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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Australia: Cryosite Ltd, DigiCo Infrastructure REIT and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Cryosite Ltd – Strong trading update to start FY26
  • DigiCo Deals Diminish Doubts


Cryosite Ltd – Strong trading update to start FY26

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Cryosite Limited (ASX:CTE) is an Australian company specialising in temperature-controlled storage and logistics solutions for the life sciences and pharmaceutical industries, in particular for clinical trials and biological materials.
  • CTE has released a Q1 FY26 trading update which demonstrated strong financial and operational performance for the quarter.
  • The customer base seems to be increasing with existing clients expanding their work with CTE while new clients have been onboarded in recent months.

DigiCo Deals Diminish Doubts

By FNArena

  • Shares in DigiCo Infrastructure REIT have been re-invigorated following new contract wins and updated FY26 guidance by management.
  • New contract wins for DigiCo Infrastructure REIT Inaugural FY26 guidance boosts market confidence Shares still trading at relative discounts to valuation and industry peers Debt levels high by infrastructure standards, highlights Ord Minnett

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Chagee IPO Lockup: US$2.8bn Lockup Release; XVC Likely to Begin Monetization and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Chagee IPO Lockup: US$2.8bn Lockup Release; XVC Likely to Begin Monetization
  • Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Mergers, SPACs, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025
  • Chey Divorce Verdict Tomorrow at 10 AM: SK Inc Poised for Larger-Than-Expected Intraday Moves
  • ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) Earnings Preview: Strong Track Record Points to Post-Result Gains
  • SSI Newsletter Highlights: Investment Ideas, Merger Arbitrage Opportunities, and Key Transactions
  • Allwyn–OPAP: Building a Lottery Powerhouse, Creating a Complex Arb


Chagee IPO Lockup: US$2.8bn Lockup Release; XVC Likely to Begin Monetization

By Nicholas Tan

  • Chagee Holdings (CHA US) raised US$411m from its US IPO in April 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon. 
  • Chagee is a leading premium tea drinks brand, serving healthy and delicious freshly-made tea drinks.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Mergers, SPACs, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025

By Special Situation Investments

  • LakeShore Biopharma’s delisting from Nasdaq to OTC caused forced selling, impacting merger arbitrage spread, with 18% upside potential.
  • Mayne Pharma’s acquisition by Cosette Pharmaceuticals faces legal challenges over a material adverse change, with a 40-50% spread.
  • Currency Exchange International’s closure of Canadian business and potential US uplisting could enhance profitability and shareholder returns.

Chey Divorce Verdict Tomorrow at 10 AM: SK Inc Poised for Larger-Than-Expected Intraday Moves

By Sanghyun Park

  • Supreme Court divorce ruling for Chairman Chey (17.9% owner) hits tomorrow 10 a.m., likely driving intraday swings.
  • Chey’s wealth is mainly SK Inc (17.8%) and SK Siltron (29.6%). With half SK Inc shares tied, only SK Siltron offers liquidity, but it still falls short of his needs.
  • If the Supreme Court surprises, Chey may act on SK Inc shares, fueling a management/control narrative. Payments are due immediately, so SK Inc could see bigger intraday swings than expected.

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) Earnings Preview: Strong Track Record Points to Post-Result Gains

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) is scheduled to report its Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025.
  • Highlight: In recent years, the bank has consistently beat analysts’ expectations and often posted a positive performance post-earnings.
  • Portfolio Impact: As a Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex heavyweight, earnings-day moves ripple across the benchmark, making results market-relevant beyond the single stock.

SSI Newsletter Highlights: Investment Ideas, Merger Arbitrage Opportunities, and Key Transactions

By Special Situation Investments

  • Lennar Corporation plans to divest its remaining 20% stake in Millrose Properties to shareholders with a 6.38% premium.
  • Falcon Oil & Gas agreed to sell assets to TBN, distributing TBN shares to shareholders at a 0.00687x ratio.
  • Dickson Concepts trades at a 40% discount to net cash, with potential privatization efforts by founder Dickson Poon.

