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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Nidec Corp, Deutsche Lufthansa , Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Voltas Ltd, Encore Wire, Lonking Holdings, J&T Global Express , Spirit Airlines, Norcros PLC, Singapore Post and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Nidec (6594) | Liquid Cooling Overheats Stock
  • European Airlines – Assessing Fuel Price Risk to Earnings
  • Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH) 1Q24 Better than Expected
  • [#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue
  • Prysmian/Encore Wire: Agreed Offer
  • Lonking (3339 HK): Policy Tailwind
  • J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry – Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn
  • Spirit Airlines (SAV Bonds) – Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024
  • Company Update – Norcros Plc
  • kopi-C with SingPost’s CFO: “We’re building a Singapore-branded global logistics company”


Nidec (6594) | Liquid Cooling Overheats Stock

By Mark Chadwick

  • Nidec’s share price rose by 7% on the largest volume day of the year and on a day where the Nikkei declined by 2%.
  • The move followed an announcement that Nidec will enhance its CDUs production line in Thailand by 10x by June 2024. CDUs are used to cool AI servers in data centres
  • The market impact of 250 billion yen implies a sales impact of 69 billion yen, which is far too high for 24,000 units per year

European Airlines – Assessing Fuel Price Risk to Earnings

By Neil Glynn

  • Given events in the Middle East and associated risks for oil prices, we publish a quick guide to the 2024 earnings sensitivity to fuel price increases for the European airlines.
  • Rising fuel prices pose starkest risk to Lufthansa earnings, and it has just profit warned due to strike costs, which leave it needing a record 2H to meet guidance.
  • Ryanair is comfortably most insulated given margin and balance sheet strength.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH) 1Q24 Better than Expected

By Mohshin Aziz

  • CATL announced its 1Q24 net profit of CNY9.2B (+19% YoY), which straight out blew past market expectations 
  • The fear of ever-declining battery prices is overstated, as CATL has clearly shown it can take lower margins and boost ROEs via higher inventory turnover and high utilisation rates  
  • Our fair value of CNY253 (+27% UPSIDE) is derived by 23x 2024 PE ratio, which is 1SD below its historical mean. CATL is currently trading at exceptionally low valuations 

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

By Pranav Bhavsar


Prysmian/Encore Wire: Agreed Offer

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Prysmian SpA (PRY IM) agreed to acquire Encore Wire (WIRE US) for $290/share in cash, 29% premium to 90-day VWAP, implied EV of €4,264 million, 11x EV/NTM EBITDA and 16.9x Fwd P/E.
  • Encore wire has traded at an average 6.4x EV/EBITDA and 10.6x P/E over the last 5 years. I set my TP at $290. Synergies could be valued at $51/share.
  • The shares are trading slightly above the offer price. Gross spread is +0.2%. The volume traded since announcement has been very strong. There is room for some sweetening. Long.

Lonking (3339 HK): Policy Tailwind

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)‘s demand should pick up in 2H24 supported by the government’s “Action plan to promote large-scale equipment renewals and consumer goods trade-ins”. 
  • Industry volume sales have already witnessed a narrower YoY decline in Mar, with solid exports of wheel loaders and domestic sales of excavators.
  • After going ex- in late-May, its PER will drop to 7.0x and yield will rise to 6.6%. Net cash of HK$1.56/share is more than fully cover its share price.

J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry – Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

By Sumeet Singh

  • J&T Global Express, a global logistics provider, raised about US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO in Oct 2023. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
  • As per Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 25.4% market share as per 2023 parcel volume.
  • In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.

Spirit Airlines (SAV Bonds) – Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Invest in Spirit 8% bonds due 9/20/2025
  • Spirit Airlines has strong cash position and available credit
  • Bonds are guaranteed by Spirit Airlines and backed by assets such as Airbus A320 airplanes

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Company Update – Norcros Plc

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Norcros plc is a United Kingdom-based supplier of bathroom and kitchen products.
  • The principal activities of the Company and its subsidiaries are the design, manufacture, and distribution of a range of bathroom and kitchen products, mainly in the United Kingdom and South Africa.
  • In the United Kingdom, it offers a range of bathroom and kitchen products for domestic and commercial applications. 

