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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Kcc Corp, Voltas Ltd, ST Engineering and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • KCC Corp: Considering on Issuing an Overseas EB for Its 10% Stake in Samsung C&T
  • India Air Conditioners | Who’s Chilling How
  • STI Books 5.3% Total Return in 1Q25


KCC Corp: Considering on Issuing an Overseas EB for Its 10% Stake in Samsung C&T

By Douglas Kim

  • Kcc Corp (002380 KS) is considering on issuing an overseas exchangeable bond (EB) for its 10% stake in Samsung C&T (028260 KS).
  • KCC is the second largest shareholder of Samsung C&T with a 10% stake in the company which is worth 2 trillion won (US$1.4 billion).
  • Our NAV valuation of KCC Corp suggests NAV per share of 332,947 won, which is 27% higher than current price.

India Air Conditioners | Who’s Chilling How

By Pranav Bhavsar


STI Books 5.3% Total Return in 1Q25

By Geoff Howie

  • ST Engineering led STI with a 46% rally, 12M Consensus Estimate Target Price rose 36% to S$6.85.
  • Net creation of S$36M in units increased combined AUM of two STI tracking ETFs from S$2.3B to S$2.6B.
  • STI stocks booked S$1.63 billion net institutional outflow in 1Q25, mainly from STI Banks and S-REIT Sector.

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Daily Brief Health Care: WuXi XDC Cayman , Niox Group, China Traditional Chinese Medicine, IRLAB Therapeutics, Sareum Holdings, Cocrystal Pharma , Mira Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Wuxi XDC Placement – Following Biologics Playbook, past Deals Have Been Mixed
  • Event-Driven Investment Opportunities: NIOX Merger, NZME SOTP, SAGA Privatization and More
  • China TCM (570.HK) – Updates on Performance Forecast and Valuation Outlook Based on 2024 Results
  • Current Investment Opportunities: Mergers, Liquidations, Strategic Reviews and More
  • IRLAB Therapeutics — Next steps laid out for IRL757
  • IRLAB Therapeutics — EMA alignment on mesdopetam Phase III plans
  • IRLAB Therapeutics — Pirepemat stumbles in Phase IIb study
  • Hybridan Research: Sareum Holdings plc: Upping the Pace
  • COCP: Norovirus Challenge Study Planned for 2025
  • MIRA: Subject Enrollment Moves Trial Forward


Wuxi XDC Placement – Following Biologics Playbook, past Deals Have Been Mixed

By Sumeet Singh

  • WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) aims to raise around US$250m via selling around 3.5% stake in WuXi XDC Cayman (2268 HK).
  • WuXi XDC Cayman (WXDC) is a contract research, development, and manufacturing organization (CRDMO) focused on the global antibody drug conjugates (ADC) and broader bioconjugate market providing integrated and end-to-end services.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Event-Driven Investment Opportunities: NIOX Merger, NZME SOTP, SAGA Privatization and More

By Special Situation Investments

  • NIOX Group received a non-binding takeover proposal from Keensight Capital at 81p/share, with a 9% spread.
  • Øystein Spetalen surpassed 50% ownership in SAGA Pure, triggering a mandatory bid under Norwegian securities law.
  • Pacific Current Group’s tender was undersubscribed; River Capital increased its stake to 40.48%, while Regal Funds exited.

China TCM (570.HK) – Updates on Performance Forecast and Valuation Outlook Based on 2024 Results

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • TCM finished drugs and TCM decoction pieces businesses could be the second and third growth curve of China TCM when the concentrated TCM granules business is facing VBP headwinds.
  • 2024 would be the performance low point. Due to 2024 low base, we would see positive growth in 2025.Performance recovery is expected in next three years based on our forecast.
  • Annual profit of RMB1 billion is achievable. If based on 10x P/E, market value is RMB10 billion.We think if valuations fall below RMB10 billion, investors can consider buying on dips.

Current Investment Opportunities: Mergers, Liquidations, Strategic Reviews and More

By Special Situation Investments

  • NIOX Group received a non-binding takeover proposal from Keensight Capital at 81p/share, with ongoing negotiations and a deadline of April 17.
  • NZME Limited is exploring a separation of its OneRoof business, with activist investor Jim Grenon launching a proxy fight.
  • Øystein Spetalen triggered a mandatory bid in SAGA Pure, presenting a low-risk opportunity with a 40% spread to NAV.

