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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Singapore: CTR Holdings, First REIT, Wing Tai Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: CTR Holdings (1416 HK) – Oct 2025
  • REIT Watch – Q3 reporting season kicks off with growth in distributions for S-REITs
  • Real Estate Directors Continue to Build Interests


Primer: CTR Holdings (1416 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • CTR Holdings is a Singapore-based contractor specializing in structural engineering and wet architectural works, primarily serving public and private sector projects in Singapore.
  • The company has demonstrated remarkable revenue and net income growth over the past three years, however, this has been accompanied by significant margin compression and a declining stock price.
  • While the forward outlook for the construction sector in its key markets shows moderate growth, the industry is characterized by intense competition, rising costs, and sensitivity to economic cycles, posing significant risks to sustained profitability.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


REIT Watch – Q3 reporting season kicks off with growth in distributions for S-REITs

By Geoff Howie

  • Six S-REITs reported growth in distributable income due to higher gross revenue, net property income, and decreased borrowing costs.
  • Digital Core REIT and Keppel DC REIT saw significant increases in NPI and distributable income, driven by acquisitions and demand.
  • Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Suntec REIT, and OUE REIT reported improved DPU, supported by stronger operational performance and lower financing costs.

Real Estate Directors Continue to Build Interests

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks with a S$57 million inflow, reversing a previous S$167 million outflow.
  • Eleven companies conducted share buybacks totaling S$13.6 million; United Overseas Bank led with 300,000 shares at S$34.57.
  • CapitaLand India Trust’s 3Q 2025 update is due Oct 31; recent divestments aim to enhance financial flexibility.

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Daily Brief India: Eternal, Orkla India Ltd., Integris Medtech Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Eternal: Blinkit Leads Scale-Up as Inventory Model Lifts Margins
  • Orkla India IPO: Reasonable Price Package; Need to Break the South Barrier to Spice Up Future Growth
  • Integris Medtech Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Eternal: Blinkit Leads Scale-Up as Inventory Model Lifts Margins

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Eternal Ltd’s Q2FY26 revenue surged 183% YoY to INR 135B, driven by Blinkit’s shift to an owned-inventory quick commerce model, a major operational transformation.
  • The new model boosts revenue and gross margins but pressures profits amid higher marketing costs, dark store expansion, and increased working capital needs.
  • Eternal is prioritizing scale over near-term profits, investing heavily to strengthen its long-term leadership in Q-commerce and digital retail.

Orkla India IPO: Reasonable Price Package; Need to Break the South Barrier to Spice Up Future Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Orkla India filed for IPO to sell shares worth INR16.7B. It is an “offer for sale” by the selling shareholders intending to sell 22.8M shares at INR 695-730 per share.
  • Orkla is a multi-category Indian food company with key product categories being Spices and Convenience Foods under two major brands, MTR and Eastern.
  • The IPO offer price range appears to be a more reasonable for the company considering the fact that it lags behind on many fronts when compared to its’ peers.

Integris Medtech Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Integris Medtech Limited (1234518D IN) is looking to raise about US$340m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI, Axis, Citi and IIFL.
  • Integris Medtech Limited is a diversified India-based global MedTech company engaged in the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of medical devices and laboratory solutions.
  • The Lab Solutions segment provides laboratory and clinical diagnostic products across hospitals and industrial labs. The Cardiovascular segment focuses on interventional cardiology devices used treatments of coronary artery disease.

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Daily Brief Japan: Nidec Corp, Ibiden Co Ltd, Kasumigaseki Capital, Ashimori Industry, Nikkei 225, JPY, Kosaido, Nintendo and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: 🚨Ibiden (4062 JP) To Replace Nidec (6594 JP) 🚨
  • [Japan Special] Ibiden (4062) Replaces Nidec (6594) In Nikkei 225 on Accounting – A VERY BIG DEAL
  • [Japan Offering] Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – BIG Primary for Big Plans
  • [Japan M&A/Activism] Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) Minimum Lower, May Be a Tough Call
  • Nikkei 225 (NKY) Outlook After Surprise Nov 5 Rebalance
  • Kasumigaseki Capital Placement: Primary Offering for Ambitious Expansion Plans
  • A Special Cross Asset Morning Update: Nidec, Ibiden, and BoJ This Week
  • Global FX: Japan focus, US/China, PMIs, Fed/ECB
  • Primer: Kosaido (7868 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Nintendo (7974 JP) – Oct 2025


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: 🚨Ibiden (4062 JP) To Replace Nidec (6594 JP) 🚨

By Brian Freitas


[Japan Special] Ibiden (4062) Replaces Nidec (6594) In Nikkei 225 on Accounting – A VERY BIG DEAL

By Travis Lundy

  • In June, Nidec Corp (6594 JP) announced they would delay the release of their yuho for three months because of an internal investigation into NIDEC FIR INTERNATIONAL (Italy).
  • In September they launched a special committee. Shares fell 22%. Last Thursday, the company cancelled its interim dividend. Today, the JPX designated Nidec as Security on Special Alert.
  • This is a VERY BIG DEAL. Nikkei225 deletes Nidec 5-Nov-2025, replaced by Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) (PAF 1.0x). Designation also triggers TOPIX deletion for Nidec, likely on 30 October. 

