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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: HKBN Ltd, Samsung SDI, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Intel Corp, Nasdaq-100 Stock Index, Wns Holdings Ltd Adr, GoodRx Holdings Inc, Interdigital Inc, GLOBALFOUNDRIES , Fox and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • HKBN (1310 HK): I Squared Inches Closer to a Competing Offer
  • Clearing up FSS Review of Samsung SDI & Hanwha Aerospace: Watch for Ramped-Up Recall Pressure
  • KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 Index) Hits 99th Percentile Implied Volatility Amid US Tariff Impact
  • Intel’s Annual Shareholder Meeting Proxy Statement Has A Few Interesting Gems
  • Nasdaq 100 (NDX) And Trump’s Tariffs War: How To Read Our Insights/Models During A Bear Market/Crash
  • WNS Could Be The Hottest M&A Target In Tech Outsourcing Right Now: Capgemini & Other Tech Giants Are Circling!
  • GoodRx Holdings: The Top 7 Influences on Its Performance for 2025 & the Future!
  • InterDigital’s Streaming Wars Strategy: Suing Disney & Monetizing The Next $100 Billion Market!
  • GlobalFoundries & United Microelectronics Merger Could Be the Silicon Power Combo No One Saw Coming!
  • Fox Factory Holding Corporation Expands Upfitting Business & Dealership Network—Why This Dealer Push Is A VERY POSITIVE SIGNAL!


HKBN (1310 HK): I Squared Inches Closer to a Competing Offer

By Arun George

  • Today’s HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) monthly update notes that I Squared has completed due diligence and is finalising the terms of a possible preconditional offer. 
  • The I Squared bid will likely be a modest premium to the China Mobile offer with a 50% minimum tendering condition. The key unknown is securing regulatory approvals. 
  • China Mobile (941 HK) will first react to an I Squared offer by maintaining terms. However, regardless of whether I Squared secures regulatory approvals, it is likely to match terms. 

Clearing up FSS Review of Samsung SDI & Hanwha Aerospace: Watch for Ramped-Up Recall Pressure

By Sanghyun Park

  • Samsung SDI’s rights offering is locked in and even accelerated. Hanwha Aerospace awaits FSS approval, but a pullback is unlikely, with no major red flags seen by regulators.
  • With a four-week gap, supply pressure eases, reducing overhang concerns. This shift in dynamics impacts stock rights pricing and is key for any arb setup.
  • The wider schedule gap between deals boosts lenders’ flexibility, increasing the likelihood of a stronger share recall. This makes for a solid trade setup, targeting recall-driven price action.

KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 Index) Hits 99th Percentile Implied Volatility Amid US Tariff Impact

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Market Reaction: The announcement of US reciprocal tariffs caused significant declines across Asia-Pacific markets. Although initial losses were partially recovered during the day, most markets closed substantially lower.
  • Impact on South Korea: South Korea faces a 25% tariff. This led to a 1.5% drop in the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX). 
  • Volatility Increase: The Kospi 200 VIX index rose to a high of 28.64 before retreating to 26.05, indicating the 99th percentile of implied volatility.

Intel’s Annual Shareholder Meeting Proxy Statement Has A Few Interesting Gems

By William Keating

  • We remain steadfast in our belief in our company’s future. That said, there are no quick fixes. We need to demonstrate consistent execution and results over a sustained period. Frank Yeary
  • Intel’s ELT scored themselves a remarkable 29.7 out of 35 for their 2024 “Product Leadership” goal, despite mounting data center market share loss and Gaudi being an abject failure
  • While Pat Gelsinger’s departure from Intel was labelled a “retirement” last December, the Proxy Statement refers to it as a “resignation”. Which was it?

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) And Trump’s Tariffs War: How To Read Our Insights/Models During A Bear Market/Crash

By Nico Rosti

  • This insight will be different from the usual format: its goal is help those reading our insights and using our models to apply our analysis during a financial crisis.
  • Take this as a sort of “user manual” to use our models during the Bear Market caused by Trump’s Tariffs War.
  • The Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) WEEKLY will be analyzed to make some clarifications and examples.

WNS Could Be The Hottest M&A Target In Tech Outsourcing Right Now: Capgemini & Other Tech Giants Are Circling!

By Baptista Research

  • WNS Holdings reported its fiscal 2025 third-quarter results, highlighting some key financial metrics and operational dynamics.
  • The company achieved net revenue of $319.1 million, marking a year over-year increase of 1% on a reported basis, though it remained flat when adjusted for constant currency.
  • Sequentially, however, there was a more robust performance with revenue increasing by 2.7% on a reported basis and 3.2% in constant currency terms.

GoodRx Holdings: The Top 7 Influences on Its Performance for 2025 & the Future!

By Baptista Research

  • GoodRx, the company focused on providing users with discounts on prescriptions and other healthcare services, recently reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024.
  • The company highlighted several strategic initiatives and partnerships aimed at driving future growth, including enhanced partnerships with pharmacies, pharmaceutical manufacturers, and healthcare professionals.
  • In terms of financial performance, GoodRx posted fourth-quarter revenue of $198.6 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $67.1 million.

InterDigital’s Streaming Wars Strategy: Suing Disney & Monetizing The Next $100 Billion Market!

By Baptista Research

  • InterDigital’s financial performance in the fourth quarter of 2024 and the entire year was notably strong, with the company achieving record revenue levels.
  • The revenue in Q4 surged by 140% year-over-year to $253 million, driven significantly by new licensing agreements, such as those with OPPO, Lenovo, and ZTE.
  • The full-year revenue grew by nearly 60%, reaching $869 million, marking the highest annual revenue in the company’s history.

GlobalFoundries & United Microelectronics Merger Could Be the Silicon Power Combo No One Saw Coming!

By Baptista Research

  • GlobalFoundries Inc., the U.S.-based contract semiconductor manufacturer, is reportedly exploring a high-stakes merger with Taiwan’s United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC).
  • This potential combination, though fraught with regulatory and geopolitical complexities, could mark one of the most significant developments in the mature-node chipmaking industry.
  • As reported by various sources including Nikkei Asia and Bloomberg, newly appointed CEO Tim Breen has been open to dealmaking, and this tie-up could be a strategic pivot amid rising global chip demand and evolving supply chain realities.

Fox Factory Holding Corporation Expands Upfitting Business & Dealership Network—Why This Dealer Push Is A VERY POSITIVE SIGNAL!

By Baptista Research

  • Fox Factory Holding Corp.’s latest financial performance reflects a mixed outlook influenced by specific internal optimizations and broader market challenges.
  • The company posted a modest 6.1% increase in net sales for Q4 FY 2024, reaching $352.8 million, which is primarily attributable to the acquisition of Marucci and some growth in its bike segment.
  • However, this growth is juxtaposed against the backdrop of contraction in other areas, notably the Aftermarket Applications Group (AAG) and Powered Vehicle Group (PVG), reflecting ongoing pressures in the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) landscape.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Makino Milling Machine Co, Xiamen Hithium, Lotte Global Logistics, JSW Infrastructure, Acuity Brands, Resideo Technologies Inc, UFP Industries , Aeorema Communications and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec Launches Its Offer
  • Xiamen Hithium Energy Storage Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Lotte Logistics Pre-IPO – Sluggish Revenues, High Dependence on Group Affiliates
  • JSW Infrastructure – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • Lotte Global Logistics IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Acuity Brand: Robust Financial Management
  • Resideo Technologies: Synergies from Snap One Acquisition & Its New E-commerce & Digital Strategy Are Propelling It Forward!
  • UFP: Will Bold Investments in Deckorators & ProWood Fuel the Next Growth Wave?
  • Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 26/03/2025


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec Launches Its Offer

By Arun George

  • Nidec Corp (6594 JP) has launched its offer for Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) at an unchanged JPY11,000. The offer is open from 4 April to 21 May.
  • The offer was launched despite securing all regulatory approvals and the Board’s postponement request. The launch could also be an attempt to thwart a competing proposal.
  • Despite the launch, Nidec’s offer at current terms has a low chance of success, necessitating revised terms. There remains a medium-to-high probability of a competing proposal.

Xiamen Hithium Energy Storage Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Troy Wong

  • Xiamen Hithium Energy Storage Technology (XH) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Huatai, Citic, ABC, and BOC.
  • XH is a leading pure-play global energy storage company, it’s ranked third in the global energy storage market in 2024, in terms of lithium-ion ESS battery shipments, as per CIC.
  • With its integrated value chain and mainly in-house manufacturing, XH offers end-to-end energy storage solutions across various application scenarios, mainly collaborate with third-party system integrators in their main market, China.

Lotte Logistics Pre-IPO – Sluggish Revenues, High Dependence on Group Affiliates

By Akshat Shah

  • Lotte Global Logistics (LGG KS) aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • Lotte Global Logistics is a logistics and shipping company engaged in a comprehensive logistics service business including courier service, land transportation, 3PL, port loading and unloading, and international logistics.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

JSW Infrastructure – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

  • Established in 2004, JSW Infrastructure (JSWIL) is the second-largest commercial port operator in India in terms of cargo-handling capacity.
  • The company owned nine ports/terminals for a total installed capacity of 173.2 mn mtpa at end-December 2021.
  • The company is majority-owned and controlled by the Sajjan Jindal Family Trust, which also owns and controls other JSW Group-related companies, including JSW Steel. 

Lotte Global Logistics IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Lotte Global Logistics is implied market cap of 560 billion won, which represents target price of 13,454 won per share. 
  • We have a negative view of this IPO as our target price does not provide a meaningful upside to the IPO price range. 
  • Four major factors we are negative on this IPO include lack of sales growth, excessive competition (Coupang and CJ Logistics), mystery of put option clause, and highly geared balance sheet.

Acuity Brand: Robust Financial Management

By Baptista Research

  • Acuity Brands reported solid financial results for its fiscal 2025 first quarter, reflecting competent execution of its strategic objectives.
  • The company achieved year-over-year sales growth of 2% to $952 million, supported by expansions in both its Lighting and Intelligent Spaces segments.
  • Acuity Brands’ adjusted operating profit also rose by 3% to $159 million, leading to a slight increase in profit margins, capitalizing on product vitality and improved price management strategies.

Resideo Technologies: Synergies from Snap One Acquisition & Its New E-commerce & Digital Strategy Are Propelling It Forward!

By Baptista Research

  • Resideo Technologies, Inc. reported a strong end to 2024, showcasing robust revenue growth and financial performance amid a challenging global macroeconomic environment.
  • The company achieved approximately $6.8 billion in total net revenue, reflecting an 8% increase year-over-year.
  • Notably, adjusted EBITDA saw a significant rise of 17%, reaching around $700 million.

UFP: Will Bold Investments in Deckorators & ProWood Fuel the Next Growth Wave?

By Baptista Research

  • UFP Industries Inc. reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, demonstrating mixed performance amid challenging economic conditions.
  • The company’s total sales for the year reached $6.7 billion with an EBITDA of $682.3 million, reflecting a 10.3% EBITDA margin.
  • Despite a strong balance sheet showing nearly $1.2 billion in cash, the decline in demand across most business segments imposed pressures on both pricing and margins.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 26/03/2025

By Hybridan

  • The strategic communications Company announced interim results to December 2024. Its revenue improved 9.8% to £7.2m, while its loss before tax reduced by 51% to £119,104, cash at December was £2.75m.
  • Driving the improved performance were cost reductions and the continued growth at Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity.
  • Since the period end, its secured the Global Economic Forum in Davos which is expected to open new opportunities in the financial and professional service sectors. 

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Daily Brief Utilities: ENN Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • ENN Energy (2688 HK): This Is An Avoid


ENN Energy (2688 HK): This Is An Avoid

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 26th March, ENN Energy (2688 HK) announced a cash/scrip Offer from ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH), its largest shareholder.
  • Investors hoping for a clean (er) exit, or one where the back-end terms were clearly defined, will be disappointed. And minorities are active in this name.
  • The Offer pivots on where the newly-listed H-shares trade. The IFA’s assessment on the theoretical value of these H-shares is unrealistic. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Makino Milling Machine Co, Xiamen Hithium, Lotte Global Logistics, JSW Infrastructure, Acuity Brands, Resideo Technologies Inc, UFP Industries , Aeorema Communications and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec Launches Its Offer
  • Xiamen Hithium Energy Storage Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Lotte Logistics Pre-IPO – Sluggish Revenues, High Dependence on Group Affiliates
  • JSW Infrastructure – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • Lotte Global Logistics IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Acuity Brand: Robust Financial Management
  • Resideo Technologies: Synergies from Snap One Acquisition & Its New E-commerce & Digital Strategy Are Propelling It Forward!
  • UFP: Will Bold Investments in Deckorators & ProWood Fuel the Next Growth Wave?
  • Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 26/03/2025


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Nidec Launches Its Offer

By Arun George

  • Nidec Corp (6594 JP) has launched its offer for Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) at an unchanged JPY11,000. The offer is open from 4 April to 21 May.
  • The offer was launched despite securing all regulatory approvals and the Board’s postponement request. The launch could also be an attempt to thwart a competing proposal.
  • Despite the launch, Nidec’s offer at current terms has a low chance of success, necessitating revised terms. There remains a medium-to-high probability of a competing proposal.

Xiamen Hithium Energy Storage Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Troy Wong

  • Xiamen Hithium Energy Storage Technology (XH) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Huatai, Citic, ABC, and BOC.
  • XH is a leading pure-play global energy storage company, it’s ranked third in the global energy storage market in 2024, in terms of lithium-ion ESS battery shipments, as per CIC.
  • With its integrated value chain and mainly in-house manufacturing, XH offers end-to-end energy storage solutions across various application scenarios, mainly collaborate with third-party system integrators in their main market, China.

Lotte Logistics Pre-IPO – Sluggish Revenues, High Dependence on Group Affiliates

By Akshat Shah

  • Lotte Global Logistics (LGG KS) aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • Lotte Global Logistics is a logistics and shipping company engaged in a comprehensive logistics service business including courier service, land transportation, 3PL, port loading and unloading, and international logistics.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

JSW Infrastructure – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

  • Established in 2004, JSW Infrastructure (JSWIL) is the second-largest commercial port operator in India in terms of cargo-handling capacity.
  • The company owned nine ports/terminals for a total installed capacity of 173.2 mn mtpa at end-December 2021.
  • The company is majority-owned and controlled by the Sajjan Jindal Family Trust, which also owns and controls other JSW Group-related companies, including JSW Steel. 

Lotte Global Logistics IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Lotte Global Logistics is implied market cap of 560 billion won, which represents target price of 13,454 won per share. 
  • We have a negative view of this IPO as our target price does not provide a meaningful upside to the IPO price range. 
  • Four major factors we are negative on this IPO include lack of sales growth, excessive competition (Coupang and CJ Logistics), mystery of put option clause, and highly geared balance sheet.

Acuity Brand: Robust Financial Management

By Baptista Research

  • Acuity Brands reported solid financial results for its fiscal 2025 first quarter, reflecting competent execution of its strategic objectives.
  • The company achieved year-over-year sales growth of 2% to $952 million, supported by expansions in both its Lighting and Intelligent Spaces segments.
  • Acuity Brands’ adjusted operating profit also rose by 3% to $159 million, leading to a slight increase in profit margins, capitalizing on product vitality and improved price management strategies.

Resideo Technologies: Synergies from Snap One Acquisition & Its New E-commerce & Digital Strategy Are Propelling It Forward!

By Baptista Research

  • Resideo Technologies, Inc. reported a strong end to 2024, showcasing robust revenue growth and financial performance amid a challenging global macroeconomic environment.
  • The company achieved approximately $6.8 billion in total net revenue, reflecting an 8% increase year-over-year.
  • Notably, adjusted EBITDA saw a significant rise of 17%, reaching around $700 million.

UFP: Will Bold Investments in Deckorators & ProWood Fuel the Next Growth Wave?

By Baptista Research

  • UFP Industries Inc. reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, demonstrating mixed performance amid challenging economic conditions.
  • The company’s total sales for the year reached $6.7 billion with an EBITDA of $682.3 million, reflecting a 10.3% EBITDA margin.
  • Despite a strong balance sheet showing nearly $1.2 billion in cash, the decline in demand across most business segments imposed pressures on both pricing and margins.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 26/03/2025

By Hybridan

  • The strategic communications Company announced interim results to December 2024. Its revenue improved 9.8% to £7.2m, while its loss before tax reduced by 51% to £119,104, cash at December was £2.75m.
  • Driving the improved performance were cost reductions and the continued growth at Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity.
  • Since the period end, its secured the Global Economic Forum in Davos which is expected to open new opportunities in the financial and professional service sectors. 

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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: CNMC Goldmine Holdings, Rio Tinto PLC, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, DSM-Firmenich, Helix Energy Solutions Group, Northern Oil and Gas and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • CNMC Goldmine Holdings Ltd. (CNCM SP): Cash Rich Gold Play In Singapore
  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March 2025 Report, Adding Vivendi
  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Will This New Wildcat Mine Be the Game-Changer Investors Are Waiting For?
  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 3 April (dsm-firmenich | Avantium)
  • Helix Energy Solutions: Five Pressing Issues That Could Shape Its 2025 Journey!
  • Northern Oil & Gas Is Betting Big on Refracking—Will This Unlock Hidden Wells of Profit?


CNMC Goldmine Holdings Ltd. (CNCM SP): Cash Rich Gold Play In Singapore

By Sameer Taneja

  • CNMC Goldmine Holdings (CNMC SP) is a cash-rich (net cash: 20 million SGD) gold play listed on the SGX with assets in Malaysia. Its market cap is 155 million SGD.
  • The company is a high-cost gold play, with cash costs of 1200 USD/oz excluding royalties. It is in the process of ramping production from 26,000 oz to 34,000 oz/annum.
  • Based on a 3000 USD/oz gold price, the stock trades at 5.7x PE, 4.0x EV-EBITDA with a 2.9% dividend yield (based on a 30% payout ratio). 

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March 2025 Report, Adding Vivendi

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos didn’t show a clear trend during March. Discounts: C.F.Alba, 14.9% as of 31 March (vs 14.1% as of 28 February); GBL, 37.6% (vs. 38.7%);
  • Heineken Holding, 11.2% (vs. 13%); Industrivärden C, 2.9% (vs. 5.1%); Investor B, 4.2% (vs. 2.3%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 31.9% (vs. 38.1%); Rio DLC 21.7% (vs. 17%). Vivendi 40.1% (vs. 38.7%). 
  • What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).

Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Will This New Wildcat Mine Be the Game-Changer Investors Are Waiting For?

By Baptista Research

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources recently released its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial results.
  • The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $53 million for the quarter, indicating a modest increase from the previous quarter’s $49 million.
  • The company shipped 4.1 million tons in Q4, maintaining the same volume as in Q3, demonstrating consistent operational performance despite challenging market conditions.

What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 3 April (dsm-firmenich | Avantium)

By The IDEA!

  • dsm-firmenich | increases shareholding in Yantai DSM Andre Pectin Company dsm-firmenich completed the shareholding increase in Yantai DSM Andre Pectin Company to 90.5% from 75%.
  • Andre Pectin is a leading specialty food ingredient producer. The remaining 9.5% of the shares in Andre Pectin continue to be held by Rich Spring Holdings.
  • DSM acquired a 29% stake in Andre Pectin in 2013. In 2019 it raised its interest purchasing an additional 46% stake in Andre Pectin for a consideration of about EUR 150m.

Helix Energy Solutions: Five Pressing Issues That Could Shape Its 2025 Journey!

By Baptista Research

  • Helix Energy Solutions released its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, reporting a strong performance in several key areas.
  • Total revenues for the quarter were $355 million, and the full year revenues reached $1.36 billion, both signifying healthy operational metrics.
  • The company managed to achieve a gross profit of $59 million in Q4 and $220 million for the complete year.

Northern Oil & Gas Is Betting Big on Refracking—Will This Unlock Hidden Wells of Profit?

By Baptista Research

  • Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) presents a multifaceted investment case characterized by an intricate blend of strategic growth initiatives, market challenges, and operational nuances as outlined in their recent earnings call.
  • A key highlight from the latest results is NOG’s strategic focus on long-term growth.
  • Despite facing formidable disruptions such as forest fires, refinery outages, and logistical challenges in the last quarter of 2024, which impacted some of their core basins like the Williston and Uinta, NOG successfully increased their 2024 oil production year-over-year by 25%.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Duality Biotherapeutics, D.Western Therapeutics Institute Inc., Crism Therapeutics, Evaxion Biotech A/S, FibroBiologics, Fortrea Holdings , Newron Pharmaceuticals, Oramed Pharmaceuticals , OSE Immuno, Pharmaessentia Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Duality Biotherapeutics (映恩生物) Pre-IPO: Valuation and the Trap
  • D. Western Therapeutics Institute (DWTI) (4576 JP) – Q4 Follow-Up
  • Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 27/03/2025
  • EVAX: Company Lays Out Ambitious 2025 Plan
  • FBLG: Phase 1/2 Trial in Diabetic Foot Ulcers to Initiate in 2Q25
  • Fortrea: Is This Bold AI-Powered Tech Overhaul the Secret Weapon for Outsized Growth?
  • Newron Pharmaceuticals — Pivotal evenamide trial looms
  • ORMP: Upcoming Expected Milestones Include OraTech Spin-Off & IPO, Launch of Phase 3 Trial
  • OSE Immunotherapeutics — Primed for value appreciation
  • Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT): Arbitration Reaction Is Overdone; Time to Re-Focus on Fundamentals


Duality Biotherapeutics (映恩生物) Pre-IPO: Valuation and the Trap

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Duality Biotherapeutics, a China-based clinical-stage biotechnology company, plans to raise up to US$250m via a Hong Kong listing.
  • We look at the company’s valuation based on its core products, namely DB-1303, DB-1311, and DB-1305.
  • We highlight key differences between our valuation and the broker valuation guidance.

D. Western Therapeutics Institute (DWTI) (4576 JP) – Q4 Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • SIR believes DWTI has entered an exciting new phase given significant advances in pipeline development achieved over the last 12 months.
  • Key advances include: publishing favorable topline results of in-house H-1337 PIIb US trials (strong prospects as “first choice as a second-line Glaucoma drug”), commencing jointly developed Japan PII clinical trials of regenerative medicine cell therapy DWR-2206 with ActualEyes, and successfully completing all transplants, completion of dosing to subjects in global Phase III clinical trials of FECD treatment K-321 being developed by licensee Kowa, and obtaining China approval for DW-1002 by licensee DORC, among others.
  • Potential for earnings to turn profitable over the next several years, transitioning from the growth investment phase to the recovery phase, suggests to us share price risk is likely weighted to the upside going forward.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 27/03/2025

By Hybridan

  • The UK drug delivery company focused on the localised delivery of chemotherapy drugs, announced that it has been awarded a grant by Innovate UK to support the pre-clinical development of the Company’s proprietary ChemoSeed technology in prostate cancer.
  • The Project is in line with the Company’s strategy as detailed in the admission document published when CRISM joined the AIM market last year and which highlighted the potential of ChemoSeed in multiple disease areas.
  • The Innovate UK grant was awarded as part of the Government’s ‘Launchpad: life and health sciences, Northern Ireland – Rd2 MFA’. 

EVAX: Company Lays Out Ambitious 2025 Plan

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • EVAX is a clinical stage company that has proprietary AI models designed to more efficiently and more accurately target much-needed treatments.
  • The company has two streams of possible revenue: from the treatments themselves and from the licensing of AI technology.
  • The company released its full-year 2024 results and updated investors on the tremendous progress made.

FBLG: Phase 1/2 Trial in Diabetic Foot Ulcers to Initiate in 2Q25

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On March 31, 2025, FibroBiologics, Inc. (FBLG) announced financial results for 2024 and provided a business update.
  • In preparation for the upcoming Phase 1/2 clinical trial of CYWC628 for the treatment of diabetic foot ulcers, the company recently announced the establishment of a master services agreement with Charles River Laboratories to manufacture the master cell bank, working cell bank, and fibroblast-based spheroids product.
  • In addition, the master cell bank was completed and successfully passed all required safety testing.

Fortrea: Is This Bold AI-Powered Tech Overhaul the Secret Weapon for Outsized Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Fortrea’s recent earnings provided a comprehensive view of their financial and operational performance for the fourth quarter and full year 2024.
  • The company, which specializes in clinical pharmacology services (CPS) and full-service clinical work, has been navigating significant changes and encountering both challenges and opportunities post-spin from its former parent corporation.
  • The company reported a book-to-bill ratio of 1.35x for the fourth quarter, with a trailing 12 months figure of 1.16x, and concluded the year with a backlog of $7.7 billion.

Newron Pharmaceuticals — Pivotal evenamide trial looms

By Edison Investment Research

Newron Pharmaceuticals has published its FY24 results, reflecting a rewarding period for its lead clinical candidate, evenamide, which is being developed for treatment-resistant schizophrenia (TRS). Key achievements included licensing agreements for Japan and South Korea ahead of the planned pivotal Phase III trial, expected to launch in Q225. We expect the €44m upfront payment from EA Pharma to provide operational headroom into H126, with further liquidity likely to be injected following a potential US up-listing (planned for early 2026). Reflecting Newron’s FY24 results and near-term operational guidance, we adjust our valuation to CHF385.6m or CHF19.3/share (from CHF368.5m or CHF18.5/share previously).


ORMP: Upcoming Expected Milestones Include OraTech Spin-Off & IPO, Launch of Phase 3 Trial

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • OraTech will leverage HTIT’s manufacturing capabilities and focus on developing and commercializing innovative products globally based on ORMP’s technology & pipeline.
  • HTIT is a high-tech company focused on biopharmaceutical product manufacturing and R&D with an emphasis on the oral delivery of therapeutic macromolecules.
  • It operates an oral insulin manufacturing facility in China.

OSE Immunotherapeutics — Primed for value appreciation

By Edison Investment Research

OSE Immunotherapeutics is a clinical-stage immuno-oncology and immuno-inflammation company, with a pipeline spanning all stages of development. The company recently reported its FY24 results, reflecting a successful clinical period. OSE’s two lead programmes made notable progress throughout 2024, with the launch of the Phase III ARTEMIA trial for Tedopi in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and lusvertikimab presenting favourable Phase II results in ulcerative colitis (UC). The company also continued to execute on its multi-partnership strategy by signing new agreements, including agreements with AbbVie and Boehringer Ingelheim. As we update our assumptions, our valuation for OSE adjusts to €560.8m or €25.6/share (from €541.2m or €24.8/share previously).


Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT): Arbitration Reaction Is Overdone; Time to Re-Focus on Fundamentals

By Tina Banerjee

  • Pharmaessentia Corp (6446 TT) shares nosedived nearly 30% since February 17 after an unfavorable ruling from the ICC regarding an arbitration with AOP Orphan Pharmaceuticals.
  • Pharmaessentia ended 2024 on a high note, with 91% YoY revenue growth to NT$9.7B and turned profitable at both operating and net level for the first time.
  • Going ahead, geography expansion of Besremi, indication expansion, and pipeline progress will remain the main growth engines. Ongoing global shortage of a competing drug should be positive for Besremi.

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Daily Brief Financials: The Shanghai Commerical & Sa, Nikkei 225, Klarna Group, New World Development, Blackstone and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: US$2.1bn One-Way; 17% Turnover; Sector-Neutral Trade Ideas
  • Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) Drops Amid US Tariffs: Implied Volatility Hits Extreme Levels
  • Klarna’s Big IPO Has Investors Thinking “Buy Now – Profit Now”
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Chart of the Day: Implied Volatility Soars Globally, US and Bitcoin Hit Hardest
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (03-Apr-2025): Warburg Pincus buys Tokyo office in life sciences JV.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: US$2.1bn One-Way; 17% Turnover; Sector-Neutral Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
  • In this insight, we take look at Quiddity’s expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • We expect five changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) Drops Amid US Tariffs: Implied Volatility Hits Extreme Levels

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Market Reaction: The announcement of US reciprocal tariffs led to significantly lower market open throughout Asia-Pacific. In the US, S&P 500 futures dropped -3.5%, with the VIX spiking to 23.45.
  • Impact on Japan: Japan faces a 24% tariff, with specific sectors like automobiles hit with 25%. This led to a 4.5% drop in the Nikkei 225, stabilizing at 34,600 (-3.2%).
  • Volatility Increase: The Nikkei 225 VIX index jumped from previous levels in the low 20’s to rise above 38 before retreating to 32.8, indicating the 99th percentile of implied volatility.

Klarna’s Big IPO Has Investors Thinking “Buy Now – Profit Now”

By Finimize Research

  • The Swedish startup has formally filed for a US IPO and is aiming to raise $1 billion, at a valuation of between $15 billion and $20 billion. 
  • Buy now, pay later is one of the biggest shifts in modern finance. Klarna isn’t just BNPL anymore: it has a whole shopping and payments ecosystem.
  • Klarna may be a heavyweight in BNPL, but it’s not alone in the ring. Heavy hitters like Affirm, Afterpay, and PayPal are also scrambling for dominance.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • US President Donald Trump has announced a minimum 10% tariff on all exporters to the US, as well as additional reciprocal duties on c. 60 nations.
  • Vietnam faces one of the steepest tariff increases at 46%, while China will be subject to an additional tariff hike of 34% (on top of an existing 20% duty tied to fentanyl trafficking).
  • Meanwhile, India, South Korea and Japan have been hit with tariffs of 26%, 25% and 24%, respectively. 

Chart of the Day: Implied Volatility Soars Globally, US and Bitcoin Hit Hardest

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Asia-Pac Performance: The Indian market bucketed the down trend with the Nifty 50 declining only 0.35% with stable implied volatility. The Nikkei 225, on the other hand,dropped 2.8%. 
  • US and European Decline: The US market saw the largest decline, with implied volatility rising by 8%. European indices showed mixed results, with the EuroStoxx 50 reacting strongly.
  • Gold vs. Bitcoin: Gold (GLD US ETF) proved to be a better store of value, while Bitcoin joined the US indices in higher volatility.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (03-Apr-2025): Warburg Pincus buys Tokyo office in life sciences JV.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Warburg Pincus partners with Eastgate to acquire Tokyo office as part of Life Sciences joint venture, expanding their investment portfolio.
  • Greystar purchases GIC-Wee Hur Aussie student housing for $1B, solidifying their presence in the Australian real estate market.
  • Iron Mountain makes strategic move by acquiring Web Werks, an Indian data center group, enhancing their capabilities in the data management sector.

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Daily Brief Consumer: SPDR S&P 500, Dream International, Dada Nexus , Chagee Holdings, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, NZME Limited, Global Business Travel Group I, Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc, Coursera , Dustin Group AB and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Trump Team’s Weird Tariff Math – Not Meant to Be Negotiated
  • Dream International (1126 HK) FY24 Results and Concall Update: Margins Bounce Back
  • Dada Nexus (DADA US): JD.Com’s US$2/ADS Firm Offer
  • Chagee Holdings IPO Preview
  • Now Is the Time to Turn the Slowdown in Profit Growth into an Opportunity
  • NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU): Board Pushes Back On Board Spill
  • Global Business Travel Set to Soar? $2.8 Billion in Wins and a Surge in Travel Demand Could Catalyze Growth!
  • Spectrum Brands Holdings: Is This Bold E-Commerce Move A Billion-Dollar Masterstroke?
  • Coursera Expands Global Reach With Solid Content Diversification & Localization Strategy
  • Dustin Group — Turning the tanker


Trump Team’s Weird Tariff Math – Not Meant to Be Negotiated

By Travis Lundy

  • For weeks, if not months, the world has been wondering what the “reciprocal tariffs” would be, and what the logic would be behind them.
  • There is talk of VAT, and NTBs, and huge tariff step-ups after quotas are exceeded (US exports of milk and cheese to Canada – high tariffs, but quotas not exceeded).
  • But a quick check of the math on the Trump Executive Order and Annex I tells you the logic is different than what everyone expected. 

Dream International (1126 HK) FY24 Results and Concall Update: Margins Bounce Back

By Sameer Taneja

  • Dream International (1126 HK) posted strong results, with revenues up 2% and profits down 11% YoY, demonstrating effective cost control in a challenging competitive environment.
  • Net cash on the balance sheet ended at 1.52 bn HKD (vs 1.35 bn), representing 33% of market capitalization. The company rewarded shareholders with 60 cents of dividend (~8.9% yield). 
  • Trading at 6x/3x PE/EV-EBITDA FY24, with an 8.9% dividend yield and an average 10-year ROCE of 20%, the stock is worth exploring from here. 

Dada Nexus (DADA US): JD.Com’s US$2/ADS Firm Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 27th January, Dada Nexus (DADA US), a Chinese on-demand retail and delivery platform, announced a preliminary non-binding proposal from JD.com (9618 HK).
  • JD.com, a 63.2% shareholder, was offering US$0.50/share (US$2.00/ADS), a 42% premium to last close. Those terms are now firm and a definitive agreement entered into.
  • The merger is expected to close in the third quarter. Trading at 4.7%/15%, gross/annualised spread, assuming a four month off-ramp.

Chagee Holdings IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Chagee Holdings (CHA US) is getting ready to complete its IPO on NASDAQ in the next several weeks. Chagee is one of the largest premium tea chains in China. 
  • The company’s sales and profits have been exploding higher in the past three years. Its sales jumped from 0.5 billion RMB in 2022 to 12.4 billion RMB in 2024. 
  • Chagee could raise more than $500 million in this IPO. However, this is subject to change. 

Now Is the Time to Turn the Slowdown in Profit Growth into an Opportunity

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The profit outlook for many Japanese companies may not be good enough for overseas investors, who are selecting the best investments from among stocks around the world.
  • In FY2025, both sales and recurring profit are expected to slow in the manufacturing sector. This casts a shadow over TSE stock prices, which are dominated by manufacturing companies.
  • Companies whose corporate performance are at a standstill has good opportunity to show investors how it will use the proceeds from the sale of cross-held shares to expand corporate value.

NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU): Board Pushes Back On Board Spill

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back in January, New Zealand’s largest private sector union called for the government to step in after NZME Limited (NZM AU/NZ), publisher of the NZ Herald, announced sweeping job cuts, 
  • After a flurry of rumours, James Grenon, a Canadian-born but New Zealand-based investor, has proposed sacking the board. Allegedly 37% of shares out, including Genon’s stake, support the board spill.
  • The AGM has been pushed out to the 3 June. In a detailed PPT, NZME questions whether Grenon’s motives are in the best interest of the company and its shareholders. 