IRLAB Therapeutics — Next steps laid out for IRL757

By Edison Investment Research

IRLAB has confirmed that clinical candidate IRL757, which has been designed to address apathy in patients with neurodegenerative conditions, will proceed to the next stages of clinical development. The next step will be a safety and efficacy signal finding Phase Ib trial in patients with Parkinson’s disease (PD), which will be financially supported by IRLAB’s collaboration partner, the McQuade Center for Strategic Research and Development (MSRD) through an initial payment of US$4.5m. The company expects patient enrolment for this Phase Ib study to commence in H225. We note that the decision to advance this programme was based on data from the preceding two Phase I studies for IRL757 and believe that the external recognition highlights the potential of IRLAB’s third clinical candidate.


IRLAB Therapeutics — EMA alignment on mesdopetam Phase III plans

By Edison Investment Research

IRLAB has bolstered the value of its lead programme, mesdopetam in levodopa-induced dyskinesias (PD-LIDs), following confirmation that the European Medicines Agency (EMA) is aligned with the company on its proposed plans for Phase III. The EMA has agreed on the primary endpoint for the Phase III programme being the Unified Dyskinesia Rating Scale (UDysRS), on which mesdopetam demonstrated a statistically significant improvement (p=0.026) in the prior Phase IIb trial (where it was a secondary endpoint). Importantly, IRLAB is now aligned with the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the EMA and, hence, is in a position to proceed with preparations for the registrational studies of the candidate while meeting regulatory requirements in both the US and Europe. With this latest update, we anticipate partnering discussions to pick up pace in the coming weeks.


IRLAB Therapeutics — Pirepemat stumbles in Phase IIb study

By Edison Investment Research

IRLAB has announced top-line results for its Phase IIb trial assessing pirepemat’s potential to improve balance and reduce falls in Parkinson’s disease (PD-Falls). The primary endpoint was the change in patients’ fall rates, and while the high-dose 600mg group showed a 42% reduction, the effect was not statistically significant compared to placebo. A meaningful improvement in cognitive impairment was also observed in the 600mg group, although this did not achieve statistical significance either. IRLAB will conduct a detailed review of the study data before making a decision on next steps for the programme. Reflecting the increased uncertainty, and pending release of the full data set, we have reduced our probability of success (PoS) for pirepemat to 10% (from 30% previously) and pushed out the expected launch timeline by a year, to 2030. Our valuation resets to SEK3.3bn or SEK63.3/share (from SEK5.0bn or SEK97.1/share previously).


Hybridan Research: Sareum Holdings plc: Upping the Pace

By Hybridan

  • The Interims to December 2024 reported cash of £4.1m, excluding the £1.1m raised in March 2025 at 12.5p.
  • There is a loss before tax reduced to £1.33m, compared to a loss of £2.5m (H123 to end Dec 2023) which included Phase 1a clinical trial costs.
  • There are significant operational highlights in the development pipeline with SDC-1801, SRA737 and SDC-1802 as Sareum advances the next generation of kinase inhibitors for autoimmune disease and cancer.

COCP: Norovirus Challenge Study Planned for 2025

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On March 31, 2025, Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. (COCP) announced financial results for 2024 and provided a business update.
  • Following the release of favorable safety and tolerability results for CDI-988, the company’s novel, broad-spectrum protease inhibitor being developed for the treatment of noroviruses and coronaviruses, we anticipate topline results from the high-dose healthy volunteer cohort in the second quarter of 2025 and for a human challenge study as a norovirus treatment and prophylaxis later in 2025.
  • Cocyrstal’s Phase 2a influenza human challenge study of CC-42344, the company’s development candidate for the treatment of pandemic and seasonal influenza A infections, is continuing after the company reported a lower than expected influenza infection rates among study participants.

MIRA: Subject Enrollment Moves Trial Forward

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • MIRA Pharmaceuticals(MIRA) Company Sponsored Research Report

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Shougang Fushan Resources, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, LG Chem Ltd, S&P 500 INDEX, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Base Oil, Aluminium and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Fushan Energy (639 HK): Cash 80% of Market Cap, 100% Payout Implies 12% Trailing Dividend Yield
  • Helixtap China Report: Short-term Downward Bias In China Demand Outlook Amid Tariff Tensions
  • Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 2Q 2025
  • Cautious Outlook; Get Defensive and Sell Rallies; Upgrading Energy; Downgrading Technology
  • [US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/13] WTI Climbed on Tariffs and Inventory Draws
  • [US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/13] Henry Hub Rebounds on Declining Output and Rising LNG Exports
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 31 March
  • Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 31 March
  • Aluminum Futures – March 4, 2025
  • Barton Gold — The Rubicon crossed – marching to production


Fushan Energy (639 HK): Cash 80% of Market Cap, 100% Payout Implies 12% Trailing Dividend Yield

By Sameer Taneja

  • Shougang Fushan Resources’ (639 HK) FY24 revenues/profits were down 14%/21% YoY due to the decline in coking coal prices, which were 14% YoY to 1666 RMB/ton (on similar volumes). 
  • At 1295 RMB/ton, spot prices are 25% lower than last year’s average, yet the stock is supported by cash, which represents 80% of its market capitalization (10 billion HKD).
  • The company provided a 100% payout of 30 HKD cents, resulting in a 12% dividend yield; however, at current spot prices, the yield is 7%.

Helixtap China Report: Short-term Downward Bias In China Demand Outlook Amid Tariff Tensions

By Arusha Das

  • Trade war impacts the trade flow 
  • Arbitrage narrows on wintering 
  • Fluctuating inventory level indicates at a whimsical buying pattern 

Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 2Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 2Q 2025.
  • The following five pairs (between common and prefs) have experienced more than 10% difference in their share prices in the past six months. 
  • These five pairs (LG Chem, Amorepacific Corp, Amorepacific Group, CJ Cheiljedang, and Korea Investment Holdings) are more likely to revert to closing their gaps in the coming weeks. 

Cautious Outlook; Get Defensive and Sell Rallies; Upgrading Energy; Downgrading Technology

By Joe Jasper

  • Last week we discussed how evidence was pointing to a major low at 5500-5600 on the SPX, but now it appears more likely to just have been a local low
  • Market dynamics have continued to deteriorate to the point where we no longer see this as a buying opportunity.
  • We are cautious and would get defensive as long as the S&P 500 is below 5770-5780 and its 200-day MA; we believe we are in a “sell rallies” regime

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/13] WTI Climbed on Tariffs and Inventory Draws

By Suhas Reddy

  • WTI futures rose 1.6% for the week ending 28/Mar, driven by escalating trade tensions and declining U.S. crude oil inventories.
  • The U.S. rig count fell by one to 592. The oil rig count dropped by two to 484, and gas rigs rose by one to 103.
  • WTI OI PCR grew to 0.91 on 28/Mar from 0.90 on 21/Mar. Call OI increased by 7.0% WoW, while put OI grew by 7.3%.

[US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/13] Henry Hub Rebounds on Declining Output and Rising LNG Exports

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 28/Mar, U.S. natural gas prices gained 4.6% due to rising LNG exports and a drop in daily natural gas output.
  • Henry Hub gained 1.7% on 27/Mar (Thu), driven by lower output, record LNG exports, and stronger demand forecasts, despite a build in U.S. natural gas storage.
  • Henry Hub OI PCR decreased to 0.98 on 28/Mar from 1.05 on 21/Mar. Call OI fell by 10.1% WoW, while put OI dropped by 16.1%.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 31 March

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils prices extend dip versus feedstock/gasoil prices.
  • Margins hold firm for heavy grades, pointing to still-strong supply-demand fundamentals.
  • Firm margins partially cushion impact of weaker light-grade margins.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 31 March

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils demand could hold firm over the coming weeks as buyers replenish low stocks and lube consumption holds steady.
  • Rising crude oil prices could provide additional support.
  • Seasonal slowdown in demand from end of second quarter typically starts to curb buying interest several weeks before then.

Aluminum Futures – March 4, 2025

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • According to Graph 1, during the period February 4th, 2025 – March 4th, 2025, a slightly bearish trend, among strong fluctuations, was reflected in the price of aluminium futures.
  • At the beginning of the timeframe, there was a significant increase in the price of the commodity, but after February 20th a steady downward momentum unfolded.
  • The MA-10 line very initially performed above the MA-20 line, however at February 6th it crossed below the latter. 

Barton Gold — The Rubicon crossed – marching to production

By Edison Investment Research

Barton has continued to aggressively pursue its ambition to produce 125–150koz gold pa at Tunkillia via open pit production, completing a 5,064m reverse circulation drilling campaign targeting block model extensions, updating JORC mineral resources to 1.6Moz gold and 3.1Moz silver and identifying material available energy savings. At Tarcoola, it has discovered the new Tolmer gold system, added further pit floor gold mineralisation at the Perseverance mine, and made a surprise high-grade silver discovery alongside Tolmer’s gold – the best interval of 6m at 4,747g/t (152.6opt) Ag being exceptionally high by anyone’s standards. These will all contribute to an optimised scoping study at Tunkillia in Q2 CY25 and (from Tarcoola) feedstock for ’Stage 1’ operations, leveraging its fully licensed Central Gawler mill to 20–30koz pa as early as mid-CY26. Topping it off, Barton announced a A$3.1m net profit for the half year to 31 December, an unusual and impressive feat for a junior.


