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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Health Care: Illumina Inc, JTEC Corp/Osaka, Akeso Biopharma Inc, Edwards Lifesciences, BenQ BM Holding Cayman Corp., Actinogen Medical, Teva Pharmaceutical Sp Adr and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Illumina Inc: Will Its Market Dominance In Genetic Analysis Last In The Long Term? – Major Drivers
  • JTEC Corp (3446) – Embarking on a Multi-Year Runway of Growth with Technological Advantage
  • [Blue Lotus Healthcare Sector Update]: Bottom-Fishing at the Bottom of the Business Cycle
  • Edwards Lifesciences Corporation: Will Its Investments in Field Expansion and Patient Activation Programs Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Pre-IPO BenQ BM Holding – Profitability Will Be Disappointing Due To “Flaws” In Business Model
  • Actinogen Medical – First patient dosed in Phase IIb XanaMIA study
  • Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) – Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024


Illumina Inc: Will Its Market Dominance In Genetic Analysis Last In The Long Term? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Illumina reports a successful 2023 but is bracing for a challenging 2024 amid continued macroeconomic hurdles.
  • The company delivered a higher-than-expected consolidated revenue of approximately $1.12 billion in the fourth quarter, marking an increase of 4% year over year.
  • CEO Jacob Thaysen highlighted the latest product, NovaSeq X, as the most successful high-throughput product launch in the company’s history.

JTEC Corp (3446) – Embarking on a Multi-Year Runway of Growth with Technological Advantage

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • JTEC Corp is a specialist technology innovator, and a global market leader in customized X-ray mirrors used in synchrotron radiation and X-ray free-electron laser facilities worldwide.
  • With its competitive advantage in technology through high R&D spending and strong partnerships with academic and research institutions, the company is switching back to a robust growth trajectory driven by 1) normalized business conditions post- COVID-19,
  • 2) new construction and upgrade demand for synchrotron radiation facilities, particularly from China, and 3) business expansion in the life sciences and semiconductor sectors.

[Blue Lotus Healthcare Sector Update]: Bottom-Fishing at the Bottom of the Business Cycle

By Eric Wen

  • C1Q24 was marked by liquidity crises in innovative drug and medical device, and depressed margin in digital health. We believe this is a buying opportunity;
  • PD-1 has recovered nicely in C2H23 and exceeded our expectation made for 2023.We forecast 20% YoY growth in 2024.Further,pipeline maturity has led to new drugs in autoimmune and metabolic drugs;
  • Biosimilar has proven to be part of the solution to deal with low paying ability of Chinese healthcare and denial of access to the high paying US healthcare market. 

Edwards Lifesciences Corporation: Will Its Investments in Field Expansion and Patient Activation Programs Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Edwards Lifesciences, a medical technology company specializing in artificial heart valves and hemodynamic monitoring, recently reported the Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings, where insights about the company’s past performance and future prospects were shared.
  • The company’s CEO, Bernard Zovighian, highlighted a strong financial performance in 2023, with a sales increment of 12% reaching up to $6 billion, building a strong presence across all four product groups.
  • Investments in research and development went beyond $1 billion, and it hit strategic milestones like the introduction of innovative technologies for sustainable growth.

Pre-IPO BenQ BM Holding – Profitability Will Be Disappointing Due To “Flaws” In Business Model

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The business model for general hospitals is not good (e.g. heavy assets, challenging operations, low profits, difficult to replicate and expand nationwide), which has never been a profitable business.
  • BenQ’s profitability is not attractive if compared with for-profit specialized hospitals. The “benefit chain” of hospitals is actually very complicated, which makes it challenging to attract/retain good medical talents.
  • BenQ’s overall revenue growth could slow down in the future. Its profit margin is also not attractive. It would be difficult for BenQ to achieve a high valuation after IPO. 

