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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief India: Bharat Electronics, Schloss Bangalore Ltd, Kotak Mahindra Bank, CARE Ratings, Borosil Renewables, Indusind Bank, JSW Energy Ltd, Precot and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank
  • Schloss Bangalore IPO – Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised
  • Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): A Relative Value Play
  • CARE Ratings Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Performance Driven by Ratings and Diversification Gains
  • Borosil Renewables Q4 FY25 Update: Domestic Strength Shines Amidst Overseas Challenges
  • IndusInd Bank: Auditors Caught Napping
  • JSW Energy Q4 FY25 & FY25 Update: Powering Ahead with Landmark Capacity Expansion
  • Business Breakdown: Precot Limited – A Strategic Weave of Yarn and Technical Textiles


SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

By Brian Freitas


Schloss Bangalore IPO – Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised

By Akshat Shah

  • Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$600m.
  • It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates.

Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): A Relative Value Play

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • While one of the two companies displays higher revenue growth, the valuation might begin to become stretched. Fundamental key figures are provided to complement the statistical analysis.
  • Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.

CARE Ratings Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Performance Driven by Ratings and Diversification Gains

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • CARE Ratings achieved its highest-ever standalone and consolidated income and profitability in FY25, significantly improving margins across the group.
  • The results validate the effectiveness of the company’s quality-led growth strategy, operational efficiencies, and strategic investments in non-ratings and international businesses.
  • The performance reinforces confidence in Care’s ability to outpace the industry and achieve its diversification targets, supported by strong execution and market positioning.

Borosil Renewables Q4 FY25 Update: Domestic Strength Shines Amidst Overseas Challenges

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Definitive anti-dumping duty (ADD) imposed on solar glass imports from China and Vietnam until December 2029; Standalone Indian operations showed significant improvement in Q4 and FY25.  
  • The ADD provides a stable pricing environment and growth catalyst for domestic solar glass manufacturing. Improved domestic performance underscores resilience despite international market volatility.  
  • Reinforces a positive outlook for the Indian business due to favorable regulatory support and robust demand. However, the German subsidiary’s performance remains a key monitorable.

IndusInd Bank: Auditors Caught Napping

By Nitin Mangal

  • Indusind Bank (IIB IN) released their Q4 and FY25 results, which highlighted further episodes of bizarre accounting plays. 
  • The cumulative impact of material accounting adjustments was INR 26 bn, enough to engulf profits by 50% for the year. 
  • Noting the same, management and auditors, which were left blindfolded, suggested a possible fraud committed against the bank.

JSW Energy Q4 FY25 & FY25 Update: Powering Ahead with Landmark Capacity Expansion

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • FY25 was a landmark year for JSW Energy Ltd (JSW IN), crossing 10 GW operational capacity, driven by record wind additions and strategic acquisitions of KSK Mahanadi and O2 Power.
  • The aggressive inorganic and organic expansion, coupled with a strong focus on energy storage, positions JSW Energy as a diversified player in India’s evolving power landscape, balancing baseload and renewables.  
  • The disciplined capital allocation, robust project pipeline, and strong execution capabilities, despite high leverage, reinforce confidence in achieving the ambitious ’30 by 30′ target and long-term value creation.

Business Breakdown: Precot Limited – A Strategic Weave of Yarn and Technical Textiles

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Precot (PRTM IN) has shifted focus from its spinning division to the high-margin Technical Textiles, with EBITDA margins in this rising to 33% in 1HFY25 from 26% in FY24.
  • This shift towards TT has transformed Precot’s revenue mix, improving profitability and reducing reliance on the cyclical spinning business. However, the company faces customer concentration risk in the TT segment.
  • With the TT segment now driving 76% of total EBITDA in 1HFY25, Precot’s growth strategy is clearly focused on margin expansion, making it a resilient player in the textile sector.

