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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Consumer: Great Wall Motor, With Us Corp, Sony Corp, Trent Ltd, Tata Motors, Shinsung Tongsang, Lululemon Athletica, Pvh Corp, Trip.com and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 June 2025):  Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents
  • With Us (9696 JP): NSSK’s JPY3,237 Tender Offer
  • Index Treatment of Sony (6758 JP)’s Spinoff of the Financial Services Business
  • Quiddity BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows
  • Reiterate Short Tata Motors – Weak Sales Volume, JLR UK Retails Weak
  • Shinsung Tongsang: A Second Try at Tender Offer and Privatization
  • Can Lululemon Athletica Strike Back? Some Bold Moves to Crush Tariffs & Supply Chain Chaos!
  • Lululemon 1Q’25 Update
  • PVH Is Reinventing Calvin Klein And Tommy Hilfiger: Inside Its Recent
  • Weak Spending over China’s Dragon Boat Festival Holiday Period Suggests Tourists Remain Frugal


A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 June 2025):  Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents

By Travis Lundy

  • AH spreads are slightly narrower. BANKS, INSURERS, BROKERS, INDUSTRIALS, PHARMA and UTILITIES see significant H-share outperformance vs their A pairs. TECH, CONSUMER, ENERGY mixed to worse.
  • Ongoing skew on H-vs-A performance this week. Those trading AH Premium <20% saw H outperform sharply but those with H Premia contracted. Quiddity Portfolio alpha trending strongly.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.

With Us (9696 JP): NSSK’s JPY3,237 Tender Offer

By Arun George

  • With Us Corp (9696 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Nippon Sangyo Suishin Kiko (NSSK) at JPY3,237, an 18.0% premium to the last close price.
  • The offer represents an all-time high and concludes SwissAsia’s activist campaign to spill the Board at the AGM on 26 June.
  • SwissAsia and the founding family have provided irrevocables (39.81% ownership ratio), paving the way for deal completion. 

Index Treatment of Sony (6758 JP)’s Spinoff of the Financial Services Business

By Brian Freitas

  • For each share of Sony Corp (6758 JP), shareholders will receive 1 share of Sony Financial Group. Ex-date for the dividend in-kind is 29 September.
  • The Nikkei has started a market consultation on treatment of the spinoff in the Nikkei225 and that means the dividend in-kind will not be included in the Dividend Point Index.
  • There will be some selling in SFGI from passive trackers and the company will buy back some stock following listing. Details of the buyback have not been announced yet.

Quiddity BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The semiannual index rebal events of the SENSEX index, BSE 100 index, and BSE 200 index will take place in June 2025.
  • There will be two changes for BSE Sensex, three changes for BSE 100, and eight changes for BSE 200.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.

Reiterate Short Tata Motors – Weak Sales Volume, JLR UK Retails Weak

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • We continue to reiterate our short call on Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) based on near term challenges.
  • May sales volume is weak versus peers in industry. This weak performance is seen across segments – India passenger cars, commercial vehicles and UK Retail sales
  • This insight discusses the whole sale volume in the month of May and compares it with its nearest competitors.

Shinsung Tongsang: A Second Try at Tender Offer and Privatization

By Douglas Kim

  • On 9 June, Shinsung Tongsang (005390 KS) announced a second tender offer after a failed attempt last year. Tender offer price is 4,100 won per share.
  • The tender offer price this time (second try) is much higher than recent prices, making it much more likely that the tender offer will be successful.
  • From 2019 to 2023, Top Ten’s sales nearly tripled whereas Uniqlo Korea’s sales declined by about 33% in the same period.

Can Lululemon Athletica Strike Back? Some Bold Moves to Crush Tariffs & Supply Chain Chaos!

By Baptista Research

  • Lululemon Athletica Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, posting revenue growth that reached the high end of its guidance range with a notable improvement in the United States, where revenues grew by 2%.
  • The overall revenue increased by 7% (or 8% in constant currency) reaching $2.4 billion, driven by strong performance across various regions, despite a seemingly cautious consumer sentiment in the U.S. The brand witnessed robust in-market performance with revenues in Canada increasing by 9% and a significant 22% increase in Mainland China.
  • The company also saw 17% revenue growth in the rest of the world.

Lululemon 1Q’25 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • Lulu is again back to LSD growth in the US; what makes it more disappointing is they actually had a somewhat easier comparison since 1Q’24 growth was just 2%.
  • Canada, despite a low double digit growth in 1Q’24, again had higher growth than the US this quarter.
  • China and Rest of the World (RoW) maintained healthy growth rates but growth has materially decelerated. 

PVH Is Reinventing Calvin Klein And Tommy Hilfiger: Inside Its Recent

By Baptista Research

  • PVH Corp.’s first-quarter 2025 performance reflects a balance of achievements and challenges in a complex macroeconomic environment.
  • On the positive side, PVH delivered revenue growth that surpassed company guidance, attributable to the effective execution of its PVH+ Plan.
  • The revenue increased by 2%, exceeding expectations due to stronger-than-projected wholesale performance, early shipments, and the relaunch of Calvin Klein women’s sportswear and jeans in North America.