Actinogen Medical – First patient dosed in Phase IIb XanaMIA study

By Edison Investment Research

Actinogen Medical announced that the first randomised patient in its Phase IIb XanaMIA trial of lead candidate Xanamem received their first treatment on Friday 12 April. This study is designed to enrol c 220 patients with cognitive impairment (CI) associated with biomarker-positive mild-to-moderate Alzheimer’s disease (AD), as confirmed through an elevated level of phosphorylated Tau-181 (pTau-181) protein in their blood at baseline. The study has commenced at 13 Australian sites and will concentrate on domestic sites for the first c 100 patients, and initial efficacy and safety results will be analysed when these patients reach 24 weeks of treatment. These results are now expected in mid-CY25 (vs prior guidance of H1 CY25) and Actinogen expects to expand the trial to US study sites following this interim readout. In the near term, the next material milestone for the company will be results, now expected in early Q3 CY24 (vs Q2 CY24 previously), from its Phase IIa XanaCIDD study in patients with CI and major depressive disorder (MDD).


Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) – Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Teva Pharmaceuticals and Viatris Inc are leading global generic pharmaceutical manufacturers with diverse drug portfolios.
  • Both companies are currently undervalued and are anticipated to see substantial shareholder returns in 2024.
  • Despite challenges in the US generic drug industry, Teva and Viatris are poised for significant upside potential in the near future.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Most Read: Pasona Group, Kokusai Electric , Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial, Fuji Oil Co Ltd, HPSP, Hollysys Automation Technologies, Belle Fashion Group, Megastudyedu Co, Ltd. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Pasona (2168 JP) Special Div – Too Small to Matter
  • Kokusai Elec (6525) – The Much-Anticipated Lockup Expiry
  • Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up – KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait
  • Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Idemitsu (5019): First SumiChem’s, Now JERA’s Stake in Fuji Oil (5017) To Go to 22%. It’s Coming…
  • Market Chats About What Really Went Down with HPSP This Morning
  • Hollysys (HOLI US): Keep Calm as Closing Date Slips
  • Multiple Positive Catalysts Ahead Of Q124 Earnings Season
  • Belle Fashion IPO: The Investment Case
  • Megastudy Education: A Major Shareholder Return Policy in 2024-2026


Pasona (2168 JP) Special Div – Too Small to Matter

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, Pasona Group (2168 JP) announced its expected use of funds into the May 2024 results, including a special dividend plan, investment for growth, and “strengthening the operating platform.”
  • The plan will disappoint. The stock may get hit hard. The truth is somewhere in the middle. This is where active stewardship matters. So get stewarding.
  • A special div paid over 5yrs should be paid one-shot, now. If the company has plans worth supporting, set KPIs now, ask for money later. Good plans get good money.

Kokusai Elec (6525) – The Much-Anticipated Lockup Expiry

By Travis Lundy

  • Last autumn, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) was IPOed by KKR. The lockup expires next week, on 21 April 2024 (a Sunday). That frees up about 70% of the stock.
  • KKR’s own stake is worth about US$2.8bn. It is not clear that Applied Materials, Qatar, or the Koch Strategic Platforms stakes would be for sale (now, or near-term).
  • There is an interesting schedule of events between here and a likely offering date. It pays to pay attention to the details. 

Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up – KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait

By Sumeet Singh

  • KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
  • KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
  • In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.

Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Idemitsu (5019): First SumiChem’s, Now JERA’s Stake in Fuji Oil (5017) To Go to 22%. It’s Coming…

By Travis Lundy

  • In the mid-late teens, four refinery groups merged to create two refinery groups – JX and Tonen General became JXTG under ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) and Idemitsu took over ShowaShell.
  • When Idemitsu got ShowaShell, it got 50+% in Toa Oil Co Ltd (5008 JP), 6.58% of Fuji Oil Co Ltd (5017 JP). In 2020, they tried to buy in Toa.
  • That was delayed by an activist. Today, Idemitsu announced they had gone to 23% in Fuji Oil. That stake will go up before it goes down.

Market Chats About What Really Went Down with HPSP This Morning

By Sanghyun Park

  • This morning’s HPSP (403870 KS) situation began with Maekyung’s report, indicating Crescendo PE contacted local bankers for the controlling stake sale.
  • The surge in HPSP’s stock price after Maekyung’s report suggests Crescendo PE’s tacit approval, implying their involvement in the news’s emergence.
  • Despite the likely confirmed sale of Crescendo PE’s stake, timing remains uncertain due to disclosure rules. Continued monitoring is vital, considering potential market reactions later.

