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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Australia: Invocare Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG Capital Makes a Move

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG Capital Makes a Move

By Arun George

  • AFR reports that TPG Capital, through UBS, is seeking to acquire 14.4m or 10.00% of Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)‘s outstanding shares at A$12.65, a 41.3% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • If the aftermarket raid is successful, TPG will follow the tried-and-test private equity playbook of securing a pre-bid stake before lobbing a non-binding offer at A$12.65 per share
  • TPG has timed its move to take advantage of the post-results price slump. While not a knockout offer, it is a starting point for the Board to secure better terms.

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Daily Brief Japan: SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Ihara Science, Japan Post Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO – Revised Forecast and Valuations – RoA or RoE?
  • Ihara Science (5999 JP) – Not Over But Not a Great Look
  • Japan Post Bank Placement – Misbehaving – Still Has Time to Correct – A Look at past Deals

SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO – Revised Forecast and Valuations – RoA or RoE?

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt.
  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.
  • In this note, we talk about our updated earnigns forecast and thoughts on valuations

Ihara Science (5999 JP) – Not Over But Not a Great Look

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Ihara Science (5999 JP) reported on TDNet a forthcoming change in the Tender Offer Registration Statement by MBO bidder N.I.M.
  • N.I.M. and normally-known-as-deep-value-activist NAVF (a.k.a. Nippon Active Value Fund), Ihara Science’s #2 shareholder, signed a Tender Offer Agreement whereby NAVF agreed to tender. 
  • It got a little more complicated 90mins later, but this was an announcement which did not need to be made. It begs the question of why. And what next.

Japan Post Bank Placement – Misbehaving – Still Has Time to Correct – A Look at past Deals

By Sumeet Singh


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Daily Brief South Korea: Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF, Rainbow Robotics, S.M.Entertainment Co, Coupang, Samsung FN Reit and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Long Short Setup Candidate: Posco Holdings & Celltrion with TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!
  • Kakao Announces a Tender Offer of SM Entertainment at 150,000 Won Per Share
  • Kakao’s Tender Offer to SM Ent Shareholders: Key Details of Disclosure Filed This Morning
  • Coupang: Revenue & Profits Let Coupang Down, Valuation Is Still at a Significant Premium to Peers
  • Samsung FN REIT: The First Major REIT IPO for Samsung Group

Long Short Setup Candidate: Posco Holdings & Celltrion with TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing

By Sanghyun Park

  • Celltrion and Posco Holdings will switch places. Although there is still time until the screening period, the market capitalization gap between them has already widened significantly.
  • Posco Holdings will likely welcome a passive inflow of 0.44x ADTV, whereas Celltrion is expected to face outflows of around 0.69x ADTV.
  • Ecopro BM entered the Top 20 (preliminary screening table) with a YTD stock price increase of 130%, becoming the first KOSDAQ-listed company to do so.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!

By Brian Freitas

  • Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)
  • One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.5%. Impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions and shorts are building up on the deletes.
  • Since the start of the review period, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions by nearly 50% and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) by over 20%.

Kakao Announces a Tender Offer of SM Entertainment at 150,000 Won Per Share

By Douglas Kim

  • On 7 March, Kakao Corp (035720 KS) announced a tender offer of up to 35% of outstanding shares of SM Entertainment at 150,000 won per share.
  • We believe that this will be a successful tender offer and the share price of SM Entertainment is likely to surge to near 150,000 won per share. 
  • The minority shareholders of SM Entertainment are cheering on as its share price appreciation will be nearly 96% from end of 2022 to the tender offer price of 150,000 won. 

Kakao’s Tender Offer to SM Ent Shareholders: Key Details of Disclosure Filed This Morning

By Sanghyun Park

  • Kakao and Kakao Entertainment each plan to purchase 4.167 million shares at ₩150,000 per share, totaling 8.33 million. This is a 14.5% premium to the last close.
  • The tendering ending date is March 26th, Sunday, so the actual ending date is March 24th. Since Korea adopts the T+2 settlement system, stocks must be purchased by the 22nd.
  • The price of SM may decline towards below the tender price relatively quickly as a large number of retail investors will likely bet on the prolonged proxy battle.