Allwyn–OPAP: Building a Lottery Powerhouse, Creating a Complex Arb

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Defined downside: OPAP trades ~2% below its €19.04 exit anchor, with a 5% cap limiting redemption but offering a clear floor for risk-arbitrage positioning.
  • Catalyst carry: €0.50 dividend in November plus €0.80 post-close yield 6–7% carry into H1 2026 completion, reinforcing positive IRR on a short-duration special situation.
  • Governance overlay: KKCG’s 85% voting control speeds execution and capital access but embeds a governance discount; key to watch: listing venue, board independence, and dividend discipline.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Smartkarma, PSC Corporation, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: Smartkarma (SMARTKARMA SP) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: PSC Corporation (PSCC SP) – Oct 2025
  • Malaysia Rubber Market In July 2025: Growth Amid Structural Challenges


Primer: Smartkarma (SMARTKARMA SP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Smartkarma is a global investment research network that connects independent insight providers with institutional investors, operating on a subscription-based model that aligns with the trend of unbundling research costs from execution services, driven by regulations like MiFID II.
  • The company’s key value proposition is providing access to differentiated and often under-covered research, with a focus on Asian and emerging markets, event-driven situations, and small/mid-cap equities.
  • Founded by experienced finance and technology professionals, Smartkarma is a private, Series B company backed by notable venture capital firms and strategic investors, indicating confidence in its disruptive business model and growth potential.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: PSC Corporation (PSCC SP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • PSC Corporation presents a mixed operational profile, with its Consumer Essentials segment demonstrating robust growth, counterbalancing the persistent weakness in its Packaging division.
  • The company maintains a strong balance sheet and a commitment to shareholder returns, evidenced by a consistently increasing dividend payout, supported by healthy cash flow generation.
  • Key challenges include significant revenue exposure to the Chinese Yuan, creating currency volatility, and navigating the highly competitive, over-capacitated packaging industry in China.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Malaysia Rubber Market In July 2025: Growth Amid Structural Challenges

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Production jumps 36.7% month-on-month  
  • Exports surge, led by China demand  
  • Smallholders face ageing and skills gap  

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Daily Brief Macro: UK: Mixed Messages On Labour Market and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: Mixed Messages On Labour Market
  • Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October
  • Oil futures: Crude off lows as US-China trade tensions eyed
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October
  • Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October
  • Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October
  • Malaysia Rubber Market In July 2025: Growth Amid Structural Challenges
  • MAS Holds Course on Tightening
  • Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October
  • Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October


UK: Mixed Messages On Labour Market

By Phil Rush

  • Most narratives can find some support in the latest labour market report, preserving uncertainty that should keep the BoE on hold at least until some clarity emerges.
  • Unemployment has increased (LFS) or stabilised (payrolls), while pay is shockingly resurgent (inc-bonuses), slowing as expected (ex-bonus) or stagnating (private pay).
  • Weakness isn’t as clear as the consensus and press sometimes make out, but concerns aren’t invalidated. We still expect resilience to preserve excess inflation hawkishly.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • US base oils demand could be steadier amid rangebound prices and signs of more muted pressure from any surplus supply.
  • US base oils demand typically rises in month of October from September, before falling in month of November.
  • Demand could be lower than usual as buyers and distributors work down stocks built up as buffer against weather-related supply disruptions during Atlantic hurricane season.

Oil futures: Crude off lows as US-China trade tensions eyed

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures opened the week slightly firmer as benchmarks recovered some of Friday’s steep losses, but markets are set to remain volatile amid renewed tariff threats between the US and China.
  • Front-month Dec25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $63.32/b (1415 BST) versus Friday’s settle of $62.73/b, while Nov25 NYMEX WTI was at $59.67/b against a previous close of $58.90/b.
  • Crude prices plunged on Friday as part of a broad-based financial selloff following renewed trade tensions between Washington and Beijing after US President Trump threatened a “massive increase” in tariffs on Chinese goods, citing “hostile” export controls on critical minerals.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds in narrow range.
  • Firm gasoil premium to crude oil puts more pressure on refiners to trim light-grade supply rather than heavy grades, despite persistent surplus availability of heavy grades.
  • Asia’s base oils supply-surplus could face more upward pressure over coming months, even with firmer gasoil premium to crude, amid lighter round of plant-maintenance and start-up of new base oils units.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia Group I heavy-neutrals price falls vs ex-tank UAE price since early-August to widest discount in more than two years.
  • Wider price-discount facilitates arbitrage to move surplus supplies from Asia to Middle East.
  • Asia’s surplus Group I supplies rise amid pick-up in imports from other regions like Europe, as well as recovery in output in markets like Thailand after plant-maintenance work.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • Global base oils prices mostly hold firm versus feedstock/competing fuel prices amid further drop in crude oil prices.
  • Mostly-steady outright base oils prices and lower crude prices cushion impact of strong gasoil premium to crude oil.
  • Strong gasoil crack-spread incentivizes any refinery moves to trim output levels to focus more on light grades than heavy grades.