Hollysys (HOLI US): Keep Calm as Closing Date Slips

By Arun George

  • On 15 April, Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) issued a 6-K filing stating that Ascendent remains in the process of obtaining regulatory approvals. 
  • The gross spread has widened to 8% as the closing date has slipped from the end of March guidance, and an updated timeline is lacking. 
  • A delay in securing regulatory approvals is not uncommon. However, regulatory approvals should be forthcoming as the transaction involves Chinese entities (including a SASAC entity) acquiring a Chinese-focused company. 

Multiple Positive Catalysts Ahead Of Q124 Earnings Season

By William Keating

  • PC, Smartphone Unit shipments both registering YoY growth in Q124
  • TSMC will beat guidance & likely guide Q224 up ~5% QoQ. Samsung’s pre earnings showed strong recovery in operating profit
  • Server unit shipments are on a ~17% YoY growth run rate

Belle Fashion IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George


Megastudy Education: A Major Shareholder Return Policy in 2024-2026

By Douglas Kim

  • On 16 April, Megastudyedu Co, Ltd. (215200 KS) announced a major shareholder return plan, driving up its share price by 14.2% to 60,400 won. 
  • Driven by this attractive shareholder return plan combined with improving fundamentals, we believe that Megastudy Education’s shares could continue to outperform the market in the next several months. 
  • The total shareholder returns including share buybacks/cancellation and dividends are 60% of the company’s non-consolidated net profit from 2024 to 2026.

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Daily Brief Australia: Tietto Minerals Ltd, 5G Networks Ltd/Australia, Findi and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Tietto Minerals (TIE AU): Zhaojin’s Revised and Final Takeover Offer Remains Light
  • 5G Networks Limited (5GN) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024
  • Findi Limited (FND) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024


Tietto Minerals (TIE AU): Zhaojin’s Revised and Final Takeover Offer Remains Light

By Arun George

  • Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU) has disclosed a revised conditional proposal from Zhaojin Mining Industry H (1818 HK) at A$0.68 per share, a 17.2% premium to the previous offer of A$0.58.
  • The offer is conditional on a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition (which can be waived). The offer is declared best and final. 
  • Despite the bump, the offer is below the IE’s valuation range of A$0.79 to A$0.93 per share. The IE’s valuation range would be around 25% higher at current gold prices. 

5G Networks Limited (5GN) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • 5GN sold hosting business and 2/3 of domains business, resulting in over $100 million net gain
  • Company left with $84 million in cash after full debt repayment and transaction costs
  • Expected to generate $5 million in net income post-sale, plans to use cash for acquisitions, share buyback, and dividend, stock expected to rerate positively if targets met.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Findi Limited (FND) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Findi is an illiquid Australian microcap company that controls TSI India, one of the largest owners and operators of ATMs in India
  • TSI India has shown signs of improvement and is expected to perform well in the future
  • Findi plans to list its operating business in India on the Indian stock market and issued convertible bonds in preparation for its IPO at a valuation of A$190.6 million

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief South Korea: Hanmi Science, Eubiologics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Imminent Block Deals Involving Hanmi Science Shares Due to Inheritance Tax Payments
  • EuBiologics (206650 KS): Secular Sectoral Tailwind Is Not The Only Catalyst


Imminent Block Deals Involving Hanmi Science Shares Due to Inheritance Tax Payments

By Sanghyun Park

  • The local market anxiously awaits the family’s ability to pay by early May. Failure could prompt the Tax Service to sell their pledged stocks, including Hanmi Science shares.
  • Preventing Tax Service from selling Hanmi Science shares requires additional collateral, unlikely due to existing pledges. Rumor suggests mother and daughter may sell shares before May, followed by Tax Service.
  • Given negotiation uncertainty with KKR, it’s crucial to prepare for potential failure rather than solely relying on success, necessitating a pragmatic approach.

