Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Crude Oil, Aptiv PLC, Benson Hill , Whirlpool Corp, USD, Avnet Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Jeffrey Emanuel: Viral Author of The Short Case for Nvidia Stock – cohosted by Pondering Durian
  • Lots More with Matt Levine on MicroStrategy’s Infinite Money Machine
  • MacroVoices #465 Rory Johnston: Oil Markets Under Trump 2.0
  • Global Commodities: $45 is the new $55
  • Weekly Update (APTV, MRP, MEDXF, AAF, WDC)
  • SSI Weekly Newsletter: Portfolio Exits, Strategic Updates and Key Developments
  • Whirlpool Corporation: An Insight Into Its Tariff & Market Dynamics! – Major Drivers
  • Oil Rigs Spark Sharp Rebound in U.S. Rig Count
  • U.S. Rates – DeepFreeze
  • Avnet Inc.: Will Its Shift High-Margin Businesses Like IP&E Pay Off? – Major Drivers


Jeffrey Emanuel: Viral Author of The Short Case for Nvidia Stock – cohosted by Pondering Durian

By The Delphi Podcast

  • Market value of stocks close to 2 trillion, including Nvidia at 600 billion
  • Author missed opportunity to short Nvidia despite strong case outlined in article
  • Concerns about competition, margins, and custom chips impacting Nvidia’s growth potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Lots More with Matt Levine on MicroStrategy’s Infinite Money Machine

By Odd Lots

  • Stifel is a leading middle market investment bank with a large equity research franchise
  • Stifel has won the J.D. Power Award for Employee Advisor satisfaction two years in a row
  • The Odd Lots podcast discusses topics like MicroStrategy’s perpetual motion machine and leveraged bitcoin investments

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


MacroVoices #465 Rory Johnston: Oil Markets Under Trump 2.0

By Macro Voices

  • Oil markets in 2024 experienced slow supply and demand growth after years of high volatility
  • Heading into 2025, demand is reaccelerating faster than supply, leading to a bullish outlook
  • With low inventory levels and a modest supply deficit expected, prices are likely to gradually rise to low 80s Brent basis

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Global Commodities: $45 is the new $55

By At Any Rate

  • Trump prioritizes reducing US trade deficit by urging nations with trade surpluses to increase oil and gas purchases or face tariffs
  • To reduce bilateral deficits, US would need to significantly increase oil and gas exports to Europe, China, South Korea, and Japan
  • Trump administration aims to accelerate US oil and gas production growth to meet demand and potentially lower costs for producers to achieve goals of reducing trade deficit and increasing energy exports

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Weekly Update (APTV, MRP, MEDXF, AAF, WDC)

By Richard Howe

  • There were no new spin-off announcements this week, but I’ve done some more work on the Aptiv (APTV) spin-off announcement.

  • Aptiv PLC (APTV), an automotive technology supplier, announced on January 22, 2025, that it plans to split into two distinct companies.

  • Aptiv will spin-off its electrical systems business. The RemainCo will concentrate on technological components, including sensor-to-cloud solutions and autonomous driving software.


SSI Weekly Newsletter: Portfolio Exits, Strategic Updates and Key Developments

By Dalius Tauraitis

  • Benson Hill exited after a +100% share price spike, despite a 38% loss; concerns over cash and buyout proposal persist.
  • Marlowe position closed with a 23% return; buybacks had no impact on share price, concerns over future decline.
  • DMC Global faces conflict with Steel Connect over valuation and acquisition proposals; Arcadia’s former president returns.

Whirlpool Corporation: An Insight Into Its Tariff & Market Dynamics! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Whirlpool Corporation’s fourth-quarter 2024 performance exhibited both areas of progress and challenges.
  • The company acknowledged that while their financial outcomes have not fully met expectations, they have made strides in operational efficiency and portfolio transformation.
  • Notably, the completion of the Europe transaction marked a significant transition in creating value opportunities.

Oil Rigs Spark Sharp Rebound in U.S. Rig Count

By Suhas Reddy

  • The U.S. oil and gas rig count rose for the first time in eight weeks, as it rose by 6 to 582 for the week ending 31/Jan.
  • For the week ending 24/Jan, U.S. oil production fell to 13.24m bpd from 13.48m bpd the week prior.
  • The number of active U.S. oil rigs rose by 7 to 479 while gas rigs dropped by 1 to 98. U.S. producers added four rigs in New Mexico.

U.S. Rates – DeepFreeze

By At Any Rate

  • The Fed kept policy rates unchanged as expected, but Chair Powell’s press conference provided key insights on the Fed’s stance
  • The Fed’s focus on inflation and asymmetric reaction function suggests a possible delay in further rate cuts
  • Range-bound rate environment post-Fed meeting favors short gamma strategies for volatility sellers, while yield curve trading strategies may lack carry opportunities

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Avnet Inc.: Will Its Shift High-Margin Businesses Like IP&E Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Avnet has reported its second-quarter fiscal year 2025 results, which reflect both challenges and opportunities within the broader market environment.
  • The company recorded sales of $5.7 billion and an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87, performing above the midpoint of previous guidance.
  • While sales showed resilience primarily in Asia, offset by weaker demand in Western regions, Avnet’s global book-to-bill ratio remains below parity, indicating continued market challenges, particularly in Europe.

