
In today’s briefing:
- Event Driven: Vedanta Ltd: A Story of Wealth Creation Through Demerger
- Emergency or policy? Unpacking Trump’s take on US energy and metals
- Infinity Natural Resources (INR): Sector Sentiment Sours, Exercise Caution on IPO
- [Earnings Review] Halliburton Q4 Performance Impacted by North America Weakness
- [Pre Earnings Options Flash] Chevron’s Options Activity Reflects Market Caution Ahead of Q4 Earnings
- [Earnings Preview] Lower Oil Prices and Refining Margins to Weigh on Chevron’s Earnings
- The Beat Ideas: Goodluck India Accelerating Margin Growth with Value-Added Products & Defence
- Asahi Holdings (5857 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
- Calumet Inc (CLMT) – Wednesday, Oct 30, 2024

Event Driven: Vedanta Ltd: A Story of Wealth Creation Through Demerger
- Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) plans a multi-segment demerger to unlock value by separating its aluminum, zinc, oil and gas, steel, and other core operations into standalone entities.
- This restructuring aims to eliminate conglomerate discount, foster specialized leadership, and attract fresh capital, potentially enhancing overall valuations and fueling long-term growth across diversified segments.
- Despite governance concerns and cyclical commodity risks, pure-play listings could catalyze re-ratings, offering heightened returns but requiring vigilance on execution and corporate transparency.
Emergency or policy? Unpacking Trump’s take on US energy and metals
- Trump signed emergency declarations to address energy and minerals inadequacy in the US
- Plans to impose tariffs on Mexico and Canada, pressure OPEC to lower prices
- Unclear what powers these declarations unlock, potential impact on energy and metal projects
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.
Infinity Natural Resources (INR): Sector Sentiment Sours, Exercise Caution on IPO
- While this company is well-positioned in its sector and has a prudent growth strategy and balance-sheet flexibility, the short term “sector winds” are now blowing in a different direction.
- Venture Global (VG) debuted last Friday with a major price cut and a more disappointing debut.
- Our sources state that the official message regarding the deal is that the offering is multiple-times oversubscribed from long-only and energy-dedicated funds.
[Earnings Review] Halliburton Q4 Performance Impacted by North America Weakness
- Halliburton’s Q4 revenue fell by 2.3% YoY and missed estimates by 0.4% due to weakness in North America. However, its EPS beat estimates by 0.7%.
- Completion & Production revenue fell 4.2% YoY due to reduced activity in North and Latin America. Drilling & Evaluation revenue grew 0.4% YoY driven by growth in the Middle East.
- In Q4, Halliburton repurchased USD 309 million in stock and generated USD 1.1 billion in free cash flow. Full-year repurchases totalled USD 1.6 billion.
[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Chevron’s Options Activity Reflects Market Caution Ahead of Q4 Earnings
- Chevron to report its Q4 earnings on 31/Jan, with revenue and EPS projected to fall sequentially and annually. For 2024 also, revenue and EPS are expected to drop.
- As of 29/Jan, Chevron’s implied volatility (IV) stands at 21.12%, with an IV rank of 43.95% and an IV percentile of 75%.
- Chevron’s OI by strike for the 31/ Jan expiry shows calls concentrated at strikes 162.5, 165, and 167.5, while puts are prominent at strikes of 150, 152.5, and 155.
[Earnings Preview] Lower Oil Prices and Refining Margins to Weigh on Chevron’s Earnings
- Chevron’s Q4 revenue and EPS are expected to drop 1.2% YoY and 38.8%, respectively. Similarly, its 2024 annual revenue and EPS are anticipated to fall by 2.5% and 22.5%.
- Chevron expects restructuring and other charges to impact its Q4 2024 earnings by USD 1.1 billion to USD 1.5 billion.
- Chevron set its 2025 organic capex at USD 14.5–15.5 billion and affiliate capex at USD 1.7–2.0 billion, marking a USD 2 billion decline from the previous year.
The Beat Ideas: Goodluck India Accelerating Margin Growth with Value-Added Products & Defence
- Goodluck India (GLIN IN) is expanding into high-value defense and precision tube segments, aiming to diversify beyond its low-margin steel products and capitalize on India’s growing domestic manufacturing push.
- These strategic moves can enhance margins, reduce commodity price exposure, and capture rising demand from auto, defense, and infrastructure sectors, strengthening Goodluck’s long-term profitability.
- Aiming for 2x revenue in next 3-4 years with margin expansion in all the segments apart from commodity segment.
Asahi Holdings (5857 JP): Q3 FY03/25 flash update
- Revenue increased to JPY373.0bn (+67.0% YoY) and operating profit to JPY14.7bn (+85.6% YoY), driven by gold recovery.
- Japan Waste Corporation’s operations are classified as discontinued, while Renatus Corporation’s equity method gains are included in profits.
- Precious Metals business saw YoY growth in revenue and operating profit due to improved profitability and recovery volumes.
Calumet Inc (CLMT) – Wednesday, Oct 30, 2024
- Calumet received a $1.44 billion conditional loan guarantee from the DOE for its MRL renewable fuel facility
- Market has not fully recognized the potential value of this announcement
- Analysts predict CLMT shares could triple to $60+ by mid-2025 due to upcoming events and potential monetization opportunities
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.