EuBiologics (206650 KS): Secular Sectoral Tailwind Is Not The Only Catalyst

By Tina Banerjee

  • Eubiologics (206650 KS) received UNICEF oral cholera vaccine order of KRW124B in 2024. This is nearly 1.9x higher than last year’s sales, making the case for record-high sales in 2024.
  • Eubiologics is not expecting any near-term competition. The company is boosting its production capability to 90M doses annually by 2025 from 33M doses currently.
  • Eubiologics is planning to enter the premium vaccine market, which should further accelerate the revenue growth and improve its margins. Recently, Bionote (377740 KS) has increased stake in Eubiologics.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Valeura Energy Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Three exploration wells deliver three discoveries


Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Three exploration wells deliver three discoveries

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Nong Yao-13 exploration well in the new Nong Yao D area that was targeting multiple zones has encountered >30 feet of new oil play across several new shallow intervals which have not been produced elsewhere on the concession.
  • These reservoirs are believed to be recurring across the Nong Yao D area.
  • The drilling result confirms that oil has successfully migrated into this area of the block (a factor that was seen to be a risk in the Nong Yao D area) and open the opportunity for further appraisal and exploration drilling in the vicinity to derisk sufficient volumes to justify a future development.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Sea , CapitaLand Ascendas REIT, Hanwell Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Sea Limited (SE) – Friday, Jan 12, 2024
  • S-REIT Pair Trade Idea: Long CLAR SP and SHORT Keppel REIT on Industry Fundamentals
  • Sam Goi continues to boost his stakes in PSC and GSH


Sea Limited (SE) – Friday, Jan 12, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Sea Limited is a gaming and e-commerce company in Southeast Asia that has experienced fluctuations in its stock price but has strong underlying business performance.
  • Founded in 2009 as Garena by CEO Forrest Li, the company rebranded to Sea Ltd in 2017 and gained access to a wide range of games through Tencent’s investment in 2010.
  • After achieving profitability in 2023, Sea Ltd is now focused on accelerating growth and drawing comparisons to Amazon’s early years.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


S-REIT Pair Trade Idea: Long CLAR SP and SHORT Keppel REIT on Industry Fundamentals

By Jacob Cheng

  • We look at Asia, and see where there are interesting trade idea.  While HK/CH see investors’ capitulation, there are some interesting ideas in Singapore
  • We focus on real estate and look at S-REITs, which just wrap up their 4Q 23 results.  We see divergence in terms of industry fundamentals
  • Within S-REITs, we like industrial and retail given stronger industry fundamentals and stable asset valuation

Sam Goi continues to boost his stakes in PSC and GSH

By Geoff Howie

  • Sam Goi continues to boost his stakes in PSC and GSH INSTITUTIONS were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the four trading sessions from Apr 5 to 11, with S$44 million of net institutional outflow, as 21 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$25 million.
  • He acquired 144,700 shares of the company at S$0.352 per share, taking his total interest from 30.74 per cent to 30.77 per cent.
  • Goi also bought more shares of GSH Corporation, where he also serves as executive chairman.

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Daily Brief India: LTIMindtree, Adani Green Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition
  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 indices in the September 2024 rebalance.
  • There could be at least one change for NIFTY 50 and separately, there could be up to five changes for NIFTY Next 50.

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: Bitcoin, Corn Active Contract, Emerson Electric Co, Cocoa Futures, Build A Bear Workshop, Douyu International Holdings, Lsi Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Crisp: Hong Kong Rhymes With Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs
  • Corn Prices To Fire Up on Rising Energy Costs
  • Emerson Electric Co (EMR) – Monday, Jan 15, 2024
  • Inflation Surprises as Commodities Rip Higher
  • BBW: Management Meetings: Poised for Growth; Reiterate Buy Rating, $41 PT
  • Douyu Intl Hldings Ltd -Adr (DOYU) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024
  • Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024


Crypto Crisp: Hong Kong Rhymes With Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs

By Mads Eberhardt

  • The weekend did not go as expected.
  • The attack on Israel by Iran, which occurred overnight between Saturday and Sunday, had a noticeable impact on the crypto market.
  • This led to Bitcoin and Ethereum dropping by 8% and 12% respectively by Sunday.

Corn Prices To Fire Up on Rising Energy Costs

By Pranay Yadav

  • Corn prices are presently being pressured by ample supplies owing to the record US harvest.
  • Corn prices face an upside risk owing to elevated demand for ethanol and supply uncertainty from the South American harvest.
  • Premium for long-dated corn futures over near-term futures is on the rise. A calendar spread can be used to express this view. 

