenues, forming 86% of total revenues, grew similarly by 13% to $110.4 million.
• Growth across various sectors of the business, especially in the U.S. enterprise and community and regional markets, contributed to these improved financial metrics.