Coupang: Revenue & Profits Let Coupang Down, Valuation Is Still at a Significant Premium to Peers

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • South Korea’s largest e-commerce company, Coupang (CPNG US) sank around 20% leading up to 4Q22 earnings. It dropped another 9% soon after the earnings report to around $14.0 per ADS.
  • Meanwhile, the valuation remains expensive compared to regional peers as Coupang is trading at an 80% premium to the second most expensive e-commerce name in the region.
  • If the share price breaks the trend line here, we think shares could go on to fall below the last year’s bottom of $8.98 per ADS.

Samsung FN REIT: The First Major REIT IPO for Samsung Group

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung FN REIT is getting ready to complete its IPO in April 2023, which will be the first Samsung Group related REIT that will become public. 
  • The core real estate properties of Samsung FN REIT will include the ‘Daechi Tower’ and ‘S1 Building’ which have excellent locations in Seoul. 
  • We expect a huge demand for this IPO of Samsung FN REIT and we have a Positive view of this IPO. 

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Daily Brief United States: International Business Machines, Diageo PLC, IDEXX Laboratories, NFT, SolarEdge Technologies Inc, Bitcoin Pro, Valero Energy, Enterprise Products Partners, Natural Gas and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • International Business Machines Corp (IBM US) – TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-7% Upswing
  • Diageo: A Rare Gift From Mr. Market
  • IDEXX Laboratories Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Other Drivers
  • Sporting Crypto – 6th March 2023: Is AR the New Meta?
  • SolarEdge Technologies Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Acquisition of Hark Systems & Other Drivers
  • The Future of Fiat On-Ramps
  • Valero Energy: Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (02/23)
  • Enterprise Product Partners: Major Drivers
  • US Large-Sized Farms Increase – Due to Input Cost Pressure // The Fall of The Petrodollar

International Business Machines Corp (IBM US) – TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-7% Upswing

By David Coloretti, CMT

  • IBM US peaked at 153.21 in December 2022 and has declined more than 15% in the subsequent 12 weeks.
  • Last week’s low of 127.71 was plagued by extreme ST momentum failure and this new 4 month low was quick to fail and reverse.
  • Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS < 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-7% upswing in the coming 1-2 weeks.

Diageo: A Rare Gift From Mr. Market

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • Diageo’s share price has been underperforming for far too long due to outside factors that have little to do with the business itself.
  • The premium brand portfolio in combination with the well-executed acquisition strategy creates a unique opportunity.
  • The company is well-positioned to retain and even improve its industry-leading margins.

IDEXX Laboratories Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • IDEXX had a strong finish to the year, reflected in the company’s all-around beat in the last quarter.
  • Its revenues increased organically, driven by organic gains in CAG Diagnostic and strong growth in its water and software businesses.
  • Organic revenue growth in the quarter was supported by solid organic growth across its major business segments and growth in diagnostic imaging and veterinary software revenues.

Sporting Crypto – 6th March 2023: Is AR the New Meta?

By Sporting Crypto

  • Through my work and writing, I’ve been thinking more and more about an area that I’m not an expert in: gaming.
  • And when we combine the word ‘Gaming’ with ‘Web3’ — there is a buzz and sense of excitement from most.
  • Specifically, it’s all the rage when people talk about NFTs and the future of gaming.

SolarEdge Technologies Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Acquisition of Hark Systems & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SolarEdge Technologies reported a strong quarter with revenues of $890 million in revenues and an all-around beat.
  • The U.S., Germany, the Netherlands, Italy, the U.K., and France all had noteworthy growth year over year.
  • We initiate coverage on SolarEdge Technologies with a ‘Hold’ rating.

