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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Utilities: Exelon Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Exelon Corporation: 6 Major Game-Changers Impacting Its 2025 Performance & Beyond!


Exelon Corporation: 6 Major Game-Changers Impacting Its 2025 Performance & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Exelon Corporation reported a decent result with strong operating earnings of $0.92 per share, a significant increase from $0.68 in the same quarter of the previous year, driven by higher distribution and transmission rates as well as favorable weather conditions.
  • This performance is in line with Exelon’s 2025 guidance, underpinned by its robust investment strategy and operational prowess.
  • On the positive side, Exelon demonstrated efficient regulatory navigation, with improvements in Maryland’s legislative framework offering new opportunities for growth, particularly in battery storage and distribution upgrades.

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Daily Brief Australia: Xanadu Mines, Iron Ore and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Xanadu (XAM AU): A Mongolian Face To A Mongolian Project
  • [IO Technicals 2025/21] Bullish Momentum to Persist


Xanadu (XAM AU): A Mongolian Face To A Mongolian Project

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 21st May, Xanadu Mines (XAM AU), a Mongolian copper-gold mining play, inked an off-market deal with Bastion @A$0.08/share in cash. 
  • Bastion comprises Singapore-based Baroo (comprising board members from Mongolia) and Xanadu director Ganbayer Lkhagvasuren. Bastion is also subscribing for 286.8mn shares, at A$0.06/share, or 13% fully diluted.
  • A follow-up Q&A session is worth listening to in full to gauge why Zijin (JV partner and 19.8% shareholder) may view Bastion taking control of XAM as a good thing.  

[IO Technicals 2025/21] Bullish Momentum to Persist

By Pranay Yadav

  • Disappointing industrial production and consumer spending data from China, along with stagnant new housing prices, dampened investor sentiment.
  • Steel consumption remains robust even amid China’s property sector woes, as elevated mill activity and profitability at 60% of blast-furnace plants highlight the market’s core strength.
  • On the technical front, current prices remain above the 21-day and 50-day moving averages, suggesting a positive short-to-mid-term trend.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Xanadu Mines, Iron Ore, Ring Energy Inc, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Journey Energy , TMC the metals co, Targa Resources and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Xanadu (XAM AU): A Mongolian Face To A Mongolian Project
  • [IO Technicals 2025/21] Bullish Momentum to Persist
  • Ring Energy, Inc: Estimate Update; Focusing on Debt Reduction
  • Indian SR Prices Downward, But Domestic Demand Upbeat
  • Journey Energy, Inc: Focus on Unconventional Duvernay Growth Underpinned by Long-Lived Assets
  • TMC US: Capital Injection and Regulatory Clarity Pave the Way for Sprint Toward Approval
  • Targa Resources: An Insight Into Its Permian Basin Positioning


Xanadu (XAM AU): A Mongolian Face To A Mongolian Project

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 21st May, Xanadu Mines (XAM AU), a Mongolian copper-gold mining play, inked an off-market deal with Bastion @A$0.08/share in cash. 
  • Bastion comprises Singapore-based Baroo (comprising board members from Mongolia) and Xanadu director Ganbayer Lkhagvasuren. Bastion is also subscribing for 286.8mn shares, at A$0.06/share, or 13% fully diluted.
  • A follow-up Q&A session is worth listening to in full to gauge why Zijin (JV partner and 19.8% shareholder) may view Bastion taking control of XAM as a good thing.  

[IO Technicals 2025/21] Bullish Momentum to Persist

By Pranay Yadav

  • Disappointing industrial production and consumer spending data from China, along with stagnant new housing prices, dampened investor sentiment.
  • Steel consumption remains robust even amid China’s property sector woes, as elevated mill activity and profitability at 60% of blast-furnace plants highlight the market’s core strength.
  • On the technical front, current prices remain above the 21-day and 50-day moving averages, suggesting a positive short-to-mid-term trend.

Ring Energy, Inc: Estimate Update; Focusing on Debt Reduction

By Water Tower Research

  • After adding ~2,300 Boe/d of shallow-decline production in the Lime Rock acquisition, management altered its FY25 capital program to favor allocating free cash flow to debt reduction.
  • 2Q25 capital spending guidance was lowered by more than 50% from prior expectations, yet production guidance was maintained at 20,500-22,500 Boe/d (13,700-14,700 Bo/d).
  • Updated full-year guidance reflects a 36% capital spending reduction from management’s initial outlook and a 5% production reduction. 