Weak Spending over China’s Dragon Boat Festival Holiday Period Suggests Tourists Remain Frugal

By Daniel Hellberg

  • China’s Ministry of Tourism & Culture reported mediocre holiday travel & spending activity
  • Separately, Xinhua also reported underwhelming numbers from Dragon Boat Festival period
  • Weak travel numbers may indicate Chinese consumers remain uneasy about near-term outlook

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Daily Brief South Korea: SK Inc, Hanwha Corporation, Shinsung Tongsang and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • NAV Valuations of Top Five Largest “Pure” Holdcos in Korea
  • Updated NAV Valuations of Doosan Corp, Hanwha Corp, CJ Corp, GS Holdings, and Lotte Corp
  • Shinsung Tongsang: A Second Try at Tender Offer and Privatization


NAV Valuations of Top Five Largest “Pure” Holdcos in Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • Holding companies have been the best performing asset class in the Korean stock market in the past month.
  • In this insight, we provide updated NAV valuations of the top five, largest “pure” holdcos in Korea including SK Square, SK Inc, LG Corp, Hanjin KAL, and HD Hyundai.
  • The NAVs of these five holdcos are about 18% higher than their current prices on average. 

Updated NAV Valuations of Doosan Corp, Hanwha Corp, CJ Corp, GS Holdings, and Lotte Corp

By Douglas Kim

  • We provide updated NAV valuations of Doosan Corp (000150 KS), Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS), CJ Corp (001040 KS), GS Holdings (078930 KS), and LOTTE Corporation (004990 KS).
  • These holding companies’ outperformance has been driven by investors’ perception that the new Lee Jae-Myung administration will make real changes to improve corporate governance policies that could unlock greater value. 
  • The share prices of Hanwha Corp, Doosan Corp, CJ Corp, GS Holdings, and Lotte Corp are up on average 97% YTD. 

Shinsung Tongsang: A Second Try at Tender Offer and Privatization

By Douglas Kim

  • On 9 June, Shinsung Tongsang (005390 KS) announced a second tender offer after a failed attempt last year. Tender offer price is 4,100 won per share.
  • The tender offer price this time (second try) is much higher than recent prices, making it much more likely that the tender offer will be successful.
  • From 2019 to 2023, Top Ten’s sales nearly tripled whereas Uniqlo Korea’s sales declined by about 33% in the same period.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 June 2025):  Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 June 2025):  Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents
  • With Us (9696 JP): NSSK’s JPY3,237 Tender Offer
  • Index Treatment of Sony (6758 JP)’s Spinoff of the Financial Services Business
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big
  • Bank of Japan’s June Policy Decision: A Non-Event for Markets?
  • HKBN (1310 HK): CA Approval (All But) Done. NDRC & MoC Still Outstanding
  • Shinsung Tongsang: A Second Try at Tender Offer and Privatization
  • Zegona Communications: M&A Optionality and Strategic Re-Rating


A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 June 2025):  Narrow Premia Hs Worst Performers, BYD Relents

By Travis Lundy

  • AH spreads are slightly narrower. BANKS, INSURERS, BROKERS, INDUSTRIALS, PHARMA and UTILITIES see significant H-share outperformance vs their A pairs. TECH, CONSUMER, ENERGY mixed to worse.
  • Ongoing skew on H-vs-A performance this week. Those trading AH Premium <20% saw H outperform sharply but those with H Premia contracted. Quiddity Portfolio alpha trending strongly.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.

With Us (9696 JP): NSSK’s JPY3,237 Tender Offer

By Arun George

  • With Us Corp (9696 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Nippon Sangyo Suishin Kiko (NSSK) at JPY3,237, an 18.0% premium to the last close price.
  • The offer represents an all-time high and concludes SwissAsia’s activist campaign to spill the Board at the AGM on 26 June.
  • SwissAsia and the founding family have provided irrevocables (39.81% ownership ratio), paving the way for deal completion. 

Index Treatment of Sony (6758 JP)’s Spinoff of the Financial Services Business

By Brian Freitas

  • For each share of Sony Corp (6758 JP), shareholders will receive 1 share of Sony Financial Group. Ex-date for the dividend in-kind is 29 September.
  • The Nikkei has started a market consultation on treatment of the spinoff in the Nikkei225 and that means the dividend in-kind will not be included in the Dividend Point Index.
  • There will be some selling in SFGI from passive trackers and the company will buy back some stock following listing. Details of the buyback have not been announced yet.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big

By Travis Lundy

  • Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes back above US$13bn a day this past 4-day week. Net buying back below US$500mm/day.
  • Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS, ENERGY, TELECOMS stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, it is INFO TECH again. 8 weeks in a row negative.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.

Bank of Japan’s June Policy Decision: A Non-Event for Markets?

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • With Japan’s policy rate at 0.5% and the last hike in January 2025, markets are closely watching the BoJ’s next move on June 17.
  • Historical data shows limited market impact from anticipated rate decisions—but rare surprises, like the July 2025 hike, have triggered outsized index reactions.
  • While historical data and current option pricing suggest the June BoJ decision is unlikely to move markets significantly, investors should be aware of low-probability tail risk when positioning.