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Daily Brief United States: Vulcan Materials Co, VEON, Liberty Media -Liberty For, Crude Oil, Copper, Tuya Inc, Marqeta , Carrier Global , MNTN, Newton Golf Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Vulcan Materials: Rock On – [Business Breakdowns, REPLAY]
  • VEON (VEON US): Digital Momentum Builds as Kyivstar IPO and Fintech Unlocks Take Shape
  • Formula 1 CEO: Sport Evolution, Elite Drivers and Full-Speed Leadership
  • [ETP 2025/21] WTI Slips on Oversupply Fears, Henry Hub Hit by Mild Weather and Storage Surge
  • The Drill – The Commodity “Super”cycle
  • Tuya, Inc. – 1Q25 Revenue Up 21% and Gross Margin Up 70 Basis Points in a Roller Coaster Environment
  • Marqeta (MQ): Dinosaur of a Payments Processor
  • Carrier Global’s Localization & Dual Sourcing Strategy—Can It Outpace Global Disruptions?
  • MNTN Inc. (MNTN) – Marketing IPO Meets Investor Eye; Jumps 65% on Day One
  • NWTG: Newton Golf Reports Strong 1st Quarter 2025 Revenue Growth.


Vulcan Materials: Rock On – [Business Breakdowns, REPLAY]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Vulcan Materials is a major player in the construction aggregates market, providing the foundation for buildings, roads, and infrastructure in the United States.
  • The company owns and operates quarries across the country, with a market cap close to $30 billion.
  • Aggregates are essential for asphalt and concrete production, with Vulcan playing a crucial role in supplying this key material for construction projects.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


VEON (VEON US): Digital Momentum Builds as Kyivstar IPO and Fintech Unlocks Take Shape

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • VEON returned to billion-dollar quarterly revenue in 1Q25; EBITDA grew 13.7% YoY on strong digital execution.
  • Digital revenues rose 50% YoY, now 14.3% of group total.
  • Kyivstar IPO on track for 3Q25 at US$2.3bn valuation; fintech optionality in Bangladesh and Ukraine emerging.

Formula 1 CEO: Sport Evolution, Elite Drivers and Full-Speed Leadership

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • F1 is evolving to be more than just a sport, focusing on entertainment and business development
  • The fan base is becoming younger and more diverse, with 40% women and 60% men, average age 35
  • F1 is balancing historic venues with new races, aiming for 24 races per season and considering new markets in Asia and Africa

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


[ETP 2025/21] WTI Slips on Oversupply Fears, Henry Hub Hit by Mild Weather and Storage Surge

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 16/May, U.S. crude inventories grew by 1.3m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.9m barrel fall). Similarly, gasoline and distillate stockpiles unexpectedly rose.
  • The EIA reported a 120 Bcf storage build, exceeding analyst forecasts of an 118 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 3.9% above the five-year average.
  • Barclays initiated coverage on Saudi Aramco with an ‘Overweight’ rating. Jefferies downgraded BP to ‘Hold’ from ‘Buy’, and Citigroup lifted its price target on Occidental Petroleum.

The Drill – The Commodity “Super”cycle

By Andreas Steno

  • Greetings from Copenhagen.
  • We’ve previously advocated a long tilt toward commodities, as both the U.S. and global growth outlooks are being repriced amid the reopening of trade and the sudden realization that the U.S., China, and even Europe have collectively slammed the deficit accelerator—rather than the brakes.
  • Everywhere you look, countries are ramping up fiscal spending to cushion the blow of tariffs.

Tuya, Inc. – 1Q25 Revenue Up 21% and Gross Margin Up 70 Basis Points in a Roller Coaster Environment

By Water Tower Research

  • Tuya delivered a strong 1Q25, outperforming seasonal trends, with a record GAAP net profit of $11.0 million and a net margin of 14.8% (more than 20 percentage points higher Y/Y).
  • Non-GAAP net profit also surged to $19.3 million, with margins reaching an impressive 25.8%.
  • The company’s success reflects disciplined expense control, strong revenue momentum across all segments, and a growing emphasis on AI-driven solutions. 

Marqeta (MQ): Dinosaur of a Payments Processor

By J Capital Research

  • The Marqeta house of cards may come tumbling down: an FBI investigation could prompt MQ to lose up to 70% of its business.
  • Future revenue looks​ weak for this “dinosaur” of a payments-processing company.
  • Marqeta (MQ) is (mostly) a payment processor. MQ helps fintechs host their own payments tools by contracting with a Banking as a Service (BaaS) partner bank to manage client deposits. 

Carrier Global’s Localization & Dual Sourcing Strategy—Can It Outpace Global Disruptions?

By Baptista Research

  • Carrier Global Corporation reported a robust performance for the first quarter of 2025, showcasing strong results across various segments despite facing some challenges in certain areas.
  • The company, which specializes in HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning), refrigeration, and fire and security solutions, provided a comprehensive view of its financial performance, including significant areas of growth and concern, setting the stage for the remainder of the year.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

MNTN Inc. (MNTN) – Marketing IPO Meets Investor Eye; Jumps 65% on Day One

By IPO Boutique

  • MNTN priced a full-size deal of 11.7mm shares at the high-end of the range, $16.00, and opened at $21.00 for a gain of 31.3% at first trade. 
  • The fireworks continued as the stock traded to a high of $26.88 before closing its opening session at $26.36 for a first day return of 65%.
  • The deal was considered multiple-times oversubscribed and our sources stated that the final deal finished north of 12-times oversubscribed.

NWTG: Newton Golf Reports Strong 1st Quarter 2025 Revenue Growth.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Newton Golf (NASDAQ: NWTG) is an innovative, technology driven golf company with a growing portfolio of golf products, including putters, golf shafts, golf grips, and other golf-related accessories.
  • The company went public in August 2023 raising $11.6 million in net proceeds.
  • The company announced its entry into the golf shaft market in November 2023.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): BHP and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): BHP, Asx, Westpac, Northern Star Resources
  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 23rd): Tencent, Bilibili, AIA


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): BHP, Asx, Westpac, Northern Star Resources

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 16th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.3bn.
  • We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Asx, Westpac, Northern Star Resources, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Santos.

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 23rd): Tencent, Bilibili, AIA

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), AIA (1299 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK).

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Daily Brief ESG: Without a Disciplined Cash Allocation in a Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Without a Disciplined Cash Allocation in a Company, Share Repurchases Are Welcome to Investors


Without a Disciplined Cash Allocation in a Company, Share Repurchases Are Welcome to Investors

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since most Japanese companies at this point have more cash on hand than they need, it is only natural that they will step up shareholder returns, including share buybacks.
  • The reason why many companies have more cash on hand than necessary due to lack of investment for growth is because they do not have a disciplined cash allocation.
  • If the company does not have a disciplined cash allocation, share repurchases that lead to allocations to the most effective investments at the investor’s discretion are welcome to the investor.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Mirxes Holding, OKP Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Mirxes IPO Trading Update
  • Industrial Evolution: Adapting to Policies and Innovation


Mirxes IPO Trading Update

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Mirxes raised HKD 1086m (USD 140m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Friday, May 23rd.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s core gastric cancer early detection products and brief analysis of its valuation.
  • In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut. The free float shares are highly concentrated.

Industrial Evolution: Adapting to Policies and Innovation

By Geoff Howie

  • In 2025, Singapore’s Industrials sector saw increased trading activity, with over one-third experiencing over 50% ADT growth.
  • ST Engineering led the STI in performance, supported by diversified revenue streams and investments in digital technologies.
  • OKP Holdings reported a 95% share price gain, driven by technology integration, productivity boosts, and geographical diversification.

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Daily Brief Utilities: JSW Energy Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • JSW Energy Q4 FY25 & FY25 Update: Powering Ahead with Landmark Capacity Expansion


JSW Energy Q4 FY25 & FY25 Update: Powering Ahead with Landmark Capacity Expansion

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • FY25 was a landmark year for JSW Energy Ltd (JSW IN), crossing 10 GW operational capacity, driven by record wind additions and strategic acquisitions of KSK Mahanadi and O2 Power.
  • The aggressive inorganic and organic expansion, coupled with a strong focus on energy storage, positions JSW Energy as a diversified player in India’s evolving power landscape, balancing baseload and renewables.  
  • The disciplined capital allocation, robust project pipeline, and strong execution capabilities, despite high leverage, reinforce confidence in achieving the ambitious ’30 by 30′ target and long-term value creation.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt, Pakuwon Jati and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Outperforming with Essentials
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Outperforming with Essentials