The Future of Fiat On-Ramps

By Kaiko

  • Silvergate is in deep trouble. On March 1, the “crypto bank” revealed in a regulatory filing that it could soon be “less than well capitalized.”
  • The news prompted Coinbase, Paxos, Galaxy Digital and a host of other large crypto enterprises to drop Silvergate as a banking partner. Why does this matter? 
  • The “fiat problem” has long plagued crypto markets: to buy bitcoin, you at some point need to interact with the traditional banking system.

Valero Energy: Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (02/23)

By Baptista Research

  • Valero had a solid year-end, with refineries running at 97% of their capacity in a positive refining margin situation.
  • Besides, significantly discounted sour crude oils and fuel oils helped its refinery.
  • High natural gas costs in Europe also encouraged refiners to process sweet crude oils rather than sour crude oils, placing additional pressure on sour crude oils.

Enterprise Product Partners: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Enterprise Product Partners delivered a mixed set of results in the quarter.
  • Enterprise moved a record 11.2 million barrels of oil equivalent per day which helped it deliver an all-around beat.
  • They believe that a wide gas-to-crude differential could result in a considerable cost advantage for American petrochemicals globally.

US Large-Sized Farms Increase – Due to Input Cost Pressure // The Fall of The Petrodollar

By The Commodity Report

  • US Large-Sized Farms Increase – Due to Input Cost Pressure According to the Farms and Land in Farms Report by the USDA, the largest farms in the US that had sales of $1 million or more, now operate almost 26% of the country’s farmland.
  • The farms in this sales class have increased in size, while farms in every other sales class have either remained the same size or decreased.
  • According to the Farms and Land in Farms Report by the USDA, the largest farms in the US that had sales of $1 million or more, now operate almost 26% of the country’s farmland.

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Daily Brief India: Adani Enterprises, Yes Bank, Global Health (Medanta) and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Adani Family Sells Stakes To GQG
  • YES Bank Lock-Up Expiry: Forced Sellers, Overhang & Index Implications
  • Global Health (MEDANTA IN): Solid 3Q and 9M Results; Continued Expansion to Drive Growth

Adani Family Sells Stakes To GQG

By Travis Lundy

  • Late Thursday night, the Adani Group announced that the family entities had sold Rs 154bn or US$1.8bn+ of stock in four listed entities to Australian-listed GQG Partners (GQG AU)
  • GQG is a US$90bn AUM asset manager specialising in emerging markets. They bought stakes of 2.55-4.10% in each of four entities. 
  • This “increases” float, but doesn’t. As of now, this will partially offset one MSCI downweight in May, and will likely cause three FIF uplifts.

YES Bank Lock-Up Expiry: Forced Sellers, Overhang & Index Implications

By Brian Freitas

  • The lock-up on nearly 9.4bn shares of Yes Bank (YES IN) expires on 13 March. Most of that is from the banks that helped in the recapitalisation in March 2020.
  • There will be forced sellers as soon as the lock-up ends, and there will be other sellers that will want to sell.
  • The forced and discretionary selling will be offset to a very small extent by inflows from passive trackers in May/June as the free float for the stock increases.

Global Health (MEDANTA IN): Solid 3Q and 9M Results; Continued Expansion to Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN) reported double-digit growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net profit during Q3 and 9MFY23, driven by increasing footfalls, rising ARPOB, and faster-than-expected ramp-up of new hospitals.
  • The company plans to add 1,000–1,500 beds in next 2–3 years, with ~70% of the planned bed addition being at existing hospitals, thereby entailing lower capex per bed.
  • Recently, Medanta has announced a new asset light partnership to launch a 300-bed hospital in Indore under operations and management arrangement. The hospital is expected to commence operation in FY27.  