HKBN (1310 HK): CA Approval (All But) Done. NDRC & MoC Still Outstanding

By David Blennerhassett

  • Six months and counting; yet China Mobile (941 HK) continues to (slowly, but surely) chip away at various pre-conditions. 
  • In its monthly update, HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) said Mobile has proposed commitments to Hong Kong’s Communication Authority,  and that the commitments are sufficient to effectively address the CA’s concerns. 
  • The CA is seeking industry feedback by the 13th June, but a favourable conclusion appears a lock. Elsewhere, no update on I-Squared’s proposal. 

Shinsung Tongsang: A Second Try at Tender Offer and Privatization

By Douglas Kim

  • On 9 June, Shinsung Tongsang (005390 KS) announced a second tender offer after a failed attempt last year. Tender offer price is 4,100 won per share.
  • The tender offer price this time (second try) is much higher than recent prices, making it much more likely that the tender offer will be successful.
  • From 2019 to 2023, Top Ten’s sales nearly tripled whereas Uniqlo Korea’s sales declined by about 33% in the same period.

Zegona Communications: M&A Optionality and Strategic Re-Rating

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Zegona Communications (ZEG LN) owns 100% of Vodafone Spain and is a pure-play turnaround and M&A optionality vehicle in a consolidating European telecom market.
  • Telefónica and MasOrange are reportedly considering a bid, with potential upside of 25–83% depending on deal terms and valuation multiples.
  • Even without a sale, fibre JV monetization and cost-cutting support a standalone re-rating over the next 12–18 months.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Austal Ltd, Azoom, Zhejiang Sanhua Intellignt Controls Co., Ltd., Hanwha Corporation, Voyager Technologies, Electro Optic Systems Hldg, discoverIE Group, Olam Group, RITES Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning
  • [Japan ECM/Index] Azoom (3496) Offering to Enable Move to TOPIX
  • Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium
  • Updated NAV Valuations of Doosan Corp, Hanwha Corp, CJ Corp, GS Holdings, and Lotte Corp
  • Voyager Technologies Inc. (VOYG): Space & Defense Demand Is Hot, Deal Double-Digits Oversubscribed
  • Electro Optic Systems — Positioned for drone defence
  • Electro Optic Systems — Positioned for drone defence
  • discoverIE Group — Raising medium-term margin target again
  • The Broader Beat: Market Movers Beyond the Benchmark
  • RITES Ltd (NSE: RITES) – Stable Core, Turnkey Drag, Strong Rail Capex Tailwinds


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • There is 1 change for the S&P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&P/ASX100 Index and 2 changes for the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX).
  • There is between A$30m-A$135m to trade in the index changes and that is between 0.7-16 days of ADV in the stocks. Short interest has jumped in a few stocks.
  • We expect positioning to be lower than the passive trading in Nick Scali, Viva Energy Group, Perseus Mining, Austal Ltd and Healius.

[Japan ECM/Index] Azoom (3496) Offering to Enable Move to TOPIX

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday 6 June, Azoom (3496 JP) announced it would conduct an offering (small issuance of new shares, some Treasury shares, larger selldown by the main shareholder).
  • That comes in conjunction with a transfer to TSE Prime from TSE Growth, which itself leads to a TOPIX Inclusion trade next month. 
  • The company has decided to tack on a special dividend for this year, on top of growth and more liquidity. None of this is especially bad.

Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • Zhejiang Sanhua Intellignt Controls Co., Ltd. (002050 CH) (ZSIC), a manufacturer of refrigeration and air-conditioning control components, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
  • ZSIC is a market leader in a number of products, with commanding market share both domestically and globally.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we look at the PHIP updates and talk about the likely A/H premium.

Updated NAV Valuations of Doosan Corp, Hanwha Corp, CJ Corp, GS Holdings, and Lotte Corp

By Douglas Kim

  • We provide updated NAV valuations of Doosan Corp (000150 KS), Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS), CJ Corp (001040 KS), GS Holdings (078930 KS), and LOTTE Corporation (004990 KS).
  • These holding companies’ outperformance has been driven by investors’ perception that the new Lee Jae-Myung administration will make real changes to improve corporate governance policies that could unlock greater value. 
  • The share prices of Hanwha Corp, Doosan Corp, CJ Corp, GS Holdings, and Lotte Corp are up on average 97% YTD. 

Voyager Technologies Inc. (VOYG): Space & Defense Demand Is Hot, Deal Double-Digits Oversubscribed

By IPO Boutique

  • The company that describes itself as an innovation-driven defense technology and space solutions company has gained significant momentum in the first days of its roadshow
  • The transaction has anchor orders from established funds and a $20 million directed share program. 
  • At the midpoint of the range, Voyager is valued at 7x multiple of projected revenue for 2026 which is a discount to peers.

Electro Optic Systems — Positioned for drone defence

By Edison Investment Research

Electro Optic Systems (EOS) is a specialist defence business focused on remote weapons systems (RWS) and counter drone systems. The group is set to benefit from increased defence spend globally along with the rapid emergence of drone warfare and the subsequent requirement for asset protection systems. A strong balance sheet and restructured cost base provide a solid platform through which these opportunities can be leveraged.


Electro Optic Systems — Positioned for drone defence

By Edison Investment Research

Electro Optic Systems (EOS) is a specialist defence business focused on remote weapons systems (RWS) and counter drone systems. The group is set to benefit from increased defence spend globally along with the rapid emergence of drone warfare and the subsequent requirement for asset protection systems. A strong balance sheet and restructured cost base provide a solid platform through which these opportunities can be leveraged.


discoverIE Group — Raising medium-term margin target again

By Edison Investment Research

discoverIE’s FY25 results highlighted its ability to grow profits and earnings despite pressure on revenue. The adjusted operating margin increased 1.2pp to 14.3%, well ahead of the original 13.5% target for FY25, and adjusted EPS grew 5% y-o-y. This has prompted management to raise its adjusted operating margin target to 17% by FY30. The customer destocking phase appears to be nearly complete; both divisions saw 15% y-o-y organic order growth in Q425, pointing to an inflection point for organic revenue in FY26. Strong cash generation reduced year-end gearing to 1.3x, providing headroom for further M&A.


The Broader Beat: Market Movers Beyond the Benchmark

By Geoff Howie

  • The STI generated a 6.5% total return for 2025 to June 6, with an annualised return of 8.5%.
  • SIA Engineering and Singapore Land Group achieved highest gains among non-STI stocks with market capitalisation above S$3 billion.
  • Sheng Siong Group reported a 15% total return for 2025 to June 6, with increased revenue and net profit.

RITES Ltd (NSE: RITES) – Stable Core, Turnkey Drag, Strong Rail Capex Tailwinds

By Rahul Jain

  • RITES reported a ~10% YoY decline in revenue, from Rs2,453 Cr in FY24 to Rs2,218 Cr in FY25, with PAT falling ~16% to Rs424 Cr due to reduced turnkey execution.
  • The company is ramping up selective metros, export projects, and EPC work, while maintaining its strong core consultancy business, which makes up roughly 50% of revenue.
  • Trading at around 34× P/E, with a ROCE of ~21% and a dividend yield of ~3.8%, RITES remains well-positioned to benefit from India’s sustained rail sector investments.

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Daily Brief Credit: EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views

By Leandro Gubler

  • Suzano to Acquire 51% of Kimberly-Clark’s International Tissue Business for $1.73bn 
  • Vista Priced US$500mn 2033 Unsecured Notes at Par to Yield 8.5% (IPT: mid-8%) / Cemex Launches US$1bn Perpetual NC5 Notes to Yield 7.2% (IPT: 7.625%)
  • Telecom 1Q25: Margin Gains Support Credit, But Telefónica Deal Still Central / Telecom Prices US$800 Million Unsecured Bond Due 2033 at 9.5% Yield

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • Treasury yields climbed yesterday, led by the front and belly tenors, in line with similar price action in Europe after ECB President Christine Lagarde indicated that the central bank could pause rate cuts in the summer.
  • The UST curve bear-flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST rising 5 bps to 3.92% and the yield on the 10Y UST up 4 bps at 4.39%.
  • US equities retreated, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining 0.5% and 0.8%, respectively. US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping spoke on Thursday in a call that lasted c. 1.5 hours. 

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • US Treasury yields rose by 9-13 bps across the curve on Friday, as a stronger than projected nonfarm payrolls report drove down market expectations for Fed easing.
  • The yield on the 2Y and 10Y UST increased 11 bps each to 4.04% and 4.51%, respectively.
  • Equities rallied, as the robust jobs report allayed concerns over an imminent economic slowdown. The S&P 500 rose 1.0% to 6,000, while the Nasdaq jumped 1.2% to 19,530.

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Daily Brief Financials: Blackstone , China Construction Bank H, Nikkei 225, S&P/ASX 200, China Overseas Land & Investment, Chime Financial, Slide Insurance Holdings, Ategrity Specialty Holdings, S&P 500 INDEX, Yuexiu Property and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big
  • Bank of Japan’s June Policy Decision: A Non-Event for Markets?
  • S&P/​​​​ASX 200 Tactical Outlook Post-Index Rebalance Announcement
  • COLI (688 HK): The Best Beta Play for China
  • Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM): Heavy Demand in IPO Order Book but Reason for Caution
  • Slide Holdings Insurance, Inc.(SLDE): Another Insurance IPO Sets Terms, Seeking $2bn Valuation
  • Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC (ASIC): Accelerated Deal, Valuation Fits the Bill for Insurance IPO
  • US Asset Correlations Spike: Early Days, But A New Regime May Be Unfolding
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 June 2025); Volumes Up, Tech Down, ENERGY Bought Big

By Travis Lundy

  • Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes back above US$13bn a day this past 4-day week. Net buying back below US$500mm/day.
  • Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS, ENERGY, TELECOMS stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, it is INFO TECH again. 8 weeks in a row negative.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.

Bank of Japan’s June Policy Decision: A Non-Event for Markets?

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • With Japan’s policy rate at 0.5% and the last hike in January 2025, markets are closely watching the BoJ’s next move on June 17.
  • Historical data shows limited market impact from anticipated rate decisions—but rare surprises, like the July 2025 hike, have triggered outsized index reactions.
  • While historical data and current option pricing suggest the June BoJ decision is unlikely to move markets significantly, investors should be aware of low-probability tail risk when positioning.

S&P/​​​​ASX 200 Tactical Outlook Post-Index Rebalance Announcement

By Nico Rosti

  • As reported by Brian Freitas on 6 June the list of changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices was announced, including some change for the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX).
  • The S&P/ASX 200 index has become quite overbought as of last Friday’s Close, a pullback is probably imminent.
  • This insight evaluates possible scenarios for the possible 2-4 weeks, beyond the June 20 date when the index review will become effective.

COLI (688 HK): The Best Beta Play for China

By Jacob Cheng

  • COLI, being a SOE residential developer, has no bankruptcy risk.  Under the current downturn, it is gaining market share and evolving into a stronger market leader
  • It recently issued onshore bond at historical low coupon 1.80% (5-year) and 2.37% (10-year), which is even lower than China’s LPR.  This is very significant 
  • Valuation is almost all time low, and downside is limited.  We think it is the perfect beta play for China

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM): Heavy Demand in IPO Order Book but Reason for Caution

By IPO Boutique

  • The hold-up is based upon how Chime should be valued — either like a fintech darling or just another financial services company.
  • The company’s gross profit tells a solid growth story as Chime ramps into the IPO with a healthy 33% gross profit clip based on Q1 2025 financials vs Q1 2024. 
  • According to our sources, the Chime order book is considered multiple-times oversubscribed.

Slide Holdings Insurance, Inc.(SLDE): Another Insurance IPO Sets Terms, Seeking $2bn Valuation

By IPO Boutique

  • Slide Insurance Holdings (SLDE US) will be the fourth insurance company to go public in the first half of 2025.
  • The company is offering 20 million shares at $15-$17 equating to a $1.9b-$2.1b  market cap.
  • We anticipate there to be solid interest in this IPO based upon sector tailwinds. The company considers itself an “insurtech” which could create a different investor profile for this deal.

Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC (ASIC): Accelerated Deal, Valuation Fits the Bill for Insurance IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Ategrity Specialty Holdings (ASIC US) has elected to push pricing ahead by one-day due to the strength of the order book.
  • According to our sources, the deal is multiple-times oversubscribed with quality conversions from 1-on-1 meetings.
  • This IPO is being well-received. Insurance IPOs are not the type of deal that is “flashy” out of the gates but is one that is geared toward buy-and-hold investors.

US Asset Correlations Spike: Early Days, But A New Regime May Be Unfolding

By John Ley

  • We revisit the evolving correlation between US equities, bonds, and the dollar post-Liberation Day.
  • Recent asset price behavior may be signaling a deeper structural shift in US market dynamics.
  • Market moves suggest that traditional hedging assumptions may need to be re-evaluated.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • Treasury yields climbed yesterday, led by the front and belly tenors, in line with similar price action in Europe after ECB President Christine Lagarde indicated that the central bank could pause rate cuts in the summer.
  • The UST curve bear-flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST rising 5 bps to 3.92% and the yield on the 10Y UST up 4 bps at 4.39%.
  • US equities retreated, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining 0.5% and 0.8%, respectively. US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping spoke on Thursday in a call that lasted c. 1.5 hours. 

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Daily Brief Macro: Trade Avoidance Easing Shocks and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Trade Avoidance Easing Shocks
  • Risk-On Mood Continues Setting an Upbeat Tone for Japan SPE (Again)
  • India Steel Monitor – May 2025: Prices Fall, Demand Weak, Outlook Diverges
  • FY 2025 Marks Shrinking Margins For Indian Tire Majors
  • [US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/23] WTI Rebounded on Supply Risks and Trade Optimism
  • Inflation Concerns Overdone
  • Drought & Planting Update
  • [US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/23] Henry Hub Surged on Bullish Summer Demand Outlook
  • Bearishness Persist in Soybeans Despite Rebound Hopes
  • Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation Forecast (2h-May)


Trade Avoidance Easing Shocks

By Phil Rush

  • China’s crashing exports to the US partly reflect avoidance measures, including rerouting through other countries and marking down import prices to subsidiaries.
  • Exports to the EU and UK are only trending slightly higher, making little difference to disinflation. ASEAN countries, and especially Vietnam, are seeing trade surge again.
  • The US may clamp down on avoidance measures that have eased the shock so far. It could make a painful example of one to encourage concessions from all trade partners.

Risk-On Mood Continues Setting an Upbeat Tone for Japan SPE (Again)

By Andrew Jackson

  • Apple WWDC failing to excite, but suppliers trade better on iPad software revamp news 
  • Bullish broker comments focused on Sandisk’s cheap valuation should help the even cheaper Kioxia 
  • Less known Nomura Micro Science running +7.2% yesterday as a play on the burgeoning Indian semi-industry 

India Steel Monitor – May 2025: Prices Fall, Demand Weak, Outlook Diverges

By Rahul Jain

  • Steel prices declined for 5 straight weeks; long products like rebar and wire rod saw the steepest fall amid weak spot market sentiment.
  • Companies expect higher Q1 FY26 realizations, but spot trends remain weak, highlighting a lag between optimism and transactional reality.
  • Auto and housing demand is softening; only two-wheelers, EVs, and commercial real estate offer near-term support to steel consumption.

FY 2025 Marks Shrinking Margins For Indian Tire Majors

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • MRF stages recovery in margin in Q4, others suffer  
  • CEAT breaches US$1.51 billion for the first time in revenue in FY25  
  • High raw material costs eat into profits of majors

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/23] WTI Rebounded on Supply Risks and Trade Optimism

By Suhas Reddy

  • WTI futures rose 6.2% for the week ending 06/Jun, as supply disruption fears and U.S.-China trade optimism outweighed concerns over the OPEC+ output hike.
  • The U.S. rig count fell by four to 559. The oil rig count fell by nine to 442, while gas rigs grew by five to 114.
  • WTI OI PCR remained at 0.83 on 06/Jun compared to 30/May. Call OI rose by 4.1% WoW, while put OI grew by 3.9%.

Inflation Concerns Overdone

By Sharmila Whelan

  • For Trading Post a global recession has never been on the cards, nor a resurgence in inflation.
  • If mainstream economists continue to raise alarms about a tariff induced inflation surge, it reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of how inflation works and what drives it.   
  • Current trends in broad money growth, credit cycles and monetary policy settings simply don’t support the prevailing inflation narrative.

Drought & Planting Update

By The Commodity Report

  • Corn crop looks good but slightly worse than 2024
  • Spring Wheat is looking okayish, but conditions are worse than during the three previous years
  • Soybean conditions aren’t that visible yet, but analysts expect solid to good conditions at the moment

[US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/23] Henry Hub Surged on Bullish Summer Demand Outlook

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 06/Jun, U.S. natural gas prices gained 9.8% on the back of forecasts of a hotter-than-expected summer and rising LNG exports.
  • For the week ending 30/May, the EIA reported that U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 122 Bcf, higher than analyst expectations of a 111 Bcf build.
  • Henry Hub OI PCR fell to 0.85 on 06/Jun compared to 0.86 on 30/May. Call OI increased by 6% WoW, while put OI grew by 4.4%.

Bearishness Persist in Soybeans Despite Rebound Hopes

By Srinidhi Raghavendra

  • Bean prices have been oscillating on shifting trade war sentiments. Easing leads to rally followed by pull back in prices when tensions seemingly peak.
  • Present sentiment remains cautious amid policy uncertainty & robust planting progress, with 84% of the U.S. soybean crop planted as of 1/Jun, above the five-year average of 80%.
  • Despite the recent pullback in futures, skew (Up Var minus Down Var) has reached a YTD high, signalling market expectations of a spike in bean prices.

Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation Forecast (2h-May)

By Actinver

  • We expect inflation for the second half of May to stand at 0.15% biweekly (4.58% YoY).
  • Although core inflation this period may be low due to Hot Sale seasonal discounts, our price monitoring detected widespread pressures in agricultural products.
  • Typically, inflation for this period averages 0.10% biweekly.

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Daily Brief United States: Blackstone , Advanced Micro Devices, Chime Financial, Lululemon Athletica, Circle Internet Group, Pvh Corp, MongoDB , Apple , Crude Oil and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade
  • AMD Ups The Ante With A Flurry Of Smaller Acquisitions
  • Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM): Heavy Demand in IPO Order Book but Reason for Caution
  • Can Lululemon Athletica Strike Back? Some Bold Moves to Crush Tariffs & Supply Chain Chaos!
  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL US): Rounded US & Global Index Inclusion & Upweight
  • PVH Is Reinventing Calvin Klein And Tommy Hilfiger: Inside Its Recent
  • Lululemon 1Q’25 Update
  • MongoDB: An Insight Into Its Strategic Positioning Amidst AI Revolution & Key Growth Catalysts!
  • Apple WWDC25: Nothing Announcements, and Nothing on AI.
  • [US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/23] WTI Rebounded on Supply Risks and Trade Optimism


Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas


AMD Ups The Ante With A Flurry Of Smaller Acquisitions

By William Keating

  • AMD recently announced the acquisition of Enosemi, a silicon-valley based startup specialising in chips for Co-Packaged Optics (CPO), and Brium, a previously unknown startup specialising in compiler optimisation
  • AMD is also acquiring the engineering team behind Untether, a canadian AI hardware startup similar in many ways to Graphcore
  • Wave Computing, Luminos Computing, Graphcore, Untether, the list of failing would-be NVIDIA challengers keeps growing. Who’s next?

Chime Financial, Inc. (CHYM): Heavy Demand in IPO Order Book but Reason for Caution

By IPO Boutique

  • The hold-up is based upon how Chime should be valued — either like a fintech darling or just another financial services company.
  • The company’s gross profit tells a solid growth story as Chime ramps into the IPO with a healthy 33% gross profit clip based on Q1 2025 financials vs Q1 2024. 
  • According to our sources, the Chime order book is considered multiple-times oversubscribed.

Can Lululemon Athletica Strike Back? Some Bold Moves to Crush Tariffs & Supply Chain Chaos!

By Baptista Research

  • Lululemon Athletica Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, posting revenue growth that reached the high end of its guidance range with a notable improvement in the United States, where revenues grew by 2%.
  • The overall revenue increased by 7% (or 8% in constant currency) reaching $2.4 billion, driven by strong performance across various regions, despite a seemingly cautious consumer sentiment in the U.S. The brand witnessed robust in-market performance with revenues in Canada increasing by 9% and a significant 22% increase in Mainland China.
  • The company also saw 17% revenue growth in the rest of the world.

Circle Internet Group (CRCL US): Rounded US & Global Index Inclusion & Upweight

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL US) is forecasted to be added to both US TMI and R1000 at the September 2025 review. 
  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL US) is forecasted to be added to Global Standard at the November 2025 review and to Global All-World at the December 2025 review.
  • A significant upweight is anticipated at the March 2026 review in R1000 and Global All-World following the lock-up expiry.

PVH Is Reinventing Calvin Klein And Tommy Hilfiger: Inside Its Recent

By Baptista Research

  • PVH Corp.’s first-quarter 2025 performance reflects a balance of achievements and challenges in a complex macroeconomic environment.
  • On the positive side, PVH delivered revenue growth that surpassed company guidance, attributable to the effective execution of its PVH+ Plan.
  • The revenue increased by 2%, exceeding expectations due to stronger-than-projected wholesale performance, early shipments, and the relaunch of Calvin Klein women’s sportswear and jeans in North America.

Lululemon 1Q’25 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • Lulu is again back to LSD growth in the US; what makes it more disappointing is they actually had a somewhat easier comparison since 1Q’24 growth was just 2%.
  • Canada, despite a low double digit growth in 1Q’24, again had higher growth than the US this quarter.
  • China and Rest of the World (RoW) maintained healthy growth rates but growth has materially decelerated. 

MongoDB: An Insight Into Its Strategic Positioning Amidst AI Revolution & Key Growth Catalysts!

By Baptista Research

  • MongoDB, Inc., a leading document-oriented database platform provider, has reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.
  • This quarter, MongoDB announced revenues of $549 million, marking a 22% year-over-year increase that surpassed expectations.
  • The revenue growth was significantly driven by Atlas, its cloud-based database service, which saw a 26% rise and accounted for 72% of the total revenue.

Apple WWDC25: Nothing Announcements, and Nothing on AI.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • How many times can Apple management say “delightful” when they have nothing to say? WWDC25 highlighted a bunch of small software tweaks, mostly “new designs” and nothing on AI. 
  • The air pocket continues: very low growth in hardware categories, potentially large negative consequence of the Epic lawsuit, no AI roadmap.   
  • Consensus expects revenue growth for FY26 and that’s very questionable. The stock trades at 28x FY25 EPS, 26x FY26 with the only driver being share buybacks. Avoid!

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/23] WTI Rebounded on Supply Risks and Trade Optimism

By Suhas Reddy

  • WTI futures rose 6.2% for the week ending 06/Jun, as supply disruption fears and U.S.-China trade optimism outweighed concerns over the OPEC+ output hike.
  • The U.S. rig count fell by four to 559. The oil rig count fell by nine to 442, while gas rigs grew by five to 114.
  • WTI OI PCR remained at 0.83 on 06/Jun compared to 30/May. Call OI rose by 4.1% WoW, while put OI grew by 3.9%.

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Daily Brief Singapore: SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Olam Group, Wing Tai Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • FY 2025 Marks Shrinking Margins For Indian Tire Majors
  • REIT Watch – Keppel DC REIT scheduled to join STI from 23 June
  • The Broader Beat: Market Movers Beyond the Benchmark
  • Ongoing Share Purchases by Dr Ng in Q&M


FY 2025 Marks Shrinking Margins For Indian Tire Majors

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • MRF stages recovery in margin in Q4, others suffer  
  • CEAT breaches US$1.51 billion for the first time in revenue in FY25  
  • High raw material costs eat into profits of majors

REIT Watch – Keppel DC REIT scheduled to join STI from 23 June

By Geoff Howie

  • Keppel DC REIT re-enters the STI, increasing S-REITs’ combined weight to over 10%, with a market cap of S$4.9 billion.
  • In 1Q 2025, Keppel DC REIT’s distributable income rose 59.4% year-on-year, with a 14.2% increase in distribution per unit.
  • Keppel DC REIT’s 2024 acquisitions included Tokyo Data Centre 1 and two AI-ready hyperscale data centres in Singapore.

The Broader Beat: Market Movers Beyond the Benchmark

By Geoff Howie

  • The STI generated a 6.5% total return for 2025 to June 6, with an annualised return of 8.5%.
  • SIA Engineering and Singapore Land Group achieved highest gains among non-STI stocks with market capitalisation above S$3 billion.
  • Sheng Siong Group reported a 15% total return for 2025 to June 6, with increased revenue and net profit.