Indian SR Prices Downward, But Domestic Demand Upbeat

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Slipping butadiene costs impact prices of SBR, BR and NBR  
  • Near steady domestic production fails to match rise in consumption  
  • EPDM, Silicone Rubber prices near stable since February  

Journey Energy, Inc: Focus on Unconventional Duvernay Growth Underpinned by Long-Lived Assets

By Water Tower Research

  • Journey reported 1Q25 earnings on May 8 and subsequently released a new investor presentation.
  • It included a longer-term outlook on the Duvernay JV with forecasted development plans.
  • Journey also provided forecasted sensitivities for earnings on the developing power business.

TMC US: Capital Injection and Regulatory Clarity Pave the Way for Sprint Toward Approval

By Water Tower Research

  • Eventful start to the year. Last week, TMC provided the investment community with an update on its business performance, 1Q25 financial results, and events that took place after the close of the quarter, which included completing a successful capital raise and filing three applications with the NOAA for exploration and commercial collection of polymetallic nodules in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ) of the Pacific Ocean.
  • 1Q25 operating loss and cash use rates reduced. TMC’s 1Q25 operating loss of $18 million improved from the year-ago loss of $24.7 million as an $8.6 million decline in exploration and evaluation expenses was partially offset by a $1.9 million increase in general & administrative expenses.
  • TMC used $9.3 million in cash during the quarter, slowing its cash burn rate from last year’s $11.8 million.

Targa Resources: An Insight Into Its Permian Basin Positioning

By Baptista Research

  • Targa Resources Corp., a key player in the midstream energy sector, presented its first-quarter 2025 earnings, demonstrating a mixed performance influenced by a combination of operational excellence and market challenges.
  • The company reported record adjusted EBITDA driven by strong activity in the Permian Basin, despite facing adverse winter weather conditions that impacted volumes.
  • However, the company’s proactive approach to managing these interruptions, including strategic purchase and storage of steel to mitigate potential tariff impacts, stands out as a positive aspect.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Jcr Pharmaceuticals, Baxter International, BB Biotech AG, Biogen Inc, Cardinal Health, Dexcom Inc, Enlivex Therapeutics , IDEXX Laboratories, Mettler Toledo International Inc, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • JCR Pharmaceutical (4552 JP): Guidance Signals Stabilization After FY25 Hiccups, Concerns Remain
  • Baxter International Is Building A Tariff Defense Mechanism With Exemption & Sourcing Tactics But Will It Work?
  • BB Biotech — Optimistic about biotech’s long-term prospects
  • Biogen Inc.: The Game-Changing Subcutaneous LEQEMBI Might Just Be Its Single-Biggest Future Growth Catalyst!
  • Cardinal Health: Specialty Networks & MSO Additions Could Be A Key Needle Mover For Stock!
  • DexCom: Non-Insulin Type 2 Diabetes Market Penetration Be A Breakthrough Move?
  • WTR Biotech Spotlight Podcast Recap ENLV: Breaking the Inflammatory Cycle in Knee Osteoarthritis
  • IDEXX Laboratories Is Defying Global Economic Shocks—How Is It Thriving Amid Tariff Turbulence & Market Volatility?
  • Mettler-Toledo: An Insight Into Its Latest Pricing Strategy
  • Alnylam Pharmaceuticals: Why Its TTR Franchise Expansion Can Be A Game Changer!


JCR Pharmaceutical (4552 JP): Guidance Signals Stabilization After FY25 Hiccups, Concerns Remain

By Tina Banerjee

  • Jcr Pharmaceuticals (4552 JP) revenue dropped 23% to ¥33B in FY25, mainly driven by lower contractual payments and reduced renal segment revenue.
  • R&D expenses surged 37% YoY to ¥15B resulting in operating loss of ¥6.65B in FY25.
  • FY26 guidance signals back in black after one-time hurdles drag performance in FY25.

Baxter International Is Building A Tariff Defense Mechanism With Exemption & Sourcing Tactics But Will It Work?

By Baptista Research

  • Baxter International’s Q1 2025 earnings results reflect a robust performance with notable growth across its operating segments, though not without challenges reflective of the current global economic climate.
  • The company reported a 5% increase in sales from continuing operations, exceeding its initial projections of 3% to 4%.
  • This performance was driven by substantial contributions from all three segments: Medical Products and Therapies (MPT), Healthcare Systems and Technologies (HST), and Pharmaceuticals.