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Daily Brief South Korea: Jusung Engineering, Kcc Corp, HLB Inc, LG Chem Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Just One Change Likely
  • KCC Corp: Considering on Issuing an Overseas EB for Its 10% Stake in Samsung C&T
  • Complete Breakdown of the HLB Merger Swap Details
  • Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 2Q 2025


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Just One Change Likely

By Brian Freitas

  • With the averaging period for the April rebalance now complete, we forecast just 1 change for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.
  • Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 0.8-2.2x ADV to trade in the forecast changes.
  • The resumption of short selling makes it easier to position for these events. That could also result in the shorts moving a lot ahead of implementation.

KCC Corp: Considering on Issuing an Overseas EB for Its 10% Stake in Samsung C&T

By Douglas Kim

  • Kcc Corp (002380 KS) is considering on issuing an overseas exchangeable bond (EB) for its 10% stake in Samsung C&T (028260 KS).
  • KCC is the second largest shareholder of Samsung C&T with a 10% stake in the company which is worth 2 trillion won (US$1.4 billion).
  • Our NAV valuation of KCC Corp suggests NAV per share of 332,947 won, which is 27% higher than current price.

Complete Breakdown of the HLB Merger Swap Details

By Sanghyun Park

  • Appraisal rights are for HLB Life Science holders only. Record date: April 16. Objection: May 28–June 11. Exercise: June 12–July 2. Spread’s fat—over 11% today.
  • Swap spread closed at 2.3%. With short selling back, execution looks clean. Classic arb: short HLB Inc, long HLB Life Science, cover with new HLB Inc shares post-merger.
  • HLB has a cult-like retail base that follows management blindly. Despite headline cancellation risk, real odds may be lower, meaning the swap spread could be seriously mispriced—prime arb setup.

Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 2Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 2Q 2025.
  • The following five pairs (between common and prefs) have experienced more than 10% difference in their share prices in the past six months. 
  • These five pairs (LG Chem, Amorepacific Corp, Amorepacific Group, CJ Cheiljedang, and Korea Investment Holdings) are more likely to revert to closing their gaps in the coming weeks. 

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Daily Brief Consumer: Skyworth Group Limited, Nick Scali Ltd, BYD, Dada Nexus , HLB Inc, Hindware Home Innovation, ITC Ltd, Meituan, Oisix ra daichi, Orange Juice and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Skyworth Group (751 HK)’s Latest Partial Buyback. Thoughts On Proration
  • Northern Star’s Acquisition of De Grey Mining: The Many Index Implications & Flows
  • BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Buy-The-Dip Scenarios With Passive Buying from HSI/HSCEI Trackers
  • Dada Nexus (DADA US): JD.com’s Binding Offer a Done Deal
  • Complete Breakdown of the HLB Merger Swap Details
  • Hindware Home Innovation Ltd: Will Restructuring Change the Company’s Fortunes?
  • Event Driven: ITC Acquiring Aditya Birla Group’s Paper Business
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • -50% Orange Juice Price Implosion


Skyworth Group (751 HK)’s Latest Partial Buyback. Thoughts On Proration

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 23 December 2022, Skyworth Group (751 HK) announced (another) partial buyback, at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed. On the 28 March, terms were bumped to $5.00/share. 
  • At the close of the Offer, the Wong Concert Group held 50.35%, and were no longer subject to the creeper rule. The Group now holds 56.04%
  • Yet another Partial Offer has been announced (HK$3.11/share, a 15.19% premium)), which will lift the Group’s stake to 66.45%.  Minimum pro-ration is 37.84%. It is likely to go higher.

Northern Star’s Acquisition of De Grey Mining: The Many Index Implications & Flows

By Brian Freitas


BYD (1211 HK) Tactical Outlook: Buy-The-Dip Scenarios With Passive Buying from HSI/HSCEI Trackers

By Nico Rosti

  • A recent insight by Brian Freitas signals that BYD (1211 HK)buying from global index trackers is done (more passive buying from HSI/HSCEI trackers may come later this month).
  • As of Tuesday, the stock is currently in the middle of a modest pullback, 1 week down, reached a support area where the probability of a bounce is around 50%.
  • We are at the start of the month, it may be early to benefit from the passive buying discussed by Brian Freitas, however this pullback could support a buy-the-dips strategy.

Dada Nexus (DADA US): JD.com’s Binding Offer a Done Deal

By Arun George

  • Dada Nexus (DADA US) disclosed a binding proposal from JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) at US$2.00 per ADS, a 41.8% premium to the undisturbed price of US$1.41 (24 January).
  • The shareholder vote is low-risk (two-thirds voting threshold), as JD.com represents 63.2% of voting power. The dissenting condition (less than 12% of outstanding shares) is waivable. 
  • Although the offer is unattractive, this is a done deal. The transaction is expected to close within the third quarter of 2025.

Complete Breakdown of the HLB Merger Swap Details

By Sanghyun Park

  • Appraisal rights are for HLB Life Science holders only. Record date: April 16. Objection: May 28–June 11. Exercise: June 12–July 2. Spread’s fat—over 11% today.
  • Swap spread closed at 2.3%. With short selling back, execution looks clean. Classic arb: short HLB Inc, long HLB Life Science, cover with new HLB Inc shares post-merger.
  • HLB has a cult-like retail base that follows management blindly. Despite headline cancellation risk, real odds may be lower, meaning the swap spread could be seriously mispriced—prime arb setup.

Hindware Home Innovation Ltd: Will Restructuring Change the Company’s Fortunes?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Hindware Home Innovation (HINDWARE IN) plans to demerge its consumer appliances division into a separate listed entity.
  • Demerger removes loss-making drag, improving profitability and segment-specific valuation clarity.
  • Unlocks hidden value; better execution with new CEO with clear growth trajectory may lead further value creation for shareholders.

Event Driven: ITC Acquiring Aditya Birla Group’s Paper Business

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • ITC Ltd (ITC IN) recently announced the strategic acquisition of Century Pulp and Paper (CPP) from AB Real Estate (ABREL) for INR 3,500 crore on a slump sale basis.  
  • This Business Transfer Agreement (BTA) occurs amid an industry downturn marked by surging input costs, subdued demand, and competition from low-priced imports.
  • This acquisition significantly expands ITC’s paper segment capacity by 60%, targeting a 30-40% EBITDA per tonne improvement.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In the US, New York Fed President John Williams said tariffs could produce “more prolonged effects” on inflation, as indirect effects from the new duties “might not be fully felt for a couple of years”.
  • Mr Williams added that “there’s a lot of uncertainty about how the economy will evolve and a lot of uncertainty about all the policy actions”, and hence expects the US central bank to keep interest rates unchanged for “some time”.
  • Treasuries gained for a second day yesterday on continued safe-haven flows, ahead of US President Donald Trump’s expected announcement of reciprocal tariffs tomorrow.

Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In January 2024, SHiDAX Corporation was consolidated as a subsidiary, boosting sales and EBITDA in Q4 FY03/24.
  • Cumulative Q3 FY03/25 progress rates: 75.9% sales, 93.7% EBITDA, 84.4% operating profit, 110.5% net income.
  • B2C Subscription sales decreased YoY, but segment profit increased due to higher ARPU and cost-efficient acquisitions.

-50% Orange Juice Price Implosion

By The Commodity Report

  •  -50% Orange Juice Price Implosion After a crazy price surge – orange juice futures traded at the ICE have more than halved since the start of the year.
  • While reaching its temporary high of 539 USX in December, the forward contract is now trading at 247 USX.
  • The price is now back at levels it was trading at the beginning of 2024. Compared to 2020 futures pricing is still up 150%. (yeah you read that right)

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Daily Brief Financials: T&D Holdings, KE Holdings , Avjennings Ltd, Jinke Smart Services, SmartStop Self Storage REIT, S&P 500 INDEX, Defi Technologies , Emira Property Fund, EURCHF and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • T&D Holdings (8795) – A Really Good Look (Divs Up, Big Buyback, Good Historical Stats)
  • KE (BEKE US, 2423 HK): 2024 Result, Accelerating Quarter by Quarter, Upside Above 100%
  • AVJennings (AVJ AU): AVID’s Firm Offer As Ho Bee Walks
  • Jinke Smart (9666 HK): Boyu Returns To The Well?
  • SmartStop Self Storage (SMA): IPO for Yield Chasers, Traditional Players on the Sidelines
  • AVJennings (AVJ AU): AVID’s Binding Proposal at A$0.655
  • April Global Macro Volatility: Strong Price and Vol Seasonals
  • DeFi Technologies Inc. – April 1, 2025
  • Emira Property Fund – South Africa’s Middleweight REIT Contender
  • Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/CHF March 18, 2025


T&D Holdings (8795) – A Really Good Look (Divs Up, Big Buyback, Good Historical Stats)

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday, post-close, T&D Holdings (8795 JP)  announced ¥40 for 31-Mar-25 FY-end dividend (¥80/yr) and ¥120/share/year in the year to March 2026 on a higher planned payout ratio.
  • The company also announced guidance for Adjusted Profit for 2025 at ¥130bn (up), and guidance for March 2026 at ¥140bn (lower growth than this past year). 
  • They announced the current ¥50bn buyback was 87.5% complete (they have until 13 May to complete) and a new buyback starting 19 May to spend up to ¥100bn over 10.5mos.

KE (BEKE US, 2423 HK): 2024 Result, Accelerating Quarter by Quarter, Upside Above 100%

By Ming Lu

  • Exhibiting home revenue recovered significantly in 4Q24, while new home revenue recovered from 3Q24.
  • The growth rate of active stores and active agents accelerated quarter by quarter.
  • We conclude an upside of 105% and a price target of US$42.00. Buy.

AVJennings (AVJ AU): AVID’s Firm Offer As Ho Bee Walks

By David Blennerhassett

  • The AVID consortium’s late-November A$0.67/share NBIO appeared a lock; until Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP) lobbed a A$0.70/share NBIO in January. Ho Bee also acquired a 5.39% stake. 
  • AVJennings (AVJ AU) granted both suitors exclusive due diligence, the terms of which expired in February. AVJ said at the time it remained in “active discussions” with both.
  • AVJ and AVID have now entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed at A$0.655/share. A special dividend – included in the Scheme consideration – could add A$0.072/share in franking credits. 

Jinke Smart (9666 HK): Boyu Returns To The Well?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 27th September 2022, Boyu Group launched a HK$12/share VGO for PRC-incorporated property management play Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK), a 33.04% premium to last close.
  • Boyu and concert parties held 53.05%, and the Offer was contingent on regulatory approvals and 7.71% of shares out tendering. 4.79% tendered. Boyu also acquired 7.15% in the market.
  • Two days after announcing very ordinary FY24 results, Jinke shares were suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. Presumably Boyu is on the acquisition path again. Another VGO or a privatisation?

SmartStop Self Storage (SMA): IPO for Yield Chasers, Traditional Players on the Sidelines

By IPO Boutique

  • According to our sources, the deal is multiple-times oversubscribed — our sources stated around 5x. 
  • Self-Storage was Monday’s second best performing sub-sector (+1.8%) as the overall REIT sector (+0.7%) slightly outperformed the broader market.
  • While the “typical” IPO investor may not be “enthused”, the timing for this type of deal “may” be ideal for yield-chasers.

AVJennings (AVJ AU): AVID’s Binding Proposal at A$0.655

By Arun George

  • Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU) entered a scheme implementation deed with AVID at A$0.655, 2.2% below its previous A$0.67 offer and a 98.5% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • The key conditions are shareholder and regulatory approvals (FIRB and OIO). The vote is low-risk as SC Global (54.02% of outstanding shares) will vote in favour. 
  • Despite the marginally lower price, the offer is attractive, as evidenced by the hefty takeover premium. This is a done deal, with the scheme meeting expected in mid-June.

April Global Macro Volatility: Strong Price and Vol Seasonals

By John Ley

  • Monthly deep-dive into price and vol metrics across Global indexes and macro assets.
  • In-Depth look at the current state of the markets as well as how volatility and price may unfold.
  • We highlight strong seasonal trends in April, with all markets typically rising and realized vol typically coming in below implied.

DeFi Technologies Inc. – April 1, 2025

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Key 4Q24 takeaways include: 1) key AUM growth drivers likely include targeted expansion efforts, with a focus on market liquidity, regulatory support, and high/growing adoption rates, increasingly developing partnerships with exchanges and other digital assets solutions providers, and leveraging Valour’s broad and deep ETP portfolio to continue to meet evolving investor demand trends
  • 2) management remains focused on increasingly penetrating markets across Africa, the Middle East, and Asia to capitalize on strong crypto adoption/demand trends and DEFTF’s first-mover advantages
  • 3) product develop/distribution initiatives remain at the forefront, with Valour recently introducing 20 ETPs in Sweden, and bringing new Dogecoin, Hedera, Aptos, Sui, and Render offerings to market 

Emira Property Fund – South Africa’s Middleweight REIT Contender

By Garreth Elston

  • Emira is a mid-sized South African listed diversified REIT. It has built a portfolio across retail, office, industrial, and residential assets. EMI is also invested in the USA and Poland.
  • The company is undervalued at present, trading at 33.85% below Golden Section Capital’s justified value of R16.01 (and 48.35% below the current pro forma NAV of R20.05).
  • Outlook is one of steady, incremental growth, supported by a de-risked and diversified asset base. Emira’s diversification into the USA and Poland provides growth, and a buffer against local volatility.

Comment on Exchange Rate EUR/CHF March 18, 2025

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under consideration, i.e. February 14th, 2025 to March 18th, 2025, the EUR/CHF pair posted a bullish trend among fluctuations.
  • In the beginning, it followed a marginal decline, until February 28th where the pair faced a sharp increase.
  • After that, it fluctuated sideways in a slight but steady upward momentum, and by the end of the period the price traded at a higher level than on February 14th.

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Daily Brief India: Hindware Home Innovation, Voltas Ltd, ITC Ltd, Vodafone Idea , Hindalco Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Hindware Home Innovation Ltd: Will Restructuring Change the Company’s Fortunes?
  • India Air Conditioners | Who’s Chilling How
  • Event Driven: ITC Acquiring Aditya Birla Group’s Paper Business
  • Vodafone Idea: Another Lifeline, But Structural Challenges Persist
  • Hindalco (HNDL IN): Investor Day Reaffirms Strategic Growth Plans


Hindware Home Innovation Ltd: Will Restructuring Change the Company’s Fortunes?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Hindware Home Innovation (HINDWARE IN) plans to demerge its consumer appliances division into a separate listed entity.
  • Demerger removes loss-making drag, improving profitability and segment-specific valuation clarity.
  • Unlocks hidden value; better execution with new CEO with clear growth trajectory may lead further value creation for shareholders.

India Air Conditioners | Who’s Chilling How

By Pranav Bhavsar


Event Driven: ITC Acquiring Aditya Birla Group’s Paper Business

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • ITC Ltd (ITC IN) recently announced the strategic acquisition of Century Pulp and Paper (CPP) from AB Real Estate (ABREL) for INR 3,500 crore on a slump sale basis.  
  • This Business Transfer Agreement (BTA) occurs amid an industry downturn marked by surging input costs, subdued demand, and competition from low-priced imports.
  • This acquisition significantly expands ITC’s paper segment capacity by 60%, targeting a 30-40% EBITDA per tonne improvement.

Vodafone Idea: Another Lifeline, But Structural Challenges Persist

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • GoI converts ₹36,950 crore of spectrum dues into equity, increasing its stake to ~49%. Promoters’ stake diluted to ~25.5%, with public shareholders now owning just ~23.8%. 
  • While the move eases cash outflows till H1FY28, Vodafone Idea’s AGR dues, weak subscriber base, and funding needs remain material headwinds.
  • Structural concerns remain unresolved, and further dilution risks persist along with loosing market share.

Hindalco (HNDL IN): Investor Day Reaffirms Strategic Growth Plans

By Rahul Jain

  • Hindalco provided details of its ongoing expansion plans of about US$9.1b (US$1.7b spent). 
  • We note near-term headwinds from a) likely weakness in aluminium prices driven by cheaper alumina b) scrap market tightness c) sharp contraction in copper Tc/Rc’s
  • Valuations: Hindalco trades at about 6.8x EV/EBITDA FY26e which is inline with historic multiples. A lower multiple is warranted to factor impending headwinds.

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Daily Brief Australia: Nick Scali Ltd, Avjennings Ltd, Aluminium, Barton Gold Holdings and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Northern Star’s Acquisition of De Grey Mining: The Many Index Implications & Flows
  • AVJennings (AVJ AU): AVID’s Firm Offer As Ho Bee Walks
  • AVJennings (AVJ AU): AVID’s Binding Proposal at A$0.655
  • Aluminum Futures – March 4, 2025
  • Barton Gold — The Rubicon crossed – marching to production
  • Barton Gold — The Rubicon crossed – marching to production


Northern Star’s Acquisition of De Grey Mining: The Many Index Implications & Flows

By Brian Freitas


AVJennings (AVJ AU): AVID’s Firm Offer As Ho Bee Walks

By David Blennerhassett

  • The AVID consortium’s late-November A$0.67/share NBIO appeared a lock; until Ho Bee Land Ltd (HOBEE SP) lobbed a A$0.70/share NBIO in January. Ho Bee also acquired a 5.39% stake. 
  • AVJennings (AVJ AU) granted both suitors exclusive due diligence, the terms of which expired in February. AVJ said at the time it remained in “active discussions” with both.
  • AVJ and AVID have now entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed at A$0.655/share. A special dividend – included in the Scheme consideration – could add A$0.072/share in franking credits. 

AVJennings (AVJ AU): AVID’s Binding Proposal at A$0.655

By Arun George

  • Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU) entered a scheme implementation deed with AVID at A$0.655, 2.2% below its previous A$0.67 offer and a 98.5% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • The key conditions are shareholder and regulatory approvals (FIRB and OIO). The vote is low-risk as SC Global (54.02% of outstanding shares) will vote in favour. 
  • Despite the marginally lower price, the offer is attractive, as evidenced by the hefty takeover premium. This is a done deal, with the scheme meeting expected in mid-June.

Aluminum Futures – March 4, 2025

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • According to Graph 1, during the period February 4th, 2025 – March 4th, 2025, a slightly bearish trend, among strong fluctuations, was reflected in the price of aluminium futures.
  • At the beginning of the timeframe, there was a significant increase in the price of the commodity, but after February 20th a steady downward momentum unfolded.
  • The MA-10 line very initially performed above the MA-20 line, however at February 6th it crossed below the latter. 

Barton Gold — The Rubicon crossed – marching to production

By Edison Investment Research

Barton has continued to aggressively pursue its ambition to produce 125–150koz gold pa at Tunkillia via open pit production, completing a 5,064m reverse circulation drilling campaign targeting block model extensions, updating JORC mineral resources to 1.6Moz gold and 3.1Moz silver and identifying material available energy savings. At Tarcoola, it has discovered the new Tolmer gold system, added further pit floor gold mineralisation at the Perseverance mine, and made a surprise high-grade silver discovery alongside Tolmer’s gold – the best interval of 6m at 4,747g/t (152.6opt) Ag being exceptionally high by anyone’s standards. These will all contribute to an optimised scoping study at Tunkillia in Q2 CY25 and (from Tarcoola) feedstock for ’Stage 1’ operations, leveraging its fully licensed Central Gawler mill to 20–30koz pa as early as mid-CY26. Topping it off, Barton announced a A$3.1m net profit for the half year to 31 December, an unusual and impressive feat for a junior.


Barton Gold — The Rubicon crossed – marching to production

By Edison Investment Research

Barton has continued to aggressively pursue its ambition to produce 125–150koz gold pa at Tunkillia via open pit production, completing a 5,064m reverse circulation drilling campaign targeting block model extensions, updating JORC mineral resources to 1.6Moz gold and 3.1Moz silver and identifying material available energy savings. At Tarcoola, it has discovered the new Tolmer gold system, added further pit floor gold mineralisation at the Perseverance mine, and made a surprise high-grade silver discovery alongside Tolmer’s gold – the best interval of 6m at 4,747g/t (152.6opt) Ag being exceptionally high by anyone’s standards. These will all contribute to an optimised scoping study at Tunkillia in Q2 CY25 and (from Tarcoola) feedstock for ’Stage 1’ operations, leveraging its fully licensed Central Gawler mill to 20–30koz pa as early as mid-CY26. Topping it off, Barton announced a A$3.1m net profit for the half year to 31 December, an unusual and impressive feat for a junior.


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Daily Brief Japan: T&D Holdings, Oisix ra daichi and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • T&D Holdings (8795) – A Really Good Look (Divs Up, Big Buyback, Good Historical Stats)
  • Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update


T&D Holdings (8795) – A Really Good Look (Divs Up, Big Buyback, Good Historical Stats)

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday, post-close, T&D Holdings (8795 JP)  announced ¥40 for 31-Mar-25 FY-end dividend (¥80/yr) and ¥120/share/year in the year to March 2026 on a higher planned payout ratio.
  • The company also announced guidance for Adjusted Profit for 2025 at ¥130bn (up), and guidance for March 2026 at ¥140bn (lower growth than this past year). 
  • They announced the current ¥50bn buyback was 87.5% complete (they have until 13 May to complete) and a new buyback starting 19 May to spend up to ¥100bn over 10.5mos.

Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In January 2024, SHiDAX Corporation was consolidated as a subsidiary, boosting sales and EBITDA in Q4 FY03/24.
  • Cumulative Q3 FY03/25 progress rates: 75.9% sales, 93.7% EBITDA, 84.4% operating profit, 110.5% net income.
  • B2C Subscription sales decreased YoY, but segment profit increased due to higher ARPU and cost-efficient acquisitions.

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Daily Brief Singapore: SGX Rubber Future TSR20, ST Engineering and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Helixtap China Report: Short-term Downward Bias In China Demand Outlook Amid Tariff Tensions
  • STI Books 5.3% Total Return in 1Q25


Helixtap China Report: Short-term Downward Bias In China Demand Outlook Amid Tariff Tensions

By Arusha Das

  • Trade war impacts the trade flow 
  • Arbitrage narrows on wintering 
  • Fluctuating inventory level indicates at a whimsical buying pattern 

STI Books 5.3% Total Return in 1Q25

By Geoff Howie

  • ST Engineering led STI with a 46% rally, 12M Consensus Estimate Target Price rose 36% to S$6.85.
  • Net creation of S$36M in units increased combined AUM of two STI tracking ETFs from S$2.3B to S$2.6B.
  • STI stocks booked S$1.63 billion net institutional outflow in 1Q25, mainly from STI Banks and S-REIT Sector.

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