kopi-C with SingPost’s CFO: “We’re building a Singapore-branded global logistics company”

By Geoff Howie

  • kopi-C with SingPost’s CFO: “We’re building a Singapore-branded global logistics company” Its Group Chief Financial Officer Vincent Yik explains its strategy.
  • With the decline in demand for postal services over the years, Singapore Post (SingPost), the country’s postal service provider, is pivoting to the logistics sector to survive and thrive, shares its Group Chief Financial Officer Vincent Yik.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Belle Fashion Group, GHCL Textiles, Shakey’s Pizza, Nitori Holdings, Columbia Sportswear Co, Constellation Brands, Carmax Inc, Conagra Foods, Colgate Palmolive Co, Lands’ End Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Belle Fashion IPO: The Investment Case
  • GHCL Textile: The Undervalued & Turnaround Play
  • Shakey’s Pizza FY23 Concall Highlights: Challenging Q1 FY24, Smoother Road Ahead in H2
  • Nitori: One of the Best Bets in Japan Consumer Markets
  • Columbia Sportswear Company: Enhancing DTC Experience & Strengthening Its Retail Presence Across The Globe! – Major Drivers
  • Constellation Brands: What Is Its Portfolio Transformation Strategy in Wine and Spirits? – Major Drivers
  • CarMax Inc: How Are They Embracing Generative AI For Improving Efficiency & Strategic Expansion? – Major Drivers
  • Conagra Brands: Investments in the Frozen Segment & 5 Pivotal Factors Driving Growth! – Financial Forecasts
  • Colgate-Palmolive: What Is Its New Approach To Market Expansion & Its New Pricing Strategy? – Major Drivers
  • LE: Snapping the Catalog: Features, Focus Lead the Way; Reiterate Buy, $14 PT


Belle Fashion IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George


GHCL Textile: The Undervalued & Turnaround Play

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Company recently demerged from Ghcl Ltd (GHCL IN) and guiding for 30% revenue growth and double margins from here onwards with cotton prices being stable.
  • A Debt Free Textile company available at 0.56x Price to Book with growth plan in progress and adding Value added products in its portfolio.
  • Due to Forced selling from DII, FII company remained undervalued, now with changing margin profile, the Company will be available at a cheap valuation compared to peers.

Shakey’s Pizza FY23 Concall Highlights: Challenging Q1 FY24, Smoother Road Ahead in H2

By Sameer Taneja

  • Shakey’s Pizza (PIZZA PM) had a disappointing end to FY23 despite the 32% YoY systemwide sales and 23% YoY profit growth. 4Q FY23 sales/profits were +15% YoY/-21% YoY.
  • Network expansion was a solid 369 outlets (base of 1772 outlets), primarily led by Potato Corner (359 outlets). Expansion in FY24 was guided at over 400+ outlets (1+ bn Pesos). 
  • Stock trades at 15.6x FY23 earnings and 13x FY24e with mid-teens growth on the top/bottom line guided by the company for FY24

Nitori: One of the Best Bets in Japan Consumer Markets

By Michael Causton

  • Leading furniture retailer Nitori recently announced it would work with French platform developer Mirakl to build an online marketplace. The site will be available late 2024 or early 2025. 
  • Nitori wants the mall to contribute 20% of revenues by 2032 within a sales target of ¥3 trillion, when overseas store numbers are expected to be double those in Japan.
  • But, founder Akio Nitori says he wants to see overseas sales much higher than official targets and may well get there through close targeting of the rising Asian middle class.

Columbia Sportswear Company: Enhancing DTC Experience & Strengthening Its Retail Presence Across The Globe! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the recent fourth quarter 2023 financial results, Columbia Sportswear highlighted some key achievements and challenges they faced throughout the year.
  • This provides an informative insight into both the company’s strengths and weaknesses moving forward, forming a neutral foundation for an investment thesis and resulting summary analysis.
  • A cornerstone of Columbia Sportwear’s strategy in 2023 was their inventory reduction plan.

Constellation Brands: What Is Its Portfolio Transformation Strategy in Wine and Spirits? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Constellation Brands reported strong Q3 results, driven by robust performance in their beer business, achieving over 8% depletion growth for its beer portfolio.
  • This performance is a testament to continued strong consumer demand and contributed to the company’s 55th consecutive quarter of depletion growth and tenth leading share gains.
  • The company also executed $215 million of share repurchases in Q3, maintaining its net leverage ratio at 3.2x, excluding Canopy equity and earnings.

CarMax Inc: How Are They Embracing Generative AI For Improving Efficiency & Strategic Expansion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • CarMax, a leading used car retailer in the United States, reported its Q3 fiscal year 2024 results indicating a continuation of a strategic plan that has led to sequential year-over-year improvements across key business areas for four consecutive quarters.
  • Total sales for Q3 FY ’24 were $6.1 billion, down by 5% compared to the previous year due to lower retail and wholesale prices and lower retail volume, partially offset by higher wholesale volume.
  • Retail unit sales declined by 2.9% while used unit comps were down by 4.1%.

Conagra Brands: Investments in the Frozen Segment & 5 Pivotal Factors Driving Growth! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Conagra Brands maintained an overall positive tone regarding its performance and future prospects in its latest earnings.
  • While there were signs of optimism and forward-looking strategies, there were also concerns about certain aspects of its operations and broader market conditions.
  • The company was seen focusing heavily on volume as being crucial for growth.

Colgate-Palmolive: What Is Its New Approach To Market Expansion & Its New Pricing Strategy? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The fourth-quarter earnings of Colgate-Palmolive were decent and the company demonstrated impressive resilience in 2023, focusing on sustainable organic sales growth, rebuilding margins and strengthening cash flow performance amid an increasingly challenging operating environment.
  • However, some challenges persist, such as geopolitical unrest, foreign exchange headwinds and industry shifts, which might impact results in 2024.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

LE: Snapping the Catalog: Features, Focus Lead the Way; Reiterate Buy, $14 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $14 price target and projections after reviewing the company’s early summer catalogs for April 2023 and 2024.
  • We remain impressed by the shifts in the catalogs, from a deeper focus on features and story telling, impressive gains in swimwear and related accessories, expansion of categories such as outerwear, totes and lifestyle apparel, shifts in footwear that we believe will presage the relaunch of the category as a licensed item and overall similar pricing.
  • We continue to believe Lands’ End is on the right track to drive higher returns and strong consistent profitability, and reiterate our Buy rating and $14 price target.,

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Daily Brief Financials: JPY, Hang Seng Index, IP Group PLC, Tetragon Financial Group Ltd/F, Vista Land & Lifescapes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Comment on Exchange Rate – USD/JPY – March 29, 2024
  • EQD | Hang Seng Down: Upcoming Bounce May Not Mean Rally Continuation
  • IP Group – Several potential portfolio catalysts on the horizon
  • Tetragon Financial Group – FY23 growth driven by idiosyncratic factors
  • Morning Views Asia: Vista Land & Lifescapes


Comment on Exchange Rate – USD/JPY – March 29, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under consideration, i.e. February 28th 2024 to March 29th, 2024, the USD/JPY pair fluctuated between 146 and 152 Yen per 1 Dollar.
  • The MA-10 line at the beginning of the period considered was moving above the MA-20 line.
  • From March 7th until March 22nd the MA-10 line trend changed and was moving below the MA-20. 

EQD | Hang Seng Down: Upcoming Bounce May Not Mean Rally Continuation

By Nico Rosti

  • The HSI INDEX is currently down for the 2nd week in a row and it is quite oversold on a WEEKLY basis.
  • A temporary reversal could come as soon as this week or next week, but we don’t think this will mark a restart of the previous rally.
  • Look at the 16250-16050 area to go LONG, this is the area where the index most likely will print a temporary bottom.

IP Group – Several potential portfolio catalysts on the horizon

By Edison Investment Research

IP Group’s NAV declined by 13% in total return (TR) terms in FY23, affected by continued soft valuations across venture capital (VC) markets, as well as funding delays at some of its holdings. That said, management indicated that many of IP Group’s portfolio companies continued to make strong progress. Its maturing portfolio offers a number of potential NAV triggers and is now available at a wide 59% discount to NAV. We note that, as at end-2023, only 14% of IP Group’s portfolio was valued based on funding rounds completed more than 12 months ago and 46% of its private portfolio was valued by a third-party specialist. IP Group’s holding-level liquidity was solid, with gross cash of £227m (or 19% of NAV) and 87% of its portfolio holdings (by value) had a cash runway to 2025 or beyond.


