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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Hong Kong Hang Seng Index, Toshiba Corp, Hamamatsu Photonics Kk, Country Garden Services Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades
  • Weekly Deals Digest (11 Dec) – Toshiba, Bigtincan, Nitro, Warrego, Xingda, VinFast, Weilong
  • Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Earning Momentum Fading
  • Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (9 Dec): Hopefluent, Matrix, Country Garden Services

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

By Simon Harris

  • Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
  • Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
  • We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces

Weekly Deals Digest (11 Dec) – Toshiba, Bigtincan, Nitro, Warrego, Xingda, VinFast, Weilong

By Arun George


Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Earning Momentum Fading

By Scott Foster

  • As expected, FY Sep-22 results were ahead of guidance. Management is forecasting further growth this fiscal year, but guiding for a YoY decline in operating profit in 2H.
  • In addition, the depreciation of the yen, which added 5% to sales at 17% to operating profit last fiscal year, has reversed, economies have weakened and interest rates are up.
  • We continue to recommend profit taking. We would like to buy the shares at ¥6,000 – 15% down from the Dec. 9 close. 

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (9 Dec): Hopefluent, Matrix, Country Garden Services

By David Blennerhassett

  • The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website.
  • Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
  • These insights may flag those companies where shares have been pledged. Stocks mentioned include Hopefluent Group (733 HK), Matrix Holdings (1005 HK), Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK).

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Daily Brief Industrials: Hong Kong Hang Seng Index, Toshiba Corp, Hamamatsu Photonics Kk, Country Garden Services Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades
  • Weekly Deals Digest (11 Dec) – Toshiba, Bigtincan, Nitro, Warrego, Xingda, VinFast, Weilong
  • Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Earning Momentum Fading
  • Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (9 Dec): Hopefluent, Matrix, Country Garden Services

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

By Simon Harris

  • Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
  • Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
  • We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces

Weekly Deals Digest (11 Dec) – Toshiba, Bigtincan, Nitro, Warrego, Xingda, VinFast, Weilong

By Arun George


Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Earning Momentum Fading

By Scott Foster

  • As expected, FY Sep-22 results were ahead of guidance. Management is forecasting further growth this fiscal year, but guiding for a YoY decline in operating profit in 2H.
  • In addition, the depreciation of the yen, which added 5% to sales at 17% to operating profit last fiscal year, has reversed, economies have weakened and interest rates are up.
  • We continue to recommend profit taking. We would like to buy the shares at ¥6,000 – 15% down from the Dec. 9 close. 

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (9 Dec): Hopefluent, Matrix, Country Garden Services

By David Blennerhassett

  • The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website.
  • Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
  • These insights may flag those companies where shares have been pledged. Stocks mentioned include Hopefluent Group (733 HK), Matrix Holdings (1005 HK), Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK).

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Most Read: TA Chen Stainless Pipe, SK REITs, Far Eastern New Century, DMCI Holdings, Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway-A, China Shenhua Energy Co H, Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd, Tietto Minerals Ltd, Liontown Resources, Jardine Cycle & Carriage and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • FTSE TWSE Taiwan Dividend+ Index Rebalance: On Expected Lines; But the Flow Is Massive
  • FTSE EPRA Nareit Index Rebalance: Now One Add for Korea
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, CSI300/500, SSE50/180/380, ChiNext, SZSE1000, CH50, EPRA
  • PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Higher Free Float Means Fewer Changes
  • FTSE China A50 Index Rebalance: Stock Connect Deletion to Drive Change
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Shenhua Energy (1088) Could Replace China Feihe (6186)
  • HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) Could Replace Ming Yuan Cloud (909 HK)
  • MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Two Adds, Four Deletes, Float Changes
  • MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes
  • JCNC Is Still Overstretched Vs. Astra

FTSE TWSE Taiwan Dividend+ Index Rebalance: On Expected Lines; But the Flow Is Massive

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 26 inclusions and 5 deletions for the index resulting in a one-way turnover of 46.3% and a one-way trade of TWD 79.52bn (US$2.6bn). That is HUGE!
  • There at 14 stocks that have over 5 days of ADV to buy from passive funds while there are 20 stocks with more that 5 days of ADV to sell.
  • Over the last 2 weeks and 4 weeks, short interest has decreased on most of the adds while increasing on all the deletes and most of the stocks with outflows.