Malaysia Rubber Market In July 2025: Growth Amid Structural Challenges

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Production jumps 36.7% month-on-month  
  • Exports surge, led by China demand  
  • Smallholders face ageing and skills gap  

MAS Holds Course on Tightening

By Heteronomics AI

  • MAS holds policy steady as Q3 GDP beats 2% consensus with 2.9% growth, core inflation at 0.5% for 2025.
  • The central bank is less dovish on 2026 easing as the output gap stays positive through 2025, near zero in 2026.
  • Tariff risks are contained as pharma exemptions are negotiated, and AI investments support manufacturing resilience.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as signs of healthy stocks and rising supplies curb urgency to buy.
  • Any need to move surplus supplies to markets beyond Asia could put pressure on adjustment in prices to make those shipments more feasible.
  • Any such moves, and the subsequent prospect of additional price-pressure, could add to attraction of procuring smaller volumes more frequently.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • US base oils prices remain in narrow range vs feedstock prices.
  • Steady margins sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output at time of year when demand typically starts to slow.
  • Persistently-steady margins and increasingly squeezed stocks in first seven months of 2025 suggest fundamentals remain balanced even with incentive to maintain higher output.

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Daily Brief United States: Chagee Holdings, Paypal Holdings, Microsoft Corp, Mosaic Co/The, Lennar Corp A, Johnson & Johnson, Bristol Myers Squibb Co, Confluent, Base Oil, Verizon Communications and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Chagee IPO Lockup: US$2.8bn Lockup Release; XVC Likely to Begin Monetization
  • Paypal & Google Are Quietly Launching The Future Of Commerce—Your Wallet Just Got Smarter!
  • Microsoft’s New AI Can Give Health Advice—And Harvard Is Backing It!
  • Mosaic Crashes On Plant Woes — But One Fix Could Spark A Big Rebound!
  • SSI Newsletter Highlights: Investment Ideas, Merger Arbitrage Opportunities, and Key Transactions
  • J&J’s Pursuit of Protagonist Therapeutics: A Strategic Move To Reinforce Immunology Leadership Post-Stelara!
  • Bristol Myers’ $1.5 Billion RNA Gamble: Could Orbital Therapeutics Rewire Its Future?
  • Confluent Up For Grabs? AI Infrastructure Giant Eyes Sale Amid Industry Frenzy!
  • Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October
  • Verizon’s Starry Acquisition: The $5G Shortcut Wall Street Didn’t See Coming!


Chagee IPO Lockup: US$2.8bn Lockup Release; XVC Likely to Begin Monetization

By Nicholas Tan

  • Chagee Holdings (CHA US) raised US$411m from its US IPO in April 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon. 
  • Chagee is a leading premium tea drinks brand, serving healthy and delicious freshly-made tea drinks.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Paypal & Google Are Quietly Launching The Future Of Commerce—Your Wallet Just Got Smarter!

By Baptista Research

  • The commerce landscape is about to undergo a structural transformation as PayPal and Alphabet’s Google join forces in a multi-pronged AI-driven payments partnership launching in Q4 2025.
  • Announced in September, the alliance will embed PayPal’s checkout experience directly into Google’s ecosystem—across Google Cloud, Google Ads, Google Play, and select consumer-facing properties.
  • At the same time, the two companies are co-developing AI frameworks to power agent-led transactions, where autonomous digital agents make purchases on a user’s behalf using PayPal data.

Microsoft’s New AI Can Give Health Advice—And Harvard Is Backing It!

By Baptista Research

  • Microsoft is making a bold move into the healthcare AI space, partnering with Harvard Medical School to improve the reliability of medical advice generated by its Copilot assistant.
  • The collaboration, set to be unveiled with an update to Copilot as early as this month, integrates health content from Harvard Health Publishing.
  • This step reflects Microsoft’s broader ambitions to establish Copilot as a leading AI assistant not just in productivity software but in areas demanding high accuracy and trust—like healthcare.

Mosaic Crashes On Plant Woes — But One Fix Could Spark A Big Rebound!