[Japan Offering] Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – BIG Primary for Big Plans

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) announced Aug-25 earnings and a combination ¥45-50bn primary+secondary offering worth 5.3mm shares, 6x ADV, and a float increase of 37%. Shares fell 15% today.
  • 2yrs ago they did a large offering. It went well. They’d had a ridiculous plan to grow OP 6x from ¥3.5bn to ¥20bn in 2yrs to Aug-26. Then by Aug-25. 
  • They got to ¥8.5bn in Aug-24 and now ¥18.9bn in Aug-25 and now guide to ¥26.5bn in Aug-26 (the original plan having been ¥20bn). 

[Japan M&A/Activism] Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) Minimum Lower, May Be a Tough Call

By Travis Lundy

  • In August, Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) announced a deal for Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) at 1.000x book value after writedowns. That was not a coincidence.
  • The takeover is cheap for what it is. No synergies were counted. But it wasn’t truly offensive. MURAKAMI Takateru aimed an activist broadside, bought 19.73% across four entities. Then stopped. 
  • The Bidder lowered the Tender Offer Minimum from 2.3081mm shares (38.29%) to 1.8001mm shares (29.86%). Shares dropped. As of 24-Sep, 2,111,226 shares had been tendered. This looks done. Maybe. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY) Outlook After Surprise Nov 5 Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • As reported by Brian Freitas, the JPX on Oct 27 suddenly announced that Nidec Corp (6594 JP) would be deleted from the Nikkei 225 and replaced by Ibiden (4062 JP).
  • The date  of replacement is November 5, the Nikkei will experience passive flows, in this insight we want to have a look at the possible moves caused by this catalyst.
  • At the moment the index is overbought, according to our models.

Kasumigaseki Capital Placement: Primary Offering for Ambitious Expansion Plans

By Nicholas Tan

  • Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP), is looking to raise US$250m in a primary placement.
  • The purpose is for financing of its medium-term management plan phase 2 which includes strengthening KC’s domestic hotel, logistics and healthcare businesses, and for expansions abroad (Dubai, US).
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

A Special Cross Asset Morning Update: Nidec, Ibiden, and BoJ This Week

By Jay Cameron

  • Japanese markets are seeing significant developments, including Nikkei 225 rebalancing with Nidec’s removal due to alert and Ibiden’s addition, impacting tracking funds, delta one trading strategies, and investors with position.
  • The BoJ’s cautious normalization path continues to shape the JGB curve, with a notable steepening in the long end affecting asset-liability management.
  • We detail the trades and execution of the trade idea, which may require special attention this week especially on the rebalance.

Global FX: Japan focus, US/China, PMIs, Fed/ECB

By At Any Rate

  • FX and gold oil ratio have decoupled this year, leading to low volatility and focus on US data, exogenous shocks, and geopolitics in FX trading.
  • Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi delivered a speech on economic policy, focusing on fiscal measures and debt reduction, without mentioning monetary or FX policy.
  • Despite interventionist stance of Takaichi and Finance Minister Katayama, it is unlikely they will strongly intervene in BOJ policy, with expectations of a rate hike next week due to economic and market developments.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Primer: Kosaido (7868 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Kosaido is undergoing a significant business transformation, shifting its focus from the mature printing industry to high-growth areas, particularly the funeral services and asset consulting businesses. This strategic pivot is driven by Japan’s aging population, which presents a substantial market opportunity for end-of-life services.
  • The Funeral Services segment, operated through its subsidiary Tokyo Hakuzen, is the primary growth engine. Holding a dominant market share of cremations in Tokyo’s 23 wards, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing mortality rate. Expansion of funeral hall capacity is a key pillar of their growth strategy.
  • While the legacy Information (printing) and Human Resources segments face challenges, management is focused on cost optimization and a return to profitability. The nascent Asset Consulting business, which provides inheritance-related services, is a promising high-margin venture that leverages synergies with the funeral business.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Nintendo (7974 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Nintendo is poised to enter a new growth cycle driven by the highly anticipated launch of its next-generation console, the ‘Switch 2’, which is expected to capitalize on the success of its predecessor.
  • The company’s key enduring advantage is its portfolio of wholly-owned, iconic intellectual property (IP) such as Mario, Zelda, and Pokémon, which fosters exceptional brand loyalty and drives both software and hardware sales.
  • While the outlook is positive, Nintendo faces significant risks from intense competition, the inherent cyclicality of the console market, and execution risk associated with the new hardware launch and sustained software pipeline.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Dian Swastatika Sentosa, United Tractors and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Plenty of Change with 4 Days to Trade
  • United Tractors (PUTKY) – Saturday, Jul 26, 2025


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Plenty of Change with 4 Days to Trade

By Brian Freitas


United Tractors (PUTKY) – Saturday, Jul 26, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • United Tractors, founded in 1972 and listed in 1991, is Indonesia’s largest heavy equipment distributor with exclusive rights for brands like Komatsu and Scania.
  • The company provides sales, parts, assembly, and repair services, and has diversified into mining and renewable energy sectors.
  • Its subsidiary PAMA leads in mining services, while United Tractors manages coal and gold mining assets and invests in renewable energy projects.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief United States: Intel Corp, Gold, Comcast Corp Class A, Westinghouse Electric Company, Dollar Index, Crude Oil, Honeywell International, Euronet Worldwide, CoreWeave and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel: You’re Buying Hopes of a Better 2027
  • Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets
  • Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA) To Spin-Off Versant: SOTP Favors the Breakup
  • Westinghouse Is Dominating the Rail Tech Game—How Its Global Strategy Is Paying Off!
  • Why The World Started Hedging Its US Dollar Exposure
  • Oil futures: Crude mixed, but steepest weekly gains since June
  • Honeywell International (Nasdaq: HON) To Spin-Off Solstice on October 30
  • SSOI Podcast: Colin King and I Discuss NATL, AMVO, and SOLS
  • COMEX Gold: Trading Gold’s Moment in the Options Market Spotlight
  • CoreWeave Inc (CRWV): Six Month Summary: AI Hyperscaler that Re-Priced the IPO Playbook


Intel: You’re Buying Hopes of a Better 2027

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 3Q beat on margins, is it price hikes or inventory? Growth comes from PC, not Data Center. 18A high enough yields driving a margins recovery is for 2027.
  • Unspecified ASIC and AI “new” strategy but the details in the conf call point strongly to x86 as the core.
  • The stock is very expensive, ie the market bets on a swift and sharp recovery. Lots of room for disappointment.

Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets

By The Commodity Report

  • Our strategy approach is to filter various information sources and apply our clear investment process on top of it.
  • There are two reasons for us to enter a trade: …our quant system tells us to do so …or we make a discretionary manager decision based on market fundamentals that the quant system will only grasp with a time-lag
  • While not only moving sideways, the oil complex is currently drastically underperforming other parts of the commodity complex.

Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA) To Spin-Off Versant: SOTP Favors the Breakup

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Comcast’s planned spin-off of Versant Media creates two sharper investment profiles – broadband and infrastructure (Comcast ex-Versant) versus content and networks (Versant) – enabling clearer strategic focus and capital discipline.
  • Post-Spin, Comcast retains $117B revenue and 30% margins, while Versant will have $7B media portfolio with 40% EBITDA margins.
  • Our sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation assigns 6.0× to Comcast and 8.4× to Versant, implying combined equity value of $146.5B, or $39 per share.

Westinghouse Is Dominating the Rail Tech Game—How Its Global Strategy Is Paying Off!

By Baptista Research

  • Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth in various operational metrics and continued strategic progress.
  • The company’s performance was characterized by an 8% increase in sales compared to the previous year, reaching $2.9 billion.
  • Both the Freight and Transit segments contributed to this growth, bolstered by the acquisition of Inspection Technologies at the beginning of the quarter.

Why The World Started Hedging Its US Dollar Exposure

By Odd Lots

  • Verizon Business offers a new My biz plan with customizable mobile options starting at $25 per line
  • Odd Thoughts podcast discusses big market stories, including the fall of the dollar, rise in gold prices, and enthusiasm for AI in the stock market
  • Hyun Sung Shin of the Bank for International Settlements discusses the unusual market trends of the year and their implications.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Oil futures: Crude mixed, but steepest weekly gains since June

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude prices were mixed Friday, but consolidated the sharp rally driven by new US sanctions on Russia’s top oil producers, as both benchmarks headed for their biggest weekly gain since June.
  • Front-month December ICE Brent was up to $66.01/b at 2011 BST, while December NYMEX WTI dipped slightly to $61.58/b , after jumping more than 5% on Thursday.
  • The pullback followed Washington’s sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, which together account for roughly half of Russia’s crude output and exports.

Honeywell International (Nasdaq: HON) To Spin-Off Solstice on October 30

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Honeywell will complete the tax-free spin-off of its Advanced Materials division as Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. (Nasdaq: SOLS) on October 30, 2025.
  • We value HON(ex-SOLS) at $228/share on a SOTP basis. We value Solstice at $60/share based on 10.9× FY2026E EBITDA of $1.0B, implying ~31% upside to the when-issued price of $45.75
  • SOLS has greater upside potential at current levels. Given its smaller market capitalization, index rebalancing flows post-listing could trigger near-term technical selling pressure, which may provide even better entry point.

SSOI Podcast: Colin King and I Discuss NATL, AMVO, and SOLS

By Richard Howe

During this episode of SSOI podcast, I spoke with Colin King of Circle City Capital. Colin runs Value Don’t Lie where he shares his highest conviction ideas. In this episode, Colin and I discuss NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL), Aumovio SE (AMVO), and Solstice (SOLS).


COMEX Gold: Trading Gold’s Moment in the Options Market Spotlight

By Jay Cameron

  • Global monetary shifts and diversification from the U.S. dollar are creating a favorable environment for gold, supported by central bank activity and strong physical demand.
  • The market is showing signs of declining volatility after a recent price drop, suggesting an opportune moment for strategic options trading.
  • Careful consideration of resistance levels and downside risks is key to optimizing this particular market strategy.

CoreWeave Inc (CRWV): Six Month Summary: AI Hyperscaler that Re-Priced the IPO Playbook

By IPO Boutique

  • CoreWeave priced a downsized IPO — 37.5 million shares at $40.00 — well below the marketed $47–$55 range.
  • He debut was muted (opened at ~$39 and closed at the $40 IPO price), but the stock ripped higher in the weeks that followed and peaked at $187 in June.
  • By late October CoreWeave ranked among the top performing 2025 IPOs, sitting behind Circle Internet Group and Karman Holdings in aftermarket returns.

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Daily Brief China: WeRide, Seres Group , Sany Heavy Industry, Tencent, Porton Pharma Solutions, Peric Special Gases, Seres Group, Mininglamp Technology and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • WeRide HK Listing: The Investment Case
  • Seres Group A/H IPO Pricing – Thoughts on Valuations
  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut
  • Tencent Holdings Ltd (TCTZF) – Friday, Jul 25, 2025
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec25: New Expected DEL Due to Liquidity; US$345mn One-Way
  • Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading – Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight
  • Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Valuation Insights
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Have Crossed the Border
  • Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Preview
  • Mininglamp Technology IPO: Inflection into Profitability but Priced at a Steep Premium


WeRide HK Listing: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • WeRide (WRD US), a provider of autonomous driving products and services, is seeking to raise between US$350 million through an HKEx listing.    
  • It was listed on the Nasdaq on 25 October 2024, raising US$120 million at US$15.50 per ADS. Since listing, the shares are down 31%.
  • The investment case centres around accelerating revenue growth, progress towards mass commercialisation and valuation in line with historical averages. However, the path to profitability remains uncertain.

Seres Group A/H IPO Pricing – Thoughts on Valuations

By Sumeet Singh

  • Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1.7bn in its H-share listing.
  • Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
  • We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

By Arun George


Tencent Holdings Ltd (TCTZF) – Friday, Jul 25, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Tencent has 1.4 billion users on Weixin/WeChat, establishing it as a leading digital platform.
  • The company is positioned to enhance monetization through AI integration across its services.
  • Despite its strengths, Tencent’s core business is undervalued, trading at 14 times the consensus 2026 earnings per share.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec25: New Expected DEL Due to Liquidity; US$345mn One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization, and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect up to six ADDs and six DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index review event based on the latest available data.

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading – Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing.
  • Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan.
  • We have looked at the past performance and valuation in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Have Crossed the Border

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI All Share Semiconductors Index represents the largest and most-liquid stocks in the Semiconductor Industry Group from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Exchanges.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect up to four ADDs and two DELs for the CSI All Share Semiconductors Index during this index review event based on the latest available data. Flows are small.

Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Seres Group is getting ready to complete its IPO on the Hong Kong exchange in the coming weeks that could raise about US$1.7 billion.
  • At the high end of the IPO price range of HK$131.50 per share, Seres would have a market capitalization of nearly HK$215 billion (about $27.6 billion).
  • Seres Group is one of the largest new-energy vehicle makers in China. There are 22 cornerstone investors that have committed to purchase approximately 49% of the offer.

Mininglamp Technology IPO: Inflection into Profitability but Priced at a Steep Premium

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Mininglamp Technology (1912140D HK) is looking to raise US$131m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Mininglamp Technology (formerly known as Leading Smart Holdings), is a data intelligence software provider in China, specializing in transforming enterprises’ marketing and operational decision-making through large model driven analytics.
  • In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performances and valuations.

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Daily Brief Industrials: IHI Corp, Vertiv Holdings Co, Gulf Navigation Holding, Sany Heavy Industry, United Rentals, CEA Industries , Trinity Industries, AddTech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Curator’s Cut: Japan’s Defense Drive, Asia’s Vision Opportunities & US Diagnostics Picks
  • IHI (7013 JP): SAR Satellite Deal Adds to Takaichi Trade
  • Vertiv Is Powering the AI Revolution—Can Its NVIDIA Collaboration Change the Game?
  • Gulf Navigation (GULFNAV UH): Upweight in Global Indices After Removal of Foreign Ownership Limit
  • ECM Weekly (27 October 2025)- Sany, Seres, PonyAI, WeRide, CIG, JST, Lenskart, Horizon, CRB
  • United Rentals’ Infrastructure Playbook: How the IIJA Is Driving Solid Demand!
  • Primer: CEA Industries (CEAD US) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Trinity Industries (TRN US) – Oct 2025
  • Addtech’s Smart Power Play: From Energy Expansion to Industrial Recovery!


Curator’s Cut: Japan’s Defense Drive, Asia’s Vision Opportunities & US Diagnostics Picks

By Pranav Rao

  • Welcome to Curator’s Cut — a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,000+ insights shared on Smartkarma. After a brief one-issue break, we’re back with fresh perspectives.
  • In this cut, we explore Japan’s renewed defense ambitions, Asia’s eyewear evolution, and US diagnostics’ next frontiers.
  • Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next

IHI (7013 JP): SAR Satellite Deal Adds to Takaichi Trade

By Scott Foster

  • New Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi aims to raise defense spending to 2% of GDP this fiscal year, two years ahead of the original schedule.
  • Takaichi also wants to accelerate investment in advanced defense technologies. IHI, which recently signed an agreement with ICEYE to build earth observations satellites, should be among the beneficiaries.
  • IHI’s sales and profit comparisons should turn positive during FY Mar-26. A 7-for-1 stock split effective October 1, 2025, makes the shares more attractive to retail investors. 

Vertiv Is Powering the AI Revolution—Can Its NVIDIA Collaboration Change the Game?

By Baptista Research

  • Vertiv Corporation reported robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, indicating strong growth across several metrics.
  • The company reported an adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.24, a 63% increase year-over-year, largely driven by enhanced operating profit margins, which stood at 22.3%, up from the previous year.
  • Organic net sales grew 28%, with the Americas contributing a substantial 43%, and the AsiaPacific (APAC) region also showing a strong performance with a 21% increase.

Gulf Navigation (GULFNAV UH): Upweight in Global Indices After Removal of Foreign Ownership Limit

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • On 4 August 2025, Gulf Navigation (GULFNAV UH) raised its foreign ownership limit from 49% to 100%, leveraging UAE’s growth as a global maritime and shipping hub.
  • Free float in Global indices is expected to increase from 49% to ~80%. 
  • Passive fund demand is anticipated from Global SmallCap indices in November and December.

ECM Weekly (27 October 2025)- Sany, Seres, PonyAI, WeRide, CIG, JST, Lenskart, Horizon, CRB

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, Hong Kong and India markets appear to be gearing up for a year end rush.
  • On the placements front, there were no large deals this week but we did have a look at the upcoming lockup expiries.

United Rentals’ Infrastructure Playbook: How the IIJA Is Driving Solid Demand!

By Baptista Research

  • United Rentals reported its third-quarter results, showcasing some notable achievements alongside challenges that could impact its future performance.
  • The company experienced record revenue and adjusted EBITDA due to robust demand, particularly from large projects and key verticals.
  • Total revenue increased by 5.9% year-over-year to $4.2 billion, with rental revenue rising by 5.8% to $3.7 billion.