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) booked a surprisingly strong set of 1Q2025 results, going against softer consumer sentiment, underlining Alfamart as a supplier of essential goods. 
  • The company cut promotional spending in 1Q2025 by half, which improved profitability by 30% QoQ, but it still booked SSSG of 8.8% YoY, outperforming other consumer staples players. 
  • Alfamart continued to open new stores in 1Q2025, targetting 1,000 new outlets this year. This should help drive growth in 2025, along with SSSG. Valuations remain attractive versus growth prospects.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Pakuwon Jati
  • The UST curve bear steepened aggressively yesterday, driven by a soft auction of 20Y notes amid concerns over the US Budget deficit. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 5 bps to 4.02%, while that on the 10Y UST jumped 11 bps to 4.60%.
  • Moreover, the yield on the 30Y UST climbed 12 bps to 5.09%, the highest since October 2023. Equities retreated on concerns over the US’ safe-haven status. The S&P 500 fell 1.6% to 5,845, while the Nasdaq declined 1.4% to 18,873.

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Daily Brief Consumer: GMO Internet, Welcia Holdings, DigiPlus Interactive , Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt, Eco-Shop Marketing, Alibaba Group Holding , Borosil Renewables, Newton Golf Company, Airbnb , Build A Bear Workshop and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • GMO Internet (4784) – Squeeze-Able So Squeezing, Offering Likely Gets Pulled – AVOID LIKE THE PLAGUE
  • [Japan Activism/M&A] – Thinking About Positioning Around the Tsuruha/Welcia Vote
  • PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes as PLUS Runs Away
  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Outperforming with Essentials
  • Eco-Shop IPO Trading: Tepid Retail Demand but at a Discount to 99 Speedmart
  • [Alibaba (BABA US, BUY, TP US$150) Earnings Review]: Has Market Underestimated T/T Stabilization?
  • Borosil Renewables Q4 FY25 Update: Domestic Strength Shines Amidst Overseas Challenges
  • NWTG: Newton Golf Reports Strong 1st Quarter 2025 Revenue Growth.
  • Airbnb’s Bold New Move: AI, Apps, & Affordable Stays Driving Global Surge!
  • BBW: 1Q Preview: Top Line Strong; Tariff Impact Unknown; Reiterate Buy, $58 PT


GMO Internet (4784) – Squeeze-Able So Squeezing, Offering Likely Gets Pulled – AVOID LIKE THE PLAGUE

By Travis Lundy

  • GMO Internet (4784 JP) was created by the reverse takeover of a listed cad/media company by its parent company’s “internet infrastructure” business. GMO Internet Group ended up with ~98%.
  • In the process, the stock rose 500%. Now, as part of its promise to the TSE allowing TSE Prime membership for the extraordinarily low-float target, the parent is offering shares.
  • The squeeze has it at 180x Dec25e EPS, 111x EBIT, 70x book. The offering likely gets pulled and the stock isn’t shortable… so what next? Pain, and an ECLWO.

[Japan Activism/M&A] – Thinking About Positioning Around the Tsuruha/Welcia Vote

By Travis Lundy

  • The Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) and Welcia Holdings (3141 JP) AGMs to elect directors and approve the share exchange agreement to merge the two. 
  • 10% Tsuruha shareholder Orbis objects to the merger ratio AND the later tender whereby Aeon goes to 51%, saying everything is underpriced. ISS/GlassLewis recommend voting against the merger.
  • I haven’t seen the proxy reports but I’ve done the math. Investors/arbs should look at the possibilities/probabilities and understand what dependencies exist. Shareholders are not helpless, no matter the outcome.

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes as PLUS Runs Away

By Brian Freitas


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Outperforming with Essentials

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) booked a surprisingly strong set of 1Q2025 results, going against softer consumer sentiment, underlining Alfamart as a supplier of essential goods. 
  • The company cut promotional spending in 1Q2025 by half, which improved profitability by 30% QoQ, but it still booked SSSG of 8.8% YoY, outperforming other consumer staples players. 
  • Alfamart continued to open new stores in 1Q2025, targetting 1,000 new outlets this year. This should help drive growth in 2025, along with SSSG. Valuations remain attractive versus growth prospects.