Tetragon Financial Group – FY23 growth driven by idiosyncratic factors

By Edison Investment Research

Tetragon Financial Group (Tetragon) posted a 6.4% net asset value (NAV) per share total return (TR) in US dollar terms in FY23. Tetragon’s returns normally have a low correlation with broader markets, and therefore its FY23 performance was below the 26.3% return of the S&P 500 Index, which rallied on the artificial intelligence (AI) theme. Tetragon’s FY23 return on equity (RoE) of 5.5% was below its target of 10–15% pa. That said, its performance since listing was within the target range at 11.3%. Tetragon continues payouts to its shareholders, distributing US$83.6m in FY23 through buybacks and dividends (3.0% of opening NAV), with the dividend yield standing at 4.4%.


Morning Views Asia: Vista Land & Lifescapes

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Illumina Inc, JTEC Corp/Osaka, Akeso Biopharma Inc, Edwards Lifesciences, BenQ BM Holding Cayman Corp., Actinogen Medical, Teva Pharmaceutical Sp Adr and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Illumina Inc: Will Its Market Dominance In Genetic Analysis Last In The Long Term? – Major Drivers
  • JTEC Corp (3446) – Embarking on a Multi-Year Runway of Growth with Technological Advantage
  • [Blue Lotus Healthcare Sector Update]: Bottom-Fishing at the Bottom of the Business Cycle
  • Edwards Lifesciences Corporation: Will Its Investments in Field Expansion and Patient Activation Programs Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Pre-IPO BenQ BM Holding – Profitability Will Be Disappointing Due To “Flaws” In Business Model
  • Actinogen Medical – First patient dosed in Phase IIb XanaMIA study
  • Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) – Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024


Illumina Inc: Will Its Market Dominance In Genetic Analysis Last In The Long Term? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Illumina reports a successful 2023 but is bracing for a challenging 2024 amid continued macroeconomic hurdles.
  • The company delivered a higher-than-expected consolidated revenue of approximately $1.12 billion in the fourth quarter, marking an increase of 4% year over year.
  • CEO Jacob Thaysen highlighted the latest product, NovaSeq X, as the most successful high-throughput product launch in the company’s history.

JTEC Corp (3446) – Embarking on a Multi-Year Runway of Growth with Technological Advantage

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • JTEC Corp is a specialist technology innovator, and a global market leader in customized X-ray mirrors used in synchrotron radiation and X-ray free-electron laser facilities worldwide.
  • With its competitive advantage in technology through high R&D spending and strong partnerships with academic and research institutions, the company is switching back to a robust growth trajectory driven by 1) normalized business conditions post- COVID-19,
  • 2) new construction and upgrade demand for synchrotron radiation facilities, particularly from China, and 3) business expansion in the life sciences and semiconductor sectors.

[Blue Lotus Healthcare Sector Update]: Bottom-Fishing at the Bottom of the Business Cycle

By Eric Wen

  • C1Q24 was marked by liquidity crises in innovative drug and medical device, and depressed margin in digital health. We believe this is a buying opportunity;
  • PD-1 has recovered nicely in C2H23 and exceeded our expectation made for 2023.We forecast 20% YoY growth in 2024.Further,pipeline maturity has led to new drugs in autoimmune and metabolic drugs;
  • Biosimilar has proven to be part of the solution to deal with low paying ability of Chinese healthcare and denial of access to the high paying US healthcare market. 

Edwards Lifesciences Corporation: Will Its Investments in Field Expansion and Patient Activation Programs Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Edwards Lifesciences, a medical technology company specializing in artificial heart valves and hemodynamic monitoring, recently reported the Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings, where insights about the company’s past performance and future prospects were shared.
  • The company’s CEO, Bernard Zovighian, highlighted a strong financial performance in 2023, with a sales increment of 12% reaching up to $6 billion, building a strong presence across all four product groups.
  • Investments in research and development went beyond $1 billion, and it hit strategic milestones like the introduction of innovative technologies for sustainable growth.

Pre-IPO BenQ BM Holding – Profitability Will Be Disappointing Due To “Flaws” In Business Model

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The business model for general hospitals is not good (e.g. heavy assets, challenging operations, low profits, difficult to replicate and expand nationwide), which has never been a profitable business.
  • BenQ’s profitability is not attractive if compared with for-profit specialized hospitals. The “benefit chain” of hospitals is actually very complicated, which makes it challenging to attract/retain good medical talents.
  • BenQ’s overall revenue growth could slow down in the future. Its profit margin is also not attractive. It would be difficult for BenQ to achieve a high valuation after IPO. 

Actinogen Medical – First patient dosed in Phase IIb XanaMIA study

By Edison Investment Research

Actinogen Medical announced that the first randomised patient in its Phase IIb XanaMIA trial of lead candidate Xanamem received their first treatment on Friday 12 April. This study is designed to enrol c 220 patients with cognitive impairment (CI) associated with biomarker-positive mild-to-moderate Alzheimer’s disease (AD), as confirmed through an elevated level of phosphorylated Tau-181 (pTau-181) protein in their blood at baseline. The study has commenced at 13 Australian sites and will concentrate on domestic sites for the first c 100 patients, and initial efficacy and safety results will be analysed when these patients reach 24 weeks of treatment. These results are now expected in mid-CY25 (vs prior guidance of H1 CY25) and Actinogen expects to expand the trial to US study sites following this interim readout. In the near term, the next material milestone for the company will be results, now expected in early Q3 CY24 (vs Q2 CY24 previously), from its Phase IIa XanaCIDD study in patients with CI and major depressive disorder (MDD).


Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) – Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Teva Pharmaceuticals and Viatris Inc are leading global generic pharmaceutical manufacturers with diverse drug portfolios.
  • Both companies are currently undervalued and are anticipated to see substantial shareholder returns in 2024.
  • Despite challenges in the US generic drug industry, Teva and Viatris are poised for significant upside potential in the near future.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Most Read: Pasona Group, Kokusai Electric , Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial, Fuji Oil Co Ltd, HPSP, Hollysys Automation Technologies, Belle Fashion Group, Megastudyedu Co, Ltd. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Pasona (2168 JP) Special Div – Too Small to Matter
  • Kokusai Elec (6525) – The Much-Anticipated Lockup Expiry
  • Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up – KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait
  • Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Idemitsu (5019): First SumiChem’s, Now JERA’s Stake in Fuji Oil (5017) To Go to 22%. It’s Coming…
  • Market Chats About What Really Went Down with HPSP This Morning
  • Hollysys (HOLI US): Keep Calm as Closing Date Slips
  • Multiple Positive Catalysts Ahead Of Q124 Earnings Season
  • Belle Fashion IPO: The Investment Case
  • Megastudy Education: A Major Shareholder Return Policy in 2024-2026


Pasona (2168 JP) Special Div – Too Small to Matter

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, Pasona Group (2168 JP) announced its expected use of funds into the May 2024 results, including a special dividend plan, investment for growth, and “strengthening the operating platform.”
  • The plan will disappoint. The stock may get hit hard. The truth is somewhere in the middle. This is where active stewardship matters. So get stewarding.
  • A special div paid over 5yrs should be paid one-shot, now. If the company has plans worth supporting, set KPIs now, ask for money later. Good plans get good money.

Kokusai Elec (6525) – The Much-Anticipated Lockup Expiry

By Travis Lundy

  • Last autumn, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) was IPOed by KKR. The lockup expires next week, on 21 April 2024 (a Sunday). That frees up about 70% of the stock.
  • KKR’s own stake is worth about US$2.8bn. It is not clear that Applied Materials, Qatar, or the Koch Strategic Platforms stakes would be for sale (now, or near-term).
  • There is an interesting schedule of events between here and a likely offering date. It pays to pay attention to the details. 

Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up – KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait

By Sumeet Singh

  • KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
  • KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
  • In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.

Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Idemitsu (5019): First SumiChem’s, Now JERA’s Stake in Fuji Oil (5017) To Go to 22%. It’s Coming…

By Travis Lundy

  • In the mid-late teens, four refinery groups merged to create two refinery groups – JX and Tonen General became JXTG under ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) and Idemitsu took over ShowaShell.
  • When Idemitsu got ShowaShell, it got 50+% in Toa Oil Co Ltd (5008 JP), 6.58% of Fuji Oil Co Ltd (5017 JP). In 2020, they tried to buy in Toa.
  • That was delayed by an activist. Today, Idemitsu announced they had gone to 23% in Fuji Oil. That stake will go up before it goes down.

Market Chats About What Really Went Down with HPSP This Morning

By Sanghyun Park

  • This morning’s HPSP (403870 KS) situation began with Maekyung’s report, indicating Crescendo PE contacted local bankers for the controlling stake sale.
  • The surge in HPSP’s stock price after Maekyung’s report suggests Crescendo PE’s tacit approval, implying their involvement in the news’s emergence.
  • Despite the likely confirmed sale of Crescendo PE’s stake, timing remains uncertain due to disclosure rules. Continued monitoring is vital, considering potential market reactions later.

Hollysys (HOLI US): Keep Calm as Closing Date Slips

By Arun George

  • On 15 April, Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) issued a 6-K filing stating that Ascendent remains in the process of obtaining regulatory approvals. 
  • The gross spread has widened to 8% as the closing date has slipped from the end of March guidance, and an updated timeline is lacking. 
  • A delay in securing regulatory approvals is not uncommon. However, regulatory approvals should be forthcoming as the transaction involves Chinese entities (including a SASAC entity) acquiring a Chinese-focused company. 

Multiple Positive Catalysts Ahead Of Q124 Earnings Season

By William Keating

  • PC, Smartphone Unit shipments both registering YoY growth in Q124
  • TSMC will beat guidance & likely guide Q224 up ~5% QoQ. Samsung’s pre earnings showed strong recovery in operating profit
  • Server unit shipments are on a ~17% YoY growth run rate

Belle Fashion IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George


Megastudy Education: A Major Shareholder Return Policy in 2024-2026

By Douglas Kim

  • On 16 April, Megastudyedu Co, Ltd. (215200 KS) announced a major shareholder return plan, driving up its share price by 14.2% to 60,400 won. 
  • Driven by this attractive shareholder return plan combined with improving fundamentals, we believe that Megastudy Education’s shares could continue to outperform the market in the next several months. 
  • The total shareholder returns including share buybacks/cancellation and dividends are 60% of the company’s non-consolidated net profit from 2024 to 2026.

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Daily Brief Australia: Tietto Minerals Ltd, 5G Networks Ltd/Australia, Findi and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Tietto Minerals (TIE AU): Zhaojin’s Revised and Final Takeover Offer Remains Light
  • 5G Networks Limited (5GN) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024
  • Findi Limited (FND) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024


Tietto Minerals (TIE AU): Zhaojin’s Revised and Final Takeover Offer Remains Light

By Arun George

  • Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU) has disclosed a revised conditional proposal from Zhaojin Mining Industry H (1818 HK) at A$0.68 per share, a 17.2% premium to the previous offer of A$0.58.
  • The offer is conditional on a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition (which can be waived). The offer is declared best and final. 
  • Despite the bump, the offer is below the IE’s valuation range of A$0.79 to A$0.93 per share. The IE’s valuation range would be around 25% higher at current gold prices. 

5G Networks Limited (5GN) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • 5GN sold hosting business and 2/3 of domains business, resulting in over $100 million net gain
  • Company left with $84 million in cash after full debt repayment and transaction costs
  • Expected to generate $5 million in net income post-sale, plans to use cash for acquisitions, share buyback, and dividend, stock expected to rerate positively if targets met.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Findi Limited (FND) – Sunday, Jan 14, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Findi is an illiquid Australian microcap company that controls TSI India, one of the largest owners and operators of ATMs in India
  • TSI India has shown signs of improvement and is expected to perform well in the future
  • Findi plans to list its operating business in India on the Indian stock market and issued convertible bonds in preparation for its IPO at a valuation of A$190.6 million

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief South Korea: Hanmi Science, Eubiologics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Imminent Block Deals Involving Hanmi Science Shares Due to Inheritance Tax Payments
  • EuBiologics (206650 KS): Secular Sectoral Tailwind Is Not The Only Catalyst


Imminent Block Deals Involving Hanmi Science Shares Due to Inheritance Tax Payments

By Sanghyun Park

  • The local market anxiously awaits the family’s ability to pay by early May. Failure could prompt the Tax Service to sell their pledged stocks, including Hanmi Science shares.
  • Preventing Tax Service from selling Hanmi Science shares requires additional collateral, unlikely due to existing pledges. Rumor suggests mother and daughter may sell shares before May, followed by Tax Service.
  • Given negotiation uncertainty with KKR, it’s crucial to prepare for potential failure rather than solely relying on success, necessitating a pragmatic approach.

EuBiologics (206650 KS): Secular Sectoral Tailwind Is Not The Only Catalyst

By Tina Banerjee

  • Eubiologics (206650 KS) received UNICEF oral cholera vaccine order of KRW124B in 2024. This is nearly 1.9x higher than last year’s sales, making the case for record-high sales in 2024.
  • Eubiologics is not expecting any near-term competition. The company is boosting its production capability to 90M doses annually by 2025 from 33M doses currently.
  • Eubiologics is planning to enter the premium vaccine market, which should further accelerate the revenue growth and improve its margins. Recently, Bionote (377740 KS) has increased stake in Eubiologics.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Valeura Energy Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Three exploration wells deliver three discoveries


Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Three exploration wells deliver three discoveries

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Nong Yao-13 exploration well in the new Nong Yao D area that was targeting multiple zones has encountered >30 feet of new oil play across several new shallow intervals which have not been produced elsewhere on the concession.
  • These reservoirs are believed to be recurring across the Nong Yao D area.
  • The drilling result confirms that oil has successfully migrated into this area of the block (a factor that was seen to be a risk in the Nong Yao D area) and open the opportunity for further appraisal and exploration drilling in the vicinity to derisk sufficient volumes to justify a future development.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Sea , CapitaLand Ascendas REIT, Hanwell Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Sea Limited (SE) – Friday, Jan 12, 2024
  • S-REIT Pair Trade Idea: Long CLAR SP and SHORT Keppel REIT on Industry Fundamentals
  • Sam Goi continues to boost his stakes in PSC and GSH


Sea Limited (SE) – Friday, Jan 12, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Sea Limited is a gaming and e-commerce company in Southeast Asia that has experienced fluctuations in its stock price but has strong underlying business performance.
  • Founded in 2009 as Garena by CEO Forrest Li, the company rebranded to Sea Ltd in 2017 and gained access to a wide range of games through Tencent’s investment in 2010.
  • After achieving profitability in 2023, Sea Ltd is now focused on accelerating growth and drawing comparisons to Amazon’s early years.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


S-REIT Pair Trade Idea: Long CLAR SP and SHORT Keppel REIT on Industry Fundamentals

By Jacob Cheng

  • We look at Asia, and see where there are interesting trade idea.  While HK/CH see investors’ capitulation, there are some interesting ideas in Singapore
  • We focus on real estate and look at S-REITs, which just wrap up their 4Q 23 results.  We see divergence in terms of industry fundamentals
  • Within S-REITs, we like industrial and retail given stronger industry fundamentals and stable asset valuation

Sam Goi continues to boost his stakes in PSC and GSH

By Geoff Howie

  • Sam Goi continues to boost his stakes in PSC and GSH INSTITUTIONS were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the four trading sessions from Apr 5 to 11, with S$44 million of net institutional outflow, as 21 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$25 million.
  • He acquired 144,700 shares of the company at S$0.352 per share, taking his total interest from 30.74 per cent to 30.77 per cent.
  • Goi also bought more shares of GSH Corporation, where he also serves as executive chairman.

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Daily Brief India: LTIMindtree, Adani Green Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition
  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Names Eligible for NIFTY 50 Addition

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 indices in the September 2024 rebalance.
  • There could be at least one change for NIFTY 50 and separately, there could be up to five changes for NIFTY Next 50.

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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