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Daily Brief China: Vesync, DiDi Global, JNBY Design Ltd, Fu Shou Yuan, West China Cement and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Vesync (2148 HK): Antitrust Condition Satisfied, and the Scheme Vote Remains Low-Risk
  • Vesync (2148 HK): Trading Wide Ahead Of The Scheme Vote
  • Didi Global Inc (DIDIY) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024
  • HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Parsing Lever Styles (1346 HK) Profit Alert
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448 HK) – The Special Dividend Beat Expectations, but Concerns Remain
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Vesync (2148 HK): Antitrust Condition Satisfied, and the Scheme Vote Remains Low-Risk

By Arun George

  • On 27 December 2024, Vesync (2148 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from the Yang family at HK$5.60. On 28 January, the antitrust condition was satisfied.   
  • Despite a light offer, the scheme vote is low-risk. No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake, there is a scrip option with no cap, and there is no retail opposition. 
  • The scheme document will be despatched by 11 April. At the last close and for an end-of-May payment, the gross and annualised spread is 6.9% and 22.7%, respectively.  

Vesync (2148 HK): Trading Wide Ahead Of The Scheme Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 27th December, Vesync (2148 HK), a manufacturer of small home appliances, announced an Offer, by way of a Scheme, from the Yang family controlling ~69.04% of Vesync. 
  • The Cancellation Price of $5.60/share, declared final, was a 33.3% premium to undisturbed, and above the 2020 IPO price of HK$5.52/share.
  • The US anti-trust condition has now been fulfilled. The Scheme Doc dispatch has been extended to the 11 April. I estimate payment under the Offer late May. 

Didi Global Inc (DIDIY) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Didi Global Inc. is a prominent mobility technology platform offering ride hailing, taxi hailing, and ride sharing services
  • The company dominates the market in China and Latin America, especially in Brazil and Mexico
  • Didi also has other initiatives including E-bike sharing, energy and vehicle services, intra-city freight, autonomous driving, and financial services.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Parsing Lever Styles (1346 HK) Profit Alert

By Sameer Taneja


Fu Shou Yuan (1448 HK) – The Special Dividend Beat Expectations, but Concerns Remain

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The special dividend actually exceeded investors’ expectations. As long as the dividend yield is higher than the risk-free rate, then Fu Shou Yuan is worth holding for the long term.
  • Fu Shou Yuan’s 2024 full-year performance could fall short of expectations. As the business model is not as excellent as previously imagined, long-term growth rate would fall to single digit.
  • Since high valuation is unsustainable without the support of strong future growth momentum, investors who pursue for capital gains could consider taking profits by taking advantage of share price rally.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, Tata Motors, UPL Limited
  • In the US, the December personal spending came in above estimates at 0.7% m-o-m (0.5% e / 0.6% revised p), while personal income inched up to 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p).
  • Separately, the PCE price index climbed to 2.6% y-o-y (2.6% e / 2.4% p) and 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.1% p). That said, the core PCE price index (the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation) was largely stable at 2.8% y-o-y (2.8% e / 2.8% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.2% e / 0.1% p).

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Daily Brief Japan: Kyocera Corp, Nikkei 225, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Lasertec Corp, Sumitomo Pharma, Daiichi Sankyo, AS ONE Corporation, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Sms Co Ltd, Srg Takamiya and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Kyocera (6971) – Changes Policies – Will Sell KDDI Faster and Buy Back Shares
  • EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly (January 27 – 31): USD/JPY and Nikkei at a Stalemate
  • La Nina-triggered Floods Make Serious Dent In Thai Rubber Production
  • Lasertec: FY25 Guidance Isn’t Revised up Despite a Blockbuster 2Q25. The Stock Is Attractive.
  • Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Robust 9MFY25 Revenues; Back in Black; Guidance Revised
  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Mixed Q3FY25 Result; FY25 Net Profit Guidance Raised; New CEO Appointed
  • AS ONE Corporation (7476 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Seeing Disappointing Disclosures Raises Question of What Was the Skill Matrix of Board Directors?
  • Sms Co Ltd (2175 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Takamiya (2445 JP) – Business Model Transition Leads to a Phase of Slower Profit Growth…


Kyocera (6971) – Changes Policies – Will Sell KDDI Faster and Buy Back Shares

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, in conjunction with the release of Q3 earnings, Kyocera Corp (6971 JP) announced a change in its Corporate Governance Code doc, a change in Cross-holding Policy, and Buyback Policy.
  • Full-Year earnings guidance revision was non-salutary. Revs -1%, OP -69%, Net Profit -72% vs previous predictions from 30 October (those were -1.5%, -38.2%, -36.6% vs April guidance at the time). 
  • Based on this disappointment, they announced they would speed up the sale of crossholdings and buy back shares this year and over the following three years.

EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly (January 27 – 31): USD/JPY and Nikkei at a Stalemate

By John Ley

  • This week we add in some additional graphs and commentary highlighting USD/JPY vs Nikkei 225.
  • Implied vols were very reactive to spot to open the week with Nikkei dropping almost 1% on Monday.
  • Heavier volume on the down days with Puts making up 57.8% of the total weekly volume.

La Nina-triggered Floods Make Serious Dent In Thai Rubber Production

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Rubber production in December suffers a loss of 30%  
  • Yokohama Rubber plays Good Samaritan in hour of crisis  
  • CMO enabling FSC Certification for Thai rubber for EUDR

Lasertec: FY25 Guidance Isn’t Revised up Despite a Blockbuster 2Q25. The Stock Is Attractive.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • After 2 very poor quarters (revenue decline YoY), 2Q25 revenue increase 93% YoY, net income 137%. The painfully high volatility will not go away. 
  • But Lasertec maintains its FY25 guidance which means that the blowout 2Q25 does not indicate higher growth
  • The expectation bubble should have completely deflated (SiC for EV, Intel, Samsung). The stock is trading at 18x, at the bottom of its trading range and valuations. Attractive.

Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Robust 9MFY25 Revenues; Back in Black; Guidance Revised

By Tina Banerjee

  • Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) reported 25% YoY revenue growth during 9MFY25, driven by North America.
  • Restructuring and streamlining efforts help curb expenses and post a core operating profit of ¥21B during 9MFY25 compared to an operating loss of ¥96B in same period last year.
  • Sumitomo is now expecting FY25 revenue to be ¥381B, up by ¥43B from the previous forecast and a core net profit of ¥16B.

Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Mixed Q3FY25 Result; FY25 Net Profit Guidance Raised; New CEO Appointed

By Tina Banerjee

  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) reported mixed Q3FY25 result, with revenue increasing 8% YoY to ¥484.8M and net profit decreasing 7% YoY to ¥61.9M. Enhertu revenue increased 39% YoY to ¥143B.
  • The company has raised FY25 net profit guidance by 7% to ¥240B (up 20% YoY), to reflect an increase in financial income due to an improvement in foreign exchange gains.
  • As Daiichi Sankyo enters the final year of its current five-year business plan, the company has appointed Hiroyuki Okuzawa as Chief Executive Officer effective April 1, 2025.

AS ONE Corporation (7476 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Cumulative Q3 FY03/25 sales were JPY75.4bn (+9.8% YoY), operating profit JPY8.4bn (+11.5% YoY), net income JPY6.0bn (+10.2% YoY).
  • Research and Industrial Instruments sales reached JPY62.4bn (+11.0% YoY), with Scientific and Industrial sales at JPY46.1bn and JPY16.3bn respectively.
  • E-commerce sales rose to JPY24.7bn (+23.8% YoY), overseas business sales were JPY4.1bn (+8.9% YoY), driven by online expansion.

Seeing Disappointing Disclosures Raises Question of What Was the Skill Matrix of Board Directors?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • With about 40% of companies having a P/B of less than 1x, the problem is that many disclosures do not understand management to create value and increase the stock price.
  • It’s difficult for investors’ voices to reach small cap companies and companies with still high defensive walls of cross-held shares, which are not easily targeted for investment by institutional investors.
  • Independent directors should be appointed with skillset to participate in developing management plans and scrutinize them for reasonableness and whether the projected corporate value is gapped from that of investors.

Sms Co Ltd (2175 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased 14.0% YoY to JPY44.9bn, while operating profit decreased 27.4% YoY to JPY3.6bn.
  • Revised FY03/25 forecast: sales JPY61.1bn (+13.1% YoY), operating profit JPY6.3bn (-23.8% YoY), net income JPY6.1bn (-16.3% YoY).
  • Kaipoke member locations increased by 9.5% YoY, with 31,150 locations and 54,350 elderly care facilities.

Takamiya (2445 JP) – Business Model Transition Leads to a Phase of Slower Profit Growth…

By Sessa Investment Research

  • H1 FY2025/3 Earnings results summary: Takamiya (hereafter, the Company) reported sales of JPY 21,236 mn (+2.1% YoY), operating profit of JPY 802 mn (-33.5% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 640 mn (-56.9% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 498 mn (-50.5% YoY), falling short of initial forecasts.
  • Sales fell 6.0% short of the initial forecast due to delays in the delivery of certain projects which have been pushed back to Q3 and beyond.
  • FY2025/3 Company earnings forecast: The full-year forecasts for FY2025/3: net sales of JPY 49,500 mn (+12.2% YoY), operating profit of JPY 3,600 mn (+5.7% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 3,220 mn (-10.1% YoY), net profit of JPY 2,000 mn (+5.9%). 

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Daily Brief India: NIFTY Index, Kaynes Technology India and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD | Nifty Index Options Weekly (Jan 24 – 31): Second Longest Decline Since 2007
  • Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look – QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans


EQD | Nifty Index Options Weekly (Jan 24 – 31): Second Longest Decline Since 2007

By John Ley

  • Nifty has been in a prolonged downtrend, currently 4 months in duration and clipping 10.3% off the index. This is the second longest decline since 2007.
  • When looked at vs the extent of this decline, implied vol is at the bottom of its historical range and historic vol also quietest in a down-move since 2007.
  • Implied vol is trading at or above peak levels seen on historic vol since the decline started and implied remains negatively correlated to movements in spot.

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look – QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

By Akshat Shah

  • Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN) is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
  • In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.
  • The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Crude Oil, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, BP PLC, TotalEnergies , West China Cement, Iron Ore, TMC the metals co, Rio Tinto PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • MacroVoices #465 Rory Johnston: Oil Markets Under Trump 2.0
  • La Nina-triggered Floods Make Serious Dent In Thai Rubber Production
  • Global Commodities: $45 is the new $55
  • Oil Rigs Spark Sharp Rebound in U.S. Rig Count
  • [Earnings Preview] BP’s Challenges to Persist Amid Weak Crude Prices and Declining Upstream Output
  • [Pre Earnings Options Flash] TotalEnergies Options Signal Neutral Sentiment, Elevated Volatility
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • [IO Technicals Weekly 2025/​​5] IO Rally Amid Supply Disruptions and Lunar New Year Impact
  • TMC – New Administration Policies’ Potential Impact on Critical Metals Industry and TMC
  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: January 2025 Report