Emerson Electric Co (EMR) – Monday, Jan 15, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Emerson has undergone significant portfolio transformations, reducing from five business lines to two by 2021
  • Incoming CEO Lal Karsanbhai announced strategic actions including selling InSinkErator and a majority stake in Climate Tech, while acquiring stakes in AspenTech and National Instruments
  • These moves aimed to further position Emerson as a provider of commercial refrigeration systems, consumer controls, software for process industries, and digital test equipment.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Inflation Surprises as Commodities Rip Higher

By The Commodity Report

  • Last week’s inflation data surprised market participants on the upside. CPI YoY: 3,2% vs. 3,1% estimate. Core CPI m/m: 0,4% vs 0,3% estimated
  • Even larger was the upside surprise in the PPI data. Friends of the 70s double-dip inflation scenario will probably love this chart.
  • Take a closer look at the 70s and how inflation recovered before it take of in the late 70s for another rip higher.

BBW: Management Meetings: Poised for Growth; Reiterate Buy Rating, $41 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $41 price target and projections for Build-A-Bear Workshop after meeting with management in their St.
  • Louis headquarters.
  • We believe there remain multiple near and longer term growth opportunities for the company, as they expand the product, places and prices they offer “Furry friends” and further leverage the trusted Build-a-Bear brand name.

Douyu Intl Hldings Ltd -Adr (DOYU) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Douyu, a Chinese gaming livestreaming platform with Tencent as a major stakeholder, is facing challenges from competition and a stagnant market growth.
  • The company has cut costs and is now operating at breakeven, with a significant amount of cash in US dollars available for distribution or capital allocation.
  • Despite the risks associated with the stock and sector, Douyu presents a potentially attractive investment opportunity as its stock is trading at only 28% of its net cash value.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • LSI Industries, Inc. (LYTS) provides corporate visual image solutions in various markets through its Lighting and Graphic segments
  • The company focuses on maintaining a strong balance sheet and generating sustainable free cash flow to drive up share price
  • Management’s dedication to shareholder value makes LSI Industries an attractive investment opportunity with a double-digit FCF yield

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Japan: Rorze Corp, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Kokusai Electric , JPY and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Rorze (6323) | Outperforming Expectations Despite 200% Share Price Rally
  • Doesn’t Cooperation Rather than Competition Slow the Pace of Improvement in Disclosure in English?
  • Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up – KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait
  • Comment on Exchange Rate USD/JPY – March 29, 2024


Rorze (6323) | Outperforming Expectations Despite 200% Share Price Rally

By Mark Chadwick

  • Rorze exceeds expectations in FY2/24 with a 6% revenue beat and an 11% surpass in operating profit, setting a record-high revenue of 28 billion yen in 4Q FY2/24.
  • FY2/25 revenue guidance of 120 billion yen marks a 12% beat against analyst estimates, with operating profit expected to hit 32 billion yen, outperforming expectations by 10%.
  • Rorze’s stock, though no longer deeply undervalued, remains reasonably priced at 16.5x NTM EBIT, indicating strong potential for earnings growth-driven future upside.

Doesn’t Cooperation Rather than Competition Slow the Pace of Improvement in Disclosure in English?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • TSE officially announced that it will request prime market listed companies to simultaneously disclose two documents, financial statements and timely disclosure information, in Japanese and English from April 2025.”
  • Given the characteristics of Japanese companies, which tend to implement only minimum requirements, few companies will engage in English language disclosure in their annual securities reports, which wasn’t explicitly stated.
  • Rather than improving the quality of the market to make it easier for global investors to trade, TSE has set efforts targets to match the speed of the slowest ship.

Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up – KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait

By Sumeet Singh

  • KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
  • KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
  • In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.

Comment on Exchange Rate USD/JPY – March 29, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under consideration, i.e. February 28 th , 2024 to March 29th, 2024, the USD/JPY pair fluctuated between 146 and 152 Yen per 1 Dollar.
  • The MA-10 line at the beginning of the period considered was moving above the MA-20 line. From March 7 th until March 22 nd , the MA-10 line trend changed and was moving below the MA-20.
  • By the end of the examined period, the MA-10 line ended up above the MA-20 line.