By Baptista Research

  • Shares of fertilizer giant Mosaic Co. have been under significant pressure as the company grapples with dual setbacks — unplanned phosphate plant outages and ongoing macroeconomic headwinds tied to U.S. trade tariffs.
  • On October 10, the company disclosed a meaningful production shortfall in its phosphate segment for Q3 2025, citing mechanical issues and utility interruptions that pushed preliminary volumes down to just 1.7 million tons, well below expectations.
  • This comes on top of a challenging landscape in which U.S. tariffs have eroded the competitiveness of American fertilizer exports.

SSI Newsletter Highlights: Investment Ideas, Merger Arbitrage Opportunities, and Key Transactions

By Special Situation Investments

  • Lennar Corporation plans to divest its remaining 20% stake in Millrose Properties to shareholders with a 6.38% premium.
  • Falcon Oil & Gas agreed to sell assets to TBN, distributing TBN shares to shareholders at a 0.00687x ratio.
  • Dickson Concepts trades at a 40% discount to net cash, with potential privatization efforts by founder Dickson Poon.

J&J’s Pursuit of Protagonist Therapeutics: A Strategic Move To Reinforce Immunology Leadership Post-Stelara!

By Baptista Research

  • As Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) faces intensifying competition in the immunology landscape, recent reports indicate the healthcare behemoth is exploring the acquisition of Protagonist Therapeutics, a biotechnology firm currently collaborating with JNJ on the development of icotrokinra, a novel oral therapy targeting immune diseases like plaque psoriasis and ulcerative colitis.
  • The news has driven Protagonist’s stock up nearly 30%, valuing the company at around $4.2 billion.
  • JNJ already holds exclusive commercialization rights to icotrokinra, which analysts at Leerink Partners project could generate peak global sales of $9.5 billion.

Bristol Myers’ $1.5 Billion RNA Gamble: Could Orbital Therapeutics Rewire Its Future?

By Baptista Research

  • Bristol Myers Squibb has made headlines once again—this time with its $1.5 billion all-cash agreement to acquire Orbital Therapeutics, a privately held biotechnology company pioneering nextgeneration RNA therapies.
  • The deal represents a significant move by Bristol to bolster its innovation pipeline amid looming patent expirations, increased payer scrutiny, and a shifting regulatory landscape.
  • Orbital Therapeutics’ platform, which integrates circular and linear RNA engineering with AI-driven design and advanced lipid nanoparticle delivery, is anchored by its lead candidate OTX-201—an RNA immunotherapy targeting autoimmune disease via B cell depletion.

Confluent Up For Grabs? AI Infrastructure Giant Eyes Sale Amid Industry Frenzy!

By Baptista Research

  • Confluent, a leading provider of real-time data streaming infrastructure, has reportedly initiated a sale process amid renewed takeover interest from private equity firms and strategic technology buyers.
  • According to Reuters, the company is working with an investment bank to explore options, though discussions remain in early stages with no guarantee of a deal.
  • The interest comes as Confluent navigates a turbulent stretch in its public market journey—its stock plunged 33% in July 2025 after losing a major AI-native customer, yet it remains an essential enabler of AI-driven applications, processing vast volumes of real-time data.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • US base oils demand could be steadier amid rangebound prices and signs of more muted pressure from any surplus supply.
  • US base oils demand typically rises in month of October from September, before falling in month of November.
  • Demand could be lower than usual as buyers and distributors work down stocks built up as buffer against weather-related supply disruptions during Atlantic hurricane season.

Verizon’s Starry Acquisition: The $5G Shortcut Wall Street Didn’t See Coming!

By Baptista Research

  • U.S. telecom giant Verizon has announced its acquisition of Starry, a smaller broadband internet provider focused on multi-dwelling units (MDUs) and urban communities, in a move that could signal a strategic expansion of its fixed wireless access (FWA) capabilities.
  • The acquisition, for an undisclosed sum, comes on the heels of a robust Q2 2025 earnings report where Verizon demonstrated strength in wireless service revenue and free cash flow, raised its full-year EBITDA and EPS guidance, and reaffirmed its commitment to scaling broadband through both fiber and FWA.
  • Starry’s proprietary millimeter wave technology, which enables low-cost, rapid deployment in dense urban areas, serves nearly 100,000 MDU customers in Boston, New York, Los Angeles, Denver, and Washington, D.C. Verizon executives see this as a strategic opportunity to deepen penetration in hard-to-serve urban segments while leveraging Starry’s customer satisfaction metrics and deployment efficiencies.