Global Business Travel Set to Soar? $2.8 Billion in Wins and a Surge in Travel Demand Could Catalyze Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • American Express Global Business Travel reported strong financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, showcasing a record year for adjusted EBITDA and revenue.
  • The company exceeded the midpoint of its guidance range, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 26% year-over-year.
  • These results were driven by growth in technology-enabled productivity, a scalable cost base, and robust free cash flow generation.

Spectrum Brands Holdings: Is This Bold E-Commerce Move A Billion-Dollar Masterstroke?

By Baptista Research

  • Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. had a mixed first quarter of fiscal year 2025, as revealed in their recent financial results.
  • The company experienced a modest increase in net sales, driven by strategic investments and several successful initiatives across its business segments.
  • Net sales grew by 1.2% overall, with organic sales, excluding unfavorable foreign exchange impacts, rising by 1.9%.

Coursera Expands Global Reach With Solid Content Diversification & Localization Strategy

By Baptista Research

  • Coursera’s latest quarterly and full-year earnings report highlights a complex picture characterized by noteworthy achievements as well as certain challenges.
  • Revenue for the fourth quarter of 2024 reached $179 million, marking a 6% increase from the previous year across all operational segments.
  • Full-year revenue stood at $695 million, up 9% year-over-year, alongside significant profitability improvements, exemplified by a 750 basis point increase in annual adjusted EBITDA margin and over $59 million in free cash flow.

Dustin Group — Turning the tanker

By Edison Investment Research

Refocusing a business takes time, especially when it involves replacing legacy systems, renegotiating framework agreements, integrating numerous acquisitions and rebuilding the balance sheet. The process becomes even more challenging if it coincides with weak market conditions and a significant level of geopolitical uncertainty. Dustin Group’s management is actively addressing these challenges, including a rights issue announced with its results. The business is well positioned, leaving investors with one key question: when is the right time to buy? We believe the next six months may provide the answer.


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Daily Brief South Korea: Samsung SDI, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Lotte Global Logistics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Clearing up FSS Review of Samsung SDI & Hanwha Aerospace: Watch for Ramped-Up Recall Pressure
  • KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 Index) Hits 99th Percentile Implied Volatility Amid US Tariff Impact
  • Lotte Logistics Pre-IPO – Sluggish Revenues, High Dependence on Group Affiliates
  • Lotte Global Logistics IPO Valuation Analysis


Clearing up FSS Review of Samsung SDI & Hanwha Aerospace: Watch for Ramped-Up Recall Pressure

By Sanghyun Park

  • Samsung SDI’s rights offering is locked in and even accelerated. Hanwha Aerospace awaits FSS approval, but a pullback is unlikely, with no major red flags seen by regulators.
  • With a four-week gap, supply pressure eases, reducing overhang concerns. This shift in dynamics impacts stock rights pricing and is key for any arb setup.
  • The wider schedule gap between deals boosts lenders’ flexibility, increasing the likelihood of a stronger share recall. This makes for a solid trade setup, targeting recall-driven price action.

KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 Index) Hits 99th Percentile Implied Volatility Amid US Tariff Impact

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Market Reaction: The announcement of US reciprocal tariffs caused significant declines across Asia-Pacific markets. Although initial losses were partially recovered during the day, most markets closed substantially lower.
  • Impact on South Korea: South Korea faces a 25% tariff. This led to a 1.5% drop in the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX). 
  • Volatility Increase: The Kospi 200 VIX index rose to a high of 28.64 before retreating to 26.05, indicating the 99th percentile of implied volatility.

Lotte Logistics Pre-IPO – Sluggish Revenues, High Dependence on Group Affiliates

By Akshat Shah

  • Lotte Global Logistics (LGG KS) aims to raise around US$140m in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • Lotte Global Logistics is a logistics and shipping company engaged in a comprehensive logistics service business including courier service, land transportation, 3PL, port loading and unloading, and international logistics.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Lotte Global Logistics IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Lotte Global Logistics is implied market cap of 560 billion won, which represents target price of 13,454 won per share. 
  • We have a negative view of this IPO as our target price does not provide a meaningful upside to the IPO price range. 
  • Four major factors we are negative on this IPO include lack of sales growth, excessive competition (Coupang and CJ Logistics), mystery of put option clause, and highly geared balance sheet.

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Daily Brief Singapore: CNMC Goldmine Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • CNMC Goldmine Holdings Ltd. (CNCM SP): Cash Rich Gold Play In Singapore


CNMC Goldmine Holdings Ltd. (CNCM SP): Cash Rich Gold Play In Singapore

By Sameer Taneja

  • CNMC Goldmine Holdings (CNMC SP) is a cash-rich (net cash: 20 million SGD) gold play listed on the SGX with assets in Malaysia. Its market cap is 155 million SGD.
  • The company is a high-cost gold play, with cash costs of 1200 USD/oz excluding royalties. It is in the process of ramping production from 26,000 oz to 34,000 oz/annum.
  • Based on a 3000 USD/oz gold price, the stock trades at 5.7x PE, 4.0x EV-EBITDA with a 2.9% dividend yield (based on a 30% payout ratio). 

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