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Daily Brief China: Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial, Nongfu Spring , Horizon Robotics, Activision Blizzard, J&T Global Express , Travelsky Technology Ltd H, Innovent Biologics Inc and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Nongfu Spring (9633 HK): Criticism Not a Concern, Strong Performance, But Flat Price, Buy
  • Horizon Robotics IPO Preview: “Journey Together”, Strong Business Position and Market Share Gains
  • China Consumption Weekly (15Apr2024): NetEase, Activision Blizzard, Li Auto, Alibaba, Feihe, Uniqlo
  • Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO – Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers
  • J&T Global Express Q124 Operating Stats: One Step Forward for Disclosure, & One Step Back
  • Travelsky (696 HK | HOLD | TP:HKD9.92): Domestic Travel Will Support Growth
  • 2024 High Conviction Update: Innovent (1801.HK) – Breakeven Is Still on Track Despite Soaring Costs


Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Nongfu Spring (9633 HK): Criticism Not a Concern, Strong Performance, But Flat Price, Buy

By Ming Lu

  • We believe the criticism against Nongfu Spring will eventually help the company.
  • Catching the trend of sugar free, tea revenue surged by 83% in 2023.
  • The company achieved higher growth and higher margin, but its stock price is still flat.

Horizon Robotics IPO Preview: “Journey Together”, Strong Business Position and Market Share Gains

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Horizon Robotics, a consumer-centric and fast-growing provider of integrated ADAS and AD solutions for passenger vehicles, filed for an IPO and plans to raise up to $500M in Hong Kong.
  • Horizon Robotics was founded in 2015 by Dr. Yu Kai, Dr. Chang Huang, Ms. Feiwen Tao, and a group of scientists and tech entrepreneurs. 
  • I have a positive view of an upcoming IPO and believe Horizon Robotics is in a great position to capitalize on rapidly growing smart vehicles market in China and worldwide.

China Consumption Weekly (15Apr2024): NetEase, Activision Blizzard, Li Auto, Alibaba, Feihe, Uniqlo

By Ming Lu

  • NetEase will be Activision Blizzard’s agency in China again after a divorce more than a year ago.
  • Alibaba’s cloud service plans to reduce its overseas price offers by 23% on average.
  • Infant formula companies, such as Feihe and Ausnutria, suffered from revenue shrinkage in 2023.

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO – Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO.
  • SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations

J&T Global Express Q124 Operating Stats: One Step Forward for Disclosure, & One Step Back

By Daniel Hellberg

  • On April 9, J&T disclosed operating stats from Q124 — a positive surprise
  • We welcome the disclosure, but J&T should also explain X-border’s demise
  • We believe J&T’s China operation remains far less profitable than its peers’

Travelsky (696 HK | HOLD | TP:HKD9.92): Domestic Travel Will Support Growth

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) Jan-Feb operational data strong, volume processed by domestic +45% YoY and international by +52% YoY; much higher than the consensus 2024 forecast of 15%  
  • Traffic among the Big 3 Chinese airlines was up 46% YoY (-9% MoM) in March to +8% vs 2019. Domestic traffic rose 19% YoY (-11% MoM) to +24% vs 2019
  • TP of HKD9.92 (+8% UPSIDE) is based on 2024 PE 14.8x (1SD below mean). The upside is uncompelling, but we advocate a HOLD as traffic growth is stronger than consensus   

2024 High Conviction Update: Innovent (1801.HK) – Breakeven Is Still on Track Despite Soaring Costs

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • 23H2 net loss significantly widened as cost control was not as tight as in 23H1. Expenses would remain high in 2024, since Innovent would continue expanding team in CVM field.
  • Innovent may think that not many players will join the competition of weight loss drug in short-term, but the actual commercialization of mazdutide after launch could be full of uncertainties.
  • It’s already good for Innovent to be breakeven in 2025. If Innovent breaks even in 2024, it will exceed expectations.Considering major policy shift, Innovent could experience a leap in valuation.

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