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Daily Brief Utilities: China Water Affairs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • China Water Affairs – Event Flash – Proposed Issuance Of 5NC3 USD Notes – Lucror Analytics


China Water Affairs – Event Flash – Proposed Issuance Of 5NC3 USD Notes – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • China Water Affairs (CWA) is roadshowing an issuance of senior unsecured Reg-S only 5NC3 USD notes.
  • The notes are being issued as blue bonds under the company’s green and blue finance framework.
  • Moody’s has provided a second-party opinion, and assigned a SQS2 (very good) sustainability quality score to the framework. 

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Daily Brief India: Tata Consultancy Svcs, ICICI Bank Ltd, Elecon Engineering and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • TCS’s $7 Billion Bet: Building India’s AI Backbone
  • ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) Earnings Preview: Strong Track Record Points to Post-Result Gains
  • The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition


TCS’s $7 Billion Bet: Building India’s AI Backbone

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Tata Consultancy Services has announced a bold USD 6–7 billion investment to build a 1 GW sovereign AI data center network across India, its most capital-intensive project to date.
  • This move shifts TCS from labor-based IT services to AI-driven infrastructure, aligning it with global compute leaders and advancing India’s AI and data-sovereignty goals.
  • TCS’s initiative could reshape India’s digital backbone, driving investment across allied sectors and marking a long-term re-rating opportunity for Indian tech toward infrastructure-led growth.

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) Earnings Preview: Strong Track Record Points to Post-Result Gains

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) is scheduled to report its Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025.
  • Highlight: In recent years, the bank has consistently beat analysts’ expectations and often posted a positive performance post-earnings.
  • Portfolio Impact: As a Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex heavyweight, earnings-day moves ripple across the benchmark, making results market-relevant beyond the single stock.

The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Elecon Engineering announced a INR 400 crore CapEx plan in its Gear division, signaling aggressive expansion and confidence in long-term industrial and defence demand.
  • The investment strengthens Elecon’s position as India’s only defence-grade gearbox manufacturer while unlocking efficiency gains and higher capacity for its global export ambitions.
  • The CapEx-driven scale-up and MHE turnaround improve Elecon’s visibility as a structural growth play, transitioning it from a domestic leader to a global engineering contender.

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Daily Brief Japan: Ebara Corp, Tekscend Photomask, Nikkei 225, Iyogin Holdings , Aeon Fantasy, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Satori Electric, Shift Inc, Meito Sangyo and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning
  • Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: Trading Debut
  • Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Setup: BUY The Bottom, Not the Dip!
  • Japanese Banks – We Clip Our Key Positive Picks in the Big-Caps and Mid-Caps
  • Tekscend Photomask IPO Trading – Priced at the Top, but Still Relatively Cheap
  • Aeon Fantasy (4343 JP): 1H FY02/26 flash update
  • Many Companies Still Miss Opportunities to Deepen Investors’ Understanding of Business Strategies
  • Primer: Satori Electric (7420 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Shift Inc (3697 JP): Full-year FY08/25 flash update
  • Primer: Meito Sangyo (2207 JP) – Oct 2025


Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • After the recent rally, Ebara Corp (6361 JP)‘s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.
  • Ebara Corp (6361 JP) has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.
  • There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for Ebara Corp (6361 JP) since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Setup: BUY The Bottom, Not the Dip!

By Nico Rosti

  • The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) dived to 46544 on Tuesday, after peaking at 48.5k last week. It was ultra-overbought.
  • This correction offers an opportunity to re-enter the rally (or enter the rally, if you missed it), but don’t be too eager to enter early.
  • The Nikkei could correct easily for 2,3 or even 4 weeks when this pattern is encountered, according to our TIME MODEL. 43.5k may be the right area, details in insight.