FTSE EPRA Nareit Index Rebalance: Now One Add for Korea

By Brian Freitas


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, CSI300/500, SSE50/180/380, ChiNext, SZSE1000, CH50, EPRA

By Brian Freitas


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview Feb 23: Higher Free Float Means Fewer Changes

By Brian Freitas


FTSE China A50 Index Rebalance: Stock Connect Deletion to Drive Change

By Brian Freitas


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Shenhua Energy (1088) Could Replace China Feihe (6186)

By Brian Freitas


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) Could Replace Ming Yuan Cloud (909 HK)

By Brian Freitas


MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Two Adds, Four Deletes, Float Changes

By Brian Freitas


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • As expected, there are no adds or deletes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the December rebalance.
  • There are free float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 16 December.
  • One way turnover is estimated at 4.26% and will result in a one-way trade of US$31.5m.

JCNC Is Still Overstretched Vs. Astra

By David Blennerhassett

  • Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP) is currently trading at a ~12% discount to NAV, just outside its narrowest post-Covid.
  • A key catalyst for the recent narrowing was JCNC’s inclusion in the SIMSCI Index at the end of last month.
  • JCNC is expensive here – relative to historical values –  and from an implied stub perspective.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: TA Chen Stainless Pipe and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, HSTECH, TWDiv+, EPRA Nareit, HSCEI, PCOMP, STAR50, REMX, GDXJ

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, HSTECH, TWDiv+, EPRA Nareit, HSCEI, PCOMP, STAR50, REMX, GDXJ

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Softbank Group, Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: JAFCO, Jardine Cycle, Softbank, Star Health
  • ECM Weekly (11th Dec 2022) – ITail, Sunshine, Weilong, VinFast, Skymark, Tian Tu, Cntry Gard, Nippon

Last Week in Event SPACE: JAFCO, Jardine Cycle, Softbank, Star Health

By David Blennerhassett

  • In principle, Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) still wants to be greenmailed to get Murakami-san out. 
  • Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP)i is expensive here – relative to historical values –  and from an implied stub perspective. And the MSCI inclusion event has now passed.
  • If you think this is a “risk”, then you want to be long when the discount is wide and Softbank Group (9984 JP) is monetising assets in some way. 

ECM Weekly (11th Dec 2022) – ITail, Sunshine, Weilong, VinFast, Skymark, Tian Tu, Cntry Gard, Nippon

By Sumeet Singh


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Daily Brief Consumer: Melco Resorts & Entertainment and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Asia Gaming: Raising Recent Guidance on Melco Resorts as Catalysts Begin to Move Market Sentiment

Asia Gaming: Raising Recent Guidance on Melco Resorts as Catalysts Begin to Move Market Sentiment

By Howard J Klein

  • In last month’s insight, we noted that Melco was poised for an upside as it was among the most seriously undervalued stock in the sector. 
  • Despite continuing covid travel ban related losses in 3Q22 earnings release, we saw an upside coming in near term catalysts.
  • Improving performance by 1Q23 will turn sentiment even stronger as the bull case materializes due to positives now poised in place.