Primer: CEA Industries (CEAD US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • CEA Industries is a provider of environmental control systems and services for the controlled environment agriculture (CEA) industry, currently undergoing a strategic pivot with a pending acquisition of Fat Panda, marking a significant entry into the vape market.
  • The global CEA market is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing demand for locally sourced, sustainable food production and advancements in agricultural technology. This provides a strong tailwind for companies operating in this sector.
  • The company recently reported a year-over-year increase in revenue and a positive gross profit in Q1 2025, indicating some operational improvements. However, it also saw a wider net loss due to acquisition-related costs and has a history of negative earnings.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Trinity Industries (TRN US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Trinity Industries stands as a leading North American railcar manufacturer and lessor, uniquely positioned with an integrated business model that combines manufacturing (Rail Products Group) with a large, high-utilization leasing fleet (Railcar Leasing and Services Group). This model provides a mix of cyclical manufacturing revenues and stable, recurring lease income.
  • The company is navigating a challenging period marked by softening railcar demand and economic uncertainty, which has impacted recent financial performance and led to a conservative outlook. Management is focused on operational efficiencies, cost savings, and optimizing its lease fleet to enhance shareholder value.
  • Trinity’s significant financial leverage is a key risk, making the company susceptible to interest rate fluctuations and economic downturns. However, its strong market position, substantial backlog, and consistent dividend growth offer a degree of stability for investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Addtech’s Smart Power Play: From Energy Expansion to Industrial Recovery!

By Baptista Research

  • Addtech AB has reported a solid start to the fiscal year, characterized by growth in revenue and profitability in its first quarter.
  • The company, which operates a decentralized model encompassing 150 independent companies across 20 countries, delivered net sales growth of 7%, with acquisitions playing a crucial role in driving this expansion.
  • Organic growth, however, contributed just 1% to the overall increase.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Rio Tinto , NOF, Balchem Corp, Denison Mines , CNOOC Ltd, NexTier Oilfield Solutions , SandRidge Energy , Weatherford International , Cabot Corp, Gulf Island Fabrication and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Capping Changes
  • Shorting NOF (4403) Just Now Is Probably a Very Bad Idea
  • Balchem Corporation: Human Nutrition & Specialty Products Can Drive Future Growth!
  • Primer: Denison Mines (DNN US) – Oct 2025
  • A/H Premium Tracker (2 Wks to 24 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly; High Div SOEs
  • Primer: NexTier Oilfield Solutions (NEX US) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: SandRidge Energy ( SD US) – Oct 2025
  • Weatherford International: The Progress in Digital
  • Primer: Cabot Corp (CBT US) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI US) – Oct 2025


Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Capping Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are two additions for the index and there will also be capping changes for some stocks.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 26.3% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$813m. There are some stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
  • The index has broken out of the secular downtrend, but investors continue to redeem units from the ETFs tracking the index.

Shorting NOF (4403) Just Now Is Probably a Very Bad Idea

By Michael Allen

  • Japan’s defense budget may be set to surge by about 50%, making NOF’s ammunition business a hot theme.
  • Be careful though. NOF’s munitions segment faces production limits and slow capacity expansion, capping near-term profit growth even with new defense spending.
  • We think NOF is overvalued, even as we acknowledge consensus forecasts are probably too low. But shorting now would probably just be fighting the tape. Save this idea for later.

Balchem Corporation: Human Nutrition & Specialty Products Can Drive Future Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Balchem Corporation reported robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, setting record figures across key financial metrics.
  • The company achieved consolidated sales of $268 million, which marked an 11.5% increase from the prior year, and delivered record earnings from operations at $55 million, reflecting a 13.7% rise.
  • This resulted in a net income of $40 million, up by 19.1%.

Primer: Denison Mines (DNN US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Denison Mines is a leading Canadian uranium development company, strategically positioned to capitalize on the resurgence of nuclear energy through its portfolio of high-grade assets in the Athabasca Basin, the world’s premier uranium district.
  • The flagship Wheeler River project, the largest undeveloped uranium project in the eastern Athabasca Basin, is being de-risked with the Phoenix deposit slated to be Canada’s first In-Situ Recovery (ISR) uranium mine, promising potentially industry-leading low operating costs.
  • As a pre-production entity, Denison represents a high-risk, high-reward investment proposition, with its valuation heavily dependent on the successful development of its assets, regulatory approvals, and the volatile price of uranium.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


A/H Premium Tracker (2 Wks to 24 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly; High Div SOEs

By Travis Lundy

  • The last two weeks have seen “Beautiful Skew” behave badly across the ten trading days. CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) is trading too wide for its div into year-end.
  • The long reco on Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) two weeks ago saw the H-share rise 6.8% from the next day through Friday, and the H OUTperformed its A by 2.62%.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.

Primer: NexTier Oilfield Solutions (NEX US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Transformative Merger: NexTier’s merger with Patterson-UTI Energy has created a leading, integrated North American drilling and completions powerhouse with an enterprise value of approximately $5.4 billion. This combination is expected to generate significant synergies and enhance free cash flow generation.
  • Strong Financial Rebound: The company has demonstrated a robust recovery from the 2020 industry downturn, with significant year-over-year growth in revenue and a return to strong profitability and free cash flow generation in 2022 and the first half of 2023.
  • Shareholder Return Focus: The combined entity is committed to a strong shareholder return policy, targeting the distribution of at least 50% of its free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: SandRidge Energy ( SD US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • SandRidge Energy is a debt-free, independent oil and gas company focused on the Mid-Continent region of the U.S., primarily Oklahoma and Kansas, with a strategy centered on low-cost operations and shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
  • The company has shifted from a growth-oriented model to one focused on maximizing value from its existing low-decline asset base, supplemented by bolt-on acquisitions like the recent Cherokee play assets in the Western Anadarko Basin.
  • Financial performance is highly sensitive to volatile commodity prices; while recent years have shown strong profitability and the initiation of a dividend, revenue has been on a declining trend, reflecting a mature asset base and strategic shifts away from aggressive drilling.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Weatherford International: The Progress in Digital

By Baptista Research

  • Weatherford International’s third-quarter 2025 performance exceeded expectations, demonstrating resilience despite ongoing market challenges.
  • The company navigated a soft macroeconomic environment and operational headwinds, showing slight sequential growth in North America due to a seasonal boost in Canadian activity and a modest recovery in offshore businesses, although offset by a decline in U.S. land operations.
  • Latin America marked a 10% revenue increase, primarily in Mexico, suggesting emerging stability after prior declines.

Primer: Cabot Corp (CBT US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Cabot Corp is a leading global specialty chemicals and performance materials company, holding strong market positions in its core segments of Reinforcement Materials and Performance Chemicals.
  • The company is strategically focused on driving growth through innovation in high-performance applications, such as battery materials for electric vehicles, and expanding its portfolio of sustainable and circular products.
  • Strong financial performance is characterized by robust cash flow generation, improving profitability margins, and a consistent track record of returning capital to shareholders through dividends.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI) has successfully executed a strategic turnaround, shifting from significant losses in 2023 to profitability in 2024, driven by improved project execution and cost controls within its core fabrication business.
  • The company is strategically positioning itself to capitalize on growth in the renewable energy sector, particularly offshore wind, leveraging its decades of experience in complex offshore steel structures for the oil and gas industry.
  • While the financial recovery is notable, GIFI faces risks tied to the cyclical nature of the energy and infrastructure sectors, project-based revenue concentration, and intense competition, making sustained profitability and growth contingent on continued operational excellence and securing a consistent project backlog.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Utilities: NextEra Energy Partners LP and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: NextEra Energy Partners LP (NEP US) – Oct 2025


Primer: NextEra Energy Partners LP (NEP US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • NextEra Energy Partners (NEP) is a growth-oriented limited partnership formed by NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) to own and operate a portfolio of contracted clean energy projects, primarily wind and solar, as well as natural gas pipelines.
  • The company’s business model has been significantly challenged by the high interest rate environment, which has increased its cost of capital and forced a reduction in its distribution growth targets, impacting its ability to act as a primary funding vehicle for NEE.
  • While NEP benefits from a strong sponsor relationship with NEE, providing a pipeline for growth, and stable cash flows from long-term contracts, its high leverage and dependence on capital markets for acquisitions create significant risks for investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Industrials: IHI Corp, Vertiv Holdings Co, Gulf Navigation Holding, Sany Heavy Industry, United Rentals, CEA Industries , Trinity Industries, AddTech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Curator’s Cut: Japan’s Defense Drive, Asia’s Vision Opportunities & US Diagnostics Picks
  • IHI (7013 JP): SAR Satellite Deal Adds to Takaichi Trade
  • Vertiv Is Powering the AI Revolution—Can Its NVIDIA Collaboration Change the Game?
  • Gulf Navigation (GULFNAV UH): Upweight in Global Indices After Removal of Foreign Ownership Limit
  • ECM Weekly (27 October 2025)- Sany, Seres, PonyAI, WeRide, CIG, JST, Lenskart, Horizon, CRB
  • United Rentals’ Infrastructure Playbook: How the IIJA Is Driving Solid Demand!
  • Primer: CEA Industries (CEAD US) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Trinity Industries (TRN US) – Oct 2025
  • Addtech’s Smart Power Play: From Energy Expansion to Industrial Recovery!