Ongoing Share Purchases by Dr Ng in Q&M

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks with a S$32 million outflow, totaling S$1.76 billion year-to-date.
  • 19 companies conducted share buybacks totaling S$46 million; City Developments announced a 10% preference share buyback.
  • Directors and CEOs filed 13 acquisitions with no disposals; substantial shareholders filed 11 acquisitions and five disposals.

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Daily Brief India: Trent Ltd, Tata Motors, Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Steel, Shilpa Medicare, RITES Ltd, Dodla Dairy and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows
  • Reiterate Short Tata Motors – Weak Sales Volume, JLR UK Retails Weak
  • The Beat Ideas: Chambal Fertilisers – From Urea Giant to Agri-Solutions Powerhouse
  • FY 2025 Marks Shrinking Margins For Indian Tire Majors
  • India Steel Monitor – May 2025: Prices Fall, Demand Weak, Outlook Diverges
  • Shilpa Medicare: Strong FY25, FDF and Biologics, Focus on Asset Monetisation
  • RITES Ltd (NSE: RITES) – Stable Core, Turnkey Drag, Strong Rail Capex Tailwinds
  • Dodla Dairy (DODLA) – Multiple Near-Term Triggers Position It for Re-Rating


Quiddity BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The semiannual index rebal events of the SENSEX index, BSE 100 index, and BSE 200 index will take place in June 2025.
  • There will be two changes for BSE Sensex, three changes for BSE 100, and eight changes for BSE 200.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.

Reiterate Short Tata Motors – Weak Sales Volume, JLR UK Retails Weak

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • We continue to reiterate our short call on Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) based on near term challenges.
  • May sales volume is weak versus peers in industry. This weak performance is seen across segments – India passenger cars, commercial vehicles and UK Retail sales
  • This insight discusses the whole sale volume in the month of May and compares it with its nearest competitors.

The Beat Ideas: Chambal Fertilisers – From Urea Giant to Agri-Solutions Powerhouse

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • CFCL is shifting from a subsidy-driven urea player to a diversified Agri-inputs firm, with strong traction in crop protection, biologicals, and a INR 1,645 Cr TAN project. . 
  • This diversification reduces exposure to regulatory risks, enhances margins, and positions CFCL for long-term structural growth in high-value Agri-solutions
  • With a near debt-free balance sheet and visibility on INR 900–1,000 Cr revenue from TAN, we now view CFCL as a multi-engine growth story beyond commoditized urea.

FY 2025 Marks Shrinking Margins For Indian Tire Majors

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • MRF stages recovery in margin in Q4, others suffer  
  • CEAT breaches US$1.51 billion for the first time in revenue in FY25  
  • High raw material costs eat into profits of majors

India Steel Monitor – May 2025: Prices Fall, Demand Weak, Outlook Diverges

By Rahul Jain

  • Steel prices declined for 5 straight weeks; long products like rebar and wire rod saw the steepest fall amid weak spot market sentiment.
  • Companies expect higher Q1 FY26 realizations, but spot trends remain weak, highlighting a lag between optimism and transactional reality.
  • Auto and housing demand is softening; only two-wheelers, EVs, and commercial real estate offer near-term support to steel consumption.

Shilpa Medicare: Strong FY25, FDF and Biologics, Focus on Asset Monetisation

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Shilpa’s FY 25 revenue +13 %, EBITDA margin 26 %, EU-GMP clearances, key FDF launches and stronger biologics/CDMO orders mark a decisive operational step-up.
  • Growth now rests on differentiated, limited-competition products and biologics CDMO, promising steadier earnings and less reliance on lumpy one-off licensing fees.
  • Improved asset utilisation, regulatory wins and visible pipeline recast Shilpa from a cyclical API player into a diversified, higher-margin specialty-biologics growth story.

RITES Ltd (NSE: RITES) – Stable Core, Turnkey Drag, Strong Rail Capex Tailwinds

By Rahul Jain

  • RITES reported a ~10% YoY decline in revenue, from Rs2,453 Cr in FY24 to Rs2,218 Cr in FY25, with PAT falling ~16% to Rs424 Cr due to reduced turnkey execution.
  • The company is ramping up selective metros, export projects, and EPC work, while maintaining its strong core consultancy business, which makes up roughly 50% of revenue.
  • Trading at around 34× P/E, with a ROCE of ~21% and a dividend yield of ~3.8%, RITES remains well-positioned to benefit from India’s sustained rail sector investments.

Dodla Dairy (DODLA) – Multiple Near-Term Triggers Position It for Re-Rating

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Dodla Dairy Ltd, one of India’s leading integrated dairy companies, is on a strong growth trajectory with 3-year revenue CAGR of 18.4% during 2022-2025
  • Further, the increasing mix of value-added product (VAP) is leading to improving profitability, and robust free cash flow generation.
  • The valuation, at 23.3x FY27 EPS is reasonable in our view with potential upside for re-rating if the management continues to execute on its growth strategy.

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