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Daily Brief China: Dida, Kuaishou Technology, Bilibili Inc, Luckin Coffee, Mobvoi, Shenzhen Edge Medical, Country Garden Holdings Co and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Dida Pre-IPO: Losing Its Dominance
  • China Internet Weekly (6Mar2023): JD, Kuaishou, Baidu, Weibo, Vipshop
  • [Bilibili Inc. (BILI US) Target Price Change]: Minor Protection Would Be a Pending Issue
  • [Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY US) Earnings Review]: A Few Bright Spots in a Transactional Quarter
  • Mobvoi: Focused on AI Technologies for Advanced Voice Interaction and Hardware-Software Integration
  • Pre-IPO Shenzhen Edge Medical – The Surgical Robot Business in China Is Proving Harder than Expected
  • Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NagaCorp Ltd

Dida Pre-IPO: Losing Its Dominance

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Chinese carpooling platform Dida (DIDA HK) has refiled for an IPO on the HKEx for the second time (in 2020 and 2021) and could raise around US$200m through the IPO.
  • Dida’s last two attempts were not successful and some news media outlets reported that Dida has got assurance from regulators to go ahead with the IPO.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the new data points from the company’s latest IPO filings.

China Internet Weekly (6Mar2023): JD, Kuaishou, Baidu, Weibo, Vipshop

By Ming Lu

  • Two JD.com departments began to try fresh food front-line warehouse again.
  • Radio and Television Administration plans to clean the content in short video.
  • Herman Yu, Baidu’s chief strategy officer and formerly CFO, just resigned.

[Bilibili Inc. (BILI US) Target Price Change]: Minor Protection Would Be a Pending Issue

By Shawn Yang

  • BILI’s 4Q22 top line was basically in line, while non-GAAP net loss beat cons. by 8.28%. We largely dial down 2023 revenue forecast. 
  • Moreover, we also suggest that recent meeting by the National Radio and Television Administration (NRTA) to curb short video addiction for minor protection would heavily impact BILI.
  • Maintain SELL and cut TP to US$ 15.4, which implies 1.85X PS in 2023.

[Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY US) Earnings Review]: A Few Bright Spots in a Transactional Quarter

By Shawn Yang

  • Luckin Coffee reported its 4Q22 revenue, non-GAAP operating income, and non-GAAP net income (9.1%), (11.4%), (57.9%) lower than our estimate. 
  • The store temporary close due to Covid impact is the main reason for revenue miss, and the higher income tax payment is the reason for the miss on NI.  
  • We expect Luckin to catch up the store expansion schedule in 1Q23 at 730 new stores, and reach to 10,500 total stores by the end of 2023. 

Mobvoi: Focused on AI Technologies for Advanced Voice Interaction and Hardware-Software Integration

By Douglas Kim

  • Mobvoi uses AI technology to improve the next generation human-machine interaction. The company’s key partners include Google and Volkswagen.
  • Mobvoi provides full-stack AI solutions for various hardware-software integration, voice interaction technology and engineering capabilities. The key sectors served include IoT, finance, telecommunications, F&B, and auto. 
  • Since the founding of the company in 2012, the company has raised US$253 million in funding. Major investors in the company include Sequoia Capital, ZhenFund, SIG, and Google. 

Pre-IPO Shenzhen Edge Medical – The Surgical Robot Business in China Is Proving Harder than Expected

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • MP1000 has strong technical strength, setting it apart from Toumai. SP1000’s advantages are more obvious and the competitive landscape is also better than multi-port surgical robots, indicating corner overtaking opportunity.
  • With favorable policy support, Shenzhen Edge Medical (SEM HK) is embracing a golden opportunity. But the commercialization outlook of surgical robots in China is actually not optimistic.
  • As a later-comer in surgical robots industry, without the synergy from parent company, Edge’s future sales performance could be even weaker. So, its valuation should be lower than Medbot.

Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NagaCorp Ltd

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Financials: SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Japan Post Bank, Yes Bank, Samsung FN Reit, Country Garden Holdings Co, Bitcoin Pro and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO – Revised Forecast and Valuations – RoA or RoE?
  • Japan Post Bank Placement – Misbehaving – Still Has Time to Correct – A Look at past Deals
  • YES Bank Lock-Up Expiry: Forced Sellers, Overhang & Index Implications
  • Samsung FN REIT: The First Major REIT IPO for Samsung Group
  • Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NagaCorp Ltd
  • The Future of Fiat On-Ramps

SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO – Revised Forecast and Valuations – RoA or RoE?

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt.
  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.
  • In this note, we talk about our updated earnigns forecast and thoughts on valuations

Japan Post Bank Placement – Misbehaving – Still Has Time to Correct – A Look at past Deals

By Sumeet Singh


YES Bank Lock-Up Expiry: Forced Sellers, Overhang & Index Implications

By Brian Freitas

  • The lock-up on nearly 9.4bn shares of Yes Bank (YES IN) expires on 13 March. Most of that is from the banks that helped in the recapitalisation in March 2020.
  • There will be forced sellers as soon as the lock-up ends, and there will be other sellers that will want to sell.
  • The forced and discretionary selling will be offset to a very small extent by inflows from passive trackers in May/June as the free float for the stock increases.

Samsung FN REIT: The First Major REIT IPO for Samsung Group

By Douglas Kim

  • Samsung FN REIT is getting ready to complete its IPO in April 2023, which will be the first Samsung Group related REIT that will become public. 
  • The core real estate properties of Samsung FN REIT will include the ‘Daechi Tower’ and ‘S1 Building’ which have excellent locations in Seoul. 
  • We expect a huge demand for this IPO of Samsung FN REIT and we have a Positive view of this IPO. 

Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NagaCorp Ltd

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


The Future of Fiat On-Ramps

By Kaiko

  • Silvergate is in deep trouble. On March 1, the “crypto bank” revealed in a regulatory filing that it could soon be “less than well capitalized.”
  • The news prompted Coinbase, Paxos, Galaxy Digital and a host of other large crypto enterprises to drop Silvergate as a banking partner. Why does this matter? 
  • The “fiat problem” has long plagued crypto markets: to buy bitcoin, you at some point need to interact with the traditional banking system.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

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  • ✓ Company Data and News
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Daily Brief Industrials: Adani Enterprises, Mirae Asset Tiger Top 10 ETF, Rainbow Robotics, Ihara Science, Natural Gas and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Adani Family Sells Stakes To GQG
  • Long Short Setup Candidate: Posco Holdings & Celltrion with TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!
  • Ihara Science (5999 JP) – Not Over But Not a Great Look
  • US Large-Sized Farms Increase – Due to Input Cost Pressure // The Fall of The Petrodollar

Adani Family Sells Stakes To GQG

By Travis Lundy

  • Late Thursday night, the Adani Group announced that the family entities had sold Rs 154bn or US$1.8bn+ of stock in four listed entities to Australian-listed GQG Partners (GQG AU)
  • GQG is a US$90bn AUM asset manager specialising in emerging markets. They bought stakes of 2.55-4.10% in each of four entities. 
  • This “increases” float, but doesn’t. As of now, this will partially offset one MSCI downweight in May, and will likely cause three FIF uplifts.

Long Short Setup Candidate: Posco Holdings & Celltrion with TIGER Top 10 Rebalancing

By Sanghyun Park

  • Celltrion and Posco Holdings will switch places. Although there is still time until the screening period, the market capitalization gap between them has already widened significantly.
  • Posco Holdings will likely welcome a passive inflow of 0.44x ADTV, whereas Celltrion is expected to face outflows of around 0.69x ADTV.
  • Ecopro BM entered the Top 20 (preliminary screening table) with a YTD stock price increase of 130%, becoming the first KOSDAQ-listed company to do so.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!