Curator’s Cut: Japan’s Defense Drive, Asia’s Vision Opportunities & US Diagnostics Picks

By Pranav Rao

  • Welcome to Curator’s Cut — a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,000+ insights shared on Smartkarma. After a brief one-issue break, we’re back with fresh perspectives.
  • In this cut, we explore Japan’s renewed defense ambitions, Asia’s eyewear evolution, and US diagnostics’ next frontiers.
  • Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next

IHI (7013 JP): SAR Satellite Deal Adds to Takaichi Trade

By Scott Foster

  • New Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi aims to raise defense spending to 2% of GDP this fiscal year, two years ahead of the original schedule.
  • Takaichi also wants to accelerate investment in advanced defense technologies. IHI, which recently signed an agreement with ICEYE to build earth observations satellites, should be among the beneficiaries.
  • IHI’s sales and profit comparisons should turn positive during FY Mar-26. A 7-for-1 stock split effective October 1, 2025, makes the shares more attractive to retail investors. 

Vertiv Is Powering the AI Revolution—Can Its NVIDIA Collaboration Change the Game?

By Baptista Research

  • Vertiv Corporation reported robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, indicating strong growth across several metrics.
  • The company reported an adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.24, a 63% increase year-over-year, largely driven by enhanced operating profit margins, which stood at 22.3%, up from the previous year.
  • Organic net sales grew 28%, with the Americas contributing a substantial 43%, and the AsiaPacific (APAC) region also showing a strong performance with a 21% increase.

Gulf Navigation (GULFNAV UH): Upweight in Global Indices After Removal of Foreign Ownership Limit

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • On 4 August 2025, Gulf Navigation (GULFNAV UH) raised its foreign ownership limit from 49% to 100%, leveraging UAE’s growth as a global maritime and shipping hub.
  • Free float in Global indices is expected to increase from 49% to ~80%. 
  • Passive fund demand is anticipated from Global SmallCap indices in November and December.

ECM Weekly (27 October 2025)- Sany, Seres, PonyAI, WeRide, CIG, JST, Lenskart, Horizon, CRB

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, Hong Kong and India markets appear to be gearing up for a year end rush.
  • On the placements front, there were no large deals this week but we did have a look at the upcoming lockup expiries.

United Rentals’ Infrastructure Playbook: How the IIJA Is Driving Solid Demand!

By Baptista Research

  • United Rentals reported its third-quarter results, showcasing some notable achievements alongside challenges that could impact its future performance.
  • The company experienced record revenue and adjusted EBITDA due to robust demand, particularly from large projects and key verticals.
  • Total revenue increased by 5.9% year-over-year to $4.2 billion, with rental revenue rising by 5.8% to $3.7 billion.

Primer: CEA Industries (CEAD US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • CEA Industries is a provider of environmental control systems and services for the controlled environment agriculture (CEA) industry, currently undergoing a strategic pivot with a pending acquisition of Fat Panda, marking a significant entry into the vape market.
  • The global CEA market is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing demand for locally sourced, sustainable food production and advancements in agricultural technology. This provides a strong tailwind for companies operating in this sector.
  • The company recently reported a year-over-year increase in revenue and a positive gross profit in Q1 2025, indicating some operational improvements. However, it also saw a wider net loss due to acquisition-related costs and has a history of negative earnings.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Trinity Industries (TRN US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Trinity Industries stands as a leading North American railcar manufacturer and lessor, uniquely positioned with an integrated business model that combines manufacturing (Rail Products Group) with a large, high-utilization leasing fleet (Railcar Leasing and Services Group). This model provides a mix of cyclical manufacturing revenues and stable, recurring lease income.
  • The company is navigating a challenging period marked by softening railcar demand and economic uncertainty, which has impacted recent financial performance and led to a conservative outlook. Management is focused on operational efficiencies, cost savings, and optimizing its lease fleet to enhance shareholder value.
  • Trinity’s significant financial leverage is a key risk, making the company susceptible to interest rate fluctuations and economic downturns. However, its strong market position, substantial backlog, and consistent dividend growth offer a degree of stability for investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Addtech’s Smart Power Play: From Energy Expansion to Industrial Recovery!

By Baptista Research

  • Addtech AB has reported a solid start to the fiscal year, characterized by growth in revenue and profitability in its first quarter.
  • The company, which operates a decentralized model encompassing 150 independent companies across 20 countries, delivered net sales growth of 7%, with acquisitions playing a crucial role in driving this expansion.
  • Organic growth, however, contributed just 1% to the overall increase.

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The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

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