Japanese Banks – We Clip Our Key Positive Picks in the Big-Caps and Mid-Caps

By Victor Galliano

  • Along with political turbulence, expectations of a near term BoJ rate hike may be diminishing; nonetheless, we believe that these rate hikes will, at worst, be delayed and not derailed
  • We take profits on Mizuho in big caps and on Hirogin Holdings in mid-caps, downgrading these names from buy to neutral whilst generally retaining banks with higher levels of cross-holdings
  • We maintain the following Japanese banks on buy ratings; in the big-caps, we keep Resona and Shizuoka and in the mid-caps we stick with Iyogin Holdings, Hokuhoku and Hachijuni

Tekscend Photomask IPO Trading – Priced at the Top, but Still Relatively Cheap

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, raised around US$900m in its Japan IPO.
  • TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
  • In our previous note, we looked at its past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Aeon Fantasy (4343 JP): 1H FY02/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales reached JPY46.6bn (+6.2% YoY), with operating profit at JPY3.6bn (+26.5% YoY) and EBITDA at JPY8.9bn (+10.1% YoY).
  • Domestic business sales were JPY37.8bn (+8.6% YoY), driven by a 6.7% YoY increase in comparable store sales.
  • China business sales declined to JPY1.7bn (-40.5% YoY), with operating loss narrowing due to structural reforms and facility closures.

Many Companies Still Miss Opportunities to Deepen Investors’ Understanding of Business Strategies

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While more companies are now undertaking English-language disclosures compared to the past, many have merely implemented them without achieving level that truly helps overseas investors deepen understanding of management strategies.
  • Overseas investors seek qualitative explanations and information regarding long-term strategies, yet many companies are reluctant to proactively disclose such information in English, including “corporate governance information” and “long-term/growth strategies.”
  • Only a limited number of companies provide opportunities for top management to directly explain business strategies to overseas investors in English or for outside directors to meet with overseas investors.

Primer: Satori Electric (7420 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Satori Electric is a well-established Japanese distributor of electronic components, semiconductors, and factory automation systems, with a history dating back to 1947. The company is navigating the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry by focusing on value-added services like design and development.
  • Financially, the company exhibits strong growth in net income and dividends, supported by a high dividend yield. However, its profitability and ability to meet debt obligations show weakness, as indicated by a low resilience score. Cash flow has also shown significant volatility.
  • A key strategic development is the planned business integration with Hagiwara Electric Holdings Co., Ltd., effective April 1, 2026. This merger is anticipated to create operational synergies and strengthen market positioning, representing a significant potential catalyst for future value creation.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Shift Inc (3697 JP): Full-year FY08/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In FY08/25, the company reported JPY129.8bn sales, JPY45.0bn gross profit, JPY15.6bn operating profit, and JPY8.9bn net income.
  • Software Testing Services segment achieved JPY84.3bn sales, JPY31.1bn gross profit, and JPY21.5bn operating profit in FY08/25.
  • FY08/26 forecasts JPY150.0bn sales, JPY20.0bn operating profit, and JPY13.5bn net profit, on an adjusted basis.

Primer: Meito Sangyo (2207 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Diversified Business Model Mitigates Risk: Meito Sangyo operates across three distinct segments: Food, Chemicals, and Real Estate, providing resilience against downturns in any single sector. The Food division offers a wide range of confectioneries and beverages, while the Chemicals segment produces specialized, high-margin products like enzymes and dextran for pharmaceutical and cosmetic applications.
  • Exceptional Earnings Growth and Turnaround: The company has demonstrated a remarkable recovery, swinging from a net loss of JPY -703 million in FY2024 to a substantial net profit of JPY 4,719 million in FY2025. This is supported by a 3-year net income compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 37.48%.
  • Attractive Valuation with a Shareholder-Friendly Strategy: The company trades at a low Price-to-Book ratio of 0.62 and a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 7.15. Management is focused on enhancing shareholder value through its ‘MEITO CHALLENGE 2026’ plan, which includes progressive dividends, share buybacks, and a target dividend of JPY 50 per share by FY2027.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Ebara Corp, Hanwha Ocean , Sany Heavy Industry, Asian Terminals, Elecon Engineering, Protasco Bhd, Chongqing Machinery & Electric, Lsi Industries, Norcros PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning
  • Hanwha Ocean: Negative Impact from Chinese Government’s Efforts to Crack Down on U.S. Subsidiaries
  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case
  • Primer: Asian Terminals (ATI PM) – Oct 2025
  • The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition
  • Primer: Protasco Bhd (PRTA MK) – Oct 2025
  • Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium
  • Primer: Chongqing Machinery & Electric (2722 HK) – Oct 2025
  • Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) – Tuesday, Jul 15, 2025
  • Norcros PLC – Earnings-enhancing Fibo deal completes


Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • After the recent rally, Ebara Corp (6361 JP)‘s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.
  • Ebara Corp (6361 JP) has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.
  • There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for Ebara Corp (6361 JP) since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.