By Brian Freitas

  • Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)
  • One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.5%. Impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions and shorts are building up on the deletes.
  • Since the start of the review period, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions by nearly 50% and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) by over 20%.

Ihara Science (5999 JP) – Not Over But Not a Great Look

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Ihara Science (5999 JP) reported on TDNet a forthcoming change in the Tender Offer Registration Statement by MBO bidder N.I.M.
  • N.I.M. and normally-known-as-deep-value-activist NAVF (a.k.a. Nippon Active Value Fund), Ihara Science’s #2 shareholder, signed a Tender Offer Agreement whereby NAVF agreed to tender. 
  • It got a little more complicated 90mins later, but this was an announcement which did not need to be made. It begs the question of why. And what next.

US Large-Sized Farms Increase – Due to Input Cost Pressure // The Fall of The Petrodollar

By The Commodity Report

  • US Large-Sized Farms Increase – Due to Input Cost Pressure According to the Farms and Land in Farms Report by the USDA, the largest farms in the US that had sales of $1 million or more, now operate almost 26% of the country’s farmland.
  • The farms in this sales class have increased in size, while farms in every other sales class have either remained the same size or decreased.
  • According to the Farms and Land in Farms Report by the USDA, the largest farms in the US that had sales of $1 million or more, now operate almost 26% of the country’s farmland.

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Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Dida, Novatek Microelectronics Corp, Kuaishou Technology, Bilibili Inc, Mobvoi, International Business Machines, SolarEdge Technologies Inc, NFT, 1Spatial Plc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Dida Pre-IPO: Losing Its Dominance
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: HP Says No Major PC Recovery in 2023E; Signs of Display ICs Early Turn-Around?
  • China Internet Weekly (6Mar2023): JD, Kuaishou, Baidu, Weibo, Vipshop
  • [Bilibili Inc. (BILI US) Target Price Change]: Minor Protection Would Be a Pending Issue
  • Mobvoi: Focused on AI Technologies for Advanced Voice Interaction and Hardware-Software Integration
  • International Business Machines Corp (IBM US) – TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-7% Upswing
  • SolarEdge Technologies Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Acquisition of Hark Systems & Other Drivers
  • Sporting Crypto – 6th March 2023: Is AR the New Meta?
  • 1Spatial – Encouraging trading and outlook

Dida Pre-IPO: Losing Its Dominance

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Chinese carpooling platform Dida (DIDA HK) has refiled for an IPO on the HKEx for the second time (in 2020 and 2021) and could raise around US$200m through the IPO.
  • Dida’s last two attempts were not successful and some news media outlets reported that Dida has got assurance from regulators to go ahead with the IPO.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the new data points from the company’s latest IPO filings.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: HP Says No Major PC Recovery in 2023E; Signs of Display ICs Early Turn-Around?

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Hon Hai reports YoY increase in January + February sales, maintains outlook.
  • Hewlett Packard results: CEO says does not expect significant PC recovery in FY2023E. Fitipower results show display ICs potentially bottoming earlier than most segments.
  • Memory Monitor: Two latest signals indicate lower margins and extended high inventories; biased Long Micron vs. Short Nanya Tech.

China Internet Weekly (6Mar2023): JD, Kuaishou, Baidu, Weibo, Vipshop

By Ming Lu

  • Two JD.com departments began to try fresh food front-line warehouse again.
  • Radio and Television Administration plans to clean the content in short video.
  • Herman Yu, Baidu’s chief strategy officer and formerly CFO, just resigned.

[Bilibili Inc. (BILI US) Target Price Change]: Minor Protection Would Be a Pending Issue

By Shawn Yang

  • BILI’s 4Q22 top line was basically in line, while non-GAAP net loss beat cons. by 8.28%. We largely dial down 2023 revenue forecast. 
  • Moreover, we also suggest that recent meeting by the National Radio and Television Administration (NRTA) to curb short video addiction for minor protection would heavily impact BILI.
  • Maintain SELL and cut TP to US$ 15.4, which implies 1.85X PS in 2023.