MacroVoices #465 Rory Johnston: Oil Markets Under Trump 2.0

By Macro Voices

  • Oil markets in 2024 experienced slow supply and demand growth after years of high volatility
  • Heading into 2025, demand is reaccelerating faster than supply, leading to a bullish outlook
  • With low inventory levels and a modest supply deficit expected, prices are likely to gradually rise to low 80s Brent basis

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


La Nina-triggered Floods Make Serious Dent In Thai Rubber Production

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Rubber production in December suffers a loss of 30%  
  • Yokohama Rubber plays Good Samaritan in hour of crisis  
  • CMO enabling FSC Certification for Thai rubber for EUDR

Global Commodities: $45 is the new $55

By At Any Rate

  • Trump prioritizes reducing US trade deficit by urging nations with trade surpluses to increase oil and gas purchases or face tariffs
  • To reduce bilateral deficits, US would need to significantly increase oil and gas exports to Europe, China, South Korea, and Japan
  • Trump administration aims to accelerate US oil and gas production growth to meet demand and potentially lower costs for producers to achieve goals of reducing trade deficit and increasing energy exports

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Oil Rigs Spark Sharp Rebound in U.S. Rig Count

By Suhas Reddy

  • The U.S. oil and gas rig count rose for the first time in eight weeks, as it rose by 6 to 582 for the week ending 31/Jan.
  • For the week ending 24/Jan, U.S. oil production fell to 13.24m bpd from 13.48m bpd the week prior.
  • The number of active U.S. oil rigs rose by 7 to 479 while gas rigs dropped by 1 to 98. U.S. producers added four rigs in New Mexico.

[Earnings Preview] BP’s Challenges to Persist Amid Weak Crude Prices and Declining Upstream Output

By Suhas Reddy

  • BP’s Q4 revenue and EPS are expected to fall by 10% YoY and 57%, respectively. For 2024, revenue is projected to drop 8.2% while EPS is estimated to fall 30.3%. 
  • BP anticipates weaker refining margins and higher turnaround activity to impact profits by USD 100–300 million QoQ, with oil trading performance also expected to decline.
  • BP’s refining marker margin dropped 20% QoQ in Q4 to USD 13.1, marking its lowest level since early 2022. Additionally, upstream production is expected to fall sequentially.

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] TotalEnergies Options Signal Neutral Sentiment, Elevated Volatility

By Suhas Reddy

  • TotalEnergies is to report its Q4 earnings on 05/Feb, with its quarterly and annual revenue and EPS projected to fall on a YoY basis.
  • As of 03/Feb, TotalEnergies’ implied volatility (IV) stands at 23.20%, with an IV rank of 63.17% and an IV percentile of 84%.
  • TotalEnergies’ OI by strike for the 21/Feb expiry shows calls concentrated at strikes 57.5, 60, and 62.5, while puts dominate at 50, 52.5, and 55.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, Tata Motors, UPL Limited
  • In the US, the December personal spending came in above estimates at 0.7% m-o-m (0.5% e / 0.6% revised p), while personal income inched up to 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p).
  • Separately, the PCE price index climbed to 2.6% y-o-y (2.6% e / 2.4% p) and 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.1% p). That said, the core PCE price index (the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation) was largely stable at 2.8% y-o-y (2.8% e / 2.8% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.2% e / 0.1% p).

[IO Technicals Weekly 2025/​​5] IO Rally Amid Supply Disruptions and Lunar New Year Impact

By Pranay Yadav

  • SGX IO Futures closed at $105.75/ton on Jan 31, gaining $0.90/ton over the week, with a high of $106.85/ton and a low of $103.50/ton.
  • A golden cross formation on Jan 17 signaled a bullish trend, while RSI at 64.97 suggests a possible overbought condition.
  • Prices remained in triple digits due to U.S. tariff uncertainties, reduced steel mill capacity, Lunar New Year closures, and weather-related supply disruptions in Australia’s Pilbara region.

TMC – New Administration Policies’ Potential Impact on Critical Metals Industry and TMC

By Water Tower Research

  • New administration could provide new opportunities.
  • With the new Trump 2.0 administration now in control of the US’ domestic and foreign policies, changes to how the federal government will address the energy transition trend and Chinese dominance of the related supply chains could have a profound impact on metal resource developers like TMC, which should be positive for the company and its stakeholders.
  • From talking to doing. The Pentagon has yet to deliver its report (originally due March 2024) on the feasibility of processing polymetallic nodules in the US, required by the 2024 NDAA, having potentially slow-walked the project during the previous administration.

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: January 2025 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly tightened during January 2025. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 12.9% (vs. 11.8% as of 31 December 2024); GBL, 40% (vs. 40.9%);
  • Heineken Holding, 13.2% (vs. 15.8%); Industrivärden C, 3.0% (vs. 5.5%); Investor B, 4.5% (vs. 7.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 36% (vs. 32.2%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 20.3% (vs. 23%).
  • What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).

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Daily Brief Industrials: HD Hyundai Marine Solution , T’Way Air, Kaynes Technology India, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Srg Takamiya, Fluence Corp, bpost SA, Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc, Applied Industrial Tech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That
  • Daemyung Sono Group May Wage a Public Opinion War for T’Way Air
  • Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look – QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans
  • C.H. Robinson: Innovative Pricing & Procurement Strategies Enabling Margin Expansion? – Major Drivers
  • Takamiya (2445 JP) – Business Model Transition Leads to a Phase of Slower Profit Growth…
  • Fluence Corp Ltd – Set up for a strong recovery
  • What’s New( s)in Amsterdam – 3 February 2025 (Unilever | Basic-Fit | InPost | PostNL / bpostgroup | Retail sales | Dutch CPI)
  • Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024
  • Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT): Will The Hydradyne Acquisition & Synergies Strengthen Its Competitive Position? – Major Drivers


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

By Brian Freitas

  • Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June. The LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) listing could increase that number.
  • The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.
  • The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.

Daemyung Sono Group May Wage a Public Opinion War for T’Way Air

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past two trading days, share prices of T’Way Air (091810 KS) and T’Way Holdings (004870 KS) are down 16.4% and 14.1%, respectively.
  • According to Hankyung daily, Daemyung Sono Group Chairman Seo may choose to wage a public opinion war, instead of purchasing additional shares.  
  • If Daemyung Sono Group is unable to take over the management control of T’Way Air using this method, then a potential tender offer of T’Way Air is possible later on. 

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look – QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

By Akshat Shah

  • Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN) is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
  • In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.
  • The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.

C.H. Robinson: Innovative Pricing & Procurement Strategies Enabling Margin Expansion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • C.H. Robinson Worldwide’s latest quarterly financial disclosure provides insight into both the challenges and operational successes the company faced.
  • A key feature of the discussion was the significant improvement in financial metrics year-over-year, despite operating within a continued freight recession.
  • The company’s execution stands out, particularly through the adoption of the new Robinson operating model, which provided a framework for disciplined operations, embracing both human expertise and advanced technological tools.

Takamiya (2445 JP) – Business Model Transition Leads to a Phase of Slower Profit Growth…

By Sessa Investment Research

  • H1 FY2025/3 Earnings results summary: Takamiya (hereafter, the Company) reported sales of JPY 21,236 mn (+2.1% YoY), operating profit of JPY 802 mn (-33.5% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 640 mn (-56.9% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 498 mn (-50.5% YoY), falling short of initial forecasts.
  • Sales fell 6.0% short of the initial forecast due to delays in the delivery of certain projects which have been pushed back to Q3 and beyond.
  • FY2025/3 Company earnings forecast: The full-year forecasts for FY2025/3: net sales of JPY 49,500 mn (+12.2% YoY), operating profit of JPY 3,600 mn (+5.7% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 3,220 mn (-10.1% YoY), net profit of JPY 2,000 mn (+5.9%). 

Fluence Corp Ltd – Set up for a strong recovery

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS has published an update report on environmental services company Fluence Corporation (ASX:FLC) following its Q4 quarterly and financial and operating update and guidance for the FY25 year.
  • The company met its previous guidance for revenue of US$51.5m and an EBITDA loss of US$4.0m, which was 9% better than RaaS’ forecast for a US$4.4m loss.
  • FLC has provided a strong outlook for FY25 guiding to revenue of US$80-95m and EBITDA of US$3.0-5.0m.

What’s New( s)in Amsterdam – 3 February 2025 (Unilever | Basic-Fit | InPost | PostNL / bpostgroup | Retail sales | Dutch CPI)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • Unilever | may opt for multiple listing venues for its ice cream unit • Basic-Fit | starts share management program to support stock liquidity • InPost | eying a takeover of struggling Yodel?
  • • InPost / PostNL / bpost | online marketplaces to be liable for unsafe and illegal goods • Dutch retail sales | up 1.5% YoY in value terms in December and up 2.1% for FY24 • Dutch CPI | up 3.3% YoY in January based on the fast estimate

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • CVGI is a tier 1 supplier to OEMs, specializing in seats, wiring harnesses, plastic casings, and mirrors for MD/HD Class 5-8 trucks and construction/agricultural equipment
  • Despite customer concentration and cyclical demand, CVGI has strong relationships with major customers like Volvo, Daimler, Paccar, Navistar, Caterpillar, and John Deere
  • CVGI faces limited price competition due to OEMs working with pre-approved suppliers and investing in product development, making them a successful and stable business in the competitive commercial vehicle industry.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT): Will The Hydradyne Acquisition & Synergies Strengthen Its Competitive Position? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Applied Industrial Technologies reported their fiscal 2025 first-quarter results, indicating a mixed performance amid ongoing economic uncertainties and strategic investments.
  • The company experienced a moderate decline in organic daily sales of 3% compared to the previous year, though this was somewhat offset by a robust September performance, surpassing initial expectations.
  • On the positive side, the company achieved a record first quarter for free cash flow generation, nearly doubling compared to the prior year, and maintained steady EBITDA performance, consistent with internal targets.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Kyocera Corp, NVIDIA Corp, LG CNS, Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Lasertec Corp, DiDi Global, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Celestica and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Kyocera (6971) – Changes Policies – Will Sell KDDI Faster and Buy Back Shares
  • Jeffrey Emanuel: Viral Author of The Short Case for Nvidia Stock – cohosted by Pondering Durian
  • LG CNS IPO: Trading Debut
  • Lots More with Matt Levine on MicroStrategy’s Infinite Money Machine
  • LG CNS IPO Trading – Demand Aided by Domestics, Limited Lockup Undertaking
  • Lasertec: FY25 Guidance Isn’t Revised up Despite a Blockbuster 2Q25. The Stock Is Attractive.
  • Didi Global Inc (DIDIY) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Feb-2025): India building own AI model by 2025
  • Celestica Inc: Will The Expansion in Liquid Cooling Technologies Act As A Key Growth Enabler? – Major Drivers
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Feb-2025): India’s model by 2025.


Kyocera (6971) – Changes Policies – Will Sell KDDI Faster and Buy Back Shares

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, in conjunction with the release of Q3 earnings, Kyocera Corp (6971 JP) announced a change in its Corporate Governance Code doc, a change in Cross-holding Policy, and Buyback Policy.
  • Full-Year earnings guidance revision was non-salutary. Revs -1%, OP -69%, Net Profit -72% vs previous predictions from 30 October (those were -1.5%, -38.2%, -36.6% vs April guidance at the time). 
  • Based on this disappointment, they announced they would speed up the sale of crossholdings and buy back shares this year and over the following three years.

Jeffrey Emanuel: Viral Author of The Short Case for Nvidia Stock – cohosted by Pondering Durian

By The Delphi Podcast

  • Market value of stocks close to 2 trillion, including Nvidia at 600 billion
  • Author missed opportunity to short Nvidia despite strong case outlined in article
  • Concerns about competition, margins, and custom chips impacting Nvidia’s growth potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


LG CNS IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Lots More with Matt Levine on MicroStrategy’s Infinite Money Machine

By Odd Lots

  • Stifel is a leading middle market investment bank with a large equity research franchise
  • Stifel has won the J.D. Power Award for Employee Advisor satisfaction two years in a row
  • The Odd Lots podcast discusses topics like MicroStrategy’s perpetual motion machine and leveraged bitcoin investments

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


LG CNS IPO Trading – Demand Aided by Domestics, Limited Lockup Undertaking

By Clarence Chu

  • LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) raised around US$825m in its Korea IPO. LG CNS is a South Korean information technology company.
  • LG CNS is a South Korean information technology company. The firm primarily provides comprehensive digital transformation services and solutions backed AI, big data, and cloud.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

Lasertec: FY25 Guidance Isn’t Revised up Despite a Blockbuster 2Q25. The Stock Is Attractive.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • After 2 very poor quarters (revenue decline YoY), 2Q25 revenue increase 93% YoY, net income 137%. The painfully high volatility will not go away. 
  • But Lasertec maintains its FY25 guidance which means that the blowout 2Q25 does not indicate higher growth
  • The expectation bubble should have completely deflated (SiC for EV, Intel, Samsung). The stock is trading at 18x, at the bottom of its trading range and valuations. Attractive.

Didi Global Inc (DIDIY) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Didi Global Inc. is a prominent mobility technology platform offering ride hailing, taxi hailing, and ride sharing services
  • The company dominates the market in China and Latin America, especially in Brazil and Mexico
  • Didi also has other initiatives including E-bike sharing, energy and vehicle services, intra-city freight, autonomous driving, and financial services.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Feb-2025): India building own AI model by 2025

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • India aims to create its own foundational model by 2025, showing its commitment to technological development and innovation.
  • DeepSeek’s founder’s journey from stock prodigy to AI disruptor highlights the potential for growth and success in the tech industry.
  • Cadence’s focus on expanding in India’s data center industry shows the increasing importance of this sector in the global economy.

Celestica Inc: Will The Expansion in Liquid Cooling Technologies Act As A Key Growth Enabler? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Celestica’s fourth-quarter 2024 financial performance illustrates a complex landscape with both impressive achievements and areas of strategic caution.
  • The company reported strong revenue growth, reaching $2.55 billion, aligning with the high end of its guidance.
  • Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surpassed expectations, recording $1.11, reflecting the company’s robust operational capabilities.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Feb-2025): India’s model by 2025.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • India plans to create its own foundational model by 2025, aiming for independence in technology development.
  • DeepSeek’s founder, a former stock prodigy, is now making waves in the field of AI disruption.
  • Cadence is focusing on expanding in India’s growing data center market, expecting continued growth in the future.

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Daily Brief Industrials: HD Hyundai Marine Solution , T’Way Air, Kaynes Technology India, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Srg Takamiya, Fluence Corp, bpost SA, Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc, Applied Industrial Tech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That
  • Daemyung Sono Group May Wage a Public Opinion War for T’Way Air
  • Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look – QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans
  • C.H. Robinson: Innovative Pricing & Procurement Strategies Enabling Margin Expansion? – Major Drivers
  • Takamiya (2445 JP) – Business Model Transition Leads to a Phase of Slower Profit Growth…
  • Fluence Corp Ltd – Set up for a strong recovery
  • What’s New( s)in Amsterdam – 3 February 2025 (Unilever | Basic-Fit | InPost | PostNL / bpostgroup | Retail sales | Dutch CPI)
  • Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024
  • Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT): Will The Hydradyne Acquisition & Synergies Strengthen Its Competitive Position? – Major Drivers


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

By Brian Freitas

  • Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June. The LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) listing could increase that number.
  • The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.
  • The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.

Daemyung Sono Group May Wage a Public Opinion War for T’Way Air

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past two trading days, share prices of T’Way Air (091810 KS) and T’Way Holdings (004870 KS) are down 16.4% and 14.1%, respectively.
  • According to Hankyung daily, Daemyung Sono Group Chairman Seo may choose to wage a public opinion war, instead of purchasing additional shares.  
  • If Daemyung Sono Group is unable to take over the management control of T’Way Air using this method, then a potential tender offer of T’Way Air is possible later on. 

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look – QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

By Akshat Shah

  • Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN) is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
  • In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.
  • The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.

C.H. Robinson: Innovative Pricing & Procurement Strategies Enabling Margin Expansion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • C.H. Robinson Worldwide’s latest quarterly financial disclosure provides insight into both the challenges and operational successes the company faced.
  • A key feature of the discussion was the significant improvement in financial metrics year-over-year, despite operating within a continued freight recession.
  • The company’s execution stands out, particularly through the adoption of the new Robinson operating model, which provided a framework for disciplined operations, embracing both human expertise and advanced technological tools.

Takamiya (2445 JP) – Business Model Transition Leads to a Phase of Slower Profit Growth…

By Sessa Investment Research

  • H1 FY2025/3 Earnings results summary: Takamiya (hereafter, the Company) reported sales of JPY 21,236 mn (+2.1% YoY), operating profit of JPY 802 mn (-33.5% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 640 mn (-56.9% YoY), and profit attributable to owners of parent (hereafter, net profit) of JPY 498 mn (-50.5% YoY), falling short of initial forecasts.
  • Sales fell 6.0% short of the initial forecast due to delays in the delivery of certain projects which have been pushed back to Q3 and beyond.
  • FY2025/3 Company earnings forecast: The full-year forecasts for FY2025/3: net sales of JPY 49,500 mn (+12.2% YoY), operating profit of JPY 3,600 mn (+5.7% YoY), ordinary profit of JPY 3,220 mn (-10.1% YoY), net profit of JPY 2,000 mn (+5.9%). 

Fluence Corp Ltd – Set up for a strong recovery

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS has published an update report on environmental services company Fluence Corporation (ASX:FLC) following its Q4 quarterly and financial and operating update and guidance for the FY25 year.
  • The company met its previous guidance for revenue of US$51.5m and an EBITDA loss of US$4.0m, which was 9% better than RaaS’ forecast for a US$4.4m loss.
  • FLC has provided a strong outlook for FY25 guiding to revenue of US$80-95m and EBITDA of US$3.0-5.0m.

What’s New( s)in Amsterdam – 3 February 2025 (Unilever | Basic-Fit | InPost | PostNL / bpostgroup | Retail sales | Dutch CPI)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • Unilever | may opt for multiple listing venues for its ice cream unit • Basic-Fit | starts share management program to support stock liquidity • InPost | eying a takeover of struggling Yodel?
  • • InPost / PostNL / bpost | online marketplaces to be liable for unsafe and illegal goods • Dutch retail sales | up 1.5% YoY in value terms in December and up 2.1% for FY24 • Dutch CPI | up 3.3% YoY in January based on the fast estimate

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • CVGI is a tier 1 supplier to OEMs, specializing in seats, wiring harnesses, plastic casings, and mirrors for MD/HD Class 5-8 trucks and construction/agricultural equipment
  • Despite customer concentration and cyclical demand, CVGI has strong relationships with major customers like Volvo, Daimler, Paccar, Navistar, Caterpillar, and John Deere
  • CVGI faces limited price competition due to OEMs working with pre-approved suppliers and investing in product development, making them a successful and stable business in the competitive commercial vehicle industry.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT): Will The Hydradyne Acquisition & Synergies Strengthen Its Competitive Position? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Applied Industrial Technologies reported their fiscal 2025 first-quarter results, indicating a mixed performance amid ongoing economic uncertainties and strategic investments.
  • The company experienced a moderate decline in organic daily sales of 3% compared to the previous year, though this was somewhat offset by a robust September performance, surpassing initial expectations.
  • On the positive side, the company achieved a record first quarter for free cash flow generation, nearly doubling compared to the prior year, and maintained steady EBITDA performance, consistent with internal targets.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Sumitomo Pharma, AS ONE Corporation, Daiichi Sankyo, Protalix BioTherapeutics , Select Medical Holdings, Sionna Therapeutics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Robust 9MFY25 Revenues; Back in Black; Guidance Revised
  • AS ONE Corporation (7476 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Mixed Q3FY25 Result; FY25 Net Profit Guidance Raised; New CEO Appointed
  • PLX: Revisiting the Thesis
  • Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024
  • Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. (SION): Phase I Cystic Fibrosis Biotech Sets Terms for IPO


Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Robust 9MFY25 Revenues; Back in Black; Guidance Revised

By Tina Banerjee

  • Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) reported 25% YoY revenue growth during 9MFY25, driven by North America.
  • Restructuring and streamlining efforts help curb expenses and post a core operating profit of ¥21B during 9MFY25 compared to an operating loss of ¥96B in same period last year.
  • Sumitomo is now expecting FY25 revenue to be ¥381B, up by ¥43B from the previous forecast and a core net profit of ¥16B.

AS ONE Corporation (7476 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Cumulative Q3 FY03/25 sales were JPY75.4bn (+9.8% YoY), operating profit JPY8.4bn (+11.5% YoY), net income JPY6.0bn (+10.2% YoY).
  • Research and Industrial Instruments sales reached JPY62.4bn (+11.0% YoY), with Scientific and Industrial sales at JPY46.1bn and JPY16.3bn respectively.
  • E-commerce sales rose to JPY24.7bn (+23.8% YoY), overseas business sales were JPY4.1bn (+8.9% YoY), driven by online expansion.

Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Mixed Q3FY25 Result; FY25 Net Profit Guidance Raised; New CEO Appointed

By Tina Banerjee

  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) reported mixed Q3FY25 result, with revenue increasing 8% YoY to ¥484.8M and net profit decreasing 7% YoY to ¥61.9M. Enhertu revenue increased 39% YoY to ¥143B.
  • The company has raised FY25 net profit guidance by 7% to ¥240B (up 20% YoY), to reflect an increase in financial income due to an improvement in foreign exchange gains.
  • As Daiichi Sankyo enters the final year of its current five-year business plan, the company has appointed Hiroyuki Okuzawa as Chief Executive Officer effective April 1, 2025.

PLX: Revisiting the Thesis

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Protalix is a clinical and commercial pharmaceutical company using its proprietary ProCellEx plant-based expression system to pro duce thera peutic proteins for global markets.
  • The company has two commer cialized products, Elelyso that is marketed by Fiocruz in Brazil & Pfizer in the rest of the world for Gaucher Disease and Elfabrio which was approved in May 2023.
  • Chiesi Rare Disease will commercialize Elfabrio globally.

Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) – Sunday, Nov 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SEM stub trading at a discount to fair value with a catalyst expected to narrow gap in near future
  • Predicted to be valued closer to 9.5x EV/EBITDA in 12 months, offering potential 49% upside
  • Select Medical is a prominent operator of critical illness recovery hospitals, rehab hospitals, physical therapy clinics, and occupational health centers in the U.S., recently IPOed occupational health business Concentra and plans to spin off remaining stake in CON to shareholders

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. (SION): Phase I Cystic Fibrosis Biotech Sets Terms for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Biopharmaceutical company on a mission to revolutionize the current treatment paradigm for cystic fibrosis filed for IPO.
  • The terms value the company between $652m-$734m with the $16-$18 price range.
  • The company’s existing shareholders include some of the best pre-IPO names in the biotech sphere.

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Daily Brief Financials: Samsung Life Insurance, SelfWealth Ltd, NIFTY Index, Nikkei 225, USD, Moon River Capital , Sun Life Financial and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Lee Jae-Yong’s Appeal Verdict: Unpacking the Drivers Behind Samsung Life’s Big Price Action
  • SelfWealth (SWF AU): Peter Thiel-Backed Svava Crashes Bell’s Offer
  • EQD | Nifty Index Options Weekly (Jan 24 – 31): Second Longest Decline Since 2007
  • EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly (January 27 – 31): USD/JPY and Nikkei at a Stalemate
  • U.S. Rates – DeepFreeze
  • MOO: OTC Listing + Thesis Rehash
  • Sun Life Financial Inc (SLF) – Monday, Nov 4, 2024


Lee Jae-Yong’s Appeal Verdict: Unpacking the Drivers Behind Samsung Life’s Big Price Action

By Sanghyun Park

  • Once Samsung F&M burns treasury shares, Samsung Life’s stake hits 16.93%. If they avoid a subsidiary, they’ll need to dump ~817K shares. Today’s ruling makes that move much less likely.
  • Samsung Life’s value-up announcement could be major, likely dropping around their earnings call on February 20, with solid intel backing this move.
  • The balance of dividends vs. buybacks, plus Samsung Life’s 10% stake ceiling, will drive volatility for Samsung Electronics. Samsung Life’s value-up release, before Samsung Electronics’, will boost market clarity.

SelfWealth (SWF AU): Peter Thiel-Backed Svava Crashes Bell’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 25th November, online trading player SelfWealth Ltd (SWF AU) entered into a SID with Bell Financial (BFG AU) at A$0.25/share after outbidding AxiCorp Financial Services.
  • Now Singaporean-based wealth manager Svava has tabled a non-binding A$0.28/share Offer, in cash, by way of a Scheme. Svava also holds an effective blocking stake – 18.8% of shares out. 
  • SelfWealth said Svava’s proposal “while indicative and non-binding, could be reasonably considered to become a superior proposal.” BFG needs to step up. 

EQD | Nifty Index Options Weekly (Jan 24 – 31): Second Longest Decline Since 2007

By John Ley

  • Nifty has been in a prolonged downtrend, currently 4 months in duration and clipping 10.3% off the index. This is the second longest decline since 2007.
  • When looked at vs the extent of this decline, implied vol is at the bottom of its historical range and historic vol also quietest in a down-move since 2007.
  • Implied vol is trading at or above peak levels seen on historic vol since the decline started and implied remains negatively correlated to movements in spot.

EQD | Nikkei Index Options Weekly (January 27 – 31): USD/JPY and Nikkei at a Stalemate

By John Ley

  • This week we add in some additional graphs and commentary highlighting USD/JPY vs Nikkei 225.
  • Implied vols were very reactive to spot to open the week with Nikkei dropping almost 1% on Monday.
  • Heavier volume on the down days with Puts making up 57.8% of the total weekly volume.

U.S. Rates – DeepFreeze

By At Any Rate

  • The Fed kept policy rates unchanged as expected, but Chair Powell’s press conference provided key insights on the Fed’s stance
  • The Fed’s focus on inflation and asymmetric reaction function suggests a possible delay in further rate cuts
  • Range-bound rate environment post-Fed meeting favors short gamma strategies for volatility sellers, while yield curve trading strategies may lack carry opportunities

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


MOO: OTC Listing + Thesis Rehash

By Atrium Research

  • Moon River announced it will now be trading on the OTCQB in the US under the symbol MRIVF.
  • It also announced that its shares have received DTC Eligibility.
  • We provide a rehash of our investment thesis on Moon River.

Sun Life Financial Inc (SLF) – Monday, Nov 4, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Sun Life Financial may face challenges in its U.S. Group Benefits business, particularly in dental and stop-loss margins, as suggested by new information for the upcoming earnings report
  • Negative readthroughs from other insurers in the industry and potential changes in Medicaid spend under a Republican administration could impact SLF’s stock
  • Despite trading at a high multiple, SLF’s stock may face downside risk based on the current outlook, with a potential mid-teens % downside in a bear case scenario

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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