Eco-Shop IPO Trading: Tepid Retail Demand but at a Discount to 99 Speedmart

By Nicholas Tan

  • Eco-Shop Marketing (ECO MY) raised around US$227m in its Malaysia IPO, after pricing the deal at the bottom of the range at M$1.13/share.
  • It is the largest dollar chain in Malaysia, as per the number of stores it operates, as of 31 October 2024.
  • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance, undertook a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics. 

[Alibaba (BABA US, BUY, TP US$150) Earnings Review]: Has Market Underestimated T/T Stabilization?

By Ying Pan

  • Alibaba (BABA) reported C1Q25 top line in-line with our estimate and consensus. Taobao/Tmall (T/T) outperformed while Cainiao and Int’l commerce underperformed. 
  • Stabilization of domestic e-commerce is a major positive. However, on-demand e-commerce at home and video e-commerce abroad are two global growth drivers, 
  • We see new challenges emerging following business stabilization. We believe the management is up to the task. We keep BABA in our TOP BUY list and reiterate rating and TP.

Borosil Renewables Q4 FY25 Update: Domestic Strength Shines Amidst Overseas Challenges

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Definitive anti-dumping duty (ADD) imposed on solar glass imports from China and Vietnam until December 2029; Standalone Indian operations showed significant improvement in Q4 and FY25.  
  • The ADD provides a stable pricing environment and growth catalyst for domestic solar glass manufacturing. Improved domestic performance underscores resilience despite international market volatility.  
  • Reinforces a positive outlook for the Indian business due to favorable regulatory support and robust demand. However, the German subsidiary’s performance remains a key monitorable.

NWTG: Newton Golf Reports Strong 1st Quarter 2025 Revenue Growth.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Newton Golf (NASDAQ: NWTG) is an innovative, technology driven golf company with a growing portfolio of golf products, including putters, golf shafts, golf grips, and other golf-related accessories.
  • The company went public in August 2023 raising $11.6 million in net proceeds.
  • The company announced its entry into the golf shaft market in November 2023.

Airbnb’s Bold New Move: AI, Apps, & Affordable Stays Driving Global Surge!

By Baptista Research

  • Airbnb’s financial results for the first quarter of 2025 reflect both strengths and challenges as the company continues to navigate a dynamic global travel landscape.
  • The company reported revenue of $2.3 billion, a 6% year-over-year increase.
  • However, it’s worth noting that without the impact of foreign exchange and calendar factors such as Easter shifting from Q1 2024, this revenue growth would have been 11%.

BBW: 1Q Preview: Top Line Strong; Tariff Impact Unknown; Reiterate Buy, $58 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $58 price target and projections for Build-A-Bear Workshop with the company announcing 1QFY25 (April) results before the open on Thursday.
  • We believe, driven by strong Easter and Spring offerings, further expansion of the Mini Beans, and continued growth in the franchising and commercial space, revenue for 1Q will be solid.
  • That said, the near term question remains the impact of tariffs on overall margins, as Build-A-Bear purchased 58% of merchandise from China and 38% from Vietnam in FY24, with China projected by management to account for less than half of merchandise in FY25.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Can India’s Equity Outperformance Last? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Can India’s Equity Outperformance Last?
  • Ohayo Japan | Markets Watchful
  • How Trump’s tariffs threaten Ireland’s pharma fortune
  • Japan Consumer Sector Update: Q4 FY2025 Wrap-Up and FY2026 Outlook
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/XPEV US/1810 HK/Macro
  • Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Names Lower, but Seagate IR Day a Big Success
  • Indian Hotel Industry: A Comparative Analysis of Top Hotel Chains
  • #151 India Insight: Defence Exports up 34x, Seafood at $7.2B, Coal India Plans 2 IPOs
  • AC & Cooling Product Market Slowdown in India: What Top Players Are Saying?
  • Rio Tinto Doubles Down on Lithium: A Late Entrant with Long-Term Intent


Can India’s Equity Outperformance Last?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Indian equities have delivered envious returns and consistently rewarded shareholders, showcasing superior per share earnings growth and a high number of firms with strong Return on Equity.  
  • While GDP grows robustly (projected 6.3% FY25, 6.4% 2026), earnings growth, robust household consumption (7.1% CAGR over 34 years), and increasing investments are key drivers.  
  • The FY26 outlook is cautiously optimistic, with potential 12-15% Nifty returns driven by tailwinds, but current valuations and global risks necessitate a careful approach.

Ohayo Japan | Markets Watchful

By Mark Chadwick

  • The S&P 500 ended near flat, down 0.04% to 5,842, as investors weighed fears of rising rates and a growing US deficit.
  • Japanese listed companies anticipate a 7% decline in total net profit for the fiscal year ending March 2026, marking the first fall in six years
  • Foreign visitors to Japan surged 28.5% year-on-year in April, reaching a record 3.91 million, fueled by the cherry blossom season and Easter holidays, and a weak yen.

How Trump’s tariffs threaten Ireland’s pharma fortune

By Behind the Money

  • Westport in County Meal, Ireland is a lively town with traditional pubs and a scenic backdrop of Croagh Patrick mountain.
  • The town benefits from American pharmaceutical companies like Allergan manufacturing products such as Botox, thanks to Ireland’s low corporate tax rates.
  • However, President Trump’s desire to bring back manufacturing to the US poses a threat to Ireland’s economy and its relationship with multinational companies.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Japan Consumer Sector Update: Q4 FY2025 Wrap-Up and FY2026 Outlook

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • The food and beverage sector stands out for its aggressive dual approach—raising prices while driving internal efficiencies—which could position it for earnings outperformance if input cost inflation stabilizes.
  • Alcoholic beverage makers are facing near-term consumption risks post-price hikes. Yet they are pursuing structural cost improvements to safeguard margins.
  • Department store operators are balancing strong recent performance and structural transformation with near-term headwinds from remodeling and softer inbound trends.

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/XPEV US/1810 HK/Macro

By Eric Wen

  • LI US/1211 HK/XPEV US: NEV Weekly Sales Ranking (May 12-18, 2025) (+/+/-)
  • 1211 HK: Denza and Formula Leopard Units Merged Back into Parent Company (+)
  • 1810 HK : Xuanjie O1 Chip Enters Mass Production (+)

Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Names Lower, but Seagate IR Day a Big Success

By Andrew Jackson

  • Watch for upside in names involved in HAMR drives such as TDK after positive comments from Seagate.
  • Rohm finally starting to get bucketed as an AI name could see significant upside after deep correction.
  • Quantum names continuing to surge with huge moves in IonQ and D-Wave sets positive tone for Socionext still.

Indian Hotel Industry: A Comparative Analysis of Top Hotel Chains

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Mid-Market players SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) and Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd (LEMONTRE IN) led FY18-24 revenue and EBITDA growth with 16%/31% and 14%/25% CAGRs respectively, reflecting aggressive expansion. 
  • FY24 saw strong average occupancy of 72% with rising RevPAR across luxury (high ARR) and mid-scale (volume) segments. 
  • Indian Hotels (IH IN) and Lemon Tree lead the pipeline with 74% and 59% key growth, driven by asset-light strategies for faster scale-up.

#151 India Insight: Defence Exports up 34x, Seafood at $7.2B, Coal India Plans 2 IPOs

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India’s defense exports grew 34-fold in 11 years, aiming for Rs 30,000 crore in FY26, supported by policy reforms.
  • India is now the fourth-largest exporter of marine products, with exports rising to 16.85 LMT and valued at $7.2 billion.
  • Coal India Ltd (COAL IN) begins process to list BCCL and CMPDI subsidiaries, will file DRHP with Sebi soon, IPO timing dependent on market.

AC & Cooling Product Market Slowdown in India: What Top Players Are Saying?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Secondary sales in the cooling market slowed recently, impacted by delayed summer onset and unseasonal rains across parts of the country.  
  • The secondary sales slowdown, tied to weather unpredictability, could impact immediate growth but does not reflect fundamental shifts in demand. 
  • While short-term weather challenges have created inventory delays, the cooling sector’s fundamentals remain strong, with long-term growth drivers like low penetration and GDP growth continuing to support industry expansion.