BB Biotech — Optimistic about biotech’s long-term prospects

By Edison Investment Research

During 2024 and early this year, the biotech sector began to show signs of a structural recovery, supported by positive clinical data, regulatory approvals, lower interest rates, commercial execution and Johnson & Johnson’s acquisition of Intra-Cellular Therapies, one of BION’s core holdings. However, more recently, the sector has been hit by uncertainties about the macroeconomic outlook, US tariffs and the regulatory policies of the new US administration. This has increased market volatility, especially in the small- and mid-cap companies that BION favours, and the company’s performance has declined accordingly, even though BION’s portfolio holdings are performing well, with several delivering regulatory and clinical milestones. BION’s peers have also struggled in this challenging environment. Yet the news is not all bad. BION’s manager has taken action to protect returns by reducing the number of holdings, increasing the focus on larger-cap names and enhancing risk management. Furthermore, lower valuations have created opportunities for BION to expand exposure to high-quality companies pursuing significant market opportunities via the development of breakthrough therapies. And, most importantly, the biotech sector still has a very positive long-term outlook, with commensurate rewards for those willing to wait out near-term volatility.


Biogen Inc.: The Game-Changing Subcutaneous LEQEMBI Might Just Be Its Single-Biggest Future Growth Catalyst!

By Baptista Research

  • Biogen Inc. provided a mixed set of results in its first quarter of 2025, revealing both opportunities for its growing portfolio and challenges with its traditional business lines.
  • Starting with the positives, the company has made significant strides with its newer products, contrasting its historically dominant but declining multiple sclerosis (MS) portfolio.
  • The newer products, including rare disease drugs like ZURZUVAE, LEQEMBI, and VUMERITY, now account for approximately 45% of Biogen’s product revenue.

Cardinal Health: Specialty Networks & MSO Additions Could Be A Key Needle Mover For Stock!

By Baptista Research

  • Cardinal Health, Incorporated reported robust third-quarter fiscal year 2025 results, demonstrating resilience and growth across its business segments.
  • The company’s performance was particularly driven by strong utilization trends and execution in its Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment, as well as growth from three other businesses grouped under “Other.” The positive financial outcomes led Cardinal Health to raise its fiscal year 2025 EPS guidance.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

DexCom: Non-Insulin Type 2 Diabetes Market Penetration Be A Breakthrough Move?

By Baptista Research

  • DexCom, Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, demonstrating a commendable 14% organic revenue growth from the previous year.
  • The U.S. market drove much of this growth, achieving a 15% increase in revenue, fueled by robust demand and broader access to their continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems.
  • DexCom’s strategic focus on expanding their prescriber base and enhancing commercial reach has begun to manifest in increased customer acquisition, particularly in the type 2 diabetes sector, where their coverage has expanded significantly.

WTR Biotech Spotlight Podcast Recap ENLV: Breaking the Inflammatory Cycle in Knee Osteoarthritis

By Water Tower Research

  • Enlivex Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotech company developing Allocetra, an allogeneic cell therapy for inflammatory diseases.
  • Allocetra is manufactured from donor- derived mononuclear cells induced to an apoptotic state, which reprogram proinflammatory macrophages back to a homeostatic state.
  • Enlivex has clinical studies in sepsis, knee OA, basal thumb OA, TMJ OA, and psoriatic arthritis.

IDEXX Laboratories Is Defying Global Economic Shocks—How Is It Thriving Amid Tariff Turbulence & Market Volatility?

By Baptista Research

  • IDEXX Laboratories reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, revealing a mixed performance with notable areas of strength as well as challenges.
  • Overall, IDEXX achieved a 5% organic revenue growth, a figure backed by a 4.5% increase in CAG Diagnostics recurring revenues despite facing a 1.5% headwind from fewer equivalent days.
  • The company’s veterinary software and diagnostic imaging revenues were particularly strong, showing a 9% organic gain, highlighting robust demand in this segment.

Mettler-Toledo: An Insight Into Its Latest Pricing Strategy

By Baptista Research

  • Mettler-Toledo International Inc. reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, revealing both challenges and opportunities for investors considering this precision instrument and service provider.
  • The company’s performance was characterized by diverse regional trends, product line variability, and external economic influences, such as global trade uncertainties and tariffs.
  • Positive aspects highlighted in the earnings call include solid growth in the Laboratory segment, with Mettler Toledo benefiting from recent innovations in products like balances, titrators, and thermal analysis instruments.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals: Why Its TTR Franchise Expansion Can Be A Game Changer!

By Baptista Research

  • Alnylam Pharmaceuticals recently reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, providing a comprehensive overview of the company’s financial performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook.
  • Here is a neutral analysis of the company’s investment case and key results.
  • During the quarter, Alnylam achieved $469 million in net product revenues, a significant 28% growth year-over-year.

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Daily Brief Industrials: InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Samsung C&T, Idex Corp, Parker Hannifin, Ingersoll Rand , Fortive , Quanta Services, Ametek Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expectations
  • Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (23 May to 6 June 2025)
  • IDEX Corporation: Its Position In Performance Pneumatics and Sustainable Power Solutions Is Perhaps The Biggest Future Growth Enabler!
  • Parker-Hannifin Corporation: How Is The Aftermarket Expansion Through The Meggitt Acquisition Panning Out?
  • Ingersoll Rand Seizes Asia-Pacific Momentum To Up Their Game; What Lies Ahead?
  • Fortive Corporation: Can It Build On The Growth In Precision Technologies While Handling The Evolving Market Dynamics?
  • Quanta Services: Capitalizing On Solar & Renewable Energy Projects & Key Growth Catalysts!
  • AMETEK Inc.: An Insight Into Its Tariff Mitigation Strategy to Maintain Resilience In Navigating Economic Hurdles!


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expectations

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the September 2025 index rebal event.
  • We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (23 May to 6 June 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks (23 May to 6 June 2025).
  • Our top 10 picks were up on average 2.4% in the past two weeks (from 9 to 23 May), outperforming KOSPI which was up 0.6% in the same period.
  • The top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Samsung Securities, LG Uplus, Amorepacific Holdings, Samsung C&T, JYP Entertainment, Nongshim, Krafton, LS Electric, F&F, and Emart. 

IDEX Corporation: Its Position In Performance Pneumatics and Sustainable Power Solutions Is Perhaps The Biggest Future Growth Enabler!

By Baptista Research

  • IDEX Corporation recently reported its first-quarter results for 2025, outlining both positive performances and areas of challenge.
  • The company exceeded expectations across revenue, profitability, and adjusted earnings per share, thanks to incremental cost savings and strategic price adjustments.
  • This highlights IDEX’s effective operational management, despite an environment marked by policy-driven uncertainties, such as newly introduced tariffs.

Parker-Hannifin Corporation: How Is The Aftermarket Expansion Through The Meggitt Acquisition Panning Out?

By Baptista Research

  • Parker Hannifin Corporation’s Q3 earnings report for fiscal year 2025 highlights a robust performance characterized by record-setting profitability metrics amid challenging macroeconomic conditions.
  • The company reported a solid adjusted segment operating margin of 26.3% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 27%, marking notable achievements as both figures reached record highs.
  • Total cash flow from operations hit $2.3 billion year to-date, underscoring the strong cash generation capabilities of the business.

Ingersoll Rand Seizes Asia-Pacific Momentum To Up Their Game; What Lies Ahead?

By Baptista Research

  • Ingersoll Rand’s latest earnings report for the first quarter of 2025 presents a mixed bag of performance metrics and forward-looking strategies.
  • The company reported a robust start to the year with a 10% total order growth and a record Q1 free cash flow of $223 million.
  • An in-region for-region manufacturing capability seems to provide a competitive edge, alongside a strong commitment to bolt-on acquisitions as part of their capital allocation strategy.

Fortive Corporation: Can It Build On The Growth In Precision Technologies While Handling The Evolving Market Dynamics?

By Baptista Research

  • Fortive Corporation had a mixed start to 2025, reflecting both challenges and areas of resilience amidst a dynamic macroeconomic landscape.
  • While the company delivered adjusted earnings per share of $0.85, boosted by improved margins and robust cash flow despite underwhelming revenue figures, the overall performance signals both opportunities and hurdles going forward.
  • On the positive side, Fortive’s operating execution enabled expansions in both adjusted gross and operating margins, despite a slight revenue miss.

Quanta Services: Capitalizing On Solar & Renewable Energy Projects & Key Growth Catalysts!

By Baptista Research

  • Quanta Services recently reported robust results for the first quarter of 2025, showcasing substantial growth in key financial metrics and highlighting a strategic focus on comprehensive infrastructure solutions.
  • The company achieved double-digit growth in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and earnings per share, alongside a record backlog of $35.3 billion.
  • This robust performance and favorable market conditions have prompted Quanta Services to raise its full-year guidance for 2025, reflecting increased revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and earnings per share expectations.

AMETEK Inc.: An Insight Into Its Tariff Mitigation Strategy to Maintain Resilience In Navigating Economic Hurdles!

By Baptista Research

  • AMETEK, Inc. recently reported its first-quarter results for 2025, showcasing both strengths and challenges as the company navigates a dynamic market environment.
  • The quarter was characterized by robust order growth and margin expansion, yet offset by flat sales growth and external uncertainties, notably trade tensions and tariffs.
  • A key highlight of AMETEK’s performance in the first quarter was its strong financial metrics.

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Daily Brief Financials: USD, Schloss Bangalore Ltd, Woori Financial Group , KKR & Co, Aoyama Zaisan Networks Co Lt, Picton Property Income, Tejon Ranch , Intercontinental Exchange and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Why Interest Rates Are Shooting Up All Around the World
  • Global Rates: SLR reform: Helpful, but not a panacea
  • Schloss Bangalore (Leela Hotels) IPO: High-ARR Play with F&B Strength, but Valuation Rich
  • Samsung Fire & Marine Ins (000815 KS) Vs. Woori Financial (316140 KS): A Pair Trade Investigation
  • KKR & Co.: Expansion into Retail and Private Wealth Markets Is A Very Interesting New Development!
  • Aoyama Zaisan Networks Company (8929 JP) – Sustained Growth Momentum
  • Picton Property Income — Strategy drives income and value growth
  • TRC: Board Composition Has Changed Over Past Year Half the Directors are New
  • Intercontinental Exchange (ICE): A Tale Of Energy Market Resilience & Interest Market Opportunities!


Why Interest Rates Are Shooting Up All Around the World

By Odd Lots

  • Markets are still active, with major moves in rates and currency
  • There are conflicting signals in the bond market, with concerns over inflation and the economy slowing down
  • Steven Englander from Standard Chartered discusses the dynamics of JGB and UST yields

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Global Rates: SLR reform: Helpful, but not a panacea

By At Any Rate

  • SLR reform is a high priority for US banking regulators, with potential changes to how Treasuries are calculated
  • The timeline for SLR reform is still in the early stages, with regulatory processes and personnel confirmations needing to be completed first
  • Potential scenarios for SLR reform include carving out reserves and dealer holdings of Treasuries from the SLR denominator to address liquidity and market functioning concerns

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Schloss Bangalore (Leela Hotels) IPO: High-ARR Play with F&B Strength, but Valuation Rich

By Rahul Jain

  • Schloss Bangalore’s Rs3,500 crore IPO includes a Rs2,500 crore fresh issue largely earmarked for debt repayment, with limited allocation toward growth investments.
  • The company operates 13 ultra-luxury hotels under The Leela brand, delivering premium ARR and F&B-led revenue, but with relatively modest scale versus larger peers.
  • While expansion plans are underway with 678 new keys by FY28, the IPO is priced at a rich ~12x EV/Sales—significantly above Oberoi’s ~8x, despite being half its size.

Samsung Fire & Marine Ins (000815 KS) Vs. Woori Financial (316140 KS): A Pair Trade Investigation

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000815 KS) vs. Woori Financial Group (316140 KS) Price-Ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, highlighting a potential tactical opportunity.
  • Statistical and fundamental arguments are provided for and against a relative value trade in this pair that derives from two different industries.
  • Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.

KKR & Co.: Expansion into Retail and Private Wealth Markets Is A Very Interesting New Development!

By Baptista Research

  • KKR & Co. Inc. reported its first quarter 2025 results, showcasing a robust performance and strategic initiatives.
  • The fee-related earnings per share increased to $0.92, marking a 22% rise year-over-year, while total operating earnings per share climbed 16% to $1.24.
  • Adjusted net income per share noted a 19% uptick to $1.15.

Aoyama Zaisan Networks Company (8929 JP) – Sustained Growth Momentum

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • AZN demonstrated continued positive growth momentum in Q1 FY12/25, with sustained strength in the Wealth Consulting business and ADVANTAGE CLUB formations.
  • While operating profit was impacted by integration costs and business investments in the form of higher personnel costs and SG&A, we believe these investments will enhance the company’s position to monetize Japan’s demographic and wealth transfer megatrend.
  • We think the company remains on track to meet its FY12/25 targets and deliver longer term growth.

Picton Property Income — Strategy drives income and value growth

By Edison Investment Research

Picton announced FY25 results, reporting post-tax profits of £37.3m, a TAR of 8.1% and a 2.7% dividend increase to 3.8p per share, representing the fifth consecutive annual increase since 2020. The dividend uplift is underpinned by 5% growth in EPRA earnings to £22.8m (4.2p per share), maintaining robust dividend cover of 113%. This demonstrates management’s ability to deliver earnings growth despite challenging market conditions, with improved occupancy to 94% and successful rental negotiations achieving 7–10% uplifts on lettings and renewals. Earnings quality is enhanced by the focus on industrial assets, which now comprise 64% of the portfolio and delivered 8.1% contracted rent growth, positioning Picton to benefit from the resilient logistics sector.



Intercontinental Exchange (ICE): A Tale Of Energy Market Resilience & Interest Market Opportunities!

By Baptista Research

  • Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) has demonstrated a notable performance in the first quarter of 2025, achieving record revenues of $2.5 billion, a notable 8% increase year-over-year.
  • This expansion was coupled with a 16% rise in earnings per share (EPS) to $1.72, thanks to strategic growth across its diverse operating segments despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • However, the results also present challenges such as increased operating expenses driven by currency fluctuations and increased personnel-related costs, potentially constraining future profitability margins.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Mercedes-Benz Group , Havas SA, Alibaba Group Holding , Garrett Motion, BYD, Dentsu Inc, Games Workshop Group PLC, Connect, Dhampur Bio Organics and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Short – Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG.DE)
  • [Alert] Sell HAVAS
  • Alibaba Cloud Goes Global With $52 Billion Bet on AI and Infrastructure
  • [Alert] Sell Garrett Motion
  • BYD (1211 HK) Outlook: Near-Term Upside Still Possible, but Rally Looks Stretched…
  • Dentsu Group — New medium-term plan actioned
  • Games Workshop Group — Strong core in Q425
  • Smiths News — New recycling MD underpins new activity potential
  • Dhampur Bio OrganicsQ4 FY25 Update: Challenges with Strategic Diversification & Operational Focus
  • Games Workshop Group — Strong core in Q425


Short – Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG.DE)

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG GR)’s EBIT fell 30% in 2024 and another 24% in Q12025; management expects significantly lower earnings &free cash flow in 2025 amid rising capex, weak pricing and tariffs
  • China & JV Risk: 34% of units sold in China yield limited profit. EV price wars and slowing demand in the region continue to erode margins.
  • Valuation Trap: Despite a low P/E (~8x FY25e), high dividend yield (~8%), the cheap valuation may be unsustainable as structural pressures mount from tariffs, EV transition costs, and falling RoS.

[Alert] Sell HAVAS

By Richard Howe

  • Since I recommended Havas about a month and a half ago, the stock is up about 19% while the Euro has appreciated ~4%.
  • As such, the position has appreciated by ~23% in a month and a half.
  • While my price target of €1.89, implies additional upside of 20%, the stock is not as compelling of a bargain today. I plan to sell my HAVAS shares and redeploy proceeds into higher conviction ideas.

Alibaba Cloud Goes Global With $52 Billion Bet on AI and Infrastructure

By Caixin Global

  • Alibaba Cloud is doubling down on globalization with a bold new strategy and 380-billion-yuan ($52.7 billion) investment plan aimed at creating a unified global cloud network and accelerate the international rollout of its AI offerings.
  • The initiative seeks to establish Alibaba Cloud as the digital backbone for China’s next generation of global companies.
  • Speaking at the Alibaba Cloud “Go Global Summit” on Thursday, Wu Yongming, Alibaba Group CEO and Alibaba Cloud chairman, said China’s globalization is entering a new era — one led not just by product exports but by the global rise of Chinese technology, brands and advanced manufacturing.

[Alert] Sell Garrett Motion

By Richard Howe

  • I’m closing my Garrett Motion (GTX) recommendation.
  • I’ve been trying to understand why the stock has been so strong since reporting earnings, and I can’t figure it out.
  • The quarter was fine but not exceptional. The story remains the same. 

BYD (1211 HK) Outlook: Near-Term Upside Still Possible, but Rally Looks Stretched…

By Nico Rosti

  • BYD (1211 HK) has been rallying hard since its 309.80 bottom in early april, the stock closed at 465.20 last Friday, a +50% rally! Probably well deserved.
  • This insight analyzes the short-term tactical outlook on a WEEKLY time period basis. Our model finds that the stock is currently very overbought, however some upside is still possible.
  • You may want to consider hedging your bets with some puts (probably cheap at this point), 1-2 weeks expiry, to protect against a (probably mild), upcoming pullback.

Dentsu Group — New medium-term plan actioned

By Edison Investment Research

Dentsu Group’s Q125 figures show 0.2% organic net revenue growth and an improvement in operating margin. Japan performed well, with international operations more challenged. Dentsu’s new management plan aims to drive profitability and competitiveness, particularly ex-Japan. It targets up to ¥50bn of operating cost reductions, returning the group to consistent profit growth from FY27. The ¥50bn cost of reshaping the group weighs on FY25 profits but should result in a simpler organisation. A further ¥45bn will be invested over three years with the aim of no markets being loss-making by FY26. The group will focus on the key Japanese and US markets, with the international business centred on adding value to Dentsu’s existing strengths in media. The goal is to achieve a mid-teens return on equity by the plan’s completion.


Games Workshop Group — Strong core in Q425

By Edison Investment Research

Games Workshop Group’s year-end (2025) trading update shows a better Q4 than we expected, notably in its core business with high operational gearing. Licensing revenue and profit are broadly in line with our prior estimates. FY25 has been a great year, helped by the launch of the fourth edition of Age of Sigmar, following a strong FY24 when the tenth edition of 40K was released. All eyes will be on coming products in the next financial year. FY26 will begin to see the full-year impacts of the recent US tariffs but the weak US dollar versus sterling is not helpful for the translation of earnings.


Smiths News — New recycling MD underpins new activity potential

By Edison Investment Research

Smiths News’ PBT increased by 11% in H125, a combination of higher profits and lower financing costs as both debt and debt margins declined. However, in addition to this and perhaps more exciting is confirmation that Smiths has appointed a managing director for its recycling operations from within the industry, a clear endorsement of the potential in this area. Furthermore, its new activities are already gathering momentum, which is mitigating the structural decline of the news and magazine activity and, we believe, has the potential to result in long-term profit growth. This in turn underpins cash generation and dividends, and could see further distributions. We have maintained our operating profit forecasts and valuation of 93p/share, but reduced our FY25 net debt estimate.


Dhampur Bio OrganicsQ4 FY25 Update: Challenges with Strategic Diversification & Operational Focus

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • DBOL reported a revenue increase in FY25, driven by sugar and country liquor segments, but faced profit headwinds from lower ethanol volumes and sugar recovery issues.
  • Despite a challenging sugar season with reduced recovery rates and ethanol sector pressures, DBOL is strategically diversifying into grain-based ethanol and aggressively expanding its country liquor market share.
  • The focus on varietal replacement in cane, commissioning of a grain distillery, and aiming for country liquor market share provide avenues for future margin improvement and stability, despite near-term risks.

Games Workshop Group — Strong core in Q425

By Edison Investment Research

Games Workshop Group’s year-end (2025) trading update shows a better Q4 than we expected, notably in its core business with high operational gearing. Licensing revenue and profit are broadly in line with our prior estimates. FY25 has been a great year, helped by the launch of the fourth edition of Age of Sigmar, following a strong FY24 when the tenth edition of 40K was released. All eyes will be on coming products in the next financial year. FY26 will begin to see the full-year impacts of the recent US tariffs but the weak US dollar versus sterling is not helpful for the translation of earnings.


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Daily Brief South Korea: Dowooinsys, Samsung C&T, Woori Financial Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Dowoo Insys IPO Preview
  • Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (23 May to 6 June 2025)
  • Samsung Fire & Marine Ins (000815 KS) Vs. Woori Financial (316140 KS): A Pair Trade Investigation


Dowoo Insys IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Dowoo Insys is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea. Dowoo Insys is one of the first companies in Korea to commercialize ultra thin glass (UTG) for foldable displays.
  • The IPO price range is 29,000 won to 32,000 won.  At the high end of the IPO price range, the expected market cap of the company is 351 billion won.
  • The bankers used five companies including Synopex, Duksan Neolux, and Innox Advanced Materials as comparable companies. The bankers used these companies’ average EV/EBITDA multiple of 15x to value Dowoo Insys.

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (23 May to 6 June 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks (23 May to 6 June 2025).
  • Our top 10 picks were up on average 2.4% in the past two weeks (from 9 to 23 May), outperforming KOSPI which was up 0.6% in the same period.
  • The top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Samsung Securities, LG Uplus, Amorepacific Holdings, Samsung C&T, JYP Entertainment, Nongshim, Krafton, LS Electric, F&F, and Emart. 

Samsung Fire & Marine Ins (000815 KS) Vs. Woori Financial (316140 KS): A Pair Trade Investigation

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000815 KS) vs. Woori Financial Group (316140 KS) Price-Ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, highlighting a potential tactical opportunity.
  • Statistical and fundamental arguments are provided for and against a relative value trade in this pair that derives from two different industries.
  • Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.

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Daily Brief China: Tencent, Alibaba Group Holding , Huawei Technology, Xiaomi Corp, BYD and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent (700 HK): Strategic Insights and Top Trades from HKEX Options Trading
  • Alibaba Cloud Goes Global With $52 Billion Bet on AI and Infrastructure
  • Huawei Unveils HarmonyOS PCs in Challenge to Windows–MacOS Duopoly
  • Xiaomi Unveils First Self-Developed 3nm System-on-Chip Rivaling Apple’s A18 Pro
  • Xiaomi’s Own Mobile Chip Fairytale Is Back
  • BYD (1211 HK) Outlook: Near-Term Upside Still Possible, but Rally Looks Stretched…
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Tencent (700 HK): Strategic Insights and Top Trades from HKEX Options Trading

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Over the past five trading days, Tencent (700 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
  • Calendar and Diagonal Spreads make up a quarter of all strategies. Several examples are presented incorporating upfront cost, upfront credit, or zero-cost combinations. 
  • While there is a bias towards bullish strategies, 26% of all strategies express a market-neutral view in the form of Straddles, Strangles, Butterflies or Condors.

Alibaba Cloud Goes Global With $52 Billion Bet on AI and Infrastructure

By Caixin Global

  • Alibaba Cloud is doubling down on globalization with a bold new strategy and 380-billion-yuan ($52.7 billion) investment plan aimed at creating a unified global cloud network and accelerate the international rollout of its AI offerings.
  • The initiative seeks to establish Alibaba Cloud as the digital backbone for China’s next generation of global companies.
  • Speaking at the Alibaba Cloud “Go Global Summit” on Thursday, Wu Yongming, Alibaba Group CEO and Alibaba Cloud chairman, said China’s globalization is entering a new era — one led not just by product exports but by the global rise of Chinese technology, brands and advanced manufacturing.

Huawei Unveils HarmonyOS PCs in Challenge to Windows–MacOS Duopoly

By Caixin Global

  • Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd. unveiled its first personal computers Monday in Chengdu, with machines powered by the company’s self-developed chips and HarmonyOS operating system in a direct challenge to the long-standing dominance of Windows-Intel (Wintel) and Apple’s macOS technology.
  • The MateBook Fold, priced from 23,999 yuan ($3,328), features an 18-inch foldable screen and a split keyboard, while the lighter MateBook Pro, starting at 7,999 yuan, follows a more conventional laptop design with a 14.2-inch display.
  • Huawei did not disclose the specific chip used in either model, but industry observers believe the devices are equipped with the company’s Kirin X90 processor built on an Arm architecture.

Xiaomi Unveils First Self-Developed 3nm System-on-Chip Rivaling Apple’s A18 Pro

By Caixin Global

  • After four years of behind-the-scenes development, Xiaomi has officially joined the top tier of smartphone chipmakers with the launch of its first in-house 3-nanometer system-on-chip (SoC), the Surge Xuanjie O1, along with its first self-developed 4G baseband chip, the Xuanjie T1.
  • The announcement came during the company’s product launch event in Beijing on Thursday, where Xiaomi also introduced its new flagship phone 15s Pro and 7Ultra tablet — both powered by the Xuanjie O1— as well as a smartwatch using the T1 chip.
  • The Xuanjie O1 is built using TSMC’s second-generation 3nm N3E process the same advanced node used in Apple’s A18 chips and Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Elite.

Xiaomi’s Own Mobile Chip Fairytale Is Back

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Xiaomi has its own smartphone chip! It’s the 4th announcement (2014, 2017, 2021, 2025)? Yes it is. Why it didn’t succeed before, will it work out now? It won’t.
  • Mobile chip development costs US$800m-1bn, to be amortized on Xiaomi’s small volumes. The economics don’t work. It won’t give Xiaomi any performance / differentiation benefits.  
  • Why now? Computex was ongoing in Taipei with 10 big-size CEOs, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm, Mediatek, TSMC… maybe they felt lonely in Beijing? If you bought Xiaomi, please sell.

BYD (1211 HK) Outlook: Near-Term Upside Still Possible, but Rally Looks Stretched…

By Nico Rosti

  • BYD (1211 HK) has been rallying hard since its 309.80 bottom in early april, the stock closed at 465.20 last Friday, a +50% rally! Probably well deserved.
  • This insight analyzes the short-term tactical outlook on a WEEKLY time period basis. Our model finds that the stock is currently very overbought, however some upside is still possible.
  • You may want to consider hedging your bets with some puts (probably cheap at this point), 1-2 weeks expiry, to protect against a (probably mild), upcoming pullback.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Xiaomi Corp, China Hongqiao
  • Treasury yields ended lower yesterday, after recovering from a bear-steepening move earlier in the day that pushed the 30Y yield to as high as 5.15%.
  • The recovery could be driven by dip buyers, after the US Congress narrowly passed President Donald Trump’s signature tax bill.

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Daily Brief Singapore: SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Indian SR Prices Downward, But Domestic Demand Upbeat


Indian SR Prices Downward, But Domestic Demand Upbeat

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Slipping butadiene costs impact prices of SBR, BR and NBR  
  • Near steady domestic production fails to match rise in consumption  
  • EPDM, Silicone Rubber prices near stable since February  

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