Mobvoi: Focused on AI Technologies for Advanced Voice Interaction and Hardware-Software Integration

By Douglas Kim

  • Mobvoi uses AI technology to improve the next generation human-machine interaction. The company’s key partners include Google and Volkswagen.
  • Mobvoi provides full-stack AI solutions for various hardware-software integration, voice interaction technology and engineering capabilities. The key sectors served include IoT, finance, telecommunications, F&B, and auto. 
  • Since the founding of the company in 2012, the company has raised US$253 million in funding. Major investors in the company include Sequoia Capital, ZhenFund, SIG, and Google. 

International Business Machines Corp (IBM US) – TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-7% Upswing

By David Coloretti, CMT

  • IBM US peaked at 153.21 in December 2022 and has declined more than 15% in the subsequent 12 weeks.
  • Last week’s low of 127.71 was plagued by extreme ST momentum failure and this new 4 month low was quick to fail and reverse.
  • Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS < 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-7% upswing in the coming 1-2 weeks.

SolarEdge Technologies Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Acquisition of Hark Systems & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SolarEdge Technologies reported a strong quarter with revenues of $890 million in revenues and an all-around beat.
  • The U.S., Germany, the Netherlands, Italy, the U.K., and France all had noteworthy growth year over year.
  • We initiate coverage on SolarEdge Technologies with a ‘Hold’ rating.

Sporting Crypto – 6th March 2023: Is AR the New Meta?

By Sporting Crypto

  • Through my work and writing, I’ve been thinking more and more about an area that I’m not an expert in: gaming.
  • And when we combine the word ‘Gaming’ with ‘Web3’ — there is a buzz and sense of excitement from most.
  • Specifically, it’s all the rage when people talk about NFTs and the future of gaming.

1Spatial – Encouraging trading and outlook

By Edison Investment Research

1Spatial’s trading update confirms that trading has remained robust, with FY23 revenues and EBITDA expected to be no less than £29.8m (+10.3% y o-y) and £4.9m (+17% y-o-y) despite some inflationary pressure. The revenue mix continues to improve, with recurring revenues now c 50% (+c 22% y-o-y) of the total and term licences up c 80% to £5.2m. With momentum continuing into Q1, and a healthy order book and pipeline, the company looks well set to deliver further progress this year. Trials of the company’s SaaS applications are progressing well and strong uptake could drive an acceleration in scalable recurring revenue growth.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Enterprise Products Partners, Seadrill Ltd, Valero Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Enterprise Product Partners: Major Drivers
  • SDRL: Sailing Thru an Acquisition
  • Valero Energy: Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (02/23)

Enterprise Product Partners: Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Enterprise Product Partners delivered a mixed set of results in the quarter.
  • Enterprise moved a record 11.2 million barrels of oil equivalent per day which helped it deliver an all-around beat.
  • They believe that a wide gas-to-crude differential could result in a considerable cost advantage for American petrochemicals globally.

SDRL: Sailing Thru an Acquisition

By Hamed Khorsand

  • SDRL is trying to put emphasis on receiving all the required regulatory approvals to close the Aquadrill transaction than on reporting its quarterly results
  • Fourth quarter 2022 is not likely to show much of the benefits the business and industry have been experiencing in recent weeks
  • Day rates have continued to increase as utilization rates remain high and companies are not willing to reactivate their drill ships unless customers pay for the process

Valero Energy: Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (02/23)

By Baptista Research

  • Valero had a solid year-end, with refineries running at 97% of their capacity in a positive refining margin situation.
  • Besides, significantly discounted sour crude oils and fuel oils helped its refinery.
  • High natural gas costs in Europe also encouraged refiners to process sweet crude oils rather than sour crude oils, placing additional pressure on sour crude oils.

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