Rio Tinto Doubles Down on Lithium: A Late Entrant with Long-Term Intent

By Rahul Jain

  • Rio Tinto has been confirmed as the preferred partner for Chile’s Salares Altoandinos project, marking a major step in scaling its lithium ambitions.
  • Lithium demand is expected to grow over 5x by 2040, driven by electric vehicles and energy storage, though rising supply and tech shifts may cap long-term pricing.
  • Zijin Mining is a preferred play given its diversified  -copper and gold and expanding lithium footprint & lower valuation. Albemarle could  face pressure from intensifying competition, rising low-cost supply etc.

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Daily Brief Japan: GMO Internet, Welcia Holdings, Japan Post Holdings, Sanyo Trading, Trial Holdings, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • GMO Internet (4784) – Squeeze-Able So Squeezing, Offering Likely Gets Pulled – AVOID LIKE THE PLAGUE
  • [Japan Activism/M&A] – Thinking About Positioning Around the Tsuruha/Welcia Vote
  • Japan Post Holdings – Waiting for Godot…
  • Sanyo Trading (3176 JP) – Steady Delivery with Sustainability Emerging as a Key Driver
  • Trial: Soon to Be Japan’s Largest Supermarket
  • Without a Disciplined Cash Allocation in a Company, Share Repurchases Are Welcome to Investors


GMO Internet (4784) – Squeeze-Able So Squeezing, Offering Likely Gets Pulled – AVOID LIKE THE PLAGUE

By Travis Lundy

  • GMO Internet (4784 JP) was created by the reverse takeover of a listed cad/media company by its parent company’s “internet infrastructure” business. GMO Internet Group ended up with ~98%.
  • In the process, the stock rose 500%. Now, as part of its promise to the TSE allowing TSE Prime membership for the extraordinarily low-float target, the parent is offering shares.
  • The squeeze has it at 180x Dec25e EPS, 111x EBIT, 70x book. The offering likely gets pulled and the stock isn’t shortable… so what next? Pain, and an ECLWO.

[Japan Activism/M&A] – Thinking About Positioning Around the Tsuruha/Welcia Vote

By Travis Lundy

  • The Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP) and Welcia Holdings (3141 JP) AGMs to elect directors and approve the share exchange agreement to merge the two. 
  • 10% Tsuruha shareholder Orbis objects to the merger ratio AND the later tender whereby Aeon goes to 51%, saying everything is underpriced. ISS/GlassLewis recommend voting against the merger.
  • I haven’t seen the proxy reports but I’ve done the math. Investors/arbs should look at the possibilities/probabilities and understand what dependencies exist. Shareholders are not helpless, no matter the outcome.

Japan Post Holdings – Waiting for Godot…

By Rikki Malik

  • Does the underperformance since the recent results announcement provide an opportunity?
  • While the company strategy is moving in the right direction, the pace of change is slow.
  • With ownership of Japan Post Bank reduced to below 50%, there is potential change afoot there

Sanyo Trading (3176 JP) – Steady Delivery with Sustainability Emerging as a Key Driver

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Q1-2 FY9/25 results met expectations, with the company’s diversified operations helping offset softness in Industrial Products and Life Science.
  • A key positive was the acceleration of growth in Sustainability, driven by green technology and energy solutions, which reinforces its potential as a core earnings driver.
  • Fine Chemicals remained resilient, backed by domestic demand for industrial rubber. 

Trial: Soon to Be Japan’s Largest Supermarket

By Michael Causton

  • As confirmed last month, Trial will acquire Seiyu later this year, giving it access to 240 more stores to add to almost 350 already in operation.
  • The prospect of combining Trial’s undeniable knowhow in retail tech and its laser-focused concern with reducing costs could cause rivals serious problems.
  • Despite the obvious benefits, Trial’s share price has fallen to around the same it was a year ago largely due to concerns over OPM but profitability will improve fast.

Without a Disciplined Cash Allocation in a Company, Share Repurchases Are Welcome to Investors

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since most Japanese companies at this point have more cash on hand than they need, it is only natural that they will step up shareholder returns, including share buybacks.
  • The reason why many companies have more cash on hand than necessary due to lack of investment for growth is because they do not have a disciplined cash allocation.
  • If the company does not have a disciplined cash allocation, share repurchases that lead to allocations to the most effective investments at the investor’s discretion are welcome to the investor.

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