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Daily Brief Financials: USD and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • USD Low Gels Dec Risk Peak

USD Low Gels Dec Risk Peak

By Thomas Schroeder

  • We have outlined our bullish DXY zone at 103 but what if the dollar front runs a bull turn as the bulk of near-term yield weakness is baked in.
  • USD lows versus Asian FX shows the ability to turn USD bullish early.
  • SPX rise off of 3,900 pivot support after cracking RSI and price wedge supports a concern if we cannot muster a near term reaction rise.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Acotec Scientific Holdings, China Traditional Chinese Medicine and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK): Base Business, Geography Expansion, New Launch to Drive Growth
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Xingda, Nitro, Chip Eng Seng, Traditional Chinese Medicine
  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – A Game Changer with Solid Long-Term Logic

Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK): Base Business, Geography Expansion, New Launch to Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK) is an early-mover in peripheral drug coated balloon market in China and holds a dominant 85%+ market share.  
  • On November 7, Acotec received its first FDA approval for Vericor, a peripheral support catheter designed to enhance access to peripheral vessels.
  • Acotec started 2022 on a strong note, with revenue increasing 25% y/y in H1 2022 due to increasing adoption of the company’s product in Chinese hospitals.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Xingda, Nitro, Chip Eng Seng, Traditional Chinese Medicine

By David Blennerhassett


Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – A Game Changer with Solid Long-Term Logic

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The peripheral vascular interventional device market in China is mainly dominated by foreign companies, but leading domestic company such as Acotec is the one to break the current market pattern.
  • With more products getting CE/FDA approval in the future, Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK) is able to enter more overseas markets. Acotec’s globalization process will diversify the revenue stream. 
  • Acotec has turned loss into profit by relying on product revenue. The Company has entered a new stage of innovation and harvest. We think Acotec has solid long term logic. 

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Daily Brief China: Hong Kong Hang Seng Index, Acotec Scientific Holdings, Tencent, China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Country Garden Services Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades
  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK): Base Business, Geography Expansion, New Launch to Drive Growth
  • ECM Weekly (11th Dec 2022) – ITail, Sunshine, Weilong, VinFast, Skymark, Tian Tu, Cntry Gard, Nippon
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Xingda, Nitro, Chip Eng Seng, Traditional Chinese Medicine
  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – A Game Changer with Solid Long-Term Logic
  • Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (9 Dec): Hopefluent, Matrix, Country Garden Services

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

By Simon Harris

  • Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
  • Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
  • We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces

Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK): Base Business, Geography Expansion, New Launch to Drive Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK) is an early-mover in peripheral drug coated balloon market in China and holds a dominant 85%+ market share.  
  • On November 7, Acotec received its first FDA approval for Vericor, a peripheral support catheter designed to enhance access to peripheral vessels.
  • Acotec started 2022 on a strong note, with revenue increasing 25% y/y in H1 2022 due to increasing adoption of the company’s product in Chinese hospitals.

ECM Weekly (11th Dec 2022) – ITail, Sunshine, Weilong, VinFast, Skymark, Tian Tu, Cntry Gard, Nippon

By Sumeet Singh


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Xingda, Nitro, Chip Eng Seng, Traditional Chinese Medicine

By David Blennerhassett


Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669.HK) – A Game Changer with Solid Long-Term Logic

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The peripheral vascular interventional device market in China is mainly dominated by foreign companies, but leading domestic company such as Acotec is the one to break the current market pattern.
  • With more products getting CE/FDA approval in the future, Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK) is able to enter more overseas markets. Acotec’s globalization process will diversify the revenue stream. 
  • Acotec has turned loss into profit by relying on product revenue. The Company has entered a new stage of innovation and harvest. We think Acotec has solid long term logic. 

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (9 Dec): Hopefluent, Matrix, Country Garden Services

By David Blennerhassett

  • The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website.
  • Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
  • These insights may flag those companies where shares have been pledged. Stocks mentioned include Hopefluent Group (733 HK), Matrix Holdings (1005 HK), Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK).

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars

Daily Brief United States: USD and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • USD Low Gels Dec Risk Peak

USD Low Gels Dec Risk Peak

By Thomas Schroeder

  • We have outlined our bullish DXY zone at 103 but what if the dollar front runs a bull turn as the bulk of near-term yield weakness is baked in.
  • USD lows versus Asian FX shows the ability to turn USD bullish early.
  • SPX rise off of 3,900 pivot support after cracking RSI and price wedge supports a concern if we cannot muster a near term reaction rise.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars