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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief India: Crompton Greaves, Swiggy, Vishnu Chemicals , Sanathan Textiles, Shiva Pharmachem Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO
  • Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Positives -Fast and Diversified Growth
  • The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers
  • Sanathan Textiles IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO – High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these  indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.
  • There are no changes for NIFTY 50 but there could be four changes for NIFTY Next 50 according to current rankings.

Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Positives -Fast and Diversified Growth

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy Limited is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.
  • Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Vishnu Chemicals (VCL IN)  is now backward integrated with the soda ash, CO2 Gas plant and ore requirement to overcome the challenge of raw material price volatility. 
  • Company operated in niche & specialty chemical segment and will launch detailed  capex plan in Q2 for forward integration. 
  • Management aims to consolidate EBITDA margins around 17.5%-18% by year-end, with a target of achieving consistent margins at 20% over the next 2-3 years.

Sanathan Textiles IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Sanathan Textiles (0907479D IN) plans to re-appear for its IPO. The company is into yarn manufacturing and has a presence in all three, Polyester, Cotton and Technical Textiles segments. 
  • Revenue growth did light up in FY22, however topline growth has pretty much been stale since then. Moreover, margins have also been on a sliding trajectory.
  • Key forensic takeaways include capitalising of expenses on the back of falling margins, acquisition of a non-operating subsidiary from promoters, secondary income sources driving profits, etc.

Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO – High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns

By Akshat Shah

  • Shiva Pharmachem Limited (9155347Z IN) is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO.
  • It is a manufacturer in the Indian specialty chemicals business and was the largest manufacturer of acid and alkyl chlorides by volume in CY22 in India, as per Frost&Sullivan .
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

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Most Read: Seven & I Holdings, Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H), Korea Zinc, Hyundai Motor India , Arcadium Lithium , Fadu , Midea Group, Crompton Greaves and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings
  • Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal
  • MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift
  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Pressure Mounts with a Couche-Tard Revised Offer
  • Hyundai Motor India: Index Entry Timing for India’s Biggest IPO
  • Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US/LTM AU): Rio’s Binding Proposal
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December
  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week
  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO
  • Ohayo Japan | Record Highs…again


Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings

By Travis Lundy

  • This AM, partway through the morning session, Bloomberg carried an article saying Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) had upped its bid for Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) to US$18.19/share.
  • The stock popped, then faded sharply. Near and after the close we got more headlines. Some of these preview tomorrow’s earnings report. Some preview the restructuring announcements.
  • The Nikkei comment regarding an earnings shortfall vs Plan suggests weaker US convenience store sales and consumer footfall are to blame. Details will matter. But I’d buy dips.

Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal

By Arun George

  • Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) all-scrip merger is set at an exchange ratio of 0.62x. 
  • The merger is conditional on the GJTA/Haitong shareholder vote, which is low risk. Regulatory approvals are a formality as they involve two entities with SOE backgrounds. 
  • The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios and precedent transactions. The recent material re-rating of peers is irrelevant to the vote as the offer is all-scrip. 

MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift

By Sanghyun Park

  • MBK’s strategy is clear: they believe they have the upper hand with the current price level and are optimistic about a favorable ruling on the second injunction.
  • All eyes are on Choi to raise the price by this Friday, the 11th, before the deadline, especially with the FSS’s scrutiny looming.
  • If that happens, MBK will likely go all-in on the second injunction whose hearing is on the 18th. Choi raising the price this Friday won’t significantly boost Korea Zinc’s stock.

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Pressure Mounts with a Couche-Tard Revised Offer

By Arun George

  • In response to media reports, Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) confirmed receiving a revised non-binding proposal from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)
  • The rumoured revised offer is US$18.19, a 22.4% premium to the initial US$14.86 offer. The revised terms are attractive vs precedent transactions and analyst price targets.
  • The Board would cite regulatory concerns and the revised offer’s implied discount compared to peer multiples. At tomorrow’s results, the Board must present a credible alternative value generation path.

Hyundai Motor India: Index Entry Timing for India’s Biggest IPO

By Brian Freitas

  • Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling up to INR 279bn (US$3.3bn) of stock at a valuation of up to INR 1,593bn (US$19bn).
  • The anchor allocations will be completed early next week, and the stock is expected to start trading on 22 October.
  • The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in February and June next year.

Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US/LTM AU): Rio’s Binding Proposal

By Arun George

  • Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU) has disclosed a binding offer from Rio Tinto PLC (RIO LN) at US$5.85 per share, a 90% premium to the undisturbed price of US$3.08 (4 October).
  • The offer is attractive compared to analyst price targets and peer multiples but unattractive compared to cyclical low timing and precedent transactions.
  • The shareholder structure requires an activist to disrupt the vote. The long-dated offer provides optionality on a bump if lithium prices materially re-rates. 

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December

By Brian Freitas

  • With over 85% of the review period complete, there could be 10 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
  • Even with 10 potential changes, there is sector balance with half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV.
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ150 Index since the start of the review period, though there has been a gentle drift lower since July.

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week

By Brian Freitas

  • There were only 13 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the third quarter of the year.
  • Of those stocks, we only see Midea Group (300 HK) having a chance of being added to the HSCI in December.
  • Midea Group (300 HK) should be added to Southbound Stock Connect next week after the price stabilisation period has ended.

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these  indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.
  • There are no changes for NIFTY 50 but there could be four changes for NIFTY Next 50 according to current rankings.

Ohayo Japan | Record Highs…again

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks advanced for a second straight session Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average closing at record highs
  • Japan’s Prime Minister Ishiba dissolved parliament for an October 27 snap election, seeking mandate amid low public support due to a fundraising scandal
  • Canadian retailer Couche-Tard has increased its takeover offer for Seven & i Holdings to $47 billion, up from $38.5 billion

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Korea Zinc, Arcadium Lithium , SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Vishnu Chemicals , Shiva Pharmachem Limited, PetroTal, Qarbotech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift
  • Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US/LTM AU): Rio’s Binding Proposal
  • Rio Tinto Goes All-In for Arcadium Lithium
  • Rio to Fully Pay for Arcadium Lithium
  • China Consolidates On Tires With Domestic, Outside Forays
  • The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers
  • Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO – High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns
  • PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Production and Cash Well Above Expectations
  • Qarbotech secures US$1.5M funding to boost farm yields by 60% | e27


MBK Rules Out Further Tender Price Hike for Korea Zinc, Game Plans Shift

By Sanghyun Park

  • MBK’s strategy is clear: they believe they have the upper hand with the current price level and are optimistic about a favorable ruling on the second injunction.
  • All eyes are on Choi to raise the price by this Friday, the 11th, before the deadline, especially with the FSS’s scrutiny looming.
  • If that happens, MBK will likely go all-in on the second injunction whose hearing is on the 18th. Choi raising the price this Friday won’t significantly boost Korea Zinc’s stock.

Arcadium Lithium (ALTM US/LTM AU): Rio’s Binding Proposal

By Arun George

  • Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU) has disclosed a binding offer from Rio Tinto PLC (RIO LN) at US$5.85 per share, a 90% premium to the undisturbed price of US$3.08 (4 October).
  • The offer is attractive compared to analyst price targets and peer multiples but unattractive compared to cyclical low timing and precedent transactions.
  • The shareholder structure requires an activist to disrupt the vote. The long-dated offer provides optionality on a bump if lithium prices materially re-rates. 

Rio Tinto Goes All-In for Arcadium Lithium

By Brian Freitas


Rio to Fully Pay for Arcadium Lithium

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • On October 9, Rio Tinto agreed to acquire Arcadium Lithium through a Jersey scheme of arrangement for $5.85/share, a 90% premium, valuing Arcadium’s diluted share capital at $6.7 billion.
  • As of October 4, Arcadium shares on the NYSE had fallen by approximately 54.1% since listing. Rio Tinto is taking advantage of low lithium prices to acquire high-quality lithium assets.
  • The offer price is generous: 17.3x 25e EBITDA vs. closest comparable Albemarle Corp (ALB US) at 12.2x 25e EBITDA. Gross spread is 5.1%. I set my PT at $5.85. Long.

China Consolidates On Tires With Domestic, Outside Forays

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Huaqing Petroleum to set up plant worth US$1.39 billion in Hunan
  • Linglong commences serial production at its Serbia plant 
  • ZC Rubber Group cements network for supply to Nordic countries

The Beat Ideas: Vishnu Chemicals- Niche Business with High Growth Levers

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Vishnu Chemicals (VCL IN)  is now backward integrated with the soda ash, CO2 Gas plant and ore requirement to overcome the challenge of raw material price volatility. 
  • Company operated in niche & specialty chemical segment and will launch detailed  capex plan in Q2 for forward integration. 
  • Management aims to consolidate EBITDA margins around 17.5%-18% by year-end, with a target of achieving consistent margins at 20% over the next 2-3 years.

Shiva Pharmachem Pre-IPO – High Borrowings Along with Expansion Plans Leading to Liquidity Concerns

By Akshat Shah

  • Shiva Pharmachem Limited (9155347Z IN) is looking to raise around US$110m in its India IPO.
  • It is a manufacturer in the Indian specialty chemicals business and was the largest manufacturer of acid and alkyl chlorides by volume in CY22 in India, as per Frost&Sullivan .
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Production and Cash Well Above Expectations

By Auctus Advisors

  • 3Q24 production was 15,160 bbl/d. This is well above expectations of 13 mbbl/d.
  • While the river levels were at record lows, PetroTal has maximized the barge fleet capacity during the quarter.
  • Production during the first week of October was 10.7 mbbl/d. With the end of the dry season in sight, production is expected to return to capacity by mid-November, 

Qarbotech secures US$1.5M funding to boost farm yields by 60% | e27

By e27

  • Qarbotech, a Malaysian startup that enhances photosynthesis via advanced carbon quantum dots material, has raised US$1.5 million in funding from 500 Global, Better Bite Ventures, ID Capital, EQT Foundation, and Epic Angels Limited.
  • The seed extension round will enable Qarbotech to scale its operations in Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam, where demand for advanced agritech solutions is surging. 
  • “This investment will allow us to ramp up production and bring our patented solutions to more farmers across the region, empowering them to produce more with less environmental impact,” said Amirul Merican, COO of Qarbotech.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Crompton Greaves, Doosan Enerbility, China Conch Venture Holdings, Trimas Corp, Aeon Delight, Nakamoto Packs, Scan Global Logistics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO
  • Concerns About Transferring Doosan Bobcat Shares Held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics
  • StubWorld: Both CCV (586 HK) And Anhui Conch Come Off The Boil
  • TRS: Bent Aero
  • Aeon Delight (9787 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update
  • Nakamoto Packs (7811 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update
  • Scan Global Logistics – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these  indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.
  • There are no changes for NIFTY 50 but there could be four changes for NIFTY Next 50 according to current rankings.

Concerns About Transferring Doosan Bobcat Shares Held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics

By Douglas Kim

  • In the process of transferring Doosan Bobcat shares held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics, there are increasing concerns about negatively impacting minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility. 
  • This current restructuring structure could potentially benefit the Park family/relatives which is the largest shareholder group of Doosan Corp but could negatively impact minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility. 
  • On 25 September, Doosan Enerbility announced that 10 October will be the shareholder confirmation date (shareholder register closing date) for the spin-off NEWCO merger agreement with Doosan Robotics.

StubWorld: Both CCV (586 HK) And Anhui Conch Come Off The Boil

By David Blennerhassett

  • China Conch Venture (586 HK) shares are down 20% the past two days. Anhui Conch Cement (600585 CH) is down ~8% today. CCV’s implied stub is toward the historical low-end.
  • Preceding my comments on China Conch/Anhui are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

TRS: Bent Aero

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TRS has three operating segments where the smallest has already been going through a sales restructuring period and we are now expecting a slowdown in TRS’s aerospace business.  
  • Aerospace had been growing at double-digit rates in recent years, but in recent months the two largest aerospace customers have been going through their own ordeals
  • TRS’s current valuation gives little value for what each segment could be worth. There have been two aerospace IPOs with similar businesses to TRS’s aerospace business. 

Aeon Delight (9787 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased YoY across multiple segments, driven by price revisions and new contracts, despite rising costs.
  • Aeon Delight’s medium-term plan focuses on efficiency, consulting capabilities, and expanding the Construction Work business.
  • The company plans JPY20.0bn investment in productivity, new services, and human capital for sustained growth.

Nakamoto Packs (7811 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue for 1H FY02/25 was JPY24.4bn, a 9.4% YoY increase, surpassing the company forecast of JPY23.9bn.
  • Operating profit rose 53.0% YoY to JPY1.6bn, exceeding the forecast of JPY1.0bn, with OPM at 6.4%.
  • Net income attributable to owners surged 82.0% YoY to JPY1.2bn, surpassing the forecast of JPY705mn.

Scan Global Logistics – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Scan Global Logistics’ ESG as “Adequate”, in line with the Environmental and Governance scores, while the Social score is “Strong”. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Fadu , Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Arrow Electronics, Hon Hai Precision Industry, 1Spatial Plc, Broom, TeamSolve and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December
  • TSMC Q324 Earnings Preview
  • TSMC’s Q3 Earnings Preview: Investors to Eye AI Demand Boost, Margins in Focus
  • Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-Oct-2024): AMD to be TSMC’s second largest US fab client soon.
  • 1Spatial – Federal-level win in the US
  • Indonesia’s Broom bags US$25M funding to accelerate market expansion | e27
  • TeamSolve nets US$2.5M for AI-powered copilot for industrial operators | e27


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December

By Brian Freitas

  • With over 85% of the review period complete, there could be 10 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
  • Even with 10 potential changes, there is sector balance with half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV.
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ150 Index since the start of the review period, though there has been a gentle drift lower since July.

TSMC Q324 Earnings Preview

By William Keating

  • September 2024 revenues of NT$251.87 billion, an increase of 0.4% MoM and an increase of 39.6% YoY.
  • Year to date revenue through September 2024 now totals NT$2,025.85 billion, an increase of 31.9% YoY.
  • Anticipating Q4 revenue forecast of $25.7 billion, up 10% QoQ. This would mean full year 2024 revenues of $88.8 billion, a 28.3% YoY increase

TSMC’s Q3 Earnings Preview: Investors to Eye AI Demand Boost, Margins in Focus

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Q3 revenue is expected to reach $22.4-23.2 billion, reflecting strong demand for TSMC’s 3nm and AI-driven technologies. This marks a significant 14.4% increase from Q2’s $20.82 billion, despite global headwinds.
  • Operating profit margins are forecasted to be between 42.5% and 44.5%, highlighting TSMC’s efforts to maintain profitability. However, pressures from rising operational costs and competitive advancements remain a challenge.
  • EPS is projected at $1.76, up 40% YoY, driven by robust AI chip demand. Despite this, TSMC faces slowing consumer electronics demand, particularly in smartphones, which could affect future growth.

Arrow Electronics Inc (ARW) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Arrow distributes semiconductors, electronic components, and IT hardware/software to value-added resellers globally
  • With 600 suppliers and 210,000 customers, Arrow simplifies the supply chain process for both parties
  • Focus on cheap electronic components with some high-value semiconductors like GPUs; plays a crucial role in aggregating customer demand

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (10-Oct-2024): AMD to be TSMC’s second largest US fab client soon.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • AMD set to become second largest client at TSMC’s US fab, aligning with earlier hints.
  • Taiwan launches 3 AI centers for healthcare innovation; NTUH director warns against history repeating itself.
  • Telangana aims for increased FDI beyond electronics; India Taiwan Industrial Park progresses as Foxconn unveils new EV models.

1Spatial – Federal-level win in the US

By Edison Investment Research

1Spatial’s momentum in the US has continued, with the company securing a $1.4m deal with the United States Forest Service (USFS). This is a new Federal government-level deal for the business, building on the momentum 1Spatial has been reporting at state level, where it now has contracts or framework agreements with 21 states (up from 18 at the FY24 year-end).


Indonesia’s Broom bags US$25M funding to accelerate market expansion | e27

By e27

  • Broom, a tech startup empowering Indonesia’s used car showroom ecosystem, has closed a US$25 million Series A extension investment round led by Openspace Ventures.
  • AC Ventures, Quona Capital, MUFG Innovation Partners, and PKSHA Capital also participated.
  • Additionally, Broom has secured credit facilities from various institutions, including Komunal, Funding Societies Capital, Modalku Finansial Indonesia, Alami, Koinworks, Helicap, and DBS Indonesia, as well as support from several high-net-worth individual investors.

TeamSolve nets US$2.5M for AI-powered copilot for industrial operators | e27

By e27

  • TeamSolve, a Singapore-based startup developing AI solutions for the industrial and utilities sectors, has completed a US$2.5 million seed financing round anchored by SGInnovate and the US-based early-stage fund for water entrepreneurs Burnt Island Ventures.
  • Founded in 2022 by Mudasser Iqbal (CEO), Michael Allen, Ami Preis, and Robin Wong, TeamSolve has developed a generative AI-powered copilot designed for industrial operators. The copilot is a knowledge twin that provides an “accurate”, real-time view of asset health.
  • It can also support managers by improving planning for asset renewals and crew dispatch.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Crompton Greaves, Doosan Enerbility, China Conch Venture Holdings, Trimas Corp, Aeon Delight, Nakamoto Packs, Scan Global Logistics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO
  • Concerns About Transferring Doosan Bobcat Shares Held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics
  • StubWorld: Both CCV (586 HK) And Anhui Conch Come Off The Boil
  • TRS: Bent Aero
  • Aeon Delight (9787 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update
  • Nakamoto Packs (7811 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update
  • Scan Global Logistics – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: Four Changes Likely for NIFTY Next 50 + Hyundai Motor India IPO

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these  indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.
  • There are no changes for NIFTY 50 but there could be four changes for NIFTY Next 50 according to current rankings.

Concerns About Transferring Doosan Bobcat Shares Held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics

By Douglas Kim

  • In the process of transferring Doosan Bobcat shares held by Doosan Enerbility to Doosan Robotics, there are increasing concerns about negatively impacting minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility. 
  • This current restructuring structure could potentially benefit the Park family/relatives which is the largest shareholder group of Doosan Corp but could negatively impact minority shareholders of Doosan Enerbility. 
  • On 25 September, Doosan Enerbility announced that 10 October will be the shareholder confirmation date (shareholder register closing date) for the spin-off NEWCO merger agreement with Doosan Robotics.

StubWorld: Both CCV (586 HK) And Anhui Conch Come Off The Boil

By David Blennerhassett

  • China Conch Venture (586 HK) shares are down 20% the past two days. Anhui Conch Cement (600585 CH) is down ~8% today. CCV’s implied stub is toward the historical low-end.
  • Preceding my comments on China Conch/Anhui are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

TRS: Bent Aero

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TRS has three operating segments where the smallest has already been going through a sales restructuring period and we are now expecting a slowdown in TRS’s aerospace business.  
  • Aerospace had been growing at double-digit rates in recent years, but in recent months the two largest aerospace customers have been going through their own ordeals
  • TRS’s current valuation gives little value for what each segment could be worth. There have been two aerospace IPOs with similar businesses to TRS’s aerospace business. 

Aeon Delight (9787 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased YoY across multiple segments, driven by price revisions and new contracts, despite rising costs.
  • Aeon Delight’s medium-term plan focuses on efficiency, consulting capabilities, and expanding the Construction Work business.
  • The company plans JPY20.0bn investment in productivity, new services, and human capital for sustained growth.

Nakamoto Packs (7811 JP): 1H FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue for 1H FY02/25 was JPY24.4bn, a 9.4% YoY increase, surpassing the company forecast of JPY23.9bn.
  • Operating profit rose 53.0% YoY to JPY1.6bn, exceeding the forecast of JPY1.0bn, with OPM at 6.4%.
  • Net income attributable to owners surged 82.0% YoY to JPY1.2bn, surpassing the forecast of JPY705mn.

Scan Global Logistics – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Scan Global Logistics’ ESG as “Adequate”, in line with the Environmental and Governance scores, while the Social score is “Strong”. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Rigaku Holdings, Ligand Pharmaceuticals, OSE Immuno, Theravance Biopharma and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Rigaku Holdings IPO – Upside Remains Attractive
  • LGND: Initiating Coverage – A Prince Among Royalty
  • OSE Immunotherapeutics – Riding the H124 tailwinds
  • Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024


Rigaku Holdings IPO – Upside Remains Attractive

By Clarence Chu

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is looking to raise up to US$756m in its Japan IPO.
  • Rigaku engages in developing, manufacturing, sales and servicing scientific instruments specializing in X-ray technologies.
  • In our earlier notes, we looked at the firm’s past performance and discussed our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we look at Rigaku’s valuation at the final indicative range.

LGND: Initiating Coverage – A Prince Among Royalty

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Ligand Pharmaceuticals holds a portfolio of revenue, royalty and milestone generating assets that have been vetted by its internal investment team.
  • Ligand considers individual biopharmaceutical products, platforms, companies & income streams in its opportunity set.
  • It targets late-stage and commercial income-producing assets when making investments.

OSE Immunotherapeutics – Riding the H124 tailwinds

By Edison Investment Research

OSE Immunotherapeutics has reported its results for H124, a standout period for the company’s development pipeline, with the momentum carrying into H224. The first half of the year rewarded the company with partnerships deals with AbbVie and Boehringer Ingelheim (BI), bringing in c €84m and securing the cash runway into 2027. Furthermore, H224 so far has seen the company make significant progress in advancing its internal pipeline, with successful Phase II results for Lusvertikimab in ulcerative colitis (UC) and, more importantly, the launch of the Phase III registrational trial for lead asset Tedopi in September 2024. We have updated our estimates for the H124 performance and upgraded our probability of success for Tedopi (from 48% to 67%), increasing our valuation of OSE to €465.7m or €21.3/share (from €413.5m or €19.0/share previously).


Theravance Biopharma Inc (TBPH) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • TBPH prioritizes shareholder value and is trading at a discount to its NAV
  • The company is an attractive investment opportunity for value investors
  • TBPH has a strong focus on maximizing shareholder value, valuable assets, and potential for significant upside

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Consumer: Seven & I Holdings, Midea Group, Mercari , Hyundai Motor India , Swiggy, Bukalapak.com PT Tbk, Oisix ra daichi, Sanathan Textiles, Playtika Holding Corp and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings
  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Pressure Mounts with a Couche-Tard Revised Offer
  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week
  • Mercari, Inc. (4385) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO: Analysis of Latest Financials Signal Challenging Year Ahead
  • Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Positives -Fast and Diversified Growth
  • Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) – Changes Afoot?
  • Oisix Targeting ¥300 Billion by 2030
  • Sanathan Textiles IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Playtika Holding Corp: A Tale Of Improving Market Position & Operational Mastery!


Revised Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I and a Flurry of News Items Ahead of Earnings

By Travis Lundy

  • This AM, partway through the morning session, Bloomberg carried an article saying Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) had upped its bid for Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) to US$18.19/share.
  • The stock popped, then faded sharply. Near and after the close we got more headlines. Some of these preview tomorrow’s earnings report. Some preview the restructuring announcements.
  • The Nikkei comment regarding an earnings shortfall vs Plan suggests weaker US convenience store sales and consumer footfall are to blame. Details will matter. But I’d buy dips.

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Pressure Mounts with a Couche-Tard Revised Offer

By Arun George

  • In response to media reports, Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) confirmed receiving a revised non-binding proposal from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)
  • The rumoured revised offer is US$18.19, a 22.4% premium to the initial US$14.86 offer. The revised terms are attractive vs precedent transactions and analyst price targets.
  • The Board would cite regulatory concerns and the revised offer’s implied discount compared to peer multiples. At tomorrow’s results, the Board must present a credible alternative value generation path.

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Midea Group (300 HK) To Be Added in December; Stock Connect Next Week

By Brian Freitas

  • There were only 13 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the third quarter of the year.
  • Of those stocks, we only see Midea Group (300 HK) having a chance of being added to the HSCI in December.
  • Midea Group (300 HK) should be added to Southbound Stock Connect next week after the price stabilisation period has ended.

Mercari, Inc. (4385) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Mercari is a Japanese e-commerce company known for operating the leading online used goods marketplace in Japan with over 23 million monthly active users and significant annual GMV.
  • The company’s strong network effects moat and growth prospects in Japan’s second-hand goods market suggest substantial potential value, despite investor frustration with loss-making initiatives like Mercari US and its Fintech segment.
  • Analysts believe that Mercari Japan alone is worth nearly double the company’s current market cap, highlighting potential for significant upside.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Hyundai Motor India IPO: Analysis of Latest Financials Signal Challenging Year Ahead

By Devi Subhakesan

  • After 3 years of strong revenue and profits growth, Hyundai Motor India is likely to face a challenging year ahead based on the analysis of 1QFY2025 financials provided in RHP.
  • Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)‘s  strong exports growth in FY2025 will not offset the weakness in domestic sales. This could result in low single-digit revenue growth for the year.
  • Increased royalty costs starting in FY2025, coupled with impact of lower cash reserves after special dividend paid out to parent will likely compress profit margins compared to the previous year.

Swiggy Pre-IPO – The Positives -Fast and Diversified Growth

By Sumeet Singh

  • Swiggy Limited is planning to raise around US$1.25bn through its upcoming India IPO.
  • Swiggy Limited (Swiggy) is a business to commerce (B2C) marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items (Instamart) and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) – Changes Afoot?

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) has seen a sharp share price rebound recently with speculation over a tie up with Temu, which appears ill-founded, with the only newsflow being a Director resigning.
  • The company swung back into a slight negative adjusted EBITDA in 2Q2024, mainly due to the seasonal impact of Lebaran on its O2O business and increased competition in virtual products.
  • Bukalapak remains a differentiated player in Indonesian e-commerce with a focus on serving MSMEs through its marketplace, with increasing take rates ahead. Dealing with excess cash is a potential catalyst. 

Oisix Targeting ¥300 Billion by 2030

By Michael Causton

  • Oisix is planning to double its sales by 2030 and looks set to reach this targets early through both organic expansion and M&A.
  • The recent acquisition of several B2B and other companies will help sales grow 72% this year alone.
  • But the longer-term consumer-facing business continues to look positive thanks to continued demand for convenience meal kits and home delivery of quality foods. Profit though remains anaemic.

Sanathan Textiles IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Sanathan Textiles (0907479D IN) plans to re-appear for its IPO. The company is into yarn manufacturing and has a presence in all three, Polyester, Cotton and Technical Textiles segments. 
  • Revenue growth did light up in FY22, however topline growth has pretty much been stale since then. Moreover, margins have also been on a sliding trajectory.
  • Key forensic takeaways include capitalising of expenses on the back of falling margins, acquisition of a non-operating subsidiary from promoters, secondary income sources driving profits, etc.

Playtika Holding Corp: A Tale Of Improving Market Position & Operational Mastery!

By Baptista Research

  • Playtika Holding Corp. conducted its Q2 2024 earnings call outlining both advancements and some challenges faced during the quarter.
  • With Robert Antokol, Co-Founder and CEO, and Craig Abrahams, CFO, leading the discussion, the company detailed various aspects of its operational and strategic performance which will be crucial for stakeholders evaluating Playtika’s investment potential.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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Daily Brief Financials: Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H), Shin Kong Financial Holding, Greentown China, Sila Realty Trust Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal
  • Shin Kong and Taishin – There’s a Good Value Swap Trade To Do Here
  • Morning Views Asia: Pt Cikarang Listrindo Tbk, Greentown China
  • Sila Realty Trust Inc (SILA) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024


Haitong Securities (6837 HK)/GTJA (2611 HK) Merger Is a Done Deal

By Arun George

  • Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) all-scrip merger is set at an exchange ratio of 0.62x. 
  • The merger is conditional on the GJTA/Haitong shareholder vote, which is low risk. Regulatory approvals are a formality as they involve two entities with SOE backgrounds. 
  • The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios and precedent transactions. The recent material re-rating of peers is irrelevant to the vote as the offer is all-scrip. 

Shin Kong and Taishin – There’s a Good Value Swap Trade To Do Here

By Travis Lundy

  • Media reports indicate that the shareholder base of Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) have approved their merger. 
  • Shin Kong meeting results were public just before the market closed. The results from Taishin were known earlier. The market and spread were un-moved. If anything, things widened a little.
  • Next, the two companies try to get fair Trade Commission, FSC, and Exchange approval to join to become Taishin Shin Kong FHC. And there’s a good trade to do here.

Morning Views Asia: Pt Cikarang Listrindo Tbk, Greentown China

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Sila Realty Trust Inc (SILA) – Tuesday, Jul 9, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Sila Realty Trust is a healthcare real estate investment trust focused on medical office buildings
  • Despite high-quality portfolio and low debt levels, Sila’s stock is undervalued
  • Potential buying opportunity with strong lease profile and attractive valuation, especially if interest rates rise

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: HK Short Interest Weekly: Ping An and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Short Interest Weekly: Ping An, Baba, Jd, CCB, CNOOC, China Mobile, Akeso, Zhaojin Mining
  • KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 4th):POSCO, Yuhan Corp


HK Short Interest Weekly: Ping An, Baba, Jd, CCB, CNOOC, China Mobile, Akeso, Zhaojin Mining

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 27th.
  • Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
  • We highlight short changes in Ping An, Baba, Jd, CCB, CNOOC, China Mobile, Akeso, Zhaojin Mining.

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 4th):POSCO, Yuhan Corp

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 4th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.1bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in POSCO (005490 KS), Yuhan Corp (000100 KS).

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