Hanwha Ocean: Negative Impact from Chinese Government’s Efforts to Crack Down on U.S. Subsidiaries

By Douglas Kim

  • Chinese government’s efforts to ban Hanwha Ocean’s five U.S. subsidiaries from conducting any transactions with organizations or individuals in China is likely to have material Negative impact on Hanwha Ocean.
  • If Hanwha’s U.S. subsidiaries are banned from Chinese suppliers, they’ll need to source alternatives (Japan, Europe, or domestic U.S. firms), that could involve 20–50% higher costs with longer lead times.
  • Basically, what’s going on is that the Chinese government wants to slow down the United States’ efforts to rebuild its shipbuilding sector with the help of Korean shipbuilders.

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$1.0-1.5 billion.     
  • SANY has six operating segments. The largest segment, as measured by revenue and gross profit, is excavating machinery.
  • The fundamentals are good, with strong growth, an increasing overseas mix, an improving margin profile, strong cash generation, and a solid balance sheet. 

Primer: Asian Terminals (ATI PM) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) is a key port operator in the Philippines with a strong competitive position, managing strategic assets like the Manila South Harbor and the Port of Batangas under long-term concessions.
  • The company demonstrates robust financial health, characterized by strong revenue and profit growth, a consistent dividend payout, and a net cash position. Growth is propelled by tariff adjustments and increasing container volumes.
  • Future growth is underpinned by strategic capacity expansions and favorable macroeconomic tailwinds, including the Philippines’ positive demographic profile and potential shifts in regional manufacturing. However, the company faces long-term risks from concession renewals and rising competition.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Elecon Engineering announced a INR 400 crore CapEx plan in its Gear division, signaling aggressive expansion and confidence in long-term industrial and defence demand.
  • The investment strengthens Elecon’s position as India’s only defence-grade gearbox manufacturer while unlocking efficiency gains and higher capacity for its global export ambitions.
  • The CapEx-driven scale-up and MHE turnaround improve Elecon’s visibility as a structural growth play, transitioning it from a domestic leader to a global engineering contender.

Primer: Protasco Bhd (PRTA MK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Turnaround Story with Diversified Operations: Protasco has successfully pivoted from a net loss in 2022 to profitability, driven by its core Maintenance and Construction segments. The company’s diversified business model, which also includes engineering, property development, and education, provides multiple revenue streams, though with varying degrees of success.
  • Favorable Industry Tailwinds: The Malaysian construction sector is experiencing robust growth, projected to expand significantly in 2025, fueled by government infrastructure spending, private investment, and foreign direct investment. This provides a strong demand backdrop for Protasco’s primary services.
  • Valuation Appears Attractive but Risks Remain: The company trades at low valuation multiples (P/E of 6.8x, P/B of 0.5x), suggesting a potential value opportunity. However, a history of corporate governance issues, inconsistent profitability, and a zero-dividend policy warrant a cautious approach from investors.

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Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.
  • Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the updates and likely A/H premium.

Primer: Chongqing Machinery & Electric (2722 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • CQME is a diversified industrial conglomerate with a broad product portfolio, including power equipment, automotive parts, and general machinery, positioning it to benefit from China’s industrial upgrading.
  • The company exhibits strong value and dividend characteristics, with a low price-to-book ratio and a history of attractive shareholder payouts, supported by robust recent growth in net income and free cash flow.
  • Despite recent positive performance, the company faces headwinds from declining gross and EBITDA margins, historical earnings volatility, and high competitive intensity within China’s machinery sector.

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Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) – Tuesday, Jul 15, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • LSI Industries, led by CEO Jim Clark, specializes in non-residential lighting and display solutions and has transformed significantly since 2018.
  • The company has achieved a 7-year internal rate of return (IRR) of 22% by deepening client relationships and pursuing strategic acquisitions.
  • LSI is the only scaled player in its sector offering both lighting and display solutions, positioning it for projected 3-year IRRs of 17%-20% from its current price of $17.50.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Norcros PLC – Earnings-enhancing Fibo deal completes

By Equity Development

  • In a strong strategic move, Norcros has announced the completion of the Fibo Holding AS acquisition first announced in July.
  • It enhances the company’s existing stable of brands in a higher growth segment and brings group exposure to adjacent markets, most notably Scandinavia.
  • On our estimates, the deal enhances earnings by 13-14% in a full year, along with new market opportunities for existing operations.

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Daily Brief China: Sany Heavy Industry, China Nonferrous Mining Corp, TOP TOY International Group, Chando Global Limited, Water Oasis, LakeShore Biopharma, Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical, JST Group, Zijin Gold, Rio Tinto Ltd and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case
  • China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears
  • TOP TOY IPO: From China To The World — Rapid Growth and Solid Profitability Under MINISO Group
  • Chando Global Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Primer: Water Oasis (1161 HK) – Oct 2025
  • Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Mergers, SPACs, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025
  • Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) IPO: Trading Updates
  • JST Group Pre-IPO: Premium to Peers but Potentially a Domestic “Shopify”
  • Zijin Gold: Less Attractive Relative Valuation Post Share Price Surge
  • Rio’s Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$1.0-1.5 billion.     
  • SANY has six operating segments. The largest segment, as measured by revenue and gross profit, is excavating machinery.
  • The fundamentals are good, with strong growth, an increasing overseas mix, an improving margin profile, strong cash generation, and a solid balance sheet. 

China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

By Brian Freitas

  • The rally in China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)‘s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. 
  • China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK) has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.
  • Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday’s sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.

TOP TOY IPO: From China To The World — Rapid Growth and Solid Profitability Under MINISO Group

By Andrei Zakharov

  • TOP TOY International Group Limited, a world-class pop toy brand company from China, filed to go public in Hong Kong.
  • Founded in 2020, the brand has quickly positioned itself as a domestic rival to China’s Pop Mart, capitalizing on the country’s booming “blind box” and designer toy craze.
  • TOP TOY has shown strong growth and execution, going from RMB641m in sales of pop toy products in 2022 to RMB2,554m expected this year.

Chando Global Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Chando Global Limited (CHANDO HK) is looking to raise at least US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Huatai International and UBS.
  • Chando Global is a multi brand cosmetics company in China. It was China’s third-largest domestic cosmetics group, by retail sales in 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan (F&S).
  • Its flagship brand, CHANDO, had consistently ranked among the top two domestic cosmetics brands for 12 consecutive years from 2013 to 2024 by retail sales.

Primer: Water Oasis (1161 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Water Oasis operates a resilient, dual-engine business model combining beauty services and product retail, primarily in Hong Kong. This diversification provides multiple revenue streams and cross-selling opportunities.
  • The company exhibits a strong financial position with a debt-free balance sheet and significant cash reserves, supporting a high dividend yield. However, recent net income and dividend payouts have shown volatility.
  • Future growth hinges on the recovery of consumer spending in Hong Kong and successful expansion into Greater China. The company’s strategy of targeting various consumer segments and expanding its brand portfolio positions it to capture market shifts, though it faces intense competition.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Mergers, SPACs, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025

By Special Situation Investments

  • LakeShore Biopharma’s delisting from Nasdaq to OTC caused forced selling, impacting merger arbitrage spread, with 18% upside potential.
  • Mayne Pharma’s acquisition by Cosette Pharmaceuticals faces legal challenges over a material adverse change, with a 40-50% spread.
  • Currency Exchange International’s closure of Canadian business and potential US uplisting could enhance profitability and shareholder returns.

Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) IPO: Trading Updates

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Xuanzhu raised HKD 781m (USD 100m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Wednesday, October 15, 2025.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s operation, management track records and discussed the IPO valuation.
  • In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut.

JST Group Pre-IPO: Premium to Peers but Potentially a Domestic “Shopify”

By Nicholas Tan

  • JST Group (1703609D CH) is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is China’s largest and most popular e-commerce SaaS ERP provider. 
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Zijin Gold: Less Attractive Relative Valuation Post Share Price Surge

By Douglas Kim

  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK)’s share price has surged by 92% to reach HK$137.4 per share since its IPO price of HK$71.59 per share.
  • Zijin Gold now trades at a 61% premium to the comps’ average EV/EBITDA valuation multiple in 2026. 
  • One could argue that this excessive valuation multiple is a bit too aggressive despite higher growth prospects. Therefore, on a relative valuation basis, we would not chase after Zijin Gold. 

Rio’s Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?

By Umang Agrawal

  • Pilbara shipments are tracking the lower end of guidance, with cyclone recovery hinging on a strong Q4.
  • Simandou shipments stay on schedule, adding supply pressure amid weak Chinese steel demand and negative margins.
  • China’s diversification and RMB trade shift threaten Rio’s pricing power, demanding